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2006 IEEE PES Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition Latin America, Venezuela
example the Mid and Long Term planning are related to the
energy balance an reservoir manage of the system taking into
account system demand growth and systems changes in future
time. Nowadays a Varity of mathematical models in the forms
of software applications are available to assist the planner in
the analysis of the system operation.
This paper presents the expected energy planning of the
Venezuelan Interconnected power for the period 2006-2010.
The simulation of the system takes into account the planned
expansion of the generation and transmission systems
expected to occur in the study period. The operational
planning of the Venezuelan system was made with SDDP®
as the simulation model. Results like energy balance, marginal
cost of the energy, expected energy not served, and so on are
Index Terms--Average demand marginal cost, Energy
used to show the expected behavior of the system under
planning, expected least cost operation, optimal generation
dispatch, planned generation RTT, SDDP, Venezuelan power
hydrological uncertainties and demand growth.
system.
Azúcar
Boyacao
La
Junquito Pedrera
Chacopat
a
San
Juan
La de los El
Acarigua II Furrial
Buena Vista Morro
Horqueta San
s Gerónimo Palital
El
El Vigía II Tigre
C Mérida
Pta.
Uribante Páez
Guayana A Macagua II
San La Canoa
O Agatón
Cdad.
Bolívar
Guayana B
Caruachi
San Mateo El Malena
Corozo Guayana
L Guri
El Callao
O Las
Claritas
ZONA EN
M RECLAMACIO
N
B
I Santa
Elena
A
BRASIL
Boa
Vista
A
V 150 EL. 128 CARUACHI
EL. 91 MACAGUA I-II Y III RIO
Fuel oil. These fuels are also used as backup fuel in power
100 EL. 54,5
Sea Level
NIVEL DEL MAR
CI
O
50
ORINOCO
plants where gas is available. One import issue about fossil
0
110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
fuel is that prices are highly subsided by government so in
DISTANCIA Kmts.
Distance in Kms most cases prices makes inefficient plants highly competitive
in terms of variable cost. This distorts the signals for
efficiencies.
The demand have experience a high rate growth last three
years with a average rate of 7% and a 8% growth expected
for year 2006. Table II shows the energy balance of the
GURI CARUACHI Venezuelan power system for year 2005.
TOCOMA
TABLE II
MACAGUA ENERGY BALANCE FOR YEAR 2005
T Luisa Caceres
250 MW
Planta Centro
2000 MW
T T CRZ y OAM
2.316 MW
T
R.Laguna, Urdaneta
Termzulia
1359 MW
Planta
P.Larga
From Table II hydro represents 74% of total generation.
Tachira T H H
235 MW
80 MW
Guri
For thermal units 50% of total energy produce was based on
S.Agaton H
PPaez
540 MW
Macagua
Caruachi natural gas at an average efficiency of 337 m3/MWh (11,900
12.565 MW
BTU/kWh).
Utility Plant Type We can resume the basic features of the Venezuelan power
CADAFE H Hydro system as:
EDC x Highly dependent of hydro generation located in the
T Therm
ENELBAR
Caroni River. It makes the power supply highly
ENELVEN
dependent of weather and hydrological behavior;
EDELCA
x A mean transmission network (RTT) that transmit the
generation produced by plants in Caroni River to all
over the country;
Fig. 2. Location of main Power plants x Natural gas as main fossil fuel for power generation
in thermal plants, but not available in all plants so
diesel and bunker must be used in those plants;
3
x Fossil fuel prices with high government subside. The operation of the power system was simulated for fifty
x Important bottle necks in regional transmission five (55) different hydrological series, all of them were took
systems especially in the eastern and western part of from the data available form the river history. SDDP simulates
the country. and calculates an optimal dispatch for each hydrological series
x High rate of demand growth in last two years. but for simplicity the results showed in this document are the
average values from the 55 series simulated.
The system dispatch was calculated with and without the
IV. OPTIMAL DISPATCH SIMULATION OF THE VENEZUELAN transmission grid constraints. This was in order to estimate
POWER SYSTEM how much impacts transmission constraints the operating cost
The optimal dispatch simulation of the Venezuelan power of the system and the energy not served. The simulation
system for years 2006 to 2010 was carried out by means of without transmissions constrains was carried out for two
software for least cost optimization of hydrothermal system different fuel scenarios, one with the prices approved by
knew as SDDP® of which EDELCA owns an user license. Venezuelan Government and the other for average
The main objective of the study was to calculate the expected international prices just to see how much the operating cost of
generation dispatch in order to: the system and merit dispatch of units are affected for fuel
x Supply demand at least cost; prices. The results are presented and compared in Fig. 4 to 11.
x Determinate the expected fuel consumption in
thermal plants; 86000.00
growths. Tables III to V show some of the basic data took into
72000.00
account for the simulation.
70000.00
TABLE III
DEMAND GROWTH SCENARIO 68000.00
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Year
55000.00
TABLE IV 50000.00
PLANNED GENERATION
45000.00
Average Hydro generation (GWh)
40000.00
35000.00
30000.00
25000.00
20000.00
TABLE V 15000.00
16000.00 2500.00
2000.00
12000.00
10000.00
1500.00
8000.00
1000.00
6000.00
4000.00
500.00
2000.00
0.00 0.00
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Year Year
Fig. 6. Yearly average natural gas consumption Fig. 8. Yearly average fuel oil consumption
1400.00
1800.00
A v e r a g e d ie s e l c o n s u m p tio n (m illio n s o f L tr )
1200.00
1600.00
Average thermal production cost (Millions of US$)
1000.00 1400.00
1200.00
800.00
1000.00
600.00
800.00
400.00
600.00
200.00
400.00
0.00 200.00
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Year
0.00
Without grid constrains With grid constrains 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Without grid constrains and national fuel prices Without grid constrains With grid constrains
1200.00
taken into account;
x The high subside that government maintains over
1000.00 fossil fuels distorts the signal for efficient. The
thermal operation cost at national prices represent
800.00
50% of the cost with international prices;
600.00
400.00
V. CONCLUSIONS
200.00 The expected optimal dispatch of the Venezuelan
Interconnected Power system by means of the optimization
0.00
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 tool (SDDP) reflects that the entrance in operation of 2000
Without grid constrains With grid constrains MW or more of efficient thermal generation will help to
attend the demand growth, permitting a better balance
Fig. 10. Yearly average energy not served between hydro and thermal generation in order to preserved
the hydro resources and reduce the risk and expected quantity
of deficit.
Transmissions constrains that existed n the system force to
dispatch inefficient units in order to prevent deficit but deficit
120.00 is and will be present in the system especially due to
subsystems transmission constrains.
100.00
The subside of fossil fuels makes in terms of variable cost
competitive some units that are inefficient, this is a wrong
Average demand margial cost ($/MWh)
VI. REFERENCES
0.00
2006 2007 2008
Year
2009 2010
.Technical Reports:
[1] OPSIS, Boletin mensual Diciembre 200, www.opsis.org.ve;
Without grid constrains With grid constrains
[2] OPSIS, Informe anual 2004, www.opsis.org.ve;
[3] MEP, Plan de desarrollo del Servicio Eléctrico Nacional (PDSEN) 2005-
Fig. 11. Yearly average demand marginal cost 2024;
[4] Rojas Ana M. y Rodriguez, F. “Plan de expansión de generación periodo
From the results the following analysis arises: 2005-2020” VI Jornadas profesionales CVG EDELCA, mayo 2005;
[5] Dias, J y Palacios, C. “Plan de ampliaciones de transmisor CVG
x Between years 2006 and 2008 a reduction in hydro EDELCA 2004-2009” VI Jornadas profesionales CVG EDELCA, mayo
generation is expected with the entrance of almost 2005;
2000 MW of new efficient thermal generation; Manuals:
x Some deficit is expected by year 2008 due to [6] PSR, Manual de Usuario del modelo SDDP V 8.03, www.psr-inc.com
insufficient generation. The average deficit expected [7] Gaceta Oficial de la Republica Bolivariana de Venezuela Año CXXXIII,
mes V 13 de febrero 2006, No. 38.378
represents 0,03% of the year demand. The maximum [8] Gaceta Oficial de la Republica Bolivariana de Venezuela Año CXXXIII,
deficit expected for this year represents 2.11% of the mes V 23 de febrero 2000 No. 38.386
year demand with a probability of 0.02;
x Constrains in transmission network are responsible
for any deficit due to insufficient transmission
capacity. The amount of deficit due to transmission
represents 0.6% of total demand;
6
VII. BIOGRAPHIES
Alberto Freitez was born in Ciudad Guayana- Juan Toledo (SM-89,M-01) was born in Caracas-
Venezuela, on December 25, 1965. He graduated Venezuela, on March18, 1961. He graduated from
from Universidad Central de Venezuela . Universidad Simon Bolivar, and MsC from
All his employment experience in CVG Universidad Central de Venezuela.
EDELCA since 1995. His special field of interest is All his employment experience in CVG
business and power transactions. EDELCA in Department of Electrical Engineering in
Carucahi power Plant. His fields of interest are
power plants design and operation.
Juan D. Jimenez was born in Caracas-Venezuela, Elayne Alcala was born in Caracas-Venezuela, on
on June 25, 1967. He graduated from Universidad August 7, 1980. She is studying electrical
Metropolitana, and MSc form Universidad Central engineering at the USB. Her special field of interest
de Venezuela. is power markets operation and regulation and
His employment experience included debarr sustentable energy.
C.A. a consulting firm, Universidad Central de
Venezuela as professor and CVG EDELCA. His
special fields of interest are power system generation
and transmission planning and simulation models for
optimal resource planning and management.