Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
BANKING
LIQUIDITY RISK AND
ASSET–LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
The Chartered Institute for
Securities & Investm ent
Miss ion Statem ent:
To set standards of professional excellence and integrity for
the investment and securities industry, providing qualifica-
tions and promoting the highest level of competence to our
members, other individuals and firms.
Form erly the Secu rities & Inv estm ent Institu te (SII), and originally
fou nded by m em bers of the London Stock Ex change in 1992, the
Institu te is the leading ex am ining, m em bership and aw arding body
for the secu rities and inv estm ent indu stry . We w ere aw arded a
roy al charter in October 2009, becom ing the Chartered Institu te
for Secu rities & Inv estm ent. We cu rrently hav e arou nd 40,000
m em bers w ho benefi t from a program m e of professional and
social ev ents, w ith continu ing professional dev elopm ent (CPD)
and the prom otion of integrity , v ery m u ch at the heart of ev ery thing
w e do. Additionally , m ore than 40,000 ex am inations are tak en
annu ally in m ore than 50 cou ntries throu ghou t the w orld.
The CISI also cu rrently w ork s w ith a nu m ber of academ ic
institu tions offering qu alifi cations, m em bership and ex em ptions
as w ell as inform ation on careers in fi nancial serv ices. We hav e
ov er 40 schools and colleges offering ou r introdu ctory qu alifi cations
and hav e 7 Univ ersity Centres of Ex cellence recognised by the CISI
as offering leadership in academ ic edu cation on fi nancial m ark ets.
You can contact u s throu gh ou r w ebsite www.cisi.org
Ou r m em bership believ es that k eeping u p to date is central to
professional dev elopm ent. We are delighted to endorse the Wiley /
CISI pu blis hing partnership and recom m end this series of book s to
ou r m em bers and all those w ho w ork in the indu stry .
As part of the CISI CPD Schem e, reading relev ant fi nancial
pu blications earns m em bers of the Chartered Institu te for Secu rities
& Inv estm ent the appropriate nu m ber of CPD hou rs u nder the Self-
Directed learning category . For fu rther inform ation, please v isit
www.cisi.org/cpdscheme
Ruth Martin
Managing Director
AN
INTRODUCTION
TO BANKING
LIQUIDITY RISK AND
ASSET–LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
Moorad Choudhry
Registered office
John Wiley & Sons Ltd, The Atriu m , Sou thern Gate, Chichester, West Su ssex ,
PO19 8SQ, United Kingdom
For details of ou r global editorial offi ces, for cu stom er serv ices and for inform ation
abou t how to apply for perm ission to reu se the copy right m aterial in this book
please see ou r w ebsite at w w w .w iley .com .
The right of the au thor to be identifi ed as the au thor of this w ork has been
asserted in accordance w ith the Copy right, Designs and Patents Act 1988.
All rights reserv ed. No part of this pu blication m ay be reprodu ced, stored in a
retriev al sy stem , or transm itted, in any form or by any m eans, electronic,
m echanical, photocopying, recording or otherw ise, ex cept as perm itted by the
UK Copy right, Designs and Patents Act 1988, w ithou t the prior perm ission of
the pu blisher.
Wiley also pu blishes its book s in a v ariety of electronic form ats. Som e content
that appears in print m ay not be av ailable in electronic book s.
Designations u sed by com panies to distingu ish their produ cts are often claim ed as
tradem ark s. All brand nam es and produ ct nam es u sed in this book are trade
nam es, serv ice m ark s, tradem ark s or registered tradem ark s of their respectiv e
ow ners. The pu blisher is not associated w ith any produ ct or v endor m entioned in
this book . This pu blication is designed to prov ide accu rate and au thoritativ e
inform ation in regard to the su bject m atter cov ered. It is sold on the u nderstanding
that the pu blisher is not engaged in rendering professional serv ices. If professional
adv ice or other ex pert assistance is requ ired, the serv ices of a com petent
professional shou ld be sou ght.
The v iew s, thou ghts and opinions ex pressed in this book represent those of the
au thor in his indiv idu al priv ate capacity , and shou ld not in any w ay be attribu ted
to The Roy al Bank of Scotland plc or to Roy al Bank of Scotland Grou p, or to
Moorad Chou dhry as a representativ e, offi cer, or em ploy ee of The Roy al Bank of
Scotland plc or Roy al Bank of Scotland Grou p.
This book does not constitu te inv estm ent adv ice and its contents shou ld not be
constru ed as su ch. Any opinion ex pressed does not constitu te a recom m endation
to any reader. The contents shou ld not be considered as a recom m endation to deal
in any fi nancial m ark et or instru m ent and the au thor does not accept liability for
any actions resu lting from a reading of any m aterial in this book .
Whilst ev ery effort has been m ade to ensu re accu racy , no responsibility for loss
occasioned to any person acting or refraining from action as a resu lt of reading any
m aterial presented in this book can be accepted by the au thor, pu blisher or any
nam ed person or corporate entity .
A catalogu e record for this book is av ailable from the British Library .
ISBN 978-0-470-68725-3
Set in 10/12pt Tru m p Mediev al by OPS Ltd, Great Yarm ou th, Norfolk , UK
Printed in Great Britain by TJ International Ltd, Padstow , Cornw all, UK
For Mrs. Lindsay C houdhry
U ltimate yummy mummy
CONTENTS
Foreword x iii
Preface x ix
About the author x x iii
With that said, the recent fi nancial crisis has raised m any qu estions
arou nd the m erits of the so-called ‘adv ances’ m ade in v alu ation and
risk theory ov er the past sev eral decades. I w ou ld argu e that ‘fi nan-
cial engineering’, as it has so du biou sly been labelled, has tak en a
disproportionate share of the blam e as the cataly st for the crisis. As
abov e, the genesis of these new tools and approaches has been born
ou t of necessity and are a natu ral consequ ence of the increasingly
com plex risk landscape for the fi nancial sy stem . So, althou gh con-
v enient, it w ou ld be an ov ersim plifi cation to su ggest that the tools of
fi nance by their ow n constru ction had cau sed the problem s ou tright.
More appropriately , one shou ld refl ect on how these fi nancial tools
w ere em ploy ed and w hy their natu ral lim itations w ere insu ffi ciently
appreciated. In retros pect, the latter is perhaps the m ain reason
m anagem ent at the m ost affected fi nancial institu tions did not
x iv FOREWORD
see the lev el of risk they w ere ex posed to u ntil it w as too late. Pu t
differently , as m easu res of risk ex posu re fi ltered u p throu gh these
organizations, the degree of sensitiv ity em bedded in those risk
m easu res w as lost in translation. In effect, the w orst hit fi nancial
institu tions ex perienced a failu re in risk m anagem ent. Risk m anage-
m ent, in this sense, refers not only to u nderstanding the v alu e of a
fi nancial asset at any giv en point in tim e bu t, m ore im portantly , the
sensitiv ity of its v alu e to rapidly changing m ark et conditions.
Stepping back , at the core of any tru e science is a set of basic
fu ndam ental principles and relationships that is accepted by all
researchers as a fou ndation to ex pand u pon. As a general m atter,
the science of fi nance is really no different. For m ost fi nancial assets
(bonds, equ ities, , real estate), the analy tical theory u sed to assess
their v alu e at any giv en m om ent is fairly dev eloped and is su pported
by broad consensu s. In fact, m any of those basic theories are captu red
in this book . If these theories are so generally accepted, one m ight
ask oneself: Why do any tw o parties ev er differ in term s of the v alu es
they w ou ld assign to any sim ilar asset? More concretely , in light of
the near death ex perience of the fi nancial sy stem , w hy had the v alu es
assigned to fi nancial assets by bu y ers and sellers (i.e., the ‘bid and
offer’) becom e v irtu ally irreconcilable. In short, v alu ation disparities
tend to be driv en m ore by div ergent v iew s on m odel inpu ts rather
than opposing analy tical approaches in them s elv es. This shou ld not
be too su rprising; the fi nancial indu stry pu rposefu lly look s to estab-
lish tools that are standardized and w idely shared. Pragm atically ,
standardization w ith open architectu re enhances transparency in an
asset class prom oting greater liqu idity and increased bu sines s
v olu m es.
Irrespectiv e of one’s tru st or distru st in cu rrent fi nancial theory , it is
hard to dispu te that the u se of poorly fou nded inpu t assu m ptions w ill
render ev en the best m odel ineffectiv e. As is the case w ith all
scientifi c m odels u s ed to predict and qu antify an ou tcom e, the
qu ality of the ou tpu t depends on the reliability of the inpu t. In
this regard, ex tracting dependable inference from historical sou rce
data is not a u niqu e challenge to the science of fi nance. Interpreting
historical sou rce data to v alidate forw ard assu m ptions is challenged
by sam pling inaccu racy , insu ffi cient tim e series, and reliance on
‘constant conditions’. ‘Constant conditions’, in this sense, refer to
the belief that ev ery factor that has infl u enced historical sou rce
data w ill rem ain the sam e in the fu tu re as w ill its im pact. Unlik e
theoretical science, thou gh, fi nancial m ark ets do not ex ist in a
controlled env ironm ent or v acu u m . On the contrary , fi nancial
FOREWORD xv
longer relev ant. Said differently , the ‘constant condition’ betw een
past and fu tu re w as erroneou sly u nqu estioned. Interestingly ,
thou gh, for those that inv ested in those m ortgage-back ed secu rities
the consensu s v iew on v alu e betw een seller and bu y er w as v ery
sim ilar pre crisis. This w as ev idenced em pirically by the v ery
tight ‘bid–offer’ prices on those secu rities before the m ark et m elt-
dow n. The ‘bid–offer’ can be v iew ed as a prox y m easu re of how in
agreem ent bu y ers and sellers are on the inpu ts being u sed in their
v alu ation m odels. Bu t w e k now from hindsight, certain m ark et
participants av oided tak ing ex posu re to this asset class . Others
w ent as far as to tak e deliberate v iew s that the consensu s v alu es
w ere so su ffi ciently ov erstated that they ex ercised their v iew s by
selling those secu rities short. Thes e contrarians, despite being
lim ited to the sam e tools and sam e historical data as any one else,
w ere u ltim ately correct in their div ergent v iew s. Were they sim ply
sm arter?
More realistically , they w ere not sm arter. I w ou ld argu e that they
w ere ju st better at u nderstanding the lim itations and risk s in rely ing
on m odels and historical sou rce data. Perhaps im portantly , they
look ed to factors ou tside the u su al nu m eric sou rces of inform ation
and applied ju dgm ent to stres s their m odel assu m ptions bey ond the
historical ex perience. Thes e ‘risk m anagers’ w ere m ore enlightened
only to the ex tent that they recognized that the ‘constant condition’
w as no longer v alid. Basic qu estions arou nd ex ponential origination
grow th, deteriorating dem ographics, increased u se of teaser rates,
high loan to v alu es and docu m entation (i.e., all w idely discu s sed
in the pu blic dom ain), shou ld hav e giv en rise to refl ection for all
inv olv ed to qu estion fu rther w hether the m odel inpu ts and hence
m odel ou tpu ts m ade sense? In the end, no m odel can replace basic
ju dgm ent, intu ition or com m on sense. Perhaps this is the com m on
sense lesson?
Althou gh it is rare for fi nance book s to be philosophical, hopefu lly ,
som e of the v iew points abov e w ill help to pu t perspectiv e arou nd the
pow ers and pitfalls of fi nancial science. As w ith all sciences, the
theoretical fram ew ork s, the analy tical m odels, and the instru m ents
them s elv es (i.e., ‘collectiv e fi nancial technology ’) are only tools –
their predictions and prom ises are not absolu tes. While ‘collectiv e
fi nancial technology ’ allow s for better u nderstanding of v alu ation
basics, m ore practically , their u tility is best w hen considered as part
of the broad su ite of tools av ailable to su pport decisions arou nd
‘fi nancial risk m anagem ent’ . Upon refl ection, perhaps the better
nom enclatu re is ‘fi nancial risk ju dgm ent’. At least u nder this
FOREWORD x vii
We defi ne bank ing as the prov ision of loans and deposits; the form er
produ ce interest incom e for the bank , w hile the latter create interest
ex pense for the bank . On the bank ’s balance sheet the loan is the
asset and the deposit is the liability , and the bank acts as the inter-
m ediary betw een borrow ers and lenders . The fact that all bank s
irrespectiv e of their size, approach or strategy m u st m anage the
tw o basic principles of asset–liability m anagem ent (ALM) and liqu id-
ity m anagem ent m eans that they are u ltim ately identical institu -
tions. They deal w ithin the sam e m ark ets and w ith each other. That
m eans that the bank ru ptcy of any one bank , w hile seriou s for its
cu stom ers and creditors, can hav e a bigger im pact still on the w ider
econom y becau se of the risk this poses to other bank s. It is this
sy stem ic risk w hich posed the danger for the w orld’s econom ies
xx PREFACE
Thank s to The Raynes Park Footy Boys. A Solid Bond in You r Heart.
Moorad Choudhry
Su rrey , England
2 October 2010
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Moorad Choudhry is Managing Director, Head of Bu s iness Treasu ry ,
Global Bank ing and Mark ets at The Roy al Bank of Scotland. He w as
prev iou sly Head of Treasu ry at Eu rope Arab Bank , Head of Treasu ry
at KBC Financial Produ cts and Vice President in Stru ctu red Finance
Serv ices at JPMorgan Chase Bank .
Dr. Chou dhry is Visiting Profes sor at the Departm ent of Econom ics ,
London Metropolitan Univ ersity ; Visiting Research Fellow at the
ICMA Centre, Univ ersity of Reading; Associate Research Fellow at
the School of Inform ation Sy stem s, Com pu ting and Mathem atics ,
Bru nel Univ ersity ; Visiting Teaching Fellow at the Departm ent of
Managem ent, Birk beck , Univ ersity of London; a Fellow of the
Chartered Institu te for Secu rities & Inv estm ent; a Fellow of the
ifs-School of Finance; a Fellow of the Global Ass ociation of Risk
Professionals; a Fellow of the Institu te of Sales and Mark eting
Managem ent; and a Fellow of the Institu te of Directors. He is on
the editorial boards of Q ualitative Research in Financial Markets,
Securities & Investment Review and the Journal of Structured
Finance and on the adv isory board of the American Securitization
Forum.
H e critically failed to delegate or appoint talented people lest
they might undermine his overall authority. Instead he promoted
those whose weaknesses he understood and could exploit.
C ompetence was not an issue.
– Jam es Wy llie, G oering and G oering: H itler’s H enchman and
H is Anti-N azi Brother, The His tory Press, 2006
An Introduction to Banking: Liquidity Risk and Asset–Liability Management
By Moorad Choudhry
Copyright © 2011 Moorad Choudhry.
Chapter
1
BANK BUSINESS
AND CAPITAL
2 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
B ank ing has a long and honou rable history . Today it encom passes
a w ide range of activ ities of v ary ing degrees of com plex ity .
Whatev er the precis e bu s iness, the com m on denom inators of all
bank ing activ ities are those of risk , retu rn and the bringing together
of the prov iders of capital. Retu rn on capital is the focu s of all
bank ing activ ity . The co-ordination of all bank ing activ ity cou ld
be said to be the focu s of asset–liability m anagem ent (ALM),
althou gh som e practitioners w ill giv e ALM a narrow er focu s.
Either w ay , w e need to be fam iliar w ith the w ide-ranging natu re
of bank ing bu sines s and the im portance of bank capital. This then
acts as a gu ide for w hat follow s.
In this introdu ctory chapter w e place ALM in contex t by describing
the fi nancial m ark ets and the concept of bank capital. We begin w ith
a look at the bu sines s of bank ing. We then consider the different
ty pes of rev enu e generated by a bank , the concept of the bank ing
book and the trading book , fi nancial statem ents and the concept of
prov isions.
BANKING BUSINESS
Bank ing operations encom pas s a w ide range of activ ities, all of w hich
contribu te to the asset and liability profi le of a bank . Table 1.1 show s
selected bank ing activ ities and the ty pe of risk ex posu re they repre-
sent. The term s u sed in the table, su ch as ‘m ark et risk ’, are ex plained
elsew here in this book . In another chapter w e discu s s the elem entary
aspects of fi nancial analy sis – u sing k ey fi nancial ratios – that are
u sed to ex am ine the profi tability and asset qu ality of a bank . We also
discu s s bank regu lation and the concept of bank capital.
Before considering the concept of ALM, all readers shou ld be fam iliar
w ith the w ay a bank ’s earnings and perform ance are reported in its
fi nancial statem ents . A bank ’s incom e statem ent w ill break dow n
earnings by ty pe, as w e hav e defi ned in Table 1.1. So w e need to be
fam iliar w ith interest incom e, trading incom e and so on. The other
side of an incom e statem ent is costs, su ch as operating ex penses and
bad loan prov isions.
That the u niv ers e of bank s encom pas ses m any different v arieties of
beasts is ev ident from the w ay they earn their m oney . Traditional
bank ing institu tions, perhaps ty pifi ed by a regional bank in the
United States (US) or a bu ilding society in the United Kingdom
(UK), w ill generate a m u ch greater share of their rev enu es throu gh
BANK BUSINESS AND CAPITAL 3
Table 1.1 Selected bank ing activ ities and serv ices
Lending
– Retail Interest incom e, fees Credit, m ark et
– Com m ercial Interest incom e, fees Credit, m ark et
– Mortgage Interest incom e, fees Credit, m ark et
– Sy ndicated Trading, interest Credit, m ark et
incom e, fees
Credit cards Interest incom e, fees Credit, operational
Project fi nance Interest incom e, fees Credit
Trade fi nance Interest incom e, fees Credit, operational
Cash m anagem ent
– Processing Fees Operational
– Pay m ents Fees Credit, operational
Cu stodian Fees Credit, operational
Priv ate bank ing Com m ission incom e, Operational
interest incom e,
fees
Asset m anagem ent Fees, perform ance Credit, m ark et, operational
pay m ents
Capital m ark ets
– Inv estm ent bank ing Fees Credit, m ark et
– Corporate fi nance Fees Credit, m ark et
– Equ ities Trading incom e, fees Credit, m ark et
– Bonds Trading incom e, Credit, m ark et
interest incom e,
fees
– Foreign ex change Trading incom e, fees Credit, m ark et
– Deriv ativ es Trading incom e, Credit, m ark et
interest incom e,
fees
net interest incom e than trading incom e, and v ice v ersa for a fi rm
w ith an inv estm ent bank heritage su ch as Morgan Stanley . Su ch
fi rm s w ill earn a greater share of their rev enu es throu gh fees and
trading incom e. The break dow n v aries w idely across regions and
bank s.
Let u s now consider the different ty pes of incom e stream s and costs.
4 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Interest incom e
Interest incom e, or net interest incom e (NII), is the m ain sou rce of
rev enu e for the m ajority of bank s w orldw ide. It can form u pw ards of
60% of operating incom e, and for sm aller bank s and bu ilding
societies it reaches 80% or m ore.
NII is generated from lending activ ity and interest-bearing assets,
‘net’ retu rn is this interest incom e m inu s the cost of fu nding loans.
Fu nding, w hich is a cost to the bank , is obtained from a w ide v ariety
of sou rces. For m any bank s, deposits are a k ey sou rce of fu nding, as
w ell as one of the cheapest. They are generally short term , thou gh, or
av ailable on dem and, so m u st be su pplem ented by longer term
fu nding. Other sou rces of fu nds inclu de senior debt, in the form
of bonds , secu ritized bonds and m oney m ark et paper.
NII is sensitiv e to both credit risk and m ark et risk . Mark et risk ,
w hich w e look at later, is essentially interest rate risk for loans and
deposits. Interest rate risk w ill be driv en by the m atu rity stru ctu re of
the loan book , as w ell as the m atch (or m ism atch) betw een the
m atu rity of loans against the m atu rity of fu nding. This is k now n
as the interest rate gap.
Trading incom e
Bank s generate trading incom e throu gh trading activ ity in fi nancial
produ cts su ch as equ ities (shares), bonds and deriv ativ e instru m ents .
This inclu des acting as a dealer or m ark et-m ak er in these produ cts as
w ell as tak ing proprietary positions for specu lativ e pu rposes.
BANK BUSINESS AND CAPITAL 5
Ru nning positions in secu rities (as opposed to deriv ativ es) in som e
cases generates interest incom e; som e bank s strip this ou t of the
capital gain m ade w hen the secu rity is traded to profi t, w hile others
inclu de it as part of ov erall trading incom e.
Trading incom e is the m ost v olatile incom e sou rce for a bank . It also
generates relativ ely high m ark et risk , as w ell as not inconsiderable
credit risk . Many bank s, althou gh by no m eans all, u se the Valu e-at-
Risk (VaR) m ethodology to m easu re the risk arising from trading
activ ity , w hich giv es a statistic al m easu re of ex pected losses to the
trading portfolio u nder certain m ark et scenarios.
Costs
Bank operating costs com prise staff costs and operating costs, su ch as
prov ision of prem ises, inform ation technology and offi ce equ ipm ent.
Other signifi cant elem ents of cost are prov isions for loan losses,
w hich are charges against the loan rev enu es of the bank . Prov ision
is based on su bjectiv e m easu rem ent by m anagem ent of how m u ch of
the loan portfolio can be ex pected to be repaid by the borrow er.
CAPITAL MARKETS
A ‘capital m ark et’ is the term u sed to describe the m ark et for raising
and inv esting fi nance. The econom ies of dev eloped cou ntries and a
large nu m ber of dev eloping cou ntries are based on fi nancial sy stem s
that encom pas s inv estors and borrow ers, markets and trading
arrangem ents. A m ark et can be one in the traditional sense su ch
as an ex change w here financial instruments are bou ght and sold on a
trading fl oor, or it m ay refer to one w here participants deal w ith each
other ov er the telephone or v ia electronic screens. The basic prin-
ciples are the sam e in any ty pe of m ark et. There are tw o prim ary
u sers of capital m ark ets: lenders and borrow ers. The sou rce of
lenders’ fu nds is, to a large ex tent, the personal sector m ade u p of
hou s ehold sav ings and those acting as their inv estm ent m anagers
su ch as life assu rance com panies and pension fu nds. The borrow ers
are m ade u p of the gov ernm ent, local gov ernm ent and com panies
(called corporates). There is a basic confl ict betw een the fi nancial
objectiv es of borrow ers and lenders , in that those w ho are inv esting
fu nds w ish to rem ain liquid, w hich m eans hav ing easy access to
their inv estm ents . They also w is h to m ax im ize the retu rn on their
inv estm ent. A corporate, on the other hand, w ill w ish to generate
6 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
m ax im u m net profi t on its activ ities, w hich w ill requ ire continu ou s
inv estm ent in plant, equ ipm ent, hu m an resou rces and so on.
Su ch inv estm ent w ill therefore need to be as long term as possible.
Gov ernm ent borrow ing as w ell is often related to long-term projects
su ch as the constru ction of schools, hospitals and roads. So w hile
inv estors w is h to hav e ready access to their cash and inv est short,
borrow ers desire fu nding to be as long term as possible. One econ-
om is t referred to this confl ict as the ‘constitu tional w eak ness’ of
fi nancial m ark ets (Hick s, 1939), especially as there is no condu it
throu gh w hich to reconcile the needs of lenders and borrow ers. To
facilitate the effi cient operation of fi nancial m ark ets and the price
m echanism , interm ediaries ex ist to bring together the needs of
lenders and borrow ers. A bank is the best ex am ple of this. Bank s
accept deposits from inv estors, w hich m ak es u p the liability side of
their balance sheet, and lend fu nds to borrow ers, w hich form s the
assets on their balance sheet. If a bank bu ilds u p a su ffi c iently large
asset and liability base, it w ill be able to m eet the needs of both
inv estors and borrow ers, as it can m aintain liqu idity to m eet
inv estors requ irem ents as w ell as create long-term assets to m eet
the needs of borrow ers. A bank is ex posed to tw o prim ary risk s in
carry ing ou t its operations: that a large nu m ber of inv estors decide to
w ithdraw their fu nds at the sam e tim e (a ‘ru n’ on the bank ) or that a
large nu m ber of borrow ers go bank ru pt and defau lt on their loans.
The bank in acting as a fi nancial interm ediary redu ces the risk it is
ex posed to by spreading and pooling risk across a w ide asset and
liability base.
Corporate borrow ers w is hing to fi nance long-term inv estm ent can
raise capital in v ariou s w ay s. The m ain m ethods are
continu ed re-inv estm ent of the profi ts generated by a com pany ’s
cu rrent operations;
selling shares in the com pany , k now n as equ ity capital, equ ity
secu rities or equity, w hich confer on bu y ers a share in ow ners hip
of the com pany . Shareholders as ow ners hav e the right to v ote at
general m eetings of the com pany , as w ell as the right to share in
the com pany ’s profi ts by receiv ing div idends;
borrow ing m oney from a bank , v ia a bank loan. This can be a
short-term loan su ch as an ov erdraft, or a longer term loan ov er
tw o, three, fi v e y ears or ev en longer. Bank loans can be at either a
fi x ed or, m ore u su ally , v ariable rate of interest;
borrow ing m oney by issu ing debt secu rities, in the form of bills,
commercial paper and bonds that su bsequ ently trade in the debt
capital m ark et.
BANK BUSINESS AND CAPITAL 7
for gov ernm ents and corporates to fi nance their activ ities. In fact, it
is diffi cu lt to im agine long-term capital-intensiv e projects – su ch as
those u ndertak en by , say , petroleu m , constru ction or aerospace com -
panies – tak ing place w ithou t the ex istence of a debt capital m ark et
to allow the raising of v ital fi nance.
tion of the bank ing bu sines s; entire new bu sines s lines (su ch as
secu ritization) hav e been dev ised in response to the need to m ak e
the u se of capital m ore effi cient.
As w e can see from Figu re 1.1, the scope of bank ing bu sines s is w ide.
Activ ities range from essentially plain v anilla activ ity , su ch as cor-
porate lending, to com plex transactions su ch as secu ritization and
hy brid produ ct trading. There is a v ast literatu re on all these activ -
ities, so w e do not need to cov er them here. How ev er, it is im portant
to hav e a grou nding in the basic produ cts; su bsequ ent chapters w ill
introdu ce these.
ALM is concerned w ith the effi cient m anagem ent of bank ing capital
am ong other things . It therefore concerns itself w ith all bank ing
operations, ev en if day -to-day contact betw een the ALM desk (or
Treasu ry desk ) and other parts of the bank is rem ote. The ALM desk
w ill be responsible for the Treasu ry and m oney m ark et activ ities of
the entire bank . So, if w e w ish, w e cou ld draw a box w ith ALM in it
arou nd the w hole of Figu re 1.1. This is not to say that the ALM
fu nction does all these activ ities; rather, it is ju st to m ak e clear that
all the v ariou s activ ities represent assets and liabilities for the bank ,
and one central fu nction is responsible for this side of these activ -
ities.
For capital m anagem ent pu rposes a bank ’s bu s iness is organized into
a ‘bank ing book ’ and a ‘trading book ’ . We consider them nex t; fi rst
thou gh, a w ord on bank capital.
Capital
Bank capital is the equ ity of the bank . It is im portant as it is the
cu shion that absorbs any u nreserv ed losses that the bank incu rs . By
acting as this cu shion, it enables the bank to continu e operating and
thu s av oid insolv ency or bank ru ptcy du ring periods of m ark et correc-
tion or econom ic dow ntu rn. When the bank su ffers a loss or w rites
off a loss-m ak ing or otherw ise econom ically u ntenable activ ity , the
capital is u sed to absorb the loss. This can be done by eating into
reserv es, freezing div idend pay m ents or (in m ore ex trem e scenarios)
a w ritedow n of equ ity capital. In the capital stru ctu re, the rights of
capital creditors inclu ding equ ity holders are su bordinated to senior
creditors and deposit holders.
Bank s occu py a v ital and piv otal position in any econom y , as the
su ppliers of credit and fi nancial liqu idity , so bank capital is
10 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
im portant. As su ch, bank s are heav ily regu lated by central m onetary
au thorities , and their capital is su bject to regu latory ru les com piled
by the Bank for International Settlem ents (BIS), based in Basel,
Sw itzerland. For this reason its regu latory capital ru les are often
called the ‘Basel ru les ’. Under the original Basel ru les (Basel I) a
bank ing institu tion w as requ ired to hold a m inim u m capital lev el
of 8% against the assets on its book . 1 Total capital is com prised of
equ ity capital;
reserv es;
retained earnings;
preference share issu e proceeds;
hy brid capital instru m ents;
su bordinated debt.
Capital is split into Tier 1 capital and Tier 2 capital. The fi rst three
item s in the bu llet list com prise Tier 1 capital w hile the rem aining
item s are Tier 2 capital.
The qu ality of the capital in a bank refl ects its m ix of Tier 1 and Tier 2
capital. Tier 1 or ‘core capital’ is the highest qu ality capital, as it is
not obliged to be repaid; m oreov er, there is no im pact on the bank ’s
repu tation if it is not repaid. Tier 2 is considered low er qu ality as it is
not ‘los s absorbing’; it is repay able and also of shorter term than
equ ity capital. Assessing the fi nancial strength and qu ality of a
particu lar bank ing institu tion often requ ires calcu lating k ey
capital ratios for the bank and com paring them w ith m ark et av erages
and other benchm ark s .
Analy sts u se a nu m ber of ratios to asses s bank capital strength. Som e
of the m ore com m on ones are show n in Table 1.2.
There is m ore to this than ju st this sim ple statem ent, and w e consider this
in Chapter 10.
BANK BUSINESS AND CAPITAL 11
corporates and other bank s, and so w ill interact w ith inv estm ent
bank ing bu s iness. 2 The trading book records w holesale m ark et
transactions , su ch as m ark et-m ak ing and proprietary trading in
bonds and deriv ativ es. Again, speak ing sim ply , the prim ary differ-
ence betw een the tw o book s is that the ov erriding principle of the
bank ing book is one of ‘bu y and hold’—that is, a long-term acqu isi-
tion. Assets m ay be held on the book for u p to 30 y ears or longer. The
trading book is ju st that, it em ploy s a trading philosophy so that
assets m ay be held for v ery short term s, less than one day in som e
cases. The regu latory capital and accou nting treatm ent of each book
differs. The prim ary difference here is that the trading book em ploy s
For a start, there w ill be a com m onality of clients. A corporate client w ill
borrow from a bank and m ay also retain the bank ’s u nderw riting or
stru ctu red fi nance departm ents to arrange a share issu e or secu ritization
on its behalf.
12 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
the ‘m ark -to-m ark et’ approach to record profi t and loss (P&L), w hich
is the daily ‘m ark ing’ of an asset to its m ark et v alu e. An increase or
decrease in the m ark on the prev iou s day ’s m ark is recorded as an
u nrealized profi t or loss on the book : on disposal of the asset, the
realized profi t or loss is the change in the m ark at disposal com pared
w ith its m ark at pu rchase.
Trading book
Wholesale m ark et activ ity inclu ding m ark et-m ak ing and proprietary
trading is recorded in the trading book . Assets on the trading book
BANK BUSINESS AND CAPITAL 13
can be ex pected to hav e a high tu rnov er, althou gh not necessarily so,
and are m ark ed to m ark et daily . Cou nterparties to this trading
activ ity can inclu de other bank s and fi nancial institu tions su ch as
hedge fu nds, corporates and central bank s. Trading book activ ity
generates the sam e risk ex posu re as that on the bank ing book ,
inclu ding m ark et risk , credit risk and liqu idity risk . It also creates
a need for cash m anagem ent. Mu ch trading book activ ity inv olv es
deriv ativ e instru m ents , as opposed to ‘cash’ produ cts. Deriv ativ es
inclu de fu tu res, sw aps and options. These can be equ ity , interest
rate, credit, com m odity , foreign ex change (FX), w eather and other
deriv ativ es. Deriv ativ es are k now n as ‘off-balance-sheet’ instru -
m ents becau se they are recorded ‘off’ the (cash) balance sheet.
Their w idespread u se and acceptance has greatly im prov ed the effi -
ciency of the process behind risk ex posu re hedging for bank s and
other institu tions alik e.
Off-balance-sheet transactions refer to ‘contingent liabilities’, w hich
are so called becau se they refer to fu tu re ex posu re contracted now .
Thes e are not only deriv ativ es contracts su ch as interest rate sw aps
or w riting an option, bu t also inclu de gu arantees su ch as a credit line
to a third-party cu stom er or a grou p su bsidiary com pany . Thes e
represent a liability for the bank that m ay be requ ired to be honou red
at som e fu tu re date. In m ost cases they do not generate cash infl ow or
ou tfl ow at inception – u nlik e a cash transaction – bu t represent
fu tu re ex posu re. If a credit line is draw n on, it represents a cash
ou tfl ow and that transaction is then recorded on the balance sheet.
of m anagem ent inform ation ratios are u sed w hen analy sing the
balance sheet; they are considered in the nex t chapter.
In Chapter 2 w e u se a hy pothetical ex am ple to illu strate balance
sheets. For a bank , there are u su ally fi v e parts to a balance sheet, split
u p in su ch a w ay to show separately
lending and deposits, or traditional bank bu sines s;
trading assets;
Treasu ry and interbank assets;
off-balance-sheet assets;
long-term assets, inclu ding fi x ed assets, shares in su bsidiary
com panies, together w ith equ ity and Tier 2 capital.
This is illu strated in Table 1.3. The actu al balance sheet of a retail or
com m ercial bank w ill differ signifi cantly from that of an inv estm ent
bank , du e to the relativ e im portance of their v ariou s bu sines s lines ,
bu t the basic lay ou t w ill be sim ilar.
Assets Liabilities
% Ex pressed as percentage of
Trading income
Trading incom e arises from the capital gain earned from bu y ing and
selling fi nancial instru m ents. These instru m ents inclu de both cash
and deriv ativ e (off-balanc e-sheet) instru m ents and can arise from
u ndertak ing m ark et-m ak ing, w hich in theory is u ndertak en to
m eet client dem ands and the proprietary bu sines s needs of the
bank ’s ow n trading book . Note that interest incom e earned w hile
holding assets on the trading book shou ld really be considered NII
and not trading incom e, bu t som etim es it is not stripped ou t from
ov erall trading book P&L. There is no u niform ity of approach am ong
bank s in this regard.
Trading incom e is the m ost v olatile form of bank rev enu e. Ev en a
record of consistent profi t in trading ov er a long period is no gu ar-
antee against fu tu re losses arising ou t of m ark et corrections or
sim ply m ak ing the w rong bet on fi nancial m ark ets. Trading activ ity
w as the fi rst ty pe of bank ing activ ity w hose risk ex posu re w as
m easu red u sing the Valu e-at-Risk m ethodology , w hich replaced
du ration-based risk m easu res in the 1990s.
Operating expenses
Bank ing operating costs ty pically contain hu m an resou rces costs
(rem u neration and other personnel-related ex penses) together w ith
other operating costs su ch as prem ises and infrastru ctu re costs,
depreciation charges and goodw ill. 5 Cost is generally m easu red as
Provisions
Bank s ex pect a percentage of loan assets, and other assets, to su ffer
loss or becom e u nrecov erable com pletely . Prov isions are set aside
ou t of reserv es to cov er for these losses each y ear; they are a charge
against the loan rev enu es of the bank . The size of the prov ision tak en
is a fu nction of w hat w riteoffs m ay be requ ired against the loan
portfolio in the cu rrent period and in the fu tu re, and the size and
adequ acy of loan loss reserv es cu rrently av ailable. In som e ju risdic-
tions there are regu latory requ irem ents that dictate the m inim u m
size of loss prov ision.
Prov isions fu nd the bank ’s loan loss reserv e, and the reserv e w ill
grow in size w hen the bank prov ides m ore for ex pected credit losses
than the actu al am ou nt that is w ritten off. If the bank believ es
20 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
su bsequ ently that the size of the reserv e bu ilt u p is in ex cess of w hat
is cu rrently requ ired, it m ay w rite back a percentage of it.
The am ou nt of prov isioning w ill v ary w ith the bu sines s cy cle.
Du ring a boom period in the cy cle, corporate and retail defau lt
rates are at historically low er lev els, and so a bank can afford to
low er the lev el of its prov isioning. How ev er, pru dent m anagem ent
dictates that senior m anagers are fam iliar w ith their m ark ets and are
able to ju dge w hen prov ision lev els shou ld increase. In other w ords,
bank s shou ld ‘k now their m ark et’.
REFERENCES
Hick s, J.R. (1939) Value and C apital, Ox ford: Clarendon Press.
Higson, C. (1995) Business Finance, Ox ford: Black w ell.
An Introduction to Banking: Liquidity Risk and Asset–Liability Management
By Moorad Choudhry
Copyright © 2011 Moorad Choudhry.
Chapter
2
THE MONEY
MARKETS
24 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
P art of the global debt capital m ark ets, the m oney m ark ets are a
separate m ark et in their ow n right. Money m ark et secu rities are
defi ned as debt instru m ents w ith an original m atu rity of less than
1 y ear, althou gh it is com m on to fi nd that the m atu rity profi le of
bank s’ m oney m ark et desk s ru ns ou t to 2 y ears.
In addition to cash instru m ents , the m oney m ark ets also consist of
a w ide range of ex change-traded and ov er-the-cou nter off-balance-
sheet deriv ativ e instru m ents. Thes e instru m ents are u sed m ainly to
establish fu tu re borrow ing and lending rates, and to hedge or change
ex isting interest rate ex posu re. This activ ity is carried ou t by both
bank s, central bank s and corporates. The m ain deriv ativ es are short-
term interest rate fu tu res, forw ard rate agreem ents and short-dated
interest rate sw aps, su ch as ov ernight index sw aps.
In this chapter w e rev iew the cash instru m ents traded in the m oney
m ark et. In fu rther chapters w e rev iew bank ing asset and liability
m anagem ent, and the m ark et in repu rchase agreem ents. Finally ,
w e consider the m ark et in m oney m ark et deriv ativ e instru m ents
inclu ding interest rate fu tu res and forw ard rate agreem ents.
THE MONEY MARKETS 25
INTRODUCTION
The cash instru m ents traded in m oney m ark ets inclu de the
follow ing:
tim e deposits;
Treasu ry bills;
certifi cates of deposit;
com m ercial paper;
bank er’s acceptances;
bills of ex change;
repo and stock lending.
Treasu ry bills are u sed by sov ereign gov ernm ents to raise short-term
fu nds, w hile certifi cates of deposit (CDs) are u sed by bank s to raise
fi nance. The other instru m ents are u sed by corporates and occasion-
ally bank s. Each instru m ent represents an obligation on the borrow er
to repay the am ou nt borrow ed on the m atu rity date together w ith
interest if this applies. The instru m ents abov e fall into one of tw o
m ain class es of m oney m ark et secu rities: those qu oted on a yield
basis and those qu oted on a discount basis . Thes e tw o term s are
discu s sed below . A repurchase agreement or ‘repo’ is also a m oney
m ark et instru m ent.
The calcu lation of interest in the m oney m ark ets often differs from
the calcu lation of accru ed interest in the corresponding bond m ark et.
Generally , the day -cou nt conv ention in the m oney m ark et is the
ex act nu m ber of day s that the instru m ent is held ov er the nu m ber of
day s in the y ear. In the UK sterling m ark et the y ear base is 365 day s,
so the interest calcu lation for sterling m oney m ark et instru m ents is
giv en by (2.1):
n
i 21
365
How ev er, the m ajority of cu rrencies, inclu ding the US dollar and the
eu ro, calcu late interest on a 360-day base. The process by w hich an
interest rate qu oted on one basis is conv erted to one qu oted on the
other basis is show n on p. 68. Those m ark ets that calcu late interest
based on a 365-day y ear are also listed on p. 68.
Dealers w ill w ant to k now the interest day base for a cu rrency before
dealing in it as foreign ex change (FX) or m oney m ark ets. Bloom berg
26 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Figure 2.1 Bloom berg screen DCX u sed for US dollar m ark et,
3-m onth loan tak en ou t for v alu e 18 Nov em ber 2005.
2005 Bloom berg Finance L.P. All rights reserv ed. Used w ith perm ission.
Figure 2.2 Bloom berg screen DCX for Singapore dollar m ark et,
3-m onth loan tak en ou t for v alu e 18 Nov em ber 2005.
2005 Bloom berg Finance L.P. All rights reserv ed. Used w ith perm ission.
SECURITIES QUOTED ON
A YIELD BASIS
Tw o of the instru m ents in the list at the top of p. 25 are y ield-based
instru m ents .
LIBO R
Figure 2.3 British Bank ers’ Ass ociation Libor fi x ing, Bloom berg
page BBAM, as at 14 Septem ber 2009.
2009 Bloom berg Finance L.P. All rights reserv ed. Used w ith perm iss ion.
Example 2.1
Certificates of deposit
Certifi cates of deposit (CDs) are receipts from bank s for deposits that
hav e been placed w ith them . They w ere fi rst introdu ced in the
sterling m ark et in 1958. The deposits them s elv es carry a fi x ed
rate of interest related to LIBOR and hav e a fi x ed term to m atu rity ,
so cannot be w ithdraw n before m atu rity . How ev er, the certifi cates
them s elv es can be traded in a secondary m ark et – that is, they are
negotiable. 1 CDs are therefore v ery sim ilar to negotiable m oney
m ark et deposits, althou gh the y ields are abou t 0.15% below the
equ iv alent deposit rates becau se of the added benefi t of liqu idity .
Most CDs issu ed are of betw een 1 and 3 m onths’ m atu rity , althou gh
they do trade in m atu rities of 1 to 5 y ears. Interest is paid on m atu rity
ex cept for CDs lasting longer than 1 y ear, w here interest is paid
annu ally or, occasionally , sem iannu ally .
Bank s, m erchant bank s and bu ilding societies issu e CDs to raise
fu nds to fi nance their bu s iness activ ities. A CD w ill hav e a stated
interest rate and fi x ed m atu rity date, and can be issu ed in any
denom ination. On issu e a CD is sold for face v alu e, so the settlem ent
proceeds of a CD on issu e are alw ay s equ al to its nom inal v alu e.
The interest is paid, together w ith the face am ou nt, on m atu rity .
The interest rate is som etim es called the coupon, bu t u nless the CD
is held to m atu rity this w ill not equ al the y ield, w hich is of cou rse
the cu rrent rate av ailable in the m ark et and v aries ov er tim e.
The largest grou p of CD inv estors are bank s, m oney m ark et
fu nds, corporates and local au thority treasu rers.
Unlik e cou pons on bonds, w hich are paid in rou nded am ou nts, CD
cou pon is calcu lated to the ex act day .
CD y ields
The cou pon qu oted on a CD is a fu nction of the credit qu ality of
the issu ing bank , its ex pected liqu idity lev el in the m ark et and, of
cou rse, the m atu rity of the CD, as this w ill be considered relativ e to
the m oney m ark et y ield cu rv e. As CDs are issu ed by bank s as part
of their short-term fu nding and liqu idity requ irem ent, issu e v olu m es
are driv en by the dem and for bank loans and the av ailability of
alternativ e sou rces of fu nds for bank cu stom ers. The credit qu ality
of the issu ing bank is the prim ary consideration, how ev er; in the
sterling m ark et the low est y ield is paid by ‘clearer’ CDs, w hich are
CDs issu ed by the clearing bank s – su ch as RBS NatWest plc, HSBC
and Barclay s plc. In the US m ark et ‘prim e’ CDs, issu ed by highly
rated dom estic bank s, trade at a low er y ield than non-prim e CDs.
In both m ark ets CDs issu ed by foreign bank s – su ch as French or
Japanese bank s – w ill trade at higher y ields.
Eu ro-CDs, w hich are CDs issu ed in a different cu rrency from that of
the hom e cu rrency , also trade at higher y ields in the US becau se of
reserv e and deposit insu rance restrictions.
If the cu rrent m ark et price of the CD inclu ding accru ed interest is P
and the cu rrent qu oted y ield is r, the y ield can be calcu lated giv en
the price, u sing (2.2):
M N im B
r 1 C 1 22
P B N sm
The price can be calcu lated giv en the y ield u sing (2.3):
N im N sm
P M 1 C 1 r
B B
N sm
F 1 r 23
B
THE MONEY MARKETS 31
The settlem ent fi gu re for a new issu e CD is, of cou rse, its face
v alu e . . .! 2
With thank s to Del Boy du ring the tim e he w as at Tradition for pointing
this ou t after I’d ju st bou ght a sizeable chu nk of Japanese bank CDs circa
1993.
32 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Example 2.2
Figure 2.4 Tu llett & Tok y o brok ers’ sterling m oney m ark ets
screen, 18 Nov em ber 2005.
Tu llett & Tok y o and Bloom berg Finance L.P. All rights reserv ed. Used w ith perm ission.
This is a rev ersal of the sterling m ark et conv ention of placing the
offered rate on the left-hand side, w hich ex isted u ntil the end of the
1990s.
Treasury bills
The Treasu ry bill (T-bill) m ark et in the US is the m ost liqu id and
transparent debt m ark et in the w orld. Consequ ently , the bid–offer
spread on them is v ery narrow . The Treasu ry issu es bills at a
w eek ly au ction each Monday , m ade u p of 91-day and 182-day bills.
Ev ery fou rth w eek the Treasu ry also issu es 52-w eek bills as w ell.
As a resu lt there are large nu m bers of T-bills ou tstanding at any
one tim e. The interest earned on T-bills is not liable to state and
local incom e tax es. T-bill rates are the low est in the dollar m ark et
(as indeed any bill m ark et is in respectiv e dom estic env ironm ents)
and as su ch represent the corporate fi nancier’s risk-free interest
rate.
34 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Federal funds
Com m ercial bank s in the US are requ ired to k eep reserv es on
deposit at the Federal Reserv e. Bank s w ith reserv es in ex cess of
requ ired reserv es can lend these fu nds to other bank s, and these
interbank loans are called federal funds or fed funds and are
u su ally ov ernight loans. Throu gh the fed fu nds m ark et, com m er-
cial bank s w ith ex cess fu nds are able to lend to bank s that are short
of reserv es, thu s facilitating liqu idity . The transactions are v ery
large denom inations, and are lent at the fed funds rate, w hich can
be a relativ ely v olatile interest rate becau se it fl u ctu ates w ith
m ark et shortages. On av erage, it trades abou t 15 basis points or so
below the ov ernight Libor fi x . The difference can be gau ged by
look ing at Figu res 2.5 and 2.6, w hich are the graphs for historical
USD fed fu nds and ov ernight Libor rates, respectiv ely .
Prime rate
The prime interest rate in the US is often said to represent the rate
at w hich com m ercial bank s lend to their m ost creditw orthy
cu stom ers. In practice, m any loans are m ade at rates below the
prim e rate, so the prim e rate is not the best rate at w hich highly
rated fi rm s m ay borrow . Nev ertheless, the prim e rate is a bench-
m ark indicator of the lev el of US m oney m ark et rates, and is
often u sed as a reference rate for fl oating-rate instru m ents . As the
m ark et for bank loans is highly com petitiv e, all com m ercial bank s
qu ote a single prim e rate, and the rate for all bank s changes
sim u ltaneou s ly .
SECURITIES QUOTED ON A
DISCOUNT BASIS
The rem aining m oney m ark et instru m ents are all qu oted on a
discount basis, and so are k now n as ‘discou nt’ instru m ents . This
m eans that they are issu ed on a discou nt to face v alu e, and are
redeem ed on m atu rity at face v alu e. Hence T-bills, bills of ex change,
bank er’s acceptances and com m ercial paper are ex am ples of m oney
m ark et secu rities that are qu oted on a discou nt basis – that is, they
are sold on the basis of a discou nt to par. The difference betw een the
price paid at the tim e of pu rchase and the redem ption v alu e (par) is
the interest earned by the holder of the paper. Ex plicit interest is not
paid on discou nt instru m ents , rather interest is refl ected im plicitly
in the difference betw een the discou nted issu e price and the par v alu e
receiv ed at m atu rity .
THE MONEY MARKETS 35
Figure 2.5 Bloom berg screen GP show ing fed fu nds rate for period
May –Nov em ber 2005.
2005 Bloom berg Finance L.P. All rights reserv ed. Used w ith perm ission.
Figure 2.6 Bloom berg screen GP show ing USD ov ernight Libor for
period May –Nov em ber 2005.
2005 Bloom berg Finance L.P. All rights reserv ed. Used w ith perm ission.
36 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Treasury bills
Treasu ry bills (T-bills) are short-term gov ernm ent ‘IOUs’ of short
du ration, often 3-m onth m atu rity . For ex am ple, if a bill is issu ed on
10 Janu ary it w ill m atu re on 10 April. Bills of 1-m onth and 6-m onth
m atu rity are issu ed in certain m ark ets, bu t only rarely by the UK
Treasu ry . On m atu rity the holder of a T-bill receiv es the par v alu e
of the bill by presenting it to the central bank . In the UK m ost su ch
bills are denom inated in sterling bu t issu es are also m ade in eu ros.
In a capital m ark et, T-bill y ields are regarded as the risk-free y ield,
as they represent the y ield from short-term gov ernm ent debt. In
em erging m ark ets they are often the m ost liqu id instru m ents
av ailable for inv estors.
A sterling T-bill w ith £10 m illion face v alu e issu ed for 91 day s w ill
be redeem ed on m atu rity at £10 m illion. If the 3-m onth y ield at the
tim e of issu e is 5.25% , the price of the bill at issu e is:
10,000,000
P
91
1 0 0525
365
£9,870,800 69
In the UK m ark et the interest rate on discou nt instru m ents is qu oted
as a discount rate rather than a y ield. This is the am ou nt of discou nt
ex pressed as an annu alized percentage of the face v alu e, and not as a
percentage of the original am ou nt paid. By defi nition, the discou nt
rate is alw ay s low er than the corresponding y ield. If the discou nt rate
on a bill is d, then the am ou nt of discou nt is giv en by (2.6):
n
dvalue M d 26
B
The price P paid for the bill is the face v alu e m inu s the discou nt
am ou nt, giv en by (2.7):
1 d N sm 365
P 100 27
100
If w e k now the y ield on the bill then w e can calcu late its price at
issu e by u sing the sim ple present v alu e form u la, as show n at (2.8):
M
P 28
N sm
1 r
365
THE MONEY MARKETS 37
Example 2.3
If a T-Bill is traded in the secondary m ark et, the settlem ent proceeds
from the trade are calcu lated u sing (2.11):
M Day s rem aining d
Proceeds M 2 11
B 100
acceptance can collect the loan on the day that repay m ent is du e.
If the borrow er defau lts, the inv estor has legal recou rse to the bank
that m ade the fi rst acceptance. Bank er’s acceptances are also k now n
as bills of exchange, bank bills, trade bills or commercial bills.
Essentially , bank er’s acceptances are instru m ents created to
facilitate com m ercial trade transactions . The instru m ent is called
a banker’s acceptance becau se a bank accepts the u ltim ate
responsibility to repay the loan to its holder. The u se of bank er’s
acceptances to fi nance com m ercial transactions is k now n as accep-
tance financing. The transactions for w hich acceptances are created
inclu de im port and ex port of goods, the storage and shipping of goods
betw een tw o ov erseas cou ntries, w here neither the im porter nor the
ex porter is based in the hom e cou ntry , 3 and the storage and shipping
of goods betw een tw o entities based at hom e. Acceptances are dis-
cou nt instru m ents and are pu rchased by bank s, local au thorities and
m oney m ark et inv estm ent fu nds.
The rate that a bank charges a cu stom er for issu ing a bank er’s
acceptance is a fu nction of the rate at w hich the bank think s it
w ill be able to sell it in the secondary m ark et. A com m ission is
added to this rate. For ineligible bank er’s acceptances (see below )
the issu ing bank w ill add an am ou nt to offset the cost of additional
reserv e requ irem ents .
COMMERCIAL PAPER
Com m ercial paper (CP) is a short-term m oney m ark et fu nding
instru m ent issu ed by corporates. In the UK and US it is a discou nt
instru m ent. A com pany ’s short-term capital and working capital
requ irem ent is u s u ally sou rced directly from bank s, in the form of
bank loans. An alternativ e short-term fu nding instru m ent is CP,
w hich is av ailable to corporates that hav e a su ffi ciently strong
credit rating. CP is a short-term u nsecu red prom issory note. The
issu er of the note prom ises to pay its holder a specifi ed am ou nt on a
specifi ed m atu rity date. CP norm ally has a zero cou pon and trades at
a discount to its face v alu e. The discou nt represents interest to the
inv estor in the period to m atu rity . CP is ty pically issu ed in bearer
form , althou gh som e issu es are in registered form .
Originally , the CP m ark et w as restricted to borrow ers w ith high
credit ratings, and althou gh low er rated borrow ers do now issu e
CP, som etim es by obtaining credit enhancem ents or setting u p
collateral arrangem ents , issu ance in the m ark et is still dom inated
by highly rated com panies. The m ajority of issu es are v ery short
term , from 30 to 90 day s in m atu rity ; it is ex trem ely rare to
observ e paper w ith a m atu rity of m ore than 270 day s or 9 m onths.
This is becau se of regu latory requ irem ents in the US,4 w hich state
that debt instru m ents w ith a m atu rity of less than 270 day s need not
be registered. Com panies therefore issu e CP w ith a m atu rity low er
than 9 m onths and so av oid the adm inistration costs associated w ith
regis tering issu es w ith the SEC.
There are tw o m ajor m ark ets, the US dollar m ark et w ith an
ou tstanding am ou nt in 2005 ju st u nder $1 trillion, and the Eu ro-
com m ercial paper m ark et w ith an ou tstanding v alu e of $490 billion
at the end of 2005. 5 Com m ercial paper m ark ets are w holesale
This is the Secu rities Act of 1933. Registration is w ith the Secu rities and
Ex change Com m ission.
Source: BIS.
40 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
US CP Eurocom m ercial
CP
Althou gh bank s charge a fee for issu ing letters of credit, borrow ers
are often happy to arrange for this, since by so doing they are able to
tap the CP m ark et. The y ield paid on an issu e of CP w ill be low er
than that on a com m ercial bank loan.
Issu ers often roll ov er their fu nding and u se fu nds from a new issu e
of CP to redeem a m atu ring issu e. There is a risk that an issu er
m ight be u nable to roll ov er the paper w here there is a lack of inv estor
interest in the new issu e. To prov ide protection against this risk
issu ers often arrange a standby line of credit from a bank , norm ally
for all of the CP program m e, to draw against in the ev ent that it
cannot place a new issu e.
M
P 2 12
Day s
1 r
Year
r
rd 2 13
Day s
1 r
Year
rd
r 2 14
Day s
1 rd
Year
w here M is the face v alu e of the instru m ent, rd is the discou nt rate
and r the tru e y ield.
Example 2.4
on its assets. Secu ritized produ cts are not m oney m ark et instru -
m ents, and althou gh ABCP is, m ost tex tbook s treat ABCP as part
of the stru ctu red produ cts m ark et rather than as a m oney m ark et
produ ct.
Generally , secu ritization is u sed as a fu nding instru m ent by
com panies for three m ain reasons : it offers low er cost fu nding
com pared w ith a traditional bank loan or bond fi nancing; it is a
m echanism by w hich assets su ch as corporate loans or m ortgages
can be rem ov ed from the balance sheet, thu s im prov ing the lender’s
retu rn on assets or retu rn on equ ity ratios; and it increases a
borrow er’s fu nding options. When entering into secu ritization, an
entity m ay issu e term secu rities against assets into the pu blic or
priv ate m ark et, or it m ay issu e com m ercial paper v ia a special
v ehicle k now n as a conduit. These condu its are u su ally sponsored
by com m ercial bank s.
Entities u su ally access the com m ercial paper m ark et in order to
secu re perm anent fi nancing, rolling ov er indiv idu al issu es as part
of a longer term programme and u sing interest rate sw aps to arrange a
fi x ed rate if requ ired. Conv entional CP issu es are ty pically su pported
by a line of credit from a com m ercial bank , and so this form of
fi nancing is in effect a form of bank fu nding. Issu ing ABCP
enables an originator to benefi t from m oney m ark et fi nancing
that it m ight otherw ise not hav e access to becau se its credit
rating is not su ffi ciently strong. A bank m ay also issu e ABCP for
balance sheet or fu nding reasons . ABCP trades, how ev er, ex actly as
conv entional CP. The adm inistration and legal treatm ent is m ore
onerou s, how ev er, becau se of the need to establish the CP tru st
stru ctu re and issu ing SPV. The serv icing of an ABCP program m e
follow s that of conv entional CP and is carried ou t by the sam e
entities, su ch as the ‘Tru st’ arm s of bank s su ch as Deu tsche Bank
and Bank of New York Mellon.
Ex am ple 2.5 (see p. 46) details a hy pothetical ABCP issu e and ty pical
stru ctu re.
Basic characteristics
Ass et-back ed CP program m es are inv ariably issu ed ou t of specially
incorporated legal entities (the SPV, som etim es called the SPC for
special pu rpose corporation), w hich in the m oney m ark ets are
k now n as condu its. They are ty pically established by com m erical
bank s and fi nance com panies to enable them to access Libor-based
THE MONEY MARKETS 45
it is a bank ru ptcy -rem ote legal entity that issu es com m ercial
paper to fi nance a pu rchase of assets from a seller of assets;
the interest on the CP issu ed by the condu it, and its principal on
m atu rity , w ill be paid ou t of the receipts on the assets pu rchased
by the condu it;
condu its hav e also been set u p to ex ploit credit arbitrage
opportu nities, su ch as raising fi nance at Libor to inv est in
high-qu ality assets su ch as inv estm ent-grade-rated stru ctu red
fi nance secu rities that pay abov e Libor.
The assets that can be fu nded v ia a condu it program m e are m any and
v aried; to date they hav e inclu ded:
trade receiv ables and equ ipm ent lease receiv ables;
credit card receiv ables;
au to loans and leases;
corporate loans; franchise loans, m ortgage loans;
real estate leases;
fu tu re (ex pected) cashfl ow s.
Condu its are class ifi ed into a ‘program m e ty pe’, w hich refers to the
m ak eu p of the u nderly ing asset portfolio. This can be single-s eller or
m u lti-seller, w hich indicates how m any institu tions or entities are
selling assets to the condu it. They are also designated as fu nding or
secu rities credit arbitrage v ehicles.
A special class of condu it k now n as a stru ctu red inv estm ent v ehicle
(SIV, som etim es called a special inv estm ent v ehicle) w as introdu ced
that issu ed both CP and m ediu m -term notes (MTNs), u s ed to fu nd
the pu rchase of longer dated assets su ch as ABS and CDO secu rities.
Thes e w ere described as ‘credit arbitrage v ehicles’ bu t w ere as m u ch
fu nding arbitrage v ehicles. They w ere the fi rst casu alties of the
2007–2008 fi nancial crisis and w ere either w ou nd u p or consolidated
by their parent bank s. The v ehicles are now ex tinct and as a concept
the SIV has been debu nk ed.
Figu re 2.7 illu strates a ty pical ABCP stru ctu re issu ing to the USCP
and ECP m ark ets.
46 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
transaction is Tru st Bank Lim ited, w ho act as secu rity tru stee and
represent the inv estors in the ev ent of defau lt.
Borrowers
ABC Bank
( seller)
ABC Bank
( hedge provider) CP $
Trust Bank
MC Investment
Bank
( CP dealer)
CP $
CP investors
REPO
The term repo is u sed to cov er one of tw o different transactions ,
the classic repo and the sell/buyback, and som etim es is spok en of
in the sam e contex t as a sim ilar instru m ent, the stock loan. A
fou rth instru m ent is also econom ically sim ilar in som e respects
to a repo, k now n as the total return swap, w hich is now com m only
encou ntered as part of the m ark et in credit deriv ativ es. How ev er,
althou gh these transactions differ in term s of their m echanics, legal
docu m entation and accou nting treatm ent, the econom ic effect of
each of them is v ery sim ilar. The stru ctu re of any particu lar m ark et
and the m otiv ations of particu lar cou nterparties w ill determ ine
w hich transaction is entered into; there is also som e crossov er
betw een m ark ets and participants .
THE MONEY MARKETS 49
Definition
A repo agreem ent is a transaction in w hich one party sells secu rities
to another, and at the sam e tim e and as part of the sam e transaction
com m its to repu rchas e identical secu rities on a specifi ed date at a
specifi ed price. The seller deliv ers secu rities and receiv es cash from
the bu y er. The cash is su pplied at a predeterm ined rate – the repo
rate – that rem ains constant du ring the term of the trade. On
m atu rity the original seller receiv es back collateral of equ iv alent
ty pe and qu ality , and retu rns the cash plu s repo interest. One
party to the repo requ ires either the cash or the secu rities and
prov ides collateral to the other party , as w ell as som e form of
com pensation for the tem porary u se of the desired asset. Althou gh
legal title to the secu rities is transferred, the seller retains both the
econom ic benefi ts and the m ark et risk of ow ning them . This m eans
that the ‘seller’ w ill su ffer if the m ark et v alu e of the collateral drops
du ring the term of the repo, as she still retains benefi cial ow ners hip
of the collateral. The ‘bu y er’ in a repo is not affected in P&L
accou nt term s if the v alu e of the collateral drops, althou gh there
are other concerns for the bu y er if this happens.
We shall u se the term ‘sell/bu y back ’ throu ghou t this book . A repo is still a
repo w hether it is cash-driv en or stock -driv en, and one person’s stock -
driv en trade m ay w ell be another’s cash-driv en one.
50 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
We hav e giv en here the legal defi nition of repo. How ev er, the pu rpose
of the transaction as w e hav e described abov e is to borrow or lend
cash, w hich is w hy w e hav e u sed inv erted com m as w hen referring to
sellers and bu y ers. The ‘seller’ of stock is really interested in borrow -
ing cash, on w hich (s)he w ill pay interest at a specifi ed interest rate.
The ‘bu y er’ requ ires secu rity or collateral against the loan he has
adv anced, and/or the specifi c secu rity to borrow for a period of tim e.
The fi rst and m ost im portant thing to state is that repo is a secu red
loan of cash, and w ou ld be categorized as a m oney m ark et y ield
instru m ent. 7
That is, a m oney m ark et instru m ent qu oted on a y ield instru m ent, sim ilar
to a bank deposit or a CD. The other class of m oney m ark et produ cts are
discount instru m ents su ch as T-bills or CP.
THE MONEY MARKETS 51
am ou nt of secu rities in ex change for cash. 8 The price receiv ed for the
secu rities is the m ark et v alu e of the stock on the v alu e date. The
agreem ent also dem ands that on the term ination date Bank B w ill
sell identical stock back to Bank A at the prev iou sly agreed price,
and, consequ ently , Bank B w ill hav e its cash retu rned w ith interest at
the agreed repo rate.
In essence, a repo agreem ent is a secu red loan (or collateralized loan)
in w hich the repo rate refl ects the interest charged.
On the v alu e date, stock and cash change hands. This is k now n as the
start date, first leg or opening leg, w hile the term ination date is
k now n as the second leg or closing leg. When the cash is retu rned
to Bank B, it is accom panied by the interest charged on the cash
du ring the term of the trade. This interest is calcu lated at a specifi ed
rate k now n as the repo rate. It is im portant to rem em ber that,
althou gh in legal term s the stock is initially ‘sold’ to Bank B, the
econom ic effects of ow ners hip are retained w ith Bank A. This m eans
that if the stock falls in price it is Bank A that w ill su ffer a capital
loss. Sim ilarly , if the stock inv olv ed is a bond and there is a cou pon
pay m ent du ring the term of trade, this cou pon is to the benefi t of
Bank A and, althou gh Bank B w ill hav e receiv ed it on the cou pon
date, it m u st be handed ov er on the sam e day or im m ediately after to
Bank A. This refl ects the fact that, althou gh legal title to the col-
lateral passes to the repo bu y er, the econom ic costs and benefi ts of
the collateral rem ain w ith the seller.
The tw o term s are not necessarily sy nony m ou s. The v alu e date in a trade
is the date on w hich the transaction acqu ires v alu e – for ex am ple, the date
from w hich accru ed interest is calcu lated. As su ch it m ay fall on a non-
bu siness day – su ch as a w eek end or pu blic holiday . The settlem ent date is
the day on w hich the transaction settles or clears, and so can only fall on a
w ork ing day .
52 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Note that the gu idelines to the sy llabu s for the Chartered Financial
Analy st ex am ination, w hich is set by the Association for Inv estm ent
Managem ent and Research, defi nes repo and rev erse repo slightly differ-
ently . Essentially , a ‘repo’ is condu cted by a bank cou nterparty and a
‘rev erse repo’ is condu cted by an inv estm ent cou nterparty or non-fi nancial
cou nterparty . Another defi nition states that a ‘repo’ is any trade w here the
bank cou nterparty is offering stock (borrow ing cash) and a ‘rev erse repo’ is
any trade w here the non-bank cou nterparty is borrow ing cash. The au thor
does not m ak e this distinction; by defi nition ev ery repo is a ‘rev erse repo’
for the other side.
THE MONEY MARKETS 53
The repo cou nterparty deliv ers to the rev erse repo cou nterparty
£10 m illion nom inal of the stock , and in retu rn receiv es the pu rchase
proceeds. In this ex am ple no m argin has been tak en, so the start
proceeds are equ al to the m ark et v alu e of the stock w hich is
£10,539,928. It is com m on for a rou nded su m to be transferred on
the opening leg. The repo interest is 4.50% , so the repo interest
charged for the trade is:
7
10,539,928 4 50%
365
or £40,282.74. The sterling m ark et day -cou nt basis is actu al/365, so
the repo interest is based on a 7-day repo rate of 4.50% . Repo rates are
agreed at the tim e of the trade and are qu oted, lik e all interest rates,
on an annu alized basis. The settlem ent price (dirty price) is u sed
becau se it is the m ark et v alu e of the bonds on the particu lar trade
date and therefore indicates the cash v alu e of the gilts. By doing this,
the cash inv estor m inim izes credit ex posu re by equ ating the v alu e of
the cash and the collateral.
On term ination the repo cou nterparty receiv es back its stock , for
w hich it hands ov er the original proceeds plu s the repo interest
calcu lated abov e.
Mark et participants w ho are fam iliar w ith the Bloom berg LP trading
sy stem w ill u se screen RRRA for a class ic repo transaction. For this
ex am ple the relev ant screen entries are show n at Figu re 2.11. This
screen is u sed in conju nction w ith a specifi c stock , so in this case it
w ou ld be called u p by entering:
UKT 5 12 GOVT RRRA GO
w here ‘UKT’ is the tick er for UK gilts. Note that the date form at for
Bloom berg screens is m m /dd/y y . The screen inpu ts are relativ ely
self-ex planatory , w ith the u ser entering the term s of the trade that
are detailed in Table 2.2. There is also a fi eld for calcu lating m argin,
labelled ‘collateral’ on the screen. As no m argin is inv olv ed in this
ex am ple, it is left at its defau lt v alu e of 100.00% . The bottom of the
screen show s the opening leg cash proceeds or ‘w ired am ou nt’, the
repo interest and the term ination proceeds.
The repo rate for the trade is the 1-m onth rate of 4.50% , as show n in
Figu re 2.12, w hich is the HBOS repo rates screen as at 2 Decem ber
2005. 10
The au thor u sed to deal w ith Leeds Perm anent Bu ilding Society , w hose
rates screen he m ade u se of in the early 1990s. This becam e Halifax plc and
then HBOS. Sadly , these entities are no longer w ith u s, bu t the HBOS
screen has been retained for nostalgic reasons.
56 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Figure 2.13 Bloom berg screen for classic repo trade described on
this page.
Bloom berg Finance L.P. All rights reserv ed. Used w ith perm ission.
inv ested. Therefore, the nom inal v alu e of the gilt collateral requ ired
w ill be different, as w e now requ ire a m ark et v alu e of this stock of
£10 m illion. From the screen w e see that this is £9,487,773.00. The
cash am ou nt is different from the ex am ple at Figu re 2.14, so of cou rse
the repo interest charged is different and is £38,219.18 for the 1-
m onth term .
The diagram at Figu re 2.14 illu strates the transaction.
This is the PSA/ISMA Global Master Repu rchase Agreem ent, w hich is
rev iew ed in the au thor’s book Introduction to Repo Markets, 3rd edition,
part of this series by John Wiley & Sons.
58 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
In this ex am ple, one cou nterparty sells £10 m illion nom inal of the
UKT 5% 2012 at the spot price of 104.17, this being the m ark et price
of the bond at the tim e. The consideration for this trade is the m ark et
v alu e of the stock , w hich is £10,539,928.18 as before. Repo interest is
calcu lated on this am ou nt at the rate of 4.50% for 1 m onth, and from
this the term ination proceeds are calcu lated. The term ination pro-
ceeds are div ided by the nom inal am ou nt of stock to obtain the
forw ard dirty price of the bond on the term ination date. For v ariou s
reasons – the m ain one being that settlem ent sy stem s deal in clean
prices – w e requ ire the forw ard clean price, w hich is obtained by
su btracting the accru ed interest on the bond on the term ination date
The Bank of England discou rages sell/bu y back s in the gilt repo and it is
u nu su al to observ e them in this m ark et. How ev er, w e u se these term s of
trade for com parison w ith the classic repo ex am ple giv en in the prev iou s
section.
THE MONEY MARKETS 59
Figure 2.16 Bloom berg screen BSR for sell/bu y back trade in 5%
2012.
Bloom berg Finance L.P. All rights reserv ed. Used w ith perm ission.
from the forw ard dirty price. At the start of the trade, the 5% 2012
had 89 day s’ accru ed interest, therefore on term ination this fi gu re
w ill be 89 31 or 120 day s.
Bloom berg u sers access a different screen for sell/bu y back s, w hich is
BSR. This is show n at Figu re 2.16. Entering in the term s of the trade,
w e see from Figu re 2.16 that the forw ard price is 104.144. How ev er,
the fu ndam ental elem ent of this transaction is ev ident from the
bottom part of the screen: the settlem ent am ou nt (‘w ired
am ou nt’), repo interest and term ination am ou nt are identical to
the classic repo trade described earlier. This is not su rprising; the
sell/bu y back is a loan of £10.539 m illion for 1 m onth at an interest
rate of 4.50% . The m echanics of the trade do not im pact on this k ey
point.
Figure 2.17 Bloom berg screen BSR page 2 for sell/bu y back trade in
5.75% 2009.
2009 Bloom berg Finance L.P. All rights reserv ed. Used w ith perm ission.
later, bu t w e can see from the screen details that du ring the 1 m onth
of the trade the bond position has accru ed interest of £165,745.00.
This com pares fav ou rably w ith the repo fu nding cost of £122,928.18.
The fu nding cost is therefore below the accru ed interest gained on
the bondholding, as show n in the screen.
If there is a cou pon pay m ent du ring a sell/bu y back trade and it is not
paid ov er to the seller u ntil term ination, a com pensating am ou nt is
also pay able on the cou pon am ou nt, u su ally at the trade’ s repo
rate. When calcu lating the forw ard price on a sell/bu y back w here
a cou pon w ill be paid du ring the trade, w e m u st su btract the cou pon
am ou nt from the forw ard price. Note also that sell/bu y back s are not
possible on an open basis, as no forw ard price can be calcu lated
u nless a term ination date is k now n.
Repo collateral
The collateral in a repo trade is the secu rity passed to the lender
of cash by the borrow er of cash. It is not alw ay s secondary to the
THE MONEY MARKETS 61
The m ost com m only encou ntered collateral is gov ernm ent bonds ,
and the repo m ark et in gov ernm ent bonds is the largest in the
w orld. Other form s of collateral inclu de Eu robonds, other form s of
corporate and su pranational debt, asset-back ed bonds, m ortgage-
back ed bonds , m oney m ark et secu rities su ch as T-bills, and equ ities.
Where a cou pon pay m ent is receiv ed on collateral du ring the term of
a repo, it is to the benefi t of the repo seller. Under the standard repo
legal agreem ent, legal title to collateral is transferred to the bu y er
du ring the term of the repo, bu t it is accepted that the econom ic
benefi ts rem ain w ith the seller. For this reason, cou pon is retu rned
to the seller. In class ic repo (and in stock lending) the cou pon is
So that ev en in a stock -driv en rev erse repo the collateral is the secu rity
handed ov er against the borrow ing of cash by the repo seller.
62 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
retu rned to the seller on the div idend date, or in som e cases on the
follow ing date. In a sell/bu y back the effect of the cou pon is incorpo-
rated in the repu rchas e price. This inclu des interest on the cou pon
am ou nt that is pay able by the bu y er du ring the period from the
cou pon date to the bu y back date.
Margin
To redu ce the lev el of risk ex posu re in a repo transaction, it is
com m on for the lender of cash to ask for a m argin, w hich is
w here the m ark et v alu e of collateral is higher than the cash v alu e
of cash lent ou t in the repo. This is a form of protection, shou ld the
cash-borrow ing cou nterparty defau lt on the loan. Another term for
m argin is overcollateralization or a haircut. There are tw o ty pes of
m argin: initial margin tak en at the start of the trade and variation
margin w hich is called if requ ired du ring the term of the trade.
Initial margin
The cash proceeds in a repo are ty pically no m ore than the m ark et
v alu e of the collateral. This m inim izes credit ex posu re by equ ating
the v alu e of the cash to that of the collateral. The m ark et v alu e of the
collateral is calcu lated at its dirty price, not clean price – that is,
inclu ding accru ed interest. This is referred to as accrual pricing.
To calcu late the accru ed interest on the (bond) collateral w e
requ ire the day -cou nt basis for the particu lar bond.
THE MONEY MARKETS 63
The start proceeds of a repo can be less than the m ark et v alu e of the
collateral by an agreed am ou nt or percentage. This is k now n as the
initial margin or haircut. The initial m argin protects the bu y er
against
In both class ic repo and sell/bu y back , any initial m argin is giv en to
the su pplier of cash in the transaction. This rem ains the case in the
case of specifi c repo. For initial m argin the m ark et v alu e of the bond
collateral is redu ced (or giv en a haircut) by the percentage of the
initial m argin and the nom inal v alu e determ ined from this redu ced
am ou nt. In a stock loan transaction the lender of stock w ill ask for
m argin.
There are tw o m ethods for calcu lating m argin; for a 2% m argin this
cou ld be one of the follow ing:
The tw o m ethods do not giv e the sam e v alu e! The RRRA repo page
on Bloom berg u ses the second m ethod for its calcu lations , and this
m ethod is tu rning into som ething of a conv ention.
For a 2% m argin lev el the PSA/ISMA GRMA defi nes a ‘m argin ratio’
as:
Collateral v alu e
102%
Cash
the credit qu ality of the cou nterparty su pply ing the collateral –
for ex am ple, a central bank cou nterparty , interbank cou nterparty
and corporate w ill all su ggest different m argin lev els;
64 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
How ev er, in the fi nal analy sis, m argin is requ ired to gu ard against
m ark et risk , the risk that the v alu e of collateral w ill drop du ring the
cou rse of the repo. Therefore, the m argin call m u st refl ect the risk s
prev alent in the m ark et at the tim e; ex trem ely v olatile m ark et
conditions m ay call for large increases in initial m argin.
Variation m argin
The m ark et v alu e of collateral is m aintained throu gh the u se of
variation margin. So, if the m ark et v alu e of collateral falls, the
bu y er calls for ex tra cash or collateral. If the m ark et v alu e of
collateral rises, the seller calls for ex tra cash or collateral. In order
to redu ce the adm inistrativ e bu rden, m argin calls can be lim ited to
changes in the m ark et v alu e of collateral in ex cess of an agreed
am ou nt or percentage, w hich is called a margin maintenance
limit.
The standard m ark et docu m entation that ex ists for the three
stru ctu res cov ered so far inclu des clau ses that allow parties to a
transaction to call for v ariation m argin du ring the term of a repo.
This can be in the form of ex tra collateral, if the v alu e of collateral
has dropped in relation to the asset ex changed, or a retu rn of col-
lateral, if the v alu e has risen. If the cash-borrow ing cou nterparty is
u nable to su pply m ore collateral w here requ ired, he w ill hav e to
retu rn a portion of the cash loan. Both parties hav e an interest in
m ak ing and m eeting m argin calls, althou gh there is no obligation.
The lev el at w hich v ariation m argin is triggered is often agreed
beforehand in the legal agreem ent pu t in place betw een indiv idu al
cou nterparties. Althou gh prim arily v iew ed as an instru m ent u sed by
the su pplier of cash against a fall in the v alu e of the collateral,
v ariation m argin can of cou rse also be called by the repo seller if
the v alu e of the collateral has risen.
THE MONEY MARKETS 65
Chapter
3
THE YIELD CURVE
68 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
y ield cu rv e is u sed to price new -iss u e secu rities, rather than the
redem ption y ield cu rv e.
The y ield-to-m atu rity y ield cu rv e is the m ost com m only observ ed
cu rv e sim ply becau se y ield to m atu rity is the m ost frequ ent m easu re
of retu rn u s ed. The bu s iness sections of daily new spapers – if they
qu ote bond y ield at all – u su ally qu ote bond y ields to m atu rity .
The y ield-to-m atu rity y ield cu rv e contains som e inaccu racies. This
is becau se the y ield-to-m atu rity m easu re has one large w eak nes s: the
assu m ption of a constant discou nt rate for cou pons du ring the bond’s
life at the redem ption y ield lev el. In other w ords, w e discou nt all the
cashfl ow s of the bond at one discou nt rate. This is not a realistic
assu m ption to m ak e becau se w e k now , ju st as night follow s day , that
interest rates in 6 m onth’s tim e (u sed to discou nt the cou pon du e in
6 m onths) w ill not be the sam e as the interest rate prev ailing in
2 y ears’ tim e (u sed to discou nt the 2-y ear cou pon). Bu t w e m ak e this
assu m ption, nev ertheless – for the sak e of conv enience. How ev er,
the u pshot of all this is that redem ption y ield is not the tru e interest
rate for its particu lar m atu rity .
By the w ay , this giv es rise to a featu re k now n as reinvestment risk:
the risk that – w hen w e reinv es t each bond cou pon as it is paid – the
interest rate at w hich w e inv est it w ill not be the sam e as the
redem ption y ield prev ailing on the day w e bou ght the bond. We
m u st accept this risk , u nless w e bu y a strip or zero-coupon bond.
Only zero-cou pon bondholders av oid reinv es tm ent risk as no cou pon
is paid du ring the life of their bond.
For the reasons w e hav e discu s sed, the professional w holesale
m ark et often u ses other ty pes of y ield cu rv e for analy sis w hen the
y ield-to-m atu rity y ield cu rv e is deem ed u nsu itable – u su ally , the
zero-cou pon y ield cu rv e. This is the y ield cu rv e constru cted from
zero-cou pon y ields ; it is also k now n as the term stru ctu re of interest
rates. We constru ct a zero-cou pon cu rv e from bond prices and re-
dem ption y ields .
specifi c bond w e bu y . The au thor feels that this theory is not alw ay s
the case, despite being m athem atically neat; how ev er, it is w orth
spending a few m om ents discu s sing it and related points. Generally ,
holding period returns from longer dated bonds are on av erage higher
than those from short-dated bonds. Intu itiv ely , w e w ou ld ex pect
this, w ith longer dated bonds offering higher retu rns to com pensate
for their higher price v olatility (risk ). The local ex pectations hy poth-
esis w ou ld not agree w ith the conv entional belief that inv estors,
being risk -av ers e, requ ire higher retu rns as a rew ard for tak ing on
higher risk ; in addition, it does not prov ide any insight into the shape
of the y ield cu rv e. Essentially thou gh, in theory one shou ld ex pect
that the retu rn from holding any bond for a 6-m onth period w ill be
the sam e irrespectiv e of the term to m atu rity and y ield that the bond
has at tim e of pu rchase.
‘ in an econom ic equ ilibriu m , the retu rns on sim ilar m atu rity
zero-cou pon bonds cannot be too different. If they w ere too dif-
ferent, no inv estor w ou ld hold the bond w ith the sm aller retu rn.
This difference cou ld not persist in an econom ic equ ilibriu m .’
‘In the real w orld it is u su ally the case that annu alised shorter-
term risk less retu rns are low er than longer-term risk less retu rns
Real assets w ith shorter-term pay ou ts w ill tend to hav e a
‘‘liqu idity ’’ adv antage. In aggregate this adv antage w ill be
passed on to shorter-term fi nancial claim s on real assets [w hich
resu lts in them hav ing a low er retu rn].’
estim ators of fu tu re spot interest rates. 1 It assu m es that inv estors act
in a w ay that elim inates any adv antage of holding instru m ents of a
particu lar m atu rity . Therefore, if w e hav e a positiv e-sloping y ield
cu rv e, the u nbiased ex pectations hy pothesis states that the m ark et
ex pects spot interest rates to rise. Equ ally , an inv erted y ield cu rv e is
an indication that spot rates are ex pected to fall. If short-term inter-
est rates are ex pected to rise, then longer y ields shou ld be higher than
shorter ones to refl ect this. If this w ere not the case, inv estors w ou ld
only bu y the shorter dated bonds and roll ov er the inv estm ent w hen
they m atu red. Lik ew ise if rates are ex pected to fall then longer y ields
shou ld be low er than short y ields. The u nbiased ex pectations hy -
pothesis states that the long-term interest rate is a geom etric av erage
of ex pected fu tu re short-term rates.
Using elem entary m athem atics w e can prov e this theory . Indeed, its
prem ise m u st be so, to ensu re no arbitrage opportu nities ex ist in the
m ark et. The hy pothesis can be u sed to ex plain any shape in the y ield
cu rv e.
Therefore, a rising y ield cu rv e is ex plained by inv estors ex pecting
short-term interest rates to rise. A falling y ield cu rv e is ex plained
by inv estors ex pecting short-term rates to be low er in the fu tu re. A
hu m ped y ield cu rv e is ex plained by inv estors ex pecting short-term
interest rates to rise and long-term rates to fall. Expectations, or
v iew s on the fu tu re direction of the m ark et, are a fu nction m ainly
of the ex pected rate of infl ation. If the m ark et ex pects infl ationary
pressu res in the fu tu re, the y ield cu rv e w ill be positiv ely shaped,
w hile if infl ation ex pectations are inclined tow ards disinfl ation, then
the y ield cu rv e w ill be negativ e. Sev eral em pirical stu dies inclu ding
one by Fam a (1976) hav e show n that forw ard rates are essentially
biased predictors of fu tu re spot interest rates, and often ov erestim ate
fu tu re lev els of spot rates. The u nbiased hy pothesis has also been
criticized for su ggesting that inv estors can forecast (or hav e a v iew
on) v ery long-dated spot interest rates, w hich m ight be considered
slightly u nrealistic. As y ield cu rv es in m ost dev eloped cou ntry
m ark ets ex ist to a m atu rity of u p to 30 y ears or longer, su ch
criticism s m ay hav e som e su bstance. Are inv estors able to forecast
interest rates 10, 20 or 30 y ears into the fu tu re? Perhaps not, nev er-
theles s this is indeed the inform ation content of, say , a 30-y ear bond;
since the y ield on the bond is set by the m ark et, it is v alid to su ggest
For the original discu ssion, see Lu tz (1940) and Fisher (1986), althou gh the
latter form u lated his ideas earlier.
76 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
that the m ark et has a v iew on infl ation and fu tu re interest rates for
u p to 30 y ears forw ard.
The ex pectations hy pothesis is stated in m ore than one w ay ; w e
hav e already encou ntered the local ex pectations hy pothesis . Other
v ersions inclu de the return-to-maturity ex pectations hy pothesis,
w hich states that total retu rn from holding a zero-cou pon bond to
m atu rity w ill be equ al to total retu rn that is generated by holding a
short-term instru m ent and continu ou sly rolling it ov er the sam e
m atu rity period. A related v ersion – the yield-to-maturity
hy pothesis – states that the periodic retu rn from holding a zero-
cou pon bond w ill be equ al to the retu rn from rolling ov er a series
of cou pon bonds , bu t refers to annu alized retu rn earned each y ear
rather than total retu rn earned ov er the life of the bond. This
assu m ption enables a zero-cou pon y ield cu rv e to be deriv ed
from the redem ption y ields of cou pon bonds . The u nbiased ex -
pectations hy pothesis of cou rse states that forw ard rates are equ al
to the spot rates ex pected by the m ark et in the fu tu re. Cox , Ingers oll
and Ross (1981) su ggest that only the local ex pectations hy pothesis
describes a m odel that is pu rely arbitrage-free, as u nder the other
scenarios it w ou ld be possible to em ploy certain inv estm ent
strategies that w ou ld produ ce retu rns in ex cess of w hat w as
im plied by today ’s y ields . Althou gh it has been su ggested 2 that
differences betw een the local and u nbiased hy potheses are not
m aterial a m odel that describes su ch a scenario w ou ld not refl ect
inv estors’ beliefs, w hich is w hy fu rther research is requ ired in this
area.
The u nbiased ex pectations hy pothesis does not in itself ex plain all
the shapes of the y ield cu rv e or the inform ation content contained
w ithin it, w hich is w hy it is often com bined w ith other ex planations
w hen seek ing to ex plain the shape of the y ield cu rv e, inclu ding the
liqu idity preference theory .
Segmentation hypothesis
Capital m ark ets are m ade u p of a w ide v ariety of u sers, each w ith
different requ irem ents. Certain classes of inv estors w ill prefer
dealing at the shorter end of the y ield cu rv e, w hile others w ill
concentrate on the longer end of the m ark et. The segmented
markets theory su ggests that activ ity is concentrated in certain
specifi c areas of the m ark et and that there are no interrelationships
betw een these parts of the m ark et; the relativ e am ou nts of fu nds
inv ested in each of the m atu rity spectra cau ses differentials in su pply
and dem and, w hich resu lts in hu m ps in the y ield cu rv e. That is, the
shape of the y ield cu rv e is determ ined by su pply and dem and for
certain specifi c m atu rity inv estm ents , each of w hich has no
reference to any other part of the cu rv e.
For ex am ple, bank s and bu ilding societies concentrate a large part of
their activ ity at the short end of the cu rv e, as part of daily cash
m anagem ent (k now n as asset and liability management) and for
regu latory pu rposes (k now n as liquidity requ irem ents). How ev er,
fu nd m anagers su ch as pension fu nds and insu rance com panies
are activ e at the long end of the m ark et. Bu t, few institu tional
inv estors hav e any preference for m ediu m -dated bonds . This behav -
iou r on the part of inv estors w ill lead to high prices (low y ields ) at
both the short and long ends of the y ield cu rv e and low er prices
(higher y ields) in the m iddle of the term stru ctu re.
According to the segm ented m ark ets hy pothesis a separate m ark et
ex ists for specifi c m atu rities along the term stru ctu re, hence interest
rates for these m atu rities are set by su pply and dem and. 4 Where there
is no dem and for a particu lar m atu rity , the y ield w ill lie abov e other
segm ents. Mark et participants do not hold bonds in any other area of
the cu rv e ou tside their area of interest 5 so that short-dated and long-
dated bond y ields ex ist independently of each other. The segm ented
m ark ets theory is u su ally illu strated by reference to bank s and life
assu rance com panies. Bank s and bu ilding societies u su ally hold
The segm ented m ark ets theory can be u sed to ex plain any particu lar
shape of the y ield cu rv e, althou gh it perhaps fi ts best w ith positiv e-
sloping cu rv es. How ev er, it cannot be u sed to interpret the y ield
cu rv e w hatev er shape it m ay be, and therefore offers no inform ation
content du ring analy sis. By defi nition, the theory su ggests that – for
inv estors – bonds w ith different m atu rities are not perfect su bsti-
tu tes for each other. This is becau se different bonds w ou ld hav e
different holding period retu rns, m ak ing them im perfect su bstitu tes
for one another. 6 As a resu lt of bonds being im perfect su bstitu tes,
m ark ets are segm ented according to m atu rity .
Ibid.
80 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Of cou rse, m ark ets are not perfect in practice. How ev er, assu m ing
perfect m ark ets m ak es the discu ssion of the term stru ctu re easier to
handle. When w e analy se y ield cu rv es for their inform ation content,
w e hav e to rem em ber that the m ark ets that they represent are not
perfect, and that frequ ently w e observ e anom alies that cannot be
ex plained by conv entional theories.
inv olv ed. In the UK betw een Ju ly 1997 and Ju ne 1999 the gilt y ield
cu rv e w as inv erted. How ev er, there w as no general v iew that the
econom y w as heading for recess ion; in fact, the new Labou r gov ern-
m ent (or shou ld that be New Labou r?) inherited an econom y believ ed
to be in good health. Instead, the ex planation behind the inv erted
shape of the gilt y ield cu rv e focu sed on tw o other factors: fi rst, the
handing of responsibility for setting interest rates to the Monetary
Policy Com m ittee (MPC) of the Bank of England and, second, the
ex pectation that the UK w ou ld abandon sterling ov er the m ediu m
term and adopt the eu ro. The y ield cu rv e at this tim e su ggested that
the m ark et ex pected the MPC to be su ccess fu l and k eep infl ation at a
lev el arou nd 2.5% ov er the long term (its target is actu ally the 1%
range either side of 2.5% ); it also su ggested that sterling interest
rates w ou ld need to com e dow n ov er the m ediu m term as part of
convergence w ith conditions in Eu rope’s eu ro cu rrency area.
How ev er, these w ere both m ediu m -term ex pectations and in the
au thor’s v iew not tenable at the short end of the y ield cu rv e. In
fact, the term stru ctu re m ov ed to a positiv e-sloped shape u p to
the 6-to-7-y ear area, before inv erting ou t to the long end of the
cu rv e, in Ju ne 1999. By the beginning of 2002 it had assu m ed a
conv entional positiv e-sloping shape. This is a m ore logical shape
for the cu rv e to assu m e.
Interest rate sw aps are deriv ativ e instru m ents u sed in professional
w holesale m ark ets to change the basis of an interest rate liability ; they
are also u sed for specu lativ e trading pu rposes. We don’t need to w orry abou t
them .
THE YIELD CURVE 83
Gov ernm ent policy w ill infl u ence the shape and lev el of the y ield
cu rv e, inclu ding its policy on pu blic sector borrow ing, debt m anage-
m ent and open-m ark et operations. The m ark et’s perception of the
size of pu blic sector debt w ill infl u ence bond y ields – for instance, an
increase in the lev el of debt can lead to an increase in bond y ields
across the m atu rity range. Open-m ark et operations – that is, the
Bank of England’s daily operations to control the m oney su pply
(to w hich end the Bank pu rchases short-term bills and also
engages in repo dealing) – can hav e a nu m ber of effects. In the
short term they can tilt the y ield cu rv e both u pw ards and dow n-
w ards ; in the longer term , changes in the lev el of the base rate w ill
affect y ield lev els. An anticipated rise in base rates can lead to a drop
in prices for short-term bonds , w hose y ields w ill be ex pected to rise;
this can lead to a tem porary inv erted cu rv e. Finally , debt m anage-
m ent policy w ill infl u enc e the y ield cu rv e. Mu ch gov ernm ent debt is
rolled ov er as it m atu res, bu t the m atu rity of the replacem ent debt
can hav e a signifi cant infl u ence on the y ield cu rv e in the form of
hu m ps in the m ark et segm ent in w hich the debt is placed, as long as
the debt is priced by the m ark et at a relativ ely low price and hence
high y ield.
Spot y ields m u st com ply w ith equ ation (3.1). This equ ation assu m es
annu al cou pon pay m ents and that the calcu lation is carried ou t on a
84 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
N
C D fn M D fN 31
n 1
w here
rsn Spot or zero-cou pon y ield on a bond w ith t y ears to
m atu rity ;
D fn 1 1 rsn n Corresponding discount factor.
In equ ation (3.1), rs1 is the cu rrent 1-y ear spot y ield, rs2 the cu rrent
2-y ear spot y ield and so on. Theoretically , the spot y ield for a par-
ticu lar term to m atu rity is the sam e as the y ield on a zero-cou pon
bond of the sam e m atu rity , w hich is w hy spot y ields are also k now n
as zero-cou pon y ields .
This last resu lt is im portant. It m eans spot y ields can be deriv ed from
redem ption y ields that hav e been observ ed in the m ark et.
As w ith the y ield-to-redem ption y ield cu rv e the spot y ield cu rv e is
com m only u sed in the m ark et. It is v iew ed as the tru e term stru ctu re
of interest rates becau se there is no reinv es tm ent risk inv olv ed; the
stated y ield is equ al to actu al annu al retu rn. That is, the y ield on a
zero-cou pon bond of n y ears m atu rity is regarded as the tru e n-y ear
interest rate. Becau se the observ ed gov ernm ent bond redem ption
y ield cu rv e is not considered to be the tru e interest rate, analy sts
often constru ct a theoretical spot y ield cu rv e. Essentially , this is
done by break ing dow n each cou pon bond being observ ed into its
constitu ent cashfl ow s, w hich becom e a series of indiv idu al zero-
cou pon bonds . For ex am ple, £100 nom inal of a 5% 2-y ear bond
(pay ing annu al cou pons) is considered equ iv alent to £5 nom inal of
a 1-y ear zero-cou pon bond and £105 nom inal of a 2-y ear zero-cou pon
bond.
Let u s assu m e that there are 30 bonds in the m ark et all pay ing annu al
cou pons. The fi rst bond has a m atu rity of 1 y ear, the second bond of
2 y ears, and so on ou t to 30 y ears. We k now the price of each of these
bonds , bu t w e w is h to determ ine w hat the prices im ply abou t the
m ark et’s estim ate of fu tu re interest rates. We natu rally ex pect inter-
est rates to v ary ov er tim e and that all pay m ents being m ade on the
sam e date are v alu ed u sing the sam e rate. For the 1-y ear bond w e
THE YIELD CURVE 85
k now its cu rrent price and the am ou nt of the pay m ent (com prising
one cou pon pay m ent and the redem ption proceeds) w e w ill receiv e at
the end of the y ear; therefore, w e can calcu late the interest rate for
the fi rst y ear. Assu m e the 1-y ear bond has a cou pon of 5% . If the bond
is priced at par and w e inv est £100 today w e w ill receiv e £105 in one
y ear’s tim e, hence the rate of interest is apparent and is 5% . For the
2-y ear bond w e u se this interest rate to calcu late the fu tu re v alu e of
its cu rrent price in 1 y ear’s tim e: this is how much we would receive
if we had invested the same amount in the 1-year bond. How ev er,
the 2-y ear bond pay s a cou pon at the end of the fi rst y ear; if w e
su btract this am ou nt from the fu tu re v alu e of the cu rrent price,
the net am ou nt is w hat w e shou ld be giv ing u p in 1 y ear in
retu rn for the one rem aining pay m ent. From these nu m bers w e
can calcu late the interest rate in Year 2.
Ass u m e that the 2-y ear bond pay s a cou pon of 6% and is priced at
99.00. If 99.00 w as inv ested at the rate w e calcu lated for the 1-y ear
bond (5% ), it w ou ld accu m u late £103.95 in 1 y ear, m ade u p of the
£99 inv estm ent and interest of £4.95. On the pay m ent date in 1 y ear’s
tim e, the 1-y ear bond m atu res and the 2-y ear bond pay s a cou pon of
6% . If ev ery one ex pected the 2-y ear bond at this tim e to be priced at
m ore than 97.95 (w hich is 103.95 m inu s 6.00), then no inv estor
w ou ld bu y the 1-y ear bond, since it w ou ld be m ore adv antageou s
to bu y the 2-y ear bond and sell it after 1 y ear for a greater retu rn.
Sim ilarly , if the price w as less than 97.95 no inv estor w ou ld bu y the
2-y ear bond, as it w ou ld be cheaper to bu y the shorter bond and then
bu y the longer dated bond w ith the proceeds receiv ed w hen the
1-y ear bond m atu res. Therefore, the 2-y ear bond m u st be priced at
ex actly 97.95 in 12 m onths’ tim e. For this £97.95 to grow to £106.00
(the m atu rity proceeds from the 2-y ear bond, com prising the redem p-
tion pay m ent and cou pon interest), the interest rate in Year 2 m u st
be 8.20% . We can check this u sing the present v alu e form u la cov ered
earlier. At these tw o interest rates, the tw o bonds are said to be in
equ ilibriu m .
Using the price and cou pon of the 3-y ear bond w e can calcu late the
interest rate in Year 3 in precisely the sam e w ay . Using each of the
86 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
bonds in tu rn, w e can link together the implied 1-year rates for each
y ear u p to the m atu rity of the longest dated bond. The process is
k now n as boot-strapping. The ‘av erage’ rate ov er a giv en period is the
spot y ield for that term : in the ex am ple giv en abov e, the rate in Year 1
is 5% , and in Year 2 is 8.20% . An inv estm ent of £100 at these rates
w ou ld grow to £113.61. This giv es a total percentage increase of
13.61% ov er 2 y ears, or 6.588% per annu m . The av erage rate is
not obtained by sim ply div iding 13.61 by 2, bu t – u sing ou r
present v alu e relationship again – by calcu lating the squ are root
of ‘1 plu s the interest rate’ and then su btracting 1 from this
nu m ber. Thu s, the 1-y ear y ield is 5% and the 2-y ear y ield is 8.20% .
In real-w orld m ark ets it is not necessarily as straightforw ard as this;
for instance, on som e dates there m ay be sev eral bonds m atu ring,
w ith different cou pons, and on som e dates there m ay be no bonds
m atu ring. It is m ost u nlik ely that there w ill be a regu lar spacing of
bond redem ptions ex actly 1 y ear apart. For this reason it is com m on
for analy sts to u se a softw are m odel to calcu late the set of im plied
spot rates w hich best fi ts the m ark et prices of the bonds that do ex ist
in the m ark et. For instance, if there are sev eral 1-y ear bonds, each of
their prices m ay im ply a slightly different rate of interest. We choose
the rate w hich giv es the sm alles t av erage price error. In practice, all
bonds are u sed to fi nd the rate in Year 1, all bonds w ith a term longer
than 1 y ear are u sed to calcu late the rate in Year 2, and so on. The
zero-cou pon cu rv e can also be calcu lated directly from the cou pon
y ield cu rv e u sing a m ethod sim ilar to that described abov e; in this
case, the bonds w ou ld be priced at par and their cou pons set to par
y ield v alu es.
The zero-cou pon y ield cu rv e is ideal to u se w hen deriv ing im plied
forw ard rates, w hich w e consider nex t, and w hen defi ning the term
stru ctu re of interest rates. It is also the best cu rv e to u se w hen
determ ining the relative value, w hether cheap or dear, of bonds
trading in the m ark et, and w hen pricing new issu es, irrespectiv e
of their cou pons.
Arithmetic
Hav ing introdu ced the concept of the zero-cou pon cu rv e in the
prev iou s section, w e can illu strate the m athem atics inv olv ed
m ore form ally . When deriv ing spot y ields from redem ption y ields ,
w e v iew conv entional bonds as being m ade u p of an annuity (the
stream of fi x ed cou pon pay m ents ) and a zero-cou pon bond (the
THE YIELD CURVE 87
redem ption pay m ent on m atu rity ). To deriv e the rates w e can u se
equ ation (3.1), setting P d M 100 and C rmN , as show n in
equ ation (3.2). This has cou pon bonds trading at par, so that the
cou pon is equ al to the y ield:
N
100 rmN D fn 100 DN
n 1
rmN AN 100 DN 32
w here rmN is par y ield for a term to m atu rity of N y ears, the discou nt
factor D fN is the fair price of a zero-cou pon bond w ith a par v alu e of
£1 and a term to m atu rity of N y ears, and
N
AN D fn AN 1 D fN 33
n 1
is the fair price of an annu ity of £1 per y ear for N y ears (w ith A 0 0
by conv ention). Su bs titu ting equ ation (3.3) into equ ation (3.2) and
re-arranging w ill giv e u s the ex pression for the N -y ear discou nt
factor show n in equ ation (3.4):
1 rmN A N 1
D fN 34
1 rmN
If w e assu m e 1-y ear, 2-y ear and 3-y ear redem ption y ields for bonds
priced at par to be 5% , 5.25% and 5.75% , respectiv ely , w e w ill obtain
the follow ing solu tions for the discou nt factors:
1
D f1 0 95238
1 0 05
1 0 0525 0 95238
D f2 0 90261
1 0 0525
1 0 0575 0 95238 0 90261
D f3 0 84476
1 0 0575
We can confi rm that these are the correct discou nt factors by
su bstitu ting them back into equ ation (3.2); this giv es u s the follow -
ing resu lts for the 1-y ear, 2-y ear and 3-y ear par v alu e bonds (w ith
cou pons of 5% , 5.25% and 5.75% , respectiv ely ):
100 105 0 95238
100 5 25 0 95238 105 25 0 90261
100 5 75 0 95238 5 75 0 90261 105 75 0 84476
88 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Now that w e hav e fou nd the correct discou nt factors it is relativ ely
straightforw ard to calcu late the spot y ields u sing equ ation (3.1):
1
D f1 0 95238 w hich giv es rs1 5 0%
1 rs1
1
D f2 0 90261 w hich giv es rs2 5 269%
1 rs2 2
1
D f3 0 84476 w hich giv es rs3 5 778%
1 rs3 3
Equ ation (3.1) discou nts the n-y ear cashfl ow (com prising the cou pon
pay m ent and/or principal repay m ent) by the corresponding n-y ear
spot y ield. In other w ords rsn is the time-weighted rate of return on a
n-y ear bond. Thu s, as w e said in the prev iou s section the spot y ield
cu rv e is the correct m ethod for pricing or v alu ing any cashfl ow ,
inclu ding an irregu lar cashfl ow , becau se it u ses the appropriate
discou nt factors. That is, it m atches each cashfl ow to the discou nt
rate that applies to the tim e period in w hich the cashfl ow is paid.
Com pare this w ith the approach for calcu lating the y ield-to-m atu r-
ity , w hich discou nts all cashfl ow s by the sam e y ield to m atu rity .
This neatly illu strates w hy the n-period zero-cou pon interest rate is
the tru e interest rate for an N -y ear bond.
The ex pressions abov e are solv ed algebraically in the conv entional
m anner, althou gh those w is hing to u se a spreadsheet application
su ch as Microsoft Ex cel can inpu t the constitu ents of each equ a-
tion into indiv idu al cells and solv e u s ing the ‘Tools’ and ‘Goal Seek ’
fu nctions.
There is a v ery large literatu re on the zero-cou pon y ield cu rv e.
A sm all fraction of it – as referred to in this chapter – is giv en in
the Bibliography at the end of the chapter.
We k now from the no-arbitrage principle that the proceeds from both
strategies w ill be the sam e, therefore this enables u s to set:
2
1 r2 1 r1 1 R
1 r2 2
R 1
1 r1
This enables u s to calcu late the forw ard rate that can be qu oted to
the client (together w ith any spread that the bank m ight add) as
follow s:
2
1 0 12 1 0 10 1 R
2
1 R 1 0 12 1 0 10
1 R 1 14036
R 14 04%
This rate is the 1-y ear forw ard–forw ard rate, or the im plied forw ard
rate.
90 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Further examples
If a 1-y ear AAA Eu robond trading at par y ields 10% and a 2-y ear
Eu robond of sim ilar credit qu ality , also trading at par, y ields 8.75% ,
w hat shou ld the price of a 2-y ear AAA zero-cou pon bond be?
Note that Eu robonds pay cou pon annu ally :
(a) Cost of 2-y ear bond
(per cent nom inal) 100
(b) less am ou nt receiv able from
sale of fi rst cou pon on this
bond (i.e., its present v alu e) 8 75 1 0 10
7 95
(c) equals am ou nt that m u st be
receiv ed on sale of second
cou pon plu s principal in order
to break ev en 92.05
(d) calcu late the y ield im plied in
the cashfl ow s below (i.e., the
2-y ear zero-cou pon y ield)
– receiv e 92.05
– pay ou t on m atu rity 108.75
2
Therefore 92 05 108 75 1 R
Giv es R equ al to 8.69%
(e) What is the price of a 2-y ear
zero-cou pon bond w ith nom inal
v alu e 100, to y ield 8.69% ? 92 05 108 75 100
84.64
A highly -rated cu stom er ask s y ou to fi x a y ield at w hich he cou ld
issu e a 2-y ear zero-cou pon USD Eu robond in 3 y ears’ tim e. At this
tim e the US Treasu ry zero-cou pon rates w ere:
1 y ear 6.25%
2 y ear 6.75%
3 y ear 7.00%
4 y ear 7.125%
5 y ear 7.25%
(a) Ignoring borrow ing spreads ov er these benchm ark y ields, as a
m ark et-m ak er y ou cou ld cov er the ex posu re created by borrow -
ing fu nds for 5 y ears on a zero-cou pon basis and placing these
fu nds in the m ark et for 3 y ears before lending them on to y ou r
THE YIELD CURVE 91
1 0 0725 5
1 R3 5
1 0 0700 3
1 0 0725 5
R3 5 1
1 0 0700 3
7 63%
w here
rfi Forw ard rate;
rsL % Long-period rate;
rsS % Short-period rate;
nL Long-period term in day s;
nS Short-period term in day s;
B Day -cou nt base, either 360 or 365 (in this case 365).
Using this form u la w e obtain a 30-day v ersu s 60-day forw ard rate of
6.3443% .
This interest rate ex posu re can be hedged u sing interest rate fu tu res
or forw ard rate agreem ents (FRAs). Either m ethod is an effectiv e
hedging m echanism , althou gh the trader m u st be aw are of
the basis risk that ex ists betw een cash m ark et rates and the
forw ard rates im plied by fu tu res and FRAs;
date m is m atches betw een ex piry of fu tu res contracts and the
m atu rity dates of cash m ark et transactions .
rates refl ects ev ery thing the m ark et k now s abou t relev ant dom estic
and international factors. It is this inform ation, then, that goes into
forw ard rate calcu lation. An instant later, thou gh, there w ill be new
dev elopm ents that w ill alter the m ark et’s v iew and therefore alter
the cu rrent term stru ctu re; these dev elopm ents and ev ents w ere (by
defi nition, as w e cannot k now w hat lies in the fu tu re!) not k now n at
the tim e w e calcu lated and u sed 3-m onth forw ard rates. This is w hy
rates actu ally tu rn ou t to be different from w hat the term stru ctu re
m athem atically constru cted at an earlier date. How ev er, for dealing
today w e u se today ’s forw ard rates, w hich refl ect ev ery thing w e
k now abou t the m ark et today .
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Cam pbell, J. (1986) ‘A defence of traditional hy potheses abou t the term
stru ctu re of interest rates,’ Journal of Finance, March, 183–193.
Chou dhry , M. (1998) ‘The inform ation content of the United Kingdom
gilt y ield cu rv e,’ u npu blished MBA assignm ent, Henley Managem ent
College.
Chou dhry , M. (2001) The Bond and Money Markets, Bu tterw orth
Heinem ann, Chapters 51–53.
Chou dhry , M. (2009) ‘The v alu e of introdu cing stru ctu ral reform to
im prov e bond m ark et liqu idity : Ex perience from the U.K. gilt m ark et,’
European Journal of Finance and Banking Research, 2(2).
Cox , J., Ingersoll, J.E., and Ross, S.A. (1981) ‘A re-ex am ination of traditional
hy potheses abou t the term stru ctu re of interest rates,’ Journal of Finance,
36, Septem ber, 769–799.
Cu lbertson, J.M. (1957) ‘The term stru ctu re of interest rates,’ Q uarterly
Journal of Economics, 71, Nov em ber, 485–517.
The Economist (1998) ‘Adm iring those shapely cu rv es,’ 4 April, p.117.
Fam a, E.F. (1976) ‘Forw ard rates as predictors of fu tu re spot interest rates,’
Journal of Financial Economics, 3(4), October, 361–377.
Fam a, E.F. (1984) ‘The inform ation in the term stru ctu re,’ Journal of
Financial Economics, 13, Decem ber, 509–528.
Fisher, I. (1986) ‘Appreciation of interest,’ Publications of the American
Economic Association, Au gu st, 23–39.
Hick s, J. (1946) Value and C apital, Ox ford Univ ersity Press, 1946.
Ingersoll, J. (1987) Theory of Financial D ecision Making, Row m an &
Littlefi eld, Chapter 18.
Jarrow , R. (1996) Modelling Fixed Income Securities and Interest Rate
O ptions, McGraw -Hill.
Lev y , H. (1999) Introduction to Investments, Second Edition, Sou th-
Western.
Liv ingstone, M. (1990) Money and C apital Markets, Prentice Hall.
94 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Chapter
4
INTRODUCTION TO
TRADING AND
HEDGING
96 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
TRADING APPROACH
The y ield curve and interest rate ex pectations
When the y ield cu rv e is positiv ely sloped, the conv entional approach
is to fu nd the book at the short end of the cu rv e and lend at the long
end. In essence, therefore, if the y ield cu rv e resem bled that show n
in Figu re 4.1 a bank w ou ld borrow , say , 1-w eek fu nds w hile sim u l-
taneou sly lending ou t at, say , 3-m onth m atu rity . This is k now n as
funding short. A bank can effect the econom ic equ iv alent of borrow -
ing at the short end of the y ield cu rv e and lending at the longer end
throu gh repo transactions – in ou r ex am ple, a 1-w eek repo and a
3-m onth rev erse repo. The bank then continu ou sly rolls ov er its
fu nding at 1-w eek interv als for the 3-m onth period. This is also
k now n as creating a tail; here the ‘tail’ is the gap betw een 1 w eek
and 3 m onths – the interest rate ‘gap’ that the bank is ex posed to.
Du ring the cou rse of the trade – as the rev erse repo has lock ed in a
loan for 6 m onths – the bank is ex posed to interest rate risk shou ld
the slope or shape of the y ield cu rv e change. In this case the bank
m ay see its profi t m argin shrink or tu rn into a fu nding loss if short-
dated interest rates rise.
In the case of an inv erted y ield cu rv e, a bank w ill (all else being equ al)
lend at the short end of the cu rv e and borrow at the longer end. This
is k now n as funding long and is show n in Figu re 4.2.
The ex am ple in Figu re 4.2 show s a short cash position of 2-w eek
m atu rity against a long cash position of 4-m onth m atu rity . The
interest rate gap of 10 w eek s is the book ’ s interest rate ex posu re.
The inv erted shape of the y ield cu rv e m ay indicate m ark et ex pecta-
tions of a rise in short-term interest rates. Fu rther along the y ield
cu rv e, the m ark et m ay ex pect a benign infl ationary env ironm ent,
w hich is w hy the prem iu m on longer term retu rns is low er than
norm al.
98 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Figure 4.3 Interm ediation betw een stock loan and repo m ark ets;
an ex am ple u sing UK gilts.
ex ploit the interest rate differentials that ex ist betw een m ark ets
of v ary ing credit qu alities and betw een secu red and u ns ecu red
m ark ets.
The stock loan fee for this term w as qu oted at 510 basis points, w ith
the actu al fee paid being 8 basis points. Therefore, the repo trader
borrow s GC stock for 3 m onths and offers this in repo at 5.75% ; 2 the
cash proceeds are then u sed to pu rchase a clearing bank CD at 6.00% .
This CD is u sed as collateral in the stock loan. The profi t is m ark et
risk -free as the term s are lock ed, althou gh there is an elem ent of
A repo dealer is a m ark et-m ak er, and so offers stock in repo at the offered
side, w hich is 5.75% . How ev er, this trade still tu rns in a profi t if the bank
dealt at another m ark et-m ak er’s bid side of 5.83% , w ith a profi t of 9 basis
points on the cash su m . Rates are qu oted from King & Shax son Bond
Brok ers Lim ited.
100 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
credit risk in holding the CD. On these term s, the profi t in £100
m illion stock for the 3-m onth period is approx im ately £170,000.
The m ain consideration for the dealing bank is the capital
requ irem ents of the trade. Gilt repo is zero-w eighted for capital
pu rposes; indeed, clearing bank CDs are accepted by the Bank of
England for liqu idity pu rposes, so the capital cost is not onerou s.
The bank w ill need to ensu re that it has su ffi cient credit lines for the
repo and CD cou nterparties.
SPECIALS TRADING
The ex istence of an open repo m ark et allow s the dem and for
borrow ing and lending stock s to be cleared by the price m echanism
– in this case the repo rate. This facility also m easu res su pply and
dem and for stock s m ore effi ciently than traditional stock lending.
It is to be ex pected that – w hen specifi c stock s are in dem and – the
prem iu m on obtaining them rises for a nu m ber of reasons. This is
refl ected in the repo rate associated w ith the specifi c stock in
dem and, w hich falls below the sam e m atu rity GC repo rate. The
repo rate falls becau se the entity repoing ou t stock – that is, borrow -
ing cash – is in possess ion of the desired asset: the specifi c bond. So,
the interest rate pay able by this cou nterparty falls as com pensation
for lending ou t the desired bond.
The factors contribu ting to indiv idu al secu rities becom ing special
inclu de
gov ernm ent bond au ctions ; the bond to be issu ed is shorted by
m ark et-m ak ers in anticipation of a new su pply of stock and du e
to client dem and;
ou tright short-selling, w hether deliberate position-tak ing on the
trader’s v iew , or m ark et-m ak ers selling stock on client dem and;
hedging, inclu ding bond u nderw riters w ho w ill short the
benchm ark gov ernm ent bond that the corporate bond is priced
against;
deriv ativ es trading su ch as basis (‘cash-and-carry ’) trading
creating dem and for a specifi c stock .
Natu ral holders of gov ernm ent bonds can benefi t from issu es going
special, w hich is w hen the dem and for specifi c stock s is su ch that
the rate for borrow ing them is redu ced. The low er repo rate refl ects
the prem iu m for borrow ing the stock . Note that the party borrow ing
INTRODUCTION TO TRADING AND HEDGING 101
the special stock is lending cash; it is the rate pay able on the cash
that they hav e lent w hich is depressed.
The holder of a stock that has gone special can obtain cheap fu nding
for the issu e itself by lending it ou t. Alternativ ely , the holder can
lend the stock and obtain cash in ex change in a repo, for w hich the
rate pay able is low er than the interbank rate. Thes e fu nds can then be
lent ou t as either secu red fu nding (in a repo), or as u nsecu red fu nding,
enabling the specials holder to lock in a fu nding profi t. For ex am ple,
consider a situ ation w here a repo dealer holds an issu e that is trading
at 5.5% in 1-w eek repo. The equ iv alent GC rate is 7% , m ak ing the
specifi c issu e v ery special. By lending the stock ou t the dealer can
lock in the profi t by lending 1-w eek cash at 7% or at a higher rate in
the interbank m ark et. This is illu strated in Figu re 4.4.
dearness in the cash m ark et and special statu s in the repo m ark et
fl ow s both w ay s.
Thank s to Del Boy at King & Shax son Bond Brok ers Ltd for pointing this
ou t, althou gh I still reck on that m y defi nition is the right one!
INTRODUCTION TO TRADING AND HEDGING 103
serv ice for long and short positions and also as part of proprietary
trading. Traders w ill m ism atch positions in order to tak e adv antage
of a com bination of tw o factors: short-term interest rate m ov em ents
and anticipated su pply /dem and in the u nderly ing bond.
INTEREST-RATE-HEDGING TOOLS
For bank dealers w ho are not look ing to trade arou nd term m ism atch
or other spreads, bu t w ho w ill ru n a tenor m is m atch betw een assets
and liabilities (w hich is, after all, w hat bank ing is: the practice of
m atu rity transform ation), there are a nu m ber of instru m ents w e can
u se to hedge the resu lting interest rate risk ex posu re. We briefl y
consider them here. They are cov ered in greater depth in Chou dhry
(2007).
Description
A futures contract is a transaction that fi x es the price today for a
com m odity that w ill be deliv ered at som e point in the fu tu re.
Financial fu tu res fi x the price for interest rates, bonds , equ ities
and so on, bu t trade in the sam e m anner as com m odity fu tu res.
Contracts for fu tu res are standardized and traded on recognized
ex changes. In London the m ain fu tu res ex change is LIFFE, althou gh
other fu tu res are also traded on, for ex am ple, the International
Petroleu m Ex change and the London Metal Ex change. Money
m ark ets trade short-term interest rate fu tu res that fi x the rate of
interest on a notional fi x ed term deposit of m oney (u su ally for 90
day s or 3 m onths) for a specifi ed period in the fu tu re. The su m is
notional becau se no actu al su m of m oney is deposited w hen bu y ing
104 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Source: LIFFE.
or selling fu tu res – the instru m ent being off balance sheet. Bu y ing
su ch a contract is equ iv alent to m ak ing a notional deposit, w hile
selling a contract is equ iv alent to borrow ing a notional su m .
The 3-m onth interest rate fu tu re is the m ost w idely u sed instru m ent
for hedging interest rate risk .
as follow s:
Profit Tick s gained Tick v alu e Nu m ber of contracts
Loss Tick s lost Tick v alu e Nu m ber of contracts
The tick v alu e for the short sterling contract is straightforw ard to
calcu late. Since w e k now that the contract size is £500,000, there is
a m inim u m price m ov em ent (tick m ov em ent) of 0.01% and the
contract has a 3-m onth ‘m atu rity ’:
3
Tick v alu e 0 01% £500,000 £12 50
12
The profi t m ade by the trader in ou r ex am ple is logical becau se if w e
bu y short sterling fu tu res w e are depositing (notional) fu nds and if
the price of the fu tu res rises, it m eans the interest rate has fallen.
We profi t becau se w e hav e ‘deposited’ fu nds at a higher rate before-
hand. If w e ex pected sterling interest rates to rise, w e w ou ld sell short
sterling fu tu res, w hich is equ iv alent to borrow ing fu nds and lock ing
in the loan rate at a low er lev el.
Note how the concept of bu y ing and selling interest rate fu tu res
differs from FRAs: if w e bu y a FRA w e are borrow ing notional
fu nds, w hereas if w e bu y a fu tu res contract w e are depositing
notional fu nds. If a position in an interest rate fu tu res contract is
held to ex piry , cash settlem ent w ill tak e place on the deliv ery day for
that contract.
Short-term interest rate contracts in other cu rrencies are sim ilar to
the short sterling contract and trade on ex changes su ch as Deu ts che
Term inbörse in Frank fu rt and MATIF in Paris.
In practice, fu tu res contracts do not prov ide a precise tool for lock ing
into cash m ark et rates today for a transaction that tak es place in the
fu tu re, althou gh this is w hat they are theoretically designed to do.
Fu tu res do allow a bank to lock in a rate for a transaction to tak e place
in the fu tu re; this rate is the forward rate. The basis is the difference
betw een today ’s cash m ark et rate and the forw ard rate on a particu lar
date in the fu tu re. As a fu tu res contract approaches ex piry , its price
and the rate in the cash m ark et w ill conv erge (the process is giv en the
nam e convergence). This is giv en by the ex change deliv ery settle-
m ent price, and the tw o prices (rates) w ill be ex actly in line at the
precise m om ent of ex piry .
dollars in a bank ou tside the US, and the contract is at the rate of
dollar 90-day Libor. The Eu rodollar fu tu re is cash-settled on the
second bu s iness day before the third Wednesday of the deliv ery
m onth (London bu s iness day ). The fi nal settlem ent price is u s ed to
set the price of the contract, giv en by
10,000 100 0 25r
w here r is the qu oted Eu rodollar rate at the tim e. This rate is the
actu al 90-day Eu rodollar deposit rate.
The longest dated Eu rodollar contract has an ex piry date of 10
y ears. The m ark et assu m es that fu tu res prices and forw ard prices
are equ al; this is indeed the case u nder conditions w here the risk -
free interest rate is constant and the sam e for all m atu rities. In
practice, it also holds for short-dated fu tu res contracts, bu t does
not for longer dated fu tu res contracts. Therefore, u s ing fu tu res
contracts w ith a m atu rity greater than 5 y ears to calcu late zero-
cou pon rates or im plied forw ard rates w ill produ ce errors in
resu lts, w hich need to be tak en into accou nt if the deriv ed rates
are u sed to price other instru m ents su ch as sw aps .
Figu re 4.5 show s the Bloom berg description page for the Eu rodollar
contract.
Example 4.2 Hedging a forw ard 3-m onth lending requ irem ent
nex t few w eek s and w is hes to protect him s elf against su ch a fall.
This can be done u sing short sterling fu tu res. The m ark et rates on
1 Ju ne are as follow s:
100 93 220
6 78%
On 1 Septem ber the m ark et rates are as follow s:
6 25% 0 485%
6 735%
The treasu rer w as qu ite close to achiev ing his target lending rate of
6.78% and the hedge has helped to protect against the drop in Libor
rates from 6 12 % to 6 14 % , as a resu lt of the profi t from the fu tu res
transaction.
In the real w orld the cash m ark et bid–offer spread w ill im pact the
am ou nt of profi t/loss from the hedge transaction. Fu tu res gen-
erally trade and settle near the offered side of the m ark et rate
(Libor) w hereas lending, certainly by corporates, w ill be nearer the
Libid rate.
INTRODUCTION TO TRADING AND HEDGING 109
Example 4.3 Hedging a forw ard 6-m onth borrow ing requ irem ent
A Treasu ry dealer has a 6-m onth borrow ing requ irem ent for
EUR30 m illion in 3 m onths’ tim e, on 16 Septem ber. He ex pects
interest rates to rise by at least 12 % before that date and w ou ld lik e
to lock in a fu tu re borrow ing rate. The scenario is:
Date 16 Ju ne
3-m onth LIBOR 6.0625%
6-m onth LIBOR 6.25
Sep fu tu res contract 93.66
Dec fu tu res contract 93.39
In order to hedge a 6-m onth DEM30 m illion ex posu re the dealer
needs to u se a total of 60 fu tu res contracts, as each has a nom inal
v alu e of EUR1 m illion, and corresponds to a 3-m onth notional
deposit period. The dealer decides to sell 30 Septem ber fu tu res
contracts and 30 Decem ber fu tu res contracts. This is referred to as
a strip hedge. The ex pected forw ard borrow ing rate that can be
achiev ed by this strategy , w here the ex pected borrow ing rate is rf,
is calcu lated as follow s:
Day s in period Sep day s period
1 rf 1 Sep im plied rate
360 360
Dec day s period
1 Dec im plied rate
360
Therefore, w e hav e:
180 90 90
1 rf 1 0 0634 1 0 0661
360 360 360
6 53%
The rate rf is som etim es referred to as the ‘strip rate’ .
The hedge is u nw ou nd u pon ex piry of the Septem ber fu tu res
contract. Ass u m e the follow ing rates now prev ail:
3-m onth LIBOR 6.4375%
6-m onth LIBOR 6.8125
Sep fu tu res contract 93.56
Dec fu tu res contract 92.93
The fu tu res P&L is:
Septem ber contract 10 tick s
Decem ber contract 46 tick s
110 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
rates m ov e against him in the cash m ark et, the gain on the FRA
shou ld (in theory ) com pensate for the loss in the cash trade.
Definition of a FRA
A FRA is an agreem ent to borrow or lend a notional cash su m for a
period of tim e lasting u p to 12 m onths, starting at any point ov er the
nex t 12 m onths, at an agreed rate of interest (the FRA rate). The
‘bu y er’ of a FRA is borrow ing a notional su m of m oney w hile the
‘seller’ is lending this cash su m . Note how this differs from all other
m oney m ark et instru m ents . In the cash m ark et, the party bu y ing a
CD or bill, or bidding for stock in the repo m ark et, is the lender of
fu nds. In the FRA m ark et, to ‘bu y ’ is to ‘borrow ’. Of cou rse, w e u se
the term ‘notional’ becau se w ith a FRA no borrow ing or lending of
cash actu ally tak es place. The notional su m is sim ply the am ou nt on
w hich interest pay m ent is calcu lated.
So, w hen a FRA is traded, the bu y er is borrow ing (and the seller is
lending) a specifi ed notional su m at a fi x ed rate of interest for a
specifi ed period – the ‘loan’ to com m ence at an agreed date in the
fu tu re. The buyer is the notional borrow er, and so she w ill be
protected if there is a rise in interest rates betw een the date that
the FRA is traded and the date that the FRA com es into effect. If there
is a fall in interest rates, the bu y er m u st pay the difference betw een
the rate at w hich the FRA w as traded and the actu al rate, as a
percentage of the notional su m . The bu y er m ay be u sing the FRA
to hedge an actu al ex posu re – that is, an actu al borrow ing of m oney –
or sim ply specu lating on a rise in interest rates. The cou nterparty to
the transaction, the seller of the FRA, is the notional lender of fu nds,
and has fi x ed the rate for lending fu nds. If there is a fall in interest
rates the seller w ill gain, and if there is a rise in rates the seller w ill
pay . Again, the seller m ay hav e an actu al loan of cash to hedge or be a
specu lator.
In FRA trading only the pay m ent that arises as a resu lt of the
difference in interest rates changes hands. There is no ex change of
cash at the tim e of the trade. The cash pay m ent that does arise is the
difference in interest rates betw een that at w hich the FRA w as traded
and the actu al rate prev ailing w hen the FRA m atu res, as a percentage
of the notional am ou nt. FRAs are traded by both bank s and corpo-
rates and betw een bank s. The FRA m ark et is v ery liqu id in all m ajor
cu rrencies and rates are readily qu oted on screens by both bank s and
brok ers. Dealing is ov er the telephone or ov er a dealing sy stem su ch
as Reu ters.
112 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
The term inology qu oting FRAs refers to the borrow ing tim e period
and the tim e at w hich the FRA com es into effect (or m atu res). Hence,
if a bu y er of a FRA w ished to hedge against a rise in rates to cov er a
3-m onth loan starting in 3 m onths’ tim e, she w ou ld transact a
‘3-against-6-m onth’ FRA, m ore u su ally denoted as a 3 6 or 3v 6
FRA. This is referred to in the m ark et as a ‘threes–six es’ FRA, and
m eans a 3-m onth loan beginning in 3 m onths’ tim e. So, correspond-
ingly , a ‘ones–fou rs’ FRA (1v 4) is a 3-m onth loan in 1 m onth’ s tim e,
and a ‘threes–nines’ FRA (3v 9) is a 6-m onth loan in 3 m onths’ tim e.
Rem em ber that w hen w e bu y a FRA w e are ‘borrow ing’ fu nds. This
differs from cash produ cts su ch as CD or repo, as w ell as interest rate
fu tu res, w here to ‘bu y ’ is to lend fu nds.
FRA m echanics
In v irtu ally ev ery m ark et FRAs trade u nder a set of term s and
conv entions that are identical. The British Bank ers Association
(BBA) has com piled standard legal docu m entation to cov er FRA
trading. The follow ing standard term s are u sed in the m ark et:
N otional sum – the am ou nt for w hich the FRA is traded.
Trade date – the date on w hich the FRA is dealt.
Settlement date – the date on w hich the notional loan or deposit
INTRODUCTION TO TRADING AND HEDGING 113
The spot date is u su ally tw o bu sines s day s after the trade date;
how ev er, it can by agreem ent be sooner or later than this. The
settlem ent date w ill be the tim e period after the spot date referred
to by FRA term s – for ex am ple, a 1 4 FRA w ill hav e a settlem ent
date one calendar m onth after the spot date. The fi x ing date is
u su ally tw o bu sines s day s before the settlem ent date. The settle-
m ent su m is paid on the settlem ent date and, as it refers to an
am ou nt ov er a period of tim e that is paid u pfront at the start of
the contract period, the calcu lated su m is a discou nted present
v alu e. This is becau se a norm al pay m ent of interest on a loan/
deposit is paid at the end of the tim e period to w hich it relates.
Becau se a FRA m ak es this pay m ent at the start of the relev ant
period, the settlem ent am ou nt is also a discou nted present v alu e
su m .
With m ost FRA trades the reference rate is the LIBOR setting on the
fi x ing date.
The settlem ent su m is calcu lated after the fi x ing date, for pay m ent
on the settlem ent date. We m ay illu strate this w ith a hy pothetical
ex am ple. Consider the case w here a corporate has bou ght £1 m illion
notional of a 1v 4 FRA and dealt at 5.75% , and that the m ark et rate
is 6.50% on the fi x ing date. The contract period is 90 day s. In the cash
m ark et the ex tra interest charge that the corporate w ou ld pay is a
sim ple interest calcu lation:
6 50 5 75 91
1,000,000 £1,869 86
100 365
The ex tra interest that the corporate is facing w ou ld be pay able w ith
the interest pay m ent for the loan, w hich (as it is a m oney m ark et
loan) is w hen the loan m atu res. Under a FRA then, the settlem ent
su m pay able shou ld be ex actly equ al to this if it w as paid on the sam e
day as the cash m ark et interest charge. This w ou ld m ak e it a perfect
hedge. How ev er, as w e noted abov e, the FRA settlem ent v alu e is paid
at the start of the contract period – that is, at the beginning of the
u nderly ing loan and not the end. Therefore, the settlem ent su m has
to be adju sted to accou nt for this, and the am ou nt of the adju stm ent
is the v alu e of the interest that w ou ld be earned if the u nadju sted
cash v alu e w as inv ested for the contract period in the m oney m ark et.
The settlem ent v alu e is giv en by equ ation (4.1):
n
rref rF R A M
Settlem ent B 41
n
1 rref
B
w here
rref Reference interest fi x ing rate;
rF R A FRA rate or contract rate;
M Notional v alu e;
n Nu m ber of day s in the contract period;
B Day -cou nt base (360 or 365).
Equ ation (4.1) sim ply calcu lates the ex tra interest pay able in the cash
m ark et, resu lting from the difference betw een the tw o interest rates,
and then discou nts the am ou nt becau se it is pay able at the start of
the period and not, as w ou ld happen in the cash m ark et, at the end of
the period.
In ou r hy pothetical illu stration, the corporate bu y er of the FRA
receiv es the settlem ent su m from the seller as the fi x ing rate is
INTRODUCTION TO TRADING AND HEDGING 115
higher than the dealt rate. This then com pensates the corporate for
the higher borrow ing costs that he w ou ld hav e to pay in the cash
m ark et. If the fi x ing rate had been low er than 5.75% , the bu y er
w ou ld pay the difference to the seller, becau se cash m ark et rates
w ill m ean that he is su bject to a low er interest rate in the cash
m ark et. What the FRA has done is hedge the interest rate, so that
w hatev er happens in the m ark et, it w ill pay 5.75% on its borrow ing.
A m ark et-m ak er in FRAs is trading short-term interest rates. The
settlem ent su m is the v alu e of the FRA. The concept is ex actly the
sam e as w ith trading short-term interest rate fu tu res; a trader w ho
bu y s a FRA is ru nning a long position, so that if rref rF R A on the
fi x ing date the settlem ent su m is positiv e and the trader realizes a
profi t. What has happened is that the trader, by bu y ing the FRA,
‘borrow ed’ m oney at an interest rate that su bsequ ently rose. This is a
gain, ex actly lik e a short position in an interest rate fu tu re, w here if
the price goes dow n – that is, interest rates go u p – the trader realizes
a gain. Equ ally a ‘short’ position in a FRA, pu t on by selling a FRA,
realizes a gain if rref rF R A on the fi x ing date.
FRA pricing
As their nam e m ak es clear, FRAs are forw ard rate instru m ents and
are priced u sing standard forw ard rate principles. 4 Consider an
inv estor w ho has tw o alternativ es : either a 6-m onth inv estm ent
at 5% or a 1-y ear inv estm ent at 6% . If the inv estor w ishes to
inv est for 6 m onths and then roll ov er the inv estm ent for a
fu rther 6 m onths, w hat rate is requ ired for the rollov er period
su ch that the fi nal retu rn equ als the 6% av ailable from the 1-y ear
inv estm ent? If w e v iew a FRA rate as the break ev en forw ard rate
betw een the tw o periods, w e sim ply solv e for this forw ard rate.
The resu lt is ou r approx im ate FRA rate.
We can u se the standard forw ard rate break ev en form u la to solv e for
the requ ired FRA rate. The relationship giv en in equ ation (4.2) con-
nects sim ple (bu llet) interest rates for periods of tim e u p to 1 y ear,
w here no com pou nding of interest is requ ired. As FRAs are m oney
m ark et instru m ents w e are not requ ired to calcu late rates for periods
An introdu ction to the basics of spot and forw ard rates can be fou nd in any
nu m ber of fi nance tex tbook s; the au thor particu larly lik es Windas (1993)
and Fabozzi and Mann (2001), both of w hich are highly su itable for
beginners.
116 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
he w ill be pay ing the sam e fi x ed rate pay m ent; net cashfl ow is a
receipt of fl oating interest rate pay m ents .
A borrow er, on the other hand, m ay issu e bonds of a particu lar ty pe
becau se of inv estor dem and for su ch paper, bu t prefer to hav e the
interest ex posu re on the debt in som e other form . So, for ex am ple, a
UK com pany issu es fi x ed rate bonds denom inated in, say , Au stralian
dollars, sw aps the proceeds into sterling and pay s fl oating rate
interest on the sterling am ou nt. As part of the sw ap the com pany
w ill be receiv ing fi x ed rate Au stralian dollars w hich neu tralizes the
ex posu re arising from the bond issu e. On term ination of the sw ap
(w hich m u st coincide w ith the m atu rity of the bond) the original
cu rrency am ou nts are ex changed back , enabling the issu er to redeem
the holders of the bond in Au stralian dollars.
For detailed cov erage of interest rate sw aps and their application see
Chou dhry (2007).
Description
Swaps are deriv ativ e contracts inv olv ing com binations of tw o or
m ore interest rate bases or other bu ilding block s. Most sw aps cu r-
rently traded in the m ark et inv olv e com binations of cash m ark et
secu rities – for ex am ple, a fi x ed interest rate secu rity com bined w ith
a fl oating interest rate secu rity , possibly also com bined w ith a cu r-
rency transaction. How ev er, the m ark et has also seen sw aps that
inv olv e a fu tu res or forw ard com ponent, as w ell as sw aps that
inv olv e an option com ponent. The m ark et for sw aps is organized
by the International Sw aps and Deriv ativ es Association (ISDA).
pay m ents cancel each other ou t, and the hom eow ner now has a
fi x ed rate liability . The sam e applies in a hedging transaction: a
bondholder receiving fixed cou pons from the bond issu er – that is,
the bondholder is a lender of fu nds – can hedge against a rise in
interest rates that low ers the price of the bond by paying fixed in a
sw ap w ith the sam e basis point v alu e as the bond position; the
bondholder receiv es fl oating interest. Paying fixed in a sw ap is
conceptu ally the sam e as being a borrower of funds; this borrow ing
is the opposite of a loan of fu nds to the bond issu er and therefore
the position is hedged. Consider tw o com panies’ borrow ing costs
for a 5-y ear loan of £50 m illion:
Withou t a sw ap:
Let u s say that the tw o com panies decide to enter into a sw ap,
w hereby Com pany A borrow s fl oating rate interest and therefore
receiv es fi x ed from Com pany B at the 5-y ear sw ap rate of 8.90% .
Com pany B, w hich has borrow ed at Libor 100 basis points, pay s
fi x ed and receiv es Libor in the sw ap. Com pany A ends u p pay ing
fl oating rate interest, and com pany B ends u p pay ing fi x ed.
As the m ark et dev eloped, bank s becam e principals and dealt direct
w ith cou nterparties, elim inating the need to fi nd som eone w ho
had requ irem ents that cou ld be m et by the other side of an ex isting
requ irem ent.
increased in v alu e to the fl oating rate pay er, w ho has now seen the
lev el of interest pay m ents fall. The opposite w ou ld be tru e if 5-y ear
rates m ov ed to 5.25% . Why is this? Consider the fi x ed rate pay er in
an IR sw ap to be a borrow er of fu nds. If she fi x es the interest rate
pay able on a loan for 5 y ears and then this interest rate decreases
shortly afterw ards , is she better off? No, becau se she is now pay ing
abov e the m ark et rate for the fu nds borrow ed. For this reason a sw ap
contract decreases in v alu e to the fi x ed rate pay er if there is a fall in
rates. Equ ally , a fl oating rate pay er gains if there is a fall in rates, as he
can tak e adv antage of the new rates and pay a low er lev el of interest;
hence, the v alu e of a sw ap increases to the fl oating rate pay er if there
is a fall in rates.
The P&L profi le of a sw ap position is show n in Table 4.2.
sam e, becau se the actu al/365 basis w ill calcu late slightly different
am ou nts.
The sw ap w e hav e described is a plain v anilla sw ap, w hich m eans it
has one fi x ed rate and one fl oating rate leg. The fl oating interest rate
is set ju st before the relev ant interest period and is paid at the end of
the period. Note that both legs hav e identical interest dates and day -
cou nt bases, and the term to m atu rity of the sw ap is ex actly 5 y ears.
It is of cou rse possible to ask for a sw ap qu ote w here any of these
term s hav e been set to cu stom er requ irem ents ; for ex am ple, both
legs m ay be fl oating rate, or the notional principal m ay v ary du ring
the life of the sw ap. Non-v anilla interest rate sw aps are v ery
com m on, and bank s w ill readily price sw aps w here the term s
hav e been set to m eet specifi c requ irem ents. The m ost com m on
v ariations are different interest pay m ent dates for the fi x ed rate
leg and fl oating rate leg, on different day -cou nt bases, as w ell as
term s to m atu rity that are not w hole y ears.
basis points abov e the benchm ark y ield and receiv ing Libor, and
receiv ing fi x ed 37 basis points abov e the y ield cu rv e and pay ing
Libor. The bank ’s screen on, say , Bloom berg or Reu ters m ight
look som ething lik e Table 4.3, w hich qu otes sw ap rates as w ell as
the cu rrent spread ov er the gov ernm ent bond benchm ark .
contracts, w ith each FRA starting as the prev iou s one m atu res.
The basis of the fl oating interest rate is agreed as part of the
contract term s at the inception of the trade. Conv entional sw aps
index the fl oating interest rate to Libor; how ev er, an ex citing recent
dev elopm ent in the sterling m oney m ark et has been the sterling
ov ernight interest rate av erage or SONIA. In this section w e
rev iew SONIA sw aps , w hich are ex tensiv ely u sed by sterling
m ark et bank s.
Conv entional sw ap rates are calcu lated off the gov ernm ent bond
y ield cu rv e and represent the credit prem iu m ov er gov ernm ent
y ields of interbank defau lt risk . In essence, they represent av erage
forw ard rates deriv ed from the gov ernm ent spot (zero-cou pon) y ield
cu rv e. The fi x ed rate qu oted on a SONIA sw ap represents the av erage
lev el of ov ernight interest rates ex pected by m ark et participants ov er
the life of the sw ap. In practice, the rate is calcu lated as a fu nction of
the Bank of England’s repo rate. This is the 2-w eek rate at w hich the
Bank condu cts rev erse repo trades w ith bank ing cou nterparties as
part of its open m ark et operations. In other w ords, this is the Bank ’s
base rate. In theory , w e w ou ld ex pect the SONIA rate to follow the
repo rate fairly closely , since the credit risk on an ov ernight deposit is
low . How ev er, in practice, the spread betw een the SONIA rate and
the Bank repo rate is v ery v olatile, and for this reason the sw aps are
u sed to hedge ov ernight ex posu res.
Traditionally , ov ernight rates fl u ctu ate w idely du ring the day , depending
on the day ’s fu nds shortage, and althou gh v olatility has redu ced since the
introdu ction of gilt repo it is still u npredictable on occasion.
INTRODUCTION TO TRADING AND HEDGING 125
A stru ctu red hedge fu nd deriv ativ es desk at an inv estm ent bank
offers a lev eraged inv estm ent produ ct to a client in the form of a
participating interest share in a fu nd of hedge fu nds. The client’s
inv estm ent is m ade u p partly of fu nds lent to it by the inv estm ent
bank , for w hich the interest rate charged is ov ernight Libor (plu s a
spread).
This inv estm ent produ ct has an ex pected life of at least 2 y ears.
As part of its rou tine asset–liability m anagem ent operations,
the bank ’s Treasu ry desk has been fu nding this requ irem ent by
borrow ing ov ernight each day . It now w ishes to m atch the fu nding
requ irem ent raised by this produ ct by m atching the asset term
stru ctu re to the liability term stru ctu re. Let u s assu m e that this
produ ct creates a USD1 billion fu nding requ irem ent for the bank .
Cu rrent m ark et depo rates are show n in Figu re 4.8. The Treasu ry
desk therefore fu nds this requ irem ent in the follow ing w ay :
Ass ets $1 billion, 1-y ear term
Receiv ing ov ernight Libor (plu s spread)
Liabilities $350 m illion, 6-m onth loan
Pay 1.22%
$350 m illion, 12-m onth loan
Pay 1.50%
$300 m illion, 15-m onth loan
Pay 1.70% (not show n in Figu re 4.8)
This m atches the asset stru ctu re m ore closely to the term
stru ctu re of assets; how ev er, it opens u p an interest rate basis
m is m atch in that the bank is now receiv ing an ov ernight Libor-
based incom e bu t pay ing a term -based liability . To rem ov e this
basis m ism atch, the Treasu ry desk transacts an OIS sw ap to m atch
the am ou nt and term of each of the loan deals, pay ing ov ernight
fl oating rate interest and receiv ing fi x ed rate interest. The rates
for OIS sw aps of v ary ing term s are show n in Figu re 4.9, w hich
show s tw o-w ay prices for OIS sw aps u p to 2 y ears in m atu rity .
So, for the 6-m onth OIS the hedger is receiv ing fi x ed interest at a
rate of 1.085% and for the 12-m onth OIS he is receiv ing 1.40% .
The difference betw een w hat he is receiv ing in the sw ap and w hat
he is pay ing in term loans is the cost of rem ov ing the basis
m is m atch, bu t m ore fu ndam entally refl ects a k ey featu re of OIS
sw aps v ersu s deposit rates: depo rates are Libor-related, w hereas
US dollar OIS rates are driv en by the Fed Fu nds rate. On av erage,
the Fed Fu nds rate lies approx im ately 8–10 basis points below the
dollar deposit rate, and som etim es as m u ch as 15 basis points
below cash lev els.
INTRODUCTION TO TRADING AND HEDGING 127
Figure 4.10 Garban ICAP OIS rates for USD, 10 Nov em ber 2003.
This action hedges ou t the basis m ism atch and also enables the
Treasu ry desk to m atch its asset profi le w ith its liability
profi le. The net cost to the Treasu ry desk represents its hedging
costs.
Figu re 4.10 illu strates the transaction.
Table 4.4 show s daily rate fi x es on a 6-m onth OIS that w as traded
for an effectiv e date of 17 October 2003, at a fi x ed rate of 1.03% .
The sw ap notional is USD200 m illion.
From Table 4.4 w e see that the av erage rate for Fed Fu nds du ring
this period w as 0.99952% . Hence, on settlem ent the fi x ed rate
pay er w ou ld hav e passed ov er a net settlem ent am ou nt of
USD30,480.
128 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Fix date Maturity Rate fix Fix date Maturity Rate fix
Fix date Maturity Rate fix Fix date Maturity Rate fix
The other side of the approach to credit risk m anagem ent is to sell
loans w here possible, to rem ov e them from the balance sheet v ia
secu ritization or to u s e credit deriv ativ es. This topic is cov ered in
detail in Chou dhry (2007).
130 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Asset exposure
The notional, or absolu te, lev el of risk ex posu re is the fi rst port of
call. It is also the easiest to calcu late. It is giv en by the am ou nt of the
loan or inv estm ent w ith the cu stom er or ‘cou nterparty ’. 7 This
am ou nt m ay be fi x ed, som etim es called a ‘bu llet’ loan, or it m ay
redu ce steadily , w hich is an am ortising loan. If the ex posu re is a
v anilla loan that is recorded in the bank ’s balance sheet, the am ou nt
w ill not change from the origination date to the m atu rity date. If it is
a loan that is tradeable, su ch as a bond, or otherw ise su bject to MtM
v alu ation, then the ex posu re am ou nt w ill v ary according to its
v alu ation, bu t shou ld alw ay s be 100% of notional by the m atu rity
date. Figu re 4.11 is a sty lized representation of the behav iou r of asset
We hav e to be carefu l w ith the u se of the w ord ‘inv estm ent’. Here w e
m ean inv estm ent from the v iew point of the bank . In general conv ersation,
inv estm ent is often u sed to m ean an equ ity inv estm ent by a shareholder in
the bu siness. If a bank adv ances debt fu nds to a cu stom er, this is of cou rse
also an inv estm ent in the fu tu re w ellbeing of the com pany .
132 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
risk ex posu re by ty pe of asset, each of w hich has the sam e m atu rity
date.8
Trading book assets apply MtM. The v alu e of a loan that is u nder
MtM w ill change becau se of changes to the general lev el of interest
rates, and/or changes to the credit standing of the borrow er (or the
borrow er’s indu strial sector, or to credit conditions generally in the
m ark et). As su ch, trading book assets captu re changes in v alu e, at
least theoretically , that arise du e to, for instance, changes in credit
rating. This is k now n as credit m igration risk . The bank ing book ,
w hich does not apply MtM, cannot by defi nition captu re the m igra-
tion risk of its assets. It only captu res the risk of loss du e to defau lt.
This m ight be seen to be som e sort of disadv antage, becau se changes
in the credit standing of a borrow er also change its probability of
defau lt. How ev er, u se of MtM in a trading book is less of an adv an-
tage than w e m ight think , and in stressed m ark et conditions it can be
A bank operating across m ore than one legal ju risdiction w ill also
w ant to hav e an internal rating for each cou ntry . This is im portant
becau se, depending on the cou ntry concerned, it m ay be diffi cu lt or
im pos sible to recov er cash or assets in the ev ent of defau lt or to
enforce a legal ru ling. Therefore, a foreign cou ntry rating is requ ired
as w ell. This rem ains im portant ev en if the obligor is rated higher
than its dom icile cou ntry , becau se of the potential legal problem s
ju st noted.
The rating criteria refl ect the ‘ex pected loss’ (EL) of an asset, giv en by
EL Defau ltProb 1 RR
Credit process
Bank s generally operate one of tw o ty pes of approv al process: (i) v ia a
credit com m ittee or (ii) v ia delegated au thority from the credit
com m ittee to a bu sines s line head. The com m ittee process is de-
signed to ensu re that there is proper scru tiny of any transaction that
com m its the bank ’s capital. The sponsor bringing the transaction to
the com m ittee is the front offi ce bu sines s line; the com m ittee
w ill approv e or decline based on the risk –rew ard profi le of the
transaction.
Procedu re (ii) is com m on for high-v olu m e bu sines s, for w hich the
com m ittee process as a consequ ence of it being tim e consu m ing
w ou ld not be practical. As w e note abov e, there is u ncertainty
that the ‘k now y ou r risk ’ principle can be dilu ted, particu larly in
a com petitiv e env ironm ent w here a bank is try ing to bu ild v olu m e.
Giv en this u ncertainty , ‘m ark et share’ shou ld not be a perform ance
indicator, or target, for a bank ’s bu sines s line. Rather, perform ance
shou ld be m easu red only v ia the am ou nt of genu ine shareholder
v alu e added that the bu sines s generates.
In standard tex tbook s on fi nance and bank ing, w e read that it is the
capital base that driv es the lim it-setting process. Essentially , w hat
this is say ing in practice is that w e tak e the am ou nt of capital
av ailable and allocate it as per credit lim it bu ck ets for each of the
bu s inesses. Actu ally , the proper and intellectu ally robu st w ay to do
this is the other w ay arou nd: the bank shou ld determ ine its strategy
and bu sines s m odel, as w ell as preparing bu dgets based on the risk
ex posu re that it considers it has the ex pertise to m anage. This
process then driv es the lev el of capital and regu latory capital that
the bank shou ld then set u p. Once this am ou nt is k now n and
achiev ed, it can then be allocated to specifi c bu s iness lines as
low er lev el credit lim its by geography , indu stry , produ ct and so on.
As no indiv idu al lim it can be breached, any new capital-u sing trans-
action m u st fi t into the capacity allow ed by all three lim it categories.
Lim it ex cess is a seriou s breach of m anagem ent gov ernance and
m u st be reported to ALCO (and, if necessary , Ex Co) for correctiv e
action. This can be one or m ore of the follow ing: (i) cease fu rther
bu s iness w ith the specifi c obligor; (ii) transfer som e of the ex posu re,
either by secondary m ark et sale, secu ritization, or hedging w ith
credit deriv ativ es; (iii) increase the lim it; (iv ) transfer som e capacity
from another part of the bu s iness and/or another obligor.
rev iew ing the application). This is com m on practice for retail
bu sines s su ch as credit card and m ortgage applications, especially
for bu sines s condu cted ov er the telephone or internet. The danger
is that, in a com m oditized and com petitiv e m ark et, origination
standards are low ered and the bank creates a pool of low er qu ality
assets, the obligors for w hich it is not fam iliar w ith and w hose
fi nancial strength it cannot be certain of. This w as an acu te
problem for retail m ortgage bank s in the US, UK, Ireland and
Spain (am ongst others) du ring 2002–2007, all of w hom ex peri-
enced a hou s ing boom and bu st in this period. Bu s iness best
practice dictates that for all origination bu s iness, bank s m u st
k now their cu stom er base at all tim es (see below on m ortgages).
This m eans that the black box application process m u st be
su pplem ented w ith a rev iew by an ex perienced loan analy st.
Loan security. The collateral acceptable for a loan shou ld at all
tim es be of su ffi cient liqu idity and v alu e. The bank m u st be able
to realize the collateral if the obligor defau lts. Genu ine liqu idity
throu gh all m ark et conditions is restricted to sov ereign liabilities
only , so to cov er for the loss of liqu idity in other ty pes of col-
lateral, the bank m u st ensu re su ffi cient m argin ov er and abov e
the loan v alu e.
Subprime-lending restrictions. Assets against w hich no
collateral or insu ffi cient collateral is tak en shou ld at all tim es
be su bject to restrictions and sev ere lim its becau se these ty pes of
assets are the fi rst to ex perience defau lt w hen the econom y
ex periences a dow ntu rn. Mortgages that are not cov ered by
su ffi cient collateral, su ch as 100LTV or 125LTV loans w here
the adv ance is greater than the v alu e of the secu rity , and other
su bprim e m ortgages or higher risk m ortgages su ch as ‘self-
certifi ed’ loans shou ld sim ilarly be su bject to restriction.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Chou dhry , M. (2007) Bank Asset and Liability Management, John Wiley
Asia.
Cox , J., Ingersoll, J., and Ross, S. (1981) ‘The relationship betw een forw ard
prices and fu tu res prices,’ Journal of Financial Economics, 9, Decem ber,
321–346.
Fabozzi, F. and Mann, S. (2001) Introduction to Fixed Income Analytics,
FJF Associates, Chapter 2.
French, K. (1983) ‘A com parison of fu tu res and forw ards prices,’ Journal of
Financial Economics, 12, Nov em ber, 311–342.
Hu ll, J. (1999) O ptions, Futures and O ther D erivatives, Fou rth Edition,
Prentice-Hall.
Jarrow , R. and Oldfi eld, G. (1981) ‘Forw ard contracts and fu tu res contracts,’
Journal of Financial Economics, 9, Decem ber, 373–382.
Kim ber, A. (2004) C redit Risk, Ox ford: Elsev ier.
Merton, R.C. (1974) ‘On the pricing of corporate debt: The risk stru ctu re of
interest rates,’ Journal of Finance, 29(2), May , 449–470.
Ru binstein, M. (1999) Rubinstein on D erivatives, RISK Pu blishing,
Chapter 2.
Windas, T. (1993) An Introduction to O ption-Adjusted Spread Analysis,
Bloom berg Pu blishing, Chapter 3
An Introduction to Banking: Liquidity Risk and Asset–Liability Management
By Moorad Choudhry
Copyright © 2011 Moorad Choudhry.
Chapter
5
ASSET AND
LIABILITY
MANAGEMENT I
144 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Basic concepts
In fi nancial m ark ets the tw o m ain strands of risk m anagem ent are
interest rate risk and liqu idity risk . ALM practice is concerned w ith
m anaging this risk . Interest rate risk ex ists in tw o strands . The fi rst
strand is the m ore obv iou s one: the risk of changes in asset–liability
v alu e du e to changes in interest rates. Su ch a change im pacts the
cashfl ow s of assets and liabilities as w ell as their present v alu e,
becau se fi nancial instru m ents are v alu ed w ith reference to m ark et
interest rates. The second strand is that associated w ith optionality ,
w hich arises w ith produ cts su ch as early -redeem able loans. The
other m ain ty pe of risk that ALM seek s to m anage is liqu idity
risk , w hich refers to both the liqu idity of m ark ets and the ease
w ith w hich assets can be translated to cash.
ALM is condu cted prim arily at an ov erv iew , balance sheet lev el. The
risk that is m anaged is an aggregate, grou p lev el risk . This m ak es
sense becau se one cou ld not m anage a v iable bank ing bu sines s by
leav ing interest rate and liqu idity risk m anagem ent at indiv idu al
operating lev els. We illu strate this at Figu re 5.1, w hich illu strates the
cornerstones of ALM. Essentially , interest rate risk ex posu re is
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT I 145
m anaged at the grou p lev el by the Treasu ry desk . The driv ers are the
different cu rrency interest rates, w ith each ex posu re being m ade u p
of the net present v alu e (NPV) of cashfl ow as it changes w ith changes
in interest rates. The discou nt rate u sed to calcu late NPV is the
prev ailing m ark et rate for each tim e bu ck et in the term stru ctu re.
Interest rate ex posu re arises becau se rates fl u ctu ate from day to day ,
and continu ou sly ov er tim e. The prim ary risk is that of interest rate
reset for fl oating rate assets and liabilities. The secondary risk is
liqu idity risk : u nless assets and liabilities are m atched by am ou nt
and term , assets m u st be fu nded on a continu ou s rolling basis.
Equ ally , the receipt of fu nds m u st be placed on a continu ou s
basis. Whether an asset carries a fi x ed or fl oating rate reset w ill
determ ine its ex posu re to interest rate fl u ctu ations. Where an
asset is m ark ed at a fi x ed rate, a rise in rates w ill redu ce its NPV
and so redu ce its v alu e to the bank . This is intu itiv ely easy to grasp,
ev en w ithou t recou rse to fi nancial arithm etic, becau se w e can see
146 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
that the asset is now pay ing a below -m ark et rate of interest. Or w e
can think of it as a loss du e to opportu nity cost foregone, since the
assets are earning below w hat they cou ld earn if they w ere em ploy ed
elsew here in the m ark et. The opposite applies if there is a fall in
rates: this cau ses the NPV of the asset to rise. For assets m ark ed at a
fl oating rate of interest, the ex posu re to fl u ctu ating rates is m u ch
less , becau se the rate receiv able on the asset w ill reset at periodic
interv als, w hich w ill allow for changes in m ark et rates.
We speak of risk ex posu re as being for the grou p as a w hole. This
ex posu re m u st therefore aggregate the net risk of all the bank ’s
operating bu s iness. Ev en for the sim plest bank ing operation, w e
can see that this w ill produ ce a net m is m atch betw een assets and
liabilities, becau se different bu s iness lines w ill hav e differing objec-
tiv es for their indiv idu al book s . This m ism atch w ill m anifest itself
in tw o w ay s:
the m is m atch betw een the different term s of assets and liabilities
across the term stru ctu re;
the m ism atch betw een the different interest rates that each asset
or liability contract has been stru ck at.
This m is m atch is k now n as the ALM gap. The fi rst ty pe is referred to
as the liquidity gap, w hile the second is k now n as the interest rate
gap. We v alu e assets and liabilities at their NPV; hence, w e can
m easu re the ov erall sensitiv ity of balance sheet NPV to changes
in interest rates. As su ch, then, ALM is an art that encom pas ses
aggregate balance sheet risk m anagem ent at the grou p lev el.
Figu re 5.2 show s the aggregate grou p lev el ALM profi le for a
deriv ativ es trading hou s e based in London. There is a slight term
m is m atch as no assets are deem ed to hav e ‘ov ernight’ m atu rity
w hereas a signifi cant portion of fu nding (liabilities) is in the ov er-
night term . One thing w e do not k now from look ing at Figu re 5.2 is
how this particu lar institu tion defi nes the m atu rity of its assets. To
place them in the relev ant m atu rity bu ck ets, one can adopt one of
tw o approaches, nam ely :
actu al du ration of the assets;
‘liqu idity du ration’, w hich is the estim ated tim e it w ou ld tak e the
fi rm to dispose of its assets in an enforced or ‘fi resale’ situ ation,
su ch as a w ithdraw al from bu s iness.
Each approach has its adherents ; there is no single ‘right’ w ay . It is u p
to the indiv idu al institu tion to adopt one m ethod and then consis -
tently adhere to it. The second approach has the disadv antage,
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT I 147
Figure 5.2 A deriv ativ es trading hou se’s ALM profi le.
how ev er, of being inherently su bjectiv e – estim ating the tim e tak en
to dispose of an asset book is not an ex act science and is little m ore
than edu cated gu essw ork . Nev ertheless, for long-dated and/or illi-
qu id assets, it is at least a w ork able m ethod that enables practi-
tioners to w ork arou nd a specifi ed ALM fram ew ork w ith regard to
stru ctu ring the liability profi le.
Liquidity gap
There is clearly risk ex posu re as a resu lt of liqu idity m ism atches
betw een assets and liabilities. Matu rity term s w ill not m atch,
thereby creating a liqu idity gap. The am ou nt of assets and liabilities
m atu ring at any one tim e w ill also not m atch (althou gh ov erall, by
defi nition, assets m u st equ al liabilities). Liqu idity risk is the risk
that a bank w ill not be able to refi nanc e assets as liabilities becom e
du e, for any reason. 1 To m anage this, the bank w ill hold a large
portion of assets in v ery liqu id form . 2 A su rplu s of assets ov er
It can of cou rse lock in fu tu re fu nding rates w ith forw ard-starting loans,
w hich is one w ay to m anage liqu idity risk .
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT I 149
be raised as requ ired, or that the rate pay able on these fu nds is
prohibitiv e. 4 To m anage this risk , a bank m u st
disperse the fu nding profi le (the liability profi le) ov er m ore than
ju st a short period of tim e. For ex am ple, it w ou ld be ex cessiv ely
risk y to concentrate fu nding in ju st the ov ernight to 1-w eek tim e
bu ck et, so a bank w ill spread the profi le across a nu m ber of tim e
bu ck ets. Figu re 5.3 show s the liability profi le for a Eu ropean
m u lti-cu rrency asset-back ed com m ercial paper program m e,
w ith liabilities ex tending from 1 m onth to 1 y ear;
m anage ex pectations su ch that large-size fu nding requ irem ents
are diarized w ell in adv ance – not planned for tim es of low
liqu idity su ch as the Christm as and New Year period;
hold a signifi cant proportion of assets in the form of v ery liqu id
instru m ents su ch as v ery -short-term cash loans, Treasu ry
bills and high-qu ality short-term bank certifi cates of deposit
(CDs).
Follow ing these gu idelines leads to a reserv e of liqu idity that can be
tu rned into cash at v ery short notice in the ev ent of a fu nding crisis.
The size of the liqu idity gap at any one instant is nev er m ore than a
snapshot in tim e, becau se it is constantly changing as new com m it-
Of cou rse, the opposite applies w hen the gap risk refers to an ex cess of
liabilities ov er assets.
150 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Table 5.1 Sim plifi ed ALM profi le for regional Eu ropean bank
12 m onths
9–12 m onth
1 m onth
3 m onth
6 m onth
1 w eek
Total
Assets 10 90 460 710 520 100 1,890
Liabilities 100 380 690 410 220 90 1,890
Gap 90 290 230 300 300 10
Marginal gap 200 60 530 0 290
m ents are entered into on both the asset and liability size. For this
reason som e w riters speak of a ‘static’ gap and a ‘dy nam ic’ gap, bu t in
practice one recognizes that there is only ev er a dy nam ic gap,
becau se the position changes daily . Hence, w e w ill refer only to a
liqu idity gap.
We illu strate these v alu es in Table 5.1. This is a sim plifi ed asset–
liability profi le from a regional Eu ropean bank , show ing gap and
m arginal gap at each tim e period. Note that liabilities hav e been
stru ctu red to produ ce an ‘ALM sm ile’, w hich is recognized as follow -
ing pru dent bu sines s practice. Generally , no m ore than 20% of total
fu nding shou ld be in the ov ernight to 1-w eek tim e bu ck et – sim ilarly
for the 9-to-12-m onth bu ck et. The m arginal gap is m easu red as the
difference betw een the change in assets and liabilities from one
period to the nex t.
Figu re 5.4 show s the graphical profi le of the nu m bers in Table 5.1.
Liquidity risk
Liqu idity risk ex posu re arises from norm al bank ing operations.
That is, it ex ists irrespectiv e of the ty pe of fu nding gap, be it
ex cess assets ov er liabilities for any particu lar tim e bu ck et or an
ex cess of liabilities ov er assets. In other w ords, there is a fu nding
risk in any case: either fu nds m u st be obtained or su rplu s assets
laid off. The liqu idity risk in itself generates interest rate risk as a
resu lt of u ncertainty abou t fu tu re interest rates. This can be
m anaged throu gh interest rate hedging, w hich w as discu s sed in
Chapter 4.
If assets are fl oating rate, there is less concern ov er interest rate risk
becau se of the natu re of interest rate reset. This also applies to
fl oating rate liabilities, bu t only in so far as they m atch fl oating
rate assets. Floating rate liabilities issu ed to fu nd fi x ed rate assets
create forw ard risk ex posu re to rising interest rates. Note that ev en if
both assets and liabilities are fl oating rate, they can still generate
interest rate risk . For ex am ple, if assets pay 6-m onth Libor and
liabilities pay 3-m onth Libor, there is an interest rate spread risk
betw een the tw o term s. Su ch an arrangem ent has elim inated
liqu idity risk , bu t not interest rate spread risk .
Matched book
The sim plest w ay to m anage liqu idity and interest rate risk is the
m atched book approach, also k now n as cashflow matching. This is
actu ally v ery rare to observ e in practice, ev en am ong conserv ativ e
institu tions su ch as the sm aller UK bu ilding societies . In the
m atched book approach, assets and liabilities as w ell as their tim e
profi les are m atched as closely as possible. This inclu des allow ing for
am ortization of assets. 6 As w ell as m atching m atu rities and tim e
profi les, the interest rate basis for both assets and liabilities w ill be
m atched. That is, fi x ed loans to fu nd fi x ed rate assets and the sam e
for fl oating rate assets and liabilities. Floating rate instru m ents
w ill fu rther need to m atch the period of each interest rate reset to
elim inate spread risk .
Under a m atched book , there is theoretically no liqu idity gap.
Lock ing in term s and interest rate bases w ill also lock in profi t.
For instance, a 6-m onth fi x ed rate loan is fu nded by a 6-m onth
fi x ed rate deposit. This w ou ld elim inate both liqu idity and interest
rate risk . In a cu stom er-focu sed bu sines s it w ill not be possible to
precisely m atch assets and liabilities, bu t from a m acro-lev el it
shou ld be possible to m atch the profi les fairly closely , by netting
total ex posu re on both sides and m atching this. Of cou rse, it m ay not
be desirable to ru n a m atched book , as this w ou ld m ean the ALM
book w as not tak ing any v iew at all on the path of fu tu re interest
rates. Hence, a part of the book is u su ally left u nm atched, and this is
the part that w ill benefi t (or lose ou t) if rates go the w ay they are
ex pected (or not!).
Many bank assets, su ch as residential m ortgages and credit card loans, are
repaid before their legal m atu rity date. Thu s, the size of the asset book is
constantly am ortizing.
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT I 153
clients’ behav iou r and their requ irem ents ov er tim e to be able to
asses s w hen and for how long these assets w ill be u tilized.
Undated assets are balanced on the other side by u ndated liabilities,
su ch as non-interest-bearing liabilities (NIBLs) w hich inclu de
chequ e accou nts and instant access deposit accou nts. The latter
frequ ently attract v ery low rates of interest – hence, they can be
inclu ded in the NIBL total. Undated liabilities are treated in different
w ay s by bank s; the m ost com m on treatm ent places these fu nds in
the shortes t tim e bu ck et, the ov ernight to 1-w eek bu ck et. How ev er,
this m eans a bank ’s gap and liqu idity profi le can be highly v olatile
and u npredictable, w hich places greater strain on ALM m anage-
m ent. For this reason som e bank s tak e the opposite approach and
place these fu nds in the longest dated bu ck et, the 12-m onth
bu ck et. A third approach is to split total u ndated liabilities into a
‘core’ balance and an ‘u nstable’ balance, and place the fi rst in the
long-date bu ck et and the second in the shortes t dated bu ck et. The
am ou nt recognized as the core balance w ill need to be analy sed ov er
tim e to m ak e su re it is accu rate.
Managing liquidity
Managing liqu idity gaps and the liqu idity process is both continu ou s
and dy nam ic becau se the ALM profi le of a bank changes on a daily
basis. Liqu idity m anagem ent is the term u sed to describe this con-
tinu ou s process of raising and lay ing off fu nds, depending on w hether
one is long or short cash that day .
The basis prem ise is a sim ple one: the bank m u st be ‘squ ared off ’ by
the end of each day , w hich m eans ensu ring the net cash position is
zero. Thu s, liqu idity m anagem ent is both v ery short term as w ell as
projected ov er the long term , becau se ev ery position pu t on today
creates a fu nding requ irem ent in the fu tu re on its m atu rity date.
The ALM desk m u st be aw are of its fu tu re fu nding or ex cess cash
positions and act accordingly , w hether this m eans raising fu nds now
or hedging forw ard interest rate risk .
There are also ex ternal factors to tak e into accou nt. For instance, the
av ailability of fu nds in the m ark et m ay be lim ited, du e to both
m acro-lev el issu es and to the bank ’s ow n ability to raise fu nds.
The form er m ight be du ring tim es of m ark et correction or recess ion
(a ‘credit cru nch’), w hile the latter m ight inclu de the bank ’s credit
lines w ith m ark et cou nterparties. Moreov er, som e fu nds w ill hav e
been raised in the capital m ark ets and this cash w ill cov er part of the
fu nding requ irem ent. In addition, the ALM desk m u st consider the
cost of the fu nds it is borrow ing – for ex am ple, if it thou ght that
interest rates in the short term , or for short-term periods, w as going
to fall, it m ight cov er the gap w ith only short-term fu nds so that it
can then refi nance at ex pected low er rates. The opposite m ight be
done if the desk thou ght rates w ou ld rise in the near fu tu re.
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT I 155
Ru nning a liqu idity gap ov er tim e, bey ond cu stom er requ irem ents ,
w ou ld refl ect a particu lar v iew of the ALM desk . So, m aintaining a
consistently u nderfu nded position su ggests that interest rates are
ex pected to decline, and so longer term fu nds can be tak en at cost.
Maintaining an ov erfu nded gap w ou ld im ply that the bank think s
rates w ill be rising, and so longer term fu nds are lock ed in now at
low er interest rates. Ev en if the net position is dictated by cu stom er
requ irem ents – for ex am ple, cu stom ers placing m ore on deposit than
they tak e ou t in loans – the bank can still m anage the resu ltant gap in
the w holesale m ark et.
Generally , ex cess liabilities at a bank are a rare occu rrence and,
u nder m ost circu m stances , su ch a position is clearly u ndesirable.
This is becau se the bank w ill hav e to achiev e target retu rn on capital
ratios, and this requ ires fu nds to be pu t to w ork , so to speak , by
acqu iring assets. In the case of equ ity capital it is im perativ e that
these fu nds are properly em ploy ed. 7 The ex act stru ctu re of the asset
book w ill depend on the bank ’s v iew on interest rates and the y ield
cu rv e generally . The shape of the y ield cu rv e and ex pectations on
this w ill also infl u ence the stru ctu re and tenor of the asset book . The
com m on practice is to spread assets across the term stru ctu re, w ith
v ary ing m atu rities. There w ill also be inv estm ents m ade w ith a
forw ard start date, to lock in rates in the forw ard cu rv e now .
Equ ally , som e inv estm ents w ill be m ade for v ery short periods so
that if interest rates rise, w hen the fu nds are reinv ested they w ill
benefi t from the higher rates.
The bank ’s capital w ill be inv ested in risk -free assets su ch as gov ernm ent
T-bills or, in som e cases, bank CDs. It w ill not be lent ou t in norm al
bank ing operations becau se the ALM desk w ill not w ant to pu t capital in a
credit-risk y inv estm ent.
156 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Tim e
Scenario (i)
Assets 970 840 1,250
Liabilities 380 430 1,120
Gap 590 410 130
Borrow 1: three-period tenor 130 130 130
Borrow 2: tw o-period tenor 280 280
Borrow 3: single-period tenor 180
Total fu nding 590 410 130
Squ ared off 0 0 0
Scenario (ii)
Assets 970 840 1,250
Liabilities 720 200 1,200
Gap 250 640 50
Borrow 1: three-period tenor 50 50 130
Borrow 2: tw o-period tenor 200 200
Borrow 3: single-period tenor 0 390
Total fu nding 250 640 50
Squ ared off 0 0 0
We look at the m echanics of this, u sing different deriv ativ e instru m ents,
in Chapter 4.
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT I 157
term only . Under m ost circu m stances , and certainly u nder a positiv e
y ield cu rv e env ironm ent, it w ou ld be ex pected to be abov e 1.00;
how ev er, this is less com m on at the v ery short end becau se the
av erage tenor of assets is often greater than the av erage tenor of
liabilities. So, in the 1-m onth to 3-m onth tenor period – and
perhaps ou t to the 6-m onth tenor – the ratio m ay w ell be less
than 1. This refl ects the fact that short-term borrow ing is u sed to
fu nd longer term assets.
A ratio signifi cantly below 1 is ineffi cient from an ROE point of v iew .
It represents an opportu nity cost of retu rn foregone. To m anage it,
bank s m ay inv est m ore fu nds in the v ery short term , bu t this also
presents its ow n problem s becau se retu rn on these assets m ay not be
su ffi cient. This is especially tru e in a positiv e y ield cu rv e env iron-
m ent. This is one scenario w here a m atched book approach w ill be
pru dent, becau se the bank shou ld be able to lock in a bid–offer spread
at the v ery short end of the y ield cu rv e. 9 A m ore risk y approach
w ou ld be to lend in the short term and fu nd them in the long term ,
bu t this w ou ld create problem s becau se the term prem iu m in the
y ield cu rv e w ill m ak e borrow ing in the long term ex pensiv e relativ e
to the retu rn on short-dated assets (u nless w e hav e an inv erted y ield
cu rv e). There is also the liqu idity risk associated w ith the m ore
frequ ent rolling ov er of assets than liabilities. We see then, that
m aintaining the liqu idity ratio carries som ething of a cost for bank s.
In addition, the bank shou ld be able to raise fu nds at Libor, w hile it shou ld
be able to lend at Libor plu s a spread in short-dated interbank credit qu ality
assets.
158 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
som etim es k now n as the ‘liqu id asset bu ffer’ and is ty pically m ade
u p of AAA-rated gov ernm ent bonds .
Prior to the Lehm an collapse, som e bank s had stopped follow ing
m ark et best practice and had ceased to m aintain a liqu id portfolio of
gov ernm ent bonds (w hich, being credit-risk -free assets, pay the
low est RoC), or had constru cted the liqu id portfolio ou t of bank -
issu ed certifi cates of deposit (CDs) and fl oating rate notes (FRNs).
How ev er, these assets w ere show n to su ffer from poor liqu idity
u nder the m ark et crisis conditions that prev ailed betw een
October and Decem ber 2008, so bu sines s best practice philosophy
has since changed and bank s now m aintain a gov ernm ent bond
liqu idity portfolio.
Example 5.1 Hy pothetical bank (XYZ Secu rities) sov ereign bond
portfolio for repo and interest rate hedging
Expected return
The fu ndam ental gain is rem ov al of the requ irem ent to hold
Eu rodollar fu tu res. In a rising interest rate env ironm ent, this
w ill signifi cantly redu ce hedging costs.
See Chapter 2.
160 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Example 5.2 XYZ Secu rities’ sov ereign bond portfolio for
interest rate hedging: no lending bu sines s
Background
As part of its k ey bu s iness fu nction, XYZ Secu rities’ Treasu ry
fu nction m aintains a large short cash position. It is not able to tak e
the other side in the m ark et, w hich w ou ld giv e it added fl ex ibility
in its dealing arrangem ents and ALM m anagem ent, as w ell as
m ore effi cient m echanism s for interest rate risk hedging. This also
m eans the Treasu ry desk is restricted in bu ilding cou nterparty
relationships and fu nding sou rce div ersity .
In look ing to div ersify its bu sines s m ix – to achiev e cheaper
interest rate risk m anagem ent and a m ore activ e ALM approach –
it m aintains a portfolio of v ery short-dated US Treasu ry secu rities
and Treasu ry strip (zero-cou pon) bonds , fu nded in repo. This w ou ld
be held to
establish a risk -free portfolio that generates fu nding gain;
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT I 161
earning the spread betw een y ield and fu nding cost; a bonu s
that is not av ailable w hen u sing Eu rodollar fu tu res for DV01
hedging, w hich do not earn any incom e;
u sing the bu sines s to set u p dealing relationships w ith bank
cou nterparties w hich cou ld then be u sed as sou rces of addi-
tional fu nding if requ ired, adding to the div ersity of fu nding
(requ ired as part of the Treasu ry desk ’s rem it);
assisting the Treasu ry desk to u ndertak e ALM objectiv es
throu gh low er cost hedging of DV01 risk , com pared w ith
fu tu res w hich im pos e a cost on the book .
All fu nding w ill be lock ed in to m atu rity , thu s there is no gap
risk .
Risks
There is no gap (fu nding) risk and no credit risk .
Ju st lik e the positions on a trading book – rather than a bank ing
book – they w ill be m ark ed-to-m ark et. The desk ex pects v olatility
in short-dated gov ernm ent bonds to be low er than for the term
loans they are hedging, bu t v olatility is a risk ex posu re and there
m ay be periods w hen the desk w ill ex perience m ark -to-m ark et
losses.
Com m ercial bank s and bu ilding societies are natu ral holders of
gov ernm ent bonds su ch as gilts. They do so for the follow ing
reasons :
becau se gilts are the m ost liqu id instru m ents in the UK
m ark et;
as an instru m ent in w hich to inv est the fi rm ’ s capital reserv es;
for incom e generation pu rposes, giv en the fav ou rable fu nding
costs of gilt repo as w ell as zero credit and liqu idity risk ;
to interm ediate betw een gilt, stock loans and interbank
m ark ets in CDs;
to benefi t from being long in gilts that go special and can be
fu nded at any thing from 25 bp to 2% to 3% cheaper than GC
repo;
to establish an asset pool that receiv es fav ou rable capital
treatm ent (0% risk -w eighted u nder Basel I and Basel II);
The benefi ts to XYZ of holding su ch a portfolio inclu de som e of the
abov e, as w ell as the follow ing:
earning the spread betw een y ield and fu nding cost;
u sing the bu sines s to set u p dealing relationships w ith bank
cou nterparties that cou ld then be u sed as sou rces of additional
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT I 163
fu nding if requ ired, adding to the div ersity of fu nding (requ ired
as part of the Treasu ry desk ’s rem it);
assisting the Treasu ry desk in u ndertak ing ALM objectiv es.
Business line
A UK gov ernm ent bond portfolio at XYZ’s Treasu ry desk has the
objectiv e of m aintaining an incom e stream that is div ersifi ed from
cu rrent sou rces and that is also relativ ely low risk , bu t stable. This
is achiev ed by
Establishing a portfolio of v ery short-dated gilts and gilt
strips on the balance sheet (m ax im u m m atu rity recom m ended
1 y ear, the m ajority in 3 to 6 m onths). The ex pected m ak eu p of
the book m ight be
125 m illion 3 m onths
200 m illion 6 m onths
25 m illion 1 y ear
the av erage m atu rity of the portfolio in the fi rst y ear w ou ld
be arou nd 6 m onths.
Fu nding these in gilt repo – u nder the GMRA agreem ent – and
fu nding u sing TRS – u nder ISDA – if requ ired. The repo-
fu nding m argin for gilts in the w holesale m ark et is often 0% .
With a zero or v ery low m argin – that is, a haircu t – all
positions w ill be v irtu ally fu lly fu nded.
Holding gilts and gilt strips to m atu rity to generate a steady
incom e stream . With u ltra-short-dated strips, w e also benefi t
from the pu ll-to-par effect.
Market rates
Table 5.3 show s incom e y ields and fu nding rates as at 2 Ju ne 2004.
This show s w here v alu e w as obtained from holding a book of gilts
in the fi rst instance. For ex am ple, all the follow ing positions
y ielded fu nding profi t:
Hold gilts and fu nd in GC; depending on the specifi c stock
and the term of fu nding arranged, a gain ranging from 15 bp to
50–60 bp.
Hold strips to m atu rity . For ex am ple, a gain of approx im ately
35 bp for a Dec 04 principal strip at 1-w eek or 2-w eek fu nding;
and a lock ed-in fu nding gain of 9 bp for a Dec 04 strip (bu y a
6-m onth strip and fu nd in 6 m onths) – this is risk -free incom e.
164 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
GC rates
1w 4.15 4.10
2w 4.25 4.15
3w 4.25 4.15
1m 4.25 4.15
2m 4.28 4.18
3m 4.32 4.22
4m 4.40 4.30
5m 4.43 4.33
6m 4.50 4.40
9m 4.67 4.57
1y 4.78 4.68
5% Ju n 04 4.05
6T Nov 04 4.33 0.00416 100 bp
9H Apr 05 4.668 0.00817 35 bp cheaper than GC
8H Dec 05 4.818 0.014 25 bp cheaper, dow n from 1.5%
7T Sep 06 4.945 0.02141
7H Dec 06 4.966 0.02364 10 bp
G RY% D V01
P Ju n 04 3.78
C Sep 04 4.342 0.00195
C Dec 04 4.509 0.00432
C Mar 05 4.633 0.00664
C Ju n 05 4.744 0.00888
C Sep 05 4.829 0.01107
P Dec 05 4.85 0.01321
Hold strips at 3-m onth, 6-m onth and 9-m onth m atu rities as
longer dated bills and hold to m atu rity . Fu nding w ill be lock ed
in if av ailable or rolled.
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT I 165
Risks
The principle risk is fu nding rollov er (gap risk ). Where possible w e
w ill lock in fu nding to m atch ex pected holding period of positions,
bu t w ill also look to tak e adv antage of m ark et rates as appropriate
and roll ov er fu nding. Gap risk w ill be m anaged in the norm al w ay
as part of ov erall Treasu ry operations. Gaps w ill be pu t on to refl ect
the interest rate and y ield cu rv e v iew of the desk .
Interest rate risk and gap risk are m anaged as a standard bank ing
ALM or cash book . The objectiv e is to set u p an incom e stream
position at low risk , bu t if necessary DV01 risk w ou ld be m anaged
w here deem ed necessary u sing 90-day sterling fu tu res, OIS or
short-dated sw aps. XYZ can also sell ou t of positions w here it
ex pects signifi cant m ark et m ov em ent – for ex am ple, a central
bank base rate hik e. The m ain objectiv e, how ev er, is to establish
an incom e stream , in line w ith a v iew on short-term interest rates.
Hedging w ou ld only be carried ou t w hen necessary for short-term
periods (say , ahead of a data release or anticipated high v olatility ).
Chapter
6
ASSET AND
LIABILITY
MANAGEMENT II
168 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
INTRODUCTION
For new com ers to the su bject, an ex cellent introdu ction to the
prim ary activ ity of bank ing is contained in an article in The Econ-
omist entitled ‘The bu sines s of bank ing’. 2 Those w ho are com plete
beginners m ay w ish to refer to this article. In this section w e prov ide
an ov erv iew of the m ain bu s iness of bank ing before considering the
su bject of ALM.
One of the m ajor areas of decision-m ak ing in a bank inv olv es the
m atu rity of assets and liabilities. Ty pically , longer term interest
rates are higher than shorter term rates; that is, it is com m on for
In this chapter the term liquidity is u sed to refer to fu nding liqu idity .
The Economist, 30 October 1999.
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 169
the y ield cu rv e in the short term (say 0-to-3-y ear range) to be posi-
tiv ely sloping. To tak e adv antage of this bank s u su ally raise a large
proportion of their fu nds from the short-dated end of the y ield cu rv e
and lend ou t these fu nds for longer m atu rities at higher rates. The
spread betw een borrow ing and lending rates is in principle the bank ’s
profi t. The obv iou s risk from su ch a strategy is that the lev el of short-
term rates rises du ring the term of the loan, so that w hen the loan is
refi nanced the bank m ak es a low er profi t or a net loss. Managing
this risk ex posu re is the k ey fu nction of an ALM desk . As w ell as
m anaging the interest rate risk itself, bank s also m atch assets w ith
liabilities – thu s lock ing in a profi t – and div ersify their loan book , to
redu ce ex posu re to one sector of the econom y .
Another risk factor is liqu idity . From a bank ing and Treasu ry point of
v iew the term liquidity m eans fu nding liqu idity , or the ‘nearness’ of
m oney . The m ost liqu id asset is cash m oney . Bank s bear sev eral
interrelated liqu idity risk s, inclu ding the risk of being u nable to pay
depositors on dem and, an inability to raise fu nds in the m ark et at
reasonable rates and an insu ffi cient lev el of fu nds av ailable w ith
w hich to m ak e loans. Bank s k eep only a sm all portion of their
assets in the form of cash, becau se this earns no retu rn for them .
In fact, once they hav e m et the m inim u m cash lev el requ irem ent,
w hich is som ething set dow n by international regu lation (rev iew ed
in the prev iou s chapter), they w ill hold assets in the form of other
instru m ents . Therefore, the ability to m eet deposit w ithdraw als
depends on a bank ’s ability to raise fu nds in the m ark et. The
m ark et and the pu blic’s perception of a bank ’s fi nancial position
heav ily infl u enc es liqu idity . If this v iew is v ery negativ e, the
bank m ay be u nable to raise fu nds and consequ ently be u nable to
m eet w ithdraw als or loan dem and. Thu s, liqu idity m anagem ent is
ru nning a bank in a w ay that m aintains confi dence in its fi nancial
position. The assets of the bank s that are held in near-cash instru -
m ents, su ch as Treasu ry bills and clearing bank CDs, m u st be
m anaged w ith liqu idity considerations in m ind. The asset book
on w hich these instru m ents are held is som etim es called the
liquidity book.
Basic concepts
In the era of stable interest rates that preceded the break dow n of
the Bretton Woods agreem ent, ALM w as a m ore straightforw ard
process, constrained by regu latory restrictions and the sav ing and
170 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
borrow ing pattern of bank cu stom ers.3 The introdu ction of the
negotiable certifi cate of deposit by Citibank in the 1960s enabled
bank s to div ersify both their inv estm ent and fu nding sou rces . With
this there dev eloped the concept of interest margin, w hich is the
spread betw een the interest earned on assets and that paid on liabil-
ities. This led to the concept of interest gap and m anagem ent of the
gap, w hich is the cornerstone of m odern-day ALM. The increasing
v olatility of interest rates, and the rise in absolu te lev els of rates
them s elv es, m ade gap m anagem ent a v ital part of ru nning the
bank ing book . This dev elopm ent m eant that bank s cou ld no
longer rely perm anently on the traditional approach of borrow ing
short (fu nding short) to lend long, as a rise in the lev el of short-term
rates w ou ld resu lt in fu nding losses. The introdu ction of deriv ativ e
instru m ents su ch as FRAs and sw aps in the early 1980s rem ov ed the
prev iou s u ncertainty and allow ed bank s to continu e the traditional
approach w hile hedging against m ediu m -term u ncertainty .
Foundations of ALM
The general term asset and liability management entered com m on
u sage from the m id-1970s onw ards . Under a changing-interest-rate
env ironm ent, it becam e im perativ e for bank s to m anage both assets
and liabilities sim u ltaneou s ly , in order to m inim ize interest rate and
liqu idity risk and m ax im ize interest incom e. ALM is a k ey com -
ponent of any fi nancial institu tion’s ov erall operating strategy . As
described in prev iou s tex ts (Marshall and Bansal, 1992, pp. 498–501)
ALM is defi ned in term s of fou r k ey concepts, w hich are described
below .
The fi rst is liquidity, w hich in an ALM contex t does not refer to the
ease w ith w hich an asset can be bou ght or sold in the secondary
For instance, in the US bank ing sector term s on deposit accou nts w ere
fi x ed by regu lation, and there w ere restrictions on the geographic base of
cu stom ers and the interest rates that cou ld be offered. Interest rate
v olatility w as also low . In this env ironm ent ALM consisted prim arily of
asset m anagem ent, in w hich the bank w ou ld u se depositors’ fu nds to
arrange the asset portfolio that w as m ost appropriate for the liability
portfolio. This inv olv ed little m ore than setting aside som e of the assets
in non-interest reserv es at the central bank and inv esting the balance in
short-term secu rities, w hile any su rplu s w ou ld be lent ou t at v ery -short-
term m atu rities.
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 171
m ark et, bu t the ease w ith w hich assets can be conv erted into cash.4
A bank ing book is requ ired by the regu latory au thorities to hold a
specifi ed m inim u m share of its assets in the form of v ery liqu id
instru m ents . Liqu idity is v ery im portant to any institu tion that
accepts deposits becau se of the need to m eet cu stom er dem and
for instant access fu nds. In term s of a bank ing book the m ost
liqu id assets are ov ernight fu nds, w hile the least liqu id are
m ediu m -term bonds . Short-term assets su ch as T-bills and CDs
are also considered to be v ery liqu id.
The fou rth k ey concept is default risk: the risk ex posu re that
borrow ers w ill defau lt on interest or principal pay m ents that are
du e to the bank ing institu tion.
Ass u m e that a bank w ants to access the m ark ets for 3-m onth and
6-m onth fu nds, w hether for fu nding or inv estm ent pu rposes. The
The m ark etability defi nition of liqu idity is also im portant in ALM. Less
liqu id fi nancial instru m ents m u st offer a y ield prem iu m that can be
com pared w ith liqu id instru m ents.
172 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
rates for these term s are show n in Table 6.1. Assu m e there are no
bid–offer spreads. The ALM m anager also ex pects the 3-m onth
Libor rate in 3 m onths’ tim e to be 5.10% . The bank can u su ally
fu nd its book at Libor w hile it is able to lend at Libor plu s 1% .
hedge (and also su ggests that the m ark et does not agree
w ith the ALM m anager’s assessm ent of w here rates w ill be
3 m onths from now !); the price the bank m u st pay for redu cing
u ncertainty is low er spread retu rn. Alternativ ely , the bank
cou ld lend for a 6-m onth period, fu nding initially for a
3-m onth period, and bu y an interest rate cap w ith a ceiling
rate of 6.60% that is pegged to Libor, the rate at w hich the bank
can actu ally fu nd its book .
Althou gh sim plistic, these scenarios serv e to illu strate w hat is
possible; indeed, there are m any other strategies that cou ld be
adopted. The approaches described in the last option show how
deriv ativ e instru m ents can activ ely be u sed to m anage the bank ing
book and the cost associated w ith em ploy ing them .
ALM cov ering the form u lation of interest rate risk policy is u su ally
the responsibility of w hat is k now n as the asset–liability com m ittee
(ALCO), w hich is m ade u p of senior m anagem ent personnel
inclu ding the fi nance director and the heads of Treasu ry and risk
m anagem ent. The ALCO sets bank policy for balance sheet m anage-
m ent and the lik ely im pact on rev enu e of v ariou s scenarios that it
considers m ay occu r. The nu m ber of people w ho sit on the ALCO
w ill depend on the com plex ity of the balance sheet and produ cts
traded, as w ell as the am ou nt of m anagem ent inform ation av ailable
on indiv idu al produ cts and desk s.
The process em ploy ed by the ALCO for ALM w ill v ary according to
the particu lar internal arrangem ent of the institu tion. A com m on
procedu re inv olv es a m onthly presentation to the ALCO of the
im pact of different interest rate scenarios on the balance sheet.
This presentation m ay inclu de
Analy sis of the difference betw een actu al net interest incom e
(NII) for the prev iou s m onth and the am ou nt that w as forecast at
the prev iou s ALCO m eeting. This is u su ally presented as a gap
report, brok en by m atu rity bu ck ets and indiv idu al produ cts.
The resu lt of discu s sion w ith bu sines s u nit heads on the basis of
the assu m ptions u sed in calcu lating forecasts and the im pact of
interest rate changes; scenario analy sis u su ally assu m es an u n-
changing book position betw een now and 1 m onth later, w hich is
essentially u nrealistic.
A nu m ber of interest rate scenarios, based on assu m ptions of
(a) w hat is ex pected to happen to the shape and lev el of the
y ield cu rv e, and (b) w hat cou ld conceiv ably happen to it – for
ex am ple, ex trem e scenarios. Essentially , this ex ercise produ ces a
v alu e for forecast NII du e to changes in interest rates.
Update of the lates t actu al rev enu e nu m bers .
Specifi c new or one-off topics m ay be introdu ced at the ALCO as
circu m stances dictate; for ex am ple, presentation of an approv al
process for the introdu ction of a new produ ct.
lock in assets w ith m atching liabilities; how ev er, this is not only not
alw ay s possible, bu t also som etim es u ndesirable, as it prev ents the
ALM m anager from tak ing a v iew on the y ield cu rv e. In a falling
interest rate env ironm ent, deposit-tak ing institu tions m ay ex peri-
ence a decline in av ailable fu nds, requ iring new fu nding sou rces
that m ay be accessed at less fav ou rable term s. Liabilities are also
im pacted by a changing interest rate env ironm ent.
There are fi v e prim ary sou rces of interest rate risk inherent in an
ALM book :
G ap risk is the risk that rev enu e and earnings decline as a resu lt
of changes in interest rates, du e to differences betw een the
m atu rity profi les of assets, liabilities and off-balance-sheet
instru m ents. Another term for gap risk is mismatch risk. An
institu tion w ith gap risk is ex posed to changes in the lev el of
the y ield cu rv e – so-called parallel shift – or change in the shape of
the y ield cu rv e – so-called pivotal shift. Gap risk is m easu red in
term s of short-term or long-term risk , w hich is a fu nction of the
im pact of rate changes on earnings for a short or long period.
Therefore, the m atu rity profi le of the book and the tim e to
m atu rity of instru m ents held on the book w ill infl u ence
w hether the bank is ex posed to short-term or long-term gap risk .
Yield curve risk is the risk that non-parallel or piv otal shifts in
the y ield cu rv e cau se a redu ction in NII. The ALM m anager w ill
change the stru ctu re of the book to tak e into accou nt his v iew s on
the y ield cu rv e. For ex am ple, a book w ith a com bination of short-
term and long-term asset or liability m atu rity stru ctu res 6 is at
risk from y ield cu rv e inv ersion, som etim es k now n as a tw ist in
the cu rv e.
Basis risk arises from the fact that assets are often priced off one
interest rate, w hile fu nding is priced off another interest rate.
Tak en one step fu rther, hedge instru m ents are often link ed to a
different interest rate from that of the produ ct they are hedging.
In the US m ark et the best ex am ple of basis risk is the difference
betw een the Prim e rate and Libor. Term loans in the US are often
set at Prim e, or a relationship to Prim e, w hile bank fu nding is
u su ally based on the Eu rodollar m ark et and link ed to Libor.
How ev er, the Prim e rate is w hat is k now n as an ‘adm inis tered’
rate and does not change on a daily basis – u nlik e Libor. While
changes in the tw o rates are positiv ely correlated, they do not
This describes a barbell stru ctu re, bu t this is really a bond m ark et term .
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 177
Figure 6.1 Change in spread betw een Prim e rate and USD 3-m onth
Libor 2009–2010.
Bloom berg L.P. Used w ith perm ission. Visit w w w .bloom berg.com .
stages of dev elopm ent that ALM has u ndergone, althou gh all three
v ersions are part of the ‘traditional’ approach. Practitioners are now
beginning to think of ALM as ex tending bey ond the risk m anage-
m ent fi eld and being responsible for adding v alu e to the net w orth of
the bank , throu gh proactiv e positioning of the book and, hence, the
balance sheet. That is, in addition to the traditional fu nction of
m anaging liqu idity risk and interest rate risk , ALM shou ld be con-
cerned w ith m anaging the regu latory capital of the bank and w ith
activ ely positioning the balance sheet to m ax im ize profi t. The latest
dev elopm ents m ean that there are now fi nancial institu tions that
ru n a m u ch m ore sophisticated ALM operation than that associated
w ith a traditional bank ing book .
Let u s rev iew the traditional and dev eloped elem ents of an ALM
fu nction.
Traditional ALM
Generally , in the past a bank ’s ALM fu nction has been concerned
w ith m anaging the risk associated w ith the bank ing book . This does
not m ean that this fu nction is now obsolete, rather that additional
fu nctions hav e now been added to the ALM role. There are a large
nu m ber of fi nancial institu tions that adopt the traditional approach;
indeed, the natu re of their operations w ou ld not lend them selv es to
any thing m ore. We can su m m arize the role of the traditional ALM
desk as follow s:
Interest rate risk management. This is the interest rate risk
arising from operation of the bank ing book . It inclu des net inter-
est incom e sensitiv ity analy sis – ty pifi ed by m atu rity gap and
du ration gap analy sis – and sensitiv ity of the book to parallel
changes in the y ield cu rv e. The ALM desk w ill m onitor the
ex posu re and position the book in accordance w ith its lim its
as w ell as its m ark et v iew . Sm aller bank s, or su bsidiaries of
bank s that are based ov erseas , often ru n no interest rate risk –
that is, there is no short gap in their book . Apart from this,
the ALM desk is responsible for hedging interest rate risk or
positioning the book in accordance w ith its v iew .
Liquidity and funding management. There are regu latory
requ irem ents that dictate the proportion of bank ing assets that
m u st be held as short-term instru m ents . The liqu idity book in
a bank is responsible for ru nning the portfolio of short-term
instru m ents. The ex act m ak eu p of the book is, how ev er, the
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 183
Maturity gap analy sis m easu res the cash difference or gap betw een
the absolu te v alu es of assets and liabilities that are sensitiv e to
m ov em ents in interest rates. Therefore, the analy sis m easu res the
relativ e interest rate sensitiv ities of assets and liabilities, and thu s
determ ines the risk profi le of the bank w ith respect to changes in
rates. The gap ratio is giv en as:
Interest Rate-sensitiv e assets
Gap ratio 61
Interest Rate-sensitiv e liabilities
It m easu res w hether there are m ore interest-rate-sensitiv e assets
than liabilities. A gap ratio higher than 1, for ex am ple, indicates
that a rise in interest rates w ill increase the net present v alu e of the
book , thu s raising the retu rn on assets at a rate higher than the rise
in the cost of fu nding. This also resu lts in a higher incom e spread.
A gap ratio low er than 1 indicates a rising fu nding cost. D uration
gap analy sis m easu res im pact on the net w orth of the bank du e to
changes in interest rates by focu sing on changes in the m ark et
v alu e of either assets or liabilities. This is becau se the du ration gap
m easu res the percentage change in the m ark et v alu e of a single
184 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
secu rity for a 1% change in the u nderly ing y ield of the secu rity
(strictly speak ing, this is modified duration bu t the term for the
original ‘du ration’ is now alm ost u niv ers ally u sed to refer to
m odifi ed du ration). The du ration gap is defi ned as:
Du ration gap Du ration of assets w(Du ration of liabilities)
62
w here w is the percentage of assets fu nded by liabilities. Hence,
the du ration gap m easu res the effects of change on the net w orth of
the bank . A higher du ration gap indicates higher interest rate
ex posu re. As the du ration gap only m easu res the effects of a linear
change in interest rate – that is, a parallel shift in y ield cu rv e
change – bank s w ith portfolios that inclu de a signifi cant am ou nt of
instru m ents w ith elem ents of optionality (su ch as callable bonds ,
asset-back ed secu rities and conv ertibles) also u se the convexity
m easu re of risk ex posu re to adju st for inaccu racies that arise in the
du ration gap ov er large y ield changes.
DEVELOPMENTS IN ALM
An increasing nu m ber of fi nancial institu tions hav e been enhancing
their risk m anagem ent fu nction by adding to the responsibilities of
the ALM fu nction. Thes e hav e inclu ded enhancing the role of the
head of Treasu ry and the ALCO – by u sing su ch other risk ex posu re
m easu res as option-adju sted spread and v alu e-at-risk (VaR) – and
integrating traditional interest rate risk m anagem ent w ith credit
risk and operational risk . The increasing u se of credit deriv ativ es
has facilitated this integrated approach to risk m anagem ent.
Additional roles play ed by the ALM desk m ay inclu de
u sing the VaR tool to assess risk ex posu re;
integrating m ark et risk and credit risk ;
u sing new risk-adjusted m easu res of retu rn;
optim izing portfolio retu rn;
proactiv ely m anaging the balance sheet – this inclu des giv ing
direction on the secu ritization of assets (rem ov ing them from the
balance sheet), hedging credit ex posu re u sing credit deriv ativ es
and activ ely enhancing retu rns from the liqu idity book , su ch as
entering into stock lending and repo.
An enhanced ALM fu nction w ill by defi nition ex pand the role of
the Treasu ry fu nction and the ALCO. This m ay see the Treasu ry
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 185
ex cess does not of cou rse generate liqu idity risk , bu t it does generate
interest rate risk , becau se the present v alu e of the book is sensitiv e to
changes in m ark et rates. When assets ex ceed liabilities, there is a
fu nding defi cit and the bank has long-term com m itm ents that are
not cu rrently fu nded by ex isting operations. The liqu idity risk is that
the bank requ ires fu nds at a fu tu re date to m atch the assets. The bank
is able to rem ov e any liqu idity risk by lock ing in m atu rities, bu t
there is of cou rse a cost inv olv ed as it w ill be dealing at longer
m atu rities.7
Table 6.2 is v ery m u ch a su m m ary fi gu re, becau se the m atu rity gaps
are v ery w ide. For risk m anagem ent pu rposes the bu ck ets w ou ld be
m u ch narrow er; for instance, the period betw een 0 and 12 m onths
m ight be split into 12 different m atu rity bu ck ets. An ex am ple of a
m ore detailed gap report is show n in Figu re 6.2, w hich is from
another UK bank ing institu tion. Note that the ov erall net position
is zero, becau se this is a balance sheet and therefore, not su rprisingly ,
it balances . How ev er, along the m atu rity bu ck ets or grid points there
are net positions w hich are the gaps that need to be m anaged. A fu ll
gap report is show n at Table 6.3.
Tim e periods
6–12 m onths
0–6 m onths
1–3 y ears
3–7 y ears
7+ y ears
Assets Total
40,533 28,636 3,801 4,563 2,879 654
6.17% 6.08% 6.12% 6.75% 6.58% 4.47%
Liabilities 40,533 30,733 3,234 3,005 2,048 1,513
4.31% 4.04% 4.61% 6.29% 6.54% 2.21%
N et cumulative positions 0 (2,097) 567 1,558 831 (859)
1.86%
Lim its on a bank ing book can be set in term s of gap lim its. For
ex am ple, a bank m ay set a 6-m onth gap lim it of £10 m illion. The
net position of assets and m atu rities ex piring in 6 m onths’ tim e
w ou ld not then ex ceed £10 m illion. An ex am ple of a gap lim it
report is show n at Figu re 6.2, w ith actu al net gap positions show n
against the gap lim its for each m atu rity . Again this is an actu al lim it
report from a UK bank ing institu tion.
The m atu rity gap can be charted to prov ide an illu stration of net
ex posu re. An ex am ple is show n in Figu re 6.3, w hich is from y et
another UK bank ing institu tion. In som e fi rm s’ reports both
188 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
6 m onths to 1 y ear
Up to 1 m onth
1–3 m onths
3–6 m onths
Total (£m )
Assets
Cash and interbank loans 2,156.82 1,484.73 219.36 448.90 3.84
Certifi cates of deposit pu rchased 1,271.49 58.77 132.99 210.26 776.50
Floating rate notes pu rchased 936.03 245.62 586.60 12.68 26.13
Bank bills 314.35 104.09 178.36 31.90 0.00
Other loans 13.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00
Debt secu rities/Gilts 859.45 0.00 25.98 7.58 60.05
Fix ed rate m ortgages 4,180.89 97.72 177.37 143.13 964.98
Variable and capped rate m ortgages 14,850.49 14,850.49 0.00 0.00 0.00
Com m ercial loans 271.77 96.62 96.22 56.52 0.86
Unsecu red lending and leasing 3,720.13 272.13 1,105.20 360.03 507.69
Other assets 665.53 357.72 0.00 18.77 5.00
Liabilities
Bank deposits 3,993.45 2,553.85 850.45 233.03 329.06
Certifi cates of deposit issu ed 1,431.42 375.96 506.76 154.70 309.50
Com m ercial paper – CP and eu ro 508.46 271.82 128.42 108.21 0.00
Su bordinated debt 275.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Eu robonds Other 2,582.24 768.75 1,231.29 121.94 53.86
Cu stom er deposits 17,267.55 15,493.65 953.60 311.70 340.50
Other liabilities 3,181.83 1,336.83 0.00 0.00 741.72
(incl. capital/reserv es)
9–10 y ears
10+ y ears
1–2 y ears
2–3 y ears
3–4 y ears
4–5 y ears
5–6 y ears
6–7 y ears
7–8 y ears
8–9 y ears
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
92.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
45.48 0.00 0.00 19.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
7.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
439.06 199.48 26.81 100.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
1,452.91 181.86 661.36 450.42 22.78 4.30 3.65 3.10 2.63 14.67
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2.16 1.12 3.64 8.85 1.06 0.16 0.17 0.16 4.23 0.00
694.86 400.84 195.19 79.98 25.45 14.06 10.03 10.44 10.82 33.42
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2,734.43 783.31 888.00 659.26 49.28 20.53 15.85 13.71 17.68 332.12
344.00 146.50 537.60 649.00 70.00 5.32 200.00 75.00 0.00 0.00
5.00 150.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
400.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
3,483.43 1,079.81 1,425.60 1,308.26 119.28 25.84 215.85 88.71 17.68 332.12
21.07 1.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
60.00 20.0 3.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 200.00 75.00 0.00 0.00
9.77 13.16 150.43 150.43 0.00 7.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.00
129.10 6.60 24.90 0.00 7.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,103.28
219.93 40.76 178.83 156.53 7.50 7.51 200.00 75.00 0.00 1,178.28
1,887.97 281.44 905.06 770.52 15.76 6.48 7.27 8.13 13.06 31.30
150.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
425.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2,682.90 322.20 1,083.90 927.05 23.26 13.99 207.27 83.13 13.06 1,209.58
929.10 803.46 341.70 404.88 104.28 11.85 8.58 5.57 4.62 877.45
190 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
assets and liabilities are show n for each m atu rity point, bu t in ou r
ex am ple only the net position is show n. This net position is the gap
ex posu re for that m atu rity point. A second ex am ple, u sed by the
ov erseas su bsidiary of a m iddle eastern com m ercial bank , w hich has
no fu nding lines in the interbank m ark et and so does not ru n short
positions, is show n at Figu re 6.4, w hile the gap report for a UK high-
street bank is show n in Figu re 6.5. Note the large short gap u nder the
m atu rity labelled ‘non-int’; this stands for non-interest-bearing
liabilities and represents the balance of cu rrent accou nts (chequ e
or ‘check ing’ accou nts) w hich are fu nds that attract no interest and
are in theory v ery short-dated (becau s e they are dem and deposits and
m ay be called at instant notice).
Figure 6.4 Gap m atu rity profi le of a bank w here short fu nding is
not allow ed.
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 191
Demand deposits
Deposits placed on dem and at the bank – su ch as cu rrent accou nts
(k now n in the US as ‘check ing accou nts’) – hav e no stated m atu rity
and are av ailable on dem and at the bank . Technically , they are
referred to as ‘non-interest-bearing liabilities’ becau se the bank
pay s no or v ery low rates of interest on them , so they are effectiv ely
free fu nds. The balance of these fu nds can increase or decrease
throu ghou t the day w ithou t any w arning, althou gh in practice the
balance is qu ite stable. There are a nu m ber of w ay s that a bank can
choose to deal w ith these balances:
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 193
Preset contingencies
A bank w ill hav e com m itted lines of credit, the u tilization of w hich
w ill depend on cu stom er dem and. Contingencies generate ou tfl ow s
of fu nds that are by defi nition u ncertain, as they are contingent u pon
som e ev ent – for ex am ple, the w illingness of the borrow er to u se a
com m itted line of credit. The u su al w ay for a bank to deal w ith these
u nforeseen fl u ctu ations is to u se statistical data based on past
observ ations to project a fu tu re lev el of activ ity .
rate on the interest rate differential betw een the loan rate and the
cu rrent m ark et rate or on the tim e elapsed since the loan w as tak en
ou t.
Interest cashflows
Ass ets and liabilities generate interest cash infl ow s and ou tfl ow s, in
addition to am ortization of principal. Interest pay m ents m u st be
inclu ded in the gap profi le as w ell.
fu nding is then a v ariable rate liability and is the bank ’s risk , u nless
the rate has been lock ed in beforehand. The sam e assu m ption applies
w hen the bank ru ns a cash su rplu s position and the interest rate for
any period in the fu tu re is u nk now n. The gap position at a giv en tim e
bu ck et is sensitiv e to the interest rate that applies to that period.
The gap is calcu lated for each discrete tim e bu ck et, so there is a net
ex posu re for, say , 0–1 m onth, 1–3 m onths and so on. Loans and
deposits do not – ex cept at the tim e they are u ndertak en – hav e
su ch precise m atu rities, so they are ‘m apped’ to a tim e bu ck et in
term s of their relativ e w eighting. For ex am ple, a £100 m illion deposit
that m atu res in 20 day s’ tim e w ill hav e m ost of its balance m apped to
the 3-w eek tim e bu ck et, bu t a sm aller am ou nt w ill also be allocated
to the 2-w eek bu ck et. Interest rate risk is m easu red as the change in
present v alu e of the deposit at each grid point giv en a 1 bp change in
the interest rate. So, a £10 m illion 1-m onth CD that w as bou ght at
6.50% w ill hav e its present v alu e m ov e u pw ards if on the nex t day
the 1-m onth rate m ov es dow n by 1 bp.
The net change in present v alu e for a 1 bp m ov e is the k ey m easu re of
interest rate risk for a bank ing book ; this is w hat is u su ally referred to
as a ‘gap report’, althou gh strictly speak ing it is not. Su ch a report is
called a PVBP (present v alu e of a basis point) report or a DV01 (dollar
v alu e of a 01, or 1 bp) report. The calcu lation of interest rate sensi-
tiv ity assu m es a parallel shift in the y ield cu rv e – that is, that ev ery
m atu rity point along the term stru ctu re m ov es by the sam e am ou nt
(here 1 bp) and in the sam e direction. An ex am ple of a PVBP report is
giv en in Table 6.4, split by different cu rrency book s , bu t w ith all
v alu es conv erted to sterling.
The basic concept of a gap report is the net present v alu e (NPV) of
the bank ing book (introdu ced in Chapter 2). A PVBP report m easu res
the difference betw een the m ark et v alu es of assets and liabilities
in the bank ing book . To calcu late NPV w e requ ire a discou nt rate
w hich represents the mark to market of the book . The rates u sed are
alw ay s zero-cou pon rates deriv ed from the gov ernm ent bond y ield
cu rv e, althou gh som e adju stm ent shou ld be m ade to allow for
indiv idu al instru m ents.
Gaps m ay be calcu lated as differences betw een ou tstanding balances
at a giv en date, or as differences in the v ariation of those balances
ov er a tim e period. The gap nu m ber calcu lated from su ch v ariation is
k now n as a margin gap. Cu m u lativ e m argin gaps ov er a period of
tim e – plu s the initial difference in assets and liabilities at the
196 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
12 m onths
2 m onths
3 m onths
6 m onths
1 m onth
1 w eek
2 y ears
1 day
10 y ears
15 y ears
20 y ears
30 y ears
3 y ears
4 y ears
5 y ears
7 y ears
beginning of the period – are identical to gaps betw een assets and
liabilities at the end of the period.
The interest rate gap differs from the liqu idity gap in a nu m ber of
w ay s:
only those assets and liabilities that hav e a fi x ed rate are u sed for
the interest rate gap, w hereas the liqu idity gap accou nts for all
assets and liabilities;
an interest rate gap cannot be calcu lated u nless a period has been
defi ned, becau se of the fi x ed-rate/v ariable-rate distinction – the
interest rate gap is dependent on a m atu rity period and an original
date.
The prim ary pu rpose in com piling the gap report is to determ ine
the sensitiv ity of the interest m argin to changes in interest rates.
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 197
rates. For a change in rates of m ore than, say , 50 basis points the
sensitiv ity m easu re giv en by m odifi ed du ration w ill be
signifi cantly incorrect.
Du ration gap analy sis, lik e the m atu rity gap m odel, assu m es
that interest rates change by m eans of parallel shift, w hich is
clearly u nrealistic.
As w ith m atu rity gap analy sis, the du ration gap is fav ou red in ALM
application becau se it is easily u nderstood and su m m arizes a
bank ing book ’s interest rate ex posu re in one conv enient nu m ber.
CRITIQUE OF THE
TRADITIONAL APPROACH
Traditionally , the m ain approach of ALM concentrates on the
interest sensitiv ity and net present v alu e sensitiv ity of a bank ’s
loan/deposit book . The u su al interest sensitiv ity report is the
m atu rity gap report, w hich w e rev iew ed briefl y earlier. How ev er,
the m atu rity gap report is not perfect and can be said to hav e the
follow ing draw back s:
The repricing interv als chosen for gap analy sis are u ltim ately
arbitrary , and there m ay be signifi cant m is m atches w ithin a
repricing interv al. For instance, a com m on repricing interv al is
the 1-y ear gap and the 1-to-3-y ear gap; there are (albeit ex trem e)
circu m stances w hen m ism atches w ou ld go u ndetected by the
m odel. Consider a bank ing book that is com posed solely of
liabilities that reprice in 1 m onth’ s tim e, and an equ al cash
v alu e of assets that reprice in 11 m onths’ tim e. The 1-y ear gap
of the book (assu m ing no other positions) w ou ld be zero, im ply -
ing no risk to net interest incom e. In fact, u nder ou r scenario net
interest incom e is signifi cantly at risk from a rise in interest
rates.
Matu rity gap m odels assu m e that interest rates change by a
u niform m agnitu de and direction. How ev er, for any giv en
change in the general lev el of interest rates it is m ore realistic
for different m atu rity interest rates to change by different
am ou nts – this is k now n as non-parallel shift.
Matu rity gap m odels assu m e that principal cashfl ow s do not
change w hen interest rates change. Therefore, it is not possible
to incorporate the im pact of options em bedded in certain fi nan-
cial instru m ents effectiv ely . Instru m ents su ch as m ortgage-
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 199
back ed bonds and conv ertibles do not fall accu rately into gap
analy sis, as only their fi rst-order risk ex posu re is captu red.
Notw ithstanding these draw back s, the gap m odel is w idely u sed, as
it is easily u nderstood in the com m ercial bank ing and m ortgage
indu stry ; m oreov er, its application does not requ ire a k now ledge
of sophisticated fi nancial m odelling techniqu es.
cou ld, bu t that w ou ld be ineffi cient and w astefu l of resou rces. So,
w hat charge shou ld be m ade to the desk s for their fu nds?
In practice, bank s u se either a w eighted av erage cost of fu nds –
som etim es called a ‘blended’ or ‘pooled’ rate – w hich is passed on
to the w hole fi rm , or they apply a form of internal fu nds pricing –
som etim es called ‘transfer pricing’ or ‘transfer liqu idity pricing’
(TLP) – in w hich a spread is added to the Libor-based fu nding
cost, determ ined by the ex tent of liqu idity stress pu t onto the
bank ’s balance sheet by the indiv idu al bu s iness line. This is
discu s sed fu rther in Chapter 8.
fu nding of 100 in the fi rst 12 m onths is the av erage cost of the fu nds
of these tw o loans. It is in fact giv en by the discou nt rate that w ou ld
equ ate the present v alu e of the fu tu re v alu es of each loan to the
original am ou nt borrow ed. The fu tu re v alu e is of cou rse the m atu rity
am ou nt, w hich is the original principal plu s interest. To be strictly
accu rate, w e assu m e that the loans are zero-cou pon loans and the
interest rates charged are zero-cou pon interest rates.
Fu tu re cashfl ow s on the abov e arrangem ent are:
60 1 r1 in Year 1, and
40 1 r2 2 in Year 1 and Year 2.
So, WACC is giv en by the rate rw su ch that
2 2
100 60 1 r1 1 rw 40 1 r2 1 rw
This discou nt rate w ill obv iou sly lie som ew here betw een r1 and r2 .
A ‘back of the env elope’ solu tion cou ld be done by calcu lating the
linear approx im ation of the abov e form u la, nam ely
100 60 1 r1 rw 40 1 2r2 2rw
rw 60 r1 40 2 r2 60 2 40
The rate rw is the w eighted av erage of the tw o rates r1 and r2 , w hich
w e took to be the 1-y ear and 2-y ear zero-cou pon rates, respectiv ely .
The w eighting u sed refers to the size of the loan in proportion to the
total and its m atu rity . As a rou gh ru le of thu m b, a 1-y ear rate rolled
ov er in a 2-y ear period w ou ld be w eighed at tw ice the 2-y ear rate. If w e
im agine that r1 is 4.00% and r2 is 5.00% , then rw in this case w ill be
nearer to r2 , becau se it is the longest dated loan, bu t the fact that the
1-y ear loan in ou r ex am ple w as for a larger su m com pensates for this.
In practice, ev en v ery large com m ercial bank s and inv estm ent bank s
calcu late their WACC as the su m of daily interest pay m ents on ev ery
loan ou tstanding div ided by the total nom inal am ou nt of all loans.
We illu strate the concept of WACC in a practical fashion in Figu re
6.7. This show s a USD500 m illion fu nding requ irem ent that has
been arranged as three loans, nam ely ,
ov ernight loan of USD200 m illion at 1.05% ;
1-w eek loan of USD200 m illion at 1.07% ;
3-m onth loan of USD100 m illion at 1.15% .
The spreadsheet show s the calcu lation of WACC on a m ore
scientifi c basis than the ‘back of the env elope’ approach, as it
tak es into accou nt the term stru ctu re effect of the loans (as w e go
202 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Figure 6.7 USD500 m illion fu nding requ irem ent that has been arranged
as three loans.
fu rther ou t along the term stru ctu re, w e pay a higher rate of interest).
How ev er, the resu lt is v ery close to the sim ple approach. The WACC
for these three loans is show n to be 1.146% .
We repeat the spreadsheet at Figu re 6.8 w ith the form u lae u sed in
each cell show n instead of the v alu e.
SECURITIZATION
It is com m on for the ALM u nits in bank s to tak e responsibility for a
m ore proactiv e balance sheet m anagem ent role; securitization is a
good ex am ple of this. Secu ritization is a process u ndertak en by bank s
to both realize additional v alu e from assets held on the balance sheet
and to rem ov e them from the balance sheet entirely , thu s freeing u p
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 203
Figure 6.8 Form u lae u sed to calcu late the USD500 m illion fu nding requ ire-
m ent that has been arranged as three loans.
assets and inv estors then pu rchase these secu rities. The m ost
com m on ty pes of assets secu ritized inclu de m ortgages, car loans
and credit card loans. How ev er, in theory , v irtu ally any asset that
generates a cashfl ow that can be predicted or m odelled m ay be
secu ritized. The v ehicle u sed is constru cted su ch that secu rities
issu ed against the asset base hav e a risk retu rn profi le that is
attractiv e to the inv estors being targeted.
To benefi t from div ersifi cation, asset ty pes are u su ally pooled and
this pool then generates a range of interest pay m ents , principal
repay m ents and principal prepay m ents . The precis e natu re of cash-
fl ow s is u nclear not only becau se of the u ncertainty of pay m ent and
prepay m ent patterns, bu t also becau se of the occu rrence of loan
defau lts and delay s in pay m ent. How ev er, pooling of a large
206 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Benefits of securitization
Secu ritizing assets produ ces a dou ble benefi t for the issu ing bank .
Ass ets that are sold to inv estors generate a sav ing in the cost of
requ ired capital for the bank , as they are no longer on the balance
sheet, so the bank ’s capital requ irem ent is redu ced. Second, if the
credit rating of the issu ed secu rities is higher than that of the
originating bank , there is a potential gain in the fu nding costs of
the bank . For ex am ple, if the secu rities issu ed are triple A rated, a
dou ble-A-rated bank w ill hav e low er fu nding costs for those secu r-
ities. The bank benefi ts from pay ing a low er rate on the borrow ed
fu nds than if it had borrow ed those fu nds directly in the m ark et. This
has led to strong grow th in, for ex am ple, the specialized ‘credit card’
bank s in the US, w here bank s su ch as Capital One, First USA and
MBNA Bank hav e benefi ted from triple-A-rated fu nding lev els and
low capital charges. It is dou btfu l w hether su ch bank s cou ld hav e
grow n as rapidly as they did w ithou t secu ritization. Althou gh there
is a cost associated w ith secu ritizing assets – w hich inclu de direct
issu e transaction costs and the cost of ru nning the pay m ent stru ctu re
– these are ou tw eighed by the benefi ts obtained from the process.
The m ajor benefi t of secu ritization is redu ced fu nding costs. Sev eral
factors infl u ence su ch costs. These inclu de
Low er cost of fu nds du e to the enhanced credit rating of the bonds
issu ed. The ex tent of this gain is a fu nction of cu rrent spreads in
the m ark et and the cu rrent rating of the originating bank . It w ill
fl u ctu ate in line w ith m ark et conditions.
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 207
Sav ing the capital charges that resu lt from redu cing the size of
assets on the balance sheet. This decreases the m inim u m earn-
ings requ ired to ensu re adequ ate retu rn for shareholders, in effect
im prov ing retu rn on capital at a strok e.
The costs of the process inclu de
Costs associated w ith setting u p the issu ing stru ctu re and,
su bsequ ently , the pay m ent m echanism that channels cashfl ow s
to inv estors. Thes e costs are a fu nction of the stru ctu re and risk of
the original assets; the higher the risk of the original assets, the
higher the cost of ensu ring cashfl ow s for inv estors.
The legal costs of origination, plu s operating costs and serv icing
costs.
How ev er, the redu ction in fu nding cost obtained as a resu lt of
secu ritization shou ld signifi cantly ou tw eigh the cost of the
process itself. In order to determ ine w hether secu ritization is feas-
ible, as w ell as how it im pacts retu rn on capital, the originating bank
w ill condu ct a cost-and-benefi t analy sis prior to em bark ing on the
process. This is frequ ently the responsibility of the ALM u nit.
C urrent funding
Cost of equ ity 25%
Cost of su bordinated debt 10.20%
Cost of debt 10%
Mortgage book
Net y ield 10.20%
Du ration 7 y ears
Balance ou tstanding 100 m illion
Proposed structure
Secu ritized am ou nt 10 m illion
Senior secu rities:
Cost 9.80%
Weighting 90%
Matu rity 10 y ears
Su bordinated notes:
Cost 10.61%
Weighting 10%
Matu rity 10 y ears
Serv icing costs 0.20%
96% 10%
requ ired, and hence low v olatilities and low rates in the
ov ernight rate.
Brok ers’ screens indicate the follow ing term repo rates:
O/N 6.350% –6.300%
1 w eek 6.390% –6.340%
2 w eek 6.400% –6.350%
1 m onth 6.410% –6.375%
2 m onth 6.500% –6.450%
3 m onth 6.670% –6.620% .
The indication for a 1v 2 FRA is:
1v 2 FRA 6.680% –6.630% .
The qu ote for an 11-day forw ard borrow ing in 3 w eek s’ tim e
(the ‘21v 32 rate’) is 6.50% bid.
The book ’s ex posu re look s lik e this:
Possible solutions
Investing early surplus
From a cash m anagem ent point of v iew , the desk has a £50 m illion
su rplu s from 16/9 u p to 7/10. This needs to be inv ested. It m ay be
able to negotiate a 6.31% loan w ith the m ark et for ov ernight, or a
6.35% term deposit for 1 w eek or 6.38% for 1 m onth.
An ov ernight roll is the m ost fl ex ible bu t offers the w orst rate. If the
desk ex pects the ov ernight rate to rem ain both low and stable (du e
to forecasts of low m ark et shortages), it m ay not opt for this cou rse
of action.
How ev er, it m ay m ak e sense from an interest rate risk point of
v iew . If the desk agrees w ith the bank ’s econom ist, it shou ld be
able to benefi t from rolling at higher rates soon – possibly in the
nex t 3 w eek s. Therefore, it m ay not w ant to lock in a term rate
now , and the ov ernight roll w ou ld m atch this v iew . How ev er, it
ex poses them to low er rates, if their v iew is w rong, w hich w ill
212 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
lim it the ex tent of the positiv e fu nding spread. The m ark et itself
appears neu tral abou t rate changes in the nex t m onth, bu t appears
to factor in a rise thereafter.
lines w ith regard to bank ing liqu idity , capital adequ acy , asset base
grow th targets, risk ex posu re and retu rn on capital. The norm is for
the com m ittee to m eet on a m onthly basis ; m em bership of the
com m ittee w ill inclu de the fi nance director, the head of Treasu ry
and the risk m anager at the v ery least. For a bank the size of Bank S
the ALCO m em bership w ill possibly be ex tended to the chief
ex ecu tiv e, the head of the loans bu sines s and the chief operating
offi cer.
As a m atter of cou rse the com m ittee w ill w is h to discu ss and rev iew
the follow ing on a regu lar basis:
The com m ittee w ill also w ish to consider interest rates cu rrently
offered on loans and deposits, and w hether they are still appropriate.
A ir L ir
Ty pical risk lev els w ou ld be ex pected to lie betw een 90% and 120%
for the m atu rity period 0–90 day s, and betw een 80% and 110% for
the m atu rity period ov er 90 day s bu t less than 365 day s.
Pu t sim ply , the objectiv e of Bank S is to rem ain w ithin specifi ed risk
param eters at all tim es, and to m aintain as consistent a lev el of
earnings as possible (and one that is im m u ne to changes in the
bu s iness cy cle).
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 215
Objectives
The ALCO is task ed w ith rev iew ing the bank ’s ov erall fu nding
strategy . Decisions tak en are recorded in the m inu tes and circu lated
to attendees and designated k ey staff. ALCO m em bers are
responsible for u ndertak ing regu lar rev iew s of the follow ing:
m inu tes of the prev iou s m eeting;
the ratio of interest-rate-sensitiv e assets to liabilities, gap reports ,
risk reports and the fu nding position;
the bank ’s v iew on the ex pected lev el of interest rates and how
the book shou ld be positioned in light of this;
the ALCO v iew on anticipated fu nding costs in the short term
and m ediu m term – this is closely related to the prev iou s item ;
stress-testing in the form of ‘w hat if?’ scenarios, to check the
effect on the bank ing book of specifi ed changes in m ark et
conditions;
change in param eters that m ay be requ ired if there is a change in
m ark et conditions or risk tolerance;
cu rrent interest rates for loans and deposits, to ensu re that they
are in accordance w ith the ov erall lending and fu nding strategy ;
m atu rity distribu tion of the liqu idity book (ex pected to be com -
prised of T-bills, CDs and v ery short-dated gov ernm ent bonds );
cu rrent liqu idity position and ex pected position in the short term
and m ediu m term .
216 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Liquidity policy
A prim ary responsibility of the ALCO is to ensu re that an adequ ate
lev el of liqu idity is m aintained at all tim es. Gu p and Brook s (1993,
p. 238) defi ne liqu idity as
‘ the ability to m eet anticipated and u nanticipated operating
cash needs, loan dem and, and deposit w ithdraw als, w ithou t
incu rring a su stained negativ e im pact on profi tability .’
Generally , a Bank -M-ty pe operation w ou ld ex pect to hav e a target
lev el for loans to deposits of arou nd 75% to 85% , and a loans-to-core-
deposits ratio of 85% to 95% . The loan/depos it ratio is reported to
the ALCO and rev iew ed on a m onthly basis, and any reported fi gu re
signifi cantly ou tside these ranges (say , by 5% or m ore) w ill be
rev iew ed and ask ed to be adju sted to bring it back into line w ith
ALCO policy .
m atu rity stru ctu re. Cu m u lativ e gap positions and the ratio of asset
rev alu ation to liability rev alu ation are calcu lated and com pared w ith
earnings lev els on the cu rrent asset/liability position. Generally , the
90-day , 6-m onth and 1-y ear gap positions are the m ost signifi cant
points along the term stru ctu re at w hich interest rate risk ex posu re is
calcu lated. The ratio of gap to earnings assets is set at the 15% to
20% lev el.
As it is a traditional du ration-based approach, gap reporting is a static
m easu re for risk sensitiv ity at one specifi c point in tim e. It is for this
reason that bank s com bine a v alu e-at-risk m easu re as w ell, or u se it
ex clu siv ely . It is ou tside the scope of this book to consider VaR – w e
cite a u sefu l introdu ctory reference at the end of this chapter (Bu tler,
1998).
Simulation modelling
Sim u lation m odelling is a procedu re that m easu res potential im pact
on the bank ing book – and hence earnings lev els – of a u ser-specifi ed
change in interest rates and/or a change in the shape of the book
itself. This process enables senior m anagem ent to gau ge the risk
associated w ith particu lar strategies. Pu t sim ply the process inv olv es
Constru cting a ‘base’ balance sheet and incom e statem ent as the
starting point (this is deriv ed from the cu rrent shape of the
bank ing book and any changes ex pected from cu rrent grow th
trends that hav e been projected forw ard).
Assessing the im pact on the balance sheet of changes u nder
selected scenarios: say , no change in rates; a 100 bp and 250 bp
u pw ard parallel shift in the y ield cu rv e; a 100 bp and 250 bp
dow nw ard parallel shift; a 25 bp steepening and fl attening of
the y ield cu rv e betw een the 5-m onth and the 3-y ear m atu rity
points; a com bination of parallel shift w ith piv otal shift at a
selected point; an increase or decrease in 3-m onth T-bill y ield
v olatility lev els; and a 20 bp change in sw ap spreads.
Com paring the difference in earnings resu lting from any of the
scenarios to the anticipated earnings stream u nder the cu rrent
env ironm ent.
Generally , the com m ittee sets gu idelines abou t the signifi cance of
sim u lation resu lts; for ex am ple, there m ay be a ru le that for a 100 bp
change in interest rates the im pact on NII shou ld be no m ore than
10% . If resu lts indicate su ch an im pact, the ALCO w ill determ ine
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 219
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Anon. (1998) Asset and Liability Management, RISK Pu blications.
Bitner, J. (1992) Successful Bank Asset–Liability Management, John Wiley
& Sons.
Bu tler, C. (1998) Mastering Value-at-Risk, FT/Prentice Hall.
Chou dhry , M. (2007) Bank Asset and Liability Management, Singapore:
John Wiley & Sons.
Corny n, A. and May s, E. (Eds.) (1997) Interest Rate Risk Models: Theory
and Practice, Glenlak e Pu blishing/Fitzroy Dearborn Pu blishers,
Chapters 6 and 15
Fabozzi, F. and Chou dhry , M. (2004) H andbook of European Structured
Financial Products, John Wiley & Sons.
Fabozzi, F. and Konishi, A. (1996) The H andbook of Asset/Liability
Management, Rev ised Edition, Irw in McGraw -Hill, Chapters 3, 6–8, 12.
Greenbau m , S. and Thak or, A. (1995) C ontemporary Financial Intermedia-
tion, Dry den Press.
Gu p, B. and Brook s, R. (1993) Interest Rate Risk Management, Irw in
Professional Pu blishing.
How e, D. (1992) A G uide to Managing Interest-Rate Risk, New York
Institu te of Finance.
Johnson, H. (1994) Bank Asset/Liability Management, Probu s Pu blishing.
Kam ak u ra Corporation (1998) Asset & Liability Management: A Synthesis
of N ew Methodologies, Risk Pu blications.
Koch, T. (1988) Bank Management, Dry den Press.
Marshall, J. and Bansal, V.K. (1992) Financial Engineering, New York
Institu te of Finance, Chapter 20
Schaffer, S. (1991) ‘Interest rate risk ,’ Business Review, Federal Reserve
Bank of Philadelphia, May /Ju ne, 17–27
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT II 221
Chapter
7
ASSET AND
LIABILITY
MANAGEMENT III:
THE ALCO
224 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
ALCO policy
The ALM reporting process is often ov erseen by the bank ’s ALCO.
It is responsible for setting and im plem enting ALM policy . Its com -
position v aries in different bank s bu t u su ally inclu des heads of
bu s iness lines as w ell as director-lev el staff su ch as the fi nance
director. It also sets hedging policy .
Ty pical m em bership of the ALCO is as follow s:
Members CFO (Chairm an); Depu ty (Head of Financial Accou nting)
CEO (Depu ty Chairm an)
Head of Treasu ry ; Depu ty (Head of Money Mark ets)
MD Com m ercial Bank ing
MD Retail Bank ing
Chief Risk Offi cer
G uests Head of Mark et & Liqu idity Risk
Head of Produ ct Control
Head of ALM/Money Mark ets
Head of Financial Institu tions
Secretary PA to the Head of Treasu ry
The ALM process m ay be u ndertak en by the Treasu ry desk , the ALM
desk or other dedicated fu nction w ithin the bank . In traditional
com m ercial bank s it w ill be responsible for m anagem ent reporting
to the ALCO. The ALCO w ill consider the report in detail at regu lar
m eetings, u su ally m onthly . The m ain points of interest in the ALCO
report inclu de v ariations in interest incom e, the areas that are ex -
periencing fl u ctu ations in incom e and the latest short-term incom e
projections. The ALM report w ill link these three strands across the
grou p as a w hole and to each indiv idu al bu s iness line as w ell. That is,
it w ill consider m acro-lev el factors driv ing v ariations in interest
incom e as w ell as specifi c desk -lev el factors. The form er inclu de
changes in the shape and lev el of the y ield cu rv e, w hile the latter
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT III: THE ALCO 225
Table 7.1 ALCO m ain m ission – bank ALM strategic ov erv iew
The ALCO w ill m eet on a regu lar basis; the frequ ency depends on
the ty pe of institu tion bu t is u su ally once a m onth. The com position
of the ALCO v aries by institu tion bu t m ay com prise the heads of
Treasu ry , trading and risk m anagem ent, as w ell as the fi nance
director. Representativ es from the credit com m ittee and loan sy ndi-
cation m ay also be present. A ty pical agenda w ou ld consider all the
226 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
elem ents listed in Table 7.1. Thu s, the m eeting w ill discu s s and
generate action points on the follow ing:
Managem ent reporting – this w ill entail analy sing v ariou s
m anagem ent reports and either signing them off or agreeing
item s to be actioned. The issu es to consider inclu de lending
m argin, interest incom e, v ariance from last projection, cu stom er
bu sines s and fu tu re bu sines s. Cu rrent bu sines s policy w ith
regard to lending and portfolio m anagem ent w ill be rev iew ed
and either continu ed or adju sted.
Bu sines s planning – ex isting asset (and liability ) book s w ill be
rev iew ed, and fu tu re bu sines s directions draw n u p. This w ill
consider the perform ance of ex isting bu sines s, m ost im portantly
w ith regard to retu rn on capital. The ex isting asset portfolio w ill
be analy sed from a risk –rew ard perspectiv e, and a decision tak en
to continu e or m odify all lines of bu sines s. Any proposed new
bu sines s w ill be discu s sed and – if accepted – in principle w ill be
m ov ed on to the nex t stage. 1 At this stage any new bu s iness w ill
be asses sed for projected retu rns, rev enu e and risk ex posu re.
Hedging policy – ov erall hedging policy w ill consider acceptable
lev els of risk ex posu re, ex isting risk lim its and u se of hedging
instru m ents. Hedging instru m ents also inclu de deriv ativ e
instru m ents. Many bank ALM desk s fi nd that their hedging
requ irem ents can be m et u sing plain v anilla produ cts su ch as
interest rate sw aps and ex change-traded short-m oney fu tu res
contracts. The u se of options and especially v anilla instru m ents
su ch as FRAs 2 is m u ch low er than one m ight think . Hedging
policy tak es into accou nt the cash book rev enu e lev el, cu rrent
m ark et v olatility lev els and the ov erall cost of hedging. On
occasion, certain ex posu res m ay be left u nhedged becau se the
costs associated w ith hedging them are deem ed prohibitiv e (this
inclu des the actu al cost of pu tting on the hedge as w ell as the
opportu nity cost associated w ith ex pected redu ced incom e from
the cash book ). Of cou rse, hedging policy is form u lated in co-
ordination w ith ov erall fu nding and liqu idity policy . Its fi nal
form m u st consider the bank ’s v iew s of the follow ing:
New bu siness w ill follow a long process of approv al, ty pically inv olv ing
all the relev ant front-offi ce, m iddle-offi ce and back -offi ce departm ents of
the bank and cu lm inating in a ‘new produ cts com m ittee’ m eeting at w hich
the proposed new line of bu siness w ill be either approv ed, sent back to the
sponsoring departm ent for m odifi cation or rejected.
See Chapter 4.
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT III: THE ALCO 227
ALCO reporting
We now prov ide a fl av ou r of the reporting that is prov ided to and
analy sed by the ALCO. This is of cou rse a generalization – reports
w ill v ary by ty pe of institu tion and the natu re of its bu sines s.
In Chapter 5 w e show ed an ex am ple of a m acro-lev el ALM report.
The ALCO w ill also consider m acro-lev el gap and liqu idity reports
com piled for produ ct and m ark et. The interest rate gap – sim ply the
difference betw een assets and liabilities – is easily set into these
param eters. For m anagem ent reporting pu rposes the report w ill
attem pt to show a dy nam ic profi le, bu t its chief lim itation is that
it is alw ay s a snapshot of a fi x ed point in tim e, and therefore – strictly
speak ing – w ill alw ay s be ou t of date.
Figure 7.2 ALM, ex pected liqu idity and interest rate gap –
snapshot profi le.
ASSET AND LIABILITY MANAGEMENT III: THE ALCO 229
Figure 7.3 ALM break dow n by produ ct (or m ark et) segm ent.
w hich the ALCO can giv e gu idance refl ecting its v iew on fu tu re
interest rate lev els. It also show s w here sensitiv ity to falling interest
rates, in term s of rev enu e, lies becau se it show s the v olu m e of assets.
Again, the ALCO can giv e instru ctions on hedging if it ex pects
interest incom e to be affected adv ersely . The x-ax is indicates tim e
bu ck ets from ov ernight ou t to 2 y ears or m ore. Bank s u se different
tim e bu ck ets to su it their ow n requ irem ents. 3
Figu re 7.3 show s the sam e report brok en dow n by produ ct (or
m ark et – the report w ou ld hav e a sim ilar lay ou t). We u se a hy po-
thetical sam ple of different bu sines s lines . Using this form at the
ALCO can observ e w hich assets and liabilities are produ cing the
gaps; this is im portant becau se it show s if produ cts (or m ark ets) are
fi tting into ov erall bank policy . Equ ally , policy can be adju sted if
requ ired in response to w hat the report show s. So, the ALCO can see
w hat proportion of total assets is represented by each bu s iness line,
and w hich line has the greatest forw ard fu nding requ irem ent. The
at Figu re 7.6 (see nex t page), w hich is m ore u sefu l becau se it show s
the perform ance of each bu s iness line. In general, the ALCO w ill
prefer low v olu m es and high m argin as a com bination, becau se low er
v olu m es consu m e less capital. How ev er, som e signifi cant high-
v olu m e bu s iness (su ch as interbank m oney m ark et operations) oper-
ates at a relativ ely low m argin.
The incom e and retu rn reports v iew ed by ALCO are necessary for it
to check w hether bank policy w ith regard to lending and m oney
m ark et trading is being adhered to. Essentially , these reports
prov ide inform ation on the risk –retu rn profi le of the bank . The
ideal com bination is the low est possible risk for the highest possible
retu rn, althou gh of cou rse low -risk bu sines s carries the low est
retu rn. The lev el of tradeoff at w hich the bank is com fortable is
w hat the ALCO w ill set as its direction and strategy . With regard
to v olu m es and bank bu sines s, it m ight be thou ght that the optim u m
m ix is high v olu m e m ix ed w ith high incom e m argin. How ev er, high-
v olu m e bu sines s consu m es the m ost capital, so there w ill be another
tradeoff w ith regard to the u s e of capital.
232
Chapter
8
BANK LIQUIDITY
RISK MANAGEMENT
234 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Figure 8.1 Liqu idity policy statem ent: basic fram ew ork .
236
AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Figure 8.2 Liqu idity policy statem ent: appetite for liqu idity risk .
BANK LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT
237
Figure 8.3 Liqu idity policy statem ent: basic fram ew ork .
238
AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Figure 8.5 Liqu idity policy statem ent: m anagem ent process.
240
AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
(2) Where core customer deposits are not available, use long-
term wholesale funding sources
This follow s on natu rally from the fi rst principle. Where there is
insu ffi cient core deposits av ailable, and bank s resort to the w hole-
sale-fu nding m ark et, bank s shou ld ensu re that only long-dated
w holesale fu nds are u sed to fu nd illiqu id assets. Generally , ‘long-
dated’ m eans ov er 1 y ear in m atu rity , althou gh of cou rse the appro-
priate tenor to sou rce is a fu nction of the m atu rity of the asset. This
approach redu ces rollov er liqu idity risk in the ev ent of a crisis.
It is ev ident that bank s redu ced their holdings of gov ernm ent bonds
so they cou ld deploy m ore of their fu nds in higher pay ing risk y
assets. Bu t, the logic of holding a liqu idity bu ffer is irrefu table: in
periods of stress or illiqu idity , gov ernm ent bonds are the only assets
that rem ain liqu id. As su ch, they can be sold to release liqu idity if
need be. Ev en hitherto highly liqu id assets su ch as high-rated bank
CDs or short-dated MTNs becam e illiqu id v irtu ally ov ernight in
the im m ediate afterm ath of the Lehm an collapse in 2008. This
BANK LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT 243
dem onstrates that the liqu idity bu ffer shou ld only be com prised of
sov ereign risk -free secu rities.
(6) Know what central bank facilities the bank can access and
test that it really can gain access to them
This follow s logically from the requ irem ent to hav e a contingency
fu nding plan in place. Once a bank has established borrow ing facil-
ities at its central bank , it needs to be aw are ex actly how they
fu nction and w hat the requ irem ents to access them are, so that if
necessary it can benefi t from them w ithou t delay .
(7) Be aware of all the bank’s exposures (on the liability side –
not the credit side). For example, sponsoring an asset-backed
commercial paper (ABC P) conduit creates a reputational,
rather than contractual, obligation to provide funding.
Therefore, be wary of reputational obligations, especially if it
means the bank has to lend its name to another entity
This is fairly straightforw ard to u nderstand, bu t in a bu ll m ark et
w hen credit spreads are tight it is frequ ently forgotten. Bank s m ay
desire the fee-based incom e, at fav ou rable capital lev els, that com es
w ith sponsoring a third-party entity or prov iding a line of liqu idity ,
bu t in a stress situ ation that line w ill be draw n on. Is the bank
prepared to tak e on this additional liqu idity risk ex posu re to an
entity that it m ight not norm ally , in a bear m ark et, w ish to lend
fu nds to?
244 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Thes e reports m easu re and illu strate different elem ents of liqu idity
risk . For consolidated or grou p bank ing entities, reports m u st be at
the cou ntry lev el, legal entity lev el and grou p lev el. Tak en together,
on aggregate the reports prov ide detail on
the ex posu re of the bank to fu nding rollov er or ‘gap’ risk ;
the daily fu nding requ irem ent, and w hat it is lik ely to be at a
forw ard date;
the ex tent of ‘self-su ffi ciency ’ of a branch or su bsidiary .
Liqu idity reports also help in prov iding early w arning of any lik ely
fu nding stres s points. Let u s ex am ine them indiv idu ally .
Liquidity ratio
A bank ’s liqu idity ratio is the basic asset–liability gap ratio.
A liqu idity report for a com m ercial bank is show n in Figu re 8.7.
The liqu idity gap v alu e show n in the report is m ade u p of the assets
m inu s the liabilities of each tenor bu ck et. The ‘total av ailable fu nds’
nu m ber is the liqu idity gap, plu s ‘m ark etable secu rities’ su ch as
gov ernm ent bonds, bank bonds , CDs, m inu s any com m itted facil-
ities that are as y et u ndraw n. The liqu idity ratio calcu lation itself is
the ‘total av ailable fu nds’ v alu e, w hich is 781,065 for the 8-day
bu ck et and 61,438 for the 30-day bu ck et, div ided by the ‘total
liabilities’ v alu e w hich is 4,511,294. This giv es ratios of 17.31%
and 13.6% for the tw o bu ck ets, respectiv ely , w hich are abov e
the bank regu lators’ lim its of 0.00% and 5.00% . In the case of
this bank , the liqu idity ratios m u st not fall below these lim its .
Note that it is the ‘liqu idity gap’ elem ent that driv es the 30-day ratio
to a low er lev el than the 8-day ratio. In other w ords, the bigger the gap
the low er the ratio; this is w hy regu lators place lim its on liqu idity
ratios su ch that bank s are requ ired to m aintain asset–liability gaps at
m anageable lev els.
Figure 8.7 Bank liqu idity report show ing 8-day and 1-m onth liqu idity ratios.
BANK LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT 247
Figure 8.8 Liqu idity report and liqu idity ratio calcu lation.
BANK LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT 249
The higher the LRF, the larger the liqu idity gap and the greater the
liqu idity risk It is im portant to observ e the trend ov er tim e and any
30/09/2009 19 262 14 24
250 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Group Treasury
The cash gap and the liquidity gap turn negative between 2 days and 1 week
different liqu idity pressu res that each places on the Treasu ry fu nding
desk (listed in increasing am ou nt of fu nding rollov er risk ). Ev en
allow ing for different credit risk ex posu res and capital risk
w eights, the im pact on the liability fu nding desk is different for
each asset; hence, the im portance of apply ing a stru ctu rally sou nd
transfer-pricing policy , dependent on the ty pe of bu s iness line being
fu nded.
Cost of funds
As a k ey driv er of the econom ic decision-m ak ing process, the cost at
w hich fu nds are lent from the central Treasu ry to a bank ’s bu sines s
lines needs to be set at a rate that refl ects the tru e liqu idity risk
position of each bu sines s line. If it is u nrealistic, there is a risk that
transactions are entered into that produ ce an u nrealistic profi t. This
profi t w ill refl ect an artifi cial fu nding gain, rather than the tru e
econom ic v alu e-added of the bu sines s.
There is em pirical ev idence of the dam age that can be cau sed
by artifi cially low transfer pricing. In a w ork ing paper from 2008,
Adrian Blu ndell-Wignall and Pau l Atk inson 3 discu ss the losses at
UBS in its stru ctu red credit bu s iness, w hich originated collateralized
debt obligations (CDOs) and inv ested in them . On p. 97 of their paper
they qu ote a UBS shareholder report,
‘ internal bid prices w ere alw ay s higher than the relev ant
London inter-bank bid rate (LIBID) and internal offer prices
w ere alw ay s low er than relev ant London inter-bank offered rate
(LIBOR).’
In other w ords, UBS’ stru ctu red credit bu sines s w as able to fu nd
itself at prices better than in the m ark et (w hich is im plicitly inter-
bank risk ), despite the fact that it w as inv esting in assets of
considerably low er liqu idity (and credit qu ality ) than inter-bank
risk . There w as no adju stm ent for tenor m is m atch – to better
align term fu nding to liqu idity . A m ore realistic fu nding m odel
w as v iew ed as a ‘constraint on the grow th strategy ’.
This lack of fu nding discipline u ndou btedly play ed an im portant role
in the decision-m ak ing process becau se it allow ed the desk to report
infl ated profi ts based on low fu nding costs. As a stand-alone bu s i-
Blu ndell-Wignall, A., and Atk inson, P. (2008) ‘The su b-prim e crisis:
Cau sal distortions and regu latory reform ,’ w ork ing paper, OECD, Ju ly .
256 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
by the FSA, it is w orthw hile for them to look bey ond the literal scope
of the new su perv isory fi at and consider the internal determ inants of
an effi cient, cost-effectiv e fu nding regim e. In this w ay they can m ov e
tow ards the heart of this proposition, w hich is to em bed tru e fu nding
cost into bu s iness line decision-m ak ing.
Scope
This policy applies to all interest-bearing assets and liabilities on
the bank ’s balance sheet, effectiv e from 1 Janu ary 2010 onw ards .
It inclu des
all interest-bearing assets and liabilities that are ‘liv e’ – that is,
legacy transactions – as at 1 Janu ary 2010;
separate trading desk s w ithin the Treasu ry ;
gross cashfl ow s of each SBU/trading desk – as per ex isting
transfer-pricing ru les for interest rate risk , there is no netting
allow ed by SBUs.
Non-interest-bearing assets and liabilities are cov ered u nder a
separate policy .
Framework
The TP policy applies equ ally to both sides of the balance sheet.
258 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Assets
The fram ew ork for the pricing of assets is as follow s:
Libor w ill be u sed as the basis for fu nding as per ex isting transfer
pricing ru les .
The fi nal m atu rity date for assets is to be determ ined by reference
to econom ic life or legal m atu rity date w hichev er is the shorter;
econom ic life, in the case of corporate lending/secu rities, is to be
determ ined on a case-by -case basis althou gh the legal m atu rity
date is to be u sed as the defau lt endpoint.
The fram ew ork applies to legacy trades.
The pricing fram ew ork has been set by the Treasu ry and agreed
by the bank ’s ALCO as:
Liabilities
The proposed fram ew ork for the pricing of liabilities is as follow s:
For the pu rposes of this fram ew ork , deposits that hav e had
stick iness applied w ill be treated as hav ing an econom ic life of
1-to-5 y ears. Stick iness is applied on a portfolio basis.
The fram ew ork applies to legacy trades.
The pricing fram ew ork has been set by the Treasu ry and agreed
by the ALCO as:
BANK LIQUIDITY RISK MANAGEMENT 259
Ongoing
On an ongoing basis
the ALCO is responsible for ensu ring that this policy is
m aintained;
a rev iew of the pricing fram ew ork is to be u ndertak en by the
ALCO ev ery 6 m onths;
pricing can be u pdated m ore frequ ently shou ld m ark et conditions
requ ire it.
Conclusion
In this chapter w e hav e considered the essential principles of
bank liqu idity risk m anagem ent. The ev ents of 2007–2008 serv e
to re-iterate the im portance of sou nd ALM practice in bank s. For
this reason it is im portant that a bank ’s ALCO be set u p as an
effectiv e m anagem ent entity and be em pow ered to ensu re correct
bu s iness practice for asset–liability m anagem ent. The fram ew ork set
ou t in this chapter can be v iew ed as a best endeav ou rs approach to
operation of the ALCO fu nction at a bank .
An Introduction to Banking: Liquidity Risk and Asset–Liability Management
By Moorad Choudhry
Copyright © 2011 Moorad Choudhry.
Chapter
9
A SUSTAINABLE
BANK BUSINESS
MODEL: CAPITAL,
LIQUIDITY AND
LEVERAGE
262 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Lev erage – a sm all capital base is lev ered u p into an asset pool
that can be 10 to 30 tim es greater (som etim es ev en higher).
The ‘gap’ – essentially , fu nding short to lend long – is a fu nction
of the conv entional positiv e-sloping y ield cu rv e and dictated by
recognition of the asset–liability m is m atch noted abov e.
Liqu idity – an assu m ption that a bank w ill alw ay s be able to roll
ov er fu nding as it falls du e.
Risk m anagem ent – an u nderstanding of credit or defau lt risk .
Thes e fu ndam entals rem ain u nchanged. The critical issu e for bank
m anagem ent, how ev er, is that som e of the assu m ptions behind the
application of these fu ndam entals have changed, as dem onstrated by
the crash of 2007–2008. The changed landscape in the w ak e of the
crisis has resu lted in som e hitherto ‘safe’ or profi table bu s iness lines
being v iew ed as risk y . Althou gh fav ou rable conditions for bank ing
m ay w ell retu rn in du e cou rse, for the foreseeable fu tu re the chal-
lenge for bank s w ill be to set their strategy only after fi rst arriv ing at a
tru e and fu ll u nderstanding of econom ic conditions as they ex ist
today . The fi rst su bject for discu s sion is to consider w hat a realistic,
su stainable retu rn on the capital target lev el shou ld be and to ensu re
that it is com m ensu rate w ith the lev el of risk av ersion desired by the
board. The board shou ld also consider the bank ’s capital av ailability
and w hat am ou nt of bu sines s this cou ld realistically su pport. Thes e
tw o issu es need to be addressed before the rem ainder of the bank ’s
strategy can be considered.
Bank strategy
The m ost im portant fu nction that a bank ’s board can u ndertak e is to
set the bank ’s strategy . This is not as obv iou s as it sou nds. It is v ital
that bank s hav e a coherent, articu lated strategy in place that sets the
tone for the entire bu sines s, from the top dow n.
In the fi rst instance the board m u st tak e into accou nt the cu rrent
regu latory env ironm ent. This inclu des the requ irem ents of the forth-
com ing Basel III ru les . A bank cannot form u late strategy w ithou t a
clear u nderstanding of the env ironm ent in w hich it operates . Once
this is achiev ed – before proceeding w ith a form al strategy – the bank
needs to determ ine w hat m ark ets it w ishes to operate in, w hat
produ cts and w hat class of cu stom er. All its indiv idu al bu sines s
lines shou ld be set u p to operate w ithin the m ain strategy , once
m ark ets and cu stom ers hav e been identifi ed.
264 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
The fi rst task is to u nderstand one’s operating env ironm ent. Then, it
is to incorporate a specifi c target m ark et and produ ct su ite as the
basis of its strategy . Concu rrent w ith this, the bank m u st set its RoE
target, w hich driv es m u ch of the bank ’s cu ltu re and ethos. It is
im portant to get this part of the process right at the start. Prior to
the crash, it w as com m on for bank s to seek to increase rev enu e by
adding to their risk ex posu re. Ass ets w ere added to the balance sheet,
or higher risk assets w ere tak en on. In the bu ll m ark et env ironm ent
of 2001–2007 – allied to low fu nding costs as a resu lt of low base
interest rates – this resu lted in ev er higher RoE fi gu res, to the point
w here it w as com m on for ev en Tier 2 bank s to target lev els of 22% to
25% RoE in their bu s iness appraisal. This process w as of cou rse not
tenable in the long ru n.
The second task – follow ing on im m ediately from the fi rst – is to set a
realistic RoE target and one that is su stainable ov er the entire bu si-
ness cy cle. This cannot be done w ithou t edu cating board directors as
w ell as shareholders, w ho m u st appreciate the new , low er RoE
targets. Managing ex pectations w ill contribu te to a m ore dis-
passionate rev iew of strategy . Ju st as im portantly , risk -adju sted
RoE shou ld also be set at a realistic lev el and not be allow ed to
increase. Hence, the board and shareholders m u st accept that
low er RoE lev els w ill becom e the standard. This shou ld also be
allied to low er lev erage lev els and higher capital ratios.
Concu rrently w ith the abov e process, a bank m u st also ask itself
w here its strengths lie and form u late its strategy arou nd that. In
other w ords, it is im portant to focu s on core com petencies. Again,
the ex perience of the crash has serv ed to dem onstrate that m any
bank s fou nd them s elv es w ith risk ex posu res that they did not u nder-
stand. This m ay hav e been sim ply the holding of assets (su ch as
stru ctu red fi nance secu rities) w hose credit ex posu res, v alu ation and
secondary m ark et liqu idity they did not u nderstand, or em bark ing on
inv estm ent strategies su ch as negativ e basis trading w ithou t being
A SUSTAINABLE BANK BUSINESS MODEL 265
Leverage ratios
We discu s s bank s’ capital stru ctu res on p. 268. There is no dou bt that
the new m odel for bank ing assu m es higher capital ratios and bu ffers
for all bank s du ring the nex t 10 y ears. The higher lev el of capital w ill
be su bstantial in som e cases becau se u nder the proposed ‘Basel III’
ru les trading bu sines s w ill be requ ired to hold u p to three tim es as
m u ch capital as v anilla bank ing bu sines s. It is also ev ident that
Withou t nam ing the bank s, the au thor is aw are of institu tions that
pu rchased ABS and CDO secu rities u nder the belief that the senior tranche,
rated AAA, w ou ld not be dow ngraded ev en if there w as a defau lt in the
u nderly ing asset pool, presu m ably becau se the ju nior note(s) w ou ld absorb
the losses. Of cou rse, this loss of su bordination does erode the initial rating
of the senior note – w ith a consequ ent m ark dow n in m ark et v alu e. Another
institu tion, according to anecdotal ev idence receiv ed by em ail, entered into
negativ e basis trades w ithou t any consideration for the fu nding cost of the
trade pack age. This resu lted in losses irrespectiv e of how the basis
perform ed. In this case, it is clear that the trading desk in qu estion entered
into a relativ ely sophisticated trading strategy w ithou t being su ffi ciently
aw are of the technical im plications.
266 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
m any bank ju risdictions w ill, in addition, im plem ent lev erage ratio
lim its.
A lev erage ratio is the total v alu e of a bank ’s assets relativ e to its
equ ity capital. The fi nancial crash highlighted the ex tent of risk -
tak ing by certain bank s w hen m easu red u sing lev erage ratios. As a
m easu re of the ratio of assets to ow ners ’ equ ity , they are an ex plicit
indication of risk ex posu re. Lehm an Brothers ’ lev erage ratio in-
creased from approx im ately 24 in 2003 to ov er 31 by 2007.
Su ch aggressiv e asset grow th generated trem endou s profi ts du ring
the boom y ears, bu t ex posed the bank to su ch an ex tent that ev en a
3% or 4% decline in the v alu e of its assets w as capable of com pletely
elim inating its equ ity . As w e are all aw are, this du ly happened.
The Basel Com m ittee on Bank ing Su perv ision (BCBS) and som e
national regu latory au thorities are going to introdu ce a lim it on
lev erage ratios as an added safety m easu re alongside capital requ ire-
m ents. In the afterm ath of the crash it is accepted that bank lev erage
ratios hav e to adju st dow nw ards, and the prev ailing sentim ent today
dictates that boards shou ld be w ary of a bu sines s m odel that ram ps
u p the ratio to an ex cessiv e lev el. Figu re 9.1 show s lev els du ring
2007–2009; pru dent m anagem ent su ggests av erage lev els w ill be
m u ch low er than these fi gu res du ring the nex t 10–15 y ears. This
is bu s iness best practice, becau se low er av erage lev erage ratio lev els
also contribu te to greater sy stem ic stability .
Bank m anagem ent w ill hav e to adju st to the concept of an ex plicit
ratio lim it, the rationale for w hich is clear. The ex perience of the last
and prev iou s crises has show n that du ring a period of u pside grow th
Figure 9.2 Selected bank ratio of total assets to Tier 1 capital and
trading assets to total assets.
Source: Bank of England (2009).
bank s’ risk m odels tend to u nderestim ate their ex posu re; this has
tw o consequ ences: fi rst, the bank tak es on ev er-greater risk as it
targets greater rev enu e and profi t du ring a bu ll m ark et and, second,
the am ou nt of capital set aside is below w hat is adequ ate at the tim e
the crash occu rs. Figu re 9.2, w hich show s a sam ple of ‘bu lge-brack et’
bank s, su ggests that bank s focu sed on trading assets as they
ex panded their balance sheets .
In su ch an env ironm ent, capital ratio requ irem ents are insu ffi cient
to safegu ard against instability , and it becom es necessary to m onitor
lev erage ratios. Hence, in the post-crash env ironm ent bank s need to
adju st their bu sines s strategy to allow for this constraint.
As w e noted abov e in the case of Lehm an’s, ex cessiv ely high lev erage
resu lts in a higher sensitiv ity of the balance sheet to trading and/or
defau lt losses. Lim iting the am ou nt of lev erage acts as an additional
risk control m easu re, back ing u p the safety net prov ided by a
regu latory capital bu ffer. In adv ance of the introdu ction of a
standardized ratio – as part of a fu tu re Basel III – bank s can
address this issu e them s elv es as part of their pru dential capital
and risk m anagem ent.
Table 9.1 Su m m ary of selected regu latory lev erage ratio lim its
Capital structure
The effi cient m anagem ent of capital is a v ital fu nction of bank senior
m anagem ent. In the afterm ath of any recession, capital is of cou rse a
scarce com m odity . How ev er, this fact itself leads to one of the
less ons learned from the crisis: the need for ‘cou ntercy clical’
capital m anagem ent. In other w ords, boards shou ld treat capital as
scarce at all tim es, and bu ild u p capital bases ev en as a bu ll m ark et is
helping to generate higher profi ts. The lev el of capital needs to be
su ffi cient to cu shion the fallou t from ‘stress ev ents’, w hich are the
ou tlier ev ents that norm al distribu tion m odels of fi nance do not
captu re.
Contingent capital instru m ents can conv ert to equ ity w henev er the
issu ing bank ’s capital ratio falls below a pre-specifi ed lev el. Going
forw ard, this shou ld be the only ‘sophisticated’ fi nancial instru m ent
in the bank ’s capital stru ctu re. It w ill assist effi cient capital m anage-
m ent, as w ell as inv estor transparency , if a bank ’s capital is ju st held
in the form of sim ple instru m ents : essentially , com m on equ ity and
retained profi ts (reserv es ). Of cou rse, long-dated debt instru m ents
can also form part of capital, bu t again it is m ore transparent if these
are v anilla instru m ents .
concern. Hence, lev erage ratio lim its and robu st liqu idity m anage-
m ent is as im portant as capital bu ffers. A report from the Bank of
England (2009) has su ggested that, on av erage, a Tier 1 capital ratio of
8.5% w ou ld hav e been needed by bank s to av oid falling below the
Basel m inim u m of 4% du ring the last crisis. This su ggests that the
cu rrent requ irem ent is far too low to act as a genu ine risk -based
capital reserv e. Of cou rse, a fi nancial crisis w ill affect different bank s
in different w ay s; the Bank of England report goes on to state that
ev en if all the bank s in its stu dy sam ple had indeed possess ed a Tier 1
ratio of 8.5% , as m any as 40% of these bank s w ou ld still hav e
breached their 4% lim it du ring the crash. For som e fi rm s the
‘hinds ight’ su ffi cient lev el of capital w as as high as 18% .
It is ev ident that du ring and after the bank crisis, w hen interbank
m ark et liqu idity had dried u p, bank s pu lled back from ov erseas
m ark ets, irrespectiv e of w hether these w ere deem ed peripheral or
not, and concentrated on core m ark ets. This refl ects inform ational
adv antages in core m ark ets com pared w ith ov erseas and non-core
m ark ets. The UK corporate lending sector is a case in point: betw een
2002 and 2009, the lending v olu m e from UK bank s fell by
approx im ately 16% (the fi gu re betw een 2006 and 2009 w as a
decline of 14% ). How ev er, the equ iv alent fi gu res for foreign su b-
sidiaries w as a fall of 10.5% and 20% w hile for foreign branches the
decline w as ev en m ore dram atic, at 17% and 46% . 2 Foreign bank s
w ou ld, on av erage, hav e less depth and breadth in their corporate
relationships, w hile branches w ou ld be ex pected to hav e ev en less
dev eloped relationships in the dom estic m ark et.
The lessons for the bank bu s iness m odel are clear: du ring an
ex pansionary phase, it is im portant to rem ain focu sed on areas of
core com petence and sectors in w hich the bank possess es actu al
k now ledge and strength. Concentrating on areas in w hich the
bank carries com petitiv e adv antage m ak es it less lik ely that loan
origination standards w ill decline, resu lting in low er losses du ring an
econom ic dow ntu rn. There is also a technical reason for ensu ring
that ov erseas lending standards are m aintained strictly and lim its
set carefu lly becau se it is often u ndertak en in foreign cu rrency .
A bank ’s ability to fu nd su ch lending is m ore dependent on ex ternal
m ark ets and w holesale cou nterparties relativ e to dom estic lending,
thu s m ak ing the bank m ore v u lnerable to a m ark et dow ntu rn.
For ex am ple, the cross-cu rrency sw ap m ark et in US dollars cam e
u nder pressu re resu lting in higher sw ap prices, follow ing the
Lehm an defau lt, and m any bank s stru ggled to obtain dollar
fu nding.
bank -liqu idity -reporting obligations and their frequ ency are
increased;
certain behav iou ral adju stm ents that w ere prev iou sly allow ed are
now rev ok ed or redu ced; for ex am ple, intra-grou p com m itted
liqu idity facilities no longer cou nt as au tom atic fu nding self-
su ffi ciency ;
other behav iou ral adju stm ents are to be rev iew ed on a case-by -
case basis – for ex am ple, the treatm ent of deposit ‘stick iness’;
new requ irem ents to hold bu ffers of tru ly liqu id assets – this is
discu ssed on p. 276;
new requ irem ents to increase the av erage tenor of fu nding and
div ersify the sou rces of fu nds.
The m ain im plication of these requ irem ents is increased cost and,
all else being equ al, low er RoE. Other im plications for this new
bu s iness m odel inclu de
Another aspect of the new bank m odel requ ired by regu lators is m ore
in-depth and realistic stres s-testing. Ju risdictions w ill differ in detail.
Tak ing the FSA papers as an ex am ple, how ev er, bank s shou ld
im plem ent the follow ing stress tests:
NSFR has been set, and su ch a lim it is u nlik ely ; how ev er, regu lators
are ex pected to com pare each bank ’s fi gu re against its peer grou p
av erage and range. At the tim e of w riting, the ex act calcu lation of the
m etric has not been specifi ed; the au thor agrees w ith either of tw o
su ggestions pu t forw ard by the British Bank ers Association (BBA) as
part of its response to the BCBS proposals.
Certainly , the NSFR is not a m etric on w hich one cou ld set a ‘one-
size-fi ts-all’ lim it. As su ch, it is ex pected that su perv isors w ill v iew it
as part of a set of other m etrics before determ ining regu latory
com pliance. How ev er, bank senior m anagem ent need to be aw are
of it, and stru ctu re their liabilities w ithin an acceptable bou nd for
regu latory com pliance.
The BBA has su ggested either of the follow ing defi nitions for
calcu lation of the NSFR:
Capital plus term fu nding w ith residu al m atu rity ov er 1 y ear plus
non-w holesale fu nding divided by assets not m ark etable w ithin
1 y ear:
Capital Term fu nding 1 y ear Retail fu nding
Assets 1 y ear
Giv en that the problem du ring the crisis w as one of ov erreliance
on short-term (<1 y ear) w holesale fu nding, an alternativ e
calcu lation of the m etric cou ld be by u sing a form u la of the form :
Unsecu red w holesale fu nding 1 y ear
Total deposits Debt secu rities in issu e Capital
In essence. the pu rpose of the NFSR is to control the lev el of m atu rity
transform ation that an institu tion u ndertak es .
With regard to liqu idity m easu rem ent reporting, the BCBS has
proposed a consis tent set of m onitoring m etrics for all fi rm s. The
pu rpose of this is to assist su perv isors across ju risdictions in look ing
at liqu idity risk in global bank s, and creating a com m on langu age,
thereby redu cing the risk of m is interpretation of inform ation by
bank boards and regu lators. It w ill also hav e the added adv antage
of redu cing sy stem costs in reporting the liqu idity risk being ru n by
su ch entities.
We discu s sed a range of reports in Chapter 8. Som e of these are in the
BCBS list, inclu ding:
(i) Loan-to-deposit ratio.
(ii) Cu m u lativ e liqu idity m odel – a forw ard-look ing m odel of
A SUSTAINABLE BANK BUSINESS MODEL 275
infl ow s , ou tfl ow s and av ailable liqu idity , accu m u lated for a 12-
m onth period. It recognizes and predicts liqu idity stress points
on a cash basis . This w ill also inclu de 1-w eek ,
1-m onth and 3-m onth liqu idity ratios.
(iii) Liqu idity risk factor (also k now n as m atu rity transform ation) –
the av erage tenor of assets to av erage tenor of liabilities.
(iv ) Inter-entity fu nding report for grou p and consolidated bank ing
entities.
(v ) Pricing data.
(v i) Cu rrency analy sis.
(v ii) Retail and corporate fu nding lev els.
(v iii) Long-term -fu nding/core-fu nding ratio.
(ix ) Liqu id asset bu ffer.
(x ) Su rv iv al horizon.
(x i) Dom estic qu antitativ e ratios.
(x ii) Sy stem s and controls qu estionnaire or qu alitativ e self-
assessm ent.
A bank that reports u sing the fu ll su ite of m etrics listed abov e w ill be
able to giv e a transparent pictu re of its liqu idity position, w hich is
essential to ensu ring orderly regu latory su perv ision.
276 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Under the FSA’s Policy Statement 09/16, a ‘liqu id asset bu ffer’ (LAB)
is now m andatory for all UK-regu lated bank s. It is to be recom -
m ended as a standard part of all bank bu sines s m odels – irrespectiv e
of ju risdiction – becau se of the obv iou s risk m itigation im pact of
doing so. Becau se sov ereign bonds pay less than other secu rities, the
im plication of this change is clear: RoE w ill be low er.
Using FSA requ irem ents as a tem plate, a bank shou ld adopt the basic
operating m odel for its LAB by :
‘Highly liqu id, high-qu ality gov ernm ent debt instru m ents su ch as
gilts, plu s bonds rated at least Aa3 issu ed by the cou ntries of the
Eu ropean Econom ic Area (EEA), Canada, Japan, Sw itzerland and
the United States; reserv es held w ith the Bank of England’s
reserv e schem e and w ith the central bank s of the U.S, the
EEA, Sw itzerland, Canada and Japan. Designated m u ltilateral
dev elopm ent bank s inclu ding
– African Dev elopm ent Bank
– Asian Dev elopm ent Bank
– Cou ncil of Eu rope Dev elopm ent Bank
– Eu ropean Bank for Recons tru ction and Dev elopm ent
– Eu ropean Inv estm ent Bank
– Inter-Am erican Dev elopm ent Bank
– International Bank for Recons tru ction and Dev elopm ent
– International Finance Corporation
– Islam ic Dev elopm ent Bank
– Nordic Inv estm ent Bank .’
The FSA’s calcu lation su ggests that a bank w ill hav e to hold the
aggregate total of its 3-m onth fu nding base as a liqu id bu ffer. In other
w ords, the m ore longer term fu nds a bank has, the sm aller its bu ffer.
Essentially , the calcu lation of how m u ch of a bu ffer a bank needs to
hold is a fu nction of how m u ch short-dated (0–90 day ) w holesale
fu nding a bank has. The higher the short-dated w holesale fu nding of
a bank , the larger its LAB.
278 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Bank senior m anagem ent and boards shou ld accept that the
institu tions they ru n are piv otal parts of society and that in
the post-cris is era they w ill be closely regu lated. Contribu ting to
the stability of the m ark et is as im portant an objectiv e for a board as
is achiev ing shareholder RoE targets. To this end, an u nderstanding
and appreciation of m ark et stability is v ital. In the fi rst instance,
increasing bank capital lev els is a necessary thou gh not necessarily
su ffi cient m eans of ensu ring a stable bank ing sy stem : liqu idity
m anagem ent is ju st as im portant. In this regard, the UK FSA’s
requ irem ent that all UK-regu lated bank s m u st m aintain an LAB
is correct. Forcing ev ery bank to inv est a proportion of their
assets in cash, central bank deposits and liqu id AAA-rated sov ereign
secu rities is the best insu rance protection against fu tu re liqu idity
crises.
REFERENCES
Bank of England (2009) Financial Stability Report, Issu e No. 26, Decem ber.
Chou dhry , M. (2007) Bank Asset and Liability Management, John Wiley &
Sons (Asia) Pte Ltd.
An Introduction to Banking: Liquidity Risk and Asset–Liability Management
By Moorad Choudhry
Copyright © 2011 Moorad Choudhry.
Chapter
10
BANK REGULATORY
CAPITAL
282 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
In the UK, bank ing regu lation is now the responsibility of the FSA, w hich
took ov er from the Bank of England in 1998. In the US, bank ing su perv ision
is condu cted by the Federal Reserv e; it is com m on for the central bank to be
a cou ntry ’s dom estic bank ing regu lator.
BANK REGULATORY CAPITAL 283
arou nd the w orld. These are k now n as the BIS regu latory requ ire-
m ents or the Basel capital ratios, from the tow n in Sw itzerland w here
the BIS is based.2 Under the Basel requ irem ents all cash and off-
balance-sheet instru m ents in a bank ’s portfolio are assigned a risk
w eighting, based on their perceiv ed credit risk , w hich determ ines the
m inim u m lev el of capital that m u st be set against them .
A bank ’s capital is, in its sim plest form , the difference betw een the
assets and liabilities on its balance sheet, and is the property of
the bank ’s ow ners . It m ay be u s ed to m eet any operating losses
incu rred by the bank , and if su ch losses ex ceed the am ou nt of
av ailable capital then the bank w ill hav e diffi cu lty in repay ing li-
abilities, w hich m ay lead to bank ru ptcy . How ev er, for regu latory
pu rposes capital is defi ned differently ; again, in its sim plest form
regu latory capital is com prised of those elem ents in a bank ’s balance
sheet that are eligible for inclu s ion in the calcu lation of capital
ratios. The ratio requ ired by a regu lator w ill be that lev el deem ed
su ffi cient to protect the bank ’s depositors. Regu latory capital in-
clu des equ ity , preference shares and su bordinated debt, as w ell as
general reserv es. The com m on elem ent of these item s is that they are
all loss absorbing, w hether this is on an ongoing basis or in the ev ent
of liqu idation. This is cru cial to regu lators, w ho are concerned that
depositors and senior creditors are repaid in fu ll in the ev ent of
bank ru ptcy .
The Basel ru les on regu latory capital originated in the 1980s, w hen
there w ere w idespread concerns that a nu m ber of large bank s
engaged in cross-border bu sines s w ere operating w ith insu ffi cient
capital. The regu latory au thorities of the G10 grou p of cou ntries
established the Basel Com m ittee on Bank ing Su perv ision. Its 1988
pu blication, International C onvergence on C apital Management
and C apital Standards, set proposals that w ere adopted by
regu lators arou nd the w orld as the ‘Basel ru les ’. The Basel Accord
w as a m ethodology for calcu lating risk , w eighting assets according
to the ty pe of borrow er and its dom icile. The Basel ratio 3 set a
m inim u m capital requ irem ent of 8% of risk -w eighted assets.
Basel I rules
The BIS ru les set a m inim u m ratio of capital to assets of 8% of the
v alu e of the assets. Ass ets are defi ned in term s of their risk , and it is
weighted risk assets that are m u ltiplied by the 8% fi gu re. Each asset
is assigned a risk w eighting, w hich is 0% for risk -free assets su ch as
certain cou ntry gov ernm ent bonds and u p to 100% for the highest
risk asset su ch as certain corporate loans. So, w hile a loan in the
inter-bank m ark et w ou ld be assigned a 20% w eighting, a loan of
ex actly the sam e size to a corporate w ou ld receiv e the highest
w eighting of 100% .
Form ally , the BIS requ irem ents are set in term s of the ty pe of capital
that is being set aside against assets. International regu lation (and
UK practice) defi nes the follow ing ty pes of capital for a bank :
Tier 1 – perpetu al capital, capable of absorbing loss throu gh the
non-pay m ent of a div idend. This is shareholders’ equ ity and also
non-cu m u lativ e preference shares .
U pper Tier 2 – this is also perpetu al capital, su bordinated in
repay m ent to other creditors; it m ay inclu de, for ex am ple,
u ndated bonds su ch as bu ilding society PIBS, and other
irredeem able su bordinated debt.
Lower Tier 2 – this is capital that is su bordinated in repay m ent to
other creditors, su ch as long-dated su bordinated bonds .
BANK REGULATORY CAPITAL 285
A prim er on Basel II
The Basel II ru les w ere pu blished in fi nal form in Ju ne 2004. 4 This
chapter concentrates on the essentials behind the m ain ru lings
contained in the BIS docu m ent – these are im portant from an
ALM strategis t’s point of v iew .
The actu al title of the docu m ent, pu blished by the Basel Com m ittee on
Bank ing Su perv ision of the Bank for International Settlem ents on 26 Ju ne
2004, is International C onvergence of C apital Measurements and C apital
Standards.
286 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
The aim of Basel II w as to align econom ic and regu latory capital m ore
closely than Basel I. It introdu ces three different approaches that a
bank can adopt to achiev e this: the standardized approach, w hich is
not far rem ov ed from the cu rrent Basel I fram ew ork bu t w hich
applies m ore risk -w eighting categories and u ses form al credit
ratings; and the fou ndation and adv anced internal-ratings-bas ed
(IRB) approaches, w hich are m ore com plex and allow for a bank to
u se its ow n risk m odels and risk ex posu re data in line w ith the Basel
II fram ew ork . Im plem entation of the new ru les shou ld resu lt in
changes in certain bank and ALM activ ity , w ith certain produ cts
and sectors seeing greater activ ity and other areas less, as capital is
realigned and bank s seek to m eet adju sted target rates of retu rn.
Overview
Giv en that the prim ary objectiv e behind Basel II is to better align
econom ic w ith regu latory capital, w e conclu de that bank ing activ ity
ex hibiting low econom ic risk w ill attract a low capital charge.
Su ch activ ity m ight inclu de residential m ortgages and high-grade
corporate lending. By the sam e tok en, bu sines s that prev iou sly w as
of interest to bank s becau se regu latory treatm ent seem ed less
onerou s than perceiv ed econom ic risk , su ch as low -rated secu ritiza-
tion tranches and non-OECD cou ntry lending, shou ld becom e less
attractiv e. Follow ing this logic, bank s that hav e a high proportion of
low er risk bu sines s, su ch as com m ercial and retail bank s, w ill fi nd
that their capital charge has redu ced. The m odel-based approaches –
the fou ndation and adv anced IRB – requ ire less capital to be held
com pared w ith the standardized approach. Im planting these ap-
proaches w ill call for a large inv estm ent in risk m anagem ent
m odels and internal data sy stem s – som ething only the larger
bank s can afford. Thu s, an adv antage is presented to large bank s
ov er sm all bank s straight aw ay .
Three-pillar approach
The cornerstone of the Basel II ru les is the three-pillar approach.
Thes e are m inim u m capital requ irem ents, su perv isory rev iew and
m ark et discipline. A general description of them follow s.
Minimum capital requirements. The objectiv e of these is to produ ce
a closer link betw een econom ic and regu latory capital. The u nder-
ly ing idea is to rem ov e any possibility of regu latory capital arbitrage,
w hich w as com m on u nder Basel I. There is a m ore tailored regim e,
BANK REGULATORY CAPITAL 287
w ith m ore specifi c targeting of indiv idu al credits rather than the
broad-bru sh approach of Basel I w hich targeted w hole asset class es.
An ex am ple of this w as the 20% risk w eighting giv en to OECD
cou ntry bank s, w hich m eant som e low -rated bank s requ ired the
sam e capital set-aside as v ery highly rated bank s. The 100% risk
w eighting for all corporates, regardless of their credit qu ality or
cou ntry of incorporation, w as another ex am ple of this. Also u nder
this pillar w as a m ore contentiou s issu e, a new capital charge for
operational risk . This w ou ld cov er the risk of IT break dow n as w ell
as risk s su ch as frau d and trading irregu larity .
The defi nition of bank capital rem ains as it w as u nder Basel 1, and
the m inim u m capital ratios of 4% for Tier 1 and 8% for total capital
also rem ain in place. So, Pillar 1 – and Basel II as a w hole – is
concerned only w ith the denom inator of the capital ratio calcu lation
as established u nder Basel 1 – not the nu m erator w hich rem ains
u nchanged.5
Supervisory review process. This is the focu s of Pillar 2 and cov ers
national regu lators’ rev iew s of bank capital assessm ent m odels . It
describes the process by w hich the regu lator sets m inim u m capital
requ irem ents that ex ceed those ou tlined in Pillar 1, w ith the ex act
requ irem ents being a fu nction of the risk profi le of each bank . Bank s
m u st also asses s their credit concentration risk s and stres s-test them
u nder v ariou s conditions.
Enhanced public disclosure. Pillar 3 requ ires bank s to pu blis h
their risk -w eighting calcu lations , capital break dow n and capital
adequ acy .
Operational risk
Basel II introdu ced a capital set-aside to cov er operational risk –
a contentiou s departu re from the requ irem ents of Basel I. Bank s
are requ ired to calcu late a capital charge for operational risk ,
separate from the capital charge for credit risk . Each approach has
its ow n calcu lation m ethod. The general calcu lation is that a
bank m u st apply 15% of its av erage rev enu e ov er the last 3 y ears
– rev enu e is defi ned as net interest incom e (NII) plu s non-interest
BANK REGULATORY CAPITAL 289
incom e.6 Under the standardized approach a bank m ay calcu late its
ow n lev el of operational risk , per bu sines s line, and apply the capital
charge based on this risk ex posu re. The charge itself can then lie
w ithin a 12% to 18% range, rather than the u niform 15% lev el.
Under the adv anced IRB approach a bank w ill calcu late its ow n
operational risk lev el and then apply its ow n capital charge, u nder
BIS gu idelines of cou rse. This enables a bank to set low er operational
risk charges for certain bu sines s lines , w here it can show that risk
ex posu re is low er.
Table 10.1 is a su m m ary of the m ain differences betw een Basel I and
II by asset class. Certain sectors, su ch as residential m ortgages and
high-credit-rated corporate lending, gain su bstantially u nder the new
regim e, w hereas som e bu sines ses su ch as fu nd m anagem ent, w hich
prev iou sly attracted no charge, now carry an operational risk charge.
Sovereign business
As w as the case w ith all asset classes, the treatm ent of sov ereign debt
u nder Basel I w as v ery sim ple. Sov ereigns w ere div ided into OECD
and non-OECD debt.7 OECD sov ereign debt w as risk -w eighted at
0% , w hile non-OECD sov ereigns w ere risk -w eighted at 100% .
Under Basel II there is a deeper distinction, w ith risk -w eighting
Som e national regu lators hav e specifi ed that a bank m ay tak e av erage
v olu m e of bu siness, su ch as v olu m e of assets, ov er the last 3 y ears rather
than rev enu es.
The m em ber cou ntries of the Organization for Econom ic Cooperation and
Dev elopm ent (OECD) are Au stralia, Au stria, Belgiu m , Canada, the Czech
Repu blic, Denm ark , Finland, France, Germ any , Greece, Hu ngary , Iceland,
Ireland, Italy , Japan, Lu x em bou rg, Mex ico, Netherlands, New Zealand,
Norw ay , Poland, Portu gal, Slov ak ia, Sou th Korea, Spain, Sw eden,
Sw itzerland, Tu rk ey , the UK and the US.
290
Table 10.1 Com paris on of regim e change from Basel I to Basel II – risk w eights
Standardized IRB a
(% ) (% ) (% )
Sov ereign 0 (OECD) 0–150 b 0–400 New regim e is essentially rating based. 100%
risk w eighting for u nrated sov ereigns. Low er
rated OECD sov ereigns attract higher charges,
w hereas high-rated non-OECD sov ereigns now
attract low er charges
100 (non-OECD)
Bank sector 20 (OECD) 20–150 b 6–400 There are tw o approaches, either (i) one rank
low er than sov ereign rating or (ii) based on
bank ’s ow n credit rating
100 (non-OECD) Unrated bank s carry 50% w eighting. Bank s
rated A to BBB attract a higher charge of 50%
from 20% u nder the old regim e
Retail
– Mortgages 50 35 13–227 Bank s w ith large and/or high-qu ality m ortgage
book s w ill hav e an incentiv e to m ov e to IRB
– Credit card, etc. 100 75 10–227 Ov erdu e u nsecu red loans are w eighted at
AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
Basel I Basel II
(% ) (% )
Source: BIS.
An effectiv e if sim ple illu stration of the new regim e can be giv en as
follow s: consider a bank holding tw o bonds , each of USD10 m illion
nom inal, issu ed by Sou th Africa and Sou th Korea, respectiv ely .
Under Basel I – tak ing the m inim u m 8% capital requ irem ent –
the capital charges for each are
So, in this sty lized ex am ple the im pact is qu ite signifi cant. The
m ak eu p of gov ernm ent bond portfolios in bank s w ill be rev iew ed
and heav ily infl u enced by each sov ereign credit ECAI. As capital
charges rise for certain borrow ers com pared w ith others, those so-
v ereigns that su ffer an adv erse im pact in term s of the capital that a
bank inv estor is requ ired to hold against them m ay fi nd their
issu ance y ields rise. It is not necessarily em erging m ark et sov ereigns
that w ill be so im pacted. Italy is cu rrently rated at A by S&P’s
(althou gh it is rated Aa2 by Moody ’s and AA by Fitch’ s). If one of
the other agencies also effects a dow ngrade to Italian sov ereign debt,
then su ch debt w ill lose its 0% risk w eighting u nder Basel II’s
standardized approach ru les. This point also highlights the adv an-
tage of adopting IRB ru les. Under fou ndation IRB, cou ntries su ch as
Italy and Greece, w hich w ill or m ay attract a 20% w eighting u nder
the standardized approach, w ill probably be w eighted at 0% u nder
bank s’ ow n PD v alu es for sov ereign debt. How ev er, there is no dou bt
that higher rated non-OECD sov ereigns w ill gain u nder Basel II and
m ay w ell see their bond y ields spread narrow . Less clearcu t, bu t still
a strong possibility , is that low er rated OECD m em bers w ill see their
debt attract a higher charge.
D escription of calculation
Althou gh w e are describing the calcu lation for sov ereign assets here,
m u ch of the calcu lation fram ew ork for Basel II is the sam e for
corporates. Under Basel II the standardized approach applies risk
w eights in accordance w ith asset credit rating, as show n in Table
10.2. Under the IRB approach bank s that m eet m inim u m specifi ed
requ irem ents and hav e obtained their regu lator’s approv al can u se
their internal estim ates of risk param eters to determ ine their capital
requ irem ents. Thes e param eters are
Advanced IRB. Bank s that im plem ent the adv anced IRB approach
w ill u se their ow n v alu es for PD, EAD and LGD and calcu late their
ow n M v alu e. Becau se national regu latory au thorities w ill also be
setting their ow n prescribed lev els for these param eters, adopting the
adv anced approach w ill be benefi cial for bank s that believ e their ow n
estim ates w ill be low er than those of the regu lator. The calcu lation
of M is dependent on the cashfl ow s of actu al assets on the book .
Generally , if the M v alu e is below 2.5 then the risk w eight w ill
be low er u nder the adv anced approach than u nder the fou ndation
approach. If M lies abov e 2.5 then the opposite is tru e. The m ax im u m
v alu e for M is 5.0.
Formulae. For all assets not in defau lt, the form u lae for calcu lating
risk w eights and capital requ irem ents u nder both the fou ndation and
w here ex pected loss PD LGD is the bank ’s best estim ate. This
estim ate is u sed to calcu late loan loss prov ision and setoff charges
for each asset in defau lt.
Example illustration9
To help illu strate the new calcu lation ru les , and as an indication of
how capital requ irem ents can be signifi cantly different u nder Basel II
than u nder Basel I, w e present a sty lized ex am ple of tw o sov ereign
assets. Im agine that a bank holds the follow ing tw o sov ereign bonds :
USD100 m illion Tu rk ey 10-y ear, rated BB
USD100 m illion Malay sia 10-y ear, rated A
Under Basel I the regu latory capital requ irem ent for this portfolio is
zero for the Tu rk ey bond, becau se the cou ntry is an OECD m em ber,
and USD8 m illion for the Malay sia bond w hich is 100% risk
w eighted. How ev er, u nder Basel II this requ irem ent changes, w ith
the ex act calcu lation being dependent on the approach being
adopted.
Standardized approach. Under the standardized approach, the
ratings of each sov ereign bond determ ine its risk w eighting. 10 So,
the capital calcu lation is
Tu rk ey USD4 m illion
Malay sia USD1.6 m illion
This highlights a general point on the im pact of Basel II com pared
w ith Basel I: u nder the sim ple standardized approach, asset portfolios
that gain inclu de those of highly rated non-OECD obligations su ch
as China, Chile, Hong Kong and Sou th Africa, w hile portfolios that
w ou ld su ffer higher capital charges w ou ld inclu de OECD m em ber
cou ntries that are low er rated, su ch as Mex ico, Poland, Slov ak ia,
Sou th Korea and, as show n here, Tu rk ey . In ou r ex am ple, the holding
of Tu rk ey sov ereign bonds su ffers a signifi cant increase in capital
charge, w hile the holding of Malay sia sov ereign bonds benefi ts from
a m u ch-redu ced requ irem ent.
The au thor thank s Ram eez Saboow ala for his assistance w ith gathering
data for u se in this section.
In ou r ex am ple there is one u niform rating for each ex posu re. Very
broadly speak ing, if a sov ereign or other entity is rated differently across
different agencies, the low er rating applies.
BANK REGULATORY CAPITAL 297
This is signifi cant: at a zero PD there w ou ld be a zero capital requ irem ent
becau se there is no m inim u m lev el of PD for sov ereign ex posu res. For
corporate ex posu res, a m inim u m fl oor PD applies irrespectiv e of rating.
298 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
ex posu res – becau se PDs can assu m e zero v alu e – the choice of w hich
nu m ber to u se is signifi cant.
Bank assets
For bank ALM strategy pu rposes, this is perhaps the m ost im portant
asset class to assess w ith respect to the im pact of Basel II. Bank s are
signifi cant holders of short-term and m ediu m -term bank -issu ed debt
and w ill look to rebalance liqu idity portfolios for any ty pes of assets
that are adv ersely affected u nder the new ru les. 12
Note that Basel II does not redefi ne (nor seek to redefi ne) bank
‘capital’. The defi nition of Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital rem ains the
sam e as u nder Basel I. So, a bank holding another bank ’s capital
instru m ents m u st continu e to observ e specifi c ru les , althou gh in
practice there m ight be a possibility of m ore fav ou rable treatm ent in
practice u nder the IRB approach. Essentially , a holding of bank
capital in the form of equ ity or su bordinated debt by another
bank , w hich is greater than the equ iv alent of 10% of the holding
bank ’s ow n capital, is dedu cted from the holding bank ’s capital base
or risk -w eighted at 100% . In other w ords, a m inim u m of 8% capital
w ou ld hav e to be held against an asset com prised of bank capital,
w hether this is Tier 1 equ ity , u pper Tier 2 or low er Tier 2 su b-
ordinated debt. Under the IRB approach in Basel II, there is no
specifi c new treatm ent for bank capital, bu t apply ing the IRB
ru les m ay resu lt in som e bank capital being risk -w eighted at
low er than 100% . We can see how this m ay w ell be the case
w here the instru m ent is issu ed by a strongly rated bank .
Short-term debt
The new ru les for short-term bank debt can be su m m arized as
follow s:
Debts of 1-y ear m atu rity or less are assigned a 20% risk w eighting
assu m ing they are rated at A-1/P-1. 13 Short-term bank debt rated
Bank s hold a large part of their liqu idity book in short-term bank debt
su ch as certifi cates of deposit (CDs), com m ercial paper (CP) and fl oating
rate notes (FRNs).
Note that the highest S&P short-term rating is A-1 , w hile the highest
Moody ’s short-term rating is P-1.
BANK REGULATORY CAPITAL 299
Note that rating agencies do not rate a corporate entity , inclu ding a bank ,
at a higher rating than the rating of its cou ntry of incorporation (althou gh
an equ iv alent rating is possible). Hence, su ch bank s are rare beasts.
C onsultation Paper 189, FSA.
300
IRB approach
The procedu re for apply ing IRB ru les in both fou ndation and
adv anced form s for bank assets is v irtu ally identical to that u sed
for sov ereign assets. The only signifi cant difference is that a
m inim u m v alu e of 0.03% for the PD param eter m u st be applied
for bank assets w hen calcu lating the risk w eighting. If apply ing
fou ndation IRB, a bank m ay u se its ow n internal credit analy sis
resu lts w hen estim ating the PD param eter (su bject to the 0.03%
m inim u m ), w hile v alu es for the EAD, LGD and M param eters are
set in the BIS gu idelines. Senior u nsec u red bank debt is assigned a
45% LGD v alu e, w ith su bordinated u nsecu red debt giv en a 75%
LGD lev el. The v alu e for M is 2.5. If apply ing adv anced IRB, a
bank m ay u se its ow n internally calcu lated v alu es for PD, EAD,
LGD and M.
D erivative positions
Bank s are the largest u sers of off-balance-sheet deriv ativ es su ch as
sw aps . Under Basel I bank s calcu lated the credit ex posu re arising
from deriv ativ es trading u sing the ‘cu rrent ex posu re’ m ethod, w hich
entailed tak ing the m ark -to-m ark et v alu e of each position and basing
ex posu re on that. Basel II continu es essentially w ith this approach.
The cou nterparty charge for deriv ativ es transactions is giv en by :
Cou nterparty charge RC Add-on CA r 0 08 10 5
w here
RC Replacem ent cost;
Add-on Potential fu tu re ex posu re;
302 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
CA Collateral v alu e;
r Cou nterparty risk w eight.
Note that this only applies to ov er-the-cou nter (OTC) deriv ativ e
contracts – not ex change-traded ones, for w hich no cou nterparty
charge is requ ired. Equ ation (10.5) show s that a bank w ill obtain
capital relief for any of its deriv ativ es trades that are collateralized by
the cou nterparty .
C orporate assets
The sim ple 100% risk w eight for corporate lending that applied
u nder Basel I has been discarded. In its place is the ratings-based
m ethodology for the standardized approach show n in Table 10.5.
Under the fou ndation IRB approach the capital charge redu ces for
higher rated corporates, so that AA-rated com panies – prev iou sly
rated 100% u nder Basel I – are now arou nd 15% . The class of assets
term ed ‘sm all- and m ediu m -sized enterprises ’ (SMEs) also gained
u nder Basel II w hen com pared w ith non-SME corporates; u nder
the IRB approach it is ex pected that the w eighting w ill be approx i-
m ately 20% low er for sm all SMEs. 16
Retail asset risk w eighting u nder Basel II w as 75% in the
standardized approach, com pared w ith 100% u nder Basel I. Residen-
tial m ortgage risk w eighting w ill decrease from 50% to 35% ; u nder
the IRB m ethod they are ex pected to fall from this to arou nd 15% .
An SME is defi ned for Basel II pu rposes as a corporate w ith annu al sales of
EUR50 m illion or less.
BANK REGULATORY CAPITAL 303
AAA to AA 20
A to A 50
BBB to BB 100
Below BB 150
Unrated 100
Source: BIS.
Basel III
In Septem ber 2010 the Basel Com m ittee for Bank ing Su perv ision
(BCBS), w hich com prises the regu lators and central bank ers of 27
cou ntries, released details of the new bank ing regu latory capital
ru les , w hich w ere term ed Basel III. The ru les requ ire bank s to
hold a higher am ou nt of core Tier 1 capital than w as requ ired
u nder the Basel I and II regim es.
The m ain prov isions of Basel III are as follow s:
the m inim u m lev el of core Tier 1 capital to be 4.5% of risk -
w eighted assets – this com pares w ith the 2% lev el requ ired
u nder the Basel II accord;
a ‘capital conserv ation’ bu ffer of 2.5% w ill also be requ ired, as
protection against periods of econom ic and fi nancial stres s;
there w ill be a Tier 1 ‘lev erage ratio’ of 3% .
Althou gh this additional reserv e is not com pu ls ory , a bank that does
not pu t it in place w ill be restricted from pay ing div idends to share-
BANK REGULATORY CAPITAL 305
Initial impact
The Basel III ru les are possibly m ore onerou s for bank s than a fi rst
reading m ight su ggest, particu larly w hen the Tier 1 capital ratio is
tak en together w ith the proposals for a lev erage ratio and liqu idity
bu ffers. How ev er, althou gh bank s w ill need to hold m ore high-
qu ality capital, they hav e been allow ed a long-transition phase to
im plem ent the new requ irem ents . They w ill need to hold com m on
equ ity to the v alu e of 4.5% of their assets by the start of 2015, u p
from the cu rrent 2% . Bey ond that, by Janu ary 2019 bank s w ill need to
hold a 2.5% capital conserv ation bu ffer of com m on equ ity . The
rationale of the bu ffer is that it is ju st that – a bu ffer that can be
ru n dow n du ring periods of m ark et stress, w ithou t hitting the reg-
u latory reserv e and thu s preserv ing the bank as a going concern. The
total requ irem ent com prises the com m on equ ity ratio of 7% stated
abov e. This is a considerable increase on the prev iou s m inim u m
of 2% .
In addition, the BCBS is introdu cing new ru les from 2012 that
dem and a m ore onerou s capital regim e for trading activ ities and
secu ritized assets held on the trading book . This is ex pected to be
three tim es the lev el requ ired against bank ing book assets. Large
306 AN INTRODUCTION TO BANKING
BIBLIOGRAPHY
BIS (1988) International C onvergence of C apital Measurement and C apital
Standards, Basel Com m ittee on Bank ing Regu lations and Su perv isory
Practice, Ju ly .
Fabozzi, F. and Chou dhry , M. (Eds) (2004) The H andbook of European
Fixed Income Securities, John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
FSA (2008) C onsultation Paper 189.
Gu p, B. (2004) The N ew Basel C apital Accord, Thom son Corporation, New
York .
An Introduction to Banking: Liquidity Risk and Asset–Liability Management
By Moorad Choudhry
Copyright © 2011 Moorad Choudhry.
Appendix
A
SUMMARY OF BANK
PRODUCT LINE
308 APPENDIX A
Demand deposits
Also referred to as sight deposits, they are sim ilar to chequ e accou nts
bu t are alw ay s interest bearing. The fu nds are av ailable on dem and,
bu t cannot be u sed for chequ es or other sim ilar pay m ents .
Time deposits
Tim e or term deposits are interest-bearing deposit accou nts of fi x ed
m atu rity . They are u su ally offered w ith a range of m atu rities ranging
from 1 m onth to 5 y ears, w ith longer dated deposits attracting higher
interest. This refl ects the positiv e y ield cu rv e, w hich indicates the
fu nding v alu e to the bank of longer term liabilities. Most tim e
deposits pay a fi x ed rate of interest, pay able on m atu rity . Accou nts
of longer than 1-y ear m atu rity often capitalize interest on an annu al
basis.
Government bonds
The secondary m ark et in gov ernm ent bonds is prov ided by bank s
that choose to be m ark et-m ak ers or prim ary dealers. Sov ereign debt
is essentially a plain v anilla m ark et, w ith the v ast m ajority of bonds
APPENDIX A 309
being fi x ed cou pon and fi x ed m atu rity . Gov ernm ents also issu e
index -link ed bonds w hich offer retu rn link ed to the rate of infl ation.
Letter of credit
A letter of credit (LoC) is a standard v anilla produ ct av ailable from a
com m ercial bank . It is an instru m ent that gu arantees that a bu y er’s
310 APPENDIX A
pay m ent to a seller w ill be receiv ed at the right tim e and for the
specifi c am ou nt. The bu y er is the cu stom er of the bank . If the bu y er
is u nable to m ak e pay m ent on the du e date, the bank w ill cov er the
fu ll am ou nt of the pu rchase. The bank therefore tak es on the credit
risk of the bu y er w hen it w rites an LoC on the bu y er’s behalf. The
bu y er therefore pay s a fee for the LoC that refl ects its credit standing.
LoCs are u sed in dom estic and international trade transactions.
Cros s-border trade transactions inv olv e both parties in issu es su ch
as distance, different legal ju risdictions and lack of any av ailable du e
diligence on the cou nterparties. An LoC is a v alu able tool that eases
the process for the bu y ing and selling parties. The bank also acts on
behalf of the bu y er (the pu rchaser of the LoC) becau se it w ou ld only
m ak e pay m ent w hen it k now s that the goods hav e been shipped. For
the seller, an LoC su bstitu tes the credit of the bu y er for that of the
bank , w hich is an easier risk ex posu re for the seller to tak e on.
There are essentially tw o ty pes of LoC: com m ercial and standby .
A com m ercial LoC is the prim ary pay m ent m echanism for a
transaction, w hile a standby LoC is a secondary pay m ent
m echanism .
ex pect the LoC w ill be draw n on. It essentially prov ides com fort to
the benefi ciary , as it enhances the creditw orthines s of its cu stom er.
Structured deposits
A stru ctu red deposit is a deposit w hose pay off or retu rn profi le is
stru ctu red to m atch a specifi c cu stom er requ irem ent. The stru ctu r-
ing resu lts from the u se of an em bedded deriv ativ e in the produ ct,
w hich link s the deposit to changes in interest rates, FX rates or other
m ark et rates. There is a w ide range of different produ cts av ailable
that fall in the class of ‘stru ctu red deposit’. An ex am ple is the
follow ing: a cu stom er places fu nds on deposit at a specifi c interest
rate and fi x ed term . Under the agreem ent, if the central bank base
interest rate rem ains betw een 4% and 5% , then retu rn is enhanced
by 100 bp. If the rate m ov es below 4% or abov e 5% , then the deposit
forfeits all interest for the rem aining term of its life. This is an
ex am ple of a ‘collared range accru al’ deposit.
Liquidity facilities
Liqu idity facility is the generic term for a standing loan agreem ent,
against w hich a borrow er can draw dow n fu nds at any tim e u p to the
m ax im u m v alu e of the line. The borrow er pay s a fee, called the
standing fee, ev en if the line is not u sed and then pay s the agreed
rate of interest on any fu nds that it does draw .
We distingu ish betw een the follow ing:
Back-up facility. A facility that is not u sed in the norm al cou rse
of bu sines s. It is generally draw n dow n if the borrow er is ex peri-
encing som e diffi cu lty in obtaining fu nding from its u su al
sou rces .
Revolving credit facility (RC F). A com m itm ent from a bank to
lend on a rev olv ing basis u nder pre-specifi ed term s. Under an
RCF there is u su ally a regu lar draw dow n and repay m ent of fu nds
du ring the life of the facility .
Term loan. This is distinct from liqu idity lines in that it is a non-
rev olv ing facility and w ill be draw n dow n at ex ecu tion. It has a
fi x ed repay m ent date, althou gh this m ay be on an am ortized
basis.
Liqu idity facilities requ ire fu ll regu latory capital back ing, as the
capital treatm ent is to assu m e that they are being u sed at all tim es.
312 APPENDIX A
Syndicated loans1
To raise debt capital, com panies m ay issu e bonds or loans (as w ell as
other debt-lik e instru m ents ), both of w hich are associated w ith a
certain seniority or rank ing. In a liqu idation or w inding u p, the
borrow er’s rem aining assets are distribu ted according to a priority
w aterfall: debt obligations w ith the highest seniority are repaid fi rst;
only if assets rem ain thereafter are obligations w ith low er seniorities
repaid. Fu rther, debt instru m ents m ay be secu red or u ns ecu red: if
certain of the borrow er’s assets are ring-fenced to serv e as collateral
for the lenders u nder a particu lar obligation only , this obligation is
deem ed to be ‘secu red’. Together, seniority and collateral determ ine
the priority of an obligation. As illu strated in Table A.1, bonds and
loans issu ed by inv estm ent-grade com panies, as w ell as bonds
issu ed by su b-inv estm ent-grade com panies, called ‘high-y ield
bonds ’, are ty pically senior u nsecu red. How ev er, loans issu ed
by su b-inv estm ent-grade com panies are ty pically senior secu red.
Often, these are called ‘lev eraged loans’ or ‘sy ndicated secu red
loans’. The m ark et often u ses both term s interchangeably .
The defi nition of ‘lev eraged loan’ is not u niv ers al, how ev er. Variou s
m ark et participants defi ne a lev eraged loan to be a loan w ith a su b-
inv estm ent-grade rating, w hile other u sers v iew it as one w ith a
certain spread ov er Libor (say 100 bp or m ore) and som etim es a
certain debt/EBITDA ratio of the borrow er. S&P, for instance,
1
This section is an ex tract from chapter 11 of the au thor’s book Structured
C redit Products: C redit D erivatives and Synthetic Securitisation, 2nd
edition, John Wiley & Sons (Asia), 2010. This chapter from the au thor’s
book w as co-w ritten w ith Tim o Schlafer and Marliese Uhrig-Hom bu rg.
APPENDIX A 313
Lev eraged loans are u su ally secu red by particu lar assets of the
borrow er. Thes e assets are listed in the loan agreem ent and m ay
com prise all tangible and intangible assets of the borrow er. This
m eans that, in the ev ent of defau lt, lenders can tak e possess ion of
these assets, liqu idate them and u se the proceeds to satisfy their
claim s in the order of priority stipu lated in the loan agreem ent and
the related inter-creditor agreem ent. This happens before the claim s
of any u nsecu red lenders are satisfi ed.
Lev eraged loans ty pically consist of a rev olv ing credit facility (or
‘rev olv er’) and ‘term loans’ . Term loans are u su ally tranched into
an am ortizing term loan (term loan A), prov ided by sy ndicate bank s,
and institu tional tranches (term loans B, C and D), prov ided by
institu tional inv estors. In the US m ark et, am ortizing term loans
hav e becom e increasingly rare as institu tional inv estors are now
the prim ary bu y ers of lev eraged loans. Term loan D m ay represent
314 APPENDIX A
Lev eraged loans pay fl oating rate cou pons. Thes e are com posed of
Libor (or another inter-bank rate, depending on the loan’s cu rrency ),
plu s a certain spread (i.e., risk prem iu m ); ty pically , they are pay able
qu arterly . Floating rate cou pons prov ide an effectiv e hedge against
interest rate risk : if interest rates rise, so does the cou pon and v ice
v ersa. Consequ ently , fl oating rate cou pons are particu larly popu lar
in tim es of rising interest rates. Often, the spread of lev eraged loans is
not fu lly fi x ed bu t m ov es according to a pricing grid pre-defi ned in
the loan agreem ent: if the borrow er’s credit condition im prov es (e.g.,
indicated by a decline in fi nancial lev erage and/or a rating u pgrade),
the spread decreases and v ice v ersa.
Lev eraged loans com m only m atu re betw een 7 to 10 y ears after
issu ance. The effectiv e life of lev eraged loans, how ev er, tends to
APPENDIX A 315
REFERENCE
Chou dhry , M. (2007). Bank Asset and Liability Management, Singapore:
John Wiley & Sons.
An Introduction to Banking: Liquidity Risk and Asset–Liability Management
By Moorad Choudhry
Copyright © 2011 Moorad Choudhry.
Appendix
B
FINANCIAL
MARKETS
ARITHMETIC
318 APPENDIX B
90
£6 00
365
So, the inv estor w ill receiv e £1.479 interest at the end of the term .
The total proceeds after the 3 m onths is therefore £100 plu s £1.479.
If w e w ish to calcu late the term inal v alu e of a short-term inv estm ent
that is accru ing sim ple interest w e u se the follow ing ex pression:
Day s
FV PV 1 r B2
Year
Day s
The fraction refers to the nu m erator, w hich is the nu m ber of
Year
day s the inv estm ent ru ns, div ided by the denom inator, w hich is the
nu m ber of day s in the y ear. In sterling m ark ets the nu m ber of day s in
a y ear is tak en to be 365; how ev er, certain other m ark ets (inclu ding
eu ro cu rrency m ark ets) hav e a 360-day y ear conv ention. For this
reason w e sim ply qu ote the ex pression as ‘day s’ div ided by ‘y ear’
to allow for either conv ention.
APPENDIX B 319
2
£100 1 0 06 1 0 06 £100 1 0 06
2
£100 1 06
£112 36
The ou tcom e of the process of com pou nding is the future value of
the initial am ou nt. We don’t hav e to calcu late the term inal v alu e
long hand as w e can u se:
n
FV PV 1 r B3
w here
r Periodic rate of interest (ex pressed as a decim al);
n Nu m ber of periods for w hich the su m is inv ested.
In ou r ex am ple, the initial £100 inv estm ent after 3 y ears becom es
£100 1 0 06 3 w hich is equ al to £119.10.
When w e com pou nd interest w e hav e to assu m e that the
reinv es tm ent of interest pay m ents du ring the inv estm ent term is
at the sam e rate as the fi rst y ear’s interest. That is w hy w e stated that
the 6% rate in ou r ex am ple w as fixed for 3 y ears. How ev er, w e can
see that com pou nding increases ou r retu rns com pared w ith inv est-
m ents that accru e only on a sim ple interest basis. If w e had inv ested
£100 for 3 y ears fi x ed at a rate of 6% bu t pay ing on a sim ple interest
basis ou r term inal v alu e w ou ld be £118, w hich is £1.10 less than ou r
term inal v alu e u sing a com pou nd interest basis .
320 APPENDIX B
This show s u s that the m ore frequ ent the com pou nding the higher
the interest rate factor. The last case also illu strates how a lim it
APPENDIX B 321
occu rs w hen interest is com pou nded continu ou sly . Equ ation (B.4)
can be rew ritten as:
r m r rn 1 m r rn
FV PV 1 PV 1
m m r
1 n rn
PV 1 B5
n
1 n
e lim 1 2 718281
n n
FV PVe rn B6
We can see then that the effectiv e rate w ill be greater than the fl at
rate if com pou nding tak es place m ore than once a y ear. The effectiv e
rate is som etim es referred to as the annualized percentage rate or
APR.
Discount factors
The calcu lation of present v alu es from fu tu re v alu es is also k now n as
discounting. The principles of present and fu tu re v alu es dem onstrate
the concept of the time value of m oney w hich is that in an env iron-
m ent of positiv e interest rates a su m of m oney has greater v alu e
today than it does at som e point in the fu tu re becau se w e are able
to inv est the su m today and earn interest. We w ill only consider a
su m in the fu tu re com pared w ith a su m today if w e are com pensated
by being paid interest at a su ffi cient rate. Discou nting fu tu re
v alu es allow s u s to com pare the v alu e of a fu tu re su m w ith a
present su m .
n
PV FV 1 r
The term 1 r n
is k now n as the n-y ear discou nt factor:
n
dfn 1 r B 10
The 3-y ear discou nt factor w hen the discou nt rate is 9% is:
3
df3 1 0 09 0 77218
We can calcu late discou nt factors for all possible interest rates
and tim e periods to giv e u s a discount function. Fortu nately , w e
don’ t need to calcu late discou nt factors ou rselv es as this has been
done for u s (discou nt tables for a range of rates are prov ided in Table
B.1).
324
Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 15 20
0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.1 0.12 0.15 0.2
1 0.990099 0.980392 0.970874 0.961538 0.952381 0.943396 0.934579 0.925926 0.917431 0.909091 0.892857 0.869565 0.833333
2 0.980296 0.961169 0.942596 0.924556 0.907029 0.889996 0.873439 0.857339 0.841680 0.826446 0.797194 0.756144 0.694444
3 0.970590 0.942322 0.915142 0.888996 0.863838 0.839619 0.816298 0.793832 0.772183 0.751315 0.711780 0.657516 0.578704
4 0.960980 0.923845 0.888487 0.854804 0.822702 0.792094 0.762895 0.735030 0.708425 0.683013 0.635518 0.571753 0.482253
5 0.951466 0.905731 0.862609 0.821927 0.783526 0.747258 0.712986 0.680583 0.649931 0.620921 0.567427 0.497177 0.401878
6 0.942045 0.887971 0.837484 0.790315 0.746215 0.704961 0.666342 0.630170 0.596267 0.564474 0.506631 0.432328 0.334898
7 0.932718 0.870560 0.813092 0.759918 0.710681 0.665057 0.622750 0.583490 0.547034 0.513158 0.452349 0.375937 0.279082
8 0.923483 0.853490 0.789409 0.730690 0.676839 0.627412 0.582009 0.540269 0.501866 0.466507 0.403883 0.326902 0.232568
9 0.914340 0.836755 0.766417 0.702587 0.644609 0.591898 0.543934 0.500249 0.460428 0.424098 0.360610 0.284262 0.193807
10 0.905287 0.820348 0.744094 0.675564 0.613913 0.558395 0.508349 0.463193 0.422411 0.385543 0.321973 0.247185 0.161506
11 0.896324 0.804263 0.722421 0.649581 0.584679 0.526788 0.475093 0.428883 0.387533 0.350494 0.287476 0.214943 0.134588
12 0.887449 0.788493 0.701380 0.624597 0.556837 0.496969 0.444012 0.397114 0.355535 0.318631 0.256675 0.186907 0.112157
13 0.878663 0.773033 0.680951 0.600574 0.530321 0.468839 0.414964 0.367698 0.326179 0.289664 0.229174 0.162528 0.093464
14 0.869963 0.757875 0.661118 0.577475 0.505068 0.442301 0.387817 0.340461 0.299246 0.263331 0.204620 0.141329 0.077887
15 0.861349 0.743015 0.641862 0.555265 0.481017 0.417265 0.362446 0.315242 0.274538 0.239392 0.182696 0.122894 0.064905
APPENDIX B
16 0.852821 0.728446 0.623167 0.533908 0.458112 0.393646 0.338735 0.291890 0.251870 0.217629 0.163122 0.106865 0.054088
17 0.844377 0.714163 0.605016 0.513373 0.436297 0.371364 0.316574 0.270269 0.231073 0.197845 0.145644 0.092926 0.045073
18 0.836017 0.700159 0.587395 0.493628 0.415521 0.350344 0.295864 0.250249 0.211994 0.179859 0.130040 0.080805 0.037561
19 0.827740 0.686431 0.570286 0.474642 0.395734 0.330513 0.276508 0.231712 0.194490 0.163508 0.116107 0.070265 0.031301
20 0.819544 0.672971 0.553676 0.456387 0.376889 0.311805 0.258419 0.214548 0.178431 0.148644 0.103667 0.061100 0.026084
APPENDIX B
21 0.811430 0.659776 0.537549 0.438834 0.358942 0.294155 0.241513 0.198656 0.163698 0.135131 0.092560 0.053131 0.021737
22 0.803396 0.646839 0.521893 0.421955 0.341850 0.277505 0.225713 0.183941 0.150182 0.122846 0.082643 0.046201 0.018114
23 0.795442 0.634156 0.506692 0.405726 0.325571 0.261797 0.210947 0.170315 0.137781 0.111678 0.073788 0.040174 0.015095
24 0.787566 0.621721 0.491934 0.390121 0.310068 0.246979 0.197147 0.157699 0.126405 0.101526 0.065882 0.034934 0.012579
25 0.779768 0.609531 0.477606 0.375117 0.295303 0.232999 0.184249 0.146018 0.115968 0.092296 0.058823 0.030378 0.010483
26 0.772048 0.597579 0.463695 0.360689 0.281241 0.219810 0.172195 0.135202 0.106393 0.083905 0.052521 0.026415 0.008735
27 0.764404 0.585862 0.450189 0.346817 0.267848 0.207368 0.160930 0.125187 0.097608 0.076278 0.046894 0.022970 0.007280
28 0.756836 0.574375 0.437077 0.333477 0.255094 0.195630 0.150402 0.115914 0.089548 0.069343 0.041869 0.019974 0.006066
29 0.749342 0.563112 0.424346 0.320651 0.242946 0.184557 0.140563 0.107328 0.082155 0.063039 0.037383 0.017369 0.005055
30 0.741923 0.552071 0.411987 0.308319 0.231377 0.174110 0.131367 0.099377 0.075371 0.057309 0.033378 0.015103 0.004213
325
326 APPENDIX B
1 n
Discou nt factor w ith com pou nd interest dfn
1 r
Earlier w e established the continu ou sly com pou nded interest rate
factor as e rn. Therefore, u sing a continu ou sly com pou nded interest
rate w e can establish the discou nt factor to be:
1 r D ays Year
df e
1 er D ays Year 1 B 11
rn
dfn e
The continu ou sly com pou nded discou nt factor is part of the form u la
u sed in option-pricing m odels. It is possible to calcu late discou nt
factors from the prices of gov ernm ent bonds. The traditional
approach described in m ost tex tbook s requ ires that w e fi rst u se
the price of a bond that has only one rem aining cou pon, its last
one, and calcu late a discou nt factor from this bond’s price. We
then u se this discou nt factor to calcu late the discou nt factors of
bonds w ith ev er-increasing m atu rities, u ntil w e obtain the com plete
discou nt fu nction.
0 05 5
PV 1,000e £778 80
MULTIPLE CASHFLOWS
Future values
Up to now w e hav e considered the fu tu re v alu es of a single cashfl ow .
Of cou rse, the sam e principles of the tim e v alu e of m oney can be
applied to a bu ndle of cashfl ow s. A series of cashfl ow s can be at
regu lar or at irregu lar interv als. If w e w is h to calcu late the total
fu tu re v alu e of a set of irregu lar pay m ents m ade in the fu tu re w e
need to calcu late each pay m ent separately and then su m all the
cashfl ow s. The form u la is represented as:
N
N n
FV Cn 1 r B 14
n 1
w here C n is the pay m ent in y ear n; and the sy m bol m eans ‘the
su m of ’. We assu m e that pay m ent is m ade and interest credited at
the end of each y ear.
It is m u ch m ore com m on to com e across a regu lar stream of fu tu re
pay m ents . Su ch a cashfl ow is k now n as an annuity. In an annu ity the
pay m ents are identical and so C n – as giv en in equ ation (B.14) –
sim ply becom es C . We can then rearrange equ ation (B.14) as:
N
N n
FV C 1 r B 15
n 1
328 APPENDIX B
1 rN 1
FV C B 16
r
This form u la can be u sed to calcu late the fu tu re v alu e of an annu ity .
For ex am ple, if w e consider an annu ity that pay s £500 each y ear for
10 y ears at a rate of 6% , its fu tu re v alu e is giv en by :
1 06 10 1
FV 500 £6,590 40
0 06
To m ak e calcu lations sim pler w e can m u ltiply both sides of equ ation
(B.17) by 1 r m and su btract the resu lt from equ ation (B.17).
Sim plify ing this w ill then resu lt in:
1 r m mN
1
FV C B 18
1 r m m 1
For ex am ple, a 10-y ear annu ity that has annu al pay m ents of £5,000,
bu t com pou nded on a qu arterly basis at a rate of 5% , w ill hav e a
1
If w e m u ltiply both sides of equ ation (B.15) by 1 r and then su btract the
resu lt from equ ation (B.15) w e obtain:
N N
N n N n 1
FV 1 r FV C 1 r 1 r
n 1 n 1
C 1 r N
1
APPENDIX B 329
Present values
Using sim ilar principles to those em ploy ed for calcu lating fu tu re
v alu es, w e can calcu late present v alu es for a stream of m u ltiple
cashfl ow s. The m ethod em ploy ed is slightly different according to
w hether cashfl ow s are regu lar or irregu lar.
For irregu lar pay m ents w e calcu late present v alu e by apply ing the
conv entional present v alu e form u la to each separate cashfl ow and
then su m m ing the present v alu es. This is represented by :
N
n
PV Cn 1 r B 21
n 1
1 rN 1 1
C
r 1 r N
1 1 r N
C B 22
r
Consider now an annu ity pay ing £5,000 each y ear for 20 y ears at an
interest rate 4.5% . The present v alu e of this annu ity is:
20
1 1 045
PV 5,000
0 045
65,039,68
We illu strate this principle u sing a 20-y ear annu ity that em ploy s
annu al discou nting. If a cashfl ow stream em ploy s m ore frequ ent
discou nting w e need to adju st the form u la again. If an annu ity
discou nts its cashfl ow s m tim es each y ear then the present v alu e
of its cashfl ow stream is fou nd u sing the present-v alu e-adju sted
equ ation – that is, equ ation (B.18). This becom es:
FV 1 1 r m mN
PV c B 23
r mN 1 r m m 1
1
m
If continu ou s discou nting is em ploy ed then this resu lts once again in
the lim iting factor for continu ou s discou nting, so w e adju st equ ation
(B.23) and the new ex pression is:
1 e rN
PV C B 24
er 1
The last case to consider is that of the pay m ents stream that has
m ore frequ ent cashfl ow s in addition to m ore frequ ent discou nting.
Su ch a pay m ents stream w ill hav e m cashfl ow s each y ear w hich are
also discou nted m tim es per y ear. To calcu late the present v alu e of
the cashfl ow s w e u se:
FV 1 1 r m mN
PV C B 25
1 r m mN r
APPENDIX B 331
w here C i is the size of the m onthly pay m ent. Su bs titu ting the term s
of the m ortgage pay m ents into the equ ation w e obtain:
76,000 0 0699
Ci £536 67
12 1 1 0 0699 12 12 25
The m onthly repay m ent is therefore £536.67 and inclu des interest
chargeable in addition to repay m ent of som e of the principal (hence
the term repayment m ortgage, as opposed to endowment m ortgage
w hich only pay s off the m onthly interest charge). A repay m ent
m ortgage is also k now n as an amortized m ortgage. An am ortized
loan is one w here a proportion of the original loan capital is paid off
each y ear. Loans that requ ire the borrow er to serv ice the interest
charge once a y ear are k now n as straight or bullet loans. It is for this
reason that plain v anilla bonds are som etim es k now n as bu llet
bonds , since the capital elem ent of a loan raised throu gh a v anilla
bond issu e is repaid only on m atu rity .
Perpetual cashflow s
The ty pe of annu ity that w e as indiv idu als are m ost fam iliar w ith is
the annuity pension, pu rchased from a life assu rance com pany u sing
the proceeds of a pension fu nd at the tim e of retirem ent. Su ch an
annu ity pay s a fi x ed annu al cash am ou nt for an u ndeterm ined
332 APPENDIX B
period, u su ally u ntil the death of the benefi ciary . An annu ity w ith no
set fi nish date is k now n as a perpetuity. As the end date of a
perpetu ity is u nk now n w e are not able to calcu late its present
v alu e w ith certainty ; how ev er, a characteristic of the term
1 r N is that it approaches zero as N tends to infi nity . This
fact redu ces ou r present v alu e ex pression to:
C
PV B 28
r
We can u se this form u la to approx im ate the present v alu e of a
perpetu ity .
The UK gilt m ark et inclu des fou r gilts that hav e no redem ption date –
so-called undated bonds. The largest issu e am ongst u ndated gilts
is the 3 12 % w ar loan, a stock originally issu ed at the tim e of the
1914–1918 w ar. This bond pay s a cou pon of £3 12 per £100 nom inal
of stock . Since the cashfl ow stru ctu re of this bond m atches a per-
petu al, its present v alu e – u sing equ ation (B.28) w hen long-dated
m ark et interest rates are at, say , 5% – w ou ld be:
35
PV £70
0 05
The present v alu e of the cashfl ow stream represented by the w ar loan
stock w hen m ark et rates are 5% w ou ld therefore be £70 per £100
nom inal of stock . In fact, becau se this bond pay s cou pon on a sem i-
annu al basis w e shou ld adju st the calcu lation to accou nt for the m ore
frequ ent pay m ent of cou pons and discou nting, so the present v alu e
(price) of the bond is m ore accu rately described as:
C 3 1 75
PV
r 2 0 025
althou gh – as w e w ou ld ex pect – this still giv es u s a price of £70 per
£100 nom inal!
rate in project apprais al, and m ost com panies attem pt to ascertain
the tru e cost of their capital as accu rately as possible. As m ost
corporate fi nancing is u su ally a com plex m ix tu re of debt and
equ ity this is som etim es problem atic.
N
Cn
NPV B 29
n 1
1 r n
Com panies w ill apply NPV analy sis to ex pected projected retu rns
becau se fu nds inv ested in any u ndertak ing hav e a tim e-related cost –
the opportu nity cost that is the corporate cost of capital. In effect,
NPV m easu res the present v alu e of the gain achiev ed from inv esting
in the project (prov ided that it is su ccess fu l!). The general ru le of
thu m b applied is that any project w ith a positiv e NPV is w orthw hile,
w hereas those w ith a negativ e NPV, discou nted at the requ ired rate
of retu rn or the cost of capital, shou ld be av oided.
334 APPENDIX B
Example B.1
w here
Cn Cashfl ow for the period N ;
n Last period in w hich a cashfl ow is ex pected; and
Su m of discou nted cashfl ow s at the end of periods 0
throu gh n.
If the initial cashfl ow occu rs at tim e 0, equ ation (B.30) can be ex -
pressed as:
C1 C2 CN
C0 B 31
1 r 1 r 2 1 r N
Example B.2
The relationship betw een the IRR and the NPV of an inv estm ent can
be su m m ed u p as follow s: w hile the NPV is the v alu e of projected
retu rns from the inv estm ent u sing an appropriate discou nt rate
(u su ally the com pany ’s cost of capital), the IRR is the discou nt
rate w hich resu lts in the NPV being zero. For this reason it is
com m on to hear the IRR referred to as a project’s breakeven rate.
A conv entional inv estm ent is considered attractiv e if the IRR
ex ceeds a com pany ’ s cost of capital and the NPV is positiv e. In
the contex t of bond m ark ets, as long as the discou nt rate applicable
does indeed rem ain constant for the reinv es tm ent of all cashfl ow s
336 APPENDIX B
arising from a fi nancial instru m ent, the IRR can then be assu m ed to
be the yield to maturity for that instru m ent. Yield to m atu rity is the
m ain m easu re of the rate of retu rn achiev ed from holding a bond.
n n1
r r1 r2 r1 B 33
n2 n1
w here
r Requ ired odd date rate for n day s;
r1 Qu oted rate for n1 day s;
r2 Qu oted rate for n2 day s.
Let u s im agine that the 1-m onth (30-day ) offered interest rate is
5.25% and the 2-m onth (60-date) offered rate is 5.75% . If a cu stom er
w is hes to borrow m oney for a 40-day period, w hat rate shou ld the
bank charge? We can calcu late the requ ired 40-day rate u sing straight
line interpolation. The increase in interest rates from 30 to 40 day s is
assu m ed to be 10/30 of the total increase in rates from 30 to 60 day s.
The 40-day offered rate w ou ld therefore be:
5 25 5 75 5 25 10 30 5 4167%
Example B.3
What abou t the case of an interest rate for a period that lies ju st before
or ju st after tw o k now n rates – bu t not in betw een them ? When this
happens w e extrapolate betw een the tw o k now n rates, again assu m -
ing a straight line relationship betw een them , and for a period after
(or before) the tw o rates.
Example B.4
The 1-m onth offered rate is 5.25% w hile the 2-m onth rate is 5.75%
as before. What is the 64-day rate?
5 25 5 75 5 25 34 30 5 8167%
An Introduction to Banking: Liquidity Risk and Asset–Liability Management
By Moorad Choudhry
Copyright © 2011 Moorad Choudhry.
Appendix
C
ABBREVIATIONS
AND ACRONYMS
340 APPENDIX C
TP Transfer Price
TRS Total Retu rn Sw ap
USCP US Com m ercial Paper
WACC Weighted Av erage Cost of Capital
An Introduction to Banking: Liquidity Risk and Asset–Liability Management
By Moorad Choudhry
Copyright © 2011 Moorad Choudhry.
INDEX
ABCP see asset-back ed com m ercial asset and liability m anagem ent
paper (ALM) 2, 143 232
accru al pricing 62 bank ing book 12, 180 1
agenda, ALM 225 6 basic concepts 144 7, 169 74
ALCO see asset and liability capital m anagem ent 9
com m ittee cornerstone philosophy 144 5
ALM see asset and liability deriv ativ e trading hou se 146 7
m anagem ent desk /u nit 180 2, 184
annu alized interest rates 321 dev elopm ents 184 5
annu ities 86 7, 331 2 ex am ple 171 3
arbitrage 75 fou ndations 170 3
asset and liability com m ittee gap 146 53
(ALCO) 175, 223 32 interest rate risk 144 6, 174 80,
agenda 225 6 185 98
ALM policy 212 19
dev elopm ents 184 5 roles of desk 184
policy 213 17 secu ritization 202 19
report 224 5, 227 traditional 182 4, 198 202
bu siness planning 226 v alu e-at-risk 219 20
hedging 226 7, 229 see also asset and liability
interest rate risk 175 com m ittee; liqu idity ; net
internal fu nding policy 259 present v alu e
large bank s 217 asset-enru le;back ed com m ercial
m anagem ent reporting 226 7 paper (ABCP) 40, 43 8
m ediu m bank s 215 16 characteristics 44 6
m em bers 214 15, 224 5 condu its 44 6
objectiv es 214 15 stru ctu re illu stration 46 8
policy 224 7, 259 assets
regu lar discu ssion points 214 Basel II 298 302
reporting 224 32 core/non-core 265
sim u lation m odelling 218 19 fi x ed-rate 194 5
sm all bank s 214 internal fu nding policy 258
strategic ov erv iew 225 liqu idity gap 147 53, 185 6
344 INDEX
day -cou nt conv ention 25, 42, 65 eligible bank er’s acceptances 38 9
day s rem aining, CDs 31 Eu ro-CDs 30
DCX Bloom berg screen 26 7 Eu robonds 7
defau lt Eu rocom m ercial CP (ECP) 40, 42
loan origination 140 1 Eu rodollar fu tu res 105 6
PD 134 5, 288, 293 8, 301, ex pectations hy pothesis 73 6
303 4 local 73 4, 76
risk 171 retu rn-to-m atu rity 73, 76
sov ereign bu siness 293 8 u nbiased 73 6
delta-VaR v olatility calcu lation 220 y ield-to-m atu rity 73, 76
dem and deposits 192 3, 308 ex pected loss (EL) 135
deriv ativ es ex penses 18 19
Basel II 301 2 ex posu re at defau lt (EAD) 288,
gap m anagem ent 170, 174 294 5, 301, 303
m oney m ark ets 24 ex ternal credit assessm ent
Ru binstein 74 institu tions (ECAIs) 292 3
trading book 13 ex trapolation 336 7
trading hou se ALM profi le 146 7
y ield cu rv e 70 federal fu nds 34 5, 126 9
DES Bloom berg screen 106 fees 4, 17 18
desk , ALM 180 2 Financial Serv ices Au thority (FSA)
disclosu re of inform ation 287 consu ltativ e papers 271 2
discou nt LAB 276 7
CP 39 new proposals 271 2
factors 87 8, 323 7 Policy Statement 09/16 271, 276
as qu otation basis 25, 34 9 stress tests 272 3
rates 36 7, 72 UK 252
T-bills 36 7 fi nancial statem ents 13 21
zero-cou pon y ield cu rv e 87 8 balance sheets 13 14
dollars P&L report 14 21
DV01 reports 195, 227 fi x ed rates
Eu rodollar fu tu res 105 6 assets 194 5
Singapore dollars 26 7 interest rate sw aps 117, 121 2
US m ark et 26, 33 4 liabilities 194 5
du ration gap 184, 197 8 m ortgages 117 19
DV01 reports 195, 227 fl at y ield cu rv e 73, 80
dy nam ic gap 150 fl oating rate notes (FRNs) 309
fl oating rates
EAD see ex posu re at defau lt assets 151
earnings com position charts 16 FRNs 309
ECAIs see ex ternal credit liabilities 151
assessm ent institu tions forw ard pricing 56 60
The Economist 168 forw ard rate agreem ents (FRAs) 105,
ECP see Eu rocom m ercial CP 110 29
effectiv e interest rates 321 2 defi nition 111 12
EL see ex pected loss ex am ple 112
348 INDEX
profi t and loss report (cont.) su m m ary liqu idity report 252
prov isions 19 21 traditional ALM 183
trading incom e 18 ty pe of interest rate 230
project appraisals 332 3 w eek ly qu alitativ e 275
prov isions 19 21 repos 25, 48 64
pu re ex pectations hy pothesis 74 Basel II 301
PVBP reports 195 6 classic repo 50 6
collateral 49 50, 52, 60 2
ratings see credit ratings; internal credit interm ediation 98 100
ratings-based approaches defi nitions 49 50, 52
ratios 11, 13 21 legal treatm ent 62
Basel 283 liqu idity portfolio 158 60
capital 11, 181, 267, 269, 283 m argin 62 4
cost/incom e 19 20 m atched book 102 3
gap 183 repo dealers 98 9
lev erage 265 8, 306 repo rate 49, 51, 100
liqu idity 156 7, 245 9, 247, 253 sell/bu y back 56 60
LTD 245, 247, 253, 274 special trading 100 2
net stable fu nding 273 6 trading 98 100
RCFs see rev olv ing credit facilities retail lending 302 4
recession 81 2 retu rn on assets (ROA) 19
recov ery rate (RR) 134 5 retu rn on capital (ROC) 8, 254 5
regu lation 263 4 retu rn on equ ity (ROE)
see also Basel ru les liqu id asset bu ffer 276
regu latory capital 281 306 liqu idity ratio 157
Basel ru les 283 306 new bu siness m odel 264, 272
capital adequ acy 284 5 operating ex penses 19 20
requ irem ents 282 4 retu rn-to-m atu rity ex pectations
reinv estm ent risk 72 hy pothesis 73, 76
relativ e bond v alu es 70, 86 retu rns
reports/reporting 224 32, 274 6 holding period 74
ALCO 224 32 tim e-w eighted rate of retu rn 88
ALM 183, 224 5, 227 y ield cu rv e 70
BCBS list 274 5 see also retu rn on
concentration report 250 rev erse repos 52 3, 56
fu nding 250 1, 275 rev olv ing credit facilities (RCFs) 311
gap reports 195 6, 217 18 risk
incom e reports 230 2 ALM reporting 183
inter-entity fu nding 251, 275 basis 176 7
interest rate gap 227 8 defau lt 171
liqu idity gap 186 7 gap 176, 247
liqu idity reports 246, 248, 250 2 incom e 174
m anagem ent 226 7 inv estm ent 174
P&L report 14 21 liqu idity gap 186 91
produ ct break dow n report 229 m ark et 4, 17 18
risk retu rn profi le 231 m igration 132
INDEX 355