Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
November 4, 2010
Jefferies is consistently among the top three global advisors to the oil & gas industry
We are the foremost advisor in shale-related transactions:
Have advised on eight of the nine largest shale deals, more than all other advisors combined
Unparalleled experience related to both technical and commercial issues
Senior team has executive relationships throughout the oil and gas industry
Have served 40 of the 50 largest worldwide energy companies including ExxonMobil, BHP
Billiton, Shell, Statoil, Total, CNOOC, and Conoco, completing multiple projects for most
We have the largest, most experienced technical group in the industry, which is a hallmark of the
firm and sets us apart from our competition
We have particular expertise in the Marcellus, and have evaluated:
Over 4 million prospective Marcellus acres across NY, PA, and WV
Over 200 horizontal and 100 vertical Marcellus wells
Hundreds of miles of 2D and 3D seismic
Hundreds of logs and approximately 50 full cores
Well design, completion process, and development strategies for some of the most active
Marcellus operators
1
Introduction
The oil and gas business is going through a major transition; shale plays represent a
fundamental industry shift
For North American natural gas, the huge recoverable resource has critical long-term
implications
Potential for gas to be a cornerstone of U.S. energy policy
Ability of large energy users to make long-term commitment to gas as fuel source
Of the U.S. gas shale plays, the Marcellus has risen to the top for several reasons, including:
Scale of the play
Superior per-well economics: 30%+ IRRs at $5.00 / MMBtu
Close to U.S. population centers and significant interstate pipeline access
Geologically stable area; structurally uncomplicated
Significant additional resource potential within the play (Utica, Huron, Burkett, etc.)
2
Increasing International Interest in Shale Plays
With the success of the shale plays, the super majors and particularly the large international
O&G companies have emerged as the premium buyers of U.S. shale assets
Transaction
Buyer Resource Value
Date Buyer Domicile Seller Play ($MM)
Sept-08 BP United Kingdom Chesapeake Energy Fayetteville Shale $1,900
Nov-08 Statoil ASA Norway Chesapeake Energy Marcellus Shale 3,375
May-09 ENI Spa Italy Quicksilver Resources Barnett Shale 280
Jun-09 BG Group United Kingdom EXCO Resources Haynesville Shale 1,055
Dec-09 Total SA France Chesapeake Energy Barnett Shale 2,250
Feb-10 Mitsui & Company Japan Anadarko Petroleum Marcellus Shale 1,400
Mar-10 Statoil ASA Norway Chesapeake Energy Marcellus Shale 253
Apr-10 Reliance Industries India Atlas Energy Marcellus Shale 1,700
May-10 BG Group United Kingdom EXCO Resources Marcellus Shale 950
Jun-10 Reliance Industries India Pioneer Natural Resources Eagle Ford Shale 1,150
Aug-10 Reliance Industries India Carrizo Oil & Gas Marcellus Shale 392
Aug-10 Sumitomo Japan Rex Energy Marcellus Shale 140
Oct-10 Statoil / Talisman Norway / Canada Enduring Eagle Ford Shale 1,325
Oct-10 CNOOC China Chesapeake Energy Eagle Ford Shale 2,160
3
M&A Outlook
We will continue to see consolidation and joint ventures in the shales as companies look to
rationalize their acreage positions and / or bring in investors / partners
4
Natural Gas Price Environment
$12.00
$10.00
$8.00
$6.00
$4.00
$2.00
$-
5
The Marcellus is the Most Attractive Shale Play in the U.S.
Key Points Required Pricing for 20% Pre-tax Return vs. NYMEX Strip(1)
Gas prices have
declined since mid-
2008 as a result of $10.00
continued high levels of $8.96
drilling activity to hold
acreage in emerging $8.00
$7.08
plays
This decline has made $6.00 $5.80
$5.58 $5.38
differentiation among $4.96 NYMEX 5-YR Average: $5.12
$4.51
the plays more $4.36
Fayetteville
Haynesville
Woodford
Marcellus
Barnett
EF Dry
EF Wet
Bakken
$2.00
EF Oil
of all the plays and will
remain attractive
throughout the $-
commodity cycle
NYMEX 5-YR Average Forward Price Price Required to Generate 20% IRR ($ / Mcfe)(2)
Date Selected
Buyers Sellers Value Net Acreage
Announced Metrics
($MM)
Mar-10 Consol Energy Dominion Resources Inc 3,475.0 491,000 $4,000 / acre
Feb-10 Mitsui & Company, Ltd. Anadarko Petroleum Corporation 1,400.0 100,000 $14,000 / acre
Apr-08 XTO Energy Incorporated Linn Energy LLC 600.0 152,000 $4.13 / Mcfe
Aug-09 Enerplus Resources Chief Oil & Gas 406.0 116,000 $3,500 / acre
Dec-09 Ultra Petroleum NCL Appalachian Partners 400.0 80,000 $5,000 / acre
Aug-10 Reliance Industries Ltd Carrizo Oil & Gas 392.0 62,600 $6,262 / acre
Jun-09 Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. East Resources, Inc. 350.0 NA NA
Jun-08 Antero Resources Corporation Dominion Resources Inc 347.0 114,259 $3,037 / acre
$8.50 4 6 8 $14,000
5-Year Forward Henry Hub
$8.00
$12,000
$7.50
$ / Acre
$10,000
$7.00
11
$6.50 $8,000
9
$6.00 7 10
1 $6,000
3
$5.50
5
2 $4,000
$5.00
$2,000
$4.50
$4.00 $-
Nov-08 Jan-09 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10
X Transaction Date: Seller/ Buyer, Acreage Value ($/acre) 6 4/9/2010: Atlas/ Reliance, $14,100
8
Key Marcellus Trends / Market Dynamics
9
Evaluation Points for a Marcellus Transaction
Topic Comments
Location of acreage in relation to other publicly announced results
Asset Quality Contiguous nature of acreage position, royalty rates, percentage of acreage held by
production (HBP), expiration schedule of leases
Number of horizontal wells across acreage position
Asset Maturation Time-span of production data
Need for development and expansion of gathering infrastructure
Transaction size, resource potential and play attractiveness drawing large, well-
capitalized new entrant buyers
M&A Demand
New entrant buyer pool shrinking as deals occur; likely to see several transactions in
the next 6-12 months
Key buyer relationships, strong technical and commercial presentation and a highly
Transaction Valuation
competitive process are critical to achieving top-tier results
Capital markets extremely supportive of shale development; debt and equity markets
Capital Availability
are open and available to fund acquisitions and JVs
11
Notable Recent Marcellus Shale Transactions
$1,700,000,000 $584,000,000
$4,700,000,000
has agreed to enter into a Sold certain Marcellus Shale
Sale to Marcellus Shale Joint Venture with assets to
Royal Dutch Shell Plc Reliance Industries. Williams
Sole Financial Advisor Lead Financial Advisor Financial Advisor to the seller
12