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Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de 0.98007753
Coeficiente d 0.96055197
R^2 ajustado 0.95178574
Error típico 8.18428022
Observacione 12
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 2 14679.0852 7339.54262 109.574126 4.8097E-07
Residuos 9 602.841985 66.9824427
Total 11 15281.9272
Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Intercepción 5.69772245 3.76993569 1.511358 0.16498408 -2.83046456 14.2259095 -2.83046456
Variable X 1 0.34100925 0.09194696 3.70876046 0.00485428 0.13301077 0.54900772 0.13301077
Variable X 2 0.530271116 0.0684611 7.74558283 2.8629E-05 0.37540135 0.68514088 0.37540135
Superior 95.0%
14.2259095
0.54900772
0.68514088
GENERACION DE DESCARGAS EN LA SUBCUENCA RÍO MALA
METODO PROPUESTO POR LA MISION TECNICA ALEMANA - 1980
P P. Efectiva: PE (mm)
mm Curva I Curva II Curva III
Qt Qt-1 PE
89.0 72.8 113.0
98.1 89.0 126.1 Resultado de la regresión
94.2 98.1 118.2
68.8 94.2 32.0
24.4 68.8 4.0 Resumen
12.4 24.4 1.1
7.2 12.4 1.0 Estadísticas de la regresión
5.5 7.2 2.1 Coeficiente de corr 0.98008
7.3 5.5 5.4 Coeficiente de det 0.96055
17.4 7.3 17.4 R^2 ajustado 0.95179
34.0 17.4 34.0 Error típico 8.18428
72.8 34.0 76.8 Observaciones 12
ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de
Suma
libertad
Promedio
de cuadrados
de los cuadrados
F
Regresión 2 14679 7339.54 109.57413
Residuos 9 602.842 66.9824
Total 11 15282
Coeficientes
Error típico
Estadístico Probabilidad
t
Intercepción 5.69772 3.76994 1.51136 0.1649841
Variable X 1 0.34101 0.09195 3.70876 0.0048543
Variable X 2 0.53027 0.06846 7.74558 2.8629E-05
95.7222222222 121.056 222.444 107.444 36.833333
95.7222222222 0.88
121.0555555556
222.4444444444
107.4444444444
36.8333333333
11.3888888889
11.2777777778
3.6111111111
38.2777777778
115.6666666667
124.2777777778
130.3333333333
O MALA
ANA - 1980
ation
va III)
1
DP 1
4
P 2 2
0.9 2
L
3
L=300+ 25 ( T ) +0 . 05( T ) (4 a)
4.8 °C
P−D
425.5 C= (3)
389.7 mm/año P
0.58
Huancavelica
0.3 0.3
Valor crítico de F 0.13 0.2
4.8097E-07 0.25 0.05
0
0.1
0.07
Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Superior 95.0%
-2.8304646 14.2259095 -2.83046456 14.2259095
0.13301077 0.54900772 0.13301077 0.54900772
0.37540135 0.68514088 0.37540135 0.68514088 0.1
0.05 0
0.1 0.35
275.4453
400.5672
292.2457
695.4355
1.420758
1.205838
1.014206
2.481625
26.66959
489.417
705.0362
453.5558
3344.495
0.65
0.2
0
0.1
0
0.25
1
0.05
0.1
0.15 0.3 0.45 0.6
Coef. Curva I Curva II Curva III Curva IV
a0 0.00E+00 0.00E+00 0.00E+00 0.00E+00
a1 0.004300 -0.005400 0.134100 0.417800
a2 -0.000070 0.002100 0.003100 0.002300
a3 0.000007 0.000005 0.000000 0.000000
26 4
31
35
0.75
Curva V Curva VI Curva VII
0.00E+00 0.00E+00 0.00E+00
0.693000 0.688600 0.783200
0.001600 0.001300 0.000900
0.000000 0.000000 0.000000
ión Polinómica de la PE
0 mm
7
250
800
1006
1800
3246
3680
3956
4425
4650
Chart Title
25
15
10
25
15
10
0
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000
4277.29 5.472466
4098.2 6.29628
3745.04 7.920816
4425 4.793
1207.24232
18.7
18.8
20.5
20.6
17
11.5
9.5
6.9
3.7
2.8
0 4500 5000
DESCARGAS MEDIAS MENSUALES GENERADAS (m3/s) - SUBCUENCA RIO MALA
PERIODO: 1986 - 2016
Año Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct. Nov. Dic. Prom.
31 28 31 30 31 30 31 31 30 31 30 31 (m3/s)
1986 7.469 11.370 9.892 7.146 4.279 3.081 1.886 2.047 2.355 3.433 3.338 4.318 5.051
1987 9.004 9.571 5.257 2.979 1.335 1.132 1.055 0.977 1.103 1.211 1.490 2.741 3.155
1988 4.267 5.031 5.862 3.946 2.169 1.482 1.347 1.091 1.094 0.776 2.222 3.446 2.728
1989 5.495 5.944 6.592 3.898 2.034 1.350 1.246 1.231 0.950 1.502 4.117 2.665 3.085
1990 3.019 3.314 4.206 3.724 2.167 1.696 1.457 1.418 1.471 1.146 2.900 3.980 2.541
1991 6.105 6.766 5.695 4.146 2.498 1.703 1.402 1.204 1.063 1.336 2.369 2.760 3.087
1992 3.822 4.274 4.980 2.630 1.512 1.188 1.475 1.363 1.398 1.756 2.542 4.104 2.587
1993 10.415 14.909 13.290 7.753 3.454 1.979 1.469 1.169 1.161 2.752 4.952 7.727 5.919
1994 12.189 18.593 12.286 7.169 3.285 2.167 1.269 1.046 1.936 1.964 2.955 4.866 5.810
1995 10.581 8.045 9.446 5.173 2.489 1.667 1.361 1.087 1.128 1.705 3.018 6.009 4.309
1996 11.232 14.804 11.856 7.430 3.295 1.834 1.123 1.106 1.274 1.819 2.019 5.768 5.297
1997 9.479 15.085 6.339 3.723 1.967 1.253 1.101 1.217 1.948 2.159 4.191 7.604 4.672
1998 12.710 11.466 9.008 5.990 2.555 1.398 1.030 0.768 1.094 1.997 2.854 5.611 4.707
1999 8.997 16.969 12.275 8.127 4.430 2.234 1.419 1.289 1.339 3.206 4.894 11.021 6.350
2000 11.942 18.397 16.326 8.694 3.914 1.865 1.369 1.371 1.851 2.874 3.424 8.244 6.689
2001 12.514 12.716 16.643 7.165 3.308 1.742 1.203 1.078 1.722 2.089 5.441 4.204 5.819
2002 7.923 11.321 15.233 8.615 3.786 1.853 1.449 0.991 1.544 2.645 4.805 6.552 5.560
2003 10.348 13.349 13.382 7.789 3.448 1.978 1.382 0.993 0.933 1.723 2.470 9.023 5.568
2004 5.837 14.897 9.271 5.587 2.297 1.554 1.218 0.954 1.964 3.161 3.892 8.787 4.952
2005 8.638 9.839 12.148 7.943 3.175 1.769 1.312 1.005 1.002 1.330 1.796 6.446 4.700
2006 10.571 12.188 13.941 9.080 3.970 2.114 1.353 1.197 1.455 2.154 4.258 8.383 5.889
2007 13.231 13.589 15.891 9.111 3.764 1.843 1.251 1.116 1.221 2.757 3.234 5.196 6.017
2008 10.840 11.883 8.984 5.275 2.617 1.617 1.149 1.271 1.122 1.701 2.576 5.755 4.566
2009 11.095 17.156 16.906 9.057 3.939 2.135 1.464 1.256 1.343 3.227 5.317 8.850 6.812
2010 11.122 12.237 13.347 6.355 2.754 1.393 1.226 1.055 1.444 1.695 3.212 10.481 5.527
2011 14.677 15.193 14.683 9.416 3.495 1.647 1.086 1.058 1.704 2.640 5.437 10.518 6.796
2012 7.862 14.629 16.451 6.629 3.118 1.813 1.334 0.906 1.391 2.059 2.932 7.934 5.588
2013 10.113 18.192 14.487 5.736 2.378 1.207 1.018 0.855 0.807 2.095 2.863 3.442 5.266
2014 8.905 13.700 15.620 9.284 3.794 1.851 1.299 1.057 1.001 1.815 3.044 5.416 5.565
2015 8.102 9.827 7.963 5.655 2.636 1.601 1.239 1.214 1.513 2.109 2.791 4.716 4.114
2016 9.484 13.168 9.824 6.068 2.895 1.880 1.062 1.005 0.944 2.190 3.814 4.832 4.764
MAX. 14.677 18.593 16.906 9.416 4.430 3.081 1.886 2.047 2.355 3.433 5.441 11.021 6.812
MED. 9.290 12.207 11.228 6.493 2.992 1.743 1.292 1.142 1.364 2.098 3.392 6.174 4.951
MIN. 3.019 3.314 4.206 2.630 1.335 1.132 1.018 0.768 0.807 0.776 1.490 2.665 2.541
D.EST 2.838 4.136 3.995 2.026 0.805 0.386 0.179 0.227 0.373 0.668 1.091 2.414 1.244
Fuente: Elaboración propia
1 0.032 13.59 17.66 15.89
2 0.065 12.24 17.39 15.66
3 0.097 11.72 17.28 15.48
4 0.129 11.57 16.24 15.44
5 0.161 11.34 16.18 14.93
6 0.194 10.97 14.39 14.67
7 0.226 10.39 14.32 14.38
8 0.258 10.33 14.15 13.83
9 0.290 10.31 14.13 13.65
10 0.323 10.07 14.03 13.07
11 0.355 9.86 13.87 12.67
12 0.387 9.76 12.97 12.66
13 0.419 9.74 12.91 12.55
14 0.452 9.57 12.68 11.69
15 0.484 9.33 12.52 11.63
16 0.516 8.88 11.99 11.50
17 0.548 8.83 11.63 11.29
18 0.581 8.44 11.45 9.38
19 0.613 8.38 11.26 9.34
20 0.645 8.32 10.81 8.90
21 0.677 8.00 10.78 8.85
22 0.710 7.55 10.76 8.55
23 0.742 7.38 9.35 8.47
24 0.774 7.24 9.27 7.46
25 0.806 6.85 9.06 6.24
26 0.839 5.70 7.67 6.12
27 0.871 5.38 6.44 5.48
28 0.903 5.10 5.69 5.46
29 0.935 3.98 4.76 5.10
30 0.968 3.56 4.05 4.72
31 1.000 2.87 3.22 4.04
3.96
2.55
1.41