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“Whether you think you can or you think you can’t, you’re right.”
Henry Ford
Last Class
I Diversification
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
Today’s Class
I Tangent Portfolio
I Limits of Diversification
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
Tangent Portfolio
4 / 27
Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
Example
Example: The investment opportunity set consists of two risky assets, one
stock fund and one bond fund. The expected returns, standard deviations, and
the correlation are given by
Consider forming complete portfolios using the risk-free asset (Rf = 5%) and
risky portfolios based on stocks and bonds.
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
0.11
0.09
CALB
0.08
CALA
Alternative Portfolio
0.07
0.05
Risk-free Asset
0.04
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35
Portfolio Standard Deviation
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
Tangent Portfolio
I Question: Can we do better than portfolio B? That is, can we make the
CAL slope even higher?
wsTP = 1 − wbTP
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
Example continued:
The portfolio weights for the optimal (tangent) portfolio are wsTP = 67.01% and
wbTP = 32.99%.
The expected return and standard deviation of the optimal portfolio, say O, are
E (RO ) = 8.68% and σ(RO ) = 17.97%.
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
0.11
0.09
Optimal Risky Portfolio
0.08
Optimal CAL
0.07
0.06
Bond Portfolio
0.05
Risk-free Asset
0.04
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35
Portfolio Standard Deviation
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
Suppose the investor puts 55% on portfolio O and 45% on the risk-free asset to
form the complete portfolio C.
The expected return and the standard deviation of the portfolio C are:
10 / 27
Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
I That is, the expected return of the portfolio is the weighted average of
expected returns of individual assets in the portfolio
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
In the case of two assets the variance of the portfolio return is the sum of the
following four boxes:
Variance components
Asset 1 Asset 2
Asset 1 w12 σ(R1 )2 w1 w2 Cov (R1 , R2 )
Asset 2 w2 w1 Cov (R2 , R1 ) w22 σ(R2 )2
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
In the case of N risky assets the variance of the portfolio return is the sum of
the following N 2 boxes:
Variance components
Asset 1 Asset 2 ··· Asset N
Asset 1 w12 σ(R1 )2 w1 w2 Cov (R1 , R2 ) ··· w1 wN Cov (R1 , RN )
Asset 2 w2 w1 Cov (R2 , R1 ) w22 σ(R2 )2 ··· w2 wN Cov (R2 , RN )
. . . .. .
. . . . .
. . . .
Asset N wN w1 Cov (RN , R1 ) wN w2 Cov (RN , R2 ) ··· wN σ(RN )2
2
I The terms on the diagonal are variances and the terms off the diagonal are
covariances
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
I So, for a given target value of E (Rp ), we solve for the weights wi ,
i = 1, . . . , N, to minimize the portfolio return variance
I Efficient frontier is the set of portfolios with maximum expected return for
a given level of variance
I Complete portfolios using the risk-free asset are formed as in the case of
two risky assets
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
and
N
X
E (Rp ) = wi E (Ri ) = µ.
i=1
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
Individual
Global assets
minimum
variance
portfolio Minimum
variance
frontier
σp
Modern Portfolio Theory (Review)
11 19 / 27
Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
Limits of Diversification
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
I Adding assets reduces the variance that can be achieved for a given
expected return.
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
Theory . . .
Consider an equally weighted portfolio of N assets, and assume that: (1) all
assets have the same standard deviation (σ), (2) all assets are equally correlated
with each other (correlation ρ). The portfolio return variance is equal to
1 N −1
σp2 = σ 2 + ρ
N N
√ √ √
As N increases, we have σp /σ → ρ ( 0.1 = 0.316, 0.2 = 0.447)
σ(Portfolio Return)/σ(Individual Asset Return)
1
ρ= 0
0.9 ρ = 0.1
ρ = 0.2
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
Number of Assets
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
Ratio of Portfolio
Number of Standard
Std. Dev. to Std.
Stocks in Deviation of
Dev. of a Single
Portfolio Portfolio
Stock
1 49.2% 1.00
2 37.4 0.76
4 29.7 0.60
8 25.0 0.51
20 21.7 0.44
50 20.2 0.41
200 19.4 0.39
500 19.2 0.39
1000 19.2 0.39
Source: Statman, Meir, 1987, How many stocks make a diversified portfolio?
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 22, 353-364.
This is consistent with the theory, assuming that the average correlation is
around 0.2.
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
Limits of diversification
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Tangent Portfolio
Portfolio Frontier with Multiple Risky Assets
Limits of Diversification
I PPS6 is on Connect
I Quiz 5 is due on Friday, Oct. 30, 5:59pm.
I Next class
I Passive Investment Strategies and Index Construction
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