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Burden of Diabetes
DECLARE – TIMI 58
Burden of Diabetes
DECLARE – TIMI 58
UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) Group. Intensive blood-glucose control with sulphonylureas or insulin compared with
conventional treatment and risk of complications in patients with type 2 diabetes (UKPDS 33). Lancet 1998;352:837–853.
Renal and cardiovascular disease are interconnected and should be
considered together
Renal and cardiac systems are linked1 CKD patients are more likely to die of
heart disease than advance to ESRD2
3.5
3
3
1.5
0.5
0.5
0
ESRD CV
death
Therefore renal and cardiac systems and outcomes should be considered together
CKD, chronic kidney disease; CV, cardiovascular; ESRD, end-stage renal disease.
6 1. Ronco C, et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2008;52:1527. 2. Dalrymple L, et al. J Gen Intern Med. 2011;26:379.
Rate of eGFR decline is significantly associated with risk of CV mortality in
patients with type 2 diabetes
CV survival according to yearly eGFR change • This study assessed the association
between renal function patterns and the
occurrence of CV events in 1,040
patients with type 2 diabetes
Probability of cardiovascular survival
1.0
0.8
• Rapid renal function deterioration was
defined as an eGFR slope ≥-5
Rapid renal function deterioration
0.6 mL/min/1.73 m2/year.
• A more rapid renal function decline was
0.4
associated with a higher risk of
occurrence of CV death
0.2
Change in eGFR slope of less then ≥-5mL/min/1.73 m2/year
Change in eGFR slope of <-5mL/min/1.73 m2/year
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Time (months)
CV, cardiovascular; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; SCr, serum creatinine.
7 Ragot S, et al. Diabetes Care. 2016;39:1259-1266.
Lower eGFR and higher albuminuria independently predict CV mortality
in patients with CKD, a pattern that is worse in patients with DKD
4 4
2 2
1.5 1.5
1 1
0 0
15 30 45 60 75 90 105 120 2.5 5 10 30 300 1000
eGFR (mL/min per 1.73 m2) ACR (mg/g)
Diabetes Non-diabetes
ACR, albumin:creatinine ratio; CV, cardiovascular; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; T2D, type 2 diabetes; DKD, diabetic kidney disease.
8 Fox C, et al. Lancet. 2012;380:1662-1674.
Mortality improvement has been seen in major CV disease and
atherosclerosis but not heart failure or arrhythmia
Data from the US National Health Interview Survey was used to analyse follow-up of 677,051 adults over a mean
period of 11.8 years
100
Change in mortality per 1000 person-
80
With diabetes
60 Without diabetes
years over 10 years (%)
40
20
-20
-40
Diastolic LVD
n=61 Heart
Normal LV 16% failure
function (HFpEF) 23%
n=124 32%
Heart
failure 5%
27% Systolic LVD 72% No heart
n=106 (HFrEF) failure
HF, heart failure; HFrEF, heart failure with reduced ejection fraction; T2D, type 2 diabetes.
1. de Simone G, et al. J Hypertens. 2010;28(2):353–360. 2. Redfield MM. N Engl J Med. 2016;375:1868-1877.
Point of view
Burden of Diabetes
DECLARE – TIMI 58
Cefalu WT et al. Cardiovascular Outcome Trials on Type 2 Diabetes: Where Do We Go From Here? Reflections From a Diabetes Care Editors’ Expert Forum.
Diabetes Care 2018;41:14-31.
Limitations of current CVOT structure
and opportunities for improvement
Point of view
Burden of Diabetes
DECLARE – TIMI 58
Double-blind
End points
dyslipidaemia, hypertension, or
T2D
current smoking Secondary endpoint
and
Renal end points
either: ≥40 years old with established
atherosclerotic CV disease: Confirmed sustained
ischaemic heart disease, Placebo ≥40% decrease in eGFR to eGFR
peripheral artery disease, or <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and/or ESRD
cerebrovascular disease and/or renal or CV death
• The mean eGFR* was 86.1 mL/min/1.73 m2, including 1,565 patients with eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2.
EMPA-REG OUTCOME2
(N=7,020)
>99% eCVD Placebo MACE rate
N=~6,950
43.9/1000 pt-yrs
CANVAS3
(N=10,142)
~65.6% eCVD ~34.4% MRF Placebo MACE rate
N=6,656 N=3,486
31.5/1000 pt-yrs
DECLARE4,5
(N=17,160)
~40.6% eCVD ~59.4% MRF Placebo MACE rate
N=6,974 N=10,186
24.2/1000 pt-yrs
CV, cardiovascular; eCVD, established CV disease; MACE, major CV events; SGLT-2i, sodium glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitor; T2D, type 2 diabetes
1. Einarson TR, et al. Cardiovasc Diabetol 2018;17:83; 2. Zinman B, et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–2128; 3. Neal B, et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:644–657;
4. Raz I, et al. Diabetes Obes Metab 2018;20:1102–1110; 5 Wiviott SD et al. Online ahead of print. N Engl J Med. 2018
Baseline medications in the DECLARE trial
77%
ACEi/ARB
CV Subgroup 77%
32%
Beta-blockers
~40% 67%
eCVD
39%
Aspirin
~60% 71%
≥2
64%
risk Statins
factors 82%
38%
Diuretics
39%
Confirmed sustained
≥40% decrease in eGFR to eGFR
<60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and/or ESRD and/or renal or CV death
For the primary safety outcome of MACE, DAPA was
Primary Endpoint: MACE noninferior to placebo (p<0.001 for noninferiority).
5.0
2.5
0.0
DAPA 10 mg Placebo
(N=8582) (N=8578) HR (95%CI) p-valuea
NCT01730534
DECLARE TIMI-58 was funded by a grant from AstraZeneca to Brigham and Women’s Hospital
MACE by time from last MI
DAPA 10 mg Placebo
(N=8582) (N=8578) HR (95%CI) p-value
FE Model for eCVD 0.86 (0.80, 0.93) FE Model for eCVD 0.71 (0.62, 0.82)
MRF MRF
FE Model for MRF 1.00 (0.87, 1.16) FE Model for MRF 0.64 (0.48, 0.85)
1. Zinman B, et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–2128; 2. Neal B, et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377:644–657 3. Wiviott SD et al. Online ahead of print. N Engl J Med. 2018; 4.
33 Zelnicker, T. Online ahead of print Lancet 2018
Dapagliflozin prevents hHF consistently across a broad range of
T2D patients regardless of history of eCVD or HF
Hospitalization for HF Hazard ratio (95% CI) Hospitalization for HF Hazard ratio (95% CI)
CV, cardiovascular; eCVD, established CV disease; HF, heart failure; hHF, hospitalized heart failure; SGLT-2i, SGLT co-transporter 2 inhibitor; T2D, type 2 diabetes
Wiviott SD et al. Online ahead of print. N Engl J Med. 2018
Effect of Dapagliflozin on Heart Failureand
Mortality in Type 2 DiabetesMellitus
Results form the DECLARE-TIMI 58 Trial
Overall population 0.83 (0.73, 0.95)a Overall population 0.73 (0.61, 0.88) Overall population 0.98 (0.82, 1.17)
≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2 0.96 (0.77, 1.19) ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2 0.94 (0.69, 1.26) ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2 1.08 (0.80, 1.44)
60 to <90 mL/min/1.73 m2 0.79 (0.66, 0.95) 60 to <90 mL/min/1.73 m2 0.65 (0.51, 0.84) 60 to <90 mL/min/1.73 m2 0.96 (0.75, 1.24)
<60 mL/min/1.73 m2 0.78 (0.55, 1.09) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 0.70 (0.44, 1.12) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 0.90 (0.57, 1.44)
0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5
Interaction
Interaction Interaction
P value = 0.79
P value = 0.37 P value = 0.19
Confirmed sustained
≥40% decrease in eGFR to eGFR
<60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and/or ESRD and/or renal or CV death
Dapagliflozin slowed renal disease progression in T2D patients
with relatively good baseline renal function
The patients in the Renal Composite† Placebo (480 Events)
DECLARE1,2 trial had better
6
baseline renal function than HR 95% CI P value
the EMPA-REG OUTCOME3 or 0.76 (0.67, 0.87) <0.001 (nominal)
EMPA-REG
DECLARE
CANVAS
eGFR,
mean
(mL/min/1
85.2 76.5 74.1
0
.73m2)
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60
Micro-
/macro- Months from Randomization
30.2 30.2 40.6 N at risk*
albumin- 8582 8533 8436 8347 8248 8136 8009 7534 5472 1637 DAPA 10 mg
uria (%) 8578 8508 8422 8326 8200 8056 7932 7409 5389 1589 Placebo
Forxiga is not indicated for CV and Renal outcomes.
†Renal composite endpoint defined as sustained confirmed eGFR decrease ≥ 40% to eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2 using CKD-EPI equation and/or ESRD (dialysis ≥ 90 days or kidney transplantation,
sustained confirmed eGFR < 15 ml/min/1.73m2) and/or renal or CV death (pre-specified secondary outcome)
CV, cardiovascular; CKD, chronic kidney disease; Dapa, dapagliflozin; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; ESRD, end-stage renal disease
1. Raz I, et al. Diabetes Obes Metab 2018;20:1102–1110; 2. Wiviott SD et al. Online ahead of print. N Engl J Med. 2018; ; 3. Zinman B, et al. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2117–2128; 4. Neal B, et al. N Engl J
Med 2017;377:644–657
DECLARE-TIMI 58 confirms the well-established safety profile of dapagliflozin
in a broad CV risk population
Adverse Events Dapa 10mg Placebo
(in T2D patients with CV risk) (N=8,574) (N=8,569)
Amputations, % 1.4% 1.3%
Malignancies,% (IR):
• Overall malignancies 5.6% (14.32) 5.7% (14.52)
• Bladder cancer (adjudicated) 0.3% (0.76) 0.5% (1.32)
• Breast cancer (adjudicated) 0.4% (1.05) 0.4% (1.02)
These data with dapagliflozin from DECLARE- TIMI 58 extend the benefit of SGLT2i to a
broader population of patients for primary and secondary prevention
Forxiga is not indicated for CV and Renal outcomes.
Prior MI
NNT4 years NNT4 years
=39 =53
–
Primary Prevention
–
T2D population in DECLARE
ASCVD = atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease; CV = cardiovascular; HHF = hospitalization for heart failure; MACE = major adverse cardiovascular events; MI =
myocardial infarction; NNT = number needed to treat.
1. Verma S et al. Online ahead of print. Circulation. 2019; 2. Furtado RHM et al. Online ahead of print. Circulation. 2019. © AstraZeneca 2019
Point of view
Burden of Diabetes
DECLARE – TIMI 58
ADA, American Diabetes Association; ASCVD, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease; CANA, canagliflozin; CKD, chronic kidney disease; CV, cardiovascular; CVD, cardiovascular disease; CVOTs, cardiovascular
outcome trials; EASD, European Association for the Study of Diabetes; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; EMPA, empagliflozin; EQW, exenatide once-weekly; ESRD, end-stage renal disease; GLP-1 RA,
glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist; HbA1c, glycated haemoglobin; HF, heart failure; LIRA, liraglutide; SEMA, semaglutide; SGLT2, sodium–glucose co-transporter 2; T2D, type 2 diabetes. Davies MJ, et al.
Online ahead of print. Diabetologia. 2018;61(12):2461-2498.
ESC guidelines recommend early SGLT2 inhibitor use in patients
with T2D for disease prevention
Burden of Diabetes
DECLARE – TIMI 58
• SGLT2 inhibitors may differentially regulate the interstitial vs intravascular compartment compared with loop diuretics
• Interstitial oedema is evident in patients with congestive heart failure (a)
• SGLT2 inhibitors may selectively reduce interstitial volume with minimal change in blood volume (b) whereas loop diuretics may
cause a reduction in both interstitial and intravascular volume (c)
• This differential volume regulation by SGLT2 inhibitors (interstitial > intravascular) may limit the aberrant reflex neurohumoral
stimulation that occurs in the setting of intravascular depletion SGLT2, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2.
Verma S, McMurray JJV. Diabetologia. 2018;61:2108-2117.
There are a number of putative mechanisms to explain cardiorenal protection
with SGLT2 inhibitors
SGLT2i
CV, cardiovascular; CVOT, CV outcome trial; hHF, hospitalisation for HF; SGLT2, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2;
T2D, type 2 diabetes.
Forxiga is not indicated for CV and Renal outcomes.
Wiviott SD, Raz I, Bonaca MP, Mosenzon O, Kato ET, Cahn A, Silverman MG, Zelniker TA, Kuder JF, Murphy SA, Bhatt DL, Leiter LA, McGuire DK, Wilding JPH,
Ruff CT, Gause-Nilsson IAM, Fredriksson M, Johansson PA, Langkilde AM, dan Sabatine MS, for the DECLARE–TIMI 58 Investigators . Dapagliflozin and
Cardiovascular Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes. N Engl J Med 2019; 380:347-357.
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