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Facts
What Every Citizen Needs to Know
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About this presentation
Four things you need to know about this presentation
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“A salient characteristic of the current debate
on U.S. immigration policy is the high ratio of
hot air to data.”
Dr. Douglas Massey
Co-director, Mexican Migration Project
Princeton University
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Immigration Quiz: True or False?
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Immigration Quiz: True or False?
No Constitutional Rights
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What people believe
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67%
Won’t assimilate or learn English
Source: Pew Hispanic Center, The State of American Public Opinion on Immigration in Spring 2006 8
49%
Don’t pay taxes
Source: Benson Strategy Group, Immigration Opinions Poll, May 9-12, 2009 9
48%
Threaten our sovereignty
Source: Pew Hispanic Center 2006 Immigration Survey, February 8-March 7, 2006 10
39%
Increase the crime rate
Source: Benson Strategy Group, Immigration Opinions Poll, May 9-12, 2009 14
?
Have no Constitutional rights
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?
Come here to vote illegally
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Unreliable Sources
Majority of false claims originate with anti-immigration groups
Bottom line: bad information makes for bad laws and policies
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Reliable Sources
Colleges and universities publishing peer-reviewed studies that stand
up to critical analysis
Use original source data from FBI, Dept. of Homeland Security, U.S.
Citizenship and Immigration Services and Dept. of Justice
Research and policy centers that are not purely “pro” or “con”
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“A lie gets halfway around the world
before the truth gets its boots on.”
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Legality
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Civil
The type of offense for entering the
U.S. at an “improper time or place”
Source: USC 18, Title 12, Subchapter 2, Part VIII, Section 1325 21
$50-$250
The penalty for entering the U.S. at
an “improper time or place”
Source: USC 18, Title 12, Subchapter 2, Part VIII, Section 1325 (b) 22
False Papers
Point at which improper entry
becomes a criminal offense
Source: USC 18, Title 12, Subchapter 2, Part VIII, Section 1325 (a)(3) 23
Arizona
States in which being in the country
without papers is a Felony
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85%
Percentage of undocumented
entries from Mexico offset by
departures between 1965 and 1985
Source: Massey & Singer, New Estimates of Undocumented Mexican Migration and the Probability of Apprehension, 1995 25
45%
Percentage of undocumented
immigrants who overstayed a legal
visa
Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Modes of Entry for the Unauthorized Migrant Population, May 2006 26
3%
Percentage of total U.S. population
estimated to be undocumented
Source: American Immigration Lawyers Association, AILA Backgrounder: Myths and Facts in the Immigration Debate
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20
Years a naturalized citizen may have
to wait to sponsor siblings into the
U.S.
Source: American Immigration Lawyers Association, AILA Backgrounder: Myths and Facts in the Immigration Debate
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Population Growth 1990-2008
United States Hispanic Origin
400,000,000
200,000,000
100,000,000
0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2007 2008
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Crime
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4.4%
Estimate of all Arizona crimes
committed by undocumented
immigrants
Source: U.S. DoJ, Bureau of Justice Statistics, Key Facts At A Glance, March 29, 2010 37
48.6%
Percent drop in property crime as
undocumented population grew
between 1994-2006
Source: U.S. DoJ, Bureau of Justice Statistics, Key Facts at a Glance, March 29, 2010 38
What is the truth?
Although the undocumented
population has grown by an
estimated 1,400 people per
day, the murder rate declined
from 61 per day in 1996 to 47
per day in 2006.
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, State Population Estimates by Characteristics 2006 41
45%
Percentage that first-generation
immigrants are less likely to
commit any crime
Source: Sampson, Morenoff, et. al.: Public Health Matters, Vol. 95., No. 2, pp. 224-232 42
13%
Incarceration rate of native-born
males 18-39 in California with less
than a high school diploma
Source: Crime, Corrections and California, California Counts, PPIC, Vol. 9, No. 3, February, 2008 43
0.5%
Incarceration rate of immigrant
males 18-40 in California with less
than a high school diploma
Source: Crime, Corrections and California, California Counts, PPIC, Vol. 9, No. 3, February, 2008 44
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Number of times native citizens are
more likely than any immigrant to be
incarcerated
Source: Debunking the Myth of Immigrant Criminality: Imprisonment Among First- and Second-Generation
Young Men, Rubén G. Rumbaut, Roberto G. Gonzales, Golnaz Komaie, and Charlie V. Morgan, 2006 45
73.3%
The percentage of the U.S. prison
population who are U.S. citizens
Source: U.S Bureau of Prisons, BOP Quick Facts, February 27, 2010 46
18.0%
Percentage of the U.S. prison
population who are Mexican citizens
Source: U.S Bureau of Prisons, BOP Quick Facts, February 27, 2010 47
What is the truth?
Understanding the numbers
DHS data report cumulative arrest numbers that do NOT indicate the
actual number of people who may have crossed illegally.
Bottom line: There is virtually nothing you can infer about the volume of
illegal migration from the number of apprehensions
Source: DHS Office of Immigration Statistics Fact Sheet “Border Apprehensions, November. 2006 48
Jobs
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66%
Percent of undocumented Mexican
immigrants who have not completed
high-school
Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Survey of Mexican Migrants, December 6, 2005, p. 36. 50
$259
Average day-laborer weekly income
Source: Day Labor in the Golden State, CEP, Vol. 3, No. 3, 2007 51
$7.25/hr
Arizona minimum wage for 2010
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Median Income for 4-Person Families, by State, 2005 54
$25,000
Average family income of a migrant
family of four
Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Unauthorized Migrants: Numbers and Characteristics, 2005 55
14 million
Number of new jobs created in U.S.
between 1996 and 2000
Source: Bean, Frank D., and Gillian Stevens, 2003. America’s Newcomers and the Dynamics of Diversity. 56
12 million
Total U.S. population growth
between 1996 and 2000
Source:Bean, Frank D., and Gillian Stevens, 2003. America’s Newcomers and the Dynamics of Diversity. 57
Undocumented Impact on Wages
0-8 Years 8-11 Years 12-20 Years
40%
34%
30%
20%
10% 8%
0%
-3%
-10%
1990-2004
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Sales & Admin Professional Manufacturing Services Construction Agriculture
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, The Foreign-Born Labor Force in the United States: 2007, Figure 6. 59
Annual Immigration Limits: 1996, 2004-2009
Family Preference Employment Preference
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
1996 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Source: DHS, Office of Immigration Statistics, U.S. Legal Permanent Residents: 1996, 2004-2009
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24
Number of hours to fill quota of
65,000 H1-B visas for 2008
Source: U.S. Department of State, Report of the Visa Office 2009, Table III
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What is the truth?
Taking good jobs from Americans
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What is the truth?
Immigration fills legitimate labor needs
Aging and low birthrate of U.S. population means greater need for
additional workers in order to:
Contribute local, state and Federal taxes to cover Social Security and
Medicare
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Taxes
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What is the truth?
Paying Taxes
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$940M
Undocumented immigrant’s net
financial benefit to the Arizona
economy
Source: U.S. Social Security Administration, SSA’S FY 2009 Performance and Accountability Report
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60%
Percent growth in SSA Earnings
Suspense File account balance
2005-2009
Source: U.S. Social Security Administration, SSA’S FY 2009 Performance and Accountability Report
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$0
Amount of Suspense Fund balance
payable to undocumented
immigrants
In Arizona, sales taxes supply nearly half of our state revenues. All
immigrants pay sales taxes
Schools are funded through property taxes that are paid by anyone
who owns a home, rents a home or apartment or a business
(Landlords cover their taxes through tenants’ rent payments)
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Assimilation
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1910
The year in which the percentage of
foreign-born residents reached its
peak of 14.7%
Source: Pew Hispanic Center, 2007 and Gibbons and Lennon, 1999
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12.6%
Percentage of foreign-born residents
of the U.S. in 2007
Source: Bean FD, Stevens G. 2003. America’s Newcomers and the Dynamics of Diversity. New York: Russell Sage. P. 149
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8%
Percentage of the immigrant
population that could not speak
English at all in 1990
Source: R. Alba and V. Nee, “Remaking the American Mainstream: Assimilation and Contemporary Immigration” p. 227
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743,715
Total number of new naturalized
citizens in 2009
100% 94%
88%
75%
50%
23%
25%
0%
Hispanic Origin English Mastery
Source: Pew Hispanic Center, “English Usage Among Hispanics in the United States,” November 29, 2007 88
30
Number of years the unavailability of
English language programs delays
assimilation
93
3%
Percentage of any kind or any
status of immigrant who receives
food stamps
Source: Federalist Society Seminar Immigration, Amnesty and the Rule of Law, Nov. 16, 2007 94
10
Years legal permanent residents
must pay into Social Security and
Medicare before they get benefits
Source: National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey: 2006 Emergency Department Summary, Table 2: Number, percent distribution, and
annual rate of emergency department visits with corresponding standard errors, by patient characteristics: United States, 2006 97
61%
“White non-Hispanic” percentage of
total Arizona E.R. visits in 2008
Source: ADHS Table 4C-2 “Rates* of Emergency Room Visits by Race/Ethnicity and Gender, Arizona, 2008 98
28%
“Hispanic or Latino” percentage of
total Arizona E.R. visits in 2008
Source: ADHS Table 4C-2 “Rates* of Emergency Room Visits by Race/Ethnicity and Gender, Arizona, 2008 99
50%
Percent undocumented immigrants
are less likely to use emergency
rooms than native Latinos
Source: Sampson, Morenoff, et. al.: Public Health Matters, Vol. 95., No. 2 100
2.1
The number of fewer doctor visits of
undocumented Latinos compared
with their US-born counterparts
Source: Alexander N. Ortega, PhD, et.al; Archives of Internal Medicine. 2007;167(21): 2354-2360 101
1/2 - 2/3
Recent immigrants' per-person
unadjusted medical expenditures
compared to U.S. born, even when
immigrants had full insurance
Source: Alexander N. Ortega, PhD, et.al; Archives of Internal Medicine. 2007;167(21): 2354-2360 102
$11
Estimated taxes per-person spent
annually on health care for
undocumented immigrants aged
18-64
Source: “Immigrants And The Cost Of Medical Care: Health Affairs, 25, no. 6 (2006): 1700-1711 103
What is the truth?
CNN’s Lou Dobbs reported that leprosy cases increased by 7,000
cases in the last three years.
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What is the truth?
Joe Turner, founder of Save Our State – California (an anti-
immigration group) has said, “Just because one believes in white
separatism, that does not make them racist.”
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Arizona Poll Results
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65%
Disagree with classifying
undocumented immigrants as
“common criminals”
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“The greatest threat to democracy is having a
public that thinks it is fully informed, but really
isn’t very well informed at all.”
Linda Foley
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Now you know
Undocumented Immigrants:
Are less likely to commit crimes and at a lesser rate than citizens
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Our present course is risky
Our prosperity depends on getting immigration right
Businesses are laying off Arizona workers and moving jobs out of state
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What you can do
Review the documents, video and audio on the CD you received
Volunteer to help spread the truth, several groups are willing to train
you in how to share this information
Contact your Congressman and let them know you support a market-
driven, comprehensive solutions based on the facts
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Thank You
For your time and attention
Schedule a presentations for other groups
Get involved and educate the public
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Thou shalt not be a victim
Thou shalt not be a perpetrator
Above all, thou shalt not be a bystander
A sign in the Holocaust Museum
Washington, D.C.
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