AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN JUL AGO SET

1978 111.81 192.81 152.44 124.34 85.03 57.77 53.43 45.4 63.55

1979 128.86 226.86 386.26 195.24 96.44 61.64 50.42 49.55 57.59

1980 117.39 128.93 118.26 117.67 53.66 48.26 37 39.29 67.51

1981 159.38 477.12 394.02 177.74 86.75 66.86 54.73 47.59 44.09

1982 175.78 316.33 190.04 192.78 97.74 65.56 48.87 43.04 48.69

1983 338.18 202.61 386.13 330.83 153.5 89.48 63.78 53.36 53.96

1984 137.39 711.05 599.96 346.45 171.98 93.5 58.63 45.04 45.14

1985 142.56 158.51 172.45 174.42 83.5 46.65 35.26 34.4 52.22

1986 169.67 165.61 198.15 289.23 105.86 52.48 40.77 38.22 39.74

1987 301.59 292.71 215.41 159.07 113.71 55.17 46.3 41.37 48.88

1988 254.42 314.4 191.03 243.25 124.02 62.16 46.13 41.38 31.38

1989 203.24 339.42 345.22 312.69 106.01 61.29 39.88 33.78 37.45

1990 133.24 131.26 116.6 88.7 52.02 47.96 38.8 38.36 37.77

1991 120.5 134.77 355.97 134.75 89.98 49.21 38.8 38.48 39.34

1992 133.24 131.26 116.6 88.7 52.02 47.96 38.8 38.36 37.77

1993 104.79 324.14 724.26 616.7 169.7 60.1 45.38 38.81 57.65

1994 369.2 471.45 390.88 262.42 46.03 41.42 47.85 40.63 37.61

1995 141.88 151.9 227.95 230.1 77.82 46.7 38.65 41.12 43

1996 219.99 309.73 257.57 318.3 103.22 54.47 42.65 41.82 41.21

1997 103.6 192.15 135.58 73.21 57.95 39.4 37.55 37.57 48.52

1998 390.38 522.25 617.25 341.27 142.2 70.05 52.34 50.44 50.21

1999 163.15 508.92 315.5 209.68 118.99 63.02 44.98 43.57 55.9

2000 110.13 332.25 333.37 231.63 145.97 63.3 43.83 43.84 45.52

2001 367.91 296.68 500.88 227.11 77.96 56.63 47.84 44.47 49.76

2002 154.35 202.81 383.8 283.62 95.01 55.49 49.32 39.83 41.92

2003 165.07 221.18 258.16 196.64 85.06 58.22 46.92 44.25 43.93

2004 104.53 167.17 137.96 123.91 66.44 44.81 36.43 34.9 33.85

2005 148.38 162.39 294.19 179.15 78.22 54.34 48.3 45.87 47.28

2006 129.55 221.92 392.9 374.6 98.7 63.91 47.13 43.01 44.36

2007 184.66 278.1 304.14 223.2 97.74 57.64 45.49 41.95 46.48

Hallando el Qm (caudal maximo) :

Qm= 351.475 m3/s

Calculando la desviacion estándar:

σQ = 150.7886

Cálculo de los coeficientes σN, YN: De la

tabla para N = 30 años, se tiene:
Cálculo del caudal máximo para diferentes T:

0.53622 1.11238
 T: 50

Qmax= 809.0818 m3/s

T: 100

Qmax= 903.0413 m3/s

Cálculo de φ:

Para T : 50
φ= 0.98

Para T: 100
φ= 0.99

utiliza la ecuación:

ΔQ= +- 154.5326 m3/s

Cálculo del caudal de diseño: De la ecuación, se tiene:

Qd= 963.6144 m3/s

Qd= 1057.57 m3/s

OCT NOV DIC
qmax q
64.78 93.34 108.76 192.81 45.4 96.121667 37175.6961
68.66 93.77 104.39 386.26 49.55 126.64 149196.788
102.68 128.33 221.14 221.14 37 98.343333 48902.8996
89.26 171.02 195.03 477.12 44.09 163.6325 227643.494
107.13 181.83 257.07 316.33 43.04 143.73833 100064.669
70.46 94.29 176.88 386.13 53.36 167.78833 149096.377
106.68 78.79 144.01 711.05 45.04 211.55167 505592.103
53.21 63 89.88 174.42 34.4 92.171667 30422.3364
57.01 82.96 132.62 289.23 38.22 114.36 83653.9929
62.4 114.26 173.58 301.59 41.37 135.37083 90956.5281
48.48 61.81 85.66 314.4 31.38 125.34333 98847.36
100.53 90.54 67.33 345.22 33.78 144.78167 119176.848
84.72 144.04 109.44 144.04 37.77 85.2425 20747.5216
54.2 61.61 85.25 355.97 38.48 100.23833 126714.641
84.72 144.04 109.44 144.04 37.77 85.2425 20747.5216
95.52 193.34 277.41 724.26 38.81 225.65 524552.548
41.35 70.27 92.57 471.45 37.61 159.30667 222265.103
47.31 94.78 114.1 230.1 38.65 104.60917 52946.01
63.55 73.22 69.69 318.3 41.21 132.95167 101314.89
52.47 112.27 279.13 279.13 37.55 97.45 77913.5569
97.77 106.32 83.29 617.25 50.21 210.31417 380997.563
60.17 66.31 148.45 508.92 43.57 149.88667 258999.566
53.09 61.25 93.73 333.37 43.83 129.82583 111135.557
57.37 172.96 180.73 500.88 44.47 173.35833 250880.774
71.37 166.6 179.14 383.8 39.83 143.605 147302.44
63.1 62.83 135.42 258.16 43.93 115.065 66646.5856
81.86 149.15 167.65 167.65 33.85 95.721667 28106.5225
62.57 65.51 115.82 294.19 45.87 108.50167 86547.7561
57.88 88.25 178.89 392.9 43.01 145.09167 154370.41
71.52 107.09 142.77 304.14 41.95 133.39833 92501.1396
351.475 31.38 133.84342 4365419.2
AÑO ENE FEB MAR ABR MAY JUN

1978 111.81 192.81 152.44 124.34 85.03 57.77

1979 128.86 226.86 386.26 195.24 96.44 61.64

1980 117.39 128.93 118.26 117.67 53.66 48.26

1981 159.38 477.12 394.02 177.74 86.75 66.86

1982 175.78 316.33 190.04 192.78 97.74 65.56

1983 338.18 202.61 386.13 330.83 153.5 89.48

1984 137.39 711.05 599.96 346.45 171.98 93.5

1985 142.56 158.51 172.45 174.42 83.5 46.65

1986 169.67 165.61 198.15 289.23 105.86 52.48

1987 301.59 292.71 215.41 159.07 113.71 55.17

1988 254.42 314.4 191.03 243.25 124.02 62.16

1989 203.24 339.42 345.22 312.69 106.01 61.29

1990 133.24 131.26 116.6 88.7 52.02 47.96

1991 120.5 134.77 355.97 134.75 89.98 49.21

1992 133.24 131.26 116.6 88.7 52.02 47.96

1993 104.79 324.14 724.26 616.7 169.7 60.1

1994 369.2 471.45 390.88 262.42 46.03 41.42

1995 141.88 151.9 227.95 230.1 77.82 46.7

1996 219.99 309.73 257.57 318.3 103.22 54.47

1997 103.6 192.15 135.58 73.21 57.95 39.4

1998 390.38 522.25 617.25 341.27 142.2 70.05

1999 163.15 508.92 315.5 209.68 118.99 63.02

2000 110.13 332.25 333.37 231.63 145.97 63.3

2001 367.91 296.68 500.88 227.11 77.96 56.63

2002 154.35 202.81 383.8 283.62 95.01 55.49

2003 165.07 221.18 258.16 196.64 85.06 58.22

2004 104.53 167.17 137.96 123.91 66.44 44.81

2005 148.38 162.39 294.19 179.15 78.22 54.34

2006 129.55 221.92 392.9 374.6 98.7 63.91

2007 184.66 278.1 304.14 223.2 97.74 57.64

DESARROLLO m Q T T/T-1
N° Q 1 724.26 1 #DIV/0!
1 192.81 2 711.05 1 -1
2 386.26 3 617.25 0.33 -0.5
3 221.14 4 508.92 0.25 -0.3333333
4 477.12 5 500.88 0.20 -0.25
5 316.33 6 477.12 0.17 -0.2
6 386.13 7 471.45 0.14 -0.1666667
7 711.05 8 392.9 0.13 -0.1428571
8 174.42 9 386.26 0.11 -0.125
 9 289.23 10 386.13 0.10 -0.1111111
10 301.59 11 383.8 0.09 -0.1
11 314.4 12 355.97 0.08 -0.0909091
12 345.22 13 345.22 0.08 -0.0833333
13 144.04 14 333.37 0.07 -0.0769231
14 355.97 15 318.3 0.07 -0.0714286
15 144.04 16 316.33 0.06 -0.0666667
16 724.26 17 314.4 0.06 -0.0625
17 471.45 18 304.14 0.06 -0.0588235
18 230.1 19 301.59 0.05 -0.0555556
19 318.3 20 294.19 0.05 -0.0526316
20 279.13 21 289.23 0.05 -0.05
21 617.25 22 279.13 0.05 -0.047619
22 508.92 23 258.16 0.04 -0.0454545
23 333.37 24 230.1 0.04 6.88
24 500.88 25 221.14 0.04 -0.0416667
25 383.8 26 192.81 0.04 13.5
26 258.16 27 174.42 0.04 26
27 167.65 28 167.65
28 294.19 29 144.04
29 392.9 30 144.04
30 304.14
10240.11

724.26
711.05
617.25
508.92
500.88
477.12
471.45
392.9
386.26
386.13
383.8
355.97
345.22
333.37
318.3
316.33
314.4
304.14
301.59
294.19
289.23
279.13
258.16
230.1
221.14
192.81
174.42
167.65
144.04
144.04
 JUL AGO SET OCT NOV DIC

53.43 45.4 63.55 64.78 93.34 108.76

192.81 45.4
50.42 49.55 57.59 68.66 93.77 104.39
386.26 49.55
37 39.29 67.51 102.68 128.33 221.14
221.14 37
54.73 47.59 44.09 89.26 171.02 195.03
477.12 44.09
48.87 43.04 48.69 107.13 181.83 257.07
316.33 43.04
63.78 53.36 53.96 70.46 94.29 176.88
386.13 53.36
58.63 45.04 45.14 106.68 78.79 144.01
711.05 45.04
35.26 34.4 52.22 53.21 63 89.88
174.42 34.4
40.77 38.22 39.74 57.01 82.96 132.62
289.23 38.22
46.3 41.37 48.88 62.4 114.26 173.58
301.59 41.37
46.13 41.38 31.38 48.48 61.81 85.66
314.4 31.38
39.88 33.78 37.45 100.53 90.54 67.33
345.22 33.78
38.8 38.36 37.77 84.72 144.04 109.44
144.04 37.77
38.8 38.48 39.34 54.2 61.61 85.25
355.97 38.48
38.8 38.36 37.77 84.72 144.04 109.44
144.04 37.77
45.38 38.81 57.65 95.52 193.34 277.41
724.26 38.81
47.85 40.63 37.61 41.35 70.27 92.57
471.45 37.61
38.65 41.12 43 47.31 94.78 114.1
230.1 38.65
42.65 41.82 41.21 63.55 73.22 69.69
318.3 41.21
37.55 37.57 48.52 52.47 112.27 279.13
279.13 37.55
52.34 50.44 50.21 97.77 106.32 83.29
617.25 50.21
44.98 43.57 55.9 60.17 66.31 148.45
508.92 43.57
43.83 43.84 45.52 53.09 61.25 93.73
333.37 43.83
47.84 44.47 49.76 57.37 172.96 180.73
500.88 44.47
49.32 39.83 41.92 71.37 166.6 179.14
383.8 39.83
46.92 44.25 43.93 63.1 62.83 135.42
258.16 43.93
36.43 34.9 33.85 81.86 149.15 167.65
167.65 33.85
48.3 45.87 47.28 62.57 65.51 115.82
294.19 45.87
47.13 43.01 44.36 57.88 88.25 178.89
392.9 43.01
45.49 41.95 46.48 71.52 107.09 142.77
304.14 41.95
351.475 31.38

X Q*X Q2 X2
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! 524552.55 #DIV/0!
Err:502 Err:502 505592.10 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 380997.56 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 258999.57 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 250880.77 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 227643.49 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 222265.10 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 154370.41 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 149196.79 Err:502
 Err:502 Err:502 149096.38 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 147302.44 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 126714.64 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 119176.85 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 111135.56 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 101314.89 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 100064.67 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 98847.36 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 92501.14 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 90956.53 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 86547.76 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 83653.99 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 77913.56 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 66646.59 Err:502
-0.0769693 -17.71 52946.01 0.0059
Err:502 Err:502 48902.90 Err:502
0.0532067 6.72 37175.70 0.0028
0.15074826 26.29 30422.34 0.0227
#DIV/0! #DIV/0! 4295817.63 #DIV/0!
96.1216667 37175.6961
126.64 149196.788
98.3433333 48902.8996
163.6325 227643.494
143.738333 100064.669
167.788333 149096.377
211.551667 505592.103
92.1716667 30422.3364
114.36 83653.9929
135.370833 90956.5281
125.343333 98847.36
144.781667 119176.848
85.2425 20747.5216
100.238333 126714.641
85.2425 20747.5216
225.65 524552.548
159.306667 222265.103
104.609167 52946.01
132.951667 101314.89
97.45 77913.5569
210.314167 380997.563
149.886667 258999.566
129.825833 111135.557
173.358333 250880.774
143.605 147302.44
115.065 66646.5856
95.7216667 28106.5225
108.501667 86547.7561
145.091667 154370.41
133.398333 92501.1396
133.843417 4365419.2
 DESARROLLO m Q T T/T-1
N° Q 1 724.26 31.00 1.03333333
1 192.81 2 711.05 15.50 1.06896552
2 386.26 3 617.25 10.33 1.10714286
3 221.14 4 508.92 7.75 1.14814815
4 477.12 5 500.88 6.20 1.19230769
5 316.33 6 477.12 5.17 1.24
6 386.13 7 471.45 4.43 1.29166667
7 711.05 8 392.9 3.88 1.34782609
8 174.42 9 386.26 3.44 1.40909091
9 289.23 10 386.13 3.10 1.47619048
10 301.59 11 383.8 2.82 1.55
11 314.4 12 355.97 2.58 1.63157895
12 345.22 13 345.22 2.38 1.72222222
13 144.04 14 333.37 2.21 1.82352941
14 355.97 15 318.3 2.07 1.9375
15 144.04 16 316.33 1.94 2.06666667
16 724.26 17 314.4 1.82 2.21428571
17 471.45 18 304.14 1.72 2.38461538
18 230.1 19 301.59 1.63 2.58333333
19 318.3 20 294.19 1.55 2.81818182
20 279.13 21 289.23 1.48 3.1
21 617.25 22 279.13 1.41 3.44444444
22 508.92 23 258.16 1.35 3.875
23 333.37 24 230.1 1.29 4.42857143
24 500.88 25 221.14 1.24 5.16666667
25 383.8 26 192.81 1.19 6.2
26 258.16 27 174.42 1.15 7.75
27 167.65 28 167.65 1.11 10.3333333
28 294.19 29 144.04 1.07 15.5
29 392.9 30 144.04 1.03 31
30 304.14 ∑Q = 10544.25
N= 30

Cálculo de Qm y Xm:

Qm = 351.4750

Xm = -0.5951
Cálculo de los parámetros a y b: De la ecuación (6.34), se tiene:

b= -303.10306

a= 171.1003

Cálculo del caudal máximo:

Sustituyendo los valores de los parámetros a y b, en la ecuación (6.32), se tiene:

Qm= T: 50
794.524565

Qm= T: 100
886.434202

Cálculo de las desviaciones estándar y covarianza:

Sxx= 210.045
SQQ= 19781367.8
SXQ= -63665.317

Calculo de los intervalos de confianza:

ΔQ=

Hallando X: T: 50
x: -2.0568 ΔQ= 56.86
T: 100
x: -2.3600 ΔQ= 57.67

Cálculo del caudal de diseño:

T: 50

Qd: 851.384565 m3/s

T: 100
Qd: 944.104202 m3/s
 X Q*X Q2 X2
-1.8464766 -1337.33 524552.55 3.4095
-1.538146 -1093.70 505592.10 2.3659
-1.3545417 -836.09 380997.56 1.8348
-1.2218637 -621.83 258999.57 1.4930
-1.1169729 -559.47 250880.77 1.2476
-1.0295523 -491.22 227643.49 1.0600
-0.9540888 -449.81 222265.10 0.9103
-0.8872816 -348.61 154370.41 0.7873
-0.8269915 -319.43 149196.79 0.6839
-0.7717475 -297.99 149096.38 0.5956
-0.7204889 -276.52 147302.44 0.5191
-0.6724202 -239.36 126714.64 0.4521
-0.6269239 -216.43 119176.85 0.3930
-0.5835047 -194.52 111135.56 0.3405
-0.5417525 -172.44 101314.89 0.2935
-0.5013168 -158.58 100064.67 0.2513
-0.4618869 -145.22 98847.36 0.2133
-0.423177 -128.71 92501.14 0.1791
-0.3849126 -116.09 90956.53 0.1482
-0.3468174 -102.03 86547.76 0.1203
-0.3085987 -89.26 83653.99 0.0952
-0.2699293 -75.35 77913.56 0.0729
-0.230422 -59.49 66646.59 0.0531
-0.1895903 -43.62 52946.01 0.0359
-0.1467823 -32.46 48902.90 0.0215
-0.1010601 -19.49 37175.70 0.0102
-0.0509509 -8.89 30422.34 0.0026
0.00614092 1.03 28106.52 0.0000
0.075668 10.90 20747.52 0.0057
0.17358298 25.00 20747.52 0.0301
-17.852805 -8396.99 4365419.20 17.6256