Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
2. FACTORES SUBJETIVOS
Comparaciones pareadas
Factor (j) Suma de preferencias
Población Accesibilidad Medio ambiente
Población 0 1 1
Accesibilidad 1 1 2
Medio ambiente 0 1 1
Total 4
Índice Wj
0.25
0.5
0.25
Medio Ambiente
Calificación Rij
2 0.6666666667
1 0.3333333333
0 0
3 1
ÓN DE UCAYALI
CUADRO OFERTA HISTORICA
Año Ene
2001 16.1
2002 17.2
2003 15.1
2004 15.9
2005 18.6
2006 20.5
2007 20.6
2008 18.9
2009 19.1
2010 20.7
2011 22.6
CUADRO DEMANDA
Año Ene
2001 17.1
2002 16.5
2003 17.2
2004 21.8
2005 18.6
2006 19.9
2007 20.9
2008 16.8
2009 19.6
2010 19.5
2011 23.9
n
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
Feb Mar Abr
16.5 16.6 13.8
14.2 14.6 18.5
15.5 14 13.8
15.6 16.9 17.1
18 18.6 18.9
18.9 21.8 19.4
20.5 20.8 19.4
19.9 19.8 17.6
19.1 25.2 18.9
23.3 25.1 22.7
29 27.5 27.1
Año Total
1 2001 198.8
2 2002 194
3 2003 201.8
4 2004 268.6
5 2005 232
6 2006 245.4
7 2007 249
8 2008 235.5
9 2009 250.9
10 2010 334.4
11 2011 358.3
192.9 193.6
200
150
100
50
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
PERIODO
250
200
150
100
10 11
50
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
4x + 210.5981818182
8 10 12
INVERSIÓN EN ACTIVOS FIJOS
TANGIBLES
Costo Total
S/. 9,000.00
S/. 1,950.00
S/. 350.00
S/. 1,140.00
S/. 2,000.00
S/. 3,000.00
S/. 17,440.00
COSTO DE PERSONAL
cantidad de yuca
Año Cantidad de bolsas (500 gr) produccion al 75% requerida
2016 1034058 775543 581657
2017 1122552 841914 631436
2018 1216951 912713 684535
2019 1317255 987941 740956
2020 1423464 1067598 800699
2021 1535578 1151683 863762
2022 1653596 1240197 930148
2023 1777519 1333139 999855
2024 1907347 1430510 1072883
2025 2043080 1532310 1149233
Asiganción familiar ESSALUD (9%) VACACIONES GRATIFICACIONES CTS
S/. 75.00 S/. 321.75 S/. 297.92 S/. 595.83 S/. 347.57
S/. 75.00 S/. 249.75 S/. 231.25 S/. 462.50 S/. 269.79
S/. 75.00 S/. 249.75 S/. 231.25 S/. 462.50 S/. 269.79
S/. 75.00 S/. 249.75 S/. 231.25 S/. 462.50 S/. 269.79
S/. 75.00 S/. 249.75 S/. 231.25 S/. 462.50 S/. 269.79
S/. 75.00 S/. 141.75 S/. 131.25 S/. 262.50 S/. 153.13
S/. 75.00 S/. 114.75 S/. 106.25 S/. 212.50 S/. 123.96
S/. 75.00 S/. 114.75 S/. 106.25 S/. 212.50 S/. 123.96
S/. 75.00 S/. 74.25 S/. 68.75 S/. 137.50 S/. 80.21
S/. 75.00 S/. 74.25 S/. 68.75 S/. 137.50 S/. 80.21
nota:
por 1,5 kg de yuca se hace 1 kg de harina de yuca
Variación de
Costo de producción Costo de operarios Costo fijo Capital de trabajo capital
S/. 479,867.36 S/. 352,694.33 S/. 369,734 S/. 1,202,296.02
S/. 520,934.29 S/. 352,694.33 S/. 369,734 S/. 1,243,362.95 S/. 41,067
S/. 564,741.42 S/. 352,694.33 S/. 369,734 S/. 1,287,170.08 S/. 43,807
S/. 611,288.74 S/. 352,694.33 S/. 369,734 S/. 1,333,717.41 S/. 46,547
S/. 660,576.26 S/. 352,694.33 S/. 369,734 S/. 1,383,004.93 S/. 49,288
S/. 712,603.98 S/. 352,694.33 S/. 369,734 S/. 1,435,032.65 S/. 52,028
S/. 767,371.89 S/. 352,694.33 S/. 369,734 S/. 1,489,800.56 S/. 54,768
S/. 824,880.00 S/. 352,694.33 S/. 369,734 S/. 1,547,308.67 S/. 57,508
S/. 885,128.31 S/. 352,694.33 S/. 369,734 S/. 1,607,556.98 S/. 60,248
S/. 948,116.81 S/. 352,694.33 S/. 369,734 S/. 1,670,545.48 S/. 62,989
CONSIDERACIONES SALARIALES
Sueldo total mensual Sueldo anual Descripción
S/. 5,138.07 S/. 61,656.83 Remuneración minima vital
S/. 3,988.29 S/. 47,859.50 Asiganación familiar
S/. 3,988.29 S/. 47,859.50 ESSALUD
S/. 3,988.29 S/. 47,859.50 Gratificación
S/. 3,988.29 S/. 47,859.50 Vacaciones
S/. 2,263.63 S/. 27,163.50 CTS
S/. 1,832.46 S/. 21,989.50
S/. 1,832.46 S/. 21,989.50
S/. 1,185.71 S/. 14,228.50
S/. 1,185.71 S/. 14,228.50
S/. 29,391.19 S/. 352,694.33
RACIONES SALARIALES
Descripción
750
10%
9%
2 sueldos al año
1 sueldo al año
Rem fija + grat
ACTIVOS
Equipos % dedepreciación
Equipo de lavado 10%
Equipo cortador 10%
Equipo secador o desvaporizador 10%
Molino 10%
Peletizador o Amasadora 10%
Balanza electrónica 10%
Paletizador 10%
Caldera de vapor 10%
Depósito de agua 10%
Deposito calentador de agua 10%
Bomba 10%
Equipo de purificación 10%
Contador de agua 10%
Rociador de agua caliente 10%
Tanques para harina 10%
Grúa para elevar la harina 10%
Tolva alimentadora 10%
Refinadora de pasta 10%
Equipo de moldeado 10%
Transportadora de cinta 10%
computadoras 25%
Sillas 10%
Impresoras multifuncional 25%
Archivadores 10%
Escritorios 10%
tramites legales 100%
Inversión
Activo tangible S/. 2,645,440
Activo Intangible S/. 21,560
Capital de trabajo S/. 1,202,296
S/. 3,869,296
Bancos BCP
Tasa de interés 20.50%
Nº de cuota Saldo
0 S/. 2,708,507
1 S/. 2,577,626
2 S/. 2,426,602
3 S/. 2,252,336
4 S/. 2,051,250
5 S/. 1,819,217
6 S/. 1,551,474
7 S/. 1,242,525
8 S/. 886,029
9 S/. 474,669
10 S/. -
ACTIVOS
Años a pronosticar vida util en años Valor libro
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 10
10 4 4500
10 10
10 4 570
10 10
10 10
5070
Evaluación Financiera %
Inversión de Socios 30%
Préstamo de banco 70%
Evaluación Económica 100% propio
Monto
S/. 1,160,789
S/. 2,708,507
S/. 3,869,296
DEPRECIACIÓN POR AÑO
2020 2021 2022 2023
S/. 500.00 S/. 500.00 S/. 500.00 S/. 500.00
S/. 8,000.00 S/. 8,000.00 S/. 8,000.00 S/. 8,000.00
S/. 350.00 S/. 350.00 S/. 350.00 S/. 350.00
S/. 1,000.00 S/. 1,000.00 S/. 1,000.00 S/. 1,000.00
S/. 200.00 S/. 200.00 S/. 200.00 S/. 200.00
S/. 500.00 S/. 500.00 S/. 500.00 S/. 500.00
S/. 1,000.00 S/. 1,000.00 S/. 1,000.00 S/. 1,000.00
S/. 13,600.00 S/. 13,600.00 S/. 13,600.00 S/. 13,600.00
S/. 2,890.00 S/. 2,890.00 S/. 2,890.00 S/. 2,890.00
S/. 850.00 S/. 850.00 S/. 850.00 S/. 850.00
S/. 3,400.00 S/. 3,400.00 S/. 3,400.00 S/. 3,400.00
S/. 340.00 S/. 340.00 S/. 340.00 S/. 340.00
S/. 5,100.00 S/. 5,100.00 S/. 5,100.00 S/. 5,100.00
S/. 2,720.00 S/. 2,720.00 S/. 2,720.00 S/. 2,720.00
S/. 5,100.00 S/. 5,100.00 S/. 5,100.00 S/. 5,100.00
S/. 510.00 S/. 510.00 S/. 510.00 S/. 510.00
S/. 10,200.00 S/. 10,200.00 S/. 10,200.00 S/. 10,200.00
S/. 13,600.00 S/. 13,600.00 S/. 13,600.00 S/. 13,600.00
S/. 5,100.00 S/. 5,100.00 S/. 5,100.00 S/. 5,100.00
S/. 12,240.00 S/. 12,240.00 S/. 12,240.00 S/. 12,240.00
S/. 2,250.00 S/. 2,250.00 S/. 2,250.00 S/. 2,250.00
S/. 195.00 S/. 195.00 S/. 195.00 S/. 195.00
S/. 285.00 S/. 285.00 S/. 285.00 S/. 285.00
S/. 200.00 S/. 200.00 S/. 200.00 S/. 200.00
S/. 300.00 S/. 300.00 S/. 300.00 S/. 300.00
0 1 2
Valor de desecho
ESCENARIOS
Precio Ventas
Optimista 5 venta proyectada
Moderado 2.8 venta proyectada
Pesimista 1.5 venta proyectada
ESCENARIO OPTIMISTA
0 1 2
Valor de desecho
Valor de desecho
ESCENARIO PESIMISTA
0 1 2
Valor de desecho
0 1 2
Valor de desecho
3 4 5 6 7 8
S/. 2,555,598 S/. 2,766,236 S/. 2,989,274 S/. 3,224,713 S/. 3,472,552 S/. 3,732,790
-S/. 752,989 -S/. 815,052 -S/. 880,768 -S/. 950,139 -S/. 1,023,163 -S/. 1,099,840
-S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734
-S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430
-S/. 174,266 -S/. 201,086 -S/. 232,033 -S/. 267,743 -S/. 308,949 -S/. 356,496
S/. 1,342,445 S/. 1,491,020 S/. 1,648,342 S/. 1,814,410 S/. 1,989,225 S/. 2,172,786
-S/. 402,733 -S/. 447,306 -S/. 494,503 -S/. 544,323 -S/. 596,767 -S/. 651,836
S/. 939,711 S/. 1,043,714 S/. 1,153,839 S/. 1,270,087 S/. 1,392,457 S/. 1,520,950
S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430
S/. 174,266 S/. 201,086 S/. 232,033 S/. 267,743 S/. 308,949 S/. 356,496
S/. 855,875 S/. 933,058 S/. 1,012,236 S/. 1,092,774 S/. 1,173,939 S/. 1,254,884
3 4 5 6 7 8
S/. 4,563,567 S/. 4,939,707 S/. 5,337,990 S/. 5,758,416 S/. 6,200,985 S/. 6,665,697
-S/. 757,552 -S/. 819,991 -S/. 886,106 -S/. 955,897 -S/. 1,029,364 -S/. 1,106,506
-S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734
-S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430
S/. 3,345,851 S/. 3,659,551 S/. 3,991,719 S/. 4,342,355 S/. 4,711,457 S/. 5,099,027
S/. 1,003,755 S/. 1,097,865 S/. 1,197,516 S/. 1,302,706 S/. 1,413,437 S/. 1,529,708
S/. 4,349,606 S/. 4,757,417 S/. 5,189,235 S/. 5,645,061 S/. 6,124,894 S/. 6,628,735
S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430
S/. 4,440,036 S/. 4,841,535 S/. 5,279,665 S/. 5,735,491 S/. 6,215,324 S/. 6,712,853
S/. 4,563,567 S/. 4,939,707 S/. 5,337,990 S/. 5,758,416 S/. 6,200,985 S/. 6,665,697
-S/. 757,552 -S/. 819,991 -S/. 886,106 -S/. 955,897 -S/. 1,029,364 -S/. 1,106,506
-S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734
-S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430
-S/. 174,266 -S/. 201,086 -S/. 232,033 -S/. 267,743 -S/. 308,949 -S/. 356,496
S/. 3,171,584 S/. 3,458,465 S/. 3,759,686 S/. 4,074,612 S/. 4,402,509 S/. 4,742,531
-S/. 951,475 -S/. 1,037,540 -S/. 1,127,906 -S/. 1,222,383 -S/. 1,320,753 -S/. 1,422,759
S/. 2,220,109 S/. 2,420,926 S/. 2,631,780 S/. 2,852,228 S/. 3,081,756 S/. 3,319,772
S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430
S/. 174,266 S/. 201,086 S/. 232,033 S/. 267,743 S/. 308,949 S/. 356,496
S/. 2,136,273 S/. 2,310,270 S/. 2,490,177 S/. 2,674,915 S/. 2,863,237 S/. 3,053,706
3 4 5 6 7 8
S/. 1,369,070 S/. 1,481,912 S/. 1,601,397 S/. 1,727,525 S/. 1,860,296 S/. 1,999,709
-S/. 757,552 -S/. 819,991 -S/. 886,106 -S/. 955,897 -S/. 1,029,364 -S/. 1,106,506
-S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734
-S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430
S/. 151,354 S/. 201,756 S/. 255,126 S/. 311,463 S/. 370,768 S/. 433,039
-S/. 45,406 -S/. 60,527 -S/. 76,538 -S/. 93,439 -S/. 111,230 -S/. 129,912
S/. 105,948 S/. 141,229 S/. 178,588 S/. 218,024 S/. 259,537 S/. 303,127
S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430
S/. 196,378 S/. 225,347 S/. 269,018 S/. 308,454 S/. 349,967 S/. 387,245
3 4 5 6 7 8
S/. 1,369,070 S/. 1,481,912 S/. 1,601,397 S/. 1,727,525 S/. 1,860,296 S/. 1,999,709
-S/. 757,552 -S/. 819,991 -S/. 886,106 -S/. 955,897 -S/. 1,029,364 -S/. 1,106,506
-S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734
-S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430
-S/. 174,266 -S/. 201,086 -S/. 232,033 -S/. 267,743 -S/. 308,949 -S/. 356,496
-S/. 22,913 S/. 670 S/. 23,093 S/. 43,720 S/. 61,819 S/. 76,543
-S/. 6,874 -S/. 201 -S/. 6,928 -S/. 13,116 -S/. 18,546 -S/. 22,963
-S/. 29,787 S/. 469 S/. 16,165 S/. 30,604 S/. 43,273 S/. 53,580
S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430
S/. 234,910 S/. 285,673 S/. 338,628 S/. 388,777 S/. 442,652 S/. 494,194
Precio de venta S/. 2.80
9 10 Cvu S/. 0.83
1430510 1532310 Cf S/. 369,734
S/. 4,005,429 S/. 4,290,468 Tasa económica 20%
-S/. 1,180,171 -S/. 1,264,156 tasa financiera 20%
-S/. 369,734 -S/. 369,734
-S/. 90,430 -S/. 90,430
S/. 2,365,094 S/. 2,566,148
-S/. 709,528 -S/. 769,844
S/. 1,655,566 S/. 1,796,304
S/. 90,430 S/. 90,430
S/. 568,009
S/. 1,745,996 S/. 2,454,742
9 10
1430510 1532310
S/. 568,009
9 10
1430510 1532310
S/. 568,009
9 10
1430510 1532310
S/. 568,009
9 10
1430510 1532310
S/. 568,009
9 10
1430510 1532310
S/. 568,009
2174103.97352
698398.23786667
131767.30328
3004269.5146667
2510063.243
981896.85666667
316493.087
3808453.1866667
PERIODO 10
6233769602298.6
2410303592829.7
333892913729.3
8977966108857.6
2996325.4344042
78156.312348895
VALORACION
FACTORES AMBIENTALES
1. caudal de agua
a. CARACTERISTICAS
QUIMICAS Y FISICAS
FAUNA
1. Desplazamiento de especies
2. Alteración del comportamiento
1. Más variedad de especies
FLORA
2. Pérdida de vegetación nativa
SERVICIO DE INFRAESTRUCTURA
1. Desarrollo estructural
c. FACTORES CULTURALES
2. Mejores servicios
elementos existentes
desmonte
ua -2 2 -3
transporte de sedimentos 2 1 2 1 -2 1
e agua 1 -2 -1 -3 -2
gua
e la erosión -3 -2 1 -2
productivas -3 -2 -2 -3 -1
e la materia orgánica -3 -1 -1 -3
nto de especies -3 -2 -2 -3 -2
el comportamiento -3 -1 -2 -2 -2
d de especies -2 -2 -3 -2
egetación nativa -3 -2 -3 -3
structural 3 2 2 2 -2 2
vicios 3 2 3 -1 -2
s de vida 3 3 3 -1 -2
or empleo 3 3 3 3 1
y seguridad ciudadana 3 3 3 -1 -1
e la topografía del terreno -2 -2 -2 -2 -2 -2
ersidad escénica 2 2 2 2 -1 -1
de ingresos económicos 3 3 3 3 3 3
de mano de obra Local 3 3 3 3 3 3
OBRAS CIVILES
Limpieza, nivelación y trazado
-2
-2
3
3
3
2
3
2
3
3
2
3
2
3
2
Ingreso de herramientas de
-2
-1
-1
-2
3
3
3
3
Generación de Residuos
-2
-2
-3
-1
-3
-2
-2
-2
3
3
2
Generación de ruidos y vibración
-2
-2
-3
-3
3
3
3
Planos de cementación
-1
-2
3
3
3
2
2
2
3
-2 Planos de sanitarios
3
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
CONSTRUCCION DE FABRICA
Planos de arquitectura
3
3
3
2
3
3
2
2
3
Apertura de botaderos
TOTALES NEGATIVOS
TOTALES POSITIVOS
-7 2
2 -4 11
2 -10 8
0 0
2 -11 13
1 -11 3
-8 3
3 -18 9
3 -19 9
-1 -11 0
-1 -15 3
1 -2 22
3 -3 18
2 -7 20
3 0 35
-1 -8 12
-1 -17 0
-2 8
3 0 42
3 0 42
-153 260