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Towards a fair adjustment and inclusive growth

References
Fiscal Sustainability
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Camarena, José Andrée. (2018). Fiscal Adjustment in Latin America and the Caribbean :
Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain?. LAC Semiannual Report;April 2018. Washington,
DC: World Bank.

Tax System
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Tax Reform. Universitat Pompeu Fabra.

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Intergovernmental Fiscal Issues


Banco Mundial. (2017). Cálculos da equipe usando o Pension Reform Options Simulation
Toolkit (PROST) and microdados disponibilizados pelos estados.
Banco Mundial. (2018). Brazil Subnational Fiscal Monitor.
Banco Mundial. (2018). Staff projection created for this product, using STN/PAF data.
Jonathan Rodden. (2015). The Political Economy of Reform in the Brazilian Federation/
Background paper for World Bank Systematic Country Diagnostic.
OCDE. (2013). Fiscal Federalism 2014: Making decentralisation work. OCDE publishing.
Secretaria do Tesouro Nacional (STN). (2018). Programas de Ajuste Fiscal (PAF).

State Reform
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183.
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renovação da agenda de reformas. RAP Rio de Janeiro Edição Especial Comemorativa,
1967-2007. 67–86.
Alston L and Mueller B. (2006). Pork for Policy: Executive and Legislative Exchange in Brazil.
Journal of Law Economics and Organization. 221:87–114.
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Processes and Policy Outcomes in Brazil. Inter-American Development Bank IDB.
Washington, D.C.
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Laws, and the Allocation of Spending: The Case of Brazil. In: Hallerberg M, Scartascini
C G, and Stein E, eds. Who Decides the Budget?: A Political Economy Analysis of the
Budget Process in Latin America. Harvard University Press.
Alston LJ, Mueller B, Melo MA and Pereira C. (2010). The Political Economy of Productivity in
Brazil. IDB Working Paper No. IDB-WP-104. Washington DC.
Alston, LJ, Melo MA, Mueller B and Pereira C. (2008). On the Road to Good Governance:
Recovering from Economic and Political Shocks in Brazil. In: Stein E, and Tommasi M,
eds. Policymaking in Latin America: How Politics Shapes Policies. David Rockefeller
Center for Latin American Studies. Washington, DC.
Araujo, JT; Barroso R. (2014). Impact and Implications of Recent and Potential Changes to
Brazil’s Subnational Fiscal Framework. World Bank.
Armijo, LE. (2005). Mass democracy: The real reason that Brazil ended inflation? World
Development. 3312:2013–2027.
Banco Mundial. (2009). Brazil: Federal Public Financial Management Performance Based on
the PEFA Methodology. Banco Mundial.
Banco Mundial. (2012). Beyond the Annual Budget: Global Experience with Medium Term
Expenditure Frameworks. World Bank Publications. Washington, D.C.
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Banco Mundial. (2016). Brazil Country Systematic Diagnostic. World Bank, Washington, DC.
Bersch K, Praça S and Taylor MM. (2013). State Capacity and Bureaucratic Autonomy Within
National States: Mapping the Archipelago of Excellence in Brazil. Latin American
Studies Association Conference.
Brumby J, Mendes M and Velloso T. (2012). Public Investment Management in Brazil
de Alencar, CHR; Gico Jr IT. (2011). When crime pays: measuring judicial performance against
corruption in Brazil. Law and Business Review of the Americas. 17415.
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American Research Review. 391:90–122.
Estadão. (2014). Para escapar do pibinho, o caminho é a abertura, diz Edmar Bacha. 15 March.
Giavazzi F, Goldfajn I and Herrera S. (2005). Inflation Targeting, Debt, and the Brazilian
Experience, 1999 to 2003. MIT Press.
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Press. Cambridge, UK.
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International Development: Working Paper No. 180. Cambridge, MA.
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West Europe. Comparative political studies. 121:3–27.
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311.
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Successful Societies.
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System. Palgrave Macmillan.
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Contract in Brazil. IRIBA.
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Montero AP. (2006). Brazilian Politics: Reforming a Democratic State in a Changing World.
Wiley.
Power T and Taylor M, eds. (2011a). Corruption and Democracy in Brazil. University of Notre
Dame Press. Notre Dame.
Power T and Taylor M. (2011b). Accountability Institutions and Political Corruption in Brazil.
In: Power T, and In: Taylor M, eds. Corruption and Democracy in Brazil. University of
Notre Dame Press. Notre Dame.
Praça S and Taylor MM. (2014). Inching Toward Accountability: The Evolution of Brazil’s
Anticorruption Institutions, 1985–2010. Latin American Politics and Society. 562:27–48.
RAIS. (2015). Relação Anual de Informações Sociais. Ministério do Trabalho e Emprego.
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the governors in Brazil. Publius: The Journal of Federalism. 302:43–62.
Samuels D. (2003). Ambition, Federalism, and Legislative Politics in Brazil. Cambridge
University Press.

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Samuels D. (2004). Presidentialism and accountability for the economy in comparative
perspective. American Political Science Review. 9803:425–436.
Samuels DJ. (2002). Pork barreling is not credit claiming or advertising: Campaign finance and
the sources of the personal vote in Brazil. The Journal of Politics. 643:845–863.
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Challenges of Equitable Development. Cambridge University Press. Capitalism--Latin
America.
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Texto para Discussão 2035.
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de 2011. Tribunal de Contas da União. Brasília.
TCU. (2013). Relatório E Parecer Prévio Sobre as Contas Do Governo Da República–Exercício
de 2012. Tribunal de Contas da União. Brasília.
TCU. (2014). Relatório E Parecer Prévio Sobre as Contas Do Governo Da República–Exercício
de 2013. Tribunal de Contas da União. Brasília.
Tollini H. (2009). Reforming the budget formulation process in the Brazilian congress. OCDE
Journal on Budgeting. 9.
Wehner J. (2010). Cabinet structure and fiscal policy outcomes. European Journal of Political
Research. 495:631–653.

Boosting Productivity
Bloom, Nicholas; Mirko Draca and John Van Reenen. (2016). Trade Induced Technical
Change? The Impact of Chinese Imports on Innovation, IT and Productivity. The Review of
Economic Studies, vol 83(1), pages 87-117
Bonelli, Regis and Fernando Veloso. (2016). A crise de crescimento do Brasil. Rio de Janeiro:
Elsevier and FGV/IBRE.
Bonelli, Regis, Fernando Veloso and Armando Castelar Pinheiro (eds). (2017). Anatomia da
produtividade no Brasil. Rio de Janeiro: Elsevier and FGV/IBRE.
Caselli, Francesco. (2016). The Latin American Efficiency Gap. In by J. Araujo, M. Clavijo, E.
Vostroknutova, and K. Wacker (eds.) Understanding Latin America and the Caribbean’s
Income Gap, Washington, DC: World Bank
Cirera, Xavier & Lederman, Daniel & Máñez, Juan A. & Rochina, María E. & Sanchis, Juan A.,
(2015). The export-productivity link for Brazilian manufacturing firms. Economics - The
Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), vol.
9, pages 1-3
IPEA. Turchi, Lenita Maria and José Mauro de Morais (eds.). (2017). Políticas de Apoio à
Inovação Tecnológica no Brasil: Avanços Recentes, Limitações e Propostas de Ações.
Brasília: IPEA.
Kasahara, Hiroyuki and Rodrigue, Joel. (2008). Does the use of imported intermediates increase
productivity? Plant-level evidence. Journal of Development Economics, 87, issue 1, p. 106-
118,
Lisboa, M., Menezes Filho, N., Schor, A. (2010). The effects of trade liberalization on
productivity growth in Brazil: competition or technology? Rev. Bras. Econ. vol.64 no.3. Rio
de Janeiro.

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Messa, A. and Oliveira, I.T.M. (eds). (2017). A política comercial brasileira em análise. IPEA,
Brasilia.
Muendler, Marc-Andreas. (2004). Trade, Technology, and Productivity: A Study of Brazilian
Manufacturers, 1986-1998, mimeo.
O'Connell, Stephen D.; Mation, Lucas Ferreira; Bevilaqua Teixeira Basto, Joao; Dutz, Mark
Andrew. (2017). Can business input improve the effectiveness of worker training? evidence
from Brazil's Pronatec-MDIC (English). Policy Research working paper; no. WPS 8155.
Washington, D.C.
Rossi Jr. J.L., Ferreira, P. (1999). Evolução da Produtividade Industrial Brasileira e Abertura
Comercial. Texto para Discussão IPEA # 0651.
Schor, A. (2004). Heterogeneous productivity response to tariff reduction: Evidence from
Brazilian manufacturing firms. Journal of Development Economics, 75:373–396.
Syverson, Chad. (2011). What Determines Productivity? Journal of Economic Literature 49 (2):
326-65.

Credit Markets
Banco Central Do Brasil. (2012). The Impact of Market Power at Bank Level in Risk-taking: The
Brazilian case.
Barbosa et al. (2015). Assessing competition in the banking industry: A multi-product approach.
Barron, J.; Staten, M. (2003). The Value of Comprehensive Credit Reports: Lessons from the
U.S. Experience. In Credit Reporting Systems and the International Economy ed. Margaret
Miller. Boston: MIT Press.
Campello, M; Larrain, M. (2016). Enlarging the Contracting Space: Collateral Menus, Access to
Credit, and Economic Activity. Forthcoming Review of Financial Studies.
Detragiache, E.; Gupta, P.; and Tressel, T. (2005). Finance in Lower-Income Countries: An
Empirical Exploration. IMF Working Paper.
Djankov, S.; McLiesh, C.; Shleifer, A. (2007). Private Credit in 129 Countries. World Bank
Group, Working Paper.
Funchal; B. (2008). The effect of the 2005 bankruptcy reform in Brazil.
Galindo, A.; Miller, M. (2001). Can Credit Registries Reduce Credit Constraints? Empirical
Evidence on the Role of Credit Registries in Firm Investment Decisions.
IFC report. (2010). Secured Transactions Systems and Collateral Registries.
Jappelli, T.; Pagano, M. (2001). Information Sharing, Lending and Defaults: Cross-Country
Evidence. CSEF Working Paper No. 22, University of Salerno.
Love et al. (2016). Collateral Registries for Movable Assets: Does their Introduction Spur
Firms’ Access to Bank Finance? Journal of Financial Services Research 1-37.
Martinez Peria, M. S.; Singh, S. (2014). The Impact of Credit Information Sharing Reforms on
Firm Financing. World Bank Group, Policy Research Working Paper.
OCDE. (2012). Follow-up to the Nine Peer Reviews of Competition Law and Policy of Latin
American Countries.
Powell et al. (2004). Improving Credit Information, Bank Regulation and Supervision: On the
Role and Design of Public Credit Registries. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper
3443.
Rodano, G.; Serrano-Velarde, N.; Tarantino, E. (2012). The Causal Effect of Bankruptcy Law on
the Cost of Finance.

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Safavian, M.; Fleisig, H.; Steinbuks, J. (2006). Unlocking Dead Capital: How Reforming
Collateral Laws Improves Access to Finance.
World Economic Forum. (2017). Global Competitiveness Report.

Infrastructure
Ames, Barry. (1994). The Reverse Coattails Effect: Local Party Organization in the 1989
Brazilian Presidential Election. American Political Science Review 88 (1).
———. (2001). The Deadlock of Democracy in Brazil. University of Michigan Press.
Banco Mundial. (2016a). Retaking the Path to Inclusion, Growth and Sustainability: Brazil
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P151691-PUBLIC-non-board-version.pdf.
———. (2016b). World Development Report 2016: Internet for Development. World Bank.
Bom, Pedro R. D., and Jenny E. Ligthart. (2014). What Have We Learned from Three Decades of
Research on the Productivity of Public Capital? Journal of Economic Surveys 28 (5): 889–
916. doi:10.1111/joes.12037.
Buffie, E. F., A. Berg, C. Patillo, R. Portillo, and L. Zanna. (2012). Public Investment, Growth,
and Debt Sustainability: Putting Together the Pieces. IMF Working Paper 12 (144).
Calderón, César, and Luis Servén. (2004). The Effects of Infrastructure Development on Growth
and Income Distribution. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, no. 3400.
Calderón, César, Catalina Cantu, and Luis Servén. (2017). Brazil’s Economic Infrastructure: An
International Perspective. Unpublished paper.
Calderón, César, Enrique Moral‐Benito, and Luis Servén. (2015). Is Infrastructure Capital
Productive? A Dynamic Heterogeneous Approach. Journal of Applied Econometrics 30 (2):
177–98. doi:10.1002/jae.2373.
CENTRAN, DNIT, and Exército Brasileiro. (2007). Plano Nacional de Logística E Transportes
– PNLT. Brasília: CENTRAN.
Commission on Growth and Development. (2008). The Growth Report: Strategies for Sustained
Growth and Inclusive Development. Washington DC: World Bank on behalf of the
Commission on Growth and Development.
Fay, Marianne, and Tito Yepes. (2003). Investing in Infrastructure: What Is Needed from 2000 to
2010? World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, no. 3102.
Flyvbjerg, Bent, Massimo Garbuio, and Dan Lovallo. (2009). Delusion and Deception in Large
Infrastructure Projects: Two Models for Explaining and Preventing Executive Disaster.
California Management Review 51: 170–93.
Flyvbjerg, Bent, Nils Bruzelius, and Werner Rothengatter. (2003). Megaprojects and Risk : An
Anatomy of Ambition. United Kingdom; New York: Cambridge University Press.
Flyvbjerg, Bent. (2004). Procedures for Dealing with Optimism Bias in Transport Planning:
Guidance Document.
Frischtak, Cláudio. (2013). Infraestrutura e desenvolvimento no Brasil. In Desenvolvimento
Econômico. Uma Perspectiva Brasileira, edited by Fernando Veloso, Pedro Cavalcanti
Ferreira, Fabio Giambiagi, and Samuel Pessoa. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil: Campus.
International Monetary Fund. (2014). Is It Time for an Infrastructure Push? The Macroeconomic
Effects of Public Investment. In World Economic Outlook October 2014. International
Monetary Fund.

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McKinsey Global Institute. (2014). Connecting Brazil to the World: A Path to Inclusive Growth.
McKinsey Global Institute.
Melo, Marcus André, and Carlos Pereira. (2013). Making Brazil Work: Checking the President
in a Multiparty System. Palgrave Macmillan.
———. (2015). The Political Economy of Public Investment. Background Paper for the Brazil
Systematic Country Diagnostic. Brasília: World Bank.
OCDE. (2013). Brazil’s Supreme Audit Institution. OCDE Public Governance Reviews. Paris:
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. http://www.OCDE-
ilibrary.org/governance/brazil-s-supreme-audit-institution_9789264188112-en.
Pritchett, Lant. (2000). The Tyranny of Concepts: CUDIE (Cumulated, Depreciated, Investment
Effort) Is Not Capital. Journal of Economic Growth 5 (4): 361–384.
Rajaram, Anand, Tuan Minh Le, Nataliya Biletska, and Jim Brumby. (2010). A Diagnostic
Framework for Assessing Public Investment Management. Washington DC: World Bank:
Policy Research Working Paper 5397.
Samuels, David. (2003). Ambition, Federalism, and Legislative Politics in Brazil. Cambridge
University Press.
TCU. (2014). Relatório e parecer prévio sobre as contas do Governo da República–Exercício de
2013. Brasília: Tribunal de Contas da União.
Tollini, Helio. (2009). Reforming the Budget Formulation Process in the Brazilian Congress.
OCDE Journal on Budgeting 9.
Viñuela, Lorena. (2015). Trends and Quality of Decentralized Public Investment. In
Decentralization and Infrastructure in the Global Economy: From Gaps to Solutions, edited
by Jonas Frank and Jorge Martinez. Abingdon, Oxon; New York, NY: Routledge.
Wagner, Michael, Gabriela Bertol, and Adrian Murphy. (2014). Enhancing Private
Infrastructure Investment in Brazil. Oliver Wyman.
World Economic Forum. (2016). Global Competitiveness Report 2016-2017. Geneva: WEF.
Yepes, Tito. (2008). Investment Needs for Infrastructure in Developing Countries 2008–15.
Unpublished paper.

Education
Banco Mundial. 2017. Um Ajuste Justo: Análise da Eficiência e Equidade do Gasto Público no
Brasil. Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group.
Banco Mundial. 2018. World Development Report 2018: Learning to Realize Education’s
Promise. Washington, DC: World Bank. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-1096-1.
Bruns, Barbara; Luque, Javier. 2015. Great Teachers: How to Raise Student Learning in Latin
America and the Caribbean. Washington, DC: World Bank.
Evans, David K.; Kosec, Katrina. 2012. Early Child Education: Making Programs Work for
Brazil’s Most Important Generation. World Bank Study;. Washington, DC: World Bank.
Ferreyra, Maria Marta; Avitabile, Ciro; Botero Álvarez, Javier; Haimovich Paz, Francisco;
Urzúa, Sergio. 2017. At a Crossroads: Higher Education in Latin America and the
Caribbean. Directions in Development—Human Development;. World Bank,
Washington, DC.
Heckman, J. J. (2006). Skill formation and the economics of investing in disadvantaged
children. Science, 312(5782), 1900-1902.
Rivkin, S. G., Hanushek, E. A., & Kain, J. F. (2005). Teachers, schools, and academic
achievement. Econometrica, 73(2), 417-458.

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Transport & Logistics
Agencia Nacional dos Transportes Terrestres. (2011). Entraves burocráticos, exigências legais e
tributarias do transporte multimodal
Agencia Nacional dos Transportes Terrestres. (2015). Percepção dos operadores de transporte
multimodal
Banco Mundial. (2015). Brazil road safety capacity review.
Banco Mundial. (2015). Fostering short sea Shipping in Brazil.
Banco Mundial. (2015). Relatório de danos materiais e prejuízos decorrentes de desastres
naturais no Brasil 1995-2014.
Banco Mundial. (2016). Logistic Performance Index (LPI).
Banco Mundial. (2017). Back to Planning: How to Close Brazil’s Infrastructure Gap in Times of
Austerity.
Banco Mundial. (2017). Governança Infraestrutura.
Empresa de Planejamento e Logística. (2018). Plano Nacional de Logística.
ILOS. (2017). Custos Logísticos no Brasil.
Ministério dos Transportes, Portos e Aviação civil. (2017). Corredores Logísticos Estratégicos,
Volumem I: Complexo de Minério de ferro.
Ministério dos Transportes, Portos e Aviação civil. (2017). Corredores Logísticos Estratégicos,
Volumem I: Soja e milho.
OCDE. (2017). ITF Transport Outlook.
World Economic Forum (WEF). Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) 2017 – 2018.

Labor Markets
Almeida, Rita K.; Packard, Truman G. (2018). Skills and Jobs in Brazil: An Agenda for
Youth. International Development in Focus. Banco Mundial, Washington, DC.: Banco
Mundial.
Banco Mundial. (2017). Um Ajuste Justo: Análise da Eficiência e Equidade do Gasto Público no
Brasil. Washington, D.C.
Banco Mundial. 2018. Emprego e crescimento: a agenda da produtividade (Portuguese).
Washington, D.C.: World Bank Group.

Crime and Violence Prevention


Astolfi, R. (2015). Conselhos, planos e guardas: o município como espaço potencial de
inovação em segurança pública. Em Fórum Brasileiro de Segurança Pública, Anuário
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