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Environment cooperation
Transforming risks into and Security
Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine Transforming risks into cooperation
1
The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), as the world’s lead-
ing intergovernmental environmental organisation, is the authoritative source
of knowledge on the current state of, and trends shaping the global environ-
ment. The mission of UNEP is to provide leadership and encourage part-
nership in caring for the environment by inspiring, informing, and enabling
nations and peoples to improve their quality of life without compromising that
of future generations.
The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not neces-
sarily reflect views of ENVSEC partner organisations or their member-coun-
tries. The designations employed and the presentations do not imply the ex-
pression of any opinion on the part of the organisations concerning the legal
status of any country, territory, city or area of its authority, or delineation of its
frontiers and boundaries.
This report was prepared on behalf of the partner organisations of the Environment and
Security initiative by:
Aleh Cherp (lead author, Lund University, Lund and Central European University,
Budapest),
Alexios Antypas (Central European University, Budapest),
Vicken Cheterian (CIMERA, Geneva),
Mykhaylo Salnykov (Simon Fraser University, Burnaby);
Inkar Kadyrzhanova, Peter Svedberg, Dmitry Golubovsky, Sergei Volkov, Evgeny Khan,
Oksana Leshchenko (UNDP), Bo Libert (UNECE), Susanne Michaelis, Walter Kaffenberger
(NATO), Stephen Stec (REC),
Arcadie Capcelea (World Bank), Ruben Mnatsakanian, Anastasiya Timoshina, Viktor
The case of Eastern Europe
and the participants in ENVSEC country consultations in Chisinau, Kyiv and Minsk in May
and June 2006.
The governments of Canada, the Netherlands, Belgium and Norway, and the “Science for
Peace and Security” programme of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation have provided
financial support for the assessment and for the preparation and publication of this report.
Printed on 100% recycled paper at Imprimerie Nouvelle Gonnet, F-01303 Belley, France
Environment and Security Contents
Transforming risks into cooperation
Preface 6
Looking ahead 72
What has the coming day in store? 72
Revisiting issues – the ENVSEC response 74
Preface
The start of the twenty-first century witnessed dra-
matic changes in the global security situation and
public awareness. The familiar world of superpower
politics, and military checks and balances gradu-
ally gave way to a world of smaller but omnipres-
ent threats, multi-polar interests and situations for
which military power is not a suitable or effective
response.
The Environment and Security initiative was affect each other. ENVSEC analyses and maps
launched in May 2003 simultaneously at the 5th are known and used at schools and universities, in
Environment for Europe ministerial conference in public debate and governmental planning. Projects
Kyiv and the OSCE Economic Forum in Prague, by on the ground range from in-depth investigations of
three international organisations with different while hotspots1 and awareness-raising to helping coun-
complementary agendas and missions: the UN tries strengthen their institutions, improve policies
Environment Programme (UNEP), the UN Devel- and find solutions to concrete problems in the envi-
opment Programme (UNDP) and the Organization ronment-security domain.
for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE).
Now in 2007, the initiative has been joined by the The ENVSEC assessment in Belarus, Moldova
UN Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE), and Ukraine started at the request of their Gov-
the Regional Environmental Centre for Central and ernments in 2005. Research through academic
Eastern Europe (REC), and the Public Diplomacy literature, statistics and other documents, discus-
Division of the North-Atlantic Treaty Organisation sions within countries and partner organisations,
(NATO) as an associated partner. and inputs commissioned from national experts
provided an initial picture of issues and specific
From the outset ENVSEC has seen its primary goal areas where various environmental and security
as helping countries identify, understand and where concerns overlap, and possible actions in individ-
possible mitigate risks to stability and security that ual countries, communities and the region. Broad
may stem from environmental problems and chal- national consultations with governmental authori-
lenges. Likewise it aims to promote more sustain- ties, research and international organisations and
able solutions to security challenges by addressing public groups in Chisinau, Kyiv and Minsk in May-
their environmental aspects. The initiative aims to June 2006 helped achieve a much more compre-
contribute to solving existing or emerging political hensive understanding of various actors’ views
disputes by improving dialogue and promoting co- on the environment and security challenges, and
operation on environmental issues throughout the of the broad range of their actions and intentions
pan-European region. Assessments in South-East- in the field. The latter helped ENVSEC to discuss
ern Europe and the Southern Caucasus have so far and develop plans that would fill existing gaps in
led to a much broader, deeper and more concrete the big picture rather than compete with others.
understanding than before of how environmental
and security concerns and policies intervene and For further information, see www.envsec.org.
8 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
human health, and induce unsustainable migration3. environmental policies4 may stimulate local agri-
Government budgets may be burdened by the costs cultural production and other countryside activities
of environmental clean-up and remediation meas- and therefore contribute to rural development and
ures. Unfavourable demographic trends related to reduce food dependency.
environmental factors (a sharp rise or decline in
population, deteriorating health, mass migration) as Environmental implications of security meas-
well as a rapid decline in economic welfare threaten ures
social and political stability. International research
has shown that under certain conditions this may Security policies and measures may have positive or
disrupt social institutions and even lead to “state negative impacts on the environment. For example,
failure” (Esty et al. 1999). Young and emerging na- military activities and facilities often present risks
tions are especially vulnerable to such challenges, for the environment and human health. Restructur-
though most countries in Europe and North America ing or decommissioning such activities or facilities
have had to cope with them to some extent. may reduce or increase such risks depending on
whether proper consideration is given to environ-
Improving security through environmental mental factors.
cooperation
Another example is energy policy, an area in which
Whereas environmental problems may aggravate se- the stakes for both the environment and security
curity challenges, protective counter-measures, par- are very high. The drive towards energy security
ticularly when they are implemented cooperatively, and away from acute energy dependence can have
may help to alleviate them. Cooperation over the positive or negative environmental effects, depend-
environment, including joint management of water ing on the choice of resources, solutions and energy
resources and dialogue on transboundary hazards technology. Facilitating innovative energy solutions
can help reduce international tension. Environmental and improving energy efficiency may simultane-
cooperation in relatively low-tension areas, such as ously increase energy security and reduce environ-
the establishment of jointly managed conservation mental impacts. Conversely, hasty introduction of
zones (for example “peace parks”) can also raise the environmentally unsustainable or hazardous energy
level of trust between states or communities, thereby technologies may be only a temporary solution to
contributing to overall stability (Dabelko and Conca energy security while at the same time imposing nu-
2002). Another important area of such cooperation merous new risks on the society.
within the security framework is the development of
legal regimes and institutions for information sharing In summary, integrating environmental considera-
and early warning to anticipate accidents and pro- tions into sectoral policies, such as security, de-
mote dialogue (Weinthal 2004). fence, energy and foreign affairs, increases scope
for addressing overlapping environmental and se-
Proper environmental policies can also help to solve curity concerns and improves the climate of inter-
non-conflictual security challenges. Reversing en- sectoral policy-making in these areas.
vironmental degradation and eliminating hazards
may help to slow or halt unsustainable migration.
Environmental protection and restoration activities
may strengthen institutions underpinning overall
social stability. For example, properly designed
10 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
lg
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Sofia Black Sea
BULGARIA
Map by UNEP/GRID-Arendal, May 2007.
Source: Belarus State University. Atlas of Belarus Geography. Minsk 2005; State Committee for Land Resources, Geodesy and Cartography. National Atlas of Belarus.
Minsk 2002; Botnaru V. and O. Kazantseva. Republic of Moldova. Atlas. Chisinau 2005; State Committee for Natural Resources. Integrated Atlas of Ukraine. Kyiv
2005. ENVSEC consultations 2006-7.
THE MAP DOES NOT IMPLY THE EXPRESSION OF ANY OPINION ON THE PART OF ENVSEC PARTNER ORGANISATIONS CONCERNING THE LEGAL STATUS OF ANY COUNTRY,
TERRITORY, CITY OR AREA OF ITS AUTHORITY, OR DELINEATION OF ITS FRONTIERS AND BOUNDARIES.
12 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
system, but also influenced contemporary political Eastern Europe extends from the northern shore of
regimes by shaping the relationship between the Black Sea in Ukraine up to the Baltic Sea ba-
its victims and the state7. Twenty years after the sin in Belarus. It covers 845,000 square kilometres
disaster the influential Blacksmith Institute (2006) still and is home to almost 60 million people. These
lists Chernobyl among the 10 most polluted places nations share common borders, watersheds, and
infrastructure and have many similarities in their
in the world.
geography, history, culture and economy.
Given this legacy, the recent announcements of The region’s eastern boundary roughly corre-
plans by the governments of Belarus and Ukraine sponds to the Dnieper watershed, and its western
to expand the use of nuclear power reflect the and south-western boundaries are loosely defined
dramatic challenges facing these countries. Their by the Z. Bug, Prut and Danube rivers as well as by
current dependence on energy imports is seen as the Carpathian mountains. Roughly speaking, the
one of the key security concerns. The region does Dniester river separates Moldova from Ukraine and
not have sufficient energy resources of its own, but the Pripyat marshlands in Polesie divide Ukraine
energy is critically important for both social stability and Belarus. Most of the region consists of plain
and economic development, particularly with such and lowland, wooded as in Belarus and northern
Ukraine, or open steppe as elsewhere. The rela-
high energy-intensity economies. The energy issue
tively small mountain regions are concentrated on
is all the more important because Eastern Europe
the edges of Eastern Europe: in the Carpathians
stands at the crossroads of east-west and north- and Crimea.
south energy corridors linking Russia to Western
Europe, and the Black Sea to the Baltic. The borders separating Belarus, Moldova and
Ukraine, all of which were Soviet republics before
The quest for secure energy supplies by whatever 1991, follow former Soviet largely administrative
available means may have serious implications divisions. The same is true of the region’s eastern
for the environment in Eastern Europe, already border with Russia and the northern border with
up against acute problems. While some of these Latvia and Lithuania. But all these borders also re-
are inherited over from the Soviet era, others are flect pre-Soviet historic realities. For example, the
eastern border roughly corresponds to the early
caused by the decline in state control during the
modern frontier between Russia and the Com-
transition years. A third category are related to
monwealth of Both Nations8. The contemporary
the recent economic upturn and newly spurring Ukraine-Belarus border follows the administrative
industrial activities. Serious environmental issues frontier between the Polish Kingdom and the Grand
facing the region include pollution in industrial and Duchy of Lithuania within this Commonwealth. The
mining regions, accumulation of toxic waste, land same ancient frontier separates present-day Bela-
degradation, and scarcity of safe drinking water. But rus from Poland and is also known as the Curzon
at the same time the region has significant natural line9, which divides Poland and Ukraine further
resources which, if wisely used, may support its south. The border between Ukraine and Moldova
long-term economic prosperity. roughly reflects the Eastern border of the Ottoman
empire in the 16th-18th century.
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 13
Source: Snyder T. The Reconstruction of Nations. Poland, Ukraine, THE MAPS DO NOT IMPLY THE EXPRESSION OF ANY OPINION ON THE PART OF ENVSEC
Lithuania, Belarus. 1569-1999. New Haven & London 2003; Euratlas PARTNER ORGANISATIONS CONCERNING THE LEGAL STATUS OF ANY COUNTRY,
(www.euratlas.com). TERRITORY, CITY OR AREA OF ITS AUTHORITY, OR DELINEATION OF ITS FRONTIERS
AND BOUNDARIES.
ca. 1000
SWEDEN
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14 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
Topography
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0 100 200 km
BULGARIA
Map by UNEP/GRID-Arendal, May2007.
Bathymetry Altitude in meters
Source: National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration. World Data Center for Marine Geology & Geophysics. Gridded global relief data (ETOPO2);
ESRI Inc. Global elevation digital data. Redlands, California. Data processing by UNEP / DEWA / GRID-Europe.
THE MAP DOES NOT IMPLY THE EXPRESSION OF ANY OPINION ON THE PART OF ENVSEC PARTNER ORGANISATIONS CONCERNING THE LEGAL STATUS OF ANY COUNTRY,
TERRITORY, CITY OR AREA OF ITS AUTHORITY, OR DELINEATION OF ITS FRONTIERS AND BOUNDARIES.
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 15
Forest cover
LATVIA
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BULGARIA
Map by UNEP/GRID-Arendal, May2007.
Source: United Nations Environment Programme - World Conservation Monitoring Centre. Forest cover digital data (www.unep-wcmc.org/forest/).
Data processing by UNEP / DEWA / GRID-Europe.
THE MAP DOES NOT IMPLY THE EXPRESSION OF ANY OPINION ON THE PART OF ENVSEC PARTNER ORGANISATIONS CONCERNING THE LEGAL STATUS OF ANY COUNTRY,
TERRITORY, CITY OR AREA OF ITS AUTHORITY, OR DELINEATION OF ITS FRONTIERS AND BOUNDARIES.
16 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
g
ina
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va
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p.
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as
basin BALTIC SEA-BLACK SEA BASIN DIVIDE
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t
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basin
Chisinau
Sire
Bucharest RUSSIA
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0 100 200 km
BULGARIA
Map by UNEP/GRID-Arendal, May 2007.
Sources: Belarus State University. Atlas of Belarus Geography. Minsk 2005; State Committee for Land Resources, Geodesy and Cartography. National Atlas of Belarus.
Minsk 2002; Botnaru V. and O. Kazantseva. Republic of Moldova. Atlas. Chisinau 2005; State Committee for Natural Resources. Integrated Atlas of Ukraine. Kyiv 2005.
THE MAP DOES NOT IMPLY THE EXPRESSION OF ANY OPINION ON THE PART OF ENVSEC PARTNER ORGANISATIONS CONCERNING THE LEGAL STATUS OF ANY COUNTRY,
TERRITORY, CITY OR AREA OF ITS AUTHORITY, OR DELINEATION OF ITS FRONTIERS AND BOUNDARIES.
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 17
An important feature of Eastern Europe is that it tween East and West. In particular the penetration
lacks prominent natural barriers both inside indi- of different cultures from East and West10 defined
vidual countries and between them and neighbours “cultural gradients” within the societies partly de-
to the north, west and east. Historically this often termining, for example, the present ambivalence
made the area a literal or figurative battlefield first towards European integration.
between eastern nomads and settled European cul-
tures and more recently between the great powers Eastern Europe suffered enormously from the
of Russia and Europe. Western Christianity (Roman major upheavals of the twentieth century. The
Catholic or Protestant) shaped the cultures to the two world wars, the civil war after the collapse of
north and west of Eastern Europe, developing in Tsarism, Stalinist repression and Nazi genocide
close connection with Western and Central Europe. claimed millions of lives in Ukraine, Belarus and
The Eastern Christian (Orthodox) tradition fash- Moldova. Ukraine particularly suffered from the
ioned society in the east of the region, connecting severe artificially caused Holodomor (the famine)
it to the culture of the vast expanses of northern in 1932-3 that claimed millions of lives and whose
Eurasia. The southwest of Eastern Europe bordered social, psychological and demographical conse-
the Byzantine and Ottoman spheres of influence. quences still influence the country. In the light of
this troubled past, the transition away from the
The region’s borderline position has determined Soviet system was remarkably peaceful, particu-
its many specific features. Neighbouring cultures larly considering the difficulty of accomplishing
deeply penetrated and influenced Eastern Euro- social, political and economic change on shrink-
pean societies, shaping contrasting developmen- ing resources.
tal orientations. Eastern European lands changed
hands many times in history and in some periods When the Soviet Union disintegrated in 1991, Be-
they were split between Western and Eastern pow- larus, Moldova and Ukraine urgently needed to
ers. This happened, for example, in the 17th and modernise their economy to meet the new chal-
18th century when Ukrainian land on the left bank lenges of international competition, but lacked the
of the Dnieper belonged to Russia and on the right resources (particularly private capital) necessary
bank – to the Kingdom of Poland with the sovereign for the task. They also had to rise to the challenge
Ukrainian-Kozak state in the southeast of the coun- of reconstructing state bodies, often aspiring to
try. In the 19th century Western Ukraine was part of Western political models but building on what
the Austro-Hungarian Empire, whereas the rest of remained of a Soviet republic’s government. In
modern Ukraine belonged to the Russian Empire. Moldova this task was further complicated by the
The Ukraine People’s Republic (1918-22) and Bela- Transnistrian conflict, whereas in Ukraine and Be-
rusian People’s Republic (1918-19) were important larus the Chernobyl legacy hampered transforma-
milestones for sovereignty in the history of both tion. Moreover, in contrast to Central Europe and
countries. Later, in the 1920s and 1930s Eastern the Baltic states, Eastern Europe had to undertake
Ukraine and Belarus were part of the Soviet Union its reforms without the major stimulus of possi-
and consequently underwent rapid collectivisation ble EU membership and correspondingly mas-
and industrialisation, whereas Western Ukraine and sive technical and financial support. The situation
Belarus were part of the Polish Republic. Moldo- has not been made easier by the fact that various
va, except Transnistria, was part of Romania. This players – neighbours, other influential states and
complicated the search for national identity and led supranational organisations – often have had di-
to a duality of national cultures and national “po- vergent views on the desirable future of Eastern
litical projects” attempting to strike a balance be- Europe.
18 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
EU Neighbourhood Policy
ian law with EU regulations. The EU and Moldova
The Neighbourhood Policy emphasises politi- have also agreed on an Action Plan that provides
cal and economic interdependence between for closer links between the two, a more active
the Union and its immediate neighbours (East- role for the EU in settling the Transnistrian con-
ern Europe and South Mediterranean) with flict, and promotion of sustainable development in
which the enlarged EU will have “important Moldova, among others. The EU has signed part-
shared interest in working together to tackle nership and cooperation agreements with all three
transboundary threats – from terrorism to countries in the region, although the agreement
air-borne pollution”. The goal of the Policy is with Belarus has not come into force.
“to avoid drawing new dividing lines in Eu-
rope and to promote stability and prosperity The environment is a high priority for the Neigh-
within and beyond the new borders of the bourhood Policy, which states that environmental
Union”. protection “can help to avoid conflicts over scarce
resources” and urges regional cooperation on en-
The Policy has been actively applied to Ukraine, vironmental issues. In 2006 the EU announced
and, increasingly, Moldova. After 2004, rela- that it would allocate €1.6 million to environmental
tions between Ukraine and the EU became sustainability projects in border municipalities in
closer, and they have now signed an EU- Belarus, Moldova, Ukraine, Russia and Georgia.
Ukraine Action Plan that envisages continued
democratisation in Ukraine; enhanced security Source: European Commission 2004;
europa.eu.int/comm/world/enp/index_en.htm for links to all aspects of
cooperation ; and approximation of Ukrain- the EU Neighbourhood Policy. The Economist, 26 October 2006
20 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
l
Vo
Baltic
va
Moscow
Sea Klaipeda
LITHUANIA ina
per
. Dv
Zap
Dnie
Kaliningrad
Vitebsk Smolensk
RUSSIA
Vilnius
Minsk RUSSIA
Mogilev
Grodno
an
Nem
Bryansk
BELARUS
Soligorsk Zhlobin
Warsaw Brest
Gomel
POLAND Kursk
Pripyat Voronezh
Chernihiv
na
Lublin Chernobyl Des
Sumy
Do
Lutsk
n
Rivne Kyiv
Zhytomyr Kharkiv
Lviv
Ternopil Poltava
UKRAINE
SLOVAK Cherkasy
Ivano- Khmelnitskyi Vinnitsya Siv
REP. Frankivsk . D
Kremenchuk onets
Uzhhorod Dni Piv Dn Luhansk
es iep
Chernivtsi t er d. Kirovohrad er Dnipropetrovsk
Bu
HUNGARY h
Donetsk
Pr
Zaporizhzhia
ut
a Rostov-
z
Sir
Berdyansk on-Don
et
Constanta
Danub
Black Sea 0 100 200 km
e BULGARIA
Sources: State Committee for Land Resources, Geodesy and Cartography. National Atlas of Belarus. Minsk 2002; State Committee for Natural
Resources. Integrated Atlas of Ukraine. Kyiv 2005; Moscow Ethnographic Institute, 1995 in Marin C. Atlas des minorités européennes. Paris 2005;
Rekacewicz P. in Atlas du Monde Diplomatique, Paris 2006.
THE MAP DOES NOT IMPLY THE EXPRESSION OF ANY OPINION ON THE PART OF ENVSEC PARTNER ORGANISATIONS CONCERNING
THE LEGAL STATUS OF ANY COUNTRY, TERRITORY, CITY OR AREA OF ITS AUTHORITY, OR DELINEATION OF ITS FRONTIERS AND
BOUNDARIES.
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 21
Population evolution
Millions Millions Millions
53 10.3 4.6
Ukraine Belarus Moldova
52 10.2 4.5
51 10.1 4.4
50 10.0 4.3
49 9.9 4.2
48 9.8 4.1
47 9.7 4.0
2007 2007
0 0 0
1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005
Note: The vertical scale for each graph is different. UNEP/GRID-Arendal, May 2007.
Source: World Bank. Development Indicators database (www.worldbank.org); CIS-STAT. Population data for 2006-2007 (www.cisstat.com).
Economic restructuring has consequently not de- Other serious, in some cases severe, problems
livered on its promise of universally higher living include the spread of HIV/AIDS and tuberculo-
standards and political stability. The decline in sis. The rate of increase in HIV/AIDS infections
agricultural production contributed to increased in the region is among the highest in the world,
poverty and further deterioration in the basic in- though significant differences between the
frastructure of rural areas in all three countries. countries have been reported. Ukraine, with an
Social problems have also become more acute adult infection rate of 1.4%, is the hardest hit
in some heavily industrialised regions. In certain country in Europe (UNAIDS 2005). The govern-
cases this has coincided with tension and conflict. ments of the three countries are making a con-
Here again, the most striking example is Transnis- siderable effort to attract international attention
tria, home to almost all Moldovan industry with and obtain assistance in addressing this seri-
traditionally strong ties to the former Soviet eco- ous problem.
nomic space. Another example of a region suf-
fering from economic restructuring is the heavily Coping with these difficulties requires effective,
industrialised Donbas region in Ukraine where resourceful and committed state government.
economic and social problems mesh with issues However, government bodies in the region are not
of environmental and energy security. always able to implement reform of social welfare,
health care and education. They themselves are
The economic and social problems of rural and often in need of reform, to effectively deal with
heavily industrialised areas are aggravated by public sector corruption, for example17.
demographic trends, severely affected by the de-
clining birth rate, now below the replacement level As already pointed out, internal and external se-
in all three countries. The populations of Ukraine curity challenges are closely linked. On the one
and Belarus will shrink significantly, with Ukraine hand internal weaknesses increase vulnerability
expected to lose 9 to 15 million people over the to external threats, and on the other hand exter-
next 50 years (see population figure). Outgoing nal pressures often shape economic and political
labour migration makes the situation even worse, reforms with their social, environmental and other
hitting Moldova particularly hard, with an estimat- security repercussions. Energy, among other is-
ed 600,000 to 1,000,000 Moldovans (i.e. 40% of sues, is at the core of both internal and external
the active population) working abroad. security challenges in the region.
24 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
Ocean
55°N
NORWAY
RUSSIA
North ESTONIA
Sea SWEDEN
a
IRELAND
Se
DENMARK
LATVIA
c
UNITED
THE lti
KINGDOM
NETHERLANDS Ba LITHUANIA
50°N RUSSIA BELARUS
POLAND
BELGIUM GERMANY
Chernobyl
FRANCE CZECH REP.
45°N
SLOVAK REP.
SWITZERLAND
UKRAINE
AUSTRIA
HUNGARY ROMANIA MOLDOVA
SLOVENIA
CROATIA
SPAIN ITALY
40°N
Black Sea
0 500 km
35°N GREECE
Med
iterran
ean Sea
Map by UNEP/GRID-Arendal, May 2007.
Source: European Commission, Joint Research Center, Environment Institute; Institute of Global Climate and Ecology (Moscow); Roshydromet
(Russia); Minchernobyl (Ukraine); Belhydromet (Belarus). Atlas of Caesium Deposition on Europe after the Chernobyl Accident.1998.
THE MAP DOES NOT IMPLY THE EXPRESSION OF ANY OPINION ON THE PART OF ENVSEC PARTNER ORGANISATIONS CONCERNING THE LEGAL STATUS OF ANY COUNTRY,
TERRITORY, CITY OR AREA OF ITS AUTHORITY, OR DELINEATION OF ITS FRONTIERS AND BOUNDARIES.
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 25
The accident involving reactor meltdown and 2003 exceeded $13 billion. Apart from direct health
massive release of radioactivity occurred on 26 impacts, the social problems of Chernobyl in Be-
April 1986 at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant larus are related to the loss of rural livelihoods and
situated seven kilometres south of the Ukraine- outward migration by the qualified workforce, cou-
Belarus border, at the confluence of the Pripyat pled with inward migration by people who usually
and Dnieper rivers. Radioactive fallout affected have economic or social difficulties elsewhere. With
not only Ukraine and Belarus, but also nearby a significant amount of farming land in the areas of
Russia and countries as far away as Sweden major fallout still unsuitable for cultivation, develop-
and the UK. The Soviet authorities initially tried ment is a challenge, especially for small towns ac-
to conceal the true extent of the disaster, but commodating migrants from local rural communities
then made unprecedented (and sometimes mis- and from the outside of the region (e.g. to Belarus
guided) efforts to mitigate its consequences. from Central Asia). In Ukraine, about 6.7 million hec-
After the collapse of the Soviet Union the bur- tares of land have been contaminated by radioactive
den of dealing with the catastrophe fell mainly fallout from Chernobyl and more than 3 million peo-
on Ukraine and Belarus, two much smaller and ple live on contaminated land.
newly independent states which did not have
anything approaching adequate means to deal The current level of government expenditure on
with the awful legacy. compensatory payments is hardly sustainable.
Meanwhile the direct health consequences have
In Ukraine, more than 350,000 inhabitants were slowly given way to longer-term social marginalisa-
resettled from over 2,000 locations in the con- tion of the affected areas, and a number of national
taminated zone. Several million others have lived and international initiatives now focus on economic
on contaminated land since 1986. Between 5% rehabilitation of the affected areas, ranging from
and 7% of the state budget of Ukraine is cur- traditional direct support to structural attempts to
rently spent mitigating the consequences of move the burden of recovery and development from
Chernobyl whereas in the early 1990s this fig- states to communities and individuals. The 2002
ure was up to 10% and the total expenditure in Report to the UN General Assembly (UNDP and
1991-2005 amounted to about $7 billion UNICEF 2002) characterised the situation in the af-
fected communities as a “downward spiral” of dete-
In Belarus radioactive contamination has af- riorating health, declining well-being and increasing
fected about a fifth of the territory and a sixth environmental hazards. It identified numerous forms
of all agricultural land. The cost to the economy of interaction between environmental contamina-
is estimated as the equivalent of 32 to 35 times tion, halted economic development, and the health
the state budget in 1985. In 1991 Belarus spent and social crisis. This was further elaborated in 2005
about 22% of its national budget on Chernobyl in material submitted by the inter-agency Chernobyl
remediation measures. The figure dropped to Forum, also endorsed by the UN General Assembly
6% in 2002 and is now about 3%. Total spend- in 2006. The latter reports prompted a controversial
ing by Belarus on Chernobyl between 1991 and international response, regarding its alleged under-
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 27
estimate of the direct health impacts of radiation18 of agricultural products problematic even if the
and its excessive emphasis on psychological ef- level of radioactive soil contamination substan-
fects, fostering the misleading impression that the tially decreases.
impacts of Chernobyl were largely imaginary and
could be cured through some sort of or psychologi- The situation requires continued scientific re-
cal help or social adaptation. search and observation to minimise the impact
of radiation and support safe socio-economic
Radioactive pollution is still a concern in Chernobyl- development of affected areas. On the Bela-
affected areas. Whereas radioactive caesium and rus side the most severely contaminated areas
strontium, still widespread, are decaying, the pluto- are part of the Polesskiy Radiation-Ecological
nium will stay in the environment much longer. (Plu- Reserve which monitors radiation, the environ-
tonium was deposited in a much smaller area, but ment, flora and fauna. On the Ukrainian side, the
is much more harmful if it enters the body.) There evacuated territories are managed by a special
are substantial risks of transboundary spread of administration which conducts more diverse
contamination: radioactive caesium and strontium management tasks but is not responsible for
are transported by the Pripyat river from Belarus to scientific observations. Scientific research in
Ukraine and influence contamination levels in Ukrain- the Chernobyl “zone” is conducted by the Cher-
ian rivers. Plutonium, although insoluble in water, is nobyl centre for issues of nuclear security, ra-
carried away in dust and soot from recurrent forest dioactive waste and radio-ecology. For the time
and peat fires, in suspended solid particles during being there is little direct research cooperation
floods, and even in migrating wild animals (the wild- between these authorities of the two countries.
life population has substantially increased recently
due to protection in part of the heavily polluted area, In the course of remediation work, a substantial
obliging animals to look for food elsewhere, often amount of radioactive materials and contami-
being hunted by local residents). Some plutonium nated equipment accumulated in the evacuated
isotopes decay into a more harmful, poorly stud- and adjacent near-border areas. This, along with
ied isotope, americium, the concentration of which widely discussed plans to build a storage facility
is consequently increasing. Contamination of the for radioactive spent fuel from Ukrainian nuclear
most severely affected areas is very uneven (with a industry beside the Chernobyl power plant itself,
ten-fold variation over a few metres) and constantly adds yet another dimension to the problem.
changing. In forests (including wildlife) and closed
water bodies such as small humic lakes, radioactiv- Sources: UNDP and UNICEF (2002), Nesterenko et al. (2002); The
Chernobyl Forum (2005) and the TORCH Report (Farlie and Sum-
ity is expected to stay for decades, perhaps centu- ner 2006). Various other reports from the IAEA site at www-ns.iaea.
ries. The issue of using less severely polluted areas org/appraisals/chernobyl.htm. Other publications discussing the
health side of Chernobyl include: the International communication
for farming is further complicated by the fact that platform at http://chernobyl.info/ website which includes e.g. SDC
poor peat soils (e.g. in northern Ukraine) are gener- (2006); Tourbe (2006); Boos (2006). Numerous official publications
ally characterised by a very high transfer rate of ra- on Chernobyl were released to mark the twentieth anniversary of
the disaster in April 2006, e.g. Comchernobyl (2006); TESEC (2006);
dionuclides from soil to plants. This makes the use Shevchuk and Gurachevsky (2006); Baloga (2006).
28 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
Ignalina Novopolotsk
r
Dniepe
Polotsk Vitebsk
Kaliningrad 0 100 200 km
RUSSIA
Vilnius Smolensk
Mogilev RUSSIA
Grodno
BELARUS Minsk
Lublin Chernobyl
Lutsk Sumy
Rivne
Lviv Brody Kyiv
Dn
iep Kharkiv
Ternopil er
SLOVAK Poltava
Khmelnitskyi
REP.
Ivano-Frankivsk
Kremenchuk Luhansk
Debrecen
MOLDOVA Yuzhnoukrainsk Rostov-
Chisinau Berdyansk on-Don
Cluj-
Napoca ROMANIA Tiraspol Mykolaiv
Kherson
Dnestrovsc
Odesa Sea of
Azov Krasnodar
Brasov Beleu
Giurgiulesti
Simferopol Feodosiya
Bucharest RUSSIA
Sevastopol Novorossiysk
Danub Constanta
e
Black Sea
BULGARIA Map by UNEP/GRID-Arendal, May 2007.
Sources: INCOTEC. Oil, gas and product pipelines of Russia and nearby states and Atlas. Fuel-energy complex of Russia XXI. Moscow 2006;
Lecarpentier A. Underground gas storage in the world, CEDIGAZ, 2006; Belarus State University. Atlas of Belarus Geography. Minsk 2005; State Committee
for Land Resources, Geodesy and Cartography. National Atlas of Belarus. Minsk 2002; Botnaru V. and O. Kazantseva. Republic of Moldova. Atlas. Chisinau
2005; State Committee for Natural Resources. Integrated Atlas of Ukraine. Kyiv 2005. ENVSEC consultations 2006-7.
THE MAP DOES NOT IMPLY THE EXPRESSION OF ANY OPINION ON THE PART OF ENVSEC PARTNER ORGANISATIONS CONCERNING THE LEGAL STATUS OF ANY
COUNTRY, TERRITORY, CITY OR AREA OF ITS AUTHORITY, OR DELINEATION OF ITS FRONTIERS AND BOUNDARIES.
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 29
Imported energy is important to fuel economic in Moldova (Fankhauser and Tepic 2005). Raising
development, particularly energy-hungry heavy in- tariffs to cost-recovery levels may render heat and
dustry, such as machine building and steel produc- electricity virtually unaffordable for many.
tion in Ukraine and fertiliser and chemical produc-
tion in Belarus. Refining of oil products in Mozyr Throughout the difficult 1990s, the energy supply
and Novopolotsk used to be a key sector in the in Eastern Europe remained relatively secure due
Belarus economy (Balmaceda 2006), but profits to the slowdown in industrial activity and substan-
may drop substantially after Russia imposed tariffs tially under-priced imports of oil and gas from Rus-
on the export of oil to Belarus in January 2007. The sia and Central Asia. Recently energy demand in
survival of much of the metallurgy and machine- the region has reached and surpassed the 1991
building industry in the Donbas depends directly level at the same time as the world oil prices have
on a cheap, secure supply of natural gas currently increased dramatically. Russia, for its part, has
imported from Russia, or on finding an alternative started a reappraisal of the political and economic
such as electricity from Ukraine’s domestic power costs and benefits of providing indirect energy sub-
sources. Most of heavy industries were inherited sidies. These factors are forcing the three countries
from the Soviet Union and are often located in en- to urgently rethink their energy supply options.
vironmentally and socially stressed areas, while
forming the mainstay of the existing economy. It The need is so pressing that Belarus and Ukraine
may not be economically feasible to restructure are turning to nuclear power to solve their energy
them to improve energy security. Moreover such problems. Belarus plans to build a domestic nu-
industry is socially (and politically) important, as clear power plant by 2015, while the Energy Strat-
it constitutes the main source of work in densely egy adopted by Ukraine proposes new nuclear
populated areas with a poorly diversified econo- reactors and extending the service life of existing
my. ones. This raises obvious technological challenges
locating reactors and finding adequate water re-
There are many other ways in which energy is linked sources for cooling, particularly in Ukraine which
to social and ultimately political issues. Even with is already short of water in many areas. But the
current tariffs often below cost-recovery levels, deployment of nuclear power is also associated
heat and electricity bills are a burden for poor peo- with various security challenges ranging from en-
ple. In 2003 utility bills (primarily electricity) rep- forcement of non-proliferation to concerns about
resented 37% of an average pensioner’s income terrorism, the operation of reactors and radioac-
Energy
(in)dependence
External
and global
environmental
Domestic energy resources impacts
(supply, production, transportation)
Energy
needs
OR
W
E
COU F TH
NTRY - REGION
TO
RES
UNEP/GRID-Arendal, May 2007.
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 31
tive waste disposal (Rosenkrantz 2006). In addi- The Chernobyl disaster is the foremost, though by
tion it may aggravate social and political tensions, no means the only, example of the region’s major
already reflected in the hostile response by Ukrain- environmental problems, largely associated with
ian NGOs, opposed to plans to expand the nuclear past disregard for the environment and the rapid
power base23. On the other hand Ukraine and Be- industrialisation and modernisation of the USSR.
larus are determined to increase energy efficiency Much of this legacy did not receive sufficient at-
and implement cleaner energy technologies. tention during the difficult transition years, when
declining living standards, and political and eco-
The need to increase energy independence has nomic instability took precedence over environ-
focused fresh attention on the coal sector which mental issues. The transition and recent economic
currently provides up to a half of all energy, and recovery created new environmental challenges,
fuels up to a quarter of electricity production in many of which interact with security issues at the
Ukraine. Belarus also has substantial deposits of local, regional and national level.
brown coal. The importance of coal to the region Major environmental problems inherited from the
could potentially increase, but would require major Soviet era are often located in and around large
capital investment. Much as nuclear power it could industrial centres. This is a result of intensive in-
result in significant environmental risks though new dustrialisation in compact areas, inefficient use of
technologies may ensure cleaner (albeit more ex- energy and natural resources, and disregard for
pensive) coal-based energy generation. Other do- local environmental concerns. Air and water pol-
mestic energy supply options, such as hydropower lution, accompanied by degradation of the land-
or using wood and other bio-fuels are associated scape and ecosystems, is acute industrial zones in
with environmental, social and security impacts Ukraine and Belarus. The wetland areas of Polesie
too (e.g. the impact of newly-built hydropower fa- in southern Belarus are another type of territory
cilities on downstream areas). under stress, intensive drainage and deforestation
carried out to recover land for farming having dam-
Whatever the strategic choices, restructuring of aged ecosystems and ultimately caused a drop
the energy sector in Eastern Europe will continue, in agricultural productivity. Serious environmen-
and will have a major impact on the economy and tal degradation also threatens the ecosystems of
social stability as well as the state of the environ- the Carpathian mountains and the Azov and Black
ment. As long as the key lessons of Chernobyl re- seas.
main on the agenda, these impacts need to be fully
understood and integrated into policy-making. Environmental degradation often goes hand-in-
hand with the declining health of local people.
This overlaps with more recent economic and
social problems which have often hit hardest the
very same heavily industrialised areas that have
the most serious environmental problems. In turn
social and economic difficulties shift attention and
resources away from the environment, further ag-
gravating the situation and creating a vicious circle
that poses an additional threat to social stability.
restrict economic development to designated are- with Kyiv hosting the fifth Ministerial meeting in
as resulted in a specific patchwork of environmen- 2003. Progress in drafting modern environmen-
tal degradation. The remaining wilderness areas tal legislation has been boosted by the coun-
have significant potential for nature conservation tries’ commitment (particularly for Ukraine and
and tourism. Moldova) to bring environmental norms in line
with EU directives.
While some forms of environmental damage were
reduced during the transition, others became At the same time, environmental bodies in the
much worse. The positive effects of transition in- region are still generally weak compared to their
cluded improved resource efficiency resulting in Western and Central European counterparts (re-
more realistic pricing of natural resources, new flected, in particular, in the relatively low Envi-
foreign and domestic investment in cleaner tech- ronmental Sustainability Index scores of all three
nologies, and a cutback in subsidies for heavy countries cited in the Internal security section).
(particularly military) industry. On the down side, Institutional development is particularly ham-
deregulation associated with market liberalisa- pered by the insufficient priority given to the en-
tion resulted in laxer environmental controls. The vironment by the political agenda and mass me-
economic and political difficulties distracted the dia. Global environmental issues such as climate
attention of the public and policy-makers from en- change, biodiversity conservation and unsustain-
vironmental issues. The increasing focus of busi- able consumption attract little public attention. At
ness on profit-making encouraged more intensive the same time environmental problems causing
exploitation of natural resources. Environmental direct health, social or economic impacts (con-
degradation around large industrial facilities was tamination by hazardous substances, safety of
often made worse by chronic underinvestment in water or land degradation) continue to generate
their maintenance. In addition, trade liberalisation significant public interest.
in some cases resulted in shifts towards more pol-
lution and resource-intensive industries (Cherp et While a detailed picture of the environment in the
al. 2003). The all-pervading commercial propagan- three countries may be found in the specialist lit-
da that accompanied the rise of market economies erature, including regular publications by national
strengthened consumerist behaviour among those environmental authorities24, this report focuses
fortunate enough to be able to consume. on specific environment-security interactions
(see map). For the region as a whole these may
Strong, dynamically adaptive environmental be summarised under the three themes identified
protection agencies are needed to tackle this in the first chapter:
legacy and meet new challenges. Substantial
progress in this field has been achieved in all Security implications of environmental prob-
three countries, particularly in view of the fact lems. Environmental problems often compound
that at independence even the ministries in external security tensions and worsen internal
charge of environmental protection were barely security challenges in Eastern Europe. Of partic-
functional. In addition to progress at home, the ular concern are environmental hazards concen-
three countries have played a remarkable part in trated along national borders (including the bor-
international agreements (see table) and Europe- ders with the EU, Russia and borders between
an processes, such as Environment for Europe, the three countries). Environmental hazards and
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 33
Country
BY MD UA LT LV PL SL HU RO RU
Convention / protocol*
UNECE conventions
Long-range transboundary air pollu-
R R R R R R R R R R
tion (CLRTAP)
Persistent organic pollutants R S R S A R R
Heavy metals R S R R S A R R
Environmental impact assessment in
A R R a a R R R R
a transboundary context (Espoo)
Strategic environmental assessment
S S S S S S S S
(SEA)**
Transboundary effects of industrial
R R R R R R R R R
accidents (TEIA)
Access to information, public partic-
AA R R R R R R R R
ipation and justice (Aarhus)
Pollutant release and transfer registers
S S S S S S R
(PRTR)**
Protection and use of transboundary
R R R R R R R R R R
waters (Helsinki)
Water and health** R R R R S R R R R
Civil liability S S S S S R S
Other international conventions
Transboundary movements and dis-
A a A a a R d AA a R
posal of hazardous waste (Basel)
Protection of biological diversity
R R R R R R AA R R R
(BD)
Persistent organic pollutants (Stoc-
A R S S R S R S R S
kholm)
Wetlands of International Importance
R R R R R R R R R R
(Ramsar)
l
Vo
Baltic
va
Sea Moscow
Klaipeda
Ignalina
LITHUANIA ina
per
. Dv
Zap
Dnie
Kaliningrad
Vitebsk Smolensk
RUSSIA
Vilnius
Smolenskaya
Minsk RUSSIA
Grodno Mogilev
an
Nem Bryansk
BELARUS Polesie
Soligorsk Zhlobin
Warsaw Brest
Pripyat Gomel
POLAND Kursk Voronezh
Rivnenska Chernihiv
na Kurskaya
Lublin Chernobyl Des Novovoronezhskaya
Sumy
Do
West-Ukrainian Lutsk
n
industrial areas and
Carpathian Mountains Rivne Zhytomyr
Khmelnitska Kyiv Kharkiv
Lviv
Ternopil Poltava Donbas and adjacent areas
UKRAINE
SLOVAK Cherkasy
Ivano- Khmelnitskyi Vinnitsya Siv
REP. Frankivsk Kremenchuk . Don
Dn ets
Uzhhorod Dnieste iep Luhansk
r Pi er Dnipropetrovsk
vd Kirovohrad
Chernivtsi . B Donetsk
HUNGARY uh
MOLDOVA Lower Zaporizhzhia
Debrecen Balti Dniester and Pivdennoukrainska
Tis
a Transnistria Rostov-
z
Pr
Berdyansk on-Don
ut
Zaporizka
Tiraspol Mykolaiv
Cluj-Napoca Chisinau
Odesa Kherson RUSSIA
Sir
Sea of
et
Gagauzia
ROMANIA Azov
Brasov
Tuzla Island Krasnodar
Lower Danube Zmiinyi Island Simferopol
Sevastopol Crimea
Bucharest
Constanta
Danub Black Sea 0 100 200 km
Kozloduy e BULGARIA
Map by UNEP/GRID-Arendal, May 2007.
1
Areas under environmental stress Past / current (frozen) conflicts
Notes: 1 - Medium to high stress according to national indices of environmental conditions. 2 - Caesium-137 activity above 555 kBq/m2.
3 - Shown only outside of areas under medium to strong environmental stress.
Sources: Belarus State University. Atlas of Belarus Geography. Minsk 2005; State Committee for Land Resources, Geodesy and Cartography. National Atlas of
Belarus. Minsk 2002; Botnaru V. and O. Kazantseva. Republic of Moldova. Atlas. Chisinau 2005; State Committee for Natural Resources. Integrated Atlas of Ukraine.
Kyiv 2005. Baloga V.I. (ed.) 20 Years after Chornobyl Catastrophe. National Report of Ukraine. Kyiv 2006; Shevchuk V.E. and V.L. Gurashevsky (eds.) 20 Years
after the Chernobyl Catastrophe. National Report. Minsk 2006; Ministry of Environment Protection of Ukraine. On-line environmental maps (www.menr.gov.ua);
ENVSEC consultations 2006-7.
THE MAP DOES NOT IMPLY THE EXPRESSION OF ANY OPINION ON THE PART OF ENVSEC PARTNER ORGANISATIONS CONCERNING THE
LEGAL STATUS OF ANY COUNTRY, TERRITORY, CITY OR AREA OF ITS AUTHORITY, OR DELINEATION OF ITS FRONTIERS AND BOUNDARIES.
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 35
issues of access to natural resources, involving able to focus such cooperation on environmental
several countries (joint management of trans- issues directly related to health, economic and
boundary basins of all major rivers of the region, social well-being.
seas and border areas) or caused by a lack of
resources in an individual country (e.g., land in Environmental implications of security meas-
Crimea) also deserve serious attention. ures. Changing the pattern of military presence
(for example, closing or restructuring foreign or
Improving security through environmental domestic military bases) has major environmen-
cooperation. The openness and dynamism of tal implications, particularly associated with the
the three countries’ environmental institutions clean-up of abandoned military sites. Improving
provides for far-reaching environmental coopera- border security can contribute to nature conser-
tion in Eastern Europe. Such cooperation – be- vation and environmental cooperation, or hinder
tween the states themselves, at home and with both. Similarly, most effective solutions to energy
their eastern and western neighbours – can al- security problems have significant environmental
leviate tension and bolster the region as a bridge dimensions.
between the EU and Russia. Cooperation on en-
vironmentally sustainable development in envi- In specific national and local contexts these generic
ronment and security priority areas can alleviate patterns unfold into series of unique relationships,
internal security challenges too. Given the cur- discussed and illustrated in the three sections of
rent political and public priorities it is often advis- the next chapter with respect to each country.
36 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
ritories of compact settlement of minorities though Belarus imports and 36% of exports. Other impor-
Poles tend to concentrate in the northwest, Rus- tant trade partners are EU countries and Ukraine
sians in the northeast and Ukrainians in the south. (3% of imports in 2004: Минстат РБ 2006). The
In recent years there has been substantial immi- current account deficit of Belarus was estimated at
gration from Central Asia, Caucasus and parts of more than $1 billion in 2004, 2005 and 2006 which
the former USSR. was respectively -4.6%, -3.7% and -3.4% of GDP
(IMF 2007).
Belarus is an important crossroad of east-west and
north-south transport, communication and energy Security issues and priorities
routes in Europe. For example, it is crossed by the
Paris - Brussels - Warsaw - Minsk - Moscow trans- Belarus believes its external security is based on
European corridor, which includes railway lines good relations with all neighbouring countries (the
and roads, communication lines and facilities as so-called “good neighbourhood belt”: МИД РБ
well as oil and gas pipelines (in particular, Belarus 2006). At the same time it considers Russia as
transports about 20% of the Russian natural gas its main strategic partner and guarantor of mili-
exports to Central and Western Europe). Other key tary security. Russia and Belarus are linked by a
communication corridors crossing Belarus include number of political (the “Union State”), economic
the Saint-Petersburg - Vitebsk - Gomel - Kyiv - (the common customs zone), and defence agree-
Odesa and Helsinki - Tallinn - Riga - Vilnius - Minsk ments. An important factor in security of Belarus is
- Kyiv routes. its membership of the Russian-led Collective Se-
curity Treaty. Belarus is a leading participant in the
Apart from deposits of potassium salt, common Eurasian Economic Community (EurAsEC) of six
salt, peat and some brown coal, Belarus’ own former Soviet countries which it chaired in 2006
mineral and energy resources are rather limited. (БелТА 2006). Under these treaties and several bi-
About half of Belarus is covered by forest and wet- lateral agreements, Belarus has developed strong
land. Most of the rest is used for farming, which military cooperation with Russia, including joint
accounts for about one-fifth of economic output. military exercises and air defence systems.
Fertiliser manufacture (including production based
on domestic potassium salts) is one of the key in- At the official level, Belarus’ relationships with the
dustrial branches alongside refining of oil products European Union including its closest neighbours
(imported from Russia). Other important industrial Latvia, Lithuania and Poland have been quite
sectors include mechanical and chemical manu- frosty in the last decade. Tension has centred on
facturing. Belarus is a leading producer of tractors, criticism by the EU and its member states of demo-
heavy trucks, artificial fibres, plastics and mineral cratic institutions in Belarus. As a result the ratifi-
fertilisers among former Soviet republics. The tim- cation process of the Belarus-EU Partnership and
ber industry has also been expanding in recent Cooperation Agreement has been frozen by the EU
years. since 1997. For its part Belarus repeatedly accuses
the EU and some of its members of interfering in
Belarus’ economy has made a vigorous recovery its internal affairs. However some European Neigh-
from the decline of the early 1990s. According to bourhood Policy programmes are open for par-
the national Ministry for Statistics and Information, ticipation by Belarus26. Moreover the EU is a major
in 2005 the GDP exceeded the 1990 figure by al- trade partner of Belarus. Economic cooperation
most 27% and the 1995 figure by 94% whereas the between Belarus, Latvia and Lithuania is especially
annual growth rate was roughly 8%. This recovery important as these countries provide sea ports for
was primarily based on industrial growth (increase the export of mineral fertilisers and other Belaru-
by 226% between 1995 and 2005). GDP per capita sian products (МИД РБ 2006).
in 2006 was $7,716 – the fifth largest in the CIS,
but only 50-70% of that in the neighbouring EU Washington is also critical of the Belarusian au-
countries25. In 2005 Russia accounted for 61% of thorities, a position exemplified by the Belarus
38 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
Democracy Act of 2004, which was extended at including on two rivers that cross national borders:
the end of 2006 (US Congress 2004). In the face of the Neman river flowing into Lithuania, and the Z.
such tense relations with the EU and the US, Minsk Dvina / Daugava river flowing to Latvia (Беларусь
has sought other economic and political partners 2005). The government is also considering plans
in various other regions of the world27. to build a domestic nuclear power plant by 2015,
Finally Belarusian-Ukrainian relations are rooted considering in particular potential sites in Mogilev
in common cultures and economic interests, al- oblast (a similar project was already under way in
though the Orange Revolution and the rapproche- the 1980s and 1990s, but was shelved following
ment between Ukraine and the EU have resulted in the Chernobyl accident, with a ten-year morato-
divergences in the positions of the two countries in rium recommended by a government commission
relation to a number of issues. in 1999: UNECE 2005a). These plans will need to
take into account concern, at home and abroad,
At the time of its independence Belarus pos- regarding economic and technical feasibility, and
sessed one of the largest stocks of conventional the safety of new nuclear power facilities29.
armaments in Europe and was the world’s sixth
nuclear power. It had about 200 military bases, by Environment and security challenges
some estimates occupying about 10% of its land
(Пимошенко 2001, 2002; ПРООН 1995). Reforms The Concept of National Security of Belarus30 fo-
over the 15 years have substantially reduced the cuses on both external and internal security issues.
size of its forces, with strategic nuclear weapons It directly refers to environmental problems such as
being withdrawn from Belarus territory by 1996. global climate change, transboundary transport of
Russia still has military bases in Belarus. pollution and the risk of serious accidents at indus-
trial facilities located in Belarus and other countries
As already mentioned, energy is a major security is- close to Belarus borders, land degradation and ra-
sue for Belarus. Internal resources only cover 15% to dioactive contamination resulting from the Cherno-
18% of national needs. Renewable energy (hydraulic byl fallout (discussed in the previous chapter).
and wind power) currently account for about 1% of
total electricity production. The mainstay of the ex- Having a number of major river basins shared
isting energy system is oil and natural gas imported with neighbouring countries, Belarus pays special
from Russia, and, to a lesser extent, electricity pur- attention to transboundary cooperation in the field
chased from Lithuania and Russia. Several factors, of management and protection of water resources,
including the likelihood of Russia joining the World including surface waters (in the Z. Dvina, Neman,
Trade Organization, its growing demand for energy, Pripyat - Dnieper, and Z. Bug river basins) and
and the commercial interests of its main producer, groundwater (e.g. an extensive Mesozoic aquifer
Gazprom, have already led to increases and may system shared with Poland and Ukraine) resourc-
push the price of Belarus energy imports further up es. Of special importance is joint management of
in the near future28. It is consequently a top national the Z. Dvina and Dnieper water resources due to
priority to find new sources of energy at home. the economic significance of these rivers.
The government’s Energy Programme (Беларусь All major rivers of Belarus receive wastewater from
2005) aims to increase energy production from do- industries and municipal sewage systems, with
mestic sources and decrease the energy intensity the biggest impact downstream from Minsk on the
of the economy. The current goal is to replace up Svisloch river, a tributary of Berezina and ultimately
to 25% of imported energy sources with domes- the Dnieper. The Dnieper itself receives wastewa-
tic ones (peat, brown coal, small hydraulic power ter downstream from Mogilev. But there are sig-
units, etc), including up to 10% from bio-fuels (pri- nificant threats to the water quality of other rivers
marily wood), and reduce the energy intensity of too. For example the Z. Dvina / Daugava supplies
GDP by 25% in 2005-10. Belarus’ location on a most of the drinking water for Riga, the capital of
watershed, with flat country on either side, limits Latvia, yet at the same time it is saddled with some
the potential of hydraulic power. Nevertheless sev- of the most dangerous facilities in Belarus industry:
eral hydro-power stations are currently planned, Novopolotsk refineries and chemical plants.
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 39
Dau
0 50 100 km Krasny
Daugavplis
g
Bor Sinsha
av
a
Drysviaty
Lake
Novopolotsk
LITHUANIA Ignalina Braslav Kozianskiy RUSSIA
Lakes
Polotsk
Za
p.
Glubokoye ina Vitebsk
Dv
Sarochanskiye Postavy
Lakes
Smolensk
Narochanskiy Babinovichskiy
Novolukoml
Orsha
Vilnius a
Vil Tolochin
Dnieper
Gorki
Borisov
Molodechno
B er e z
n Bykhov
Kolosovo
Stolbtsy Marina
in a
Gorka
POLAND Bobruysk Rogachev
Slonim Baranovichi
Slutsk
Belovezhskaya Zhlobin
Pushcha
Soligorsk
Svetlogorsk
Pruzhany
O L E
Pribugskoye P S Rechitsa
Polesie Gomel
Dnie
Middle Pripyat I
Kobryn pe Pinsk Petrikov
Brest Can r-Bug Koshara
Mozyr E
al Pr i p ya t
Stolin Pripyatskiy
UKRAINE
Polesskiy Radiation-
Shatsk Ecological Reserve
Lakes UKRAINE
Olmany Chernobyl
Rivnenska Wetlands
Belarus is party to international and bilateral agree- and monitoring of river flow. Spring floods on the
ments on transboundary water protection and coop- Pripyat are a major concern for Belarus32, but can
erates on specific monitoring and water management only be properly regulated, or at least anticipated,
projects on the Dnieper (with Russia and Ukraine), in collaboration with Ukraine where most of the
Z. Dvina / Daugava (with Russia and Latvia), Neman river’s southern tributaries originate. In addition to
(with Russia and Lithuania) and Z. Bug (with Poland). reducing damage from floods, Belarus would like
Cooperation under the agreements is supported to improve management of the Dnieper-Bug canal,
through international assistance31. Belarus, Russia linking rivers flowing towards the Baltic and the
and Ukraine cooperate on the management of wa- Black Seas, by regulating the flow of these tribu-
ter resources in the Dnieper river basin, where GEF taries and the water level in the transboundary Be-
supported the Environmental Health in the Dnieper loye / Bile (white) lake sysem. Ukraine’s interest is
River Basin programme focusing on a number of ac- linked to ensuring a minimal water flow in its part
tivities, from cleaner production and prevention of in- of the upper Pripyat. The country is also keen to
dustrial accidents in Belarus to pollution monitoring maintain ecosystems of the Shatsk Lakes includ-
in Ukraine and biodiversity conservation in Russia ing Svitiaz, the “Ukrainian Baikal”, the deepest and
(UNDP and GEF 2006). one of the largest lakes of Ukraine.
Cooperation with Ukraine on the management of The Pripyat watershed encompasses most of Pole-
the Pripyat river’s water resources is just starting sie, a unique geographic region and an ecosys-
to take shape. Some Pripyat-related issues are tem of European importance straddling the border
dealt with as a part of Dnieper cooperation, and between Ukraine and Belarus, reaching as far as
since 1999 the EU TACIS programme supported eastern Poland and the west of the Bryansk region
a project to identify issues and plan transbound- of Russia. Polesie (forest land), which covers ap-
ary cooperation between Belarus and Ukraine no- proximately 30% of Belarus, is the largest expanse
tably in the Pripyat basin (JRMP 2004a, b). One of marshland in Europe, a habitat for many endan-
of the challenges remains a coordinated control gered bird species, and the site of several inter-
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 41
nationally important wetlands protected under the and possibly on individual transboundary protected
Ramsar convention. In Belarus, large parts of Pole- territories, such as Belovezhskaya Pushcha on the
sie – and other wetlands – were “meliorated” es- border with Poland.
pecially in the 1960s-1980s to enable farming. This
process included draining marshlands, “straighten- Another category of environmental problems with
ing” rivers, building embankments to halt flooding security implications relates to hazardous industri-
and other similar measures. The area of meliorated al sites and polluting facilities. As elsewhere, these
land covered 16% of the whole country, and up to tend to be concentrated in industrial centres. In re-
20% or 30% of some river basins. The melioration cent decades industrial facilities have suffered from
often disregarded environmental factors, impacting chronic underinvestment, particularly for maintaining
negatively on ecosystems and natural resources. pollution control equipment. Mining and processing
In particular it affected the local climate leading to of potassium salt ore in the vicinity of Soligorsk,
higher frequency of drought and frost and eroded close to Polesie’s northern border, cause major en-
light and peat soils, ultimately leading to deserti- vironmental impacts. Mining activities have caused
fication. These effects were not only ecologically major changes in the landscape, land subsistence35
destructive, but also reversed initial gains in agri- and swamping. Accumulated mine tailings exceed-
cultural productivity. Some of these problems were ed 778 million tonnes in 2004. These waste depos-
aggravated by the effects of the economic decline its are exposed to wind and water erosion. There
of the early 1990s and low investment in mainte- is a steadily growing area of salinized surface and
nance of existing drainage systems. The current ground water currently encompassing more than 15
land use policy in Polesie does not aim to extend square kilometres, reaching of up to 100 metres un-
“meliorated” areas but to improve the management derground. It has not yet been established whether
of existing systems. This may help to slow down there is a risk of contamination spreading to aquifers
land degradation. A GEF project is testing vari- connected to the Pripyat river. There are also signs
ous techniques for restoring drained wetlands and of deteriorating health among the local population,
ecosystems, while conserving biodiversity (UNDP aggravating an already complex demographic and
2006a). The fallout from the Chernobyl accident social situation in mining towns with relatively high
contaminated large territories of Polesie, making levels of HIV / AIDS infection and drug addiction36.
the use and management of land there even more The issues most apparent in Soligorsk are charac-
problematic. Parts of Belarusian Polesie in the im- teristic of other industrial centres of Belarus, such
mediate vicinity of Chernobyl are closed for human as Novopolotsk and Mozyr. These centres are not
settlement and economic activities and are admin- only sources of significant pollution, but also repre-
istered by the Polesskiy Radiation-Ecological Re- sent risks of industrial accidents potentially associ-
serve (see Chernobyl box in the previous chapter). ated with transboundary contamination, such as oil
leak in March 200737. Belarus, as a party to the Con-
At present international cooperation for protecting vention on the Transboundary Effects of Industrial
the key ecosystems of Polesie is only just begin- Accidents, registers such hazardous facilities and
ning. For example, discussions with Ukraine about commits itself to develop appropriate early warning
cooperation on the Prostyr / Pripyat-Stokhod trans- systems.
boundary protected territory are now underway
(supported by UNDP). A three-party nature reserve Hazardous facilities located close to Belarus bor-
Pribuzhskoye Polesie in the Shatsk area is being ders in other countries rank as an important en-
established with support from UNESCO’s Man and vironmental and security issue. Most border areas
Biosphere programme and participation by Bela- in Belarus are rural and less developed than central
rus, Ukraine and Poland (the project is linked to the areas. The presence of hazardous facilities across
concept of creating a regional ecological network the border fuels a sense of danger among the local
in Polesie)33. Polesie is just one of the territories population, driving outward migration and further
where international cooperation in biodiversity and depressing economic activities. The nuclear power
ecosystems protection can be effective. In general, plant at Ignalina is the closest to the Belarus bor-
Belarus wishes to further develop its system of pro- der and uses a transboundary body of water (lake
tected territories34 as a bridge between European Drysviaty, Druksiai in Lithuania) for cooling. Areas
(Natura 2000) and Russian environmental networks. adjacent to Belarus, such as the Braslav Lakes na-
This would require cooperation at the national level tional park, have significant recreational value and
42 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
are protected. However their leisure potential is to state borders. The GEF and the Danish govern-
jeopardised by the proximity of the nuclear power ment backed an inventory of dangerous pesticides
plant. The Ignalina nuclear reactor is scheduled for and the start of protective measures. Of the four
decommissioning with support from the European sites inspected in 2002-4 significant risks were
Commission. However there are also plans to build identified on at least two facilities. Some measure-
a low and intermediate level short-lived radioactive ments show contamination of water and foodstuffs
waste storage facility in the area. There are also re- by persistent organic pollutants, though in general
ports of plans to build a new reactor at the same information on this issue remains incomplete. More
site to supply power to the three Baltic countries. work is needed to characterise these risks and de-
Concerns over decommissioning of the Ignalina sign adequate protection measures (MNREP 2006,
power plant, prospects of storing spent fuel, devel- БелНИЦ «Экология» 2006).
opment of a brown (industrial) site and even con-
struction of a new nuclear reactor there are closely Defence facilities and activities in Belarus are of
connected to the idea of creating a Euro-region in high significance for the environment. The armed
Visaginas, home to the Ignalina power plant38. The forces use more than 300,000 hectares of land in-
environmental authorities in Latvia are concerned cluding over 200,000 hectares of forests, consume
about potential impacts of the storage of spent fuel over 5 million cubic metres of water and produce
on the quality of Daugava water39. Belarus is also about 8% of national emissions of air pollutants.
concerned about Russian and Ukrainian nuclear Of particular significance may be discharges of in-
power plants operating near its borders, and by sufficiently treated wastewater and contamination
the possibility that Ukraine may locate a depot for of the environment by oil products accumulated in
spent fuel from its nuclear industry in the Cherno- soil and due to aging storage infrastructure, espe-
byl area (Цаплиенко 2006; Хармс 2006; Vasylevs- cially at military airports and air bases such as the
ka 2006). former strategic airbase at Bykhov in the Mogilev
oblast. Several of these areas have been with-
Stockpiles and disposal sites of toxic waste, drawn from military use, leaving local authorities
including obsolete pesticides, are another key is- with the unexpected challenge of having to clean
sue. It is estimated that the amount of banned and them up and reclaim the land. Another concern is
outdated hazardous pesticides in Belarus exceeds the high level of electromagnetic radiation in and
6,000 tonnes including 718 tonnes of DDT. There around some military facilities. However the most
are also more than 2,700 tonnes of unidentified important environmental issues concern planned
(potentially hazardous) pesticides. About two- disposal of armaments and ammunition (including
thirds of all pesticides are buried at various dis- toxic and radioactive materials). The armed forces
posal sites – the rest are stored at farms and indus- of Belarus have established environmental man-
trial facilities, often under unsuitable conditions. Of agement systems to address existing and potential
the seven pesticide disposal sites, five are close concerns (Азема 2005, Кондратенко 2006).
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 43
Security
Promoting energy External rela- Social and politi- Military activities
security tions cal stability and restructuring
Environment
Stockpiles
of hazardous
substances
Risks associated with
located near
development of nuclear
borders
power
Hazardous
sites and facili-
ties Impact of energy Impacts of radioactive waste depots
pipelines upon border areas
Ukraine
Finally Belarus policies on energy security have In many respects, including economic potential and
many potential impacts on the country’s environ- population, Ukraine is the second largest post-Soviet
ment. The projected widespread use of wood bio- country. It plays a key role in the post-Soviet space,
mass as fuel will improve the carbon efficiency of for example within such international organisations
the national energy balance, but the use of peat, as the Organization for Democracy and Economic
brown coal, and other fossil fuels may be less Development – GUAM. Ukraine has firmly declared
climate-friendly. There are also significant envi- its commitment to European integration, whereas it
ronmental concerns associated with the rapid in-
also considers Russia its central strategic partner,
crease in logging, coal mining and peat extraction
especially with regard to energy issues. Balancing
with respect to regional (sulphur and nitrogen oxide
emissions) and local impacts (disruption of eco- these orientations is a crucial national security issue,
systems, local air pollution). International attention and the precise form of such a balance is subject
has also been drawn to the impact of bio-fuel de- to lively debate in Ukraine, which is also shaped by
velopment on global food security (Brown 2006), the country’s geographic, economic and cultural
and similar concerns may prove to be significant in diversity.
Belarus. The projected development of hydro-en-
ergy on small rivers crossing the Belarus plain also Ukraine’s environment still suffers from the legacy
has environmental and transboundary aspects. At of the past – overshadowed by the 1986 Chernobyl
least one of the planned hydropower plants on the disaster as well as stockpiles of Soviet-era industrial
Neman river close to the Lithuanian border, may
and military waste (exemplified by more than
cause transboundary environmental effects. Ob-
16,000 tonnes of leftover toxic component of Soviet
viously, building a nuclear power plant may also
lead to a number of environmental impacts, as dis- rocket fuel) – and is under increasing pressures
cussed above in relation to the Chernobyl disaster
and the Ignalina power plant. Traditional energy fa-
cilities, such as gas and oil pipelines and refineries,
are also associated with environmental risks. On
the other hand, planned efforts in the area of en-
ergy conservation may bring improvements to the
environment, the economy and overall security.
Background
Ukraine is abundant in natural resources. Large de- Co-existence of Russian and Ukrainian naval
posits of iron ore (27 billion tonnes) near Kryvyi Rih, and armed forces in Crimea and longer-term
Kremenchuk and Zaporizhzhia provided a founda- restructuring, withdrawal and partial decom-
tion for the domestic steel industry. In addition to missioning of the Black Sea fleet make man-
globally significant deposits of manganese (more agement of the related environmental issues
than 40% of known global deposits), Ukraine has and liabilities particularly challenging. Many
important reserves of potassium, magnesium and of these issues mesh with the acute environ-
common salts, and lesser deposits of nickel ores, mental problems affecting the Black Sea and
graphite, titanium, and other minerals. Relatively Crimean peninsula described later in this re-
small reserves of oil and gas are offset by large port. These are an example of interaction be-
coal and brown coal reserves concentrated in the tween security measures and environmental
Donbas region in the East of the country, placing quality.
Ukraine among the world’s top 10 coal produc-
ers. Ukraine has its own uranium ore deposits, and Sources: Felgenhauer (1999); Plokhy (2000).
46 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
one of the largest uranium mining industries in the from and Russia Turkmenistan, and manufactured
former Soviet Union is located in the Dnipropetro- goods from Western Europe and the US (UNECE
vsk region. Four nuclear power stations – Zapor- 2004, 2005b). More than two-thirds of Ukraine’s
izka, Pivdennoukrainska, Rivnenska and Khmelnit- exports come from four industrially developed re-
ska, operating 15 reactors in all – produce almost gions: Kyiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia oblasts
half of Ukraine’s electricity. By 2030 Ukraine plans and the Donbas.
to deploy additional nuclear generation capacities,
more than doubling the total energy output of its nu- Security issues and priorities
clear power plants (CMU 2006). Alongside fuel and
energy production and ferrous metallurgy, Ukraine’s In the recent years, Ukraine made European inte-
main industries include manufacturing of heavy gration a foreign policy priority – as expressed for
machinery, chemicals, construction materials, and example in the Law on National Security of 2003
timber. Once the “bread basket of the Soviet Union” proclaiming NATO and EU membership as key
Ukraine also has rich soils and an agricultural sec- policy goals. This move sets the stage for a com-
tor that employs almost a quarter of the workforce. plicated long-term realignment of interests and
Ukraine is a major exporter of ferrous and non-fer- forces in the region.
rous metals, chemicals, machinery and equipment,
and food. Ukraine imports mainly fossil fuels and To support democratic transformation in Ukraine,
their derivatives, equipment and spare parts, chem- the EU has made it a priority partner country with-
icals, plastics and rubber. in the framework of its European Neighbourhood
Policy (see box in the Regional context chapter). A
Ukraine suffered a longer period of economic re- joint EU-Ukraine Action Plan was issued in Febru-
cession than most other former Soviet republics. ary 2005. The EU gave Ukraine the Most Favoured
However, since 2000 the economy has steadily Nation status in trade and declared it a “market
recovered, with annual growth of GDP peaking economy” in 2005, further facilitating trade. With
at 12.1% in 2004, but falling to 5.5% in 2005 and about 35% of Ukraine’s total trade, the EU is cur-
5.4% in 2006 (IMF 2007) with consumer prices rently the country’s most important trading partner.
forecast to rise by 13% a year. However per capita Ukraine also cooperated with the EU and Moldova
GDP (in purchasing power parity) has recovered in addressing the Transnistria conflict, especially
from a low of $3,700 to approximately $7,800 in in winter-spring 2006 when, with Chisinau, it in-
2006, more than 10% above the 1991 level. At the troduced a joint customs regime for Transnistrian
same time, according to various estimates, 15% trade (see Moldova section).
to 30% of the population were below the poverty
line in 200340. Closer political ties with the West and military
reform also raise questions concerning possible
Ukraine places high hopes on entering global NATO membership for Ukraine, another high pri-
markets which depends upon its incumbent WTO ority, especially in the light of the relatively dim
membership. By 2007 parliament had passed all the prospects for EU membership in the foreseeable
laws necessary for joining the WTO, and Ukraine future. At the same time, the recent Presidential
expects to become a full member by the end of (2004) and Parliamentary (2006) elections high-
the year. Currently its main export customers are lighted political divisions in Ukrainian society with
Russia, Belarus, Moldova, EU member states and respect to foreign policy orientation, especially
China. It primarily imports oil from Russia and gas relations with NATO.
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 47
The 2003 Law on the Foundations of National Se- Parties to agreements or conventions with
curity of Ukraine (Ukraine 2003) takes a broad view Ukraine related to shared river basins
of national security and refers to such environmental
issues as industrial pollution and waste hazards, de-
teriorating water quality, unsustainable use of natural River basin Parties
resources, the unsafe legacy of past military activities, Dniester Moldova
and the environmental hazards associated with ener- Z. Bug Poland
gy technologies. Among external security threats, the
Dnieper, Pripyat, Sozh Belarus
law cites global environmental change and imports of
potentially hazardous technologies including geneti- Dnieper, Don, Desna,
Russian Federation
cally modified organisms (GMOs). It also mentions Siverskyi Donets
transboundary environmental issues including man-
Tisza, Prut, Siret (Dan-
agement of shared water basins, and pollution of the Romania
ube basin)
Black Sea and the Sea of Azov.
Tisza Hungary
Water resource management is an important issue Tisza including rivers
in Ukraine, especially in the south, including water- Slovakia
Uzh and Latoritsya
deficient Crimea43. Ukraine shares most of its major
river basins with other countries, and places high Austria, Bulgaria,
priority on international cooperation; the country has Croatia, Germany,
concluded agreements with all of its neighbours and Danube Hungary, Moldova,
several other states concerning main transboundary Romania, Slovakia,
river basins (see table). European Union
Bulgaria, Georgia, Ro-
Black Sea
Although water consumption in Ukraine has fallen in mania, Russia, Turkey
recent years, the overall human impact on fresh water
resources is still at the 1990 level when the Soviet
economy was at its historical peak. It is estimated
that about 39% of discharged water is polluted and bouring countries. For example chemical and oil
about 25% of the polluted discharges do not undergo processing facilities in eastern Slovakia and Roma-
any prior treatment whatsoever. Much of water pollu- nia result in transboundary water pollution in the Za-
tion affects neighbouring countries or the Black Sea karpatska oblast. Pollution also enters Ukraine from
and the Sea of Azov through transboundary water- Belarus (through the Dnieper and Pripyat rivers, see
courses. Belarus section) and Poland.
Substantial pollution of the Lower Dniester in the Some water management issues have caused in-
Odesa oblast by organic substances and pathogen- ternational disputes. For example Romania has ex-
ic micro-organisms is caused by Moldova where in pressed concern in a number of international forums
many cities communal waste waters are disposed of regarding Ukraine’s plans to develop the Bystre canal.
without proper treatment (see Moldova section for There have been disagreements between Moldova
details). Conversely, on the upper reaches of the Dni- and Ukraine over the construction of an oil terminal
ester water quality suffers from discharges in Ukraine. and refinery at Giurgiulesti and a railway linking Izmail
The transboundary issues of Dniester basin manage- and Reni, despite positive signs that such concerns
ment are addressed by a number of international may be smoothed out to facilitate tri-partite coopera-
support programmes44. tion on sustainable development of the whole Danube
delta (see box). Several land and water management
Transboundary chemical pollution (especially water issues are also closely linked to security aspects of
and air) is caused by industrial facilities in the neigh- social issues in Crimea (see box).
50 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
monitoring should be conducted in the context of According to the same 1998 agreement on ex-
Romanian waterways already in operation. Another change of land, Moldova gave Ukraine control
Ukrainian counterargument is that the Bystre canal is over a 7.7 km stretch of secondary road linking
simply an enlargement of the existing waterway, the Izmail to Reni. After Moldova increased customs
Bystre river, making it suitable for navigation. fees for transporting Ukrainian goods crossing
its territory through the only railway branch con-
Another series of transboundary environmental disa- necting Reni with the rest of the country, Ukraine
greements in the same region involved Ukraine and decided to build another railway linking Reni
Moldova, both of which encountered transportation to Izmail along the Danube and only passing
problems created by the collapse of the Soviet Union. through its own territory. Moldova objected to
Moldova lost access to the Black Sea through naviga- this project citing possible environmental impacts.
ble waterways because the Danube was on Ukrainian Some Ukrainian environmentalists supported the
territory, its closest point, the mouth of the Prut, being objections, emphasising the threat of a regional
several hundred metres from the Ukraine - Moldova environmental catastrophe posed by the project.
border. Ukraine lost access by land to its town of Reni Finally, in 2006, the Ukrainian government decid-
except across Moldovan territory. ed that the $1.2 million project, though politically
important, was economically inefficient and that it
In 1993 Moldova claimed a 1.5 km strip of Ukrain- would not be implemented.
ian land along the Danube. According to a settlement
reached in 1998, Ukraine gave up a 430 metre strip of To sum up, the vulnerable ecosystem of the Dan-
land near the village of Giurgiulesti and 150 hectares ube delta is the locus of several heated disputes
of land next to Besarabca railway station as well as where genuine, justified environmental concerns
some other property. Moldova applied for an EBRD overlap with agendas driven by economic and
credit to build a terminal to receive oil transported political considerations. Balancing these interests
through the Black Sea and up the Danube, and subse- remains a difficult task for both politicians and en-
quently an oil refinery next to Giurgiulesti. Construction vironmentalists. At the 2006 tripartite meeting in
work started in 1997, after the funds were allocated, Odesa in the presence of the ICPDR (International
and was due to be finished by 1999. However when it Commission for the Protection of the Danube
became clear that it would not be possible to operate River), an attempt was made to unblock the situ-
the terminal at full capacity (1 million tonnes a year, ation and switch the attention of parties from their
gradually increasing to 2 million tonnes) construction controversies to a broader objective of sustainable
stopped. After attracting additional private investment development of the Danube delta, a site of sig-
the project was completed in 2006. There are cur- nificance to the whole Black Sea region. Although
rently plans to upgrade the terminal with a refinery and debates still continue, there may be prospects of
a passenger port. Ukraine and some environmental solving some of the enmeshed problems on the
groups pointed out the potentially negative impacts basis of broader common interests.
of the terminal on the Danube delta and the risk of
Sources:
pollution that it poses to Reni and Izmail. Of particular Bystre: Dutu (2005); Staras (2005); for background on the dispute see e.g.
concern was the high risk of an accident due to the Espoo convention www.unece.org/env/eia/inquiry.htm; Aarhus conven-
tion www.unece.org/env/pp/compliance/S2004-01/DatasheetS-2004-
difficulty of navigation at that point of the river, and the 01v.30.06.05.doc; www.unece.org/env/pp/compliance.htm; Odesa meeting
potentially devastating consequences for the Danube under patronage of UNESCO and ICPRD 2006 - conference.blackseatrans.
com/ (see Ukraine et al. 2006); European Commission on the Black
delta. Terminal investors however state that the facility Sea and Danube Delta: ec.europa.eu/environment/enlarg/danubeblack-
is to comply with both national and the EU’s environ- sea_en.htm; Загородний (2006); Бурлаку (2006); Котенко (2004);
Ministry of Environment Protection of Ukraine. Giurgulesti and Izmail-Reni:
mental and safety legislation, so that no elevated risk Полтораков (2006), Барсук (2006), Подробности (2006b), EBRD.
should be expected.
52 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
Ukrainian Carpathians
The economically important and ecologically The Carpathian mountains form a 1,500 kilometre
unique Black Sea and the Sea of Azov are vi- arc along the borders of Austria, the Czech Repub-
tal areas of regional cooperation for Ukraine. lic, Slovakia, Poland, Ukraine, Romania, Serbia and
Ukraine’s Black Sea coast is 1,802 km long northern Hungary. Geographically the Carpathians
and its Sea of Azov coast extends for 825 km. are relatively old mountains covered with forest and
Ukraine’s territorial waters cover 57% of the grassland. The Carpathian region of Ukraine lies at
Black Sea shelf46. The Ukrainian part of the Azov its western extremity and comprises Zakarpatska,
and Black Sea shelves contains 18% of the Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv and Chernivtsi oblasts. It is
country’s oil and gas reserves (UNECE 2005b). of particular importance because it forms an eco-
Some of these reserves are located around logically rich border region with unique social and
the island of Zmiinyi in waters claimed by both cultural attributes. The region is also economically
Ukraine and Romania. The Black Sea and Sea significant, due to tourism and industry.
of Azov are subject to intense pressure from
heavy industry, intensive farming, large popula- In 2003 the Carpathian countries signed the Con-
tion centres, and many military installations in vention on the Protection and Sustainable Develop-
their coastal areas. ment of the Carpathians thus acknowledging the
region’s special status, requiring additional efforts
Both seas face a wide range of ecological prob- to protect and develop its assets. The first con-
lems: microbiological, organic and other pollu- ference of the Convention parties presided by the
tion that exceeds their assimilation capacity and Ukrainian Minister of the Environment was held in
poses health hazards; invasive species such as Kyiv in December 2006. The Conference resulted in
jellyfish; oil and other spills; and unsustainable the Memorandum between Carpathian and Alpine
use of natural resources such as overfishing. Conventions, as well as the Carpathian Declaration
Though discharges in the basin have stabilised outlining key principles for international coopera-
and for some key pollutants declined over the tion on sustainable development of the area. The
last decade, the pollution levels remain unac- Carpathian Convention and related regimes aim to
ceptable, particularly for phenol, heavy metals counterbalance the increasing human impacts on
and oil products. The severest pollution is found fragile ecosystems and natural resources of this
at the mouth of the Dnieper River, in the ports unique transboundary region.
of Odesa, the Crimean towns of Alupka, Yalta
and Hurzuf, and the Sevastopol Bay. Interna- Since 2000, there have been several accidental dis-
tional organisations are addressing this prob- charges of cyanide and heavy metals in Romania
lem, in particular the EU TACIS Crimea Coastal that eventually reached Ukraine and Hungary via
Zone Management project of 2005-6 aims to the Tisza river. The worst of such spills occurred in
improve the current water treatment systems 2000 at Baia Borsa and Baia Mare, Romania48. In
in Yevpatoriya and Feodosiya. Environmental 2004 and 2005 smaller spills occurred in Romania,
degradation, especially invasive species, has with cyanide going into the Viseu River, a tributary of
dramatically affected the once highly produc- the Tisza. These accidents highlight the dangers in-
tive fisheries which, in the Sea of Azov, have herent in gold mining technologies. The Carpathian
dropped by 90% in recent decades. gold reserves on both sides of the border (see e.g.
Eurogold Ltd.) continue to attract investors and are
Soviet-era agriculture placed considerable likely to pose significant environmental risks unless
pressure on biodiversity in Ukraine, espe- investors and developers subscribe to best interna-
cially in steppe and wetland ecosystems. tional practices, technologies and standards. Car-
The system of protected areas has dou- pathian rivers are also threatened by other industrial
bled since independence and now includes accidents such as discharges from oil pipelines48.
more than 30 reserves and national parks,
and many smaller areas. However it only The frequency of floods, mudflows, land slides and
covers 4.6% of the land area, in comparison avalanches in the region may be increasing with
with the European average of 15% (protect- time, possibly affected by human activities such as
ing new areas often creates tension with lo- forestry. Unlike other regions, floods can occur here
cal population, concerned that new regula- not only in spring, but also in summer (after severe
tions will impede access to traditional forms storms) and winter (after a sudden thaw caused by
of land use 47 ). Mediterranean storms typical in the Tisza basin).
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 53
Many Carpathian rivers flood four or five times a cupy 5,000 hectares of arable land (2.6% of total),
year. Besides causing substantial economic losses, with 313 legal and more than 1,000 illegal dumps
floods often trigger environmental problems, includ- in the Zakarpatska oblast alone. There are about
ing soil erosion and chemical pollution of the water 540 tonnes of obsolete pesticides stored in the
when industrial sites and facilities are affected. A four Carpathian oblasts. This represents about
number of international projects aim to reduce dam- 2.5% of all Ukrainian stocks but is located in a
age caused by natural disasters in the Carpathians. very sensitive area close to transboundary wa-
tercourses. For example until 2001 11 tonnes of
Illegal logging driven by high unemployment and the pesticides were stored in the village of Sianky
absence of alternative sources of income in many parts in the Lviv oblast. Pesticides were stored for 15
of the Ukrainian Carpathians, especially Zakarpatska years in a rundown depot in the Nadsianskiy Park
oblast in Ukraine, has become a common threat. Envi- in the East Carpathians international biosphere
ronmental NGOs in Ukraine have argued that corrup- reserve, 150 metres from a stream running into
tion is also a factor in such trade. Though illegal logging the Sian river, a tributary of the Wisla that flows
has recently become less of a problem it still requires towards the Baltic Sea through Poland. In 2001
serious attention because the Carpathians are one of the pesticides were repackaged in concrete con-
the few areas in Ukraine with valuable forests. tainers but this has not prevented further leaks.
Other environmental problems typical to the rest of Illegal importing of toxic wastes, discussed in
Ukraine affect the Carpathians too, such as environ- the main text, has specifically affected Lviv and
mental pressures from military facilities such as am- Zakarpatska oblasts, with waste being dumped
munition depots, airstrips and former missile sites. or stored in and around several villages and rail-
A number of military facilities and depots are cur- way yards. The illegal movement of waste and
rently being decommissioned in the Lviv, Chernivtsi, timber is particularly difficult to control in the
and Zakarpatska oblasts, causing environmental sparsely populated and mountainous regions.
concerns described elsewhere in this chapter. Sources: Carpathian Convention secretariat (www.carpathian-
convention.org/); UNEP Carpathian Environmental Outlook (www.
grid.unep.ch/activities/assessment/KEO/index.php); ENVSEC
Given the extreme scarcity of arable land in the Car- (20054b); Лига Бизнес Информ (2006); Eurogold Ltd (www.
pathians, it is of particular concern that landfills oc- eurogold.com.au/html/operations.html)
54 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
Water-related issues
Water scarcity area
Brest Pripyat
Major discharges into transboundary water basins Pinsk
POLAND
Energy and radiation issues Lutsk
Areas exposed to high radioactive contamination Chervonohrad Rivne Novohr
due to the Chernobyl explosion: Volynsk
Pru
Environmental concerns related to military areas IN
t
S
(in use / closed)
Cluj-Napoca
Chisi
Storage of rocket fuel components (melange)
ROMANIA
Oblast centres are written in bold.
Impact of navy activities
POLAND Giurgiulesti
Kyiv
Highly polluted coastal areas Galati Ren
4, SLOVAK
Storage of obsolete pesticides per oblast tonnes: REPUBLIC UKRAINE
500 to 1000 Over one thousand HUNGARY MOLDOVA
Chisinau
Forest fires in Chernobyl-contaminated areas BULGARIA ROMANIA Black
Documented traffic routes of hazardous waste 5 Bucharest Sea be
nu
Da
Storage of illegally imported hazardous waste 5
Illegal logging
National parks, biosphere and strict nature reserves, Inter-state disputes in the process of
other major protected areas, and their buffer zones international or bilateral resolution
Larger transboundary regions of high ecological Inter-ethnic disputes
importance
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 55
E
Shostka Kursk Voronezh
I na
Chernihiv
D es
Chernobyl S
m
Konotop S ei D on
E
Nizhyn Sumy
L Romny RUSSIA
rad- Kyiv
Pryluky Belgorod
kyi
O
P Res.
Kyiv
Zhytomyr Ohtyrka
Dn
ep
Lubny
i
er Kaniv Kharkiv
Reservoir
Uzyn
iv.
S
Bila Tserkva Poltava Do
ne t
Kre s
m enc
Vinnitsya hu k
Cherkasy Res Izium
.
Kremenchuk
Uman
Luhansk
Kirovohrad Horlivka
Dniprodzerzhinsk
Dnipropetrovsk
Zhovti Vody Donetsk
Tsybulevo
Zaporizhzhia
Yuzhnoukrainsk Rostov-
P iv
s.
Bu
h Mariupol
Re
a
ovk
inau
K ah
Mykolaiv Melitopol
Berdyansk
Kherson
RUSSIA
Odesa
Sea of
Azov
Agricultural
drainage
Baherove
Izmail
ni Kerch Krasnodar
DANUBE Zmiinyi Island
Yevpatoriya
DE LTA
Bystre Canal Simferopol Tuzla
Island Novorossiysk
(contested development) Feodosiya
Sevastopol
Sources: State Committee for Natural Resources. Integrated Atlas of Ukraine. Kyiv 2005; Ministry of Environment Protection of Ukraine. On-line environmental maps
(www.menr.gov.ua); Baloga V.I. (ed.) 20 Years after Chornobyl Catastrophe. National Report of Ukraine. Kyiv 2006; Shevchuk V.E. and V.L. Gurashevsky (eds.) 20 Years after
the Chernobyl Catastrophe. National Report. Minsk 2006. Hats I.A., Ministry of Defence of Ukraine: in materials for the Environment and International Security round-table. Minsk
2006; Bureau of Environmental Investigation, Lviv; ENVSEC consultations 2006-7.
THE MAP DOES NOT IMPLY THE EXPRESSION OF ANY OPINION ON THE PART OF ENVSEC PARTNER ORGANISATIONS CONCERNING THE LEGAL STATUS OF
ANY COUNTRY, TERRITORY, CITY OR AREA OFITS AUTHORITY, OR DELINEATION OF ITS FRONTIERS AND BOUNDARIES.
56 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
Sumy oblast and no lasting solution has yet been inherited some of the most intensively pollut-
found for it. MOL was also implicated in a previous ing industries – chemicals, metallurgy and min-
case of acid tar import dating from 2002-3. Part of ing – concentrated in the industrialised south-
the substance was subsequently transported to the eastern part of the country, particularly in the
Transnistrian region of Moldova. Another Hungarian Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia and Lu-
firm was responsible for shipping a toxic brown- hansk oblasts. Eastern Ukraine has the highest
coal mixture to Ukraine. There is also information intensity of air pollution, particularly in Donetsk
on transporting toxic waste to Izmail via the Dan- oblast (8.4 times the Ukrainian average and 3.7
ube, and acid tar to Mykolaiv in the Carpathians. If times the Ukrainian average in terms of pollution
these incidents are found to have violated the Basel per capita), Dnipropetrovsk oblast (respectively
Convention, to which both Ukraine and the EU are 4.2 and 3.0 times higher) and Luhansk oblast (2.4
parties, the government may be legally justified in and 2.1 times higher). There is significant pollution
demanding that the waste be re-imported50. of surface and ground water (especially from the
Kryvyi Rih industry). Obsolete technology, inade-
During the Soviet era Ukraine accounted for quate investment and lax enforcement of pollution
more than a quarter of the USSR’s industrial out- control regulations have so far prevented Ukraine
put. Consequently, after independence, Ukraine from adequately addressing this problem.
Acid tar (brown coal mixed with heavy oil and Hungary – Dobrotvir (Lviv oblast) – Zernovoye (Sumy
clay, 2003-4, 2,996 tonnes oblast)
Acid tar, 2002-03, ca 17,000 tonnes Hungary – Novyi Rozdil (Lviv oblast)
The serious environmental problems of the Donbas areas have been under consideration including the
are in many ways linked to security problems. First Chernobyl plant (TESEC 2006), which has already
of all, they negatively affect the quality of life and prompted concern in Belarus (see Belarus section).
thus cause social tensions. Secondly, Donbas is the For its part Ukraine is concerned about the poten-
key to ensuring the energy security of Ukraine. This tial hazards associated with nuclear power facilities
second issue has two aspects: the energy-intensive in Bulgaria, Hungary, Lithuania and Russia, as well
industries of Donbas depend on a reliable supply as disposal sites for radioactive material in southern
of affordable Russian fossil fuels; and Donbas coal Belarus (МНС 2006). The radioactive contamination
deposits provide a sizeable share of Ukraine’s en- caused by the Chernobyl disaster still represents a
ergy balance. That share may be about to increase. serious environmental hazard (see box in the Re-
International pressure to make the Donbas industry gional context section). One specifically Ukrain-
more environmentally friendly is likely to increase ian feature of the Chernobyl legacy is the safety of
with worldwide concern over greenhouse gas emis- the concrete sarcophagus containing the wrecked
sions and climate change. There is consequently a “fourth module” of the exploded reactor.
clear need for international cooperation on solving
the enmeshed energy, environmental and human One of the particular challenges of energy restruc-
safety problems in this region. turing in Ukraine is reducing the role of imported
natural gas in its energy balance. The main con-
Policies and measures to promote energy secu- sumers of gas are metallurgy (13% of total), chemi-
rity in Ukraine may have significant environmental cals (10%) and electricity generation (9%). Gas pur-
implications. The government has produced a draft chases are the main component in the prime cost of
Energy Strategy of Ukraine up to 2030 (CMU 2006), Ukrainian metallurgy, averaging 12% of industry’s
approved by the cabinet in March 2006 and then a total expenditure. This is mainly due to obsolete
focus of vigorous debate among politicians, NGOs technology (44% of Ukrainian steel is smelted in
and the public. The strategy forecasts that the Martin furnaces). However the situation is chang-
Ukrainian economy will triple in size in real terms by ing and by 2009 Ukrainian metallurgy plants plan
2030, with a corresponding rise in primary energy to have invested $3.1 billion in modernisation. By
consumption. To diversify its energy supply, Ukraine 2007, metallurgy’s share of gas consumption should
aims to develop domestic energy sources and have fallen to 10%. In particular the metallurgical
technologies as far as possible. Possible sources sector has already started researching technologies
include nuclear power, which currently accounts for using a mixture based on coal dust, instead of
for 45% of Ukraine’s electricity generation. As has natural gas; and coal mines are considering extract-
already been pointed out, Ukraine is considering ing methane, a by-product of mining. The energy
building new reactors to reduce fuel dependence. generating sector has also already reacted to the
The location of new plants and their water supply change in the price of natural gas. Originally Ukrain-
remains an open question, with one obvious op- ian power stations were designed to run on coal,
tion on the coast of the Sea of Azov. If this location but until 2005 they were using mainly gas because
is indeed chosen, a number of environmental and of the low price and lower effect on equipment de-
related security issues ranging from the risk of ris- preciation. From January to August 2006 power
ing sea level to concerns of the local population will stations reduced gas consumption by 25%. New
need to be addressed. technologies enable gas consumption to be cut to
a minimum level, using it only to ignite coal. For ex-
Though there are plans regarding increased mining ample at the Skhidenergo power company the share
of uranium and zirconium (Mulvey 2006), the Ukrain- of gas is only 1% in the total fuel mix (Дейкун и
ian nuclear power industry still does not operate a Пионтковская 2006). Respectively, the new Ener-
complete technological cycle, sending spent fuel to gy Strategy calls for a significant increase in the use
Russia for reprocessing. Some of the by-products of domestic coal reserves, with in particular a dou-
are bound to come back. Ukraine will consequently bling of coal-fuelled energy production. The eastern
have to build its own depot for spent fuel. Several Donbas region is home to 98% of Ukraine’s coal
60 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
The Donbas (the name originates from DONet- investment. A significant proportion of Donbas
sk coal BASin) is a historic region that includes mines have been operating without any refur-
Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts of Ukraine which bishment work for 20 years or more.
share an industrial infrastructure and economic
interests. The region covers 60,000 square kilo- Such underinvestment also results in a host of
metres and is known for its rich deposits of coal safety and environmental problems. The Ukrain-
and metals. Environmental issues in Donbas ian coal mining sector is one of the most dan-
are closely interlinked with occupational safety, gerous in the world. Since 1991 more than 4,700
health, quality of life and other social and eco- workers have died in various accidents, equiva-
nomic factors. lent to three deaths per million tonnes mined. In
approximately 90% of all mines there are gas-
Under the Soviet Union, the Donbas region be- related hazards. In 30% there is a risk of acci-
came a centre of industrialisation. To minimize dental release of coal and gas. The blast of coal
transport costs, Soviet industrial planners con- release is a threat in 70% of mines, and in 30%
centrated in the region such industries as coal of the pits spontaneous combustion of coal is a
and iron mining, metallurgy, chemicals, machine hazard. Yet their closure risks aggravating so-
production and military hardware production cio-economic problems and fuelling social ten-
facilities. Nuclear power stations were subse- sions. Where production is being terminated (at
quently built to meet the region’s huge energy 49 mines and 2 central concentrating plants as
requirements. Donbas is closely associated of the end of 2006), the existing legal framework
with coal mining, which supported Soviet heavy does not allow assigning clear responsibilities
industry for decades. Donetsk and Luhansk ob- for the adequate reclamation of damaged land;
lasts together produce 65% of Ukrainian coke, as a result, only 10% of the necessary land rec-
and are home to many steelworks. The Mittal lamation and tree planting is carried out (State
Steel-Kryvyi Rih plant (formerly known as Kry- Directorate for the Environment and Natural Re-
vorizhstal’) is located in the neighbouring Kryvyi sources).
Rih oblast.
The environmental consequences of industrial
In the period following the break-up of the So- development in Donbas have been similarly
viet Union, the Donbas region continued to be a severe. Among the region’s most critical envi-
centre of industrial production and coal mining, ronmental problems is the pollution of surface
producing about 81% of Ukraine’s coal. How- (including river Siverskyi Donets) and ground
ever, since the collapse of the Soviet Union, the water. At the end of the Soviet era about 150
sector has been in deep crisis. Coal production square kilometres of aquifers had been con-
in Ukraine dropped from 154.8 million tonnes in taminated, and toxic pollutants were commonly
1990 to 78.4 million tonnes in 2005. This result- stored in unsecured ponds, where they could
ed in a wave of strikes and protests in the 1990s. percolate into the ground. On at least one occa-
The mining sector – which employs 450,000 sion hazardous pollutants from a chemical plant
workers – still experiences serious economic were dumped into ponds, percolating into a coal
difficulties. The majority of pits survive thanks to mine to a depth of about 600 metres, causing
state subsidies, with production costs several the death of three miners. Mineralised water from
times higher than the world price of coal. This is coal mines and municipal sewage is not treated
partially a result of low productivity51 and under- before draining into surface water. Metallurgy
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 61
Security
External rela- Promoting en- Social and politi-
Military restructuring
tions ergy security cal stability
Environment
Illegal import of
hazardous waste
Hazardous
Hazardous facili- Stocks of
sites and
ties at Ukrainian rocket fuel
facilities
borders
Moldova
highly unstable, volatile, toxic oxidiser for rocket The Republic of Moldova became an independent
and missile fuel in Ukraine. It is stored at six facili- state on August 27, 1991 following the disintegration
ties and poses a severe threat to human health and of the Soviet Union. After independence, Moldova
the environment in the event of leakage into ground- began to implement economic and political
water or direct contact. Though not combustible, reforms to create a democratic political system
mélange reacts with water to produce heat, thereby
and a market economy. The Republic of Moldova
causing a fire risk if suitable materials are nearby.
is a parliamentary republic with a one-chamber
In the event of a tank rupture, 100 cubic metres of
mélange would be released into the environment Parliament. It is divided into 32 districts, five
where it might react with water producing a toxic municipalities, the autonomous territorial region of
cloud. The lives of people living within two kilome- Gagauzia and the administrative-territorial region
tres of the spill would be at risk, with lower risks located on the left bank of the Dniester River (known
within a 25 kilometre radius. Wind could carry the as Transnistria). Being a small country closely tied
toxic cloud as far as 80 kilometres. A major spill at to the rest of the Soviet economy, Moldova had
the storage facility located less than 10 kilometres suffered a great deal from the disintegration of the
from the city of Vinnitsya in Central Ukraine, would USSR. The situation is aggravated by the protracted
endanger some 350,000 people. Leakage from mé- conflict over the Transnistrian region where a
lange storage tanks suffering metal fatigue has been
significant part of the economic potential of the
observed at almost all sites, and national efforts are
country is located. Cooperation with the European
insufficient. Prompt international timely assistance
is therefore needed as the issue must be addressed Union remains a consistent policy of Moldova’s
immediately (OSCE 2005). government.
64 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
Moldova has strong historic and cultural ties to Ro- supporting the separatist authorities politically and
mania, and the Moldovan language is very close to economically. Moscow maintains that it intends to
Romanian. However the results of the 2004 census play a role in the settlement, publicly justified by
show that an overwhelming majority of Moldovan the concern it has expressed over the Russian-
people do not consider themselves Romanians. Al- speaking population of the Transnistrian region57. In
though during the early 1990s it was thought likely March 2006 Russia imposed a ban on the import
the two countries would unite, expectations soon of Moldovan wines (according to the Russian sani-
faded. Nevertheless Romania takes a close interest tary authorities, based on the high pesticide and
in Moldovan domestic affairs, especially its prob- heavy-metal content) which significantly threatened
lems of energy dependence and the Transnistrian the predominantly agrarian economy of the country,
conflict. In 1992, Moldova and Romania started ne- which exports 85% of its wine production to Russia
gotiations on inter-state political and border treaties. (Moldova.org 2006). This ban was formally lifted fol-
Both treaties were prepared for signing in 2000, but lowing a meeting between Presidents Voronin and
they have yet to be approved by the Romanian gov- Putin at the end of 200658.
ernment. The recent statements and decisions by
Moldovan government signal an affirmation of the The relationship with Ukraine is of particular impor-
country’s intention to conduct foreign and domestic tance to Moldova due to their extensive land bor-
policy independently from its western neighbour56. der, shared infrastructure and watercourses. Both
countries are members of GUAM and share many
Separatism in the eastern region of Transnistria (see security priorities including European integration.
box) which makes up 11% of the territory and 14% An example of specific security cooperation is their
of the population of Moldova, represents one of the recent joint effort to regulate imports and exports
most acute security problems. The de-facto author- (including from the Transnistrian region) on the
ities of the self-proclaimed “Transnistrian Moldavian Moldo-Ukrainian border (see box). These actions
Republic” assert that the region has clear cut geo- are supported by EU Border Assistance Mission
graphic and political frontiers (the Dniester river and deployed in both countries from December 200559.
the constitutional frontier of the Republic of Moldo- At the same time the two countries are engaged in
va with Ukraine), as well as a historic legacy that is solving complex transboundary issues, such as the
distinct from that of the territory on the right bank construction of Moldovan oil terminal at Giurgiulesti
of the Dniester. Though there has been no fighting (see box on the Danube delta in the Ukraine sec-
since 1992, a political solution to the conflict has tion).
not yet been found. However the level of tensions
is declining, the transformation of the current mili- Energy self-sufficiency is a key national security pri-
tary peace-keeping mechanism into a multinational ority for Moldova. The country imports 98% of its
peace operation under an appropriate international energy (70% of which is Russian natural gas) and
mandate (large civilian component and military ob- the energy intensity of its economy is three to four
servers) is already on the agenda of the conflict set- times higher than the world average. The situation
tlement talks. Reintegrating Transnistria is the top is complicated by the poorly developed energy in-
priority for the government of Moldova. In 2002 it frastructure (power stations and transmission lines).
appointed a Minister of Re-integration to coordinate The largest power plants – the Moldovan GRES
the work of other government departments in this power-plant (2.5 million kWt) and the Dubasari hy-
area and conduct negotiations with representatives dro-power plant (48,000 kWt) – are located in the
of Transnistria. Transnistrian region and are heavily depreciated.
Energy costs exceed one-third of GDP. Govern-
The Transnistrian conflict significantly complicates ment policy aims to increase energy self-sufficiency
Moldova’s relations with the Russian Federation. through energy saving, diversification of supply and
The government considers that Russia – whose construction of domestic electricity generation fa-
army is still stationed in the Transnistrian region cilities. To achieve energy security, the priority is
without a legal agreement with Moldova – is not to integrate the energy complex with the European
doing enough to facilitate the settlement, and is system.
66 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
Warsaw BELARUS
POLAND Kyiv
Briceni Dn
ies UKRAINE
Donduseni ter SLOVAK 0 250 km
Prut REPUBLIC
Edinet MOLDOVA
Soroca HUNGARY
Chisinau
From Hungary
via Ukraine ROMANIA
Drochia
Camenca Bucharest Black
Jijia Costesti - Stinca Riscani Marculesti Sea
Reservoir Floresti
T
Ribnita
R
ROMANIA Glodeni
Rezina Cobasna 0 50 km
Balti
A
Singerei
Falesti
N
R
au
Dubasari
S
t
Water-related issues Reservoir
N
Water scarcity area Orhei UKRAINE
Calarasi Dubasari
Important discharges of
I
Ungheni
wastewater Dam safety
S
Straseni issues Grigoriopol
Poor water quality Nisporeni
T
Dams
R
Discharge of cold water affecting Chisinau Bi c
I
fish spawning areas and water supply
Nature reserve
A
Impact of flow regulation on aquatic Tighina Tiraspol under consideration
and riverside ecosystems Hincesti (Bender) in Ukraine
Slobozia
Energy-related issues
Pr
ut
Dnestrovsc
Causeni
Thermoelectric power plants Lower
Cimislia Stefan-Voda
Oil fields Gas fields Dn Dniester
Leova ie s
te r
Oil terminals
Basarabeasca
Oil refineries (operating / under construction) Comrat Dniester
Brown coal deposits 1 Lyman
GAGAUZIA UKRAINE
Conflicts and military legacy
Lower Ceadir-Lunga
Areas of frozen / resolved political conflict Prut
Land-use disputes Cahul Taraclia
Environmental concerns related to
military areas (in use / closed)
Vulcanesti Sasyk
Other pollution issues Lake
Beleu Black Sea
Cismichioi
Storage of illegally imported hazardous waste
Danube Biosphere
Storage of obsolete pesticides Giurgiulesti Reserve
Important nature Major protected areas 2 Larger transboundary regions of high ecological importance
Notes: 1 - Deep unexploited deposits. 2 - Only selected near-border areas are shown.
Environment and security challenges into the Dniester without any treatment. The Rib-
nita cement plant and Moldovan GRES power plant
Since water resources are of particular importance as well as other industrial facilities in the Transnis-
to Moldova, water pollution is viewed as a nation- trian region cause substantial pollution too. Signifi-
ally significant threat. Moldova does not have large cant amounts of chlorine compounds are stored in
lakes, and all its larger rivers originate outside its Chisinau and on the territory of the Transnistrian
borders. The major rivers – the Prut and Dniester region. If accidentally released into the environment
– are sources of drinking water (the latter supply- these chemicals would pose a substantial threat to
ing Chisinau) and irrigation, as well as being used the quality of the Dniester’s water (Голубева 2004).
for navigation, fishing and energy production. Most On the lower reaches of the river, chemical and
of the accessible groundwater is hydrologically microbiological pollution carried from Moldova into
connected to the largest river, the Dniester, and as Ukraine causes serious concerns about the quality
much as half of this groundwater is contaminated of the drinking water supply for Odesa, a city of two
above the standards. By official standards both the million people.
Dniester and the Prut are moderately polluted. The
Reut and Bic rivers are classified as “polluted”, and Construction of power stations, with the Dubasari
most small rivers as “very polluted”. The pollution reservoir in Moldova (1954) and the (Novo-)Dniester
level of surface water is close to or exceeds maxi- reservoir upstream in Ukraine (1981), has affected
mal permissible concentrations for almost all pol- the hydrological regime and ecosystem of the riv-
lutants including ammonia, nitrites, copper, phenols er and adjacent areas. The Dniester reservoir also
and oil products. The deteriorating infrastructure significantly alters the temperature regime of the
– in the Transnistrian region up to one-third of water stretch of the river in Moldova, and the planned ad-
is lost in distribution networks – hampers the sup- dition of a pumped storage unit there has recently
ply of drinking water. Malfunctioning wastewater been the subject of intense cross-border debate.
treatment plants, farming and industrial accidents
cause water pollution. At the same time, a signifi- Moldova’s second largest river, the Prut, also ris-
cant amount of water pollution originates in neigh- es in the Ukrainian Carpathians, flowing along the
bouring countries. Moldova-Romania border to reach the Danube at
Galati, Romania. Much as the Dniester, the Prut suf-
The 1,362 km-long Dniester is the largest river in fers from upstream water pollution (including from
this part of the region, originating in the Carpathi- the severely polluted Jijia river, which enters it from
an mountains in Western Ukraine, flowing through Romania). Irreversible transformation of natural
Moldova, and entering the Black Sea in the Odesa systems has been observed downstream from the
oblast of Ukraine. Some 70% of the water in the transboundary Stinca-Costesti reservoir.
Dniester rises in the industrially developed oblasts
of Ukraine, home to some 5 million people, includ- Although it only has access to a stretch of the Dan-
ing Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk. Discharge from min- ube about 400 metres long, Moldovan economic
ing and industrial facilities, and the possibility of development in the area has been a topic for in-
industrial accidents, give rise to serious concern. ternational debate. Moldova wants to boost for-
About 90% of Ukrainian pollution enters the Dni- eign trade, stimulate development of its southern
ester in its upper reaches from the Tysmenytsya, region and increase its energy security by building
Nichlava, Seret, Bystrytsya and Svicha rivers. Inside the Giurgiulesti petroleum terminal at the junction
Moldova the most significant change is visible close of the Prut and the Danube. The terminal started
to Dubasari, downstream of the Reut river. Another operating in October 2006 and may be upgraded
tributary, the Bic that receives waste water from the to receive passenger traffic in the future. Ukraine
capital Chisinau, is also heavily polluted60. A number has challenged this project, among others on ac-
of municipal waste-water treatment systems do not count of the threat it poses to the Danube delta (see
work at all. In the northern city of Soroca they have box in the Ukraine section). Ongoing oil prospect-
not operated since 2002, and sewage is discharged ing in the Beleu lake located in a scientific reserve
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 69
in southern Moldova raises environmental concerns lihoods, migration and unemployment. More than
at home too. half of all farmland (35% in the Transnistrian region)
is currently considered to be deteriorating and the
Moldova cooperates with its neighbours on joint amount of land affected by serious soil erosion is
management of the Dniester and Prut water re- increasing by almost 1% a year. In particular, water
sources (see table), in particular with the support erosion affects about 35% to 40% of land, and al-
of the international community (see account of most 30% are prone to land slides. There are more
Dniester basin cooperation in the Ukraine section). than 40,000 ravines in the country and the area af-
Cooperation with NATO and Germany61 is enhanc- fected by landslides and ravines is increasing by
ing much needed early warning and monitoring 3% to 7% a year. The Transnistrian conflict compli-
systems62. Tri-partite cooperation (with Ukraine and cates use of farmland in the area south of Dubasari,
Romania) on the joint management and protection where local people on the right bank must cross the
of the Danube delta has also started. demarcation line of contact every day to reach the
land they traditionally farm.
Protected natural areas. At present protected are-
as cover 1.96% of the total land surface of Moldova Hazardous waste is of particular concern to
(МОСТУ 2000). More than half this area is in nature Moldova, especially due to its low capacity to ad-
reserves. In the late 1990s there was an attempt to dress the problem. The country does not have a
create a 20,000 hectare Lower Dniester national single suitable facility to dispose of about 8,000
park. It would have been connected to a projected tonnes of toxic waste that has accumulated there.
national park in Ukraine’s Odesa oblast, creating a Significant amounts of waste are stored illegally and
transboundary protected area. The World Bank was in a disorganised fashion, contributing to land and
due to fund the project but suspended its support water contamination. In the Transnistrian region in-
in 2005 due to problems of procedure and the legal dustrial and domestic waste has been and still is
status of the territory (doubts as to whether a game being dumped at about 100 locations, most of them
reserve can be part of a protected area) (Biotica illegal. Landfills in Tiraspol, Tighina (Bender) and
2003). Meanwhile a feasibility study for the Lower Slobozia are full. The one in Ribnita is nearly full. Up
Dniester National Park in Ukraine has started with to 1 million tonnes of industrial waste are temporari-
the support of the European Union. ly stored at various facilities and an estimated 4,700
tonnes of toxic waste has accumulated in the Tran-
Productive land is a key resource in the Moldovan snistrian region. Operation of the Moldovan GRES
economy, with farming earning more than 75% thermal power plant has produced more than 13
of national income. Land degradation is therefore million tonnes of waste, which is still building up (for
seen as a significant economic and social threat po- historical reasons this waste is stored on the other
tentially associated with massive loss of rural live- side of the Cuciurgan Reservoir in Ukraine, border
70 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
demarcation along the reservoir never having been Moldova’s environmental institutions are smaller
completed). Toxic substances are also stored at the than in other countries (the Ministry of Environment
Ribnita cement plant, reportedly containing toxic in Chisinau only has a staff of 25. But they have
waste imported from Europe (see Ukraine section). made a sustained effort to attract international at-
tention and funding to address the country’s envi-
Up to 3,000 tonnes of pesticides were stored un- ronmental problems. Most of the ministry’s funding
til recently at 340 locations, posing a risk of trans- derives from the National Environmental Fund rather
boundary contamination. They are now being inven- than from direct appropriations, and total expendi-
toried and repackaged with the help of the World ture for environmental protection only amounted to
Bank and NATO for subsequent transfer to safer $2.7 million in 2004. In addition to the staff at min-
locations and disposal. The biggest organised de- istry headquarters, Moldova employs 280 environ-
pot (currently about 4,000 tonnes) is at Cismichioi in mental inspectors and a small number of additional
the south, not far from the Danube. In Transnistria personnel in environment-related agencies such as
about 147 tonnes of unidentified, out-of-date pes- the Agency of Geology and the Hydro-meteorologi-
ticides are stored at 105 locations, 70% of which cal Service.
are unsuitable63. The situation is complicated by the
fact that there is no list of approved pesticides in The EU-Moldova Action plan, drawn up as part of
the Transnistrian region. the EU Neighbourhood Policy, calls for the gradual
harmonisation of Moldova’s laws with the EU ac-
As is the case elsewhere abandoned military facili- quis communautaire. Consequently, harmonisation
ties raise environmental problems. A former airbase of environmental laws with those of the EU has be-
at Marculesti is one of the places where study is come the top priority for the country. The Ministry
required to determine the current extent of oil and of Environment prepared an action plan for harmo-
lubricant pollution and the hazards for the environ- nisation that was, in principle, positively received
ment and human health. Another similar location is in Brussels, but was sent back to Moldova on the
Blijnii Hutor in the Transnistrian region (Catrinescu grounds that it was too ambitious and could not
and Calasnic 1998). be implemented. Moldova subsequently selected
priority areas for action, including framework en-
Moldova is especially concerned about potential vironmental legislation, a legal framework for envi-
environment and security hazards associated with ronmental impact assessment and laws related to
the Russian army depot at Cobasna railway station compliance with the Aarhus Convention.
in the Transnistrian region, close to Ribnita. Accord-
ing to a report by the Moldovan Academy of Sci- Environmental security is discussed at meetings
ences in 2000, weapons and ammunition stockpiles of the High Security Council by the President of
at the station amount to 42,000 tonnes. The OSCE Moldova, and embodied in key documents such
estimates that, with its support, about 50% of this as the Concept of Environmental Policy of Moldova
materiel was transported from Moldova or destroyed (2001), the National Waste Utilisation Programme
between 2000 and 2004. The remaining stockpiles of (2000), the Environmental Security Action Plan
about 20,000 tonnes cover about 1 square kilometre (2003), the National Water Resources Policy 2003-
and a part of it cannot be transported. They should 10 (2003), the National Action Plan on POPs Re-
be destroyed in situ. The simultaneous explosion of duction (2004)65. A national Environmental Security
such large quantities of ammunition may trigger an Programme for the period of up to 2015 has been
environmental and humanitarian disaster64. recently prepared.
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 71
Security Settlement of
Promoting energy External rela- Military re-
the Transnistrian
security tions structuring
Environment conflict
Pesticide stock-
Cobasna ammunition depot
piles
Hazardous sites
and facilities Pollution and waste from the Moldovan GRES
Looking ahead
What has the coming day in store?
Before taking stock and proceeding to immediate
plans and actions for the environment and security,
let us first try to conceive a long-term outlook for
the region and pinpoint some major trends.
There is obviously an urgent need to mitigate threats mental impacts of achieving a secure energy supply.
and strengthen cooperation on Eastern Europe’s ENVSEC partners will expand their work identifying
external and internal borders. The widest range of stocks of, and risks from, obsolete pesticides, one
measures will inevitably be used to enhance dia- of the most widely dispersed categories of hazard-
logue in the region’s concerned areas. Finally future ous waste. Concrete aims will be mitigation of risks
generations will not forgive us if we sacrifice the from pesticide pollution in Moldova and areas that
environment to the short-term political, defence or are sensitive or near borders in Belarus or Ukraine.
energy concerns of the early twenty-first century. Gradual building of public and media awareness of
the impact of environmental problems on security
International institutions can make a meaningful and human development will support ENVSEC in-
contribution by easing tension, solving environmen- terventions as a whole.
tal problems, supporting energy security, boosting
regional stability and promoting stewardship of At a bilateral level ENVSEC will address general
global ecosystems – but to do so they must coop- strategic issues and specific concerns in the Z. Dvi-
erate with one another systematically in a drive to na / Daugava, Neman, Pripyat, Dniester and Dan-
untangle the complex web of relationships between ube basins, complementing a large body of national
energy, security and the environment. and international efforts such as those by the EU
and GEF. Assessment and support for cross-border
Revisiting issues – the ENVSEC management of the Lake Drysviaty area is an ex-
response ample of activity on a smaller scale geographically.
Conventions are ideal instruments for resolving envi-
Returning to the many forms of interaction between ronmental disputes, and ENVSEC will promote their
environmental and security issues in Eastern Europe application to concrete situations (e.g. in the Danube
cited in this report, we can to a broad range of spe- delta and Polesie). ENVSEC will also aim to help the
cific challenges and opportunuties (see box, table, region strengthen mechanisms for the prevention of
and the map of priority areas on page 34). industrial accidents.
The identified concerns call for a comprehensive, Interventions at the national level will address spe-
systematic response. The Environment and Security cific risk factors as much as overall institutional
initiative is only one contributor whose inputs and needs. ENVSEC intends to provide support in vari-
effectiveness will depend primarily on the strength, ous ways: for Moldova, to develop and implement its
expertise and comparative advantages of its partner environmental security strategy and priority actions
organisation and national counterparts. On the basis arising from this document; for Ukraine to combat
of these factors, of partner organisations’ ongoing illegal imports of hazardous waste, to mobilise re-
activities, and of the three countries’ own priorities sources to dispose of toxic components of rocket
expressed throughout the assessment and consul- fuel, and to enhance the armed forces’ environmen-
tations, ENVSEC has identified first-line activities for tal performance; for Belarus to study present-day
the near future. radioactive contamination in Polesie, and to engage
the public in planning hydropower development.
At the broadest level, the initiative will address prob-
lems common to the entire region, such as analys- At the local level attention will be paid to Transnis-
ing the environmental implications of energy security tria in Moldova, with a view to contributing to conflict
to help countries find ways of optimising the environ- resolution by improving environmental protection
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 75
Cap- Policy
Focus areas and projects Countries Asse- Risk
Lead organi- acity deve-
of opera- ssm- reduc-
sations buildi- lopm-
tion ent tion
ng ent
Management of shared environmental resources
UNECE
Transboundary cooperation and sustainable management in
OSCE MD, UA
the Dniester river basin * * *
UNEP
Real-time monitoring and decision support systems for interna- MD, UA,
NATO
tional rivers: the Dniester and Prut rivers RO
76 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
* *
Cross-border assessment and management plan for the Drys- UNEP BY with
viaty / Druksiai lake basin REC (LT) LT, LV * *
UNEP
Cooperative flow and flood management in the upper Pripyat /
UNECE BY, UA
Dnieper - Bug canal basin * * *
OSCE (BY)
Joint research related to activities with transboundary impact in UA, MD,
UNECE
the Danube delta RO * *
Mitigating security risks from sources of pollution and waste
Mitigating risks from stocks of obsolete pesticides in trans- NATO
MD, BY
boundary basins and near-border areas OSCE (MD) * *
Development of capacities for application of the Espoo Con-
UNECE BY, UA
vention * *
Mapping and analysis of distribution and flows of radionuclides BY with
NATO
around the Chernobyl nuclear power plant UA * * *
Strengthening capacities to assess and prevent risks from haz- MD with
UNECE
ardous activities UA, RO * * * *
Addressing environmental aspects of security policies
UNDP
Assessing environmental implications of energy development BY, MD,
UNEP
policies and trends UA * *
UNECE
MD
gramme OSCE * *
UNEP
Awareness, public participation and education on environment BY, MD,
OSCE
and security risks and linkages UA * *
REC
Note: the Work Programme will be continuously adjusted based on emerging needs, completed activities, and available resources.
Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 77
78 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
and developing cooperation. In Crimea ENVSEC will programme’s activities the long-term objective is
strive to support long-term strengthening of environ- to ultimately improve policies and reduce security
mental planning and monitoring of the environmental risks.
components of security with special focus on more
efficient and transparent management of potentially The ENVSEC work programme has so far been based
explosive land disputes. And in the socially and en- on priorities expressed by the countries through the
vironmentally vulnerable industrial areas of Soligorsk assessment process, while taking into account the
(Belarus) and Donbas (Ukraine) the initiative will capacities of the initiative’s partner agencies and
combine its experience in assessing environment the availability of resources. It also reflects the fact
and security risks, exploring options for environmen- that a large amount of work to address many of the
tally sound mining and mine closure, and promoting concerns expressed in the report has been carried
transparency of environmental activities. out or planned by government and non-government
bodies in the countries, or through international
The table presents an overview of first-line activities mechanisms. (Of particular note is the work funded
under the ENVSEC work programme grouped into and supported to-date by the European Union, the
thematic clusters (shared resources; sources of pol- Global Environment Facility, bilateral donor govern-
lution or waste; environmental aspects of security ments and international organisations permanently
policies; areas with overlapping environment-securi- present in the countries.) The initiative will therefore
ty concerns; and overall institutional strengthening). give priority to situations in which there are still gaps
At the same time this classification is still tentative: for which ENVSEC can offer productive ideas and
most projects are designed, in so far as possible, solutions, wherever possible in cooperation and
to address several aspects of environment-security synergy with other players.
interaction simultaneously.
But as in other regions, ENVSEC is a dynamic proc-
Among the various ENVSEC pillars, capacity-build- ess, trying to react to changing priorities, new op-
ing predictably plays a central role. It is by empow- portunities and emerging concerns. The initiative
ering and enabling countries to fully appreciate and sees this assessment as the beginning of a long
take care of their problems that we can pave the way road of cooperation and stronger alliances for the
for lasting and sustainable results. More detailed ap- benefit of people in Belarus, Moldova and Ukraine
praisals will nevertheless be needed for certain ar- along with their neighbours who would all like to live
eas and thematic issues, whereas for most of the in a cleaner and more secure world.
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 79
80 / Environment and Security | Transforming risks into cooperation
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Стратегия экономического роста и снижения уровня бедности (Постановление Правительства № 617 от 4.06
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Энергетическая стратегия Республики Молдова до 2010 года (Постановление Правительства №360 от
11.04.2000)
Endnotes
1
The term ‘hotspot’ in the context of ENVSEC refers 13
See Kažmierkiewicz et al. (2006). With reference to the
to areas where environmental problems may cause Black Sea region Polyakov (2004) writes: “…the last
considerable security risks and challenges. ten years have seen a substantial increase in the role of
2
ENVSEC publications are available at www.envsec.org/. the […] region as a source and target for new security
3
For instance in the Southern Caucasus the ENVSEC threats, it is the region’s growth as a transit area that
Initiative has found that population growth and rapid is the most threatening, both regionally and globally.
development in big cities result in a combination At the core of this threat is the growth of transnational
of environmental and social stresses, which in turn criminal networks, which have firmly established
overburden existing institutions and life-support themselves within the region, taking advantage of the
systems and jeopardise the overall regional stability security vacuum, ethnic conflicts and separatism, weak
(ENVSEC 2004a). democracies, and increasing trade. These networks
4
Examples of such policies include conservation and provide the operational capabilities for smuggling
ecotourism in countryside, introducing and advertising arms, drugs, people – whether migrants, young
labels for local organic production. women, or terrorist operatives…”
5
The term «Eastern Europe» as used in Russian 14
Azerbaijan and Georgia withdrew from the CIS Collective
terminology earlier, was applied to European socialist Security Treaty in 1999. Uzbekistan withdrew from the
countries outside the USSR. (Now these countries are Treaty in 1999 to join GUAM, but left it in 2006 to rejoin
considered to be a part of Central or South-Eastern the CIS institution.
Europe.) In earlier English terminology the name usually 15
Speaking on 17 April 2007 at the Meeting of the UN
also included the USSR. Security Council, the UN Secretary-General Ban
6
For example, at the time of the USSR’s collapse Ukraine Kimoon said with reference to impact of climate
alone had on its territory over 1,240 nuclear heads, change on peace and security: “This is especially true
most of which were transferred to Russia with their in vulnerable regions that face multiple stresses at the
delivery systems between 1994 and 1996 (Global same time – pre-existing conflict, poverty and unequal
Security 2006). Belarus became a non-nuclear state in access to resources, weak institutions, food insecurity
1996. and incidence of diseases such as HIV/AIDS” (UN
7
Marples (1996) makes this point in relation to Belarus, Department of Public Information 2007).
whereas additional evidence on Ukraine is provided in 16
The ESI seeks to measure a country’s ability to “maintain
the respective chapter of this report. favourable environmental conditions in the future” on
8
Also known as the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, the basis of: (1) the state of environmental systems;
Republic of the Two Nations, Rzeczpospolita Obojga (2) stresses on those systems; (3) human vulnerability
Narodów in Polish, Рэч Паспалита абодвух народаў to changes in those systems; (4) capacity to deal with
in Belarusian, Річ Посполита in Ukrainian environmental challenges; and (5) participation in the
9
The Curzon Line running through Grodno, Brest, management of the global environmental commons.
Dorohusk, Kryliv, to the Carpathian Mountains was first The ESI is based on 68 variables, including air and
designated as Poland’s eastern border by the Allied water quality, child mortality, and institutionalised
Supreme Council on 8 December 1919. In July 1920 corruption. The ESI ranked 142 countries in 2002 and
the same line was proposed by the British foreign 146 in 2005. All three Eastern European countries are
secretary, Lord Curzon as the border between Poland in relatively weak positions on the ESI, though Ukraine
and Soviet Russia. The Peace Treaty of Riga between stands out as particularly vulnerable. For a discussion
Poland and the Soviet republics (1921) gave Poland of ESI methodology, see www.ciesin.columbia.edu/
some 135,000 square kilometres of territory east of the indicators/ESI/index.html. For a critical analysis of
Curzon Line. In 1939 the Curzon Line was accepted ESI-2002 see Environment Daily No. 1152 (February 6,
as the German-Soviet boundary in the pact between 2002), available at www.environmentdaily.com.
Germany and the USSR. Finally, the Curzon Line was 17
According to the widely quoted Transparency
accepted as the Polish-Soviet boundary at the Yalta International’s (2007) Corruption Perception Index,
Conference (February 1945), this time with corrections Belarus is on the 151st place (out of 163 countries
in favour of Poland (Yakemtchuk 1957). ranked) whereas Moldova is in 79th and Ukraine in
10
Some nations neighbouring Eastern Europe named 99th position.
this feature in specific terms, such as the Swedish 18
The Forum estimates the number of past and future
reference to gränsefolk – “border people” – for deaths induced by radiation, largely from thyroid
Belarusians and Ukrainians (e.g. Abrahamson 2001). cancer, at 4,000 to 10,000; the lower number was
11
A recent opinion poll about future EU enlargement communicated more broadly. Given the uncertainty
asked about the possibility of Ukraine becoming a associated with such large-scale multi-factor studies,
full member by 2020. Only 35% answered favourably. many commentators note that future studies may
Turkey scored slightly better than Ukraine, with strengthen the already existing evidence of wider
37% positive responses (see Garcia-Schmidt and health effects that include other forms of cancer,
Hierlemann 2006). genetic effects, immune and cardiovascular diseases.
12
Of all the countries, Belarus has the longest land border Other studies such as The Other Report on Chernobyl
with the EU. (Farlie and Sumner 2006), estimate the total number
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 93
the town of Pogost in 1998. automatic water monitoring stations on the Dniester
36
See for example information provided by UNDP- and Prut), UNECE, OSCE and UNEP (legal and
Belarus at http://un.by/ru/bulletin/2005-3/belarus/ institutional aspects of cooperation, and information
2cf97a162bcf5.html and Soligorsk city government at exchange; see www.dniester.org/).
www.soligorsk.by/ru/info/ssf/health. 45
Some specialists argue, however, that although the
37
In March 2007 more than 100 tonnes of diesel fuel channel is needed for the strategic interests of Ukraine,
was accidentally spilled from the Unecha-Ventspils rapid silting of the river would make it too expensive
pipeline into the Z. Dvina near Bytsevo in the Vitebsk to maintain and, for example, the Ochakiv or Prorva
oblast. Oil contamination reached the Latvian territory. outlets (which belong to less active parts of the delta)
The Latvian Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced its would be much more suitable choices for navigation.
intention to demand monetary compensation (РИА 46
Borders in the Azov Sea and the Kerch Strait are still
Новости 26.03.07, 30.03.07). being negotiated between Russia and Ukraine.
38
See www.decomatom.org.ru/rus/news/dec17a.htm; 47
See news stories at www.podrobnosti.ua/technoxogies/
http://bellona.ru/articles_ru/1151329376.58; www. nature/2006/09/19/349924.html, //proapk.com.
minatom.ru/News/Main/view?id=28084&idChannel= ua/apk/2006/09/18/085738.html, www.unian.
343 net/ukr/news/news-166142.html, www.wz.lviv.
39
See interview with the Latvian Minister of the ua/pages.php?ac=arch&atid=50206, www.zik.
Environment http://rus.delfi.lv/news/press/vesti/article. com.ua/index.php?news_id=48434, //5tv.com.
php?id=14718682 ua/print/101/56/20483/, //news.uaportal.com/pub/
40
29% according to the CIA Factbook, 18% according to news/93495.
the Ukrainian statistics (Demydenko 2006). 48
The most significant accidental spill in the Tisza River
41
Throughout 1990s the increase in energy prices fuelled Basin (TRB) occurred in Baia Mare, on 30 January
inflationary pressure on the Ukrainian economy. The 2000, when a tailing dam broke due to an overflow.
deteriorating economic situation caused a payments The result was a spill of about 100,000 cubic metres
crisis, in which an increasing amount of households of liquid and slurries containing about 50 to 100
and businesses did not pay for energy. In a similar vein tonnes of cyanide, as well as significant amounts
the government did not pay its energy bills to Russia, of heavy metals. Another important accidental spill
which gave rise to a long, heated dispute between the happened in Baia Borsa, Romania, on 10 March 2000,
two countries (UNECE 2004). In early 2006, Gazprom as a consequence of an overflow and breach of the
alleged that Ukraine, in addition to not paying the Novat tailings dam. 100,000 cubic metres of sludge
fair market price, had repeatedly exceeded agreed with about 20,000 tonnes of solid tailings containing
consumption quotas, thus effectively diverting for elevated amounts of heavy metals were released into
its own needs part of the gas destined for export to the Viseu River, a tributary of the Tisza River in northern
Western Europe. Romania. The causes of the break were design
42
International Energy Agency press-release 06/16, (www. deficiencies, operational shortcomings and unusual
iea.org/Textbase/press/pressdetail.asp?PRESS_REL_ weather. On 17 September 2003, a five-kilometre oil
ID=186). See also: ”International Energy Agency Calls slick formed on the Latoritsya River as a result of a
for Efficiency” // Energy Business Review Online, Druzhba oil pipeline incident. The amount released was
24th April 2006 (www.energy-business-review.com/ estimated to be vast, given the pumping rate and the
article_news.asp?guid=AA0BE9AD-09A3-42D9-9959- pipe’s diameter. Moreover, there were no automatic
0D22EBE1C8CF). shut-off valves in place. There was a serious risk that
43
In 2000 the total water consumption in Crimea was about oil would get into the Latyrka River, the only source of
two cubic kilometres, 75% of which was drawn from drinking water for the city of Chop, on the Hungarian-
the Dnieper through the Northern Crimean channel. Ukrainian border, and twenty other settlements in the
Main uses of water include irrigation (67%) and region. Although the spill was largely contained, and
household use (17%). Obviously this makes Crimea downstream nations were little impacted, the treatment
very dependent on the reliability of inter-regional of such accidents remains an everpresent concern
water transfer. The Donbas also experiences water (ENVSEC 2004b).
shortages. Overall in Ukraine there is about 1,700 49
See also Prymachenko (2006), Гопко (2006).
cubic metres of annual water flow per capita, but this 50
In a somewhat similar case, in February 2006 France
includes the flow of the Danube that does not play suspended the decision to send its decommissioned
any significant part in providing Ukrainians with water warship Le Clemenceau to India for scrapping
(Ратанова 2004). (www.indiatogether.org/2006/feb/env-shipretn.
44
Those include EU TACIS (promoting collaboration htm, www.basel.int/press/pnClemenceau.doc).
between Ukraine and Moldova to improve water Ukrainian and Hungarian Ministers of Environment
quality and biodiversity), the German Federal Ministry Protection discussed PREMIX incidents during the
of the Environment (identifying and mitigating risks First Conference of the Parties to the Carpathian
associated with pollution and industrial accidents as Convention. In 2006-7 Ukraine has repeatedly
well as establishing early warning systems; see www. requested Hungary to take the material back (see
dnestrschutz.com/index.html), NATO (installation of www.rbc.ua/rus/newsline/2006/12/13/152739.shtml,
The case of Eastern Europe Belarus – Moldova – Ukraine / 95
Small postal stamps can send strong messages, powerful reflections of the history,
everyday life, worries and aspirations of countries and people.
Stamps from Belarus, Moldova and Ukraine, vividly illustrating the countries’ envi-
ronment and other sides of life, make their contribution.