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Methodology
The objective of the present study is to examine the impact of asset-liability
management on the profitability of the banks. The scope of the study covers both pub-
lic sector and private sector banks in India. A sample of thirty-five banks was consid-
ered for the study. The study period is the financial year 2005-06, with the financial
position of the sample banks considered on March 31st, 2006. The data for the study is
in the form of balance sheets of the sample banks and was collected from the Capital-
ine database. The sample banks are listed in Table 1.
The average profits of the public sector banks were Rs. 673.07 crore, with a
standard deviation of Rs. 868.36 crore, while that of private sector banks were Rs.
410.88 crore, with a standard deviation of Rs. 752.41 crore. The Mann-Whitney test
indicated that public sector banks had significantly higher profits than private sector
banks (z = -2.452, p = 0.007).
The study applied maturity gap analysis to measure the liquidity position of the
sample banks, and to assess the match between assets and liabilities, with the following
maturity brackets: 1-14 days, 15-28 days, 1-3 months, 3-6 months, 6-12 months, 1-3
years, 3-5 years, and 5+ years. This was done by placing all cash inflows (maturing
Regression analysis was used to examine the impact of these mismatches on the
profitability of the banks. The model is given by: i 1 M 1i ... k M ki i ,
where the independent variables M1,… Mk represent the maturity mismatches, and the
dependent variable π represents profit. The constant term α represents the profit level
expected from interest rate spread alone. As the maturity mismatches must sum to zero,
there is expected to be a high degree of multicollinearity among the independent varia-
bles. To deal with this multicollinearity, factor analysis was performed. Thus, it ex-
cluded from consideration three factors: the first represented the maturity mismatch for
1-90 days (i.e. aggregating 1-14 days, 15-28 days, and 1-3 months), the second repre-
sented the maturity mismatch for 3-12 months (aggregating 3-6 months and 6-12
months), and the third represented the maturity mismatch 1+ years (i.e. 1-3 years, 3-5
years, and 5+ years). The same procedure was used for cumulative maturity mismatch-
es; three maturity mismatches were derived. These factors were used in the regressions.
Most of the sample banks were found to have negative mismatches for shorter
maturities, and all banks were found to have positive mismatch for the 3-5 years and
5+ years maturity brackets. Thus, there was found to be a high exposure to short-term
risks. The Mann-Whitney test indicated that the negative maturity mismatches were
significantly worse for the public sector banks in the 15-28 days, 1-3 months, and 3-6
months maturity brackets.
The results of the regressions of profit on the maturity mismatches (model I) and
on cumulative maturity mismatches (model II) are presented in Table 3.
Model I was significant, explaining 78.8% of the variation in profit of the sample
banks. The constant term was significant, indicating a significant interest rate spread. A
negative maturity mismatch for the 1-90 day bracket was found to have a significant
positive impact on profit, while a negative maturity mismatch for the 3-12 months
bracket was found to have a significant negative impact on profit.
Model II was also significant, explaining 78.8% of the variation in profit of the
sample banks. The constant term was significant, indicating a significant interest rate
spread. As in the previous model, a negative cumulative maturity mismatch for the 1-
90 day bracket was found to have a significant positive impact on profit, while a nega-
tive cumulative maturity mismatch for the 3-12 months bracket was found to have a
significant negative impact on profit.
Conclusions
The results of the study indicate that most of the banks are exposed to short term
risk, with negative maturity mismatches in the 1-90 days bracket, and more so for pub-
lic sector banks. However, the regression results indicate that there is an incentive to
maintain negative maturity mismatch in the short-term, as this improves profitability.
Thus, there is a risk-return trade-off for short-term maturity mismatch.
There were several limitations inherent in the study. The sample size was rela-
tively small. Also, the maturity analysis was based on assumptions suggested by RBI,
not necessarily reflecting the actual maturity patterns of the sample banks’ assets and
liabilities. Another difficulty is the limited study period, as the data represents the
banks’ financial status as on 31st March, 2006. The results of the study may not gener-
alize to other periods, particularly after the banking crisis following the Global Finan-
cial Crisis of 2007-08. There is a great scope for further study, extending the study to
include the longitudinal perspective, and perhaps to consider the impact of maturity
mismatches on other performance parameters, e.g. risk, non-performing assets, effi-
ciency, and value. The impact of interest rate sensitivity on bank performance could
also be investigated.
References
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