Electronic Markets may not be blindingly efficient because of the nature of a market. Uncertainty about product quality or an asymmetric information problem may bring market failure. Micropayments and smart cards will enhance market efficiency even when sellers or sellers' agents do not provide product information.
Electronic Markets may not be blindingly efficient because of the nature of a market. Uncertainty about product quality or an asymmetric information problem may bring market failure. Micropayments and smart cards will enhance market efficiency even when sellers or sellers' agents do not provide product information.
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Electronic Markets may not be blindingly efficient because of the nature of a market. Uncertainty about product quality or an asymmetric information problem may bring market failure. Micropayments and smart cards will enhance market efficiency even when sellers or sellers' agents do not provide product information.
Direitos autorais:
Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Formatos disponíveis
Baixe no formato PDF, TXT ou leia online no Scribd
Intermediation, Contracts and Micropayments Myhrvold, Microsoft’s chief technology
officer, the Internet is full of “crap.” in Electronic Commerce (Newsweek, August 11, 1997). Under an incomplete analysis that digital products by Soon-Yong Choi, Dale O. Stahl, and Andrew B. Whinston, University of Texas at Austin, USA* have zero marginal costs, the optimal price for any electronic information is said to Will the electronic marketplace be fric- pay only the expected, average price, be zero as well (The Economist, May 10th, tionless and economically efficient or which drives out good products and leaves 1997). suffer from mundane problems found in only bad products (lemons). physical markets? Some imagine electronic The emerging business model here is free commerce as a perfect market platform Aspects of electronic commerce indicate information based on advertising. The supported by computer technologies and that the quality uncertainty problem will implication is clearly that only firms process innovations; however, despite the persist or worsen. Many digital products established in physical markets will be advantages over physical markets, elec- are experience goods which buyers must accepted in the virtual market as well. tronic markets may not be blindingly ef- consume to learn their quality; however, These firms are striving for market ficient because of the nature of a market. information product sellers are reluctant dominance by pushing existing contents We discuss one reason why this will be to offer product information prior to pur- and entertainment through broadcast- the case, and summarize innovative proc- chase because product information is of- based models and subscription plans. How esses to prevent market failure. ten the product itself. Visual inspection would individual producers be allowed to will not be effective because all digital trade their products in the electronic The problem is the uncertainty about prod- products are essentially ones and zeros. marketplace? The key to promoting uct quality or an asymmetric information Also, information for single-use, short- diversity in information production and problem which may bring about market term consumption may come from small trade is found in intermediaries using failure. In physical markets, various me- individual vendors who may not have short-term contracts and micropayments. chanisms—such as advertising, try-outs, long-term market presence or reputation. reputation, standards and certification— Intermediaries and Short-Term help reduce the uncertainty. While the These observations and anecdotal evidence Contracts same mechanisms may be used in elec- suggest that information offered in mil- The need for an intermediary is often tronic commerce, they do not guarantee lions of personal Web pages is of uncer- dismissed in the direct seller-to-buyer that the efficiency of electronic markets tain quality. According to Nathan transaction model often envisioned for will be any better than that of physical electronic commerce. For example, tra- markets. On the other hand, new processes ditional wholesalers and retailers provide can be established in electronic markets geographic coverage and access to a offering better results. One example is the certain product. The virtual market has use of micropayments and smart cards. In * Soon-Yong Choi little need for such distributional conjunction with intermediaries and short- (soon@mail.utexas.edu), intermediaries. Intermediaries who invest term contracts, micropayments will en- Dale O. Stahl (stahl@eco.utexas.edu) in product knowledge and testing will also hance market efficiency even when sell- and Andrew B. Whinston be less important if products in question ers or sellers’ agents do not provide (abw@uts.cc.utexas.edu) are unsophisticated and of low-value. product information. are coauthors of the book “The Checking and guaranteeing the quality of Economics of Electronic Commerce” millions of Web page information will be Quality Uncertainty and the Market (Macmillan Technical Publishing, 1997) inefficient and ineffective. for Lemons and associated with the Center Whether it is a physical or a virtual mar- for Research in Electronic Commerce Electronic commerce intermediaries must, ket, one of the primary reasons why a (http://cism.bus.utexas.edu) at the therefore, perform as a quality guarantor market fails is asymmetric information: University of Texas at Austin. but without incurring high transaction what a seller knows is different from what Professor Whinston is also coauthor costs. But, how can an intermediary assure a buyer knows. For example, the uncer- of “Frontiers of Electronic Commerce”, that its suppliers maintain high quality tainty in product quality results in a mar- “Readings in Electronic Commerce” without continuous quality checks and ket for lemons (Akerlof 1970). In such a and “Electronic Commerce: assurance mechanisms? Recent researches market, sellers do not have a means to A Manager’s Guide.“ in contracting theory have suggested that convince buyers of the quality of their an electronic commerce intermediary can product. Buyers, therefore, are willing to guarantee high quality at minimal costs.
EM – Electronic Markets 20 Focus Theme
In a study of subcontracting systems of References The primary argument against micro-pay-
the U.S. and Japanese purchasing regimes, ments is based on the observation that Akerlof, G., “The Market for Lemons: Taylor and Wiggins (AER forthcoming) people seem to prefer subscription and Quality Uncertainty and the Market found that the competitive bidding system bundling as evidenced in newspapers and Mechanism,” Quarterly Journal of used in the U.S. was well suited for mass- cable programming. However, the reasons Economics (84), 1970, pp. 488-500. production facilities with intermittent for this preference are more technological production runs. In this type of bidding, Bernheim, B.D., and Whinston, M. D. than economic. Cable system operators product quality is specified in detail and “Incomplete Contracts and Strategic have not invested in an elaborate billing inspected fully upon delivery. Japanese’s Ambiguity,” Forthcoming in American system as have telephone companies, be- just-in-time purchasing system, on the Economic Review. ing content with charging monthly fees other hand, accommodates a more flexible for a given number of channels—a take- Choi, Soon-Yong, “Service Tiers, production process, where frequent it-or-leave-it marketing. To implement Pricing and Competition in the Cable production runs of small quantity require consumer choices, the required investment Television Industry,” Mimeo, 1996 just-in-time supplies with minimal deli- in billing and accounting system and net- (http://uts.cc.utexas.edu/~soon/vita/ very and inspection costs. The just-in- work delivery hardware has become pro- cabletier-abs.html“). time supply system will be highly relevant hibitive. If cable operators had invested for personalized information products The Economist, “Electronic Commerce: in these technologies and equipment, they sold in electronic commerce. The key In Search of the Perfect Market,” Special would have been well prepared to offer element of this system is the open-ended insert, May 10, 1997. more choices to their subscribers beyond contract with suppliers whose deliveries a few tiers. Even with a few tiers, an Newsweek, “Disney’s Wizards,” are not inspected. Rather, the contract will empirical test shows that two-tier cable August 11, 1997, pp. 48-51. be terminated if the manufacturer systems charge 15% to 20% more for the encounters many instances of low quality. Taylor, C.R., and Wiggins, S. N., same cable service than one-tier systems. The reward for high quality is the con- “Competition or Compensation: The increased price and profit comes from tinued business relationship with the Supplier Incentives Under the American market segmentation (Choi 1996). Profits manufacturer. and Japanese Subcontracting Systems,” increase as the segmentation becomes Forthcoming in American Economic finer. If technologies were permitting, we Such an open-ended, incomplete contract Review. would see finer differentiation and market may end up inducing the best outcome segmentation even in newspaper pro- (Bernheim and Whinston, AER forth- duction and delivery. coming). In a short-term but renewable Micropayments and Product contract discussed by Bernheim and Unbundling Despite this clear trend toward un- Whinston, the quality is not verifiable but To allow short-term purchases and offer bundling, microtransactions and micro- its result—maintaining high quality—is choices for consumers, an electronic payments are dismissed in the digital observable. An incomplete contract commerce intermediary needs a payment marketplace in favor of selling large rewards such an observable performance mechanism for individual product pricing. bundles in aggregated bills without by suppliers. In electronic commerce, an Digital coins and smart cards have received encouraging a market for information on intermediary may offer an incomplete much attention for their cash-like demand, small applets or your personal contract to individual information anonymity. A more compelling economic columns. Large digital content providers producers, who will supply products rationale for micropayments, however, is are engaged in a two-pronged strategy for whenever there is a buyer. The trade occurs their role in enabling short-term contracts electronic commerce. On the one hand, under the guarantee of the intermediary and quality-assured intermediation as we they don’t see any commercial value in who terminates the contract if it receives discussed above. Furthermore, information the exploding information offered via a certain number of complaints. In a way, is highly personalized. Product custo- millions of World Wide Web homepages. this intermediary resembles CNN or the mization means the finest market That’s a bad news for those individuals New York Times who intermediates its segmentation. For example, some con- who wish to cash in by selling bits of suppliers (reporters and columnists) and sumers may want only one or two cable information. On the other hand, these large customers (readers). These virtual versions TV channels; others may want different companies are developing technologies to of CNN build reputation not by checking combinations of channels. A flexible and measure and control usage so that every each news report or column but by profitable product selection strategy is to bit of use will be metered and billed for maintaining long-term market presence allow consumers to match products with their software and information products. with short-term incentive contracts with their tastes, which enables the firm to If you are a small player and have no links suppliers. charge maximum price. to large payment clearing service pro-
21 Vol.8 – No.1 – 1998
Focus Theme
viders, there will be no way of billing visi- Agents as Mediators in
tors to your homepage. In this game, free speech advocates and big businesses have Electronic Commerce become strange bed fellows arguing by Robert H. Guttman, Alexandros G. Moukas and Pattie Maes, MIT Media Laboratory, USA* against micropayments. Contrary to common belief, however, efficient inter- mediaries and micropayments may very Abstract mal transaction decision (e.g., making well be the savior of the free speech and Software agents help automate a variety stock market buying and selling decisions free information in the digital age. of tasks including those involved in buy- or buying a car)? What are the conse- ing and selling products over the Internet. quences for missed opportunities (e.g., not Concluding Remarks This paper surveys several of these agent- being able to effectively monitor new job Although it is well understood that the mediated electronic commerce systems by postings)? Internet presents an exciting opportunities describing their roles in the context of a to reduce transaction costs, its future may Consumer Buying Behavior (CBB) model. Generally, the more time and money that depend on how non-technological but The CBB model we present augments tra- can be saved through automation, the fundamentally economic issues such as the ditional marketing models with concepts easier it is to express preferences, the lesser lemons problem are solved. A market from Software Agents research to accom- the risks of making sub-optimal transac- where buyers and sellers trade goods modate electronic markets. tion decisions, and the greater the loss for electronically lacks many of the con- missed opportunities, the more appropri- ventional ways to assess the quality of a Introduction ate it is to employ agent technologies in product. We have explored how inter- Software agents are programs to which one electronic commerce. mediaries using short-term contracts and can delegate (aspects of) a task. They differ microtransactions can reduce transaction from “traditional” software in that they are Roles of Agents as Mediators costs for verifying quality. Organizing and personalized, continuously running and in Electronic Commerce managing such an information inter- semi-autonomous. These qualities make It is useful to explore the roles of agents mediary is being experimented in a project agents useful for a wide variety of infor- as mediators in electronic commerce in the by the CREC (http://cism.bus.utexas.edu). mation and process management tasks [1]. context of a common model. The model Furthermore, any little bit of information It should come as no surprise that these we present stems from traditional market- should find a market to trade in if same qualities are particularly useful for the ing Consumer Buying Behavior (CBB) re- electronic commerce were to ferment a information-rich and process-rich environ- search and comprises the actions and de- truly informational age. Micropayments ment of electronic commerce. cisions involved in buying and using and intermediaries in electronic com- goods and services. However, we augment merce will play an important role toward Electronic commerce encompasses a broad traditional CBB models with concepts from that goal. range of issues including security, trust, Software Agents research to accommodate reputation, law, payment mechanisms, electronic markets. advertising, ontologies, electronic product catalogs (EPCs), intermediaries, multime- Although CBB research covers many ar- dia shopping experiences, and back-office eas, it is important to recognize its limita- management. Agent technologies can be tions up-front. For example, CBB research applied to any of these areas where a per- focuses primarily on retail markets (al- sonalized, continuously running semi-au- though many CBB concepts pertain to tonomous behavior is desirable. However, business-to-business and consumer-to- certain characteristics will determine to consumer markets as well) [2, 3]. Even what extent agent technologies are appro- within retail, not all shopping behaviors priate. are captured (e.g., impulse purchasing). Also, as mentioned earlier, electronic com- For example, how much time or money merce covers a broad range of issues, some could be saved if a certain process was of which are beyond the scope of a CBB partially automated (e.g., comparing prod- model (e.g., back-office management and ucts from multiple merchants)? How easy other merchant issues). Nevertheless, the is it to express your preferences for the CBB model is a powerful tool to help us task (e.g., shopping for a gift)? What are understand the roles of agents as media- the risks of an agent making a sub-opti- tors in electronic commerce.