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25% (2002 est.) [3]
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The economy of India, measured in USD exchange-rate terms, is the twelfth largest
in the world, with a GDP of US $1.50 trillion (2008).[1] It has a GDP growth rate of 9.4%
for the fiscal year 2006–2007.[2] However, India's huge population has a per capita
income of $4,542 at PPP and $1,089 in nominal terms (revised 2007 estimate).[3][4]
The World Bank classifies India as a low-income economy.[5][6]
India's economy is diverse, encompassing agriculture, handicrafts, textile,
manufacturing, and a multitude of services. Although two-thirds of the Indian
workforce still earn their livelihood directly or indirectly through agriculture, services
are a growing sector and play an increasingly important role of India's economy. The
advent of the digital age, and the large number of young and educated populace
fluent in English, is gradually transforming India as an important 'back office'
destination for global outsourcing of customer services and technical support. India is
a major exporter of highly-skilled workers in software and financial services, and
software engineering. Other sectors like manufacturing, pharmaceuticals,
biotechnology, nanotechnology, telecommunication, shipbuilding, aviation , tourism
and retailing are showing strong potentials with higher growth rates.
India followed a socialist-inspired approach for most of its independent history, with
strict government control over private sector participation, foreign trade, and foreign
direct investment. However, since the early 1990s, India has gradually opened up its
markets through economic reforms by reducing government controls on foreign trade
and investment. The privatisation of publicly owned industries and the opening up of
certain sectors to private and foreign interests has proceeded slowly amid political
debate.
India faces a fast-growing population and the challenge of reducing economic and
social inequality. Poverty remains a serious problem, although it has declined
significantly since independence. Official surveys estimated that in the year 2004-
2005, 27% of Indians were poor.
Contents
[hide]
• 1 History
o 1.1 Pre-colonial
o 1.2 Colonial
o 1.3 Independence to 1991
o 1.4 After 1991
• 2 Government intervention
o 2.1 State planning and the mixed economy
o 2.2 Public expenditure
o 2.3 Public receipts
o 2.4 General budget
• 3 Currency system
o 3.1 Rupee
• 4 Natural resources
• 5 Physical infrastructure
• 6 Financial institutions
• 7 Sectors
o 7.1 Agriculture
o 7.2 Industry
o 7.3 Services
o 7.4 Banking and finance
• 8 Socio-economic characteristics
o 8.1 Poverty
o 8.2 Corruption
o 8.3 Occupations and unemployment
o 8.4 Regional imbalance
• 9 External trade and investment
o 9.1 Global trade relations
o 9.2 Balance of payments
o 9.3 Foreign direct investment in India
• 10 See also
• 11 Notes
• 12 References
• 13 External links
[edit] History
Main articles: Economic history of India and Timeline of the economy of India
India's economic history can be broadly divided into three eras, beginning with the
pre-colonial period lasting up to the 17th century. The advent of British colonisation
started the colonial period in the 17th century, which ended with independence in
1947. The third period stretches from independence in 1947 until now.
[edit] Pre-colonial
The citizens of the Indus Valley civilisation, a permanent and predominantly urban
settlement that flourished between 2800 BC and 1800 BC, practised agriculture,
domesticated animals, used uniform weights and measures, made tools and weapons,
and traded with other cities. Evidence of well planned streets, a drainage system and
water supply reveals their knowledge of urban planning, which included the world's
first urban sanitation systems and the existence of a form of municipal government.[7]
Silver coin minted during the reign of the Gupta king Kumara Gupta I (AD 414–55)
The 1872 census revealed that 99.3% of the population of the region constituting
present-day India resided in villages,[8] whose economies were largely isolated and
self-sustaining, with agriculture the predominant occupation. This satisfied the food
requirements of the village and provided raw materials for hand-based industries,
such as textiles, food processing and crafts. Although many kingdoms and rulers
issued coins, barter was prevalent. Villages paid a portion of their agricultural produce
as revenue to the rulers, while its craftsmen received a part of the crops at harvest
time for their services.[9]
Religion, especially Hinduism, and the caste and the joint family systems, played an
influential role in shaping economic activities.[10] The caste system functioned much
like medieval European guilds, ensuring the division of labour, providing for the
training of apprentices and, in some cases, allowing manufacturers to achieve narrow
specialization. For instance, in certain regions, producing each variety of cloth was the
speciality of a particular sub-caste.
Estimates of the per capita income of India (1857–1900) as per 1948–49 prices.[11]
Textiles such as muslin, Calicos, shawls, and agricultural products such as pepper,
cinnamon, opium and indigo were exported to Europe, the Middle East and South East
Asia in return for gold and silver.[12]
Assessment of India's pre-colonial economy is mostly qualitative, owing to the lack of
quantitative information. One estimate puts the revenue of Akbar's Mughal Empire in
1600 at £17.5 million, in contrast with the total revenue of Great Britain in 1800,
which totalled £16 million.[13] India, by the time of the arrival of the British, was a
largely traditional agrarian economy with a dominant subsistence sector dependent
on primitive technology. It existed alongside a competitively developed network of
commerce, manufacturing and credit. After the fall of the Mughals, India was
administered by Maratha Empire. The maratha empire's budget in 1740s, at its peak,
was Rs. 100 million. After the loss at Panipat, the maratha empire disintegrated into
confederate states of Gwalior, Baroda, Indore, Jhansi, Nagpur, Pune and Kolhapur.
Gwalior state had a budget of Rs. 30M. However, at this time, British East India
company entered the Indian political theatre. Until, 1857, when India was firmly under
the British crown, the country remained in a state of political instability due to
internecine wars and conflicts.[14]
[edit] Colonial
Colonial rule brought a major change in the taxation environment from revenue taxes
to property taxes resulting in mass impoverishment and destitution of the great
majority of farmers. It also created an institutional environment that, on paper,
guaranteed property rights among the colonizers, encouraged free trade, and created
a single currency with fixed exchange rates, standardized weights and measures,
capital markets, a well developed system of railways and telegraphs, a civil service
that aimed to be free from political interference, and a common-law, adversarial legal
system.[15] India's colonisation by the British coincided with major changes in the
world economy—industrialisation, and significant growth in production and trade.
However, at the end of colonial rule, India inherited an economy that was one of the
poorest in the developing world,[16] with industrial development stalled, agriculture
unable to feed a rapidly growing population, one of the world's lowest life
expectancies, and low rates of literacy.
An estimate by Cambridge University historian Angus Maddison reveals that India's
share of the world income fell from 22.6% in 1700, comparable to Europe's share of
23.3%, to a low of 3.8% in 1952.[17] While Indian leaders during the Independence
struggle, and left-nationalist economic historians have blamed colonial rule for the
dismal state of India's economy in its aftermath, a broader macroeconomic view of
India during this period reveals that there were sectors of growth and decline,
resulting from changes brought about by colonialism and a world that was moving
towards industrialisation and economic integration.[18][19]
Goldman Sachs has predicted that India will become 3rd largest economy of the world by
2035 based on predicted growth rate of 5.3 to 6.1%. Currently It is cruising at 9.4% growth
rate.
In the late 80s, the government led by Rajiv Gandhi eased restrictions on capacity
expansion for incumbents, removed price controls and reduced corporate taxes. While
this increased the rate of growth, it also led to high fiscal deficits and a worsening
current account. The collapse of the Soviet Union, which was India's major trading
partner, and the first Gulf War, which caused a spike in oil prices, caused a major
balance-of-payments crisis for India, which found itself facing the prospect of
defaulting on its loans.[23] In response, Prime Minister Narasimha Rao along with his
finance minister Manmohan Singh initiated the economic liberalisation of 1991. The
reforms did away with the Licence Raj (investment, industrial and import licensing)
and ended many public monopolies, allowing automatic approval of foreign direct
investment in many sectors.[24] Since then, the overall direction of liberalisation has
remained the same, irrespective of the ruling party, although no party has tried to
take on powerful lobbies such as the trade unions and farmers, or contentious issues
such as reforming labour laws and reducing agricultural subsidies.[25]
Since 1990 India has emerged as one of the wealthiest economies in the developing
world; during this period, the economy has grown constantly, but with a few major
setbacks. This has been accompanied by increases in life expectancy, literacy rates
and food security.
While the credit rating of India was hit by its nuclear tests in 1998, it has been raised
to investment level in 2007 by S&P and Moody's.[26][dead link][27] In 2003, Goldman Sachs
predicted that India's GDP in current prices will overtake France and Italy by 2020,
Germany, UK and Russia by 2025 and Japan by 2035. By 2035, it was projected to be
the third largest economy of the world, behind US and China.[28][29]
The number of people employed in non-agricultural occupations in the public and private
sectors. Totals are rounded. Private sector data relates to non-agriculture establishments with
10 or more employees.[31]
India's mixed economy combines features of both capitalist market economy and the
socialist planned economy, but has shifted more towards the former over the past
decade. The public sector generally covers areas which are deemed too important or
not profitable enough to leave to the market, including such services as the railways
and postal system.
Since independence, there have been phases of nationalizing such areas as banking.
More recently, there have been phases of privatizing such sectors.[31]
Headquarters of India's central bank, the Reserve Bank of India, in Mumbai (It's the tall
building in the background. The building in the foreground is the Asiatic Library)
India's non-development revenue expenditure has increased nearly fivefold in 2003–
04 since 1990–91 and more than tenfold since 1985–1986. Interest payments are the
single largest item of expenditure and accounted for more than 40% of the total non
development expenditure in the 2003–04 budget. Defence expenditure increased
fourfold during the same period and has been increasing due to growing tensions in
the region, the expensive dispute with Pakistan over Jammu and Kashmir and an
effort to modernise the military. Administrative expenses are compounded by a large
salary and pension bill, which rises periodically due to revisions in wages, dearness
allowance etc. subsidies on food, fertilizers, education and petroleum and other merit
and non-merit subsidies account are not only continuously rising, especially because
of rising crude oil and food prices, but are also harder to rein in, because of political
compulsions.[34][31]
India has a three-tier tax structure, wherein the constitution empowers the union
government to levy income tax, tax on capital transactions (wealth tax, inheritance
tax), sales tax, service tax, customs and excise duties and the state governments to
levy sales tax on intrastate sale of goods, tax on entertainment and professions,
excise duties on manufacture of alcohol, stamp duties on transfer of property and
collect land revenue (levy on land owned). The local governments are empowered by
the state government to levy property tax, Octroi and charge users for public utilities
like water supply, sewage etc.[35][36] More than half of the revenues of the union and
state governments come from taxes, of which half come from Indirect taxes. More
than a quarter of the union government's tax revenues is shared with the state
governments.[37]
The tax reforms, initiated in 1991, have sought to rationalise the tax structure and
increase compliance by taking steps in the following directions:
• Reducing the rates of individual and corporate income taxes, excises, customs and
making it more progressive
• Reducing exemptions and concessions
• Simplification of laws and procedures
• Introduction of Permanent account number to track monetary transactions
• 21 of the 29 states introduced Value added tax (VAT) on April 1, 2005 to replace the
complex and multiple sales tax system[36][38]
The non-tax revenues of the central government come from fiscal services, interest
receipts, public sector dividends, etc., while the non-tax revenues of the States are
grants from the central government, interest receipts, dividends and income from
general, economic and social services.[34]
Inter-State share in the federal tax pool is decided by the recommendations of the
Finance Commission to the President.
The Finance minister of India presents the annual union budget in the Parliament on
the last working day of February. The budget has to be passed by the Lok Sabha
before it can come into effect on April 1, the start of India's fiscal year. The Union
budget is preceded by an economic survey which outlines the broad direction of the
budget and the economic performance of the country for the outgoing financial year.
This economic survey involves all the various NGOs, women organizations, business
people, old people associations etc.
India's union budget for 2005–06, had an estimated outlay of Rs.5,14,344 crores
($118 billion). Earnings from taxes amount to Rs. 2,73,466 crore ($63b). India's fiscal
deficit amounts to 4.5% or 1,39,231 crore ($32b).[39] The fiscal deficit is expected to
be 3.8% of GDP, by March 2007.[40]
Mumbai Airport
Cuffe Parade is an important business district in Mumbai, home to the World Trade Center
as well as other important financial institutions
India inherited several institutions, such as the civil services, Reserve Bank of India,
railways, etc., from its British rulers. Mumbai serves as the nation's commercial
capital, with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the
National Stock Exchange (NSE) located here. The headquarters of many financial
institutions are also located in the city.
Cyber Greens Office Complex. Containing offices like ABN Amro, Microsoft.
The RBI, the country's central bank was established on 1 April 1935. It serves as the
nation's monetary authority, regulator and supervisor of the financial system,
manager of exchange control and as an issuer of currency. The RBI is governed by a
central board, headed by a governor who is appointed by the Central government of
India.
The BSE Sensex or the BSE Sensitive Index is a value-weighted index composed of 30
companies with April 1979 as the base year (100). These companies have the largest
and most actively traded stocks and are representative of various sectors, on the
Exchange. They account for around one-fifth of the market capitalisation of the BSE.
The Sensex is generally regarded as the most popular and precise barometer of the
Indian stock markets. Incorporated in 1992, the National Stock Exchange is one of the
largest and most advanced stock markets in India. The NSE is the world's third largest
stock exchange in terms of transactions. There are a total of 23 stock exchanges in
India, but the BSE and NSE comprise 83% of the volumes.[49] The Securities and
Exchange Board of India (SEBI), established in 1992, regulates the stock markets and
other securities markets of the country.
[edit] Sectors
[edit] Agriculture
[edit] Industry
Per capita GDP (at PPP) of South Asian economies versus those of South Korea, as a
percentage of the US[20][53]
India is fourteenth in the world in factory output. They together account for 27.6% of
the GDP and employ 17% of the total workforce.[4] However, about one-third of the
industrial labour force is engaged in simple household manufacturing only. [5]
Economic reforms brought foreign competition, led to privatisation of certain public
sector industries, opened up sectors hitherto reserved for the public sector and led to
an expansion in the production of fast-moving consumer goods.[54]
Post-liberalisation, the Indian private sector, which was usually run by oligopolies of
old family firms and required political connections to prosper was faced with foreign
competition, including the threat of cheaper Chinese imports. It has since handled the
change by squeezing costs, revamping management, focusing on designing new
products and relying on low labour costs and technology.[55]
34 Indian companies have been listed in the Forbes Global 2000 ranking for 2008.[56]
The 10 leading companies are:
Market
Revenue Profits Assets
World Value
Company Logo Industry (billion (billion (billion
Rank (billion
$) $) $)
$)
Reliance Oil & Gas
193 26.07 2.79 30.67 89.29
Industries Operations
Oil and Natural Oil & Gas
198 18.90 4.11 33.79 54.11
Gas Corporation Operations
State Bank of
219 Banking 15.77 1.47 188.56 33.29
India
Indian Oil Oil & Gas
303 42.68 1.82 25.39 16.36
Corporation Operations
374 ICICI Bank Banking 9.84 0.64 91.07 29.85
411 NTPC Utilities 7.84 1.60 20.34 41.57
Steel Authority
647 Materials 7.88 1.45 8.05 26.37
of India Limited
738 Tata Steel Materials 5.83 0.97 11.48 14.63
Telecommunications
826 Bharti Airtel 4.26 0.94 6.61 39.16
Services
Reliance Telecommunications
846 3.13 0.65 13.08 29.63
Communications Services
[edit] Services
Structure of the organised banking sector in India. Number of banks are in brackets.[58]
The Indian money market is classified into: the organised sector (comprising private,
public and foreign owned commercial banks and cooperative banks, together known
as scheduled banks); and the unorganised sector (comprising individual or family
owned indigenous bankers or money lenders and non-banking financial companies
(NBFCs)). The unorganised sector and microcredit are still preferred over traditional
banks in rural and sub-urban areas, especially for non-productive purposes, like
ceremonies and short duration loans.[59]
Prime Minister Indira Gandhi nationalised 14 banks in 1969, followed by six others in
1980, and made it mandatory for banks to provide 40% of their net credit to priority
sectors like agriculture, small-scale industry, retail trade, small businesses, etc. to
ensure that the banks fulfill their social and developmental goals. Since then, the
number of bank branches has increased from 10,120 in 1969 to 98,910 in 2003 and
the population covered by a branch decreased from 63,800 to 15,000 during the
same period. The total deposits increased 32.6 times between 1971 to 1991
compared to 7 times between 1951 to 1971. Despite an increase of rural branches,
from 1,860 or 22% of the total number of branches in 1969 to 32,270 or 48%, only
32,270 out of 5 lakh (500,000) villages are covered by a scheduled bank.[60][61]
Since liberalisation, the government has approved significant banking reforms. While
some of these relate to nationalised banks (like encouraging mergers, reducing
government interference and increasing profitability and competitiveness), other
reforms have opened up the banking and insurance sectors to private and foreign
players.[62][4]
[edit] Corruption
Agricultural and allied sectors accounted for about 57% of the total workforce in
1999–2000, down from 60% in 1993–94. While agriculture has faced stagnation in
growth, services have seen a steady growth. Of the total workforce, 8% is in the
organised sector, two-thirds of which are in the public sector. The NSSO survey
estimated that in 1999–2000, 106 million, nearly 10% of the population were
unemployed and the overall unemployment rate was 7.32%, with rural areas doing
marginally better (7.21%) than urban areas (7.65%).
Unemployment in India is characterised by chronic underemployment or disguised
unemployment. Government schemes that target eradication of both poverty and
unemployment, (Which in recent decades has sent millions of poor and unskilled
people into urban areas in search of livelihoods.) attempt to solve the problem, by
providing financial assistance for setting up businesses, skill honing, setting up public
sector enterprises, reservations in governments, etc. The decreased role of the public
sector after liberalisation has further underlined the need for focusing on better
education and has also put political pressure on further reforms.[73][31]
[edit] External trade Share of top five investing countries in FDI inflows. (2000–2007) [78]
and investment
Inflows
Rank Country Inflows (%)
[edit] Global trade (Million USD)
relations
[79]
India currently accounts for 0.67% 1 Mauritius 85,178 44.24%
of World trade as of 2002
according to the WTO.[80] Until the 2 United States 18,040 9.37%
liberalisation of 1991, India was
largely and intentionally isolated
from the world markets, to protect 3 United Kingdom 15,363 7.98%
its fledging economy and to
achieve self-reliance. Foreign
trade was subject to import tariffs, 4 Netherlands 11,177 5.81%
export taxes and quantitative
restrictions, while foreign direct
5 Singapore 9,742 5.06%
investment was restricted by
upper-limit equity participation,
restrictions on technology transfer, export obligations and government approvals;
these approvals were needed for nearly 60% of new FDI in the industrial sector. The
restrictions ensured that FDI averaged only around $200M annually between 1985
and 1991; a large percentage of the capital flows consisted of foreign aid, commercial
borrowing and deposits of non-resident Indians.[81]
Since independence, India's balance of payments on its current account has been
negative. Since liberalisation in the 1990s (precipitated by a balance of payment
crisis), India's exports have been consistently rising, covering 80.3% of its imports in
2002–03, up from 66.2% in 1990–91. Although India is still a net importer, since 1996–
97, its overall balance of payments (i.e., including the capital account balance), has
been positive, largely on account of increased foreign direct investment and deposits
from non-resident Indians; until this time, the overall balance was only occasionally
positive on account of external assistance and commercial borrowings. As a result,
India's foreign currency reserves stood at $285 billion in 2008, which could be used in
infrastructural development of the country if used effectively.
India is a net importer: Per the CIA factbook in 2007, imports were $224bn and exports
$140bn.
India's reliance on external assistance and commercial borrowings has decreased
since 1991–92, and since 2002–03, it has gradually been repaying these debts.
Declining interest rates and reduced borrowings decreased India's debt service ratio
to 4.5% in 2007.[85] In India, External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs) are being
permitted by the Government for providing an additional source of funds to Indian
corporates. The Ministry of Finance monitors and regulates these borrowings (ECBs)
through ECB policy guidelines.[86]
As the third-largest economy in the world in PPP terms, India is a preferred destination
for foreign direct investments (FDI)[citation needed]; India has strengths in information
technology and other significant areas such as auto components, chemicals, apparels,
pharmaceuticals, and jewellery. India has always held promise for global
investors[citation needed], but its rigid FDI policies were a significant hindrance in this
regard. However, as a result of a series of ambitious and positive economic reforms
aimed at deregulating the economy and stimulating foreign investment, India has
positioned itself as one of the front-runners of the rapidly growing Asia Pacific Region.
India has a large pool of skilled managerial and technical expertise. The size of the
middle-class population at 300 million exceeds the population of both the US and the
EU, and represents a powerful consumer market.[87]
India's recently liberalised FDI policy (2005) allows up to a 100% FDI stake in
ventures. Industrial policy reforms have substantially reduced industrial licensing
requirements, removed restrictions on expansion and facilitated easy access to
foreign technology and foreign direct investment FDI. The upward moving growth
curve of the real-estate sector owes some credit to a booming economy and
liberalized FDI regime. In March 2005, the government amended the rules to allow
100 per cent FDI in the construction business.[88] This automatic route has been
permitted in townships, housing, built-up infrastructure and construction development
projects including housing, commercial premises, hotels, resorts, hospitals,
educational institutions, recreational facilities, and city- and regional-level
infrastructure.
A number of changes were approved on the FDI policy to remove the caps in most
sectors. Restrictions will be relaxed in sectors as diverse as civil aviation, construction
development, industrial parks, petroleum and natural gas, commodity exchanges,
credit-information services and mining. But this still leaves an unfinished agenda of
permitting greater foreign investment in politically sensitive areas such as insurance
and retailing. FDI inflows into India reached a record US$19.5bn in fiscal year 2006/07
(April-March), according to the government's Secretariat for Industrial Assistance. This
was more than double the total of US$7.8bn in the previous fiscal year. Between April
2007 and September 2007, FDI inflows were US$8.2bn.[89]
[edit] Notes
India Portal
[edit] References
Prose contains specific citations in source text which may be viewed in edit mode.
Books
Papers
• Williamson, John and Zagha, Roberto (2002). "From the Hindu Rate of Growth to the
Hindu Rate of Reform". Working Paper No. 144. Center for research on economic
development and policy reform.
• Centre for Media Studies (2005). "India Corruption Study 2005: To Improve
Governance Volume – I: Key Highlights". Transparency International India.
• Kelegama, Saman and Parikh, Kirit (2000). "Political Economy of Growth and
Reforms in South Asia". Second Draft.
• Cameron, John and Ndhlovu, P Tidings (2001). "Cultural Influences on Economic
Thought in India: Resistance to diffusion of neo-classical economics and the
principles of Hinduism".
• Panagariya, Arvind (2004). "India in the 1980s and 1990s: A Triumph of Reforms".
• Rodrik, Dani and Subramanian, Arvind (2004). "From “Hindu Growth” To
Productivity Surge: The Mystery Of The Indian Growth Transition".
• Bernardi, Luigi and Fraschini, Angela (2005). "Tax System And Tax Reforms In
India". Working paper n. 51.
• Gordon, Jim and Gupta, Poonam (2003). "Understanding India's Services
Revolution". November 12, 2003.
• Ghosh, Jayati. Bank Nationalisation: The Record. Macroscan. Retrieved on 2005-08-
05.
• Srinivasan, T.N. (2002). "Economic Reforms and Global Integration". 17 January
2002.
• Sachs, D. Jeffrey; Bajpai, Nirupam and Ramiah, Ananthi (2002). "Understanding
Regional Economic Growth in India". Working paper 88.
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