Heightened capital inflows tend to harden the rupee, says jaideep mishra. An artificially-stronger rupee would require currency intervention by the central bank, he says.
Heightened capital inflows tend to harden the rupee, says jaideep mishra. An artificially-stronger rupee would require currency intervention by the central bank, he says.
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Heightened capital inflows tend to harden the rupee, says jaideep mishra. An artificially-stronger rupee would require currency intervention by the central bank, he says.
Direitos autorais:
Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Formatos disponíveis
Baixe no formato DOC, PDF, TXT ou leia online no Scribd
Posted on September 23, 2010 | Author: Jaideep Mishra
It would be premature to remove the
distinctions and characterize portfolio investment above 10% of shares as FDI, as done in the higher-income economies.
There is a heavy downpour of funds on the
domestic bourses. The bull run makes a notable backdrop to the recent Report of the Working Group on Foreign Investment, the expert committee headed by U K Sinha of UTI Asset Management.
The report calls for reducing transaction
costs on capital inflows from abroad, easing regulatory complexity and curbing legal uncertainty, which cannot broadly be faulted.
However, in calling for treating foreign
portfolio investment above a certain benchmark level of shareholding as foreign direct investment (FDI) for policy purposes, the report seems to make several tenuous arguments.
Given the panoply of rigidities, shortcomings
and lacunas in the real economy, it makes no sense to gloss over the distortions and assume that trends in the financial markets do reflect ground realities.
The report goes on to suggest that for foreign
investment coming in via the so-called automatic route, there be no distinction between FDI and portfolio investment. It would be perverse incentive, for instance, to play the markets and reap the tax benefits and incentives available for FDI projects.
The fact remains that there is a huge
investment backlog in the real sector here, which is why for infrastructural projects, for example, there is much focus of policy including tax incentives on offer to coagulate funds, expertise and resources. As for taxation of portfolio inflows, the report prescribes tax-free treatment, which again is questionable. It is categorical that whether India applies a securities transaction tax, a stamp duty or a capital gains tax upon residents, integration with the world of international finance requires not applying a burden of taxation upon non-residents.
It is true that the stock market is a leading
economic indicator, and buoyant portfolio flows by foreign institutional investors (FIIs) do point at firm growth and earnings trend in the offing. But it cannot be gainsaid that heightened capital inflows tend to harden the rupee, which can have negative implications for the real sector generally.
And an artificially-stronger rupee would
require currency intervention by the central bank, which has its costs. Hence, the need to continue with the securities tax, stamp duty and levy short-term capital gains tax on FII transactions, as per the existing norms. Yet, the report calls for investment in listed or unlisted securities at a level above 10% of shares to be considered as FDI. The reports rationale for such a policy regime is that it is standard practice within the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) economies, as well as in peer countries such as Brazil,South Korea, South Africa and Turkey, which have comparable-sized domestic markets, it is averred.
However, it would clearly be premature in our
regulatory regime to remove the distinctions and characterize portfolio investment above 10% of shares as FDI, as done in the higher income economies.
Abroad in the mature markets, there is no
glaring infrastructure deficit and investment backlog in the real economy, which is why there may be policy logic in not differentiating between portfolio flows and FDI.
In sharp contrast, we do need proactive
policy to boost manufactures and attendant economic activity, and hence the continuing need to policy distinguish between portfolio inflows and FDI.
This is not to suggest that there is no need
any longer to develop the domestic capital market. There most certainly is. It is precisely to have a thriving secondary market for equity shares that there is, for instance, no long-term capital gains tax for shares held more than a year levied on portfolio transactions.
Further, long-term capital gains are very
much applicable on asset sales other than equity. Yet, if the committees report is accepted as policy, and foreign shareholding above 10% considered as FDI, complete with compliance with existing rules, regulations and procedures for the latter, it would actually make the inflows liable for long-term capital gains tax!
In any case, it would be totally unwarranted
to do away with targeted focus on FDI, given the sheer investment requirement. It is welcome that the report wants the regulatory regime under the know-your-client /customer norms for investing in the Indian stock market tightened, so as to meet OECD standards of best practices.
We do need to have sound systems in place
to prevent money laundering, round-tripping of funds and other untoward activities in the financial marketplace.
But the basic flaw in the report is the attempt
to read too much into India’s macroeconomic indicators, albeit much developed in recent years. It notes that there has been a huge stepping up of capital inflows and outflows in the economy, and deep links between current account and capital account integration, with de jure capital account openness.
This is why the report calls for rationalizing
the classification of inflows, and uniform policy regime, tax treatment et al. However, our current account balance is hugely dependent on remittances of NRIs. And we do need to shore up capital inflows via separate venture capital investment and FII funding.
Yet, the report wants FIIs, FVCIs and NRIs
abolished as an investor class. Also, removing the caps on rupee denominated corporate debt without a thriving debt market in place would surely be doubly distorting and rev up systemic risks. The reports entire macroeconomic stance clearly needs a thorough rethink.