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Part 1: Foundational concepts

for media economics

Dr An Nguyen
Media Economics – MMAP02 (HCMC)
M.Sc. in Media & Communications Management
HO Chi Minh City, 19 January, 2010

Outline

1. Introduction to economics and economic analysis


2. Consumer behaviours
3. Firm behaviours
4. The market: demand, supply, price, and
structure

1. Introduction to economic analyses


What is economics?
 Scarcity: tension between unlimited wants/needs and
limited resources
 For an individual: limited time, money, energy etc.
 For a country: limited natural resources, capital, labour force
and technology etc.

 So everybody must make decisions over how to


allocate resources most efficiently

 Hence, the social science of economics


 ”the study of how people make choices to cope with
scarcity” (Parkin et al, 1997: 8)
 “the study of the use of scarce resources, which have
alternative uses” (Sowell, 2003: 1)

Three key questions


 What goods/services are to be produced and how
many of each?
 To decide which resources to allocate to what

 How are the goods/services to be produced?


 Technology and organisation of production

 For whom the limited goods/services are produced?

Branches of economics
 Microeconomics
 'the study of the allocation of resources and the
distribution of income as they are affected by the working
of the price system and by the policies of the central
authorities' (Lipsey & Chrystal, 1995: 890)
 Three major subjects: consumers, firms and markets

 Macroeconomics
 'the study of the determination of economic aggregates
and averages, such as total output, total employment, the
general price level, and the rate of economic growth'
(Lipsey & Chrystal, 1995: 889)

 Managerial economics
Media economics
 studying "how media operators meet the informational
and entertainment wants and needs of audiences,
advertisers and society with available resources"
(Picard, 1989: 7).

 i.e. looking at the business operations and financial


activities of firms producing and selling output into the
various media industries.
 In the context of given market conditions, technological
alternatives, the regulatory and legal environment, and their
anticipated financial implications

Basic assumption in economics


 Individual economic units are rational
 making economic decisions to maximise its goals within the
constraints of their resources and the economic and legal
environment

 Consumers (individuals/households): maximising


their total utility from consuming a particular good
or service

 Firms: maximising profits and value from producing


goods and services

Economic analysis
 Most often a marginal analysis
 examining the consequences of adding or subtracting one
unit to or from something already in place.

 e.g. hiring an additional worker involves


 a marginal benefit (the value of the additional product or
service that the new worker could produce)
 a marginal cost (the additional wages paid to the new
worker)
 an economic analysis of this must weigh the marginal cost
and marginal benefit to arrive at a decision
Ceteris paribus assumption
 Often many factors influence one outcome
 E.g. demand affected by price, consumer income,
availability of similar goods and other factors

 Pure effect of each factor difficult to separate from


others
 Hence, a reliance on ceteris paribus (Latin for “all else held
constant”) assumption

 A ceteris paribus analysis examines the effect of


only one of many variable factors, assuming that all
the others are unchanged
 E.g. an analysis of the effect of the price of a good on its
market demand is a ceteris paribus analysis – i.e. it
assumes that other influential factors remain unchanged

The false-cause fallacy


 The fact that two things that are correlated does not
necessarily mean that one thing causes the other.

 E.g. Recent data show that car prices rise at the


same time as a rise in demand for cars. Does that
mean that increased car demands cause increase in
car prices?
 Maybe but not always!
 There are other factors that might affect this relationship –
e.g. a rise in consumer income, a rise in production cost,
inflation etc.

Fallacy of composition
 If one individual or firm benefits from some action, it
does not necessarily mean that all individuals or all
firms will benefit if they take the same action at the
same time.

 E.g. a price reduction by a firm might result in more


income for that firm (through gaining more
consumers); but what if firms of the type follow this
move and reduce their product price to a similar
level?
 Each firm’s market share in unlikely to change but the
profits of all firms could fall (due to cheaper prices)
2. Consumer behaviours: key
concepts

Scarcity and consumer choice


 Consumers = all individuals, households or firms that
consume goods and services generated in the
economy

 Scarcity: limited resources versus unlimited wants


 I want a £10 music CD and a £20 action movie DVD but I
have only £20.

 So a consumer has to make a choice between


desirable alternative goals and wants.
 The CD or the DVD?
 Sometimes also choice over whether or not to purchase any
of the desired goods at all (Why do I have to buy the CD or
the DVD while I need a text book more than them?)

Economic analysis of consumer choice


 how consumers maximise their utility from consuming
a good/service within restrained resources

 to work out how consumers allocate their resources


(e.g. money, time) to alternative goods/services. For
example:
 whether I should spend the £20 budget on two £10 CDs or
one £20 DVD or whether it’s better for me to use that budget
for something else (e.g. going to the theatre)
 whether to spend night time watching TV or going out with
friends or playing with children
Utility
 Utility = the satisfaction or fulfillment a person
receives from consuming a good or service.

 In practice: impossible to measure utility or to claim


that one individual's utility is higher than another's.

 But in economic theories: useful concept to explain


consumer choice
 Helps to explain how individuals aim to gain optimal
satisfaction in dealing with scarcity.
 Often measured in an imaginary unit called “utils”

Total utility and marginal utility


 Total utility = the sum of satisfaction that an
individual gains from consuming a given amount of
goods or services
 Usually, more consumption = greater total number of utils.

 Marginal utility = the additional satisfaction, or


additional amount of utility, an individual gains from
each extra unit of consumption
 Follows “the law of diminishing marginal utility”

The law of diminishing marginal utility


 Although people try to maximise the total utility of
consuming a good or service, there is a certain
threshold of satisfaction due to saturation.

 Once that threshold is crossed, the consumer will no


longer receive the same satisfaction from consumption.

 So, after saturation point, the marginal utility of each


additional unit of good/service will decrease.
 i.e. total utility will increase at an increasingly slower pace.
Example: Utility from watching Co gai
xau xi
Episodes Total utility Marginal utility
watched (number of "utils") (number of "utils")
0 0 0
1 60 60
2 90 30
3 100 10
4 105 5

An individual consumer’s downward-


sloping demand curve
 Because marginal utility
decreases as the quantity
of a consumed
good/service increases, a
consumer will buy
additional units only if the
price decreases.

 In other words, the price


an individual is willing to
pay is negatively
correlated with the
quantity he/she demands.

3. Firm behaviours
The firm
 Firms = establishments where production takes place
 i.e. where labour, land and capital are converted into goods
and services.
 requiring a structured interrelationship between various
functions and subtasks to achieve the overall business goals

 Theory of the firm: All of the firm's decisions are


taken in order to maximise its profits (in the short
run) and its value (in the long run)
 For a given output, maximising profit requires minimising
production cost.
 With a given cost, maximising profit = maximising output.

Short-run versus long-run production


 In the short run: some factors of production are fixed
 e.g. the size of the firm's factory, its machinery, its
administration system and other factors do not change and
can’t be adjusted to influence output
 To maximise output, a firm can only adjust variable factors
such as amount of raw material, fuel, direct labour etc.

 In the long run: all factors of production are variable


 e.g. the firm can adjust the size of its factory and its use of
machinery and equipment

 This course: focus on short-run production

Measures of output
 Total product (TP) = total amount produced
during a certain period of time with a certain set of
production factors

 Average product (AP) = TP divided by number of


units of the variable factor

 Marginal product (MP) = the change in total


product as we increase or decrease one unit of the
variable factor
Measures of costs
 Total cost = fixed costs + variable costs

 Average cost = total cost divided by quantity (also


called cost per unit)
 Average variable cost = total variable cost/quantity
 Average fixed cost = total fixed cost/quantity

 Marginal cost = the increase in total variable cost


after raising output by one unit
 E.g. Marginal cost of a 10th unit is the difference in total
cost when production output is increased from nine to
ten units per period.

The law of diminishing returns


 “After a certain level of input of the variable factor,
each additional unit of the variable factor,
employed with a fixed quantity of another factor,
adds less to total product than the previous unit”
(Hoskins et al, 2004: p. 86).

 Because the fixed factor can only work efficiently


with a certain level of variable factor
 after that point, the fixed factor becomes less efficient
and thus marginal returns will decrease

Example: Marginal and total product


in producing music CDs
Labour input Capital (fixed) Total product Marginal product
(no of workers) input (no of CDs) (no of CDs)
0 1 0 0

1 1 20 20

2 1 60 40

3 1 90 30

4 1 110 20

5 1 120 10
Returns to scale
 Returns to scale = the effect on total output when
all inputs are increased by an equal percentage

 Constant returns to scale


 An X% increase in all inputs creates an X% increase in
output – e.g. doubling all inputs exactly doubles output

 Increasing returns to scale (economies of scale)


 An X% increase in all inputs creates a more than X%
increase in output – e.g. doubling all inputs more than
doubles output

 Decreasing returns to scale (diseconomies of scale)


 An X% increase in all inputs creates a less than X%
increase in output – e.g., doubling all inputs less than
doubles output

Sources of economies of scale (1)


 Technical economies
 Some fixed capitals for production are not divisible
 e.g. producing 100,000 copies of a newspaper requires the
same printing facilities as producing 200,000 copies

 Managerial economies
 Some managerial functions do not cost more to produce a
higher quantity of goods/services
 e.g. personnel for R&D, sales, administration, distribution

 Financial economies
 E.g. larger firms with larger outputs can enjoy lower interest
loan rates

Sources of economies of scale (2)


 Marketing economies
 Large firms with large production can enjoy substantial
discounts in purchasing raw materials or in sales activities

 Social economies
 Benefits from building goodwill and loyalty among both
customers (to increase sales) and employees (to increase
internal efficiencies)

 Specialisation of input
 Greater specialisation of labour and machinery improves the
overall efficiency of production
Economies of scope
 Takes place when the average total cost of
production decreases as a result of increasing the
number of different goods produced

 Key reasons:
 Joint use of factors of production (same labour, equipment
and infrastructure) to produce different products
 Joint marketing and administration
 Production of one good resulting another as a by-product

 Examples
 a movie shown in theatres, then broadcast to TV networks,
and then produced in DVD and VHS formats for sales/rentals
 a company producing TV sets, VCRs, DVD players,
camcorders and other consumer electronic hardware

4. The market: demand, supply,


price, and structure

Introduction
 Market = an area over which buyers and sellers
negotiate the exchange of some product or related
group of products
 E.g. the film market, advertising market, newspaper
market, television market, online market etc.
 An economy is a combination of thousands and thousands
of markets

 Resource allocation in the market determined by


the relationship between demand and supply, which
is influenced by price and other factors
Demand and supply
 Demand = quantity of goods/services consumers
are willing to buy at a certain price
 Not quantity actually purchased

 Supply = quantity of goods/services producers are


willing to supply at a certain price
 Not quantity actually sold

 Both expressed per period of time – e.g. two


oranges/week; four movies/year

The law of demand


 If other determinants of
demand are held
constant, an increase in
the price results in a
decrease in the total
quantity demanded.

 Due to substitution effect


 increase in the price of a
good makes it a less
attractive purchase when
compared with substitute
goods whose prices are
unchanged

Price elasticity of demand (1)


 A measure representing the extent to which the
quantity demanded responds to price change

% change in quantity demanded


PED =
% change in price

 E.g. If change in price is 20% and change in quantity


demanded is 10%, then PED = 10/20 = 0.5.
Price elasticity of demand (2)
 If PED ≥ 1: elastic demand curve
 A small increase in price causes a
large decrease in demand (ceteris
paribus)
 Demand sensitive to price

 If PED < 1: inelastic curve


 A small increase in price causes a
small decrease in demand (ceteris
paribus)
 Demand not too sensitive to price

Calculating percentage changes


 E.g., What is the percentage change in the price of a
movie ticket from $4 to $6?
 What about the percentage change from $6 to $4?

 The mid-point method


 Work out the mid-point between the changed quantities
 Calculate the percentage change from A to B: the absolute
difference between A and B, divided by the midpoint
between A and B, multiplied by 100

 In the example:
 midpoint = (4+6)/2 = 5.
 % change between $4 and $6 = [(6-4)/5]x100 = 40%

Shift in demand
 Even if price is fixed, demand
for a good/service can
change if another demand-
related factor changes.

 In the figure:
 Demand for a movie with a box
office ticket of $2 increases
from Q1 to Q2 due to some
non-price factor (e.g. no better
movie to watch)
 Demand curve for the movie
shifts to the right from D1 to
D2.
Other determinants of demand

 The prices of all other products


 Income and income distribution among the
individual consumers in the product’s market
 Consumer tastes
 Consumer expectations
 Market sizes
 Special circumstances
 Demographic factors (age, sex etc.)

Supply and price


 If other determinants of
supply are held constant,
an increase in the price
results in an increase in
the quantity supplied.

 Because selling a higher


quantity at a higher
price increases profits.

Price elasticity of supply (1)

 A measure representing the extent to which the


quantity supplied responds to price change

% change in quantity supplied


PES =
% change in price

 E.g. If change in price is 45% and change in quantity


supplied is 15%, then PES = 15/45 = 0.33
Price elasticity of supply (2)
 If PES ≥ 1: elastic supply curve
 A small change in price causes a
substantial change in supply
(ceteris paribus)
 Supply sensitive to price

 If PES < 1: inelastic curve


 A large change in price causes a
substantial change in supply
(ceteris paribus)
 Supply not very sensitive to price

Shift in supply
 Even if price is fixed, supply
of a good/service can change
if a non-price factor changes.

 In the figure:
 Supply of a movie with a box
office ticket of $2 decreases
from Q1 to Q2 due to some
non-price factor.
 Supply curve for the movie
shifts left from S1 to S2.

Other determinants of supply

 The prices of inputs (factors of production)


 Materials, labour, machines

 The goals of producing firms


 Not always just profit maximisation

 The state of technology


Demand-supply relationship: the
equilibrium point
 Equilibrium point: intersection
between demand and supply
curves at a given price
 Quantity demanded = quantity
supplied
 P* = equilibrium price
 Q* = equilibrium quantity

 Allocation of goods/services at
its most efficient point

Disequilibrium: excess demand


 Price is set below the equilibrium
point
 At price P1, demand (Q2) bigger
than supply (Q1)

 B/c the price is so low, too many


consumers want the good
while producers are not making
enough of it.

 Competition among consumers to


buy the good at this price will
push the price up
 suppliers want to supply more and
bring the price up (closer to its
equilibrium)

Disequilibrium: excess supply


 Price is set above the equilibrium
point
 At price P1, demand (Q2) smaller
than supply (Q1)

 The supplier is trying to produce


more goods, but due to it high
price, consumers find the product
less attractive and purchase less.

 To compete with other firms, the


supplier must bring down the
price (closer to the equilibrium
price)
Market structure (1)
 Market structure: a concept describing the state of
the market with respect to competition

 Three key indicators


 the number of sellers
 differences in their products
 entry barriers to the market

 Four idealised market structures


 perfect competition
 monopolistic competition
 oligopoly
 monopoly

Market structure (2)


 Perfect competition
 There are many sellers of a homogenous product
 No firm has a market power to set its own price
 No barriers for new entrants
 Very rare to find in the real world

 Monopolistic competition
 A good number of sellers
 Differentiated products (products that are substitutable for
each other but each has some distinguishable attributes and
comes from only one firm)
 Product differentiation leads to brand loyalty and thus gives
firms some control over their prices but this power is limited
(due to the availability of many close substitutes)

Market structure (3)


 Oligopoly
 Only a few large firms selling either differentiated or
homogenous products
 Each firm has enough power to set market prices but faces
enough competition
 Most common and increasingly popular thanks to the
globalisation process and inexpensive technologies

 Monopoly
 A single firm has absolute control over the market and its
product’s price
 Insurmountable entry barriers

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