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Contents
ii
Contents iii
1.1 Introduction
1
1 Theory of Choice 2
• X is a choice set
• ≽ is a preference relation; it captures the behavi-
oural property of ‘most preferred’
• X × X ∶= {(x, y) ∶ x ∈ X, y ∈ X} is the Cartesian product
• A binary relation is B ⊂ X × X; if (x, y) ∈ B, we write
x B y; if (x, y) ∉ B, we write ¬[x B y]
(a) X ∶= {1, 2}. What is X×X? Let B1 ∶= {(1, 1), (1, 2), (2, 1), (2, 2)}
and B2 ∶= {(1, 1), (1, 2)}.
(b) X ∶= R. Define x B y if and only if x ⩾ y. In other
words, B ∶= {(x, y) ∈ R2 ∶ x ⩾ y}.
(c) X ∶= R, x B y if and only if x = y + 2, y ∈ N.
(d) Let X ∶= {Bill, Hillary, Chelsea}. Suppose B is the
binary relation
x ≻ y if x ≽ y and ¬[y ≽ x]
and ∼ ⊂ X × X as
x ∼ y if x ≽ y and y ≽ x
is a choice function.
1.4 Summary
v(x) ∶= eu(x)
9
2 Ordinal Utility 10
Our goal is now to prove (at least some part of) Debreu’s
theorem which says that every continuous preference
has a continuous utility representation. We shall not
even state the theorem in complete generality. Moreover,
we shall only show that there exists a utility representa-
tion.1 We begin with some definitions. 1
The Open Gap Lemma shows
that if such a representation
exists, then a continuous rep-
17 Definition: A set X ⊂ RN is convex if for all x, y ∈ X and resentation also exists. The
λ ∈ [0, 1], λx + (1 − λ)y ∈ X. ♢ proof of this lemma is beyond
the scope of these notes.
18
3 Consumer Preferences 19
√
13 Example: Here are some examples. (i) Let u(x) = x1 +
√
x2 . This represents a preference that is S-CONV, and
hence CONV. (ii) The preference represented by u(x) ∶=
min{x1 , x2 } is CONV, but not S-CONV. ♢
(v(x2 , . . . , xn ), 0, . . . , 0) ∼ (0, x2 , . . . , xn ).
Here we let X ∶= RN
+ be the choice set. Preferences are ≽
on X. Let us also assume that the agent has a wealth w.
If the goods are available at price p ∈ RN++ , this defines
a budget set B(p, w) ∶= {x ∈ X ∶ ⟨x, p⟩ ⩽ w}, where ⟨⋅, ⋅⟩ ∶
RN N
+ × R+ → R is the standard inner product. Clearly,
B(p, w) is convex and compact.
⋂ Ux ≠ ∅.
x∈B(p,w)
27
4 Consumer Demand 28
Let
x∗ ∈ ⋂ Ux ,
x∈B(p,w)
B(p, w) = ⋃ Lx− ,
x∈B(p,w)
Lj ∶= ∂L /∂xj , Lλ ∶= ∂L /∂λ.
Then,
Lj (x, λ) = fj (x) − λgj (x),
and
Lλ = c − g(x).
The first-order necessary conditions require that we set
and
∂L /∂λ = w − p1 x1 − p2 x2 = 0.
Notice that the last equation is just the budget constraint.
From the first two equations, we see that
α β
= = λ.
p1 x1 p2 x2
In other words,
α
p1 x1 = ( ) p2 x2 .
β
Substituting this into the budget equation and solving
for p2 x2 , we get
β
p2 x2 = w
α+β
so that
α
p1 x1 = w
α+β
which means that
(α + β )
λ= .
w
Notice that with the Cobb-Douglas utility function, the
consumer spends a constant share of his wealth on each
i=1
Notice that for each (p, w), the budget set B(p, w) is a
choice set. Therefore, the set of all choice sets is para-
metrised by (p, w), which is a generalisation of the
choice theoretic model considered earlier. Thus, it seems
reasonable that a necessary condition for a function to
be rationalisable is that it satisfy the weak axiom of re-
vealed preference (WARP). We shall now impose the
weak axiom in the budget setting.
[INSERT PICTURE]
N
15 Definition: Let (xn )N
1 be bundles and (B(pn , wn ))1
budget sets such that for all 1 < n ⩽ N, xn−1 ≠ xn , and
for all n, xn ∶= x(pn , wn ). Such a function x(p, w) satis-
fies the Strong Axiom of Revealed Preference (SARP) if
xn+1 ∈ B(pn , wn ) implies x1 ∉ B(pn , wn ). ♢
< 0
40
5 Duality 41
∂v
(p∗ , w∗ )
= −xn (p∗ , w∗ ).
∂pn
∂v
∂w
(p∗ , w∗ )
∂V
= x∗k
∂pk
∂
= ⟨p, x∗ ⟩
∂pk
∂
= e(p, u)
∂pk
Duality Theorem:
∂(x1 , . . . , xN )
.
∂(p1 , . . . , pN )
f(x0 , y0 ) = z0
48
6 Comparative Statics 49
as desired. ∎
0 ⩾ u(xL , tH ) − u(xH , tH )
⩾ u(xL , tL ) − u(xH , tL )
⩾ 0.
0 ⩾ u(x1 , t2 ) − u(x2 , t2 )
⩾ u(x1 , t1 ) − u(x2 , t1 )
⩾0
x ∨ y ∶= { max{x1 , y1 }, . . . , max{xN , yN }}
and
Notice that the strong set order coincides with the un-
derlying lattice order in the sense that {a} ⩾S {b} if
and only if a ⩾ b. Moreover, the strong set order also
coincides with the definition provided earlier (in the
one-dimensional case, as it should). To see this, suppose
X = R, and let A, B ⊂ R. The definition reduces to saying
that if A ⩾S B, then a ∈ A and b ∈ B with b ⩾ a implies
that a, b ∈ A ∩ B.
0 ⩾ u(x ∨ y, s) − u(x, s)
⩾ u(x ∨ y, t) − u(x, t)
⩾ u(y, t) − u(x ∧ y, t)
⩾ 0.
⎧
⎪y
⎪ if xi ⩽ yi
x ▽λi y ∶= ⎨
⎪
⎩λx + (1 − λ)(x ∨ y) if xi > yi
⎪
⎧
⎪x
⎪ if xi ⩽ yi
x △λi y ∶= ⎨
⎪ if xi > yi
⎩λy + (1 − λ)(x ∧ y)
⎪
and
as desired. ∎
λ λ
˜ i,△
41 Exercise: Let us define (▽ ˜ i ) as follows:
⎧
λ ⎪y
⎪ if xi ⩽ yi
˜
x▽i y ∶= ⎨
⎪ if xi > yi
⎩λy + (1 − λ)(x ∨ y)
⎪
⎧
λ ⎪x
⎪ if xi ⩽ yi
˜
x△i y ∶= ⎨
⎪
⎩λx + (1 − λ)(x ∧ y) if xi > yi
⎪
Assume f ∶ X → R is concave and spm. Show that f is
Ci -spm. ♢
and
△λi ,µ ∶= µx + (1 − µ)x △λi y.
▽˜ λi , △
˜ λi are defined as above. We could also have used
the family Ci (λ, µ) ∶= {(▽λi ,µ , △λi ,µ ) ∶ λ, µ ∈ [0, 1]}, and
indeed, in some applications, it is advantageous to do
so. An exercise illustrates the ideas.
6.8 Applications
action z→ consequence
7.1 Preliminaries
74
7 Choice under Uncertainty 75
such that (i) P(Z) < ∞, and (ii) for any collection of
pairwise disjoint sets (An ) ∈ Z ∞ , P (⋃n An ) = ∑n P(An ).
The triple (Z, Z , P) is known as a measure space. If, in
addition, it is the case that P(Z) = 1, then (Z, Z , P) is a
probability space.
WARNING. There are a few tracts that define a prob-
ability measure as a set function that satisfies (i) above
and (ii-a) for any finite, pairwise disjoint collection of
sets (A1 , . . . , An ) ∈ Z n , P (⋃n An ) = ∑n P(An ).
Note. The property (ii) in the definition of a probabil-
ity measure is known as countable additivity, and the
property (ii-a) is known as finite additivity, and a fi-
nitely additive probability measure is also known as a
charge. Countable additivity, also known as continuity
of the measure, is essential for the proof of the Laws of
Large Numbers and the Central Limit Theorems, which
assume central positions the theory of probability, and
are indispensable in applications. Nevertheless, finitely
additive measures show up quite often in analysis (and
therefore infinite dimensional economies, for instance
when the prize space is `∞ ) and seem to be more reas-
onable from a behavioural point of view. Nevertheless,
we shall see some odd behaviour associated with fi-
nitely additive measures.
Then (R, B) is a measurable space and (R, B, Leb) is a of Z. Then, C ⊂ 2Z , the latter
being a σ-algebra. Let σ(C )
measure space, where Leb is the Lebesgue measure. ♢
be the smallest σ-algebra that
contains C . Then, σ(C ) is the
2 Example: The measure space (Rn , B n ), is the n-dimensional
σ-algebra generated by C .
Euclidean space with the Borel σ-algebra. As above,
(Rn , B n , Lebn ) is a measure space, where Lebn is the
n-dimensional Lebesgue measure. ♢
3 Example: The probability space ([0, 1], B[0, 1], P), where
P([0, 1]) = 1 and P(A) ⩾ 0 for all A ∈ B[0, 1]. ♢
Call the above lottery (in the sense that there is a dis-
tribution over prizes) a compound lottery. Compound,
since there are two layers of uncertainty, and after the
first level of uncertainty is resolved, we are still left with
a simple lottery whose uncertainty is yet to be resolved.
p ≽ αp + (1 − α)q ≻ βp + (1 − β)q ≽ q. ♢
∑ αn pn ∼ ∑ αn qn .
n n ♢
p = ∑ p(z)δz
z
∼ ∑ p(z)[v(z)δz○ + (1 − v(z))δz○ ]
z
Indeed,
w(z○ ) − w(z○ )
a ∶=
v(z○ ) − v(z○ )
b is defined implicitly. Then, for any z ∈ Z, there exists
a α ∈ [0, 1] such that δz ∼ αz○ + (1 − α)z○ , so that
88
8 Risk and Risk Aversion 89
1 1
∫ u(x) H(dx) = [u(x)H(x)]0 − ∫ u ′ (x) H(x)dx
0
´¹¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¸¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹ ¹¶
=0
5 Example: Let
⎧
⎪ 0 x ⩽ 0,
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪
G(x) ∶= ⎨2x 0 ⩽ x ⩽ 12 ,
⎪
⎪
⎪
⎪ 1
⎩1 x ⩾ 2 .
⎪
u ′′ (w)
Au (w) ∶= −
u ′ (w)
and
2
v ′′ (c) = g ′ (u(c))u ′′ (c) + g ′′ (u(c))(u ′ (c)) .
v ′′ (c) g ′′ (u(c)) ′
Av (c) ∶= − = A u (c) − u (c).
v ′ (c) g ′ (u(c))
∑ pi ri u ′ (w + ri x)∣x∗ =0 = u ′ (w) ∑ pi ri ⩽ 0.
(FOC) ∑ pi ri u ′ (w + ri x) = 0
dx∗ ∑ pi ri u ′′ (w + x∗ ri )
= −
dw ∑ pi r2i u ′′ (w + x∗ ri )
−u ′′ (w + x∗ ri )ri = Au (w + x∗ ri )ri u ′ (w + x∗ ri )
< Au (w)ri u ′ (w + x∗ ri )
− ∑ pi ri u ′′ (w + x∗ ri ) < Au ∑ pi ri u ′ (w + x∗ ri ) = 0
(FOC) ∑ pi ri u ′ (w + ri x∗ ) = 0.
∑ pi ri g ′ (u(w + ri x∗ ))u ′ (w + ri x∗ )
{ri >0}
⩽ g ′ (u(w)) ∑ pi ri u ′ (w + ri x∗ ).
{ri >0}
∑ pi ri g ′ (u(w + ri x∗ ))u ′ (w + ri x∗ )
{ri <0}
⩽ g ′ (u(w)) ∑ pi ri u ′ (w + ri x∗ ).
{ri <0}
∑ pi ri g ′ (u(w + ri x∗ ))u ′ (w + ri x∗ )
ri
⩽ g ′ (u(w)) ∑ pi ri u ′ (w + ri x∗ )
ri
= 0,
28 Exercise: Does the result hold when there are two risky
assets? ♢
w
Recall that the notation pn Ð→ p means pn weakly con-
verges to p. In other words, for all bounded continuous
functions f ∈ Cb (R) (the space of continuous bounded
functions on R), ∫ f(x) dpn (x) → ∫ f(x) dp(x). This
definition also holds for probability measures defined
on arbitrary topological spaces. For probability distribu-
tions on R, we have the following characterisation.
Let pn , p be probability measures on R and Fn , F the
w
corresponding cdf’s. Then, pn −−→ p if and only if
Fn (x) → F(x) at all x ∈ R where F is continuous. Recall
that since F is increasing, it can have at most countably
many points of discontinuity.
n−1
Us (p) ∶= U(h∗1 , . . . , h∗s−1 , p, h∗s+1 , . . . , h∗n ) − U(h∗ ).
n
Thus, for f ∈ H, we have
n−1
Us (fs ) = U(fs ) − U(h∗ ).
n
Summing this equation over all s ∈ S, and dividing by
n, we get
1 1 n−1
Us (fs ) = U(fs ) − U(h∗ ).
n n n
But comparing this equation with equation (X), we
see that
U(h) = ∑ Us (hs ).
s
114
9 General Equilibrium Theory 115
max ∑ uh (xh ).
x∈F h
max ∑ ah uh (xh ).
x∈F h
U ∶= {v ∈ RH ∶ (∃ x ∈ F ) (v ⩽ u(x))}
∑ xh = α ∑ x̂h + (1 − α) ∑ x̃h
h h h
⩽ α ∑ e + (1 − α) ∑ eh
h
h h
h
⩽ ∑e ,
h
vh = αṽh + (1 − α)v̂h
⩽ αuh (x̃h ) + (1 − α)uh (x̂h )
⩽ uh (αx̃h + (1 − α)x̂h ) = u(x)
max ∑ ah uh (xh ).
x∈F h ♢
∑ ah uh (x̃h ) ⩾ ∑ ah uh (xh )
h h
9.4 Equilibrium
11 Exercise: Let p ∈ RL
+ ∖ {0}. Show that there exists (i) λ > 0
such that λp ∈ SL+−1 , (ii) λ > 0 such that λp ∈ ∆L−1 . Now
suppose p ≫ 0. Show that there exists λ > 0 such that for
p ′ ∶= λp, p`′ = 1. ♢
2
arg maxx∈X [u(x) − ∥x − x̃∥2 ] is at most a singleton. If
2
x̃ ∈ arg maxx∈X [u(x) − ∥x − x̃∥2 ], then u(x) ⩽ u(x̃) for
all x ∈ X, ie x̃ ∈ arg maxx∈X [u(x)]. ♢
2
Proof. Since u is concave and − ∥x − x̃∥2 is strictly con-
2
cave, it follows that u(x) − ∥x − x̃∥2 is strictly concave.
Therefore, a maximiser, if it exists, is unique.
2
Now suppose x̃ ∈ arg maxx∈X [u(x) − ∥x − x̃∥2 ]. Let
ε ∈ (0, 1), and define yε ∶= (1 − ε)x̃ + εx for some x ∈ X,
so that yε − x̃ = ε(x − x̃). Then,
2 2
0 ⩾ [u(yε ) − ∥yε − x̃∥2 ] − [u(x̃) − ∥x̃ − x̃∥2 ]
2
= [u(yε ) − ε ∥x − x̃∥2 ] − u(x̃)
2
⩾ ε[(u(x) − u(x̃)) − ε ∥x − x̃∥2 ]
so that
2
u(x) − u(x̃) ⩽ ε ∥x − x̃∥2
for all ε ∈ (0, 1). This implies u(x) ⩽ u(x̃). Since x ∈
X is arbitrary, it follows that x̃ ∈ arg maxx∈X u(x), as
desired. ∎
125
10 Dynamic Programming 126
subject to
ct + kt+1 ⩽ f(kt )
ct , kt+1 ⩾ 0, t = 0, 1, 2, . . .
first assume that the function u is such that supx∈S sup{∣u(a, x)∣ ∶
a ∈ A(x)} is bounded. Thus, u is uniformly bounded
both above and below. Secondl for all x ∈ S and a ∈ A(x),
the set {y ∈ S ∶ P(y∣a, x)} is finite.
Consider a stationary strategy σ. When, in state x, the
strategy prescribes action σ(x) ∈ A(x). A fundamental
result is the following:
2 Proposition: Suppose u is bounded uniformly bounded
both above and below. Then, for each stationary Markov
strategy σ ∶ S → A that is feasible (ie σ(x) ∈ A(x) for
all x ∈ S), there exists a unique value function vσ (⋅) that
satisfies the recursive equation below:
vσ (x) = (1 − δ)u(σ(x), x) + δ ∑ vσ (y) P (y∣σ(x), x).
y ♢
(Ψvn )(x, M)−M ∶= max [0, (1 − δ)u(x) + δ ∑ pxy (vn (y, M) − M) − (1 − δ)M] .
k
so that v(x, M ′ ) = M ′ .
Let G(x) denote the smallest value of M at which retire-
ment at i is optimal. That is
strategy σ. Thus,
T −1
σ
Eσ [∑t=0 δt u(xt ) ∣ x0 = x]
G(x) ⩾ (1 − δ)
1 − Eσ [δTσ ∣ x0 = x]
M = (1 − δ)u(x) + δM
15 Exercise: For M ∈ (0, 1), argue that (i) v(p, M) ⩾ max [M, v(p, 0)]
and (ii) v(p, M) ≠ max [M, v(p, 0)]. ♢
pθH
G(p) ∶= .
δp + (1 − δ)
θL < M < θH .
Now expand all the terms on the right hand side, and
collect all terms of order o(dt). Cancel the term u(p)
from both the left hand and right hand side of the equa-
tion. Next, move the term −ru(p)dt to the left hand side
where
c(p) = s − gp
and
pkλ
b(p, u) = (g − u(p) − (1 − p)u ′ (p)).
r
Clearly, c(p) represents the opportunity cost of playing
R, while b(p, u) is the discounted expected benefit of
playing R. The first part of b(p, u) is the expected value
of the jump should a breakthrough occur; the second
part is the deterioration in expected payoff if no break-
through occurs.
Finally, notice that the optimal strategy always requires
that k ∈ {0, 1}, depending on whether the benefit of
playing R is greater than the opportunity cost or not.
In the latter case, when it is better to play S, the value
function is u(p) = s; in the former case, u satisfies the
first order ODE
where
1−p r
Ω(p) = and µ ∶= .
p λ
Let us interpret the value function. The first term is
the expected payoff from committing to the risky arm,
while the second term is the option value of being able
to switch the the safe arm.
10.3.2 Completeness
Since this holds for all x ∈ S, we see that supx∈S ∣f(x) − fn (x)∣ =
∥f − fn ∥∞ ⩽ ε. Therefore, ∥f∥∞ = ∥(f − fn ) + fn ∥∞ ⩽
∥f − fn ∥∞ + ∥fn ∥∞ ⩽ ∥fn ∥∞ + ε. Thus, f ∈ B(S).
All that needs to be shown now is that ∥f − fn ∥∞ → 0.
Fortunately, this also follows from the fact that ∥f − fn ∥∞ ⩽
ε, since ε is arbitrary.
xn+1 ∶= f(xn ), n = 0, 1, 2, . . . .
y ′ = f(t, y).
y ′ + p(t)y = q(t).
µ(t)y = ∫ µ(t)q(t) dt + C
−2t dt
= e −t .
2
µ(t) = e∫
Also,
−t 2 1 −t 2
∫ te dt = − 2 e ,
which means that the solution to the ODE is
2
y = Cet − 12 . ♢
r + Nλt (r + Nλ)g
y ′ (t) + [ ] y (t ) =
Nλt(1 − t) Nλ(1 − t)
and
(r + Nλ)g
q(t) ∶= .
Nλ(1 − t)
µ(t)q(t) dt
Step 4. Evaluating ∫ .
µ (t )
From the steps above, we see that
∫ µ(t)q(t) dt = g 1
Ω(t)r/Nλ (1 − t)
µ(t) Ω(t)r/Nλ+1
= gt.
162
11 Metric Spaces 163
1 Example: Let X ∶= RN
+ and endow it with the discrete
metric. Let x ∈ RN + . Then, for r ⩽ 1, B(x, r) = {x}, while for
r > 1, B(x, r) = X. (This is clearly true for any set X.) ♢
11.2 Completeness
D1 , defined as
n
D1 (x, y) ∶= ∑ dj (xj , yj )
j=1
11.5 Compactness
sup f(x) = 1.
x∈C[0,1]
12.1 Motivation
sup{f(x, t) ∶ x ∈ X}
12.2 Results
175
12 Envelope Theorems 176
Proof. Using (1) and (2), it is easy to see that for any
t ′ ∈ [0, 1], it must be that
V (t) = max{f(x, t) ∶ x ∈ R}
12.3 Applications
Clarke, Frank H
1983
Optimization and Nonsmooth Analysis,
John Wiley and Sons, New York.
Geanakoplos, John
2003
‘Nash and Walras via Brouwer’,
Economic Theory, 21,
Pp. 585–603.
Keller, Godfrey, Sven Rady and Martin Cripps
2005
‘Strategic Experimentation with Exponential Bandits’,
Econometrica, 73, 1,
Pp. 39–68.
Machina, Mark
1982
‘‘Expected Utility’ Analysis without the Independence
Axiom’,
Econometrica, 50, 2,
Pp. 277–323.
Markowitz, Harry
1952
‘The Utility of Wealth’,
Journal of Political Economy, 50,
Pp. 151–158.
182
Bibliography 183