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Michio Kaku
ST: I think the most interesting thing for the audience of the
magazine revolves around the different types of civilizations,
and also the density of the civilizations. Do you have an
opinion, any informed opinion, about the number of
civilizations that might occur per galaxy or in our galaxy?
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ST: Yes. I think there was an example of Erich von Däniken,
where he compared this problem to a jungle tribe trying to
communicate with jet airplanes by means of bongo drums.
MK: Yeah. It’s worse than this. If you are looking… if you go
down the street and see a bunch of ants, the difference
between ant technology and you, is on the order of the
difference between a type zero technology and a type three
technology. So ants would not know how we communicate, they
would not know the language, they would not know our
intentions, they would not know anything about the four
fundamental forces. The ants would be at total loss to
understand basically who we are. Now the only difference is,
however, we do have String Theory and it gives us the hope
that at the other side of the galaxy, if there are intelligent
beings, they also, will discover String Theory. It is often
said that if Einstein never lived, we would still discover
Einstein’s Theory through String Theory. One of the lowest
vibrations of a String, is all of Einstein’s Theory. All of
Einstein’s Theory is nothing but one note - one note on the
String.
MK: That’s right. So aliens will also have to obey the same
reality and the same laws of thermodynamics as us. Now this
classification by the way, comes from Nikolai Kardashev, who’s
a famous Russian astrophysicist who asked the question: Can we
quantify - can we quantify extra-terrestrial civilizations?
And there are two ways to quantify these civilizations. One is
by energy and the second is by information storage. So if you
calculate the total number of bits stored in a civilization,
that allows you to also rank civilizations by not only energy,
but also information storage. So we figured that if you’re a
type three Q, that is perhaps a civilization that can use the
Unified Field Theory to go across galaxies – if it’s possible.
And each letter of the alphabet corresponds to an amount of
bits that they process. A would be 10 to the 1, B would be 10
to the 2, so by the time we type 3Q, you are a super
civilization. With the energy ten billion times, ten billion
times the energy of today, with an energy consumption
corresponding to the letter Q.
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What’s that? Oh, the Fermi Paradox. Right. The question is –
where are they, right? The answer is, you see, we always take
a look at it in terms of our technology imposed upon them. We
have to look at it at the point of type three civilization.
From the point of view of the type three civilization, they
are perhaps scanning ten billion stars within the Milky Way
galaxy. They are sending probes that exponentially expand.
They are landing on moons and investigating planets, but from
that perspective we are actually kind of insignificant. They
may not have the time and energy and we’re not even type one,
yet.
MK: They may be aware about that. Type three may be very well
aware of the type twos and type ones that are out there and
they may even of maybe perhaps another type three.
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ST: What do you think are the chances for us to become at
least type one?
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in some sense our universe may actually be a white hole which
is a time-reversed black hole. Now we’ve never seen white
holes up there. We’ve looked for white holes. We’ve never seen
any white holes.
MK: But again, all of this is consistent with the known laws
of physics. You see some things we can dismiss as being
inconsistent with the laws of physics. Everything I’m telling
you, is consistent with the laws of physics. Stephen Hawking
used to say that time travel was impossible because where are
the tourists from the future? He doesn’t see tourists from the
future taking pictures of him but now he has retracted that
statement, he doesn’t say that anymore. He says that time
travel is possible but impractical and improbable but he says
it seems to be consistent with the laws of physics.
ST: But like Feynman once said, “The question is not whether
something is possible, the question is, whether it’s actually
going on“. So I would say that’s also the question about the
Däniken Theory. Do you think that it’s not only possible but
that it also might actually have happened that there was
already a contact in the past of some kind?
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the number of such civilizations because many of these
civilizations never make it to type one status. Once you’re
type one and you reach the type two, you’re immortal. Nothing
known to science can destroy type two. Volcanoes, Earthquakes,
and ice ages...
Ah yeah. There are only two things that can destroy type two.
One is by committing suicide and the other is encountering
type three.
ST: Yes.
ST: In your talk you mentioned Star Trek, you mentioned the
Borg and Q Continuum. What if really the type or the form of
existence of a very highly developed civilization or creature
completely changes and evolution really takes totally
different pathways than we can imagine right now?
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organs as they wear out. And we’re also the discovering the
genetic basis of ageing. We’ve discovered over seventy genes
now that control the human ageing process, there are probably
be hundreds. We’ve isolated already seventy in human, not
mice, not fruit fly, seventy human genes that are involved in
the human metabolism and the human ageing process. So if you
were to take this to a hundred, two hundred years into the
future, where we can become type one, we may be able to play
with our own genetic heritage by that point. And so when we go
into outer space, then we may be able to play with our
architecture even more, for example suspended animation and
other kinds of technology to take us into space. Suspended
animation by the way is not possible today. If you take a look
at fish, some fish can be frozen solid, and then thawed out.
We now know the reason why. Their blood has glucose in it
which acts as an anti-freeze. Certain frogs and certain fish
can be frozen solid in ice but their body temperature is a
little bit below freezing but they have anti freeze inside,
and so their bodies are not frozen as a consequence. In the
future we may be able to play with our own DNA to create anti
freeze in our own DNA, so that we can be frozen solid and
still survive. But that again is a hundred, two hundred years
from now. So the answer is yes. By the time we go to the outer
space we’ll have nano-technology, and the rigors of the outer
space - when we’ll actually meet civilizations in outer space,
they may be part organic, part computer. The spaceship itself
may be alive. Freeman Dyson has written about astro-chicken.
Astro-chicken is a genetically modified rocket ship that uses
chicken technology to self-replicate...
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at near the speed of light. You could have a sphere of
trillions of probes expanding at the speed light landing on
every single moon within that sphere and creating more copies
of itself.
ST: Maybe they are also afraid to land here because they see
what we eat. From their point of view we often eat our nearest
relatives...
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MK: My personal point of view is though, by they’re Type one,
and they are planetary, they have treaties, they have
negotiations, they have ways in which to get rid of all the
rapacious savagery that typify their emergence from the swamp.
To come out of the swamp requires a tremendous amount of
competition, and that means a lot of savagery in the swamp.
However, once we attain type one status then it becomes
counter productive to be so savage in our relationship to
other tribes, to other species. Therefore by the time they hit
type two they will have thousand of years to iron out all the
vicious rapaciousness that typify their origin from the swamp.
So I think that they’re gonna be peaceful-like because they
will have had not centuries, they will have had millennia,
tens of millennia to iron out most of their problems.
ST: So basically you could say that those who do have reached
the stage of type two must be peaceful, otherwise they might
not have reached it.
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ST: So you’re also suggesting that with entering outer space
and expanding to other planets, actually an infinite growth
basically is possible?
ST: And they also have to find out somehow how to live with
their limited resources and whatever other problems they have
during the time they still stay in the planet.
MK: That’s right. Before they become type two and stellar, in
which case they directly consume energy from the sun.
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ST: Under what scenario can you imagine that a type three
civilization might be interested in lower developed
civilization?
ST: Maybe, but you see I think we’re simply too primitive for
them to play with. Some people say why don’t they meet us and
give us some technology and stuff like that, right? But if you
meet ants on an anthill, do you give them beads do you give
them medicine, do you give them nuclear physics? You say no.
The ants can’t absorb it. It would be dangerous for them to
have this technology.
MK: But the ant does not understand and is not even able to
conceive the idea that something like us exists, whereas you
have conceived and others have conceived the idea that the
Type three civilization exists, and we are even looking for
them. So that should make it interesting for them after all.
MK: (laughing) Well, but they could get that information from
us scanning us from the moon or, you know, they may have a
base on the Earth, too. Who knows? Maybe they have monoliths
on the Earth.
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MK: That you also find in Star Trek, always these camouflaged
bases on other planets from where they observe the savages.
MK: And you observe because again, you don’t want to create
terror. You don’t wanna get terror on the part of these
individuals and you know the contact you’ll have is gonna be
very, very specific. You know to get certain kinds of
information, to make certain limited contacts but you’re not
giving them the benefit of global technology because you know
you can destroy with this technology, and evolution is a very,
very competitive theory. I mean we have a very competitive
aspect to our brain.
MK: And if you were to give ray guns to Cro-Magnon men, they
would have wiped out the Neandertals within a matter of weeks.
At the end of those they still got wiped out even without ray
guns, so I think that there is a danger when a very advanced
species like that give weapons or technology to very, very
primitive species, and they’re gonna carry out their evolution
very, very quickly with those weapons.
ST: Might they have something like contact ethics – again also
like in Star Trek?
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PG: Another question. Wouldn’t it be for us that we could see
it if there are type three civilizations, maybe they are
galactic ones and they can control the energy of a galaxy so
if we look into the sky and see all the galaxies, wouldn’t we
recognize a galaxy which isn’t like the others which is a ...
MK: Right.
ST: We know now what the signature of life looks like, so when
we scan extrasolar planets in the future with the Darwin
Project or with the other systems that come in the middle of
the century, we will look for ozone, we will look for oxygen,
we will look for water vapor and other trace gases that are
typical for life.
MK: For type zero, right? By the time we’re type one, we don’t
have hydrocarbon chemistry anymore.
MK: That’s right. See, on Europa (rem.: the Jupiter Moon) you
have an example with volcano vents. Volcano vents may give you
the energy without sunlight. In fact that’s probably how we
got started. If you think about it, sunlight is very critical
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for our existence where all our machinery, molecular
machinery, is geared to sunlight. However, that’s probably not
how we got started. We probably got started near volcano vents
independent of sunlight. Our chemistry was based on the
chemistry probably of volcano vents and that’s what we have on
Europa. We have an ocean under the ice cover. We have
probably volcano vents so again life that started from a fish.
Fish without eyes, fish without astronomy, but fish that
perhaps had an industry that exist under the ice cover of
Europa with a totally different architecture. First they won’t
have spaceships because they won’t know about the existence of
stars, except sea stars.
MK: First of all we should not look for Type zero technology.
We should look for type three technology on the Earth, for
example, nano technology. Many of these theories of extra-
terrestrial intelligence were formulated in the thirties and
forties before the coming of nano technologies. Now in nano
technology we can miniaturize things, make things super strong
at the molecular level with carbon nano tubes perhaps make
atomic machines, perhaps make atomic laboratories that are
atomic size. So when Kubrik did his movie, he had this
monolith being in the order of fifteen feet tall or so. It
doesn’t have to be fifteen feet tall!
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and begin the process of searching for type one emissions,
studying type one civilizations, and they could be on the
Earth. Of course there is more erosion on the Earth so they’re
gonna have perhaps not last as long. On the moon they will
last for billion of years but you know, the Earth has a rich
carbon chemistry. So independent of what you think of the
Earth, you would think that the Earth would be a laboratory
for new life forms to be started. If you were an intelligent
life form visiting our solar system before the coming of
humans and you saw these dinosaurs run the face of the Earth,
you could say to yourself, well yeah, give it enough time
perhaps you have intelligent dinosaurs. So why not land a
probe there? Why not land a probe and make a colony, you know,
just to set up and investigate things and to wait. To wait.
And again these beings may be semi-computerized. You know,
part of their intelligence may be in part machines. In which
case if we meet one of these outposts, they will seem rather
bizarre to us, because we assume they’re gonna be type zero
technology imposed upon type zero. Type three technology will
use nano technology. It will be a merger of carbon and silicon
perhaps. It will be partly living – the object if you leave
behind a probe, it will be partly living, it will be micro-
miniaturized on a fantastic scale.
MK: Right.
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Theory. So we think the laws of physics are gonna be pretty
good for thousands of years.
The laws of biology, the laws of computer science will change
rapidly. But even in the short period of time where we had
biology and computer science, we already do believe that
intelligent encounters with beings from outer space could be
quite different to the 1950’s, 1940’s encounter.
(A blackbird is flying up and down outside a Window of Erich
v. Däniken’s office)
There’s a bird trying to make contact with us, right?
ST: But you don’t know how big our current portion of the
actual knowledge is. I mean the knowledge that you have now
might turn out to be just a tiny speck of a much bigger model.
ST: But you’re talking about nothing less than explaining the
very nature of reality.
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I guess we can’t prove it, but all indications are that this
is the final theory.
ST: Yes the proof is another problem. You mentioned a few ways
how it can be proven indirectly…
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other side of the galaxy any intelligent being on the other
side of the galaxy will also have to go trough the same
stuffs. They will also smash atoms, they will also understand
their four forces and they will also understand that there is
a unified field theory underlying all fundamental places and
they’re gonna repeat the same stuffs that we are going
through. And perhaps if they’re a hundred thousand years ahead
of us, perhaps they use this as a playground for their
activities. Also one more thing, we now know from the W-MAP
Satellite that the universe is accelerating and the universe
is probably dying in a big freeze trillions of years from now.
At that point I think that we should leave the universe. Any
intelligent being that advanced will have to look at the
options seriously of leaving the universe and going to a
hotter universe.
ST: About the Big Freeze - maybe you have read or at least
heard about Freeman Dyson’s work, Time Without End?
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MK: He’s probably wrong. There was an article published in the
Scientific American about two years ago by Lawrence Kraus,
saying that he’s probably wrong. However, he’s wrong because
of a loophole. We now believe that there is a cosmological
constant in the universe. Dark energy.
MK: He did not have it? Right. That was only introduced in the
last three to five years.
PG: You talked about your work in the future. There are some
student researchers in the AAS and maybe can you give them
some advice how to work on this topic, so it is very
interesting, should they study physics or should they contact
you or what should they do? Could you give some advice as
well?
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You have to be these flashes of insight and imagination, which
cannot be taught in a book, cannot be learned, and that’s the
mark of a great scientist. Many scientists can build
foundations and rooms but to be a great scientist you have to
be an artist. And that’s what Einstein was. He was an artist
who could create something out of nothing, basically. Same
thing with Isaac Newton. So I think that we have to dream. We
have to dream, but the solider the foundation the more we can
dream. So I think that we have to be grounded, you know, in
physics, biology, chemistry - but the more we’re grounded the
more we can dream.
MK: Okay.
MK: It’s conceivable. The movie 2001 was more or less based on
the idea that a more advanced civilization like a type one
would be interesting. And that’s why in the movie there was a
scene where the astronauts touched the obelisk, and then there
was a sound. Remember there was a sound? That sound was the
message, an alarm clock saying we have arrived. But it is
always conceivable because even in the movie they had the
monolith appearing in front of the apes. So there was a
situation where an alien civilization actually helped the
evolution of the planet Earth and they waited. They simply
waited for us to become type one.
ST: Of course.
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they may want to help us along a little bit but I think that
the dangers are also very present, that if too much of their
technology gets out there, it would be more than we can
absorb. I mean look at the atomic bomb. The atomic bomb was a
consequence of the wartime in the 1930’s. But civilization in
some sense, even today, is not ready to handle the atomic bomb
and that’s why we have problems of nuclear proliferation. So
think of the example of the atomic bomb as being the
technology that we ourselves created and that we have an
enormously hard time controlling. If they were to give some of
their technology to us in a large scale it could really lead
to self-destruction. So that doesn’t mean that they won’t
necessarily want to help us or build an outpost, make contact
with us. You know, tinker with us a bit but I don’t think they
will give us the benefits of their technology it would be too
dangerous. We still have the mind of a savage. Our brains are
identical to the mind that left Africa a hundred thousand
years ago. The best DNA evidence, the best fossil evidence
indicates that we left Africa hundred thousand years ago
as modern humans, humans that looked just like us. But our
brains haven’t changed. The same savagery, the same
rapaciousness, the same violence it’s all there. Nothing’s
changed, really.
MK: If you take a bunch of campers and all of the sudden they
lose contact, there’s a snow storm and they’re drifting out in
the wilderness, they revert almost immediately back a hundred
thousand years to the same savagery, the same hierarchical
structure. All the things we left a hundred thousand years ago
is literally a day away if you get lost in the mountains and
have limited food supply. So again for a type three to give us
a full advantage of their technology could be very dangerous,
I think we could see that but there’s no reason why they
couldn’t have made contact with us, interact with us, maybe
give us a few things but basically left us alone in the main,
because of the fact that it is very dangerous. And if we were
to make contact with their technology it would look like a
gift from the gods. As Arthur C. Clark has said, any
sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from
magic.
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for granted, part of everyday life would be considered gift
from the gods for them from their perspective.
MK: If they’re type minus one; “Oh, it’s a very big minus one
civilization!“ Big bird big everything. Right?
No. And Bill Gates wrote a book “The Road Ahead”. He tried to
predict the future in 1995, and the book was all wrong. He
simply said we’ll gonna have big PCs. PCs everywhere. PCs
here, PCs there, right (laughs). The book was totally wrong!
The Internet, micro-miniaturization, in the future the PC’s
will have disappeared...
MK: It was in 1995. The Road Ahead. That was written before
the Internet revolution really took hold, and he was writing
about stand alones, stand alone PCs being everywhere, super
powerful PCs. That’s not the future. The future is that
computers have disappeared to be everywhere, right? That’s why
it is always dangerous to extrapolate. That’s why with the
laws of physics it’s a little bit easier, because physics
doesn’t change very rapidly, but the laws of computer science
change all the time.
ST: What I also wanted to ask, what do you think about the
problem of complexity? We understand the very basic
fundamental principles of the universe - or at least we begin
to understand them - but we often don’t understand complex
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systems very well. We cannot predict them. We end up in Chaos
Theory.
MK: The weather, for example – the Chaos Theory was invented
to help us understand the weather with the butterfly effect.
That’s very nice but which butterflies affect the weather,
when does a butterfly affect the weather, right?
It has no predictive power.
ST: Of course.
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down approach. Now the approach is bottom up. Start with a
bunch of neurons, hook them up randomly and let them learn
like a baby, basically. The Mars program is based on that now.
All the Mars rovers are neural networks. So there’s been a
revolution in artificial intelligence theory: not top down but
bottom up. And so when we send probes into outer space we have
to realize that our probes may be based on the bottom up
technology rather than top down technology.
ST: But if we are stuck on the planet for another few thousand
years or a few hundred years at least, don’t we have to stop
growth?
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ST: But then growth also stops.
MK: Okay.
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