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3rd B.Com ‘C’
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SUN PHARMACEUTICALS INDUSTRIES LIMITED
SUMMARY
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INDIAN ECONOMY
India was a highly protected, semi-socialist autarkic economy till 1991. There
were numerous structural and bureaucratic impediments in setting up a new
business and Foreign investment was not welcomed. The opening up of the Indian
economy in 1991, Unleashed the latent entrepreneurial talent of the Indian and in less
than two decades India has established itself as the next economic superpower of the
world.
Now in mid 2009, the global economy is showing incipient signs of stabilization, of
course not recovery. The pace of decline in economic activity in several major
advanced economies has slowed, frozen credit markets have thawed and equity
markets have begun to recover. Recent months have witnessed industrial activity
reviving in a number of emerging market economies (EMEs) such as China, Korea,
Brazil and India. Notwithstanding some positive signs, the path and the time horizon
for global recovery remain uncertain. Consumption demand remains subdued as
unemployment levels have raised. Business and consumer confidence are yet to show
definitive signs of revival. Global trade, according to the International Monetary
Fund (IMF), is projected to shrink by over 12 per cent in 2009; private capital flows
are also expected to decline. The continuing process of balance sheet adjustment by
both households and businesses is inhibiting recovery in many economies. Reflecting
these several uncertainties, the IMF, in its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO)
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update released in July 2010, has further revised downwards the global
growth forecast for 2009 to (-)1.4 per cent from its April 2009 forecast
of (-)1.3 per cent.
The crisis, which affected the global financial system and engulfed most
countries of the world, had all the ingredients for a severe disruption of the world
economy on the scale of the Great Depression. However, it was mitigated by bold,
large and decisive actions taken in concert by governments and central banks in each
country, and which came to be increasingly co-ordinate across countries.
Consequently, while the financial sector appears to be stabilizing, economic
recession in the real sector persists.
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INDIAN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY
Indian pharmaceutical sector has an estimated market value of about US $10 billion.
It's at 4th rank in terms of total pharmaceutical production and 13th in terms
of value. It is growing at an average rate of 7.2 % and is expected to grow to US $
14 billion by 2011.
Over the last two years the pharmaceutical market value has increased to about US $
355 million because of the launch of new products. According to an estimate, 3900
new generic products have been launched in the past two years. These have been by
and large launched by big brands in the pharmacy sector.
With the Product Patent Act, which came into action in January 2005, this
industry is able to attract big MNCs to India. Earlier these big firms had
apprehensions in launching new drugs in the Indian market.
At present, a large number of Indian pharmaceuticals companies are looking for tie-
ups with foreign firms for in-license drugs. GlaxoSmithKline is among the top
choices for the firms that wish to launch their product in India, but do not have any
branch over here.
Indian multinational companies like Dr. Reddy’s Lab, Sun Pharmaceuticals Ltd,
Cipla, Ranbaxy, etc have created awareness about the Indian market prospects in
the international pharmaceutical market.
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Approvals given by Foods and Drugs Administration (FDA) and
ANDA (Abbreviated New Drug Application)/DMF (Drug Master
File) have played an important role in making India a cost-effective
and high quality product manufacturer. Furthermore, the changes that took
place in the patent law, change of process patent to product patent, have
helped in reducing the risk of loss for intellectual property.
Key growth drivers are an ageing world population, rising healthcare spending and
increasing acceptance for generics. As we move towards 2050, the world population
in the age group of 40-59 and 60+ are estimated to jump from 1.4bn to 2.3bn and
0.7bn to 1.9bn respectively. This would put further pressure on the spiraling
healthcare spending of the developed countries which has been growing faster than
the GDP. The government of these countries would have no choice but to increase
generic penetration. Generics are also gaining increasing acceptance from regulated
markets. A case in point is Japan which has a generic penetration target of 30% in
volume by 2012 from 5% (US$ 3bn) currently.
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markets. We expect more such deals to be signed between generics and
innovators for the emerging markets.
:
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TARGETTING EMERGING MARKETS
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SWOT ANALYSIS OF PHARMA SECTOR
STRENGTHS:
Cost effective technology
Strong and well-developed
manufacturing base
Clinical research and trials OPPORTUNITIES
Knowledge based, low- cost Incredible export potential
manpower in science & Increasing health
technology consciousness
Proficiency in path-breaking New innovative therapeutic
research products
High-quality formulations and Globalization
drugs Drug delivery system
High standards of purity management
World-class process Increased incomes
development labs Production of generic drugs
Contract manufacturing
WEAKNESSES Clinical trials & research
Low Indian share in world Drug molecules
pharmaceutical market (about
2%) THREATS
Lack of strategic planning Small number of discoveries
Fragmented capacities Competition from MNCs
Low R&D investments Transformation of process
Absence of association patent to product patent
between institutes and industry (TRIPS)
Low healthcare expenditure Outdated Sales and marketing
Production of duplicate drugs methods
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Non-tariff imposed by developed
barriers countries
FUTURE SCENARIO
The dream of Indian pharmaceutical companies for marking their presence globally
and competing with the pharmaceutical companies from the developed countries like
Europe, Japan, and United States is now coming true.
The new patent regime has led many multinational pharmaceutical companies to look
at India as an attractive destination not only for R&D but also for contract
manufacturing, Conduct of clinical trials and generic drug research. With market
value of about US$ 45billion in 2005, the generic sector is expected to grow to US$
100 billion in the next few years.
The Indian companies are using the revenue generated from generic drug sales
to Promote drug discovery projects and new delivery technologies. Contract
research in India is also growing at the rate of 20-25% per year and was valued at
US$ 10-120million In 2005. India is holding a major share in world's contract
research business activity and It continues to expand its presence.
Clinical Research Outsourcing (CRO), a budding industry valued over US$ 118
million Per year in India, is estimated to grow to US$ 380 million by 2010, as MNCs
are entering the market with ambitious plans. By revising its R&D policies the
government is trying to boost R&D in domestic pharma industry. It is giving tax
exemption for a period of ten years and relieving customs and excise duties of all
the drugs and material imported or exported for clinical trials to promote
innovative R&D.
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CHALLENGES: PHARMA SECTOR
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ANALYSIS OF COMPANY
Overview:
The methods used to analyze securities and make investment decisions fall into two
very broad categories: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental
analysis involves analyzing the characteristics of a company in order to estimate its
value. Technical analysis takes a completely different approach; it doesn't care one
bit about the "value" of a company or a commodity. Technicians (sometimes called
chartists) are only interested in the price movements in the market.
Despite all the fancy and exotic tools it employs, technical analysis really just studies
supply and demand in a market in an attempt to determine what direction, or trend,
will continue in the future. In other words, technical analysis attempts to understand
the emotions in the market by studying the market itself, as opposed to its
components. If you understand the benefits and limitations of technical analysis, it
can give you a new set of tools or skills that will enable you to be a better trader or
investor.
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SUN PHARMACEUTICALS INDUSTRIES
LIMITED
Company profile:
Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Ltd. is an international speciality pharma company,
with a presence in 30 markets. Sun Pharma also make active pharmaceutical
ingredients. In branded markets, Sun pharma products are prescribed in chronic
therapy areas like cardiology, psychiatry, neurology, gastroenterology, diabetology
and respiratory.
Sun Pharma came into existence as a startup with just 5 products in 1983. In the time
since, Sun pharma have crossed several milestones to emerge as an important
speciality pharma company with technically complex products in global markets, and
a leading pharma company in India.
In India, Sun Pharma have reached leadership in each of the therapy areas that they
operate in, and are rated among the leading companies by key customers.
Strengthening market share and keeping this customer focus remains a high priority
area for the company.
In the post-1996 years, Sun Pharma have used a combination of internal growth and
acquisitions to drive growth; important mergers were those of the US, Detroit based
Caraco Pharm Labs, ICN Hungary (now called Alkaloida Chemical Company
Exclusive Group), and that of the internationally approved plants at Halol, India as
well as Bryan, Ohio, US and Cranbury, NJ, US.
Sun Pharma has shifted work related to new molecules and drug delivery systems to
a company, SPARC, which is listed on the Indian stock exchange.
Key Milestones post 1996:
1997 :
Acquisition of Tamil Nadu Dadha Pharmaceuticals Ltd.
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1998:
Brand buyout : Brands from Natco Pharma
1999 :
Acquisition of Milmet Labs
2000:
Acquisition of Pradeep Drug Company Ltd
2004 :
Sun Pharma increased stake in Caraco to 66%. By 2007, this stake has reached 75%
on a diluted basis.
The formulation site in Halol, India (the erstwhile MJ Pharma site) received approval
from USFDA, UK MHRA, South African MCC, Brazilian ANVISA and Columbian
INVIMA
Sun Pharma acquires a Cephalosporin Actives manufacturer, Phlox Pharma, with
European approval for cefuroxime axetil amorphous. By 2007, a formulations facility
to make sterile and non sterile formulations have been built, and the API and non-
sterile sections have been approved by the USFDA.
2005:
Sun Pharma buys a plant in Bryan, Ohio, US and the business of ICN, Hungary from
Valeant Pharma.
Sun Pharma acquires the intellectual property and assets of Able Labs from the US
District Bankruptcy court in New Jersey in December 2005.
Dilip Shanghvi, the CMD, receives the E&Y Entrepreneur of the Year award in
healthcare and life sciences for 2005.
Sun Pharma is selected by Forbes amongst the best 200 companies (sales less than
USD 1 billion) in Asia. This is the fourth time in 5 years that the company has been
selected.
2006:
Announced the demerger of innovative business with pipelines, people, equipment
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and funding, into a new company.
2007:
Completed the demerger of the innovative business, with requisite legal
and regulatory approvals. SPARC ltd, the new company, is listed on the
stock exchanges in India, the first pure research company to be so listed.
In May 2007, we, along with our subsidiaries, signed definitive agreements to
acquire Taro Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd., (TAROF, Pink Sheets), a multinational
generic manufacturer with established subsidiaries, manufacturing and products
across the U.S., Israel, Canada for $454 mill. This all-cash deal is subject to Taro
shareholder approval and requisite regulatory clearances
2008:
In November 2008, Sun Pharma along with subsidiaries, acquired 100% ownership
of Chattem Chemicals, Inc.,a narcotic raw material importer and manufacturer of
controlled substances with a approved facility in Tennessee. This will offer vertical
integration for our controlled substance dosage form business in the US.
Fundamental Analysis:
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Shareholding Pattern
Corporat Retail
es/HNIs Investor
6% s
FII 6%
18%
Financia
l Promote
Instituti rs and
ons or group
banks 64%
2% Mutual
Funds or
UTI
4%
1. Sun Pharma is the sixth largest company in India (in terms of prescription sales)
with a market share of 3.5%. Sun has witnessed a revenue CAGR of 28% over FY05-
FY09, driven by its focus on chronic space, vertical integration and strong doctor
relationships. Sun’s efforts have translated into a top 3 position in over 50% of its
strong 450 brands. Sun is No.1 in key therapeutics like Psychiatry, Neurology,
Cardiology, Ophthalmology, Diabetology and Orthopedics. These segments are not
easy to penetrate.
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2. Despite a high base, Sun’s strong performance in the domestic
market is likely to continue, driven by new product launches and volume
growth in existing products.
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SUNPHARMA
3000
STOCK PRICE
2500
2000
1500 Series1
1000
500
0
Apr-99
Apr-00
Apr-02
Apr-03
Apr-04
Apr-98
Apr-01
Apr-05
Apr-06
Apr-07
Apr-08
MONTH
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Global, the prestigious international magazine recently rated Sun Pharma
among the best 200 global companies for 2002.
1. Sun’s subsidiary in the US, Caraco’s 33 products was recently seized by the US FDA
for non compliance of cGMP requirements for a sustained period. The US FDA also
mentioned that these products would not be allowed to be distributed in the US till the
time Caraco’s facility comes up to the US FDA standards. The recent action is a
significant setback as the 33 products accounted for a major chunk of Caraco’s own
manufactured products having sales of US$ 112mn in FY09. In addition, Caraco’s 25
ANDAs pending approval would not be considered for approval as well.
2. Despite the setback on Caraco, Sun’s own filings will drive growth for the US
market. Caraco is a facility specializing in oral solids (tablets) while complex
products are from Sun’s facilities in India, which have all clearance from the US
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FDA. Sun and Caraco together have 108 ANDAs awaiting approval, of
which Sun alone has 83 ANDAs, including filings from its Cranbury
facility. These filings include products for controlled substances a US$
6bn opportunity with limited competition due to the nature of the
products. Sun is looking at vertical integration in this area which would be a key
differentiator.
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ACQUIRES ASSETS WITH AN AIM TO GENERATE HIGH ROI
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Financial Analysis: Table 5
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Book Value per share 248.72 203.15 126.58 78.80 59.51
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Current Assets, Loans
& Advances
Inventories 4867.40 3896.30 3333.80 2634.10 1866.20
Financial Analysis:
Sun Pharma reported 22 % increase on Y-o-Y basis from March 2009 to March
2010.
Company reported increase in PAT by 24.7 % as compared to last year.
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Due to increased PAT and no. of shareholders remaining same
EPS has increased
by nearly 25 % on Y-o-Y basis from March 2009- March 2010
Company has returned all its unsecured debts thus pushing down
debt to equity
ratio in order to able company to access for more debts as and when required
by the company.
Size of balance sheet has increased significantly by Rs. 8649 million i.e. 20 %
increase as compared to last year due to increase in reserves.
Company’s debtors have decreased as compared to last year denoting better
administration and debtor collection by company even in recessionary situations.
Cash Flow Statement:
Cash Flow from Financing Activites -3256.70 -60.60 -3604.80 -1308.00 14578.90
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Cash flow from operating activities has increased significantly amounting
double as compared to last year indicates higher operational efficiency and
increased operating activities to generate higher returns for company.
Cash flow from investing activities shows outflow of funds indicating that
company has invested in different investment avenues as valuations were
downgraded during the year because of global recessionary conditions.
Financial activities showing significant cash outflow as company has repaid all
its unsecured loans becoming debt free company.
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Ratio: : Rs. In Millions
KEY FINDINGS
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Analysis of Key Ratios:
In this case, the ratio has increased from 4.0 to 4.99. This is due to increase in current
liability.
Quick Ratio
(Cash + AR) / Total Current Liabilities
This is a slightly more conservative measure of liquidity because it uses only
your available cash and accounts receivable in the equation.Also called Acid-Test
Ratio, this is very similar to your current ratio but it includes only those current
assets that can be most readily used to pay bills today: cash and accounts receivable.
The quick ratio excludes inventory, which must first be sold and the cash
collected before it can be used to pay liabilities. It also excludes current assets like
prepaid expenses, which are never converted to cash. They are simply assets you paid
for in advance.
In general, company should try to maintain a quick ratio of 1 to 1, which means you
have $1 worth of cash and accounts receivable for every $1 dollar
of total current liabilities.
In this case, the ratio has increased from 3.46 to 4.06 This is due to increase in
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current liability.
Debt / Equity Ratio: Debt equity ratio has become zero as company has paid off all
the debts. It was 0.02% last year.
Interest Coverage Ratio: Interest Coverage Ratio also shows an upward trend. It
has increased from 208% to 468% during the period from 2008 to 2009. This
is a healthy indicator and evidently illustrates that company will be able to pay
interest which is very miniscule on the secured borrowings very easily even if profits
do not grow at the expected rate.
Inventory Days:
Days in period (91) / COGS / Inventory Ratio
Average length of time units are in inventory.
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EPS (Earnings per Share): Earnings per share are generally
considered to be the single most important variable in determining
a share's price. It is also a major component of the price-to-earnings valuation
ratio. Earnings per Share have increased from Rs. 48.96 Per share to Rs.61.10 per
share from 2009 to 2010. Due to higher Profit after tax and strong future trends I
feel the EPS will surely continue to increase.
ROE (Return on Equity Capital): The return on equity measures the profitability
of equity funds invested in the firm. It is regarded as a very important measure
because it reflects the productivity of the ownership.
The return on shareholder’s equity is quite good as it has increased from 24.1% to
24.56 % and it shows an upward trend, this has increased due to increase in
the Profits.
P/E (Price Earnings ratio): In general, a stock with a high P/E ratio
suggests that investors are expecting higher earnings growth in the future compared
to the overall market, as investors are paying more for today's earnings in
anticipation of future earnings growth. Hence, as a generalization, stocks with
this characteristic are considered to be growth stocks. Conversely, a stock with a
low P/E ratio suggests that investors have more modest expectations for its future
growth compared to the market as a whole.
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Assets Turnover
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