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This section will be divided into five parts which are the households, firms, monetary
policy, information processing and timing of events. It introduces a representative agent
economy with flexible prices, a continuum of monopolistically competitive firms and a central
bank.
The central bank controls nominal demand and maximizes representative agent¶s utility.
The agents differ with respect to the attention they pay to aggregate variables. Central bank, on
the other hand, pays perfect attention to aggregate shocks and processes information perfectly.
c
The households are the consumers choosing aggregate consumption a and labour supply
in order to perform the following maximization
a
º
a
c c
a a
where is a stochastic shock, with mean , inducing variations in the price
elasticity of firms¶ product demand.
Linearizing the first order condition of firm delivers an expression for the profit
maximizing price
!"# $
where lower case letters denote variables that are expressed as percentage deviations from
deterministic steady state and # denotes the information set on which firm bases its decision.
The value of determines whether firms¶ prices are strategic complements or substitutes.
This can be seen by defining nominal spending % as
%
%
!"# $
c
The central bank maximizes representative agent¶s utility by adjusting nominal demand.
The approximation of the monetary policy problem is
(
)(
'
%
!"# $
%
Output gap and aggregate price variability both adversely affect the utility of the
representative agent. Output gap is standard while aggregate price emerges because firms pay
only limited attention to aggregate variables. As shown later, inattention gives rise to information
dispersion between firms. Analyzing information dispersion between firms is very important
when studying monetary policy because the real effects of nominal demand policy ultimately
depend on firms¶ pricing decisions.
In the present model, a trade-off between output gap stability and price stability can arise.
This trade-off is generated by the pricing behavior of firms. The nature of this trade-off depends
critically on the information sets # on which firms base their decisions.å
c
In the case of standard rational expectations models, all agents in the economy observe
all aggregate information perfectly. However, that observable information has to be processed
before it can be incorporated into economics decisions, as in Sims (2003). Information
processing requires managerial staff to collect and process information and take corresponding
decisions.
The central bank is assumed to have sufficient staff to process all aggregate information.
Firms, however, may devote only limited resources to information processing task. As a result,
the information sets # are not fully informative about aggregate variables and contain
idiosyncratic noise elements.
Such limitations imply that firms cannot pay attention to all aggregate developments
which results in firms having to choose what information to process and what to neglect. Thus,
firms¶ information sets are endogenous and react to the policy pursued by the central bank.
c
r
! "
# $
This section considers two extreme informational assumptions. Firstly, firms process
information about aggregate variable perfectly while the second one, firms do not pay attention
to aggregate variables at all. Both information settings give rise to common knowledge between
firms and will serve as useful benchmarks when analyzing policy in imperfect common
knowledge environments.
"
# %
Since firms are processing all information perfectly, all decisions reflect same
information and in a symmetric equilibrium. Therefore
%
!"#*
!
It is clearly stated that nominal demand policy affects the price level only but has no effect on the
output gap. Optimal policy then stabilizes the price level. This is achieved by setting
%
!
c "
# % &
In this case, firms do not process information about aggregate variables at all. Firms¶
expectations are then determined by the unconditional mean values of the shocks and policy
decision, which are all equal to zero. With that
º
Nominal demand policy has real effects only but no effects on the price level because
nominal demand variations come as a µsurprise¶. Thus, this is the reverse concept of perfect
information processing.
With nominal demand policy having real effects only, optimal policy stabilizes the output
gap. This is achieved by nominally accommodating supply shocks, as in the case of perfect
information, i.e.
%
Since firms do not observe real demand shocks, prices and output gap both fail to react to them.
' (
In this section, it considers a more realistic case where firms pay positive attention but
less than perfect attention to aggregate variables. Following Sims (2003) this is modeled by
assuming that firms process information only at a finite rate.
As discussed earlier, since each firm processes information in a slightly different way,
information processing leads to idiosyncratic processing errors, whose size is inversely related to
the firm¶s processing capacity.
)
)
"
# )
¥+
¥+", &
where ¥+ denotes the entropy of + prior observing the signal , and ¥+", the entropy after
observing the signal. Entropy is a measure of the loss of information in a transmitted signal or
message.
The central bank chooses the communication policy -. that maximizes the firms¶ profits,
anticipating that the firm will choose the profit maximizing processing error /0( subject to
information flow constraint. The communication policy and the variance of the processing errors
thus solve
567.+",
123 å
4
, å-.+ 8
¥+
¥+", &
-. å7.
/0( 567.+
(9
The above equation shows that the central bank announceså7.+, the optimal price chosen
by a firm that has full information about + Snce the vector 7 depends on the policy pursued by
the central bank, communication depends on the monetary policy pursued. This reflects the fact
that the relative importance firms attach to different fundamentals depends on how the central
bank itself reacts to these fundamentals.
In this last section, each firm is given a processing capacity and solve for a rational
expectations equilibrium (REE) with respect to imperfect common knowledge (ICK) in which
firms choose profit maximizing prices and the central bank announcement maximizes firms¶
profits.
Since there is µinformation dispersion¶ in the economy, firms do not know what other
firms have observed and must formulate beliefs about other agents¶ beliefs. This leads to a
system of so-called higher order beliefs that affect the equilibrium outcome.
$
! ),
%
!
Iterating on the above equation by repeatedly averaging across firms and taking conditional
expectations, one obtains
: ;% :
:
!: <"#
>?
Firms optimal price depends on the first and higher order expectations of % and ! For ,
i.e. without strategic interactions among firms, only first order expectations matter. But for
smaller values of , i.e., in the presence of strategic complementaries, higher order expectations
increasingly influence the optimal price.
c -
)
"
# )
This section determines the central bank announcement and characterizes the resulting
rational expectations equilibrium with imperfect common knowledge.
Previous equation and discussion above imply that the central bank announces
: ;% :
:
!: <
>?
which is the profit maximizing price chosen by a firm that has full information. It suggest that
the central bank has to announce a combination of the fundamental shocks and agents¶ higher
order expectations about these shocks. The latter implies that to construct a rational expectations
equilibrium one has to determine a fixed point in the space of beliefs of infinite order.