Escolar Documentos
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Cultura Documentos
By Knowledge Mupanda
Spring 2010
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1. Introduction
disciplines for its personnel, paradigm, methodologies and practices. At present, it still relies
heavily on agricultural economics and the management disciplines. Like any other young
conforming to theories and paradigms from older or ‘mother’ disciplines while it builds its own
identity as a distinct discipline. Thus it fits in the description of pre-paradigm science which
Baum and Dobbin (2000) citing Kuhn (1977) characterized with deep disagreements about
basic theory, and interpretation of facts which is mainly caused by importation of paradigms
and personnel from parent fields and other mature sciences. Harling (1995) elaborates on some
methodologies and practices to import from ‘mother’ disciplines while it critically questions
some practices in ‘mother’ disciplines before it makes use of them or totally abandon their use.
One such practice that has gone rather unchecked in established disciplines is failure to
significance as the basis upon which research conclusions and recommendations are drawn.
While economic (practical) significance and statistical significance can coincide, the two are
inherently different and in a field like agribusiness, we would think economic significance
takes precedence over statistical significance in research methodologies and practices because
significance. In Economics, the fight against the practice (or oversight in economists) has been
presented by McCloskey and Ziliak in several papers culminating into a book, The Cult of
In several papers and over a period of twenty years, McCloskey (later on joined by
Ziliak) has argued that economists largely confuse statistical and practical (economic)
significance and have abdicated the responsibility to draw economic conclusions to statistical
tests. It is McCloskey and Ziliak’s contention that economists have put economic significance
on the back burner of economic analysis and substituted it for statistical significance despite
the weak theoretical basis for the later. While McCloskey and Ziliak’s views have received a
fair amount of criticism (Hoover and Siegler, 2008; Engsted, 2009) their relevance to applied
sciences like agribusiness management and agricultural economics cannot be dismissed at face
some of the pertinent issues raised by McCloskey and Ziliak in the context of agribusiness
management. Here we argue that economic significance is of greater importance and relevance
in agribusiness research methodology and statistical significance is a tool than can be used to
the growth cycle of a discipline starts with it borrowing methodologies, practices, personnel
and intellects from ‘mother’ disciplines. However, there is controversy that arises after a while
regarding how such a developing discipline can make itself unique. Should it just wean itself
by developing its own theories, procedures and practices or it should strive to integrate
theories, methodologies and practices from the ‘mother’ disciplines to come up with its unique
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strategies? If integration is chosen what procedures should be put in place that a young
discipline should not inherit ‘challengeable’ practices and mistaking them for genuine
methodologies? The question of legitimacy plays a significant role in finding answers to these
questions. Does a discipline require legitimacy from its ‘mother’ disciplines or it clientele?
We use the arguments presented by McCloskey and Ziliak on the roles of statistical and
economic significance and present that agribusiness management as a young discipline can
make itself unique by cultivating its own unique practices that are based on the needs of its
clientele.
analysis should make a distinction between economic and statistical significance, particularly
were the two are different in research findings. We also contend that research conclusions in
set to find out to what extent has agribusiness management research moved away from
traditional practices in statistics and economics and moved towards creating its own distinct set
of research methodologies and practices which aid in the growth of the discipline.
The research process in any field significantly contributes towards shaping the field. This
is as seen from publications of research in the field particularly from its leading journals and
intellects. We assume that such publications help shape the opinion of the discipline in as
much as they are contributed by individuals with pervasive and deep knowledge of the
discipline. Such publications also show how much a discipline is importing from other
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disciplines and how it is imparted in the development of the discipline. The conclusions drawn
from the researches as published help shape future research. This is true when leading
publications in the field are considered. Thus the leading publications in a discipline represent
an embodiment of accepted methodologies, practices, and research values in that discipline and
hence make up the right unit of analysis to evaluate methodological practices in the discipline.
the application of economic analysis to the organization and performance of firms and markets
AGR.html). From this goal we can read that agribusiness management is a practically oriented
science hence its applied (economic) nature should feature in research findings.
of another discipline. For a while the young discipline (pre-science) is physically housed and
managed under the facilities of the mother discipline. Thus the influence of the ‘mother’
discipline has a significant impact on the formulation of the research methodologies and
practices of the young discipline. For agribusiness, the mother discipline is agricultural
economics. The two are close fields such that it is still arguable if agribusiness is not a mere
is going to be a separate discipline and we treat it as such despite its current dependence on
agricultural economics. The responsibility for the growth of the young discipline is not
dependent on the mother discipline only but other disciplines. In this case agribusiness
among researchers on specific issues may call for further discussion in order to set the
discipline on a firm foundation (Harling, 1995). While arguing for a ‘fish-scale multi-science’
(2000) present that paradigm consensus among researchers improves their efficiency and
effectiveness and enables access to more resources as their efforts are spent in one accord.
Such consensus really matters when it comes to accepted practices, particularly in research
methodology.
Harling (1995) points to several areas that are still conflicting in agribusiness
management. There are differences among researchers from the definition of agribusiness
management, and its relationship with other contributing disciplines like strategic management
become common. Given that agribusiness management is a young science that still imports a
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lot of its methodology from agricultural economics and economics, questions abound
concerning what role relevance plays in selecting what to import and impart in the field. How
much critique are methodologies and practices from ‘mother’ disciplines subjected to before
they are acceptable in a pre-science? Is there chance for the importation of controversies from
‘mother’ disciplines to agribusiness management? Answers to these questions are not readily
available. The reason is that there is already a lively debate on the direction pre-sciences
should take. Two schools of thoughts have emerged with contrasting views on the way to go
The first school argues that pre-sciences should come up with new paradigms that defines
mature sciences paradigms. In a case of strategic management, Markoczy and Deeds (2009)
argue that instead of the discipline focusing on trying to gain legitimacy from other disciplines
by going towards an integrated approach in its research agenda, it should instead focus into
developing its own theories that identify it. The Resource Based View (RBV) is presented as
one of such a theory that could be improved. Markoczy and Deeds (2009) cite (Pfeffer, 1993)
Successful researchers are not those who are able to come up with new
theories that fit the current fads and fashion, but rather those who address
theoretical problems that arise within the baseline theories or those who aim to
understand empirical trends and patterns that are widely known about, but not
yet understood theoretically within the discipline.
Such a position, if tenable would free pre-sciences from paradigm dependence and
importing of methodologies and practices. It would entail young sciences to come up with
their own set of practices that are relevant to their goals and objectives. The views of
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McCloskey and Ziliak regarding statistical and economic significance in economic analysis,
though focused on economics, inadvertently points to the risks associated with integration of
methodologies and procedures from ‘mother’ disciplines. It becomes even a bigger problem if
advancing agribusiness as a separate field, distinct from other social sciences. Such
methodological practices like for any practically oriented science, must demonstrate their
ability to affect conduct of agribusinesses research. In setting such unique methodology and
research as a field without ‘a common craft-skill and set of research procedures and practices’.
Whitley (1984) allude the lack of such a common set of craft skills in strategic management
research as caused by practitioners goals and perceptions directly entering into formulation of
research goals and evaluation criteria causing ‘low autonomy and low mutual dependence
management, which has significantly matured and has set traditions over the years, these
The second school of thought has advocated for pre-sciences to take a composite
approach in learning and developing. Baum and Dobbin (2000) propose a ‘fish-scale’ strategic
management discipline which means a discipline that successfully integrates and reconciles
otherwise contradictory paradigms from parent disciplines into one harmonious discipline.
Sonka and Hudson (1989) argue that agricultural economics is showing signs of moving away
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disciplines. This follows underlying concerns in agricultural economics that economic theory
is sacrificing relevance for abstract rigor. Mahoney and McGahan (2007) propose for an
interesting to find out if such multi-paradigm integration will result in assimilating of the
relevant components of a discipline and leave out the irrelevant. As we shall argue below the
concerns raised by McCloskey and Ziliak regarding the role of economic significance in
drawing research conclusions and recommendation are of critical importance to applied social
Views, opinions, perceptions, and definitions among disciplines differ significantly that
when it comes to methodologies and practices from contributing disciplines. We call for a
critical review of methodologies and practices from ‘mother’ disciplines before they are used
in pre-sciences. Being critical and not just following the ‘fads and fashion’ of practices of
contributing disciplines will also help create a unique discipline as characterized by its
practices. The reason is methodologies and practices are mostly suitable to the objectives and
nature of research they are designed for. Outside those areas there may be need to improve, or
make some changes in both use and their interpretations. We present below the rather
controversial views of McCloskey and Ziliak and pick out the pertinent components for our
argument.
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For more than twenty years McCloskey and later on joined by Ziliak ‘in the early 1990s’
(McCloskey and Ziliak, 2008b) have been presenting arguments that have largely been
contrary to widely accepted methodologies and practices in economics. For the relevance of
this paper we have selected the following arguments that we find running through McCloskey
and Ziliak’s 2008 book, The Cult of Statistical Significance. The first argument is that
economists, mistake statistical significance for economic significance. The second one being
that economists have abdicated the responsibility of drawing conclusions (based on economic
significance) to statistical significant tests. The third argument (which is also closely linked to
the second) is that economists have not given adequate importance and validity to the
magnitude of the coefficient in statistical analysis. The last argument is that economists have
Like Hoover and Sigler (2008), we find the observation that economic significance is
different from statistical significance insipid. As such, we doubt if there is any economist who
does not know that difference despite McCloskey and Ziliak (1996) arguing that econometrics
textbooks largely do not have sections devoted to distinguishing the two. We believe
Professors of Econometrics teach this difference in class. We also do not believe using the
word “significance” ambiguously implies no difference between the two (McCloskey and
Ziliak, 1996, pp 109), as the relevant meaning of the word can be contextual. However, what
we find worth following up is weather economists and practitioners in pre-sciences that rely on
economics as a ‘mother’ discipline make this separation between statistical and economic
significance in drawing conclusions in publications. As Hoover and Sigler (2008) found out
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from papers published in the American Economic Review in McCloskey and Ziliak (1996)
sample, economists either implicitly or explicitly draw a difference between statistical and
economic significance in explaining results. However, could this be true to economists and
The second argument by McCloskey and Ziliak (1996, 2004) is that conclusions in
economic publications are drawn largely based on statistical tests. McCloskey and Ziliak
(2004) write, “in the 1980s, 53% had relied exclusively on statistical significance as a criterion
of importance at its first use; in the 1990s 64% did”. However, it is true from a theoretical base
that statistical significance is neither necessary nor sufficient for a finding to be economically
important. In The Cult of statistical significance, pp. 23-32, McCloskey and Ziliak
‘importance’ measure. Sterns, Schweikhardt and Peterson (1998) arguing for the case study as
The second argument tie in with the third argument, that the size of the coefficient (what
McCloskey and Ziliak call oomph!) is given very little consideration in reporting research
findings when it actually tells the practical or economic significance. According to McCloskey
and Ziliak (and too anyone else in applied social sciences) the magnitude of the coefficient
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matters. However, more often in economics publications, research findings are presented on
the basis of statistical significance. Variables are dropped or kept as long as they are
statistically significant in regressions. Even in cases where the variables are statistically
significant, the magnitude of their coefficients are hardly discussed and have little contribution
towards conclusions. It is very possible for a variable to be statistically significant, while the
value of its coefficient is very close to zero implying that the variable is economically
part in the conclusion. Our objective is to find out, if agribusiness has gone against such a
practice and methodology and made a distinction between economic and statistical significance
The last argument we pick from McCloskey and Ziliak is whether the ‘power of the test’
Review publications in 1996 and 2004 respectively considered the power of the test in their
analysis and reported on the type II error (McCloskey and Ziliak, 2004). The power of the test
is the probability that the test will find a statistically significant difference as a function of the
size of the true difference. In other words, the power of the test is the probability of detecting
an effect that actually exists. This interpretation should be appealing to a researcher, but is
rarely used judging from McCloskey and Ziliak’s findings. The power of the test is affected by
sample size, test size and the ‘true’ value. Despite, its appeal in the interpretation of results,
“It is neither always conceptually clear nor easy to put it into practice”.
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We present that the power of the test is critical and its importance should be felt in
publications within agribusiness. It would give results from statistical tests the sense of their
loss functions as such power of the test is a function of the preferred significance level or better
still the p-value. Given that significance level affects the probability of both type I and type II
error, Manderscheid recommends the need to “balance” the probability of type I and type II of
approach”.
2.2 Propositions
The main objective of this study is to determine the extent to which agribusiness
significance in research findings. We argue that drawing a distinction between the two in
interpretation will create uniqueness in agribusiness academic practice and improve the
development of the discipline. To achieve these broad objective specific hypotheses shall be
tested.
2.2.2 Hypotheses1
1
These hypotheses are not tested in the statistical sense, but are merely used as guidelines towards
achieving the paper’s objectives. They can alternatively be seen as answers to implicit research questions
which are in turn answered using largely qualitative analytical methods.
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ii. Interpretation of results in agribusiness research does not take into consideration the
iii. The power of statistical test is not considered in the interpretation of agribusiness
research findings.
We are going to use a case study approach in this study. We conveniently sampled the
latest publication of the journal, Agribusiness Volume 26 Issue 2 (Spring 2010) from which we
read the seven included papers. The choice of the case study approach was mainly determined
by time constraints, as we would have preferred a multiple case study approach for several
representativeness concerns. Each of the seven papers is read and is ‘asked’ these three
research questions:
interpretation of results?
3. Does the paper validate is statistical methods by use of the power of the test or
similar procedure?
A brief summary of the paper’s goals is presented as a description of the paper and the
methods used in achieving the objectives are presented. A citation of part of the results is
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given in some cases to support the research finding. After that each of the three questions are
answered. Cross comparison of the papers are done in the discussion part of the results before
4.1 Results
program implemented by the United Potato Growers of Idaho on price stability and returns
before and after implementation of the supply management program. The supply management
program was implemented as a panacea to volatile prices and low producer prices. A
comprehensive background of the program is given and descriptive statistics of the prices
trends before and after the program is given. Finally, the authors run several autoregressive
heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models on the average and variance of the prices of potatoes with
dummy variables for the two periods. The paper explicitly mention type of statistical
significance in the interpretation of the results, hence there is no ambiguity between statistical
and economic significance. The magnitude (or ‘oomph’) of the coefficients is mentioned
however not very much interpreted to give it its clear economic meaning except for being
While there is mention of statistical significance in the presentation of results and tables, the
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conclusions drawn are based on the magnitude of average prices changes and price variances.
Thus in a way conclusions drawn are implicitly based on economic significance. The power of
the test is neither mentioned nor calculated in the methodology and interpretation of the results.
This paper is a study of the effects of exchange rate, commodity price, and ocean freight
cost risks on import demand with forward-futures markets. The focus is on the exporting
countries, Brazil and the USA, and the importing countries, the EU, Japan, Taiwan, South
Korea, Indonesia, and Thailand in the panel analysis while exports to China and Mexico are
dealt with in separate models. The paper uses a version of Hooper and Kohlhagen (1978)’s
‘trade model which assumes the demand for commodity import is a derived demand’. The
paper presents a clear background of the econometric model used in the study. Results are
presentation of results follows McCloskey and Ziliak’s typical “asterisk econometrics” in the
The interpretation of all the results follows this format and it can be concluded that all the
was not considered. Unsurprisingly, conclusions in the paper are drawn largely on the basis of
expected to play a crucial role. For example, economic significance would be needed in
knowing at what oil price level Chinese firms will switch between Brazilian and USA sources
of soybeans. Interpretation of results as elasticities (own price, cross price, etc) was not done
as a way of presenting economic significance. And finally, the power of the test was not
This is the study of the determinants of Wal-Mart expansion into food retailing based on
the retailer’s store conversion strategy across all the USA. The study uses the industrial
Discount stores to Super Centers. The list of explanatory variables include county
characteristics, proximity to a food distribution center, lagged number of Wal-Mart retail stores
of both formats (Discount Stores and Supercenters) and their spatially weighted average of the
the odds of converting a discount store to a Super Centre. The interpretation of results cites
both statistical and coefficient magnitude. The inclusion coefficient magnitudes in the
interpretation can be an indication that the authors want to give an indication of the economic
significance of the results. Below is an example of a results paragraph from the paper,
The vital importance of the chain effect in the early years becomes
strikingly evident from the values of the odds ratios. Consider, for
example that at the beginning of a given year county i had no Supercenters
but at least one Discount Store, and that county j, located 50 miles from i
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was the only county in i’s proximity to host a Supercenter. Everything else
constant, in 1994, the odds of observing one or more store conversions in
county i would have been 7,716 times those of observing no store
conversions (385797.3/5057,715.946), in 1995 the odds would have been
35 times larger, and 9.55 times larger in 1996. As the geographic
concentration of Supercenters increases, the effect of one unit increase in
the spatially weighted average of Supercenters decreases, and the odds
ratios become smaller, although still indicating higher probabilities of
observing one or more store conversions than of observing none.
A key feature in the paper is that the results of models are validated using the Brant test.
Though it is not similar to the power of the test, the test is used to get more reliable results, and
in this case it is used to improve earlier results. Overall, the paper does not significantly rely
The magnitude of econometric models coefficients are interpreted and there is very little “sign
econometrics”.
Barrena R., and M. Sánchez. 2010. The link between household structure and the level of
abstraction in the purchase decision process: an analysis using a functional food, Agribusiness
26(2): 243-264
The purpose of this study was to determine how far consumer values influence their
cognitive structure in functional foods purchase decisions. The study also further pursues a
consumer households. The conceptual and analytical framework is based on the means-end
chain (MEC) theory. Data analysis is done using Laddering, which uses a series of progressive
questions that allow an interviewer to understand how a product’s attributes, the consequences
of using it, and the personal values it satisfies are linked together. Results are presented using
Hierarchical Value Map (HVM). These are not econometric techniques. As such no further
consideration is done for this paper because it does not fit well in this presentation.
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Herath, D, S. Henson. 2010. Barriers to HACCP implementation: evidence from the food
processing sector in Ontario, Canada, Agribusiness 26(2): 265-279
This study explores the barriers to the adoption of Hazard Analysis and Critical Control
realization that despite its several advantages, successful implementation of HACCP has been
limited, ‘with many food operators not embracing this system of process control with due
enthusiasm’. A binomial logistic regression model measuring the effect of firm endogenous
20 firm-attributes influence adoption. Given that the 20 attributes were reduced to four factors
using principal component analysis, it left the values of the four factors with little economic
meaning but just mere index numbers. As such, the magnitude of the coefficients on these four
attributes carries no immediate economic meaning. To us this seems to be one situation were
‘sign econometrics’ can be practiced. Herath and Henson interpret the results on effect these
four factors on adoption on the basis of coefficient signs and statistical significance. However,
for factors other than the four factors from principal component analysis, Herath and Henson
The results of the logit regression indicate that the most important driver of
the decision to implement HACCP is customer requirements for suppliers to
have HACCP. On average, there is a 58% (54% in Model 2) greater likelihood
of a firm having implemented HACCP if its customers require HACCP,
relative to firms whose customers do not require HACCP.
While the magnitude of coefficients are rightly cited in interpretation, in all the analysis
statistical significance overshadowed economic significance and conclusions are drawn on the
basis of statistical significance. There is also no consideration of the power of the test to
Amadieu, P., and J. L. Viviani. 2010. Intangible effort and performance: the case of the
French wine industry, Agribusiness 26(2): 280-306
This study measures the intangible expenses and capital in small- and medium-sized
enterprises (SMEs), and investigates the impact of such intangible assets on firm performance
in the French wine industry. Intangible assets are characteristically unique to the firm,
inimitable and it is generally accepted that the more intangible assets the firm has, the greater is
its performance. In the Resource Based View framework, intangible assets imply a firm has
Several proxies based on marketing variables are used as indicators of intangible assets.
Multivariate analysis of variance and a Cobb-Douglas based production function are used to
evaluate the relationship between intangible assets and firm performance. Most of the
of coefficients are hardly mentioned, and emphasis is put on the sign of the coefficient as well
as p-values. There is no mention of the power of the test despite several statistical tests being
conducted.
This is a study of how consumer preferences of specific product attributes affect the
demand of final product. Several statistics and econometric tools are employed to achieve the
study’s objective. Conjoint analysis is used to determine how Canadian consumers of Fair
Trade coffee value different attributes that make up an individual coffee product. Later, cluster
analysis is used delimit consumer segments based on attitudes towards listed coffee products.
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Except for weight of attribute in the conjoint analysis which is given as a percentage, there is
no mention of the magnitude of the coefficient to at least attribute economic significance. The
Subjects in this study have a preference for organically grown Fair Trade
coffee, as evidenced by the positive and significant part-worth utilities for the
organic attribute level for the whole sample, ….. With respect to the roast
attributes, part-worth utilities on the medium roast attribute are positive and
significant, whereas those on the dark roast are negative and significant. Pp.
314
Results are presented on the basis of statistical significance and there is neither
explicit nor implicit implication of economic significance. Like in most papers in this
volume the power of the test is not mentioned under the conjoint analysis results. This
style in results presentation is also present under the multinomial logit model results.
Results are interpreted on the basis of coefficients signs and statistical significance.
There is no mention of economic significance and all conclusions are based on statistical
significance.
4.2 Discussion
2. Economic significance and coefficients magnitude are discussed in two out of the six
considered paper. The rest present results on statistical significance and emphasizes
either the sign of the coefficient or the significance level. Only one paper did a validation
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of the statistical test albeit without using the power of the test. As such we fail to reject
because of its small sample size, it has shown little difference in methodological practices
research results is concentrated on the sign of the coefficient and not its magnitude
though the later carries more economic meaning. Conclusions are largely drawn on the
basis of statistical significance which has taken the place of economic significance.
Despite the appeal of presenting economic and practical meaning given the objectives of
the study, most of the analysis gravitate towards ‘sign econometrics’ and statistical
significance, answers which do not respond to the ‘how much’ and ‘why’ questions of
real life. So with respect to McCloskey and Ziliak’s concerns, we conclude there may be
Agribusiness management, given its publications, may be importing practices that are not
very consistent with the expectation of its clientele, maybe as an immediate response to
Table 1 also shows that power of the test is largely not art of the analysis in most
papers in the Agribusiness Issue of spring 2010 despite its appeal and meaning to an
applied field. Only the Bonanno (2010) paper considered something closer to the power
of the test to validate its result, but still that does not include the power of the test. A
cross-comparison of the results of the Bonanno (2010) paper and others that drew
conclusions on the basis of statistical significance and coefficients’ sign will reveal a
significant difference in how the Bonanno (2010) is more informative and has a distinct
appeal.
5. Conclusions
This is an indication that the pre-science may not be questioning some of the methodological
practices in ‘mother’ disciplines despite the lack of economic appeal in some of them. The
concerns of McCloskey and Ziliak may not only be confined to the economics discipline but
young disciplines that rely on economics for paradigms, methodologies, and personnel. For
this single issue of Agribusiness, we have reviewed; we conclude that statistical significance is
more significant than economic significance in research publications despite the appeal of the
former in the goals of the same publication. Due to sample size limitation, we cannot
generalize our findings but recommend further research on the topic by increasing the same
size of publications and number of articles. It may also be necessary to carry out a survey on
publishers and editors of Agribusiness Management publications to find out if there are
References
Amadieu, P., and J. L. Viviani. 2010. Intangible effort and performance: the case of the French
wine industry, Agribusiness 26(2): 280-306
Barrena R., and M. Sánchez. 2010. The link between household structure and the level of
abstraction in the purchase decision process: an analysis using a functional food,
Agribusiness 26(2): 243-264
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