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Access Denied

The affordability of post-secondary education in


Canada, 1857 to 2002

M ost Canadians believe that all


academically qualified students should
have the opportunity to earn a university or
• fees for dentistry, medicine and law have
risen the most sharply in recent years, far
outpacing the growth in inflation and
wages;
college degree. Admission to university and
college should be based on ability and talent, not • it takes more hours of work to pay for
wealth. today’s tuition fees than at any point in
the post-war period — and more than
Today, however, due to record high tuition
double that required in 1920; and
and other fees, more and more students who are
interested in and capable of attending a university • by almost every measure, university
or college are unable to do so. Following a education is less affordable for middle-
income households today than at any
decade of steep increases in tuition fees and slow other time in the past sixty years.
wage growth, modest- and middle-income
households are struggling to finance the costs of Overall, the data presented in this report paint
higher education. a bleak picture about the ability of modest and
In this report, we show how the ability of middle-income households to pay for a post-
average households in Canada to pay for a post- secondary education. Caught between a rapid
secondary education has been compromised in increase in tuition fees, dwindling government
recent years. We compare fees charged students support and stagnant growth in incomes, tens of
today with those charged in previous decades to thousands of qualified Canadians from modest-
show that the cost of tuition is less affordable and middle-income families are in danger of
today than at any time in the post-war period and being denied access to a university or college
is approaching an all-time historic high. Canada’s education. Without immediate action, the
universities in particular are in danger of resulting loss in human talent and potential will
returning to their elitist roots as costs continue to have serious consequences for the country’s
spiral out of control. future social and economic development.
The main findings of the report include:
Trends in tuition fees, 1972 to 2002
• since 1857, the most rapid and consistent Since 1972, Statistics Canada has collected
rise in tuition fees took place in the
1990s; university tuition fee data on a national basis.
These figures, as presented in Table 1, provide a
• tuition and incidental fees, adjusted for broad overview of trends over the past 30 years.
inflation, at a typical university in Canada As illustrated, fees, when measured in current
are at their highest recorded levels — and
more than six times what they were in dollars, have increased substantially over this
1914;
CAUT Education Review, Vol. 4, No. 1 —– 1
period. The cost of a one-year undergraduate arts below the rate of inflation — which often reached
program jumped from $535 in 1972 to $3,738 in double-digit levels in this decade characterized by
2002, a nearly seven-fold increase. Fees rose even “stagflation.”
more substantially in professional programs such Beginning in the 1980s, however, fees grew
as dentistry (+1,361%), law (+836.6%) and faster than inflation, pushing the real cost of arts
medicine (+525.8%). tuition up over 40% between 1982 and 1992.
The largest increases in professional fees Despite this increase, real fees in 1992 were still
occurred over the 1992 to 2002 period. Prior to 9% below the level recorded in 1972. Between
this, fees in all programs increased at close to the 1992 and 2002, fees continued to accelerate far
same rate, with the lone exception of engineering faster than the rate of inflation, posting a 67%
which experienced slower increases in the 1972- increase in inflation-adjusted dollars.
82 period. In the 1990s, however, some provinces Again, the rise in real tuition fees is even more
uncapped and “deregulated” professional school pronounced in professional programs. Tuition for
fees, allowing institutions to raise costs higher dentistry programs were about 8% lower in 1992
than the limits placed on undergraduate programs. than in 1972, but jumped by a whopping 248% in
The result has been a widening gap in the costs of the past decade. Law school and medical school
these professional programs, raising concerns fees skyrocketed 124% and 201% respectively in
about the ability of students from modest and the same period.
middle-income households to attend professional
schools (see Kwong et. al. 2002). The bigger picture: tuition fees, 1857 to 2002
The increase in fees over this period must also
be considered against changes in the Consumer Reliable aggregate tuition fee data for the
Price Index. As shown in Table 2, when adjusted period prior to 1972 do not exist, leaving the
for inflation, the real rate of tuition fee increases longer-term picture of changes in tuition fees more
was steepest in the 1990s. Between 1972 and difficult to assess. Nevertheless, it is possible to
1982, average undergraduate arts tuition declined glean some sense of the broader historical trends
by over 35%. As noted above, during this period by examining changes in fees at one typical
fees rose in current dollars, but they increased well institution. For this study, we consulted archival

Table 1: Average Tuition Fees1 (current dollars)


1972 1982 1992 2002 % change % change % change
$ $ $ $ 72-82 82-92 92-02

Arts 535 873 1,878 3,738 63.2 115.1 99.0


Dentistry 664 1,098 2,343 9,703 65.4 113.4 314.1
Law 536 881 1,882 5,020 64.4 113.6 166.7
Medicine 674 1,089 2,248 8,062 61.6 106.4 258.6
Engineering 620 918 1,948 3,880 48.1 112.2 99.2
1
Using the most current enrolment data available, average tuition fees have been weighted by the number of
students. Fees at both public and private institutions have been included in the calculations.
Source: Calculations based on Statistics Canada.

2 —– CAUT Education Review, Vol. 4, No. 1


Table 2: Average Tuition Fees1 (constant 2000 $)
1972 1982 1992 2002 % change % change % change
$ $ $ $ 72-82 82-92 92-02

Arts 2,336 1,517 2,131 3,561 -35.1 40.5 67.1


Dentistry 2,888 1,909 2,659 9,245 -33.9 39.3 247.7
Law 2,331 1,531 2,136 4,783 -34.3 39.5 123.9
Medicine 2,931 1,812 2,551 7,681 -38.2 40.8 201.1
Engineering 2,697 1,595 2,211 3,697 -40.9 38.6 67.2
1
Using the most current enrolment data available, average tuition fees have been weighted by the number of stu-
dents. Fees at both public and private institutions have been included in the calculations.
Source: Calculations based on Statistics Canada.

university records and collected information on 1892, to $32 in the period from 1894 to 1896, and
tuition and incidental fees charged for a first-year to $52 from 1897 to 1908. Surprisingly, fees
undergraduate arts program at University College declined to $48 between 1909 and 1913 and
of the University of Toronto from 1857 to the remained under $100 until 1925. Fees rose to
present. $200 in 1940, $237 in 1950, $423 in 1960, $537
The records reveal that from 1857 to 1859 no in 1970, and $961 in 1980. As illustrated, the
fees were charged by University College. In the significant increases have occurred in the past
21-year period between 1860 and 1881, fees two decades with fees skyrocketing from $1,936
remained stable at $10, a remarkable period of in 1990 to $4,875 in 2002 — an increase of
stability that is in sharp contrast with the nearly 152%.
continuous and substantial increases recorded in Even when adjusted for inflation, fees charged
recent years (see Figure 1). Tuition and incidental students at University College today are by far at
fees then rose slowly and incrementally in the their highest levels this century. Figure 2 tracks
decades that followed, to $22 between 1882 and the real changes in fees between 1914 and 2002

Figure 1: University College Tuition and Incidental


Undergraduate Fees, 1860-2002 (current dollars)
4975
4670
5000
4000
3000
1906
$

2000
961
1000 466 533
10 10 10 22 52 48 62 107 199 237
0
60

70

80

90

00

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

00

02
18

18

18

18

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

20

20

CAUT Education Review, Vol. 4, No. 1 —– 3


(accurate and comparable consumer price index One way to assess whether tuition fees are
figures are unavailable for the period prior to more or less affordable over time is to compare
1914). As shown, inflation-adjusted fees declined tuition costs with the earning ability of a middle-
slightly between 1914 and 1922, bottoming out in class household. Figure 3 expresses tuition fees for
1921 at $421 when measured in 1992 dollars. Fees various programs in terms of the number of hours
then rose steadily over the next two decades needed to work based on the average hourly
peaking at $2,052 in 1942 before falling again manufacturing wage between 1972 and 2002. As
over the next ten years. Fees then rose to a new shown, the average manufacturing hours of work
peak of $2,710 in 1964 and remained fairly stable required fell between 1972 and 1980, and
until the mid-1970s when the real costs declined to remained relatively stable over the next ten years.
a low of $1,756 in 1979. Since the early 1990s, Beginning in 1990, however, there was a sharp
fees have risen at their steepest pace on record and increase in hours of work needed to cover the cost
have now reached an all-time high. When of tuition in all programs. In 1990, it would have
measured in constant dollars, tuition fees today are required just over 102 hours of work to pay for
more than six times what they were in 1914. one year of average undergraduate arts tuition. By
2002, that figure jumped to 197 hours.
Measuring affordability The increase was even more dramatic for
professional programs. Law school tuition fees
The rapid rise in tuition fees outlined above could be paid with 100 hours of manufacturing
clearly raises questions about the affordability of work in 1990, but by 2002 a total of 265 hours is
post-secondary education. However, just because needed. In 1990, one year of tuition in a dentistry
fees are increasing does not necessarily mean that program would have required 124 hours of work,
accessibility is being compromised. If average compared to 512 hours in 2002. For medical
household incomes and wages are rising faster school, fees were equal to 118 hours of
than tuition fee increases, then it is arguable that manufacturing work in 1990 and 425 hours in
access is being enhanced. 2002.

Figure 2: University College tuition and incidental fees, 1942-


2002 (constant 1992$)

4500
constant 1992$

3500

2500

1500

500
1914 1922 1932 1942 1952 1962 1972 1982 1992 2002

4 —– CAUT Education Review, Vol. 4, No. 1


Figure 3: Average annual tuition in terms of manufacturing
wage hours, 1972-2002
550

500

450
tuition, manufacturing hours

400
Dentistry
350 Law
300 Medicine
Arts
250
Engineering
200

150

100

50
72

74

76

78

80

82

84

86

88

90

92

94

96

98

00

02
19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

20

20
Source: Calculations based on Statistics Canada.

To provide a more long-term picture of the was a steep increase that then reversed during the
affordability of tuition fees, and following the immediate post-war period until the most recent
work of Duffin (2001), we calculated the cost of years. Current fees paid by students are at their
fees charged by University College from 1870 to second highest level on record, surpassed only by
2002 in relation to the average hourly wage of a the fees charged in 1940.
carpenter.1 The trade of carpentry is suitable for In 1870, it would require about 111 hours of
such an analysis because reasonably reliable carpenter labour, at 9 cents an hour, to pay the
figures on carpenters’ wages are available for this $10 tuition fee charged that year. Today, despite
period. It is also a middle-class trade that the fact that the average hourly wage of a
flourished in the last century and is still important carpenter has increased to $27, it would take
today. nearly 180 hours of labour to pay the cost of
In Figure 4, tuition fees levied at University tuition, well below the low point of just 69 hours
College are expressed in terms of the number of required in 1920. In other words, university
hours of carpenter labour required to pay for one tuition fees are less affordable for typical middle-
year of fees. The results are striking. By this income earners today than at any other time since
measure, tuition fees recorded an increase from 1940 and are approaching an all-time historic
1870 to about 1905, before falling to reach their high.
low point in 1920. Between 1920 and 1940, there

CAUT Education Review, Vol. 4, No. 1 —– 5


Figure 4: University College tuition, 1870-2002, in terms of
"carpenter hours"
Tuition, carpenter hours

200

150

100

50
1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2002

Conclusion time in the history of the country. The impact of


An historical analysis of tuition fees raises these trends is clear. Statistics Canada (2001)
troubling questions about the ability of low- and reports that young people from higher-income
middle-income Canadians to access a post- families are 2.5 times more likely than those from
secondary education today. While the decision to lower-income families to attend university.
pursue a university or college education is related At a time when it is becoming widely accepted
to several inter-related factors, such as academic that access to post-secondary education is critical
preparedness and the educational attainment of to the personal development of individuals and to
parents, financial ability is ultimately the largest the social, cultural and economic progress of the
and most difficult barrier to overcome. As a recent nation as a whole, it is inconceivable that
report by the U.S. government’s Advisory government policies would restrict access to
Committee on Student Financial Assistance (2002) universities and colleges. Yet, there is a direct
concluded: correlation between the rise in tuition fees in
…[T]here is no evidence that [the recent years and the steady withdrawal of public
educational attainment of parents] has an funding from post-secondary education.
effect on college enrolment independent of
It is not inevitable that university fees continue
family income and financial aid for college-
qualified high school students. In fact, if to rise. The problem of rising tuition fees is a
financial aid is adequate, low-income high political problem, caused by the under-funding of
school graduates will enrol in a four-year post-secondary education over the past decade. As
college at extremely high rates, regardless
such, governments at both the federal and
of parents’ education.
provincial levels can take immediate steps to
By all measures, average tuition fees in Canada ensure that post-secondary education is affordable
have reached some of their highest levels since and accessible to all qualified students:
Confederation. Coupled with the rise in ancillary
fees and the cost of living, it is clear that a post- • Increase core operating grants. An increase in
secondary education is less affordable for middle- public operating grants is the primary way
class families today than at practically any other student fees can be frozen and lowered.

6 —– CAUT Education Review, Vol. 4, No. 1


• Provide needs-based grants. Canada lacks a Ultimately, solving the crisis of affordability
national student grant program and many in post-secondary education will require action on
provinces have eliminated non-repayable the part of both the federal and provincial
student grants in recent years. The greater governments. Such an effort will demand a new
availability of grants based on income would spirit of federal-provincial cooperation in order to
clearly permit more economically find ways to ensure that cost truly is not a barrier
disadvantaged students from attending to any qualified student. ■
university or college without the risk of
amassing mortgage-sized debts.

CAUT Education Review, Vol. 4, No. 1 —– 7


Notes:
1
We are gratefully acknowledge the assistance of Dr. Jacalyn Duffin for providing the historical data on
carpenter wages used here.

References:

Advisory Committee on Student Financial Assistance. (2002) Empty Promises: The Myth of College
Access in America. Washington. D.C. Available on-line at <http://www.ed.gov/ACSFA>.

Duffin, Jacalyn. (2001) “What goes around, comes around: a history of medical tuition.” Canadian
Medical Association Journal. January 9; 164 (1).

Kwong, Jeff C., Irfan A. Dhalla, David L. Streiner, Ralph E. Baddour, Andrea E. Waddell, and Ian L.
Johnson. (2002) “Effects of rising medical school tuition fees on class composition and financial
outlook.” Canadian Medical Association Journal. April 16; 166 (8).

Statistics Canada. (2001) “Participation in post-secondary education and family income. The Daily.
December 6.

CAUT Education Review, Vol. 4, No. 1 —– 8

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