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reserves (Res.)
Now if we look at the result in t-statistic the probability for CPI is 0.0021 that is less than 0.01,
0.05, and 0.1 it means result is sufficient at 1%, 5% and 10%. The probability for GDP is 0.8275
that is greater than 0.01, 0.05, and 0.1 it means result is insufficient at 1%, 5% and 10%. The
probability for M1 is 0.0102 that is greater than 0.01 but less than 0.05, and 0.1 it means result is
insufficient at 1% and sufficient at 5% and 10%. The probability for NER is 0.2564 that is
greater than 0.01, 0.05, and 0.1 it means result is insufficient at 1%, 5% and 10%.
R-squared
The result of R-square shows the variation in the model. As the value of R-squared
is 0.656124, which means that 65% change in Result is due to independent
variables (CPI, GDP, M1, NER) and the remaining change is of 35% is due to
some other factors.
F-statistic
F-statistic shows overall goodness of the test. In given equation the Results of
F-statistic 17.64922, which means that test, is good and as the probability of f-test
is 0.0000 which means that test is very good.
RES C GDP CPI M1 NER
Mean 8.823500 1.000000 6.951750 4.817500 14.55039 4.132964
Median 9.200000 1.000000 9.530000 4.810000 14.60071 4.095833
Maximum 9.600000 1.000000 10.26000 5.110000 15.16595 4.433907
Minimum 6.970000 1.000000 0.000000 4.580000 14.02461 3.947226
Std. Dev. 0.781768 0.000000 4.070836 0.161400 0.338034 0.121054
Skewness -1.270691 NA -0.782168 0.195972 0.004830 1.380671
Kurtosis 3.131462 NA 1.693385 1.653769 1.770817 4.017410
Observations 40 40 40 40 40 40
Interpretation
The above descriptive data shows that the mean of RES gives the value of 8.853333. The
maximum value of RES is 9.60000 and the M1nimum value is 6.9700. So the mean value is in
between the maximum and M1nimum value. CPI mean is 4.83357 which are between maximum
5.170000 and M1nimum value 4.580000.GDP mean value is between maximum and M1nium
value.M1 mean value is between maximum and M1nium value. NER mean value 4.147608 is
between maximum4.448048 and M1nium 3.947226 value.
Correlations
res gdp cpi m1 ner
res Pearson Correlation 1 .066 .679** .699** .206
Sig. (1-tailed) .352 .000 .000 .101
N 40 36 40 40 40
gdp Pearson Correlation .066 1 .192 -.036 .228
Sig. (1-tailed) .352 .131 .418 .091
N 36 36 36 36 36
**
cpi Pearson Correlation .679 .192 1 .478** .686**
Sig. (1-tailed) .000 .131 .001 .000
N 40 36 40 40 40
**
m1 Pearson Correlation .699 -.036 .478** 1 -.046
Sig. (1-tailed) .000 .418 .001 .389
N 40 36 40 40 40
ner Pearson Correlation .206 .228 .686** -.046 1
Sig. (1-tailed) .101 .091 .000 .389
N 40 36 40 40 40
**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (1-tailed).
Interpretation
The above result tells the direction and strength of the test. The relation between
RES and RES is directly positive. Result between RES and CPI is positive strong
significant. It means if RES increase CPI will increase I same direction. The
relation between RES and GDP is positively insignificant. The relation between
RES and m1 is positively significant and with strong relation. The relation between
RES and NER is positively insignificant.
b
Variables Entered/Removed
Variables Variables
Model Entered Removed Method
Model Summary
b
ANOVA
Total 23.084 35
a
Coefficients
Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized t Sig.
Coefficients
B Std. Error Beta
1 (Constant) -27.871 8.197 -3.400 .002
gdp .002 .023 .007 .069 .945
cpi 1.642 1.086 .293 1.511 .141
m1 1.664 .445 .632 3.736 .001
ner 1.115 1.642 .111 .679 .502
a. Dependent Variable: res
INTERPRETATION
T- TEST
This test shows us that which value is significant. Three levels which are used to find the
significance of any value is 1%, 5% and 10%.CPI are insignificant at 1%, 5% and 10%. GDP is
Insignificant at 1%, 5% 10%. M1 is Insignificant at 1%, significant a 5% and10%... NER is
significant at 1%, 5% and 10%.
F-statistic
F-test shows the goodness of the test. In given equation shows the Result of 18.795, which
means that test is good and the probability of f-test is 0.0000 which means that test is very good.
R-squared
The value of R-squared is .670, which means 67% change in Result is due to independent
variables. Which are? CPI, GDP, M1, NER, and the remaining change is of 23% is due to some
other factors.