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June, 2006
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AGENDA
Focus of Discussion
• Zinnov Research
1
Open Source revolution began in Early 90’s with the landmark release of
Linux
2000 and
1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s
Beyond
• MIT, AT&T Bell Labs, • AT&T announces • Free Software • Linus Torvalds • Linus Torvalds
and GE worked on plans to Foundation was produced a free releases the highly
an experimental commercialize established at MIT operating system anticipated 2.4 Linux
operating system Unix • FST established the kernel called Linux. kernel.
called Multics • Decision to re-write idea of "copyleft" and • Netscape announces • Red Hat officially
• ARPANET founded. Unix in the C the General Public plans to make the announces its entry
The precursor to the programming License (GPL) source code for into the enterprise with
Internet, it allows language. • Minix, a version of Communicator free on the "Enterprise-Ready
researchers to share Unix with Source code the Internet Linux“
code and was released • Term "Open Source" • Sun Microsystems
information. • Industry group called is coined in Palo Alto, also released an open
• Bell Labs, writes the X/Open was formed to CA. source version of
first version of Unix standardize Unix • Eight core contributors Solaris, called
systems. formed the foundation “OpenSolaris”
• First company to of the original Apache
provide custom Group
engineering and • PHP which was
support services for originally designed as
free software i.e. a small set of Perl
Cygnus scripts, followed by a
rewritten set of CGI
binaries written in C.
Source: Webopedia, Literature search 2
Open source is moving up the stack, and much more quickly than many
could have predicted
Phase IV
Adapting to Market
organized approach
Going Forward - Open
Phase III • Open source companies will
source won't be about the soon get the chance to
software at all--it will be prove just how mainstream
about the packaging & Products & Support their software have become.
services services • Companies will soon target
the top of the application
Phase II • Companies explore stack, CRM and ERP.
service based revenue • Industrial-grade applications
Development & model in areas of ERP, CRM are
• Open source companies now emerging E.g.
Commercialization considered an ecosystem Compiere
• Term "Open Source" is coined by Venture capitalists. • Complete end to end, cost
Phase I in Palo Alto, CA. • Enterprise ready products effective IT solutions based
• Red Hat distributes Linux backed by strong support on Open source products
Research & Community • Eight core contributors formed • Services companies to • SME’s and Governments
Initiatives the foundation of the original test and certify open will adopt open source to
• Free Software Foundation Apache Group in 1995 source stacks lower TCO
was established at MIT • PHP which was originally • Suite of ready to use • More services organizations
• Linus Torvalds produced a designed as a small set of Perl Enterprise products to providing mainstream open
free operating system kernel scripts, followed by a rewritten compete with proprietary source Products, support &
called Linux. set of CGI binaries written in software i.e. SugarCRM consulting will be
C. encouraged.
• Zinnov Research
4
Market Overview
Open Source software market is growing fast with leading market share in application servers. In operating
server domain OSS have secured a good second position and is growing to exceed $35 billion by 2008.
Market share
Linux,
29.6
Cobalt,
20.3 Debian,
Solaris, 15.9 SuSE,
7.2 BSD, 6.3 Other Non unix, 11.8
Unix, 2.5 2.9 MandrakGentoo,
e , 1.3 1
Apache, Comments
67.11
• IDC predicts the overall market revenue for desktops,
servers, and packaged software running on Linux will
exceed $35 billion by 2008.
• Linux is forecasted to be the fastest growing server
operating system environment, and the overall Linux
Microsoft
solution stack is growing at a commensurate rate.
, 20.61 • Apache now powers more than 50 million sites and
continues to maintain a large lead in both active sites
Zeus, and hostnames.
Sun, 2.5 0.75
TCO for J‘Boss Application Server TCO for alternate Proprietary Software
800000
800000
500000 500000
99200
400000 400000
296250
300000 49100 277700 300000
111150
200000 200000
41200
76250
100000 100000
0 0
Intial First Second Third Total Intial First Second Third Total
• Zinnov Research
9
Angel investors and VC firms have increasingly shown interest in open
source companies
Total Investment in Million Dollars
Open Source – Investors Ecosystem
145
7% • Venture capitalists have pumped nearly $400 million
10
GR into 50 open-source companies.
CA
• Funding has been in all software offerings i.e. broad
70 business applications like business intelligence
programs to very specialized applications, like running
a hospital's computer systems.
24 • Three open source start-up companies were selected
as "Ones to Watch“ by OSBC* i.e. Splunk,
Project.Net, rPath.
2003 2004 2005 • The leading venture capital companies showing
interest in open source are North Bridge Venture
Number of companies Funded Partners, Accel Partners, Matrix Partners, Mayfield,
18 Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers.
0%
GR5
CA
12
"As young companies, they are
already gaining tremendous market
6 momentum – setting new precedents
and capturing customer attention with
their innovations. We look forward to
watching them grow and mature over
the coming year."
2003 2004 2005 - Bryce Roberts, OSBC
* Open source Business conference
Source: Zinnov Analysis, Literature search 10
Banks are increasingly exploring opportunities to use Open Source
software
Background and Business Description Future Plans
Source: Zinnov Analysis, Company website, Literature Search, general web search 11
Government across the world are choosing open source route as it is to
be used for public
Risk
Risk
Factor
Factor Summary
Summary
United
United States
States The
The Federal
Federal government
government plans
plans to
to establish
establish an an open
open source
source depot
depot of
of software
software to
to be
be used
used across
across agencies
agencies to
to develop,
develop, deploy
deploy and
and
maintain
maintain applications
applications across
across the
the life
life cycle.
cycle. The
The agency
agency intends
intends toto provide
provide an
an OSERA
OSERA (Open
(Open Source
Source eGov
eGov Reference
Reference Architecture)
Architecture)
that
that will
will be
be based
based onon foundational
foundational technologies
technologies such such as
as MDA
MDA (Model
(Model Driven
Driven Architecture),
Architecture), an
an ESB
ESB (enterprise
(enterprise service
service bus),
bus), an
an SOA
SOA
or
or the
the Semantic
Semantic Web.
Web.
Brazilian
Brazilian In
In 2005,
2005, Government
Government of of Brazil
Brazil said
said itit will
will switch
switch 300,000
300,000 government
government computers
computers from
from Microsoft's
Microsoft's Windows
Windows operating
operating system
system to
to open
open
source
source software
software like
like Linux.
Linux. The
The government
government is is dropping
dropping all
all proprietary
proprietary software.
software.
China
China Chinese
Chinese government
government is is trying
trying to
to reduce
reduce software
software piracy
piracy by
by purchasing
purchasing open
open source
source software.
software. According
According to
to China’s
China’s Ministry
Ministry of
of
Information
Information Industry
Industry (MII),
(MII), almost
almost 7070 percent
percent of
of all
all software
software purchases
purchases last
last year
year were
were of
of open
open source
source based
based products.
products. Linux
Linux was
was
adopted
adopted on
on about
about 45
45 000
000 systems
systems in in provincial
provincial government
government institutions.
institutions.
Thailand
Thailand There
There are
are around
around 700,000
700,000 desktops
desktops and
and 300,000
300,000 laptops
laptops running
running aa Thai
Thai language
language edition
edition of
of Linux
Linux and
and the
the open
open source
source productivity
productivity
suite StarOffice
suite StarOffice
Switzerland
Switzerland The
The Federal
Federal Administration
Administration plans
plans to
to adopt
adopt the
the open
open source
source software
software based
based operating
operating system
system Suse
Suse Linux
Linux Enterprise
Enterprise Server
Server on
on more
more
than 3000 servers
than 3000 servers
Peru
Peru In
In 2002
2002 Peruvian
Peruvian government
government passedpassed aa bill
bill that
that defended
defended the
the mandatory
mandatory use
use of
of open
open source
source software
software by
by the
the state
state as
as essential
essential in
in
fulfilling
fulfilling its
its obligations
obligations to
to its
its citizens.
citizens.
South
South Africa
Africa Currently
Currently Smart
Smart Cape
Cape Access
Access project
project has
has about
about 540
540 open
open source
source software
software based
based desktop
desktop workplaces.
workplaces. The
The intends
intends to
to adopt
adopt open
open
source
source software
software on
on the
the 500-600
500-600 library
library management
management computers.
computers. The
The city
city expects
expects to
to run
run open
open source
source software
software applications
applications on
on about
about
1.500
1.500 desktop
desktop workplaces
workplaces inin the
the following
following months.
months.
Philippines
Philippines Philippine
Philippine Department
Department of
of Budget
Budget and
and Management
Management has
has procured
procured aa total
total of
of 10,000
10,000 computers
computers with
with open
open source
source operating
operating system
system and
and
open
open source
source based
based office
office applications
applications
Source: Zinnov Analysis, Company website, Literature Search, general web search 12
AGENDA
Focus of Discussion
• Zinnov Research
13
OSS due to its inherent advantages fosters competition amongst vendors
and propels growth
Illustrative
Cost Advantages
“Open source software is creating
• Lower TCO for the customers. new market opportunities and new
• Most open source software is companies are springing up to take
copyright, but released under licences advantage of these opportunities”
- Kim Polese, CEO, SpikeSource
which allow free re-distribution.
• More service companies providing • Open source licences are not anti-
compliance and license management commercial, they are anti lock-in.
services around open source By 2008, 95 percent of Global • At no stage do open source licences
software. 2000 organizations will have
preclude the commercial exploitation of
formal open-source
• Evolving economic principles are the software.
acquisition and management
proving that legal fear is largely strategies.* - Robert Igou,
unfounded. Gartner
• Zinnov Research
15
OSS has wide range of products to alternate to almost all commercial
software products.
Illustrative
Source: Source 16
OSS has wide range of Products & has become a major interest both for
the software industry and for economic theory
Illustrative
• Oracle • Berkeley DB
• IBM • Cloudscape/Derby
Database • NCR • Ingres
• Sybase • MySQL
• Microsoft • PostgreSQL
• Firebird
• Innobase
• SQLBase
• MaxDB
• SAS • BI one
Business • Cognos • Pentaho
Intelligence • Business Objects
• Informatica
Source: Source 17
AGENDA
Focus of Discussion
• Zinnov Research
18
SpikeSource is one-stop destination for business ready open source
infrastructure
Background and Business Description Clientele
• Establishment • 2004 • Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein
• Facilities • Redwood City, CA
• Other Information • SpikeSource offers three pre-built stacks i.e. LAMP
Stack, Servlet Stack & J2EE stack
• Spike Stacks include more than fifty open source Partners
components in six programming languages
• Service Partner - Cognizant
• Offers wide range of services and clearly geared
Technology Solutions
towards giving assistance to the community
• Technology partner – Intel, JBoss,
SugarCRM
• Community Partner - O'Reilly
Service Features Media
• Enterprise Starter Kit
• Spike Stacks Comments
• Spike Net • SpikeSource leads its closest
• Spike Support competitor in market awareness
• SAM (SpikeSource Asset Manager), an open-source, cross-platform and partner relationships.
framework for identifying and reporting locally installed open-source • The annual fee starts at under
components. $1,000 and increases to some
$25,000 for Gold support.
• Three under lying principles
– Supporting open source
Stack Testing Support Maintenance Upgrade
development and use;
– Vendor neutrality; and
9 9 9 9 9 – Profitability.
Source: Zinnov Analysis, Company website, Literature Search, general web search 19
Red Hat to launch certification and support services for leading open-
source LAMP and Java stacks
Background and Business Description Partners
• IBM
• Establishment • 1993 • Dell
• Facilities • Raleigh, NC • HP
• FTEs • 1150 • Oracle
• Other Information • RedHat pure-play open source company pioneered the • Sun
support model • Fujitsu
• Stack’s will be certified and supported on Red Hat • Intel
Enterprise Linux and delivered in a subscription model. • NEC
Pricing will start at $599 per server. • Hitachi
• BEA
Service Features
• Web Application Stack - for simple web sites and applications, and includes Comments
the key LAMP components Apache HTTP Server, MySQL database and the
PHP scripting language on top of Red Hat Enterprise Linux • To launch certification and
• Java Web Application Stack - for more dynamic web applications and support services for leading open-
supports all the components of the Web Application Stack - in other words source LAMP and Java stacks
LAMP plus PostgreSQL - as well as the Apache Tomcat servlet and JSP beginning in the first quarter of
Container. 2006.
• Red Hat Enterprise Java Stack - will have all the components of the Java
Web Application Stack plus support for a full Java application server
9 9 9 9 9
Source: Zinnov Analysis, Company website, Literature Search, general web search 20
Marketplace for Open Source Software support is heating up in the last 2
years
Opensource Product Im plem entation Support
Category Specialization Test Product Technical Upgradation
Product Stack Configuration Integration Maintainance
Tool Selection support services
SpikeSource Open source IT infrastructure(LAMP) X X X X X X X
HP • HP plans to certify, support and jointly sell two of the best-known open-source projects on its
hardware, the MySQL database and JBoss application server
• HP issued Linux Reference Architecture software stack, which is based on open-source
technologies
IBM • IBM has committed to evolve the Gluecode Standard Edition platform* & particularly contribute
to Apache Geronimo, the open-source Java application server.
• IBM WebSphere Application Server Community Edition is a free lightweight J2EE application
server built on Apache Geronimo
* Gluecode Standard Edition Platform - represents a fully integrated open-source solution stack, from app server
to middleware to management to database
Source : Literature search, Zinnov Analysis 22
AGENDA
Focus of Discussion
• Zinnov Research
23
Going Forward
Illustrative
Developing • Developing countries has the opportunity to escape from technological dependence on
developed countries, but also a challenge to build up local expertise.
Countries • The biggest markets in developing countries are particularly China, East Asia, India and
South America.
Banks • Micro financing companies can leverage the advantages of IT by implementing cost effective
open source software
Web Services • As ASP model for web services become more popular, companies would require numerous
servers and economical software to support their applications. Open source servers and
software would be an ideal answer to address these issues
Open source comprising 11% of the Survey of 140 of the largest U.S.
software market in 2010, up from 3% companies by Forrester Research
today. With the overall market found that 56 percent of them use
continuing to grow, that translates to Linux or open-source software in
700% growth in open source some part of their operations.
revenues during that time. Another 19 percent plan to use it
soon.
25
AGENDA
Focus of Discussion
• Zinnov Research
26
Zinnov – About us
28
A. Market Research: Zinnov has a very strong Market Research Capability
with expertise across the value chain, specifically in the high end space
Illustrative
Level of Complexity
29
B. Financial Analysis: Zinnov has a strong Financial Analysis Capability
which complements both market and business research
Illustrative
Profitability ratios Turnover ratios
• Returns - Return on • Total Asset turnover
Financial equity; Return on • Fixed asset turnover
Statements Assets, etc.
• Working capital
• Margins - Gross turnover Business
• Balance Sheet Margin; Net Margin
• Inventory turnover Research –
• Income Ratio Company
Statement Analysis Liquidity ratios Solvency ratios Performance
Evaluation
• Cash Flow • Current ratio • Debt to equity
• Quick ratio • Debt to total capital
Statement
• Cash ratio • Interest Coverage
• Total Coverage
Market Market
Valuation Trading Multiples Research –
Competitive
• Share Price Bench-
Multiple marking and
• Market Value Analysis Intelligence
of Equity
• Enterprise Transaction Multiples
Value
30
C. Technical Research: Owing to its rich and diverse experience with
multiple IT R&D companies, Zinnov also has a strong Technical Research
capability Illustrative
Zinnov’s Differentiators
Research on
Technology • Rich experience with Technology R&D
sectors companies
31
D. Business Research: Zinnov has a strong Business Research Capability
as well, covering various facets of business
Illustrative
Financial
Analysis
SWOT Business
Analysis Strategy/ Plans
Strong
M&A Executive capability
Analysis Business Movement
to do
Research Business
Research
Best Practice
Analysis
32
E. Market Mapping – Competitive Mapping and Benchmarking
Illustrative
33
Our clients are benefited by cost and time effective research that Zinnov
offers
Customized Market
Intelligence
Go-to- Competitor
market analysis -
strategy to customized
enter new
Increased focus on
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markets core-competencies for
analysis
Client
Your comprehensive report on our Thanks for the quick turnaround of the survey
competitors enabled us to make informed analysis. We look forward to your help in
and objective decisions on penetrating producing similar reports for all our industry
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-SVP, Marketing - Executive Director
Incentive Management Software Industry Organization
The level of details you capture and analyze is The quantitative analyzer is one of the most
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- VP, Operations meeting with the client and they loved it!
Employment Screening Company - Principal
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35
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