Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Rangan Banerjee
Energy Systems Engineering
IIT Bombay, India
Primary Energy Production in
India (2003-2004)
Wind
Total 19800 PJ
0.2%
Biomass
32.9%
Coal
Hydro 36.8%
1.7%
Nuclear Oil
1.3% Nat Gas 20.7%
6.5%
Issues
End-uses
Renewable Energy
Power Generation
Decentralised
Centralised
Distributed Generation
Grid Connected
Isolated
Geothermal/
Wind (wind speed > 5.6 m/s
Solar
Geothermal + Solar
Wind + Solar
5000 MW installed
Single machine upto 2.1
MW
Average capacity factor
14%
Capital cost Rs 4- Satara, Maharashtra
5crores/MW, Rs 2- 40
3/kWh (cost effective if Annual Load Factor (%) 35
site CF >20%) 30
25
India 45000 /13000 MW 20
potential estimated 15
growth rate)
5
0
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003
Installed Capacity (MW
Ti
ll
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
03
/
19 92
92
-
19 93
93
-
19 94
94
-
19 95
95
-
19 96
96
-
19 97
97
-
19 98
9
19 8-9
99 9
-2
0
20 00
Year
00
-
20 01
in India
01
-
20 02
02
-
20 03
03
-
20 04
04
-
20 05
05
Ti -06
ll
09
/0
6
Trend of wind energy development
Power Generated Annualy (GWh)..
T
il l
0
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
500
03
/9
2
19
92
-9
3
19
93
-9
4
19
94
-9
5
19
95
-9
6
19
96
-9
7
19
97
-9
8
19
Year
98
-
19 99
99
-2
00
0
20
00
-0
1
20
01
Generation from wind
-0
2
20
02
-0
3
20
03
-0
4
Capacity factor for win
Ti
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
ll
03
/9
2
19
92
-9
3
19
93
-9
4
19
94
-9
5
19
95
-9
6
19
96
-9
7
19
97
-9
8
Year
19
98
-9
19 9
99
-2
00
0
20
00
-0
1
20
01
-0
2
20
02
-0
3
Variation in Capacity Factor
Cost of Generation of Electricity
from Wind
Variable Limit L
Being Exponential
Forecast growth
Logistic
or S curve
Time t
40000
a2
Installed Capacity (MW
30000
a
20000
am
Actual Installation
10000 Diffusion curve
Upper limit of uncertainity
Low er limit of uncertainity
a1
Forecast Values by MNRE
0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Year
Year Projection by Projection by Values in the uncertainty limit of 5%
MNRE diffusion curve Higher limit
Lower limit
2007 7000 8700 2000 24800
2012 17500 23000 5800 39600
2022 40000 42900 27400 44800
#4 Mainstreaming of renewables and efficiency
Small Hydro Power
Classification - Capacity
-Micro less than 100 kW
Mini 100 kW - 3 MW
Small 3 MW - 15 MW
Micro and Mini - usually
isolated, 200 kW Chizami village,
Small grid connected Nagaland
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Year
Diffusion Curves for Small
Hydro Power Projects
16000
Potential =15000MW
14000
12000
Installed Capacity (MW
10000
8000
2.5
1.5
0.5
0
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Capacity Utilisation Factor
Biomass Power
FEED
W ATER 2 7 T /h r
4 .5 T /h r 2 6 T /h r
F eed w ater
B O IL E R
0 .5 T /h r
PRDS
BA G A SSE
0 .5 T /h r
M IL L IN G
PRDS
6 a ta
P ro cess 2 .5 M W
STEA M
F la s h e d T U R B IN E
2 a ta
C o n d e n s a te
P ro cess
S c h e m a tic o f ty p ic a l 2 5 0 0 tc d S u g a r fa c to r y
B O IL E R
F e e d w a te r
75 TPH , 65 STEA M
a ta , 4 8 0 O C T U R B IN E
9 .5 M W
13 M W P ow er export
BA G A SSE
( A lt e r n a t e f u e l) ~
6 a ta
4 .5 T P H 1 .0 M W
Condenser
M ill
PR O C ESS d r iv e s
2 a ta
CO NDENSER
2 a ta
2 .5 M W
C a p tiv e
BFP lo a d
PR O C ESS
P R O P O S E D P L A N T C O N F IG U R A T IO N : O P T IO N 2
Solar PV
India -2740 kW
Grid connected
systems Vidyut Saudha Building, 100 kWp , APTRANSCO
Array efficiency in
field 12-15%
Cost Rs 26cr/MW
Rs 15-20 /kWh
Mousuni Island , 105 kWp, West Bengal
Renewable Energy Agency (2003 )
Technology Options for Solar
power
Solar Power
Thermal PV
Polycrystalline Silicon
Solar Solar
Amorphous Silicon
Solar Flat Plate Chimney Pond
Collectors CdTe/ GAAs
50
40
30
20
10
0
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Year
Cost of power generation using solar PV
Solar PV Modules Production
Capital Annualised ALCC Cost of Generation (Rs./kWh)
cost/MW capital cost Annual O&M (Million
(Million INR) (Million INR) (Million INR) INR) CUF=10% CUF=20% CUF=25%
300.60 35.30 6.00 41.30 47.17 23.58 18.87
Solar PV-Breakup of Module
Street Light
Electrification 3% Power Plant
2% 3%
Lantern
Others 4%
15% Pump
6%
Home light
8%
Telecom
14%
Export
45%
Household Cooking fuels
BiogasNo cooking
0.3% 0.7% Others
Coal
2.8%
1.6%
Kerosene
2.7%
1999-2000
Dung
10.7% Rural
LPG Household
5.0%
Fuelwood
76.1%
Data Source:
NSSO,2002
Cooking Energy
• Improved Chulha
•Solar Cooker – flat
plate – box type
•Scheffler cooker
•Biogas Cooking Scheffler
Cooker
•Biomass Gasifier
Kitchen
End Uses and Technologies for
Use of Solar Thermal Energy
Solar
Thermal
Parabolic Central
Box Flat Plate Solar Solar Line Dish Tower
type /Evacuated Chimney Pond Focussing
cookers Tube Parabolic
Collectors
Solar Air Power Power Hot water Power Power Industrial Cooking Cooking Power Power
Water Dryer for Heating
Heater Industrial
Use
Comparison of Solar Thermal
Power Generation Technologies
Technology Efficiency Indian Experience Status
Solar Flat Plate Collectors 2% 10 kW exptl unit at IITM D
D- Demonstration
C- Commercially available technology
Details of world’s largest solar
steam cooking system
•Tirumala(Tirupati) – 4 T/day of
steam – food for 15000 people
Solar parabolic Concentrators
•Solar cooking – Suitable for
Institutions/ Community kitche
•Households- Army
difficult – change mess,
in cooking habits Ladakh
Fuel
GTG 2sets
sets of 35 M W each
Proposed
GTG-2 of35.2
MW
~
W HRB
Aux. Firing
Feed water
Flue gas from GT
Heat exchanger
Solar Radiation 103 b,371 o C
75.5 M W
Steam, 103 b,500 o C
391 o C
Heat exchanger ~
Steam
Solar Heat Heat Transfer turbine
Exchanger oil, 291 o C To W HRB
BFP Condenser
b- bar
Biomass Conversion Routes
BIOMASS
THERMOCHEMICAL BIOCHEMICAL
ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURISED
Duel Fuel
SIPGE
Gas Turbines
Solar Water Heating System
STORAGE
TANK
TO USAGE
POINT
AUXILIARY COLLECTOR
HEATER TO USAGE
COLLECTOR POINT
AUXILIARY
HEATER
STORAGE
TANK
FROM
OVERHEAD
TANK
FROM PUMP
OVERHEAD Schematic of solar water heating system
TANK
Location- Insolation
Water Usage Pattern
Cost of electricity
Capital Cost
Reliability
Potential savings
Subsidies/ Financial Incentives
Micro Level Decision Model
(Parametric Analysis)
INPUT DATA
Water usage pattern
TRNSYS
Location
(Monthly average hourly
temperature and radiation data)
Characteristics of SWHS Auxiliary heating requirement
(Monthly average hourly data)
Economic Analysis
MS EXCEL
SOLAR RADIATION
PROCESSOR
STORAGE LOAD
TANK (Hourly hot water
usage pattern)
AUXILIARY Auxiliary
HEATER heating
requirement
Potential Of SWHS
Technical potential Pij for sub-class j in sector i is
Pij = f j f aj Ni Psj
where j denotes sub-class of end use points in sector i.
Psj is the simulation output for a single end use point
fj denotes fraction of the end uses
m is the total number of sub-classes.
faj is fraction of roof area availability
Ni is the number of end uses points in sector i
P( T ) = ∑ Pi
Economic Potential
P (E )ij = ve Pij
ve = 0, if payback period > maximum acceptable
limit
ve = 1, if payback period < maximum acceptable
limit
Payback Acceptance Schedule
1
Fraction Meeting Economic 0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
Criteria
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Payback period (years)
MARKET POTENTIAL
P (M )ij = f pj Pij
fp,j is fraction of potential adopters meeting economic criteria.
Input Data For Potential Estimation Of
SWHS in Pune
Target Area Pune
Area 138 sq.km
Total Number of households 5.17 lakhs
Number of households with more than three rooms 1.41 lakhs
Average number of persons in each household 5
Number of hospitals 394
Capacity range of hospitals 1-570 beds
Number of nursing homes 118
Capacity range of nursing homes 1-50 beds
Number of hotels 298
Capacity range of hotels 10-414 inmates
Number of households residing in single ownership houses 35250
6 floors 1400
Number of buildings (4 flats in each floor) 10 floors 880
11 floors 840
Cost of electricity Residential 2.80
(Rs./kWh) Commercial 4.00
Hot Water Usage Patterns (Pune)
70 o 200 o
T e mp e ra t ure = 4 0 C T e mp e ra t ure = 4 0 C
60 180
160
50 140
120
litres/h
litres/h
40
100
30 80
20 60
40
10
20
0 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Hour of day Hou r of day
(a) Re si de nti al (1) [Gadgi l , 1987] (b) Re si de nti al (2) [Nark h e de , 2001]
25 12
o o
T e mp e ra t ure = 5 0 C T e mp e ra t ure = 5 0 C
20 10
8
15
litres/h
litres/h
6
10
4
5 2
0 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Hou r of day Hou r of day
(c) Hospi tal (1 be d) (d) Nu rsi n g Hom e (1 be d)
30
o
T e mp e ra t ure = 6 0 C
25
20
itres/h
15
10
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Ti m e of day (Hour)
(e ) Hote l - 1 gue st
Model for Potential Estimation of Target Area
Target area
Weather data, area details
Identification and Classification of different end uses by sector (i)
litres/h
litres/h
40
100
30 80
20 60
40
10
20
0 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Hou r of day Hou r of day
25 12
o o
T e mp e ra t ure = 5 0 C T e mp e ra t u re = 5 0 C
20 10
8
15
litres/h
litres/h
6
10
4
5 2
0 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Hou r of day Hou r of day
(c) Hospi tal (1 be d) (d) Nu rsi n g Hom e (1 be d)
30
o
T e mp e ra t ure = 6 0 C
25
20
itres/h
15
10
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Ti m e of day (Hou r)
(e ) Hote l - 1 gu e st
Achievable Potential of SWHS for Different
Payback Periods
100%
100% replacement
90%
85% replacement
Potential as percentage of technical
1000
Typical day of January
900
Typical day of May
Energy Consumption (MW)
800
Total Consumption =14300 MWh/day
700
600
53% Total Consumption = 13900 MWh/day
500
400
Total Consumption =760 MWh/day
300
100
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Hour of day
5 Assam 30 0.1
1.4
1.2
Systems (million sq.m.)
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
1989-90 1991-92 1993-94 1995-96 1997-98 1999-00 2001-02 2003-04 2005-06
Year
Diffusion Curves for Solar
Water Heating Systems
80
Actual installed (million sq. m.)
Diffusion curve
70 Upper limit of uncertainity
Installed Capacity of Soalr Water Heating
50
40
30
20
10
0
1988 1998 2008 2018 2028 2038 2048 2058 2068 2078
Ye ar
Solar Water Heater Potential
Solar Water Heating Capacity (collector area in millio
150
100
Potential = 60 m illion m 2
50
0
1990 2010 2030 2050 2070 2090
Year
Sustainability indicators
Cost of equipments
Total GHG emissions in Classification of total
and material
producing process primary energy into
required, discount
energy and materials renewable and non-
rate, life of the
(using emission factors) renewable energy
equipments
EnvI RI
EcI
RsI
Material constraint Annual requirement/Reserve
No constraint
Approx present
price of GHG
reduction
Comparison
18 12
Wind Wind
16 10
(million tCO2).
No. of projects
12 8
10
6
8
6 4
4
2
2
0 0
<5 5 - 10 10 - 20 - 30 - 50 - 100 - <5 5-10 10-20 20 - 30 - 50 - 100 -
20 30 50 100 500 30 50 100 500
Capacity (MW) Capacity (MW)
D - Demonstration
P - Prototype
C – Commercial
a - Not operational till date
b – being planned
Present Status, Targets and Projections
of Renewable Energy Technologies
17500
2012 1097 220000 23000 3360 3533 10 4
(MNRE)
40000
2022 2118 425000 42900 6500 6466 30 15
(MNRE)
33341
2032 3880 779000 44900 9462 50 35
(IEPC)
a Higher growth rate expected than the past trends due to potential and cost effectiveness
Policy Interventions
Thank you