Dados de entrada

Projeção Aritmética
Ano
Ano População Pop. Taxa (%)
2000 2,141,402 2000 2,141,402 -
2010 2,452,185 2010 2,452,185 -
2021 2,703,391 2021 2,703,391 -
2022 2,730,152 0.99
Método aritmético 2023 2,756,914 0.98
2024 2,783,675 0.97
2025 2,810,437 0.96
2026 2,837,198 0.95
2027 2,863,959 0.94
Ka = 26761.38 2028 2,890,721 0.93
2029 2,917,482 0.93
2030 2,944,243 0.92
Método geométrico 2031 2,971,005 0.91
2032 2,997,766 0.90
2033 3,024,528 0.89
2034 3,051,289 0.88
2035 3,078,050 0.88
Kg = 0.0111 2036 3,104,812 0.87
2037 3,131,573 0.86
Taxa decrescente de crescimento 2038 3,158,334 0.85
2039 3,185,096 0.85
2040 3,211,857 0.84
2041 3,238,619 0.83

Ps 3306216.50204 (População de saturação)

kd 0.0313661598

Crescimento logístico

Ps 0.0313661598
c 0.54394947891
K1 -0.0405334324
Projeção Geométrica Projeção Tx. Decescrente Projeção Logistíca
Pop. Taxa (%) Pop. Taxa (%) Pop. Taxa (%)
2,141,402 - 2,141,402 - 2,141,402 -
2,452,185 - 2,452,185 - 2,452,185 -
2,703,391 - 2,703,391 - 2,703,391 -
2,733,713 1.12 2,722,006 0.69 2,703,391 -1.49E-07
2,764,226 1.12 2,740,046 0.66 2,723,114 0.73
2,795,080 1.12 2,757,529 0.64 2,742,326 0.71
2,826,278 1.12 2,774,472 0.61 2,761,032 0.68
2,857,825 1.12 2,790,892 0.59 2,779,236 0.66
2,889,723 1.12 2,806,805 0.57 2,796,945 0.64
2,921,978 1.12 2,822,226 0.55 2,814,164 0.62
2,954,593 1.12 2,837,172 0.53 2,830,900 0.59
2,987,571 1.12 2,851,655 0.51 2,847,159 0.57
3,020,918 1.12 2,865,692 0.49 2,862,949 0.55
3,054,637 1.12 2,879,295 0.47 2,878,278 0.54
3,088,732 1.12 2,892,478 0.46 2,893,153 0.52
3,123,208 1.12 2,905,254 0.44 2,907,583 0.50
3,158,069 1.12 2,917,636 0.43 2,921,576 0.48
3,193,319 1.12 2,929,635 0.41 2,935,140 0.46
3,228,962 1.12 2,941,263 0.40 2,948,285 0.45
3,265,003 1.12 2,952,533 0.38 2,961,018 0.43
3,301,447 1.12 2,963,454 0.37 2,973,350 0.42
3,338,297 1.12 2,974,039 0.36 2,985,289 0.40
3,375,558 1.12 2,984,296 0.34 2,996,844 0.39
o Logistíca
População de Saturação (hab.)
Taxa (%)
- 3,306,217
- 3,306,217
4,000,000
- 3,306,217
-1.49E-07 3,306,217
0.73 3,306,217 3,500,000
0.71 3,306,217
0.68 3,306,217 3,000,000
0.66 3,306,217
0.64 3,306,217
0.62 3,306,217 2,500,000

Número de Habitantes
0.59 3,306,217
0.57 3,306,217 2,000,000
0.55 3,306,217
0.54 3,306,217
0.52 3,306,217 1,500,000

0.50 3,306,217
0.48 3,306,217 1,000,000
0.46 3,306,217
0.45 3,306,217
500,000
0.43 3,306,217
0.42 3,306,217
0.40 3,306,217 0
1 2 3 4 5
0.39 3,306,217
 Curvas de Projeções Populacionais
Saturação Taxa decrescente Logística Aritmética Geométrica

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Anos
18 19 20
Ano População (Hab.) Índice de Atendimento (%)

2021 2,703,391 98
2022 2,730,152 99
2023 2,756,914 100
2024 2,783,675 100
2025 2,810,437 100
2026 2,837,198 100
2027 2,863,959 100
2028 2,890,721 100
2029 2,917,482 100
2030 2,944,243 100
2031 2,971,005 100
2032 2,997,766 100
2033 3,024,528 100
2034 3,051,289 100
2035 3,078,050 100
2036 3,104,812 100
2037 3,131,573 100
2038 3,158,334 100
2039 3,185,096 100
2040 3,211,857 100
2041 3,238,619 100

Demandas de Abastecimento de Água (l/s)

12,000

10,000
9284 9368 9452
9034 9117 9201
8783 8866 8950
8615 8699
8279 8446
8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
4,000

2,000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Demanda Média Demanda Máxima Demanda Máxima Diá

 População Atendida (Hab.) Per capita Consumido (l/hab x dia) Demanda Média (l/s)

2,649,323 150 4,600

2,702,851 150 4,692
2,756,914 150 4,786
2,783,675 150 4,833
2,810,437 150 4,879
2,837,198 150 4,926
2,863,959 150 4,972
2,890,721 150 5,019
2,917,482 150 5,065
2,944,243 150 5,112
2,971,005 150 5,158
2,997,766 150 5,204
3,024,528 150 5,251
3,051,289 150 5,297
3,078,050 150 5,344
3,104,812 150 5,390
3,131,573 150 5,437
3,158,334 150 5,483
3,185,096 150 5,530
3,211,857 150 5,576
3,238,619 150 5,623

e Abastecimento de Água (l/s)

9953 10037 10121

9703 9786 9870
9452 9535 9619
9201 9284 9368
4 9117

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

Demanda Máxima Demanda Máxima Diária e Horária

Demanda Máxima Diária (l/s) Demanda Máxima Diária e Horária (l/s) Perdas (%)

5,519 8279 40
5,631 8446 39
5,744 8615 38
5,799 8699 37
5,855 8783 36
5,911 8866 35
5,967 8950 34
6,022 9034 33
6,078 9117 32
6,134 9201 31
6,190 9284 30
6,245 9368 29
6,301 9452 28
6,357 9535 27
6,413 9619 26
6,468 9703 25
6,524 9786 25
6,580 9870 25
6,636 9953 25
6,691 10037 25
6,747 10121 25

9,000 Demanda Máxima de Produção

Demanda Máxima Diária Perdas do Sistema
8,000

7,000

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000
4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
 Vazão Média das Perdas (l/s) Demanda Máxima de Produção (l/s)

1840 7359
1830 7461
1819 7562
1788 7587
1757 7612
1724 7635
1691 7657
1656 7678
1621 7699
1585 7718
1547 7737
1509 7755
1470 7771
1430 7787
1389 7802
1348 7816
1359 7883
1371 7951
1382 8018
1394 8085
1406 8153

Produção
Sistema
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21