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June 23, 2011

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Good News and Bad News


ValuEngine.com Rates Airline Stocks by One-Year Forecast Returns
Markets are down today on a variety of bad economic news. In addition, oil prices are down big after a decision to release 60 million barrels of crude from strategic reserves--30 million of which will come from the US--in order to deal with the ongoing crises in the Middle East and the resultant disruptions in supply. This moves undercuts OPEC's refusal to increase production a few weeks ago. Some stocks rallied on this news and none were better positioned to profit from lower oil prices than those in the fuel-dependent Transportation Sector. Over the past few years, we have seen a roller coaster ride for Airline Industry stocks as they have dealt with both recession and wild swings in fuel costs. Those prescient enough to lay on some fuel hedging strategies--such as Southwest--were recently challenged as their initial moves expired and they began to deal with the vagaries of the market once more. Please Click Here to Sign Up for a FREE TRIAL of Our Award-Winning Stock Valuation and Forecast Service So, it should be no surprise that today's drop in oil prices lead to a rally for the airlines in the midst of broader carnage Lower fuel costs combined with the various "revenue enhancements"--baggage fees, cancellation fees, food fees, etc--and better route/capacity management on the part of most carriers over the past few years should further boost the bottom line for airlines.

One of the most powerful features of ValuEngine is the ability to screen our universe of more than 5500 stocks with a huge variety of criteria. Using both our website and our Institutional software package (VEI), subscribers may design their own screens to identify investment targets. For today's bulletin, we queried our software package using some liquidity criteria and then asked it only to provide results from the Airline Industry. Below, we present the top five airline stocks ranked by One-Year Forecast projections.

Ticker
AMR LFL LUV RYAAY JBLU

Name
AMR CORP LAN CHILE-ADR SOUTHWEST AIR RYANAIR HLDGS JETBLUE AIRWAYS

Mkt Price
5.75 27.44 11.02 29.79 6.07

Valuation VE (%) Rating


-44.56 8.59 -25.74 -10.71 -16.9 5 4 4 4 3

Last 12- Forecast M 1-Month Retn(%) Retn(%)


-27.4 45.26 -7 18.73 1.42 2.9 1.5 1.84 1.92 1.21

Forecast 1-Yr Retn(%)


25.46 8.89 5.16 5.12 3.06

P/E Ratio
N/A 21.93 15.88 15.95 19.52

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MARKET OVERVIEW
Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued Stocks Overvalued Stocks Undervalued by 20% Stocks Overvalued by 20% 56.64% 43.36% 24.83% 15.53%

SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Aerospace Auto-Tires-Trucks Basic Materials Business Services Computer and Technology Construction Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Finance Industrial Products Medical Multi-Sector Conglomerates Oils-Energy Retail-Wholesale Transportation Utilities

Change
-0.13% 0.38% 0.00% -0.71% -0.49% -0.29% -0.96% 0.19% -0.65% -0.20% -0.73% -0.55% 0.41% -0.77% -0.53% -0.63%

MTD
0.29% -1.20% -4.17% -2.55% -5.01% -6.47% -3.67% -2.81% -2.03% -0.34% -4.63% -1.98% -5.08% -1.83% -3.10% -2.11%

YTD
11.75% -10.95% -8.63% 5.59% 3.10% -11.39% -0.32% -7.80% -0.32% -0.23% 9.84% -0.28% -3.75% 3.02% -6.78% 2.92%

Valuation
0.06% undervalued 6.09% undervalued 8.25% undervalued 0.93% undervalued 5.01% undervalued 7.63% undervalued 2.87% undervalued 0.33% overvalued 3.30% undervalued 5.73% undervalued 4.79% undervalued 19.16% overvalued 17.54% overvalued 1.36% undervalued 3.68% overvalued 4.07% overvalued

Last 12MReturn
28.53% 43.74% 42.97% 16.55% 28.91% 2.41% 22.07% 15.26% 9.44% 29.34% 17.85% 29.06% 35.67% 26.42% 16.83% 22.48%

P/E Ratio
18.39 18.87 34.35 26.89 36.97 28.33 30.98 31.47 27.54 28.23 29.69 25.2 54.9 34 20.43 23.4

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