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A PROJECT REPORT ON

IMPACT OF BONUS ISSUE ON STOCK


RETURNS VOLATILITY
Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the
Requirements for award of the Degree of
MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
OF
BANGALORE UNIVERSITY
By
SANDEEP.S
Register Number: 06XQCM 6072

Under the guidance of


PROF.PRAVEEN BHAGAWAN
FACULTY
M.P BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
BHARATIYA VIDYA BHAVAN
BANGALORE
2007-08

DECLARATION

I hereby declare that this dissertation title IMPACT OF BONUS ISSUE ON STOCK
RETURNS VOLATILITY submitted by me to Department of Management, Bangalore
University in partial fulfillment of Masters in Business Administration programme is a
bonafide work carried by me under the guidance of Prof.Praveen Bhagwan, Faculty, M.P.
Birla Institute of Management (Bharatiya Vidya Bhavan).

I further declare that this report has not been submitted earlier to any other university or
institution for the award of any Degree/Diploma/Certificate or published any time before.

Place: Bangalore
Date:

SANDEEP.S

CERTIFICATE
Certified that the dissertation titled IMPACT OF BONUS
ISSUE ON STOCK RETURNS VOLATILITY by
SANDEEP.S, bearing Reg.No.06 XQCM6072 has been prepared
under my guidance & supervision.

The work has been satisfactory & is recommended for


consideration towards partial fulfillment of requirement for the
M.B.A. Degree.

External Examiner

(PROF.PRAVEEN BHAGWAN)

Guide

Principal
(MPBIM)
DATE:

CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that the study titled IMPACT OF BONUS ISSUE ON STOCK
RETURNS VOLATILITY by SANDEEP.S. Register No. 06 XQCM6072 relates to
Finance stream of specialization. This is to enable the student to claim the benefit of dual
specialization (Finance & Marketing) as per the regulations of M.B.A. Programme of
Bangalore University.

(Prof. Praveen Bhagwan)


Guide
Date:

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

The successful completion of dissertation report is dedicated to few people, as with their
help, guidance, suggestions & co-ordination of them has helped me to complete the work
with honesty.

I express my sincere gratitude to Dr.Nagesh Malavalli Principal, MPBIM in getting an


opportunity for take up the project & complete in stipulated time.

I would express sincere thanks & gratitude to my dissertation guide


Prof. Praveen Bhagwan, Faculty; MPBIM for providing me an opportunity to undertake
the project work with his guidance, knowledge & valuable suggestions in completion of
project report.

As my dissertation is mainly done on applying through testing basis, I am thankful to


various researchers & statisticians who have given idea about various testing tools
between two samples.

SANDEEP.S

TABLE OF CONTENTS
CHAPTER NO

CONTENTS

PAGE NUMBER

EXECUTIVE

SUMMARY
2

INTRODUCTION

REVIEW

8-12
OF 13-14

LITERATURE
4

METHODOLOGY

15-18

ANALYSIS OF DATA & 19-59


INTERPRETATION

SUMMARY

& 60-61

CONCLUSION

Bibliography - 62

Annexure

- 63-65

TABLE OF CHARTS
CHAPTER NUMBER

CONTENTS

PAGE NUMBER

Table showing calculation 20-50


of stock prices before the
bonus issue & after the
bonus issue with calculation
of mean, standard deviation,
volatility of stock returns,
standard

error

of

the

estimate
Statistics for applying t-test

52

Conducting t-test for two


independent samples

53

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Bonus issue includes an offer of free additional shares to existing shareholders. A


company may decide to distribute further shares as an alternative to increase the dividend
payout. Also known as Capitalization Issue. For example, the company may give one
bonus shares for every 5 shares held.

This is mainly done to conserve cash by declaring a bonus issue in lieu of a cash
dividend. It also increases the number of shares in the market; it therefore increases the
liquidity/marketability of the stock.

Regarding, volatility & market efficiency these are two important features which will
ultimately determine the effectiveness of the stock market in economic development.
In this dissertation, report it reveals that the closing stock prices before the bonus issue &
after the bonus issue is entirely different.
Because of this, there is a difference between mean, standard deviation & volatility.
Researcher, applied t-test as a testing tool for two different mean samples to make the
required interpretation.

CHAPTER 2
(2.1)

CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK ON BONUS ISSUE &

STOCK RETURNS VOLATILITY


MEANING OF BONUS ISSUE:
An offer of free additional shares to the existing shareholders. A company may decide to
distribute further shares as an alternative to increase the dividend payout. Also known as
Capitalization Issue.
New shares are issued to the shareholders in proportion to their holdings. For example,
the company may give one bonus share for every five shares held.

PURPOSE:
If a company holds, some of its own shares in treasury make a bonus issue in respect of
shares of that class.
i) To conserve cash by declaring a bonus issue in lieu of a cash dividend.
ii) To align the E.P.S due to the smaller number of share capital, the E.P.S would also not
been properly align to other similar companies which would have already take on a bonus
issue re-capitalization of reserves.
iii) To make use of a companies security premium account. As bonus issue can be
created, vide capitalization from the security premium account this might be one reason
that a company want to have a bonus issue.
iv) As issuing bonus shares has the effect of diluting E.P.S & lowering a share price, the
shares would become affordable which would then encourage the potential investors to
invest in the stock.
v) As the bonus issue would have increase the number of shares in the market, it
therefore increases the liquidity/marketability of the stock.
vi) Applies often for stocks that are generally cheaper & smaller in market capitalization.
To grow faster, these small companies may want to expand their capital base. The bonus
issue will reduce the price of a stock initially, but this could attract investors & portfolio
managers to buy the counter in the hope that there could be a potential upswing in the
stock in the longer term.

vii) If a company came-up with further new shares issues by way of private placement,
the earlier bonus issue will only be a capital split which would still allow higher
percentage stake to new investors.
viii) It helps to reinforce the fact that those reserves, which have been invested into longterm assets, cannot be used anymore for dividend distribution. This is particularly true, if
we see a small capital base very substantial Fixed Assets investments are higher than
normal EPS & dividend payout.
(Dividend payout is based on the nominal value of the issued share capital & not on the
shareholders funds.)

STOCK RETURN VOLATILITY:


While empirical tests of return-volatility behavior are plentiful for developed stock
markets, the focus on developing & emerging stock markets has begun in recent years.
The interest in these emerging markets has arisen from the increased globalization &
integration of the world economies in general.
Financial markets in particular. The globalization & integration of these markets has
created enormous opportunities for domestic & international investors to diversify their
portfolios across the globe.
While the relationship between volatility & return the capital market efficiency has been
examined for some emerging markets, it has not been examined to some extent for a
frontier capital market like India.
However, volatility & market efficiency are two important features, which will ultimately
determine the effectiveness of the stock market in economic development. If investors are
not rewarded for taking on high risk by investing in the stock market, or if excess
volatility weakens investors confidence, they will not invest their savings in the stock
market, & hence deter economic growth. The emerging stock markets offer an
opportunity to examine the evolution of stock return distributions in response to
economic & political changes in these emerging economies.

EFFECTS ON ISSUE OF BONUS SHARES:

i) Share capital is increased according to the bonus issue:


This is obvious that when there is a bonus issue, the no of shares will increase &
automatically the total share capital will increase.

ii) Liquidity in the stock increases:


Marketability of the equity stock increases.

iii) Effective EPS, B.V per share values stand reduced:


When the denominator increases regarding the no of shares, the value of EPS & the B.V
per share starts reduce.

iv) Market Price is adjusted on issue of bonus shares.

v) Accumulated profits are reduced:


There is a reserve known as capital redemption reserve where in all the divisible profits
are transferred to the reserve that is utilized exclusively for the issue of bonus shares.

2.2) STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM:

There is a substantial risk to the investors who are too risk averse. By putting too much
into stocks, investors reduce their market risks but run the risk in getting such anemic
growth that they will not be able to fund their future income needs. Some of the investors
simply invest their money regardless of volatility. They ignored Beta & volatility &
loaded into high tech stocks in the dot com boom where in they lost majority of their net
worth.

2.3) SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY:

i) The investigation can be used to decide upon the ratio of the bonus to control the
returns volatility around bonus issue.

ii) The investigation can also be used by the investors to decide upon the timing of their
investment while dealing with the stocks going for the bonus issue.

2.4) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES:

The present study has been undertaken with the following objectives:-

i) To examine the effects of bonus issue on equity prices during the period Jan 2003 to
Jan 2008

ii) To investigate the changes in implied volatility of returns around, i.e. before the bonus
issue & after the bonus issue

iii) To investigate the impact of bonus issue on stock returns volatility

iv) To identify the causes of bonus issue & volatility of stock returns

CHAPTER 3
3.1 PURPOSE
To tackle volatility is by investing on a regular basis through Systematic investment plans
(SIP). This means making periodic investments of the same amount of money in an
equity fund, regardless of whether the stock market is declining or ascending. i.e by
investing the same amount over a period, without worrying about the timing. SIP can
protect in a volatile market. When this kind of an advantage is available through
Systematic investment plans, investors should come forward to invest their amount of
money in an equity fund to protect against volatility.

3.1.1) PREVIEW OF THE PREVIOUS STUDIES:

Past researchers have revealed significant abnormal returns for bonus issues even though
the bonus issue date is known in advance & the distribution contains no new information.
Samples of 46 bonus issues have been used to study the announcement effect by using
event study methodology. The results indicate that there are significant positive abnormal
returns for a five-day period prior to bonus announcement in line with evidence from
developed stock market. On the announcement day the average abnormal returns of 0.10% is observed.

Many econometric models have been tested & no single model is found to be superior.
The authors M KAKATI & DR.RINALINI PATHAK listed different models like
Random Walk Model, Historical Mean Model, Historical Moving Average Model,
Exponential Smoothening model, Exponential weighted average moving model, Simple
Auto Regression Model. They deduce that the choice of a best model depends on the
error measurement that depends on the ultimate purpose of the forecasting procedure.

3.2) METHODOLOGY FOLLOWED:

15 Companies closing stock prices has been collected to conduct the research process. 15
days prior the bonus issue & after the bonus issue has been collected to consider them as
samples for conducting T-test.

3.3) CONCLUSION:
To conclude, investors before investing their money in any of the stocks should consider
the volatility & beta factor. May be Systematic investment plans is the best option, but
volatility & beta factors has to be taken into account, otherwise they are going to suffer in
the long run.

BENEFITS DERIVED IN THE LITERATURE REVIEW:


For the investors to protect in the volatile market, SIPs is the best option available.

CHAPTER 4
4.1
TYPE OF RESEARCH:
Research adopted here, is the qualitative research.
Quantitative research cannot be done for this kind of testing projects; where-in
nonparametric test liket-test is adopted.

4.2
PROFILE OF SAMPLE INDUSTRY & FIRMS THAT HAVE BEEN
SELECTED FOR RESEARCH INVESTIGATION
TATA IRON & STEEL: (MANUFACTURING SECTOR)
They issued bonus shares as on 22-7-04 in the ratio of 1:2. This is subject to the
approval of shareholders.

SIEMENS LTD: (SOFTWARE COMPANY)


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1 as on 23-11-07. It traded down 4.41%
(BSE) traded at Rs.1,600 in afternoon trade.

SAH PETROLEUMS MUMBAI: (PETROLEUM INDUSTRY)


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 3:5 as on 30-9-05.
The bonus shares were Rs.5 each. The AGM also gave its nod to increase the
authorized share capital of the company from Rs.11 cr to Rs.16 cr for issuing bonus
shares.

PARENTERAL DRUGS LTD: (PHARMACEUTICAL CO)


They issued bonus shares as on 4-9-07 in the ratio of 1:1.

USHDEV INTERNATIONAL: (TRADING CO)


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1 as on 16-10-07.

NATIONAL MINERAL DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION


LTD:(DEVELOPMENT SECTOR)
They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 2:1 as on 27-12-07.

ELECON ENGINEERING LTD :( ENGG SECTOR)


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 2:1 as on 11-10-07.

AXON INFOTECH LTD (IT SECTOR):


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 3:1 as on 4-9-07.

ASHIANA HOUSING (CONSTRUCTION CO):

They issued 5 new shares of A.H. LTD for every 2 shares held as on 29-10-07.

KANORIA CHEMICALS & INDUSTRIES LTD (CHLORIDE


ALKALI):

They issued 1 equity share for every 2 shares held as on 7-1-08. The face value of
equity share got subdivided from Rs.10 to Rs.5.

RAJESH

EXPORTS

LTD

(DIAMOND

CUTTING

&

JEWELLERY):
They issued 2 bonus shares for every 1 share held by the shareholders as on 23-10-07.

WALCHANDNAGAR INDUSTRIES LTD (ENGG CO)

They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1 as on 26-11-07


These equity shares are subdivided into the face value of Rs.10 each into 5 equity
shares of Rs.2 each.

PARLE SOFTWARE LTD(COMPUTER SOFTWARE)

They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 3:1 as on 30-11-07(3 equity shares of Rs.10
each fully paid-up for every 1 share held).

MAHALAXMI

RUBTECH

LTD(MANUFACTURE

OF

RUBBER PRODUCTS):
They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1:4 as on 24-11-06. The company at EGM raised
the borrowing limit of the company up to Rs.50 crores.

CRANES SOFTWARE INTERNATIONAL LTD(S/W CO):

They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1 as on 28-9-05 & issued 12 lakh equity shares
on preferential basis. The AGM decided to split equity shares of Rs.10 each into 5 shares
of Rs.2 each, the company informed the BSE. The AGM also approved the dividend of
Rs.5 per share including regular div of Rs.2 per share & special div of Rs.3 per share.

4.3
SAMPLE SIZE
N1=15 & N2=1
N1=15, says that mean value prior the bonus issue & N2=15, says mean value after the
bonus issue.

4.4
TOOLS USED FOR TESTING OF HYPOTHESIS

Since, these are independent samples n1 & n2 with small sample sizes, normally
distributed populations & the assumption of equal population variance, thet-test is
appropriate.

4.5
ACTUAL COLLECTION OF DATA

Data has been collected regarding 15 companies, the closing stock prices of it &
calculation of mean for the sampling technique. Apart from this, calculation of price
relatives, volatility of stock returns, STD deviation, STD error of the estimates.
Table has been drawn for applying thet-test.

4.6
OTHER SOFTWARE USED

Excel application has been used to calculate mean, price relative, stock returns, volatility,
std deviation, std error of the estimate. For calculatingt-stat, this application was
employed.

CHAPTER 5
ANALYSIS OF DATA & INTERPRETATION
5.1
HYPOTHESIS:

Ho: There is no change in the stock returns following the bonus issue
Ha: There is a change in the stock returns following the bonus issue

5.2
PRESENTATION OF DATA

15 companies data has been collected regarding the pre-bonus issue & post bonus issue.
Data is presented in a table format, all possible calculations has been done through excel
application.

NAME OF THE COMPANY:TATA


STEEL(BONUS ISSUE ON 22-7-04)
PRE BONUS ISSUE
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE(NSE)

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURN

22-7-04

214.17

21-7

210.23

0.981603399

-0.018567923

20-7

202.77

0.964515055

-0.036129838

19-7

203.78

1.004981013

0.004968649

16-7

199.8

0.980469133

-0.019724114

15-7

192.76

0.964764765

-0.035870974

14-7

184.89

0.959172027

-0.041684838

13-7

181.36

0.980907567

-0.019277047

185.33

1.021890163

0.021654014

180.38

0.973290887

-0.027072283

10

174.52

0.967513028

-0.033026388

11

186.42

1.068187027

0.065962844

12

184.56

0.99002253

-0.010027579

13

178.09

0.96494365

-0.035685573

14

179.26

1.006569712

0.006548225

15

180.74

1.008256164

0.008222269

1-Jul

TATA STEEL

MEAN OF DAILY RETURN

-0.011314037

STD DEVIATION OF DAILY RETURN

0.028868975

STD DEV OF DAILY RET IN %

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADIND


DAYS IN A YEAR

2.8868975

E 252 TRADING

SQRT OF 252
VOLATILITY OF THE STOCK PER A
STD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE

252

15.87450787
STOCK P.A

0.458280771
S/SQRT(2n)

SQRT OF 2n

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE

0.083670239

TATA STEEL

POST BONUS ISSUE (AFTER 22-7-04)


DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURN

22-Jul

214.17

23-Jul

214.29

1.000560303

0.000560146

26-Jul

220.24

1.027766111

0.027387623

223.07

1.012849619

0.012767763

222.6

0.997893038

-0.002109185

231.49

1.039937107

0.039160237

230.94

0.997624087

-0.00237874

230.56

0.998354551

-0.001646804

233.39

1.012274462

0.012199742

234.6

1.005184455

0.005171062

10

240.23

1.023998295

0.023714862

11

237.96

0.990550722

-0.009494205

12

237.75

0.999117499

-0.000882891

13

239.49

1.007318612

0.007291961

14

228.59

0.954486617

-0.046581656

15

232.66

1.017804803

0.017648155

12-Aug

STD DEV OF THE DAILY RETURN

0.019577644

MEAN OF THE DAILY RETURN

0.005520538

STD DEV OF THE DAILY RETURN(%)

1.957764394

ASSUMING THERE ARE 252 TRADING

252

DAYS IN A YEAR
SQRT OF 252
VOLATILITY OF THE STOCK PER
A

15.87450787

STOCK P.A

0.310785463

SQRT OF 2n

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.056741403

SIEMENS
CO
ISSUED SIEMENS CO ISSUED BONUS SHARES ON
23-11-07
BONUS
PRE BONUS ISSUE
DATE

DAY
23-Nov
22-Nov

2-Nov

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

CL.PRICE
989.13
963.25
969.2
1000.93
1037.35
985.13
983.43
942.03
885.35
894.23
866.18
876.08
879.8
890
933.55
953.3

MEAN OF THE DAILY RETURN

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURN

0.973835593
1.006177005
1.032738341
1.036386161
0.949660192
0.998274339
0.957902443
0.939832065
1.010029932
0.968632231
1.011429495
1.004246188
1.011593544
1.048932584
1.021155803
-0.002459741

STD DEV OF THE DAILY RETURN

0.033222543

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURN (%)

3.32225434

ASSUME THAT THERE ARE 252


TRADING DAYS PER YEAR

252

SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF THE STOCK P.A

0.527391526

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.096288079

-0.026512785
0.006158005
0.032213858
0.035739817
-0.051651051
-0.001727151
-0.04300934
-0.062054074
0.009979966
-0.031870274
0.011364672
0.004237198
0.011526854
0.047773061
0.020935126

POST BONUS
ISSUE(SIEMENS)
DATE
23-Nov
26-Nov

14-Dec

DAY
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

CL.PRICE
989.13
973.28
963.55
919.1
905.08
908.03
920.78
931.28
947.15
971.88
967.45
975.28
980.53
980.73
971.9
975.62

UE(AFTER 23-11-07)
PRICE RELATIVE
0.983975817
0.990002877
0.953868507
0.984745947
1.00325938
1.014041386
1.011403375
1.017041062
1.026109909
0.995441824
1.008093442
1.005383069
1.000203971
0.990996503
1.003827554

MEAN OF STOCK RETURN

-0.00091684

STD DEV OF DAILY STOCK RETURN

0.017547406

STD DEV OF STOCK RETURN(%)

1.754740597

ASSUME THAT THERE ARE 252


TRADING DAYS IN A YEAR

252

SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF THE STOCK P.A

0.278556434

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.050857214

STOCK RETURN
-0.016153958
-0.01004743
-0.04722945
-0.015371593
0.00325408
0.013943719
0.011338847
0.016897492
0.025774864
-0.004568596
0.008060865
0.005368633
0.000203951
-0.009044274
0.003820248

AXON INFOTECH(B.I:49-07)
PRE BONUS ISSUE
DATE

DAY

4-Sep
30-Aug

12-Aug

CL.PRICE(BSE)

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

167.69

162.85

0.971137217

-0.029287505

164.03

1.007245932

0.007219806

160.96

0.981283911

-0.018893451

162.38

1.008822068

0.008783381

161.38

0.993841606

-0.006177435

156.55

0.970070641

-0.030386385

149.71

0.956307889

-0.044675358

147.13

0.982766682

-0.01738354

147.34

1.001427309

0.001426292

10

146.29

0.992873626

-0.007151888

11

147.5

1.008271242

0.008237223

12

145.85

0.988813559

-0.011249479

13

147.5

1.011312993

0.011249479

14

149.64

1.014508475

0.014404234

15

148.63

0.993250468

-0.006772413

MEAN OF DAILY STOCK RETURNS


STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS
ASSUMING THERE ARE 252 TRADING

-0.008043803
0.017444822
252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF THE STOCK P.A

0.276927961

STD DEV OF STOCK RETURNS(%)

1.744482182

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.050559897

POST B.I OF
AXON
INFOTECH
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE(BSE)

PRICE RELATIVE

STOCK RET

4-Sep

167.69

5-Sep

171.25

1.02122965

0.02100744

6-Sep

168.18

0.982072993

-0.018089643

179.51

1.067368296

0.065196082

182.33

1.015709431

0.015587315

179.8

0.986124061

-0.01397311

162.05

0.901279199

-0.103940192

178.25

1.099969145

0.09528213

169.95

0.953436185

-0.047682783

168.75

0.9929391

-0.007085946

10

173.16

1.026133333

0.025797693

11

172.84

0.998151998

-0.001849712

12

172.79

0.999710715

-0.000289327

13

169.35

0.98009144

-0.020109405

14

167.23

0.987481547

-0.012597469

15

163.1

0.975303474

-0.025006601

25-Nov
MEAN OF STOCK RET
STD DEV OF STOCK RET

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

-0.001850235
0.045879878
252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF THE STOCK P.A

0.728320491

STD DEV OF STOCK RET(%)

4.58798784

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.132972521

ELECON ENGG(B.I:-11-1007)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

11-Oct

230.65

10-Oct

233.55

1.012573163

0.012494777

9-Oct

229.24

0.981545708

-0.018626697

8-Oct

227.63

0.992976793

-0.007047986

238.61

1.048236173

0.047108916

229.41

0.961443359

-0.039319624

233.98

1.019920666

0.019724846

228.41

0.976194547

-0.024093382

28-Sep

229.38

1.004246749

0.004237757

27-Sep

230.56

1.005144302

0.005131115

10

230.21

0.998481957

-0.001519196

11

226.6

0.984318666

-0.015805587

12

223.28

0.985348632

-0.014759759

13

223.36

1.000358295

0.00035823

14

217.71

0.974704513

-0.025620918

15

209.28

0.961278765

-0.039490834

19-Sep

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS


STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS
STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)
ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

-0.006481889
0.02297159
2.297158982
252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF THE STOCK P.A

0.364662683

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.066577993

ELECON
ENGG
POST B.I
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY
RETURNS

11-Oct

230.65

12-Oct

228.3

0.989811403

-0.010240856

15-Oct

230.65

1.010293473

0.010240856

245.4

1.063949707

0.061988122

262.4

1.069274654

0.066980525

258.15

0.983803354

-0.016329246

253.5

0.981987217

-0.018176988

259.05

1.021893491

0.02165727

269.9

1.041883806

0.041030427

24-Oct

300.5

1.113375324

0.107396234

25-Oct

10

305.9

1.01797005

0.017810497

26-Oct

11

297.8

0.973520758

-0.026836131

12

295.4

0.9919409

-0.00809175

13

298.8

1.011509817

0.011444083

14

305

1.020749665

0.020537323

15

303.62

0.99547541

-0.004534857

1-Nov
MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

0.018325034

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.037283928

STD DEV OF DAILY


RETURNS

RETURNS(%)

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

3.728392848
252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF THE STOCK P.A

0.591864016

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.108059091

NMDC(BONUS ISSUE:-27-12-07)
DATE
27-Dec
26-Dec
24-Dec
20-Dec
18-Dec
17-Dec
14-Dec

DAY

4-Dec
3-Dec

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

CL.PRICE(BSE)
12,539.40
11,942.30
11,373.65
10,832.05
10,316.25
9,825.00
10,340.00
9,851.00
9,387.35
8,940.35
8,514.65
8,600.00
8,770.00
9,231.75
9,717.60
10,229.00

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

0.952382092
0.952383544
0.952381162
0.952382051
0.952380952
1.052417303
0.95270793
0.952933712
0.952382728
0.952384414
1.0100239
1.019767442
1.052651083
1.052628158
1.052626163
-0.013576591

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.045946864

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)

4.594686411

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING


DAYS A YEAR

252

SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.729383856

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.133166664

-0.048788968
-0.048787443
-0.048789944
-0.04878901
-0.048790164
0.051089711
-0.048446896
-0.048209935
-0.0487883
-0.048786529
0.009973994
0.019574603
0.051311823
0.051290045
0.051288149

NMDC(POST B.I)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE(BSE)

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

27-Dec

12,539.40

28-Dec

13,166.35

1.049998405

0.048788645

31-Dec

13,824.65

1.049998671

0.048788898

1-Jan

14,515.85

1.049997649

0.048787925

2-Jan

15,241.60

1.049997072

0.048787376

3-Jan

15,492.85

1.01648449

0.016350096

14,975.00

0.966574904

-0.033996483

14,872.65

0.993165275

-0.006858188

14,129.05

0.950002185

-0.051290994

13,475.00

0.953708848

-0.047396845

10

12,802.00

0.950055659

-0.051234708

11

12,800.00

0.999843774

-0.000156238

12

12,355.00

0.965234375

-0.035384331

13

12,532.40

1.014358559

0.014256451

14

12,498.00

0.997255115

-0.002748659

15

13,122.90

1.05

0.048790164

8-Jan

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

0.003032207

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.039820082

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)

3.982008151

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.632124197

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.115409561

USHDEV INTERNATIONAL(TRADING)[B.I
ON 16.10.07]
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE(BSE)

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

16-Oct

94.83

15-Oct

94.6

0.997574607

-0.002428339

12-Oct

78.85

0.833509514

-0.182110163

11-Oct

65.73

0.833608117

-0.181991871

10-Oct

66.5

1.01171459

0.011646505

9-Oct

70

1.052631579

0.051293294

66

0.942857143

-0.0588405

68.55

1.038636364

0.037908664

70

1.021152443

0.020931836

72.13

1.030428571

0.029974804

10

71.8

0.995424927

-0.00458557

11

71.53

0.996239554

-0.003767534

12

70.7

0.988396477

-0.011671369

13

67.4

0.953323904

-0.047800555

14

72.4

1.074183976

0.071561281

15

69.55

0.960635359

-0.040160381

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS


STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS
STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)
ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

-0.020669326
0.074678113
7.46781128
252

DAYS
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF THE STOCK P.A

1.185478289

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.216437733

USHDEV
INTER
POST B.I
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE(BSE)

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

16-Oct

94.83

17-Oct

86.33

0.910365918

-0.093908653

18-Oct

89.6

1.03787791

0.037178158

19-Oct

85.4

0.953125

-0.048009219

22-Oct

83.5

0.977751756

-0.022499469

23-Oct

87.15

1.043712575

0.04278414

24-Oct

89.15

1.022948939

0.022689572

25-Oct

91.85

1.030286035

0.029836467

91

0.990745781

-0.009297305

98.3

1.08021978

0.077164521

10

95.95

0.976093591

-0.024196805

11

98.68

1.028452319

0.028055069

12

97

0.982975274

-0.017171313

13

99.48

1.02556701

0.02524564

14

99.08

0.995979091

-0.004029014

15

96.75

0.97648365

-0.023797273

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

0.001336301

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.042383458

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

RETURNS(%)

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

4.238345802
252

DAYS
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF THE STOCK P.A

0.672816538

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.122838932

PARENTERAL DRUGS
(India) LTD[B.I:4.9.07]
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE(BSE)

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

4-Sep

98.03

3-Sep

94.38

0.9627665

-0.037944368

31-Aug

89.9

0.952532316

-0.048631245

30-Aug

93.18

1.036484983

0.035835165

29-Aug

88.75

0.952457609

-0.048709678

28-Aug

84.53

0.952450704

-0.048716927

27-Aug

80.5

0.952324618

-0.048849317

24-Aug

76.68

0.952546584

-0.048616266

23-Aug

77.48

1.010432968

0.01037892

22-Aug

75.4

0.973154362

-0.027212564

21-Aug

10

79.35

1.052387268

0.051061172

20-Aug

11

83.53

1.052678009

0.051337402

17-Aug

12

87.9

1.052316533

0.050993956

16-Aug

13

83.73

0.952559727

-0.048602468

14-Aug

14

79.75

0.952466261

-0.048700595

13-Aug

15

75.98

0.952727273

-0.048426594

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS


STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS
STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)
ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

-0.016986894
0.04311684
4.311684009
252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK RETURNS

0.684458617

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.124964475

PARENTERAL
DRUGS(POST
B.I)
DATE
4-Sep
5-Sep
6-Sep
7-Sep
10-Sep
11-Sep
12-Sep
13-Sep
14-Sep

DAY

25-Sep

CL.PRICE(BSE)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

PRICE RELATIVE
98.03
98.08
98.25
93.68
93.95
92.93
92.05
87.83
86.18
88.4
92.8
95.18
92.38
87.78
83.48
84.8

DAILY RETURNS

1.000510048
1.001733279
0.953486005
1.002882152
0.989143161
0.990530507
0.95415535
0.981213708
1.025760037
1.049773756
1.025646552
0.970582055
0.950205672
0.951013898
1.015812171
-0.009665201

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.031130537

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)

3.113053654

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING


DAYS

252

SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK RETURNS

0.494181947

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.090224867

0.000509918
0.001731779
-0.047630531
0.002878007
-0.010916204
-0.009514614
-0.04692878
-0.018964996
0.025433837
0.04857467
0.025323196
-0.029859331
-0.051076821
-0.050226602
0.015688461

SAH PETROLEUMS
LTD(MUMBAI)[B.I.30.9.05]
DATE

DAY

PRICE
RELATIVE

CL.PRICE

DAILY RETURNS

30-Sep

22.56

29-Sep

23.28

1.031914894

0.031416196

28-Sep

24

1.030927835

0.030459207

27-Sep

23.88

0.995

-0.005012542

26-Sep

24.41

1.022194305

0.021951596

23-Sep

21.28

0.871773863

-0.13722522

22-Sep

21.25

0.998590226

-0.001410769

21-Sep

23.16

1.089882353

0.086069757

20-Sep

24.06

1.038860104

0.038124058

24.38

1.013300083

0.013212414

10

24.47

1.00369155

0.003684753

11

24.5

1.001225991

0.00122524

12

24.38

0.995102041

-0.004909993

13

24.69

1.01271534

0.012635179

14

24.53

0.993519644

-0.006501445

15

24.97

1.01793722

0.017778246

9-Sep

MEAN OF DAILY RETURN

0.006766445

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.046414978

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)

4.641497789

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

252

DAYS
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.736814932

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.134523386

SAH
PETROLEUMS
(POST B.I)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

30-Sep

22.56

3-Oct

23.59

1.045656028

0.044644467

4-Oct

24.09

1.021195422

0.020973923

5-Oct

23.75

0.98588626

-0.014214286

6-Oct

23.44

0.986947368

-0.013138566

7-Oct

23.47

1.001279863

0.001279045

10-Oct

23.75

1.011930124

0.011859521

11-Oct

23.56

0.992

-0.008032172

13-Oct

23.78

1.009337861

0.009294532

14-Oct

22.84

0.960470984

-0.040331506

17-Oct

10

22.63

0.990805604

-0.009236925

11

23.09

1.020327

0.020123164

12

21.28

0.921611087

-0.081631959

13

20.5

0.963345865

-0.037342778

21-Oct

14

20.7

1.009756098

0.009708814

24-Oct

15

20.4

0.985507246

-0.014598799

MEAN OF DAILY RETURN

-0.006709568

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.030364634

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)

3.036463419

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.482023624

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.088005071

CRANES
SOFTWARE(PRE
BONUS ISSUE)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

28-Sep

96.08

27-Sep

91.51

0.95243547

-0.048732922

26-Sep

90.16

0.985247514

-0.014862386

23-Sep

90

0.998225377

-0.001776199

22-Sep

94.42

1.049111111

0.047943245

21-Sep

98.78

1.046176657

0.04514224

20-Sep

99.09

1.003138287

0.003133373

19-Sep

98.02

0.989201736

-0.010856989

16-Sep

99.45

1.014588859

0.014483466

15-Sep

99.89

1.004424334

0.004414575

14-Sep

10

98.46

0.985684253

-0.014419206

11

100.05

1.01614869

0.016019687

12

100.7

1.006496752

0.006475739

13

102.03

1.013207547

0.013121088

8-Sep

14

103.62

1.015583652

0.015463474

6-Sep

15

101.59

0.980409187

-0.019785256

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

0.003717595

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.024486411

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)


ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

2.44864114
252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252
VOLATILITY OF THE STOCK P.A

15.87450787
0.38870973

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.070968363

CRANES
SOFTWARE
POST B.I
DATE

DAY
28-Sep
29-Sep
30-Sep
3-Oct
4-Oct
5-Oct
6-Oct
7-Oct
10-Oct
11-Oct
13-Oct
14-Oct

19-Oct
20-Oct

CL.PRICE
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

PRICE RELATIVE
96.08
100.89
105.18
109.67
107.03
107.75
103.14
102.75
100.77
102
107.36
104.59
99.97
98.99
94.51
92.84

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

-0.002286906

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS


STD DEV OF DAILY
RETURNS

1.050062448
1.042521558
1.042688724
0.975927783
1.006727086
0.957215777
0.996218732
0.980729927
1.012206014
1.05254902
0.974198957
0.955827517
0.990197059
0.954742903
0.982329912

0.034627939

RETURNS(%)

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING


DAYS A YEAR

3.462793851
252

SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.549701482

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.100361301

DAILY RETURNS
0.048849637
0.041642354
0.041802689
-0.024366688
0.00670456
-0.04372644
-0.003788435
-0.019458161
0.012132121
0.05121486
-0.026139728
-0.045177804
-0.009851306
-0.046313186
-0.017828068

MAHALAXMI
RUBTECH
LTD(B.I-24-1106)
DATE
24-Nov
23-Nov
22-Nov
21-Nov
20-Nov
17-Nov
16-Nov
15-Nov
14-Nov

DAY

6-Nov
3-Nov

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

CL.PRICE(BSE)
51.36
53.44
50.92
48.52
46.24
48.6
50.76
53.4
54.44
53.04
51.44
49
46.68
46.12
43.96
41.88

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

1.040498442
0.952844311
0.952867243
0.953009068
1.051038062
1.044444444
1.052009456
1.019475655
0.974283615
0.969834087
0.952566096
0.952653061
0.988003428
0.953165655
0.952684258
-0.013603418

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.041593089

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)

4.159308928

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING


DAYS A YEAR

252

SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.660269823

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.120548225

0.03969987
-0.048303756
-0.04827969
-0.04813086
0.049778307
0.043485112
0.050702103
0.019288432
-0.026052832
-0.030630266
-0.048595782
-0.048504491
-0.012069112
-0.047966566
-0.048471744

MAHALAXMI
RUBTECH
LTD(POST B.I)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE(BSE)

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

24-Nov

51.36

27-Nov

49.32

0.960280374

-0.040529981

28-Nov

48.48

0.98296837

-0.017178337

29-Nov

50.88

1.04950495

0.048318577

30-Nov

50.28

0.988207547

-0.011862535

1-Dec

52.76

1.049323787

0.048145944

4-Dec

55.36

1.049279757

0.048103983

5-Dec

58.12

1.049855491

0.048652527

6-Dec

58.76

1.0110117

0.010951513

58.16

0.989788972

-0.010263518

10

57.72

0.992434663

-0.007594099

11

55.64

0.963963964

-0.036701367

12

52.92

0.951114306

-0.050121028

13-Dec

13

50.68

0.957671958

-0.043249984

14-Dec

14

53.2

1.049723757

0.048527041

15-Dec

15

55.84

1.04962406

0.048432062

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

0.005575387

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.039332967

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)

3.933296671

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.624391489

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.113997768

PARLE
SOFTWARE
LTD(B.I:30.11.07)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE(BSE)

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

30-Nov

454.25

29-Nov

412.96

0.909102917

-0.095296971

28-Nov

375.43

0.909119527

-0.0952787

27-Nov

341.3

0.909090909

-0.09531018

26-Nov

365.59

1.071169059

0.068750631

23-Nov

363.69

0.994802921

-0.00521063

22-Nov

402.48

1.106656768

0.10134355

21-Nov

366.04

0.90946134

-0.094902789

20-Nov

334.15

0.912878374

-0.091152623

19-Nov

320.23

0.958342062

-0.042550506

10

312.74

0.976610561

-0.023667313

11

345.48

1.1046876

0.09956258

12

383.85

1.111062869

0.105317097

13

400.4

1.0431158

0.042212196

12-Nov

14

412.5

1.03021978

0.029772158

9-Nov

15

434.89

1.054278788

0.05285692

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

-0.002903639

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.079414803

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)

7.941480276

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

252

DAYS IN A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

1.260670911

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.230165965

PARLE
S/W LTD
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE(BSE)

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

30-Nov

454.25

3-Dec

476.96

1.049994496

0.048784923

4-Dec

479.4

1.005115733

0.005102692

5-Dec

455.44

0.950020859

-0.051271337

6-Dec

433.84

0.952573336

-0.048588182

7-Dec

427.76

0.985985617

-0.014113512

10-Dec

427.9

1.000327286

0.000327233

11-Dec

408

0.953493807

-0.047622349

12-Dec

428.4

1.05

0.048790164

13-Dec

449.81

1.049976657

0.048767933

14-Dec

10

453.94

1.009181654

0.009139759

17-Dec

11

441.26

0.972066793

-0.02833076

18-Dec

12

438.38

0.993473236

-0.006548157

19-Dec

13

437.36

0.997673252

-0.00232946

14

431.89

0.987493141

-0.012585728

24-Dec

15

441.5

1.022251036

0.022007094

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

-0.001897979

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS


STD DEV OF DAILY
RETURNS

0.033958688

RETURNS(%)

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

3.395868834
252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.539077465

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.098421629

WALCHANDNAGAR
INDUSTRIES
LTD(BI 26-11-07)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

26-Nov

843.53

23-Nov

803.36

0.952378694

-0.048792535

22-Nov

765.11

0.952387473

-0.048783318

21-Nov

799.88

1.045444446

0.044442102

20-Nov

841.51

1.052045307

0.050736181

19-Nov

884.24

1.050777769

0.049530622

16-Nov

930.78

1.052632769

0.051294425

15-Nov

979.67

1.052525839

0.051192836

14-Nov

1031.23

1.052629967

0.051291763

13-Nov

982.12

0.952377258

-0.048794043

10

935.35

0.952378528

-0.04879271

11

984.58

1.052632704

0.051294364

12

1036.4

1.052631579

0.051293294

7-Nov

13

1090.94

1.052624469

0.05128654

6-Nov

14

1148.36

1.052633509

0.051295128

5-Nov

15

1093.67

0.952375562

-0.048795824

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS


STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS
STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)
ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

0.017313255
0.04841468
4.841467962
252

DAYS
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.768559213

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.140319072

WALCHANDNAGAR
INDUSTRIES(POST
BI)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

26-Nov

843.53

27-Nov

885.71

1.050004149

0.048794116

28-Nov

930

1.050005081

0.048795003

29-Nov

896.34

0.963806452

-0.036864781

30-Nov

864.56

0.964544704

-0.036099098

3-Dec

907.79

1.050002313

0.048792367

4-Dec

890.31

0.980744445

-0.019443358

5-Dec

891.17

1.000965956

0.000965489

6-Dec

867.76

0.973731162

-0.026620027

7-Dec

844.85

0.973598691

-0.026756082

10-Dec

10

831.35

0.984020832

-0.016108211

11-Dec

11

817.85

0.983761352

-0.01637194

12

814.69

0.996136211

-0.003871273

13

855.43

1.050006751

0.048796594

14-Dec

14

840.73

0.98281566

-0.017333704

17-Dec

15

799.86

0.951387485

-0.04983385

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

-0.003543917

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.034976777

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)

3.497677708

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.555239123

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.101372331

RAJESH
EXPORTS
LTD(B.I 23-1007)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

23-Oct

151.93

22-Oct

147.7

0.972158231

-0.028236699

19-Oct

143.99

0.974881517

-0.025439337

18-Oct

142.44

0.989235364

-0.010822994

17-Oct

140.36

0.98539736

-0.014710308

16-Oct

147.09

1.047948133

0.046834094

15-Oct

150.34

1.022095316

0.021854751

12-Oct

151.84

1.009977385

0.009927939

154.53

1.017716017

0.017560917

10-Oct

154.3

0.998511616

-0.001489493

9-Oct

10

150.26

0.973817239

-0.026531632

11

146.84

0.977239452

-0.023023568

5-Oct

12

147.75

1.006197221

0.006178098

4-Oct

13

149.95

1.014890017

0.014780249

3-Oct

14

148.97

0.993464488

-0.006556962

1-Oct

15

156.14

1.048130496

0.047008097

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

0.00182221

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.02471526

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)


ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

2.471526036
252

DAYS
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.001556915

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.000284252

RAJESH
EXPORTS
LTD(POST BI)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURNS

23-Oct

151.93

24-Oct

148.19

0.9753834

-0.024924654

26-Oct

147.76

0.99709832

-0.002905898

29-Oct

148.11

1.002368706

0.002365905

30-Oct

148.49

1.002565661

0.002562375

1-Nov

145.61

0.980604755

-0.019585801

2-Nov

145.64

1.00020603

0.000206009

5-Nov

145.32

0.997802801

-0.002199616

6-Nov

144.04

0.991191852

-0.008847169

7-Nov

144.35

1.00215218

0.002149867

10

143.49

0.994042258

-0.00597556

9-Nov

11

143.52

1.000209074

0.000209052

12-Nov

12

144.29

1.005365106

0.005350765

13-Nov

13

143.67

0.995703098

-0.00430616

14-Nov

14

145.84

1.015104058

0.014991127

15-Nov

15

143.64

0.984914975

-0.015199961

MEAN OF DAILY RETURNS

-0.003740648

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS

0.010149016

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURNS(%)

1.014901584

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.161110632

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.029414642

KANORIA
CHEMICALS &
INDUSTRIES
LTD(B.I:7-108)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURN

7-Jan

59.1

4-Jan

61

1.0321489

0.03164294

3-Jan

62

1.016393443

0.016260521

2-Jan

61.85

0.997580645

-0.002422286

1-Jan

60.1

0.97170574

-0.028702257

31-Dec

57.2

0.951747088

-0.049455943

28-Dec

54.43

0.951573427

-0.049638426

27-Dec

55.62

1.021862943

0.021627376

26-Dec

53.75

0.966379

-0.034199182

24-Dec

52.92

0.98455814

-0.015562328

20-Dec

10

50.6

0.956160242

-0.044829763

19-Dec

11

51.63

1.020355731

0.020151323

18-Dec

12

49.18

0.952546969

-0.048615862

13

46.83

0.952216348

-0.048963014

14-Dec

14

44.6

0.952380952

-0.048790164

13-Dec

15

43.43

0.973766816

-0.026583412

MEAN OF DAILY RETURN

-0.020538699

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURN

0.030261943

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURN(%)

3.026194266

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.480393447

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.087707442

KANORIA
CHEMICALS
LTD (POST BI)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURN

7-Jan

59.1

8-Jan

56.55

0.956852792

-0.044105722

9-Jan

53.8

0.951370469

-0.049851735

10-Jan

51.8

0.962825279

-0.037883318

11-Jan

49.25

0.950772201

-0.050480782

14-Jan

47.55

0.965482234

-0.035127579

15-Jan

49.65

1.044164038

0.043216601

16-Jan

48.25

0.971802618

-0.028602563

17-Jan

48.55

1.006217617

0.006198367

18-Jan

47.1

0.970133883

-0.030321194

10

44.75

0.950106157

-0.051181556

11

42.55

0.950837989

-0.05041159

23-Jan

12

40.5

0.951821387

-0.049377881

24-Jan

13

39

0.962962963

-0.037740328

25-Jan

14

37.45

0.96025641

-0.040554936

28-Jan

15

37.7

1.006675567

0.006653384

MEAN OF DAILY RETURN

-0.029971389

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURN

0.027424681

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURN(%)

2.742468092

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.435353313

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.079484277

ASHIANA
HOUSING
LTD(B.I:29.10.07)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE(BSE)

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURN

29-Oct

138.05

26-Oct

132.26

0.958058674

-0.042846256

25-Oct

122.64

0.927264479

-0.075516448

24-Oct

123.92

1.010437052

0.010382962

23-Oct

105.98

0.85522918

-0.156385799

22-Oct

99.67

0.940460464

-0.061385668

19-Oct

87.24

0.875288452

-0.133201788

18-Oct

89.41

1.024873911

0.024569591

17-Oct

94.01

1.051448384

0.050168627

16-Oct

98.51

1.047867248

0.046756906

15-Oct

10

99.51

1.010151254

0.010100076

11

97.62

0.981006934

-0.019175751

12

99.5

1.019258349

0.019075254

10-Oct

13

85.1

0.855276382

-0.156330609

9-Oct

14

88.88

1.044418331

0.04346011

8-Oct

15

84.64

0.95229523

-0.048880177

MEAN OF DAILY RETURN


STD DEV OF DAILY RETURN
STD DEV OF DAILY RET(%)
ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

-0.032613931
0.071970436
7.19704358
252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

1.142495249

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.20859014

ASHIANA
HOUSING
LTD(POST
B.I)
DATE

DAY

CL.PRICE

PRICE RELATIVE

DAILY RETURN

29-Oct

138.05

30-Oct

146.04

1.057877581

0.056264618

31-Oct

140.68

0.963297727

-0.037392749

1-Nov

132.03

0.938512937

-0.063458638

2-Nov

140.91

1.067257441

0.065092219

5-Nov

139.07

0.98694202

-0.013143985

6-Nov

138.4

0.995182282

-0.00482936

7-Nov

129.37

0.934754335

-0.067471527

8-Nov

131.5

1.016464404

0.016330336

9-Nov

133.03

1.011634981

0.011567815

12-Nov

10

130.8

0.983236864

-0.016905228

13-Nov

11

126.6

0.967889908

-0.032636929

14-Nov

12

125.87

0.994233807

-0.005782881

15-Nov

13

122.56

0.973703027

-0.026648922

16-Nov

14

127.64

1.041449086

0.040613095

19-Nov

15

133.74

1.047790661

0.046683815

MEAN OF DAILY RETURN

-0.002114555

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURN

0.041259807

STD DEV OF DAILY RETURN(%)

4.125980719

ASSUME THERE ARE 252 TRADING

252

DAYS A YEAR
SQRT OF 252

15.87450787

VOLATILITY OF STOCK P.A

0.654979134

SQRT OF 2N

5.477225575

STD ERROR OF ESTIMATE

0.119582282

(5.3)ANALYSIS OF DATA:
In the above data, researcher have collected 15 days closing stock prices
prior the bonus issue & after the bonus issue.
Closing stock prices of few companies are quoted in Bombay stock
exchange & majority of them are quoted in National stock exchange. Rests
of the companies are not quoted in any of the stock exchanges.
Regarding the items mentioned in the table, we have Price relative, Daily
return, Volatility of stock P.A, STD error of estimate etc.
Price relative= 2nd day closing price/1st day closing price
Daily return= LN of Price relative
Volatility of stock per annum= STD dev of Daily return * SQRT of 252
SQRT of 2n= 2*15days
STD error of estimate= Volatility of stock per annum/SQRT of 2n
Mean= Average (closing stock prices)
The table mentioned below shows, the statistics for applying
T-test.

STATISTICS FOR APPLYING TTEST


MEAN VALUE(PRE
BONUS)
-0.011314037

MEAN VALUE(POST
BONUS)
0.005520538

SOFTWARE

-0.002459741

-0.00091684

SAH PETROLEUMS

PETROLEUM

0.006766445

-0.006709568

PARENTERAL
DRUGS

PHARMACEUTICAL

-0.016986894

-0.009665201

USHDEV INTERNAT

TRADING

-0.020669326

0.001336301

NMDC

DEVELOPMENT

-0.013576591

0.003032207

ELECON ENGG

ENGINEERING

-0.006481889

0.018325034

AXON INFOTECH

I.T

-0.008043803

-0.001850235

ASHIANA HOUSING

CONSTRUCTION

-0.032613931

-0.002114555

KANORIA
CHEMICALS

CHLORIDE-ALKALI

-0.020538699

-0.029971389

RAJESH EXPORTS

DIAMOND CUTTING

0.00182221

-0.003740648

WALCHANDNAGAR
INDUSTRIES

ENGINEERING

0.017313255

-0.003543917

PARLE SOFTWARE

COMPUTER SOFTWARE

-0.002903639

-0.001897979

MAHALAXMI
RUBTECH

RUBBER PRODUCTS

-0.013603418

0.005575387

CRANES
SOFTWARE

SOFTWARE

0.003717595

-0.002286906

COMPANY
TATA STEEL

NATURE
MANUFACTURING

SIEMENS

MEAN(PRE BONUS) = X
MEAN(POST BONUS)= Y

CONDUCTING T-TEST FOR TWO INDEPENDENT


SAMPLES:

y
-0.011314037

0.005520538

-0.002459741

-0.00091684

0.006766445

-0.006709568

-0.016986894

-0.009665201

-0.020669326

0.001336301

-0.013576591

0.003032207

-0.006481889

0.018325034

-0.008043803

-0.001850235

-0.032613931

-0.002114555

-0.020538699

-0.029971389

0.00182221

-0.003740648

0.017313255

-0.003543917

-0.002903639

-0.001897979

-0.013603418

0.005575387

0.003717595

-0.002286906

t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances

Variable 1
Mean
Variance
Observations
Pooled Variance
Hypothesized Mean Difference
df
t Stat

Variable 2

-0.007971498

-0.001927185

0.000159241

0.000102391

15

15

0.000130816
0
28
-1.447262696

P(T<=t) one-tail

0.079463795

t Critical one-tail

1.701130259

P(T<=t) two-tail

0.15892759

t Critical two-tail

2.048409442

From the above table,


No of observations came to 15
Through excel application, Pooled variance=Variance1+Variance2/2.
We considered Hypothesis mean difference as 0
Degree of freedom= (n1-1) + (n2-1)
Since our intention, is to find whether there is a change in stock returns
following the bonus issue, we considered as two-tailed test.
Finally t-stat= -1.44726

STATISTICAL EQUATION
T-test= [(sample mean 1-sample mean 2)-(mean of population 1Mean of population 2)]/
Square root [Sp^2(1/n1+1/n2)]
Sp^2= [ (n1-1)S1^2+ (n2-1)S2^2]/[ (n1-1)+(n2-1)]
Since, there are two independent samples with zero mean population &
pooled variance estimate, the above equation is appropriate. The variables
are less than 30 of each independent sample.
With small sample sizes, normally distributed populations, & the assumption
of equal population variances, the t-test is appropriate:
Sp^2 is associated with the pooled variance estimate.

CALCULATION OF T-STAT FROM THE ABOVE STATISTICAL


EQUATION:
From the above data, regarding Mean, Std deviation, pooled variance we
came to know that;
Sample mean 1= -0.007971498
Sample mean 2= -0.001927185
Mean population 1= 0
Mean population 2= 0
S1^2= 0.000159241 & n1=15
S2^2= 0.000102391 & n2=15
Pooled variance estimate= 0.0001308
From the above calculations, we can verify that t-stat= -1.44739.
Therefore, from the above we can conclude that t-stat through excel
application & through manual calculation it came to,
-1.44739

I.e. t= [-0.007971498+ 0.001927185]-(0-0)/


Square root [0.0001308(2/15)]

Sp^2= [14(0.00015924) + 14(0.000102391)]/28


= 0.002229 + 0.001433/28
= 0.0001308
T-stat= -1.44739

RESEARCH FINDINGS
Null hypothesis:
Ho: There is no change in the stock returns following the bonus issue for the
companies like NMDC where there is no change in the stock returns 3 days after the
bonus issue & Walchandnagar Industries 2 days after the bonus issue
Ha: There is a change in the stock returns following the bonus issue for the rest of the
13 companies.

Statistical test:
The t-test is chosen because the samples are independent, normally distributed
populations & the assumption of equal population variances

Significance Level:
Level of significance is at 5% (two-tailed test)

Calculated value:
As, t-stat is equal to -1.44739

Critical test value:


With degrees of freedom is 28, level of significance at 0.05, two-tailed test, the
critical test value came to 2.048

Interpretation:
Since the calculated value is lesser than critical value
I.e -1.44739<2.048, null hypothesis has to be accepted
Where in there is no change in the stock returns following the bonus issue.

CHAPTER 6
SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
(6.1) CONCLUSION FROM THE STUDY
To conclude, the investors should invest in the stock markets considering the various
factors of volatility & beta. If they consider this one they will not loose heavily. There is
no uniformity in the stock prices before the bonus issue & after the bonus issue. This may
be due to the inflation & interest factors. When there is no uniformity, there will be
drastic changes in each & every aspects. If this is the case it will be a confusing state for
the investors whether to invest in particular stock or not.

6.2 Implications
The findings what the researcher has made is, if there is an increase in STD deviation
there is an increase in volatility returns before the bonus issue & after the bonus issue.
This has happened in the companies like TATA STEEL, SIEMENS, SAH
PETROLEUMS, and NMDC etc

6.3
RECOMMENDATIONS
The emphasis is to be given from investors point of view where in before investing there
money, they should consider the volatility factor, the beta factor which has been loaded in
high tech stocks, so that they will not loose their net worth.

Volatility refers, many price swings in the short run, to tackle this volatility, is by
investing on a regular basis through systematic investment plans, means making periodic
investments of the same amount of money in an equity fund, regardless of whether the
stock market is declining or ascending. SIP can protect in a volatile market.

Apart from this, the investors have not considered the other volatility factors & beta
factors which in-turn is more important from the investment point of view.
It is better for the investors to invest in systematic investment plans by considering the
other factors of volatility.

BIBLIOGRAPHY

Barua,S.K., V.Raghunathan, & J.R. Varma, Portfolio management, Tata McGraw


Hill,

Prasanna Chandra, Investment analysis & portfolio management,

V.K. Bhalla , Investment Management

I.M. Pandey, Financial Management

Damodaran, Aswath, Investment valuation

WEB-LINKS
www.moneycontrol.com
www.sharekhan.com
www.capitaline.com
www.bseindia.com
www.nse-india.com

APPENDIX
TATA IRON & STEEL:(MANUFACTURING SECTOR)
They issued bonus shares as on 22-7-04 in the ratio of 1:2. This is subject to the
approval of shareholders.

SIEMENS LTD:(SOFTWARE COMPANY)


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1 as on 23-11-07. It traded down 4.41%
(BSE) traded at Rs.1,600 in afternoon trade.

SAH PETROLEUMS MUMBAI:(PETROLEUM INDUSTRY)


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 3:5 as on 30-9-05.
The bonus shares were Rs.5 each. The AGM also gave its nod to increase the
authorized share capital of the company from Rs.11 cr to Rs.16 cr for issuing bonus
shares.

PARENTERAL DRUGS LTD:(PHARMACEUTICAL CO)


They issued bonus shares as on 4-9-07 in the ratio of 1:1.

USHDEV INTERNATIONAL:(TRADING CO)


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1 as on 16-10-07.

NATIONAL MINERAL DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION


LTD:(DEVELOPMENT SECTOR)
They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 2:1 as on 27-12-07.

ELECON ENGINEERING LTD :( ENGG SECTOR)


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 2:1 as on 11-10-07.

AXON INFOTECH LTD(IT SECTOR):


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 3:1 as on 4-9-07.

ASHIANA HOUSING(CONSTRUCTION CO):


They issued 5 new shares of A.H. LTD for every 2 shares held as on 29-10-07.

KANORIA CHEMICALS & INDUSTRIES LTD(CHLORIDE


ALKALI):
They issued 1 equity share for every 2 shares held as on 7-1-08. The face value of
equity share got subdivided from Rs.10 to Rs.5.

RAJESH

EXPORTS

LTD(DIAMOND

CUTTING

&

JEWELLERY):
They issued 2 bonus shares for every 1 share held by the shareholders as on 23-10-07.

WALCHANDNAGAR INDUSTRIES LTD(ENGG CO)


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1 as on 26-11-07
These equity shares are subdivided into the face value of Rs.10 each into 5 equity
shares of Rs.2 each.

PARLE SOFTWARE LTD(COMPUTER SOFTWARE)


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 3:1 as on 30-11-07(3 equity shares of Rs.10
each fully paid-up for every 1 share held).

MAHALAXMI

RUBTECH

LTD(MANUFACTURE

OF

RUBBER PRODUCTS):
They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1:4 as on 24-11-06. The company at EGM
raised the borrowing limit of the company up to Rs.50 crores.

CRANES SOFTWARE INTERNATIONAL LTD(S/W CO):


They issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1 as on 28-9-05 & issued 12 lakh equity
shares on preferential basis. The AGM decided to split equity shares of Rs.10 each
into 5 shares of Rs.2 each, the company informed the BSE. The AGM also approved
the dividend of Rs.5 per share including regular div of Rs.2 per share & special div of
Rs.3 per share.

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