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PP16832/01/2012 (029059)
Economics
6 July 2011
1
NEM: Part 1 Mar 10
2
NEM: Concluding Part Dec 10
3
SRI Labs (500 participants, 13 reports detailing what, how & when to implement) Feb - Apr 11
4
Cabinet Workshop (ownership/ responsibility, governance structure) 19 Apr 11
5
ETP Progress Updates #6 (mentioned about SRIs) 13 Jun 11
6
SRIs officially announced 5 July 11
7
Monthly Updates on Progress/ Annual Report (1Q 12 onwards)
1) Re-energising the private sector 2) Developing quality workforce and reducing dependency on foreign labour 3) Creating a competitive domestic economy 4) Strengthening of the public sector 5) Transparent and market-friendly affirmative action 6) Building the knowledge-based infrastructure 7) Enhancing the sources of growth 8) Ensuring sustainability of growth
1) Reinvigorating the private sector 2) Enhancing innovation 3) Public sector transformation & fiscal reform 4) Intensifying human capital development 5) Narrowing disparities
A total of 51 recommendations After taking into account of 14 measures that are embedded directly into their natural homes under GTP and ETP, the remaining 37 policies are grouped into six implementation clusters i.e. International Standards & Liberalisation (9 policies) Human Capital Development (9 policies) Public Service Delivery (7 policies) Public Finance (5 policies) Government Role in Business (5 policies) Narrowing Disparities / Bumi SMEs (2 policies)
SRIs consists of 51 policy measures where 14 are operationalised under GTP and ETP, while 37 are grouped into six execution clusters
14
With natural homes in NKEAs (ETP), NKRAs (GTP)
51
policy measures
37
Grouped into 6 clusters for execution
Source: PEMANDU
What are the key ones? There are several key areas of reforms that we believe are of major interests to market and investors. These are: Indentified levers and enablers to improve the countrys fiscal position via revenue enhancements and expenditure savings (Public Finance), especially to reduce fiscal deficit to -2.8% of GDP by 2015 (2010: -5.6% of GDP). These measures which can save up to RM13b in revenues and savings if implemented between 2H 2011 and 2015 include: 1. Improve tax administration and collection. An array of measures can generate up to RM4,543m revenues if implemented by the Inland Revenue Board (IRB) and The Royal Malaysian Custom Department (RMCD) between 2H2011 and 2015. These measures include stronger enforcement via field audit and investigation coverage, wider tax base, efficient tax submission and collection, revising the depreciation rate of gazette value of used cars, as well as audit-based controls on exporters and importers of liquor and cigarettes in duty free zones. 2. Control Government expenditure. Immediate to mid-term measures such as reduction in travelling expenses, costeffective funding mechanism, reduce overseas training, optimize asset utilization and increase cess for rubber replanting can yield a quick win of RM589m savings in spending can be achieved. Longer term measures include the on-going subsidy rationalisation, right-sizing the public sector, reform civil service pension scheme, and reviews on the transfer payments to statutory bodies.
3. Enhance transparency in procurement process e.g. reduce the threshold value for quotations and tenders to RM50,000 from RM200,000; underperforming suppliers and services providers registered with the Ministry of Finance will be blacklisted / eliminated; instituting tougher paid up capital and financial performance metrics for suppliers. 4. Other measures highlighted include rationalise corporate tax incentives; broad-based tax (GST); accrual accounting; outcome-based budgeting.
Potential RM13b in revenue generation and expenditure savings under Public Finance SRI, 2H2011-2015
Savings/ Revenue (RM m) Procurement Indirect Tax * Indirect Tax Direct Tax Expenditure Control Rationalise Incentives Total without GST GST@ 4% TOTAL 591 689 400 3,454 590 1,016 6,739 6,268 13,007 Legend 2H 2011-2012 2012-2013 2014-2015
2,200
4,200
6,200
8,200
200
10,200
* Gazetted imported used cars depreciation rate, enhance enforcement Source: PEMANDU
2,875
439
163
400
434
250
Source: PEMANDU
12,200
45 79 118 291 57
589.9
Total
GST (Public Finance). Meanwhile, the Goods and Services Tax (GST) is slated to be in place by 2014 and according to the PEMANDUs Public Finance SRI Lab, it could generate incremental revenues of RM6.3b at 4% rate and RM9.7b at 5% rate i.e. in addition to the revenues from the Sales Tax and Services Tax (SST averaging RM12b p.a. in 2008-2010) that the GST directly replaces. Divestment of GLICs stakes in listed companies (Government Role in Business). In principle, the Government had earlier indicated its desire to play facilitative role in business as opposed to being a significant investor, to improve the capital markets liquidity and create more space and opportunities to private investment. In this regard, several pathways to divestment have been identified i.e. paring down of stakes, listing, outright sales, involving 33 companies that have been short-listed. The action plan for 25 companies has been identified paring down stakes in 5, listing of 7 and the sales of 21. In addition, relevant Ministries and States will establish GLC Monitoring Units (GMUs) to monitor the performance of their respective government-linked entities and state-owned enterprises, with information on their performance to be made public, replicating the Putrajaya Committee on GLCs that was initiated to kick-start the Khazanah-led GLC Transformation Programme. At macro level, four areas have been Government presence in business. These are: identified for
1. as co-investor with private sector (e.g. private-public partnership (PPP) and regional corridor development projects); 2. projects with long gestation periods and large seed capital or catalytic/new technology are needed (e.g. biotechnology, nanotechnology); 3. national security reasons where business/projects must be domestically-owned (e.g. procurement of defence technology; food security); and 4. national infrastructure (e.g. public transport such as MRT/LRT; renewable energy)
Services sector liberalisation (International Standard & Liberalisation), with a view to boost private and foreign direct investment so that the sectors share to GDP can be lifted from the current 57% to 70%-80% prevalent among the developed nations. This is consistent with Malaysias next phase of economic development en-route to becoming a high-income economy by 2020 i.e. the post-industrialisation phase. The targeted services sectors include healthcare, education and business services (professional services).
8.8%
Education RM27.1b
6.8%
Business Services (Professional Services) RM19.5b
7.9%
Source: PEMANDU
Minimum wage (Human Capital Development), which is planned for introduction by end-2011. Malaysia is moving a step closer towards this goal after the Parliament passed the National Wages Consultative Council Bill last week. Other than this, the Government will also modernize the labour legislations involving 4 Acts and 63 proposed amendments. Balancing Bumiputera agenda with Bottom-40% welfare (Narrowing Disparities) via market-friendly and transparent meritbased and needs-based affirmative action, on top of the expected political consideration. A High Performing Bumiputera SMEs programme to develop Bumi entrepreneurs across as 12 NKEAs will be rolled out. Under this programme, Government, Government Agencies, GLCs, GLICs and the private sector will work together to provide business opportunities (e.g. procurement, outsourcing and vendor development), and promote capacity building (e.g. human capital development, funding, R&D, marketing). The programme will have strict qualifying/entry criteria (e.g. minimum 50% of revenue from non-Government sources, 2-5 years of profitability track record, management team with mix of Bumi and non-Bumi) as well as clear exit/graduation criteria (e.g. become large companies; drop out due to missing on performance benchmark or key milestones). Meanwhile, the welfare of the bottom 40% of the population is being addressed by the Low Income Household NKRA under GTP.
Some of these SRI measures are already operational or at least have the foundations in place for implementation and execution 14 are already operational via the National Key Result Areas (NKRAs) of GTP and ETPs NKEAs. These include: 1. Pursue administrative reforms in the Judiciary (GTP NKRA: Crime). 2. Break the poverty cycle through education (GTP NKRA: Education). 3. Adopt a single comprehensive database on the poor; establish an overarching policy on social assistance programme (GTP NKRA: Lower Income Household). 4. Addressing transportation and housing needs (GTP: NKRA: Lower Income Household; Rural Basic Infrastructure; Public Transportation). 5. Sustainable Agriculture (ETP NKEA: Agriculture). 6. Energy resource sustainability; promote green growth and energy efficiency (ETP NKEA: Oil, Gas & Energy). 7. Accelerate to rollout of high-speed broadband (ETP NKEA: Communication, Content, Infrastructure). Services sector liberalization has already started since 2009 with the measures to open up the financial (new licenses for conventional & Islamic banking, insurance & takaful) and nonfinancial (27 sub-sectors) services. Competition Law is one of the three components of the International Standards & Liberalisation SRI. It was passed by the Parliament on 21 Apr 2010, gazetted in June 2010, and will be effective 1 Jan 2012. The Government has established the Competition Commission with the members drawn from both the private and public sector, and there will be effective advocacy programme to support the Commission in educating businesses and the public on its role in dealing with anti-competitive agreements (e.g. price-fixing, market sharing, bid-rigging, limiting/controlling production) and abuse of dominant market position (e.g. unfair/predatory pricing, tying/bundling, refusal to deal). The establishment of Unit Peneraju Agenda Bumiputera (Teraju) in Feb 2011 to lead, coordinate and drive Bumiputera economic participation and to strengthen the Bumiputera development agenda. GST Bill was already presented in the Parliament for its first reading back in Dec 2009.
Therefore, not starting from zero or scratch This is in line with what we have seen earlier with regards to GTP and ETP. In short, the Government policy-making process is now more inclusive and structured, with clear deliverables and implementation/execution timeline. This represents a departure from the stereotype that has shaped perception about Malaysia policies in the past i.e. long on announcements, short on deliveries.
With robust governance structure to see it through... Ownerships of the six clusters of SRIs have been identified, and underlining the commitment to reforms is the fact that the PM himself is in charge of two SRIs i.e. Public Finance and Governments Role in Business. With PEMANDU overseeing implementation, the proven implementation framework, reporting structure and communication (especially the dissemination of information on updates and progress) under GTP and ETP is automatically adopted and applied for SRIs to ensure and guarantee execution.
Ownership Structure of SRIs
Public Finance
YAB Dato Sri Najib Razak (Prime Minister of Malaysia, Finance Minister) YB Dato Seri Ahmad Husni Hanadziah (Finance Minister 2)
SRIs
Source: PEMANDU
Overall, a positive development on commitment and clarity to reforms... While the key SRI measures we highlighted (e.g. public finance, GST, Government role in business, services sector liberalisation, minimum wage, Bumiputera agenda) are not new, what is important is that the detailed documentation of the measures, targets, deliverables and milestones goes a long way in providing greater level of clarity and certainty on Malaysias commitment to reforms.
Lab Recommendations
2. Rationalization of corporate tax incentives Review incentives and deductions offered to corporations including step-down on Reinvestment Allowance, step-down from full to partial exemption on shipping income review of pioneer status and various types of tax deductions, among others.
3.Broad based tax The broad based tax regiment will be reviewed in tandem with personal and corporate taxation Introduce GST, which will replace the current sales tax and service tax. The GST has a positive impact on the countrys fiscal position. The size of price is RM6 to Rm10 billion dependent on the GST tax rate of 4 or 5%. GST will not impact the lower income group as most of the basic products and services will be exempted or zero-rated such as rice, raw meat, fresh fish, vegetables, domestic public transportation and healthcare services. SMEs will also be govern some incentives to reduce the cost of implementing GST. In the first year, non-tax packages will also be provided when GST is implemented.
4. Expenditure control Control the Governments expenditure in four areas: rationalize subsidies, procurement, travel expenses and transfer payment to statutory bodies. Currently, the government is gradually rationalizing subsidies.
5. Transparent procurement Enhance transparency in the procurement process. For example, the threshold value for quotations and tenders via e-bidding has been reduces from RM200,000 to RM50,000.
6. Accrual accounting Accrual accounting to be implemented and it will a more efficient, transparent and effective management through faster of information on resource consumption or cost savings. This in turn will support the sustainability of Malaysias fiscal policies. This will ensure that government expenditure is anchored in clearly defined outcomes and measurable result, creating value for money through targeted programme implementation, and minimizing redundancy of programmes.
Sources: PEMANDU
2. Divestment plan for Government-Linked Companies (GLCs) via a white room Divestment strategy will be put in place for each investment: o o Portfolio of GLC will be rationalized commencing with 33 companies that have been identified as ready for divestment through a stake pare-down or listing or outright sale. An action plan involves: Pare-down: five companies Listing: seven companies Outright sale: 21 companies 24 companies are expected to be involved in this exercise in 2011-2012 As each are at a different stage of preparation for divestment, announcements will be made over the course of the year by the organizations.
o o
Proceeds will be channeled to the Federal Government Divestment Account (Ministry) or a State Account (State Government) for the following purpose: o o o Service the countrys national/ states deficit Invest in existing funds Facilitation fund for businesses in which the government can be involved based on the four areas, as stated above.
3. Governance for state-owned companies For the remaining businesses, a proper governance structure will be established. Replicating the success of the PCG (Putrajaya Committee on GLCs) and through the best practices from countries such as New Zealand, relevant states and ministries will establish a GLC Monitoring Unit (GMU) to monitor the performance of their respective government linked entities and state owned enterprises. The GMU will prioritize its monitoring efforts in relation to performance issues, privatization or divestment and risks, and benchmarking international standards. This will ensure that the balance sheet is fit-for-purpose and provide an independent analysis data to support the responsible Ministries/State Government in their governance and decision making. Performance information will be made available to the public through its website to ensure transparency and accountability.
Sources: PEMANDU
Lab Recommendations
Strategic Reform Initiatives International Standards & Liberalisation Objective To increase overall competitiveness through three areas: Liberalisation of services Standards Competition Act 2010 Dato Sri Mustapa Mohamad, Minister of International Trade and Industry Dato Sri Ismail Sabri Yaakob, Minister of Domestic Trade, Co-operatives and Consumerism Datuk Seri Dr. Maximus Ongkili, Minister of Science, Technology and Innovation 1.Liberalisation of services Key focus area for liberalization is the service sector o Currently contributes about 57% of Malaysias economy compared to 70 to 80% for developed countries o Malaysia will liberalise the top services sector based on their current and potential contribution to the GNI. o Phased liberalization beginning with the healthcare, education and Business Services (Professional Services) The following are the recommendations for the 3 sectors to be implemented in phases: o Healthcare: Remove restrictions to foreign equity participation in the setting up of specialized private hospitals with minimum number of beds Relaxing entry restrictions for foreign specialists such as doctors and dentists o Education: Gradual relaxation of foreign equity restrictions in international schools while maintaining guidelines to ensure quality and standard of education institutions Extending teaching permits validity to up to 5 years. o Business Services (Professional Services) Remove equity restrictions for accounting, legal and engineering services. Relaxing entry conditions for foreign lawyers, engineers and architects to work in Malaysia. 2. Standards Malaysia will work towards improving the quality of goods and services as well as improving access to international markets. At the ISL lab, a tool-kit was developed to review the standards for five entry point products with the view to replicate this across relevant products and standards. Focus will be on the products and services where Malaysia has competitive advantage and the potential to be a global leader. o This includes products such as orthopaedic implants, halal pharmaceutical supplements, cyber security, pineapples, seaweed, smart home appliances, as well as green label paint and ceramic tiles. 3.Competition Act 2010 The Competition Act 2010 which was gazetted by Parliament in June last year will come into force in January 2012 The Act will: o Promote a competitive environment and give foreign investors more confidence in Malaysias business practices. o Safeguard against anti-competitive practices and abuse of market power. This will promote growth competition and private investment and market dynamism. The government has established the Competition Commission with commissioners drawn from the public and private sectors o There will be a strong advocacy programme to support the Commission in educating the businesses and the public. o The Commissions role includes stamping out cartels and anti-competitive behavior.
Sources: PEMANDU
Owner
Lab Recommendations
Owner
Lab Recommendations
2. High-performing Bumi SMEs (HPBS) To roll out HPBS programme that will develop the next generation of world-class Bumiputera entrepreneurs across all 12 National Key Result Areas (NKRAs) championed by TERAJU. o SMEs need to scale up, accelerate their growth and must be able to compete in the open market, without heavy reliance on Government contracts. o Government, Government Agencies, Government Linked Investment Companies (GLICs), Government-Linked Companies (GLCs) and the private sector will work together to provide business opportunities, talent and funding. o The programme will have stricter up or out scheme to drive performance and greater selfreliance. o Through the proposed divestment of the Governments non-core assets, business functions can also be outsourced to participants of the BPBS programme.
Sources: PEMANDU
2. High-performing civil service Strategic HR practices be adopted to replace current conventional HR practices to improve governance. HR practices to be integrated to produce a flatter organization structure. Open recruitment within the civil service and between public-private sectors for senior and middle management posts. o Aim is to engineer a high-performing civil service by attracting suitable talent into leadership positions. Movement between public and private sectors as well as within the public sector to be hassle-free with: o Introduction of mobility characteristics into new superannuation schemes. o Enhancement of current pension scheme.
Sources: PEMANDU
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