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In 1900 the world produced 150 million barrels of oil. In 2000, it produced 28 billion barrels, an increase of more than 180-fold. In 1900 there were only a handful of cities with a million people. Today 414 cities have at least that many inhabitants. Lester R. Brown, Plan B July 2009 1
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Cover Picture:
This Urban Energy Sourcebook has been prepared by a team led by Dr. Brahmanand Mohanty, visiting Faculty in the School of Environment, Resources and Development (SERD) at the Asian Institute of Technology (AIT). The following team members from BCIL Altech Foundation have helped put the ideas together: Krish Murali Eswar, Chief Innovation Officer Shashi Kad, Sustainable Development Director Radha Eswar, Chief Knowledge Officer AmitKumar Gope, Researcher Jitendar, Researcher Thanks are due to Dr. Chandrasekhar Hariharan, Founder, BCIL Alt Tech Foundation, Bangalore, India for invaluable mentoring from time to time. Thanks are also due to Mr. Bernard Barth of the Training and Capacity Building Branch of UN-Habitat for his continuous guidance, constructive criticism and encouragement for the preparation of this document.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
SUMMARY.......................................................................................................................................................10 CHAPTER 1......................................................................................................................................................14 THE URBAN ENERGY SWEEPSTAKES.............................................................................................................14 1.1 CITIES HOLD THE KEY TO ENERGY SUSTAINABILITY.........................................................................15 1.2 THE MANY FACETS OF URBAN NEEDS...............................................................................................20 1.3 THE TIPPING SCALE OF ENERGY IN URBAN METABOLISM..................................................................25 CHAPTER 2......................................................................................................................................................31 SUSTAINABLE ENERGY IN AN URBAN CONTEXT.............................................................................................31 2.1 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK.................................................................................................................31 2.2 WHO DECIDES WHO NEEDS ENERGY?................................................................................................33 2.3 LOOPHOLES IN ENERGY SYSTEMS........................................................................................................37 2.4 LACK OF SYSTEMS-BASED APPROACHES:...............................................................................................41 CHAPTER 3....................................................................................................................................................45 METAMORPHOSIS INTO SUSTAINABLE CITIES.............................................................................................45 3.1 UNDERSTANDING THE URBAN FABRICTHE BOTTOM-UP APPROACH................................................45 3.2 FROM CONSUMPTION TO PROSUMPTION: ROLE OF RENEWABLE ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES (RET)....59 3.3 THE WORLD OF EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES.......................................................................................67 3.4 KNOW YOUR CITY- AN EXERCISE FOR POLICY MAKERS.......................................................................74 CHAPTER 4.......................................................................................................................................................78 LEADING FOR ENERGY SUSTAINABILITYIMPLEMENTING SUCCESSFUL POLICIES.......................................78 4.1 URBAN AUTHORITIES LEADING THE WAY............................................................................................78 4.2 INTEGRATED ENERGY PLANNING............................................................................................................83 4.3 CHOOSING THE RIGHT TOOLS AND INSTRUMENTS................................................................................89 4.4 IMPLEMENTING THE IDEAS FOR SUSTAINABLE ENERGY.......................................................................98 REFERENCES:......................................................................................................................................................103 ANNEXE 1: DESIGNING THE FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION IN CITIES.............................................................119 ANNEXE 2: IMPACT OF RECYCLING ALUMINIUM.........................................................................................120 ANNEXE 3: URBAN ENERGY SUSTAINABILITY INDICATORS..............................................................................120 ANNEXE 4: COMPUTER MODELS THAT HELP WITH ENERGY PLANNING..........................................................122 ANNEXE 5: IMPACT OF POLICIES ON SUSTAINABILITY AND COST...................................................................124 ANNEXE 6: BARRIERS TO EFFECTIVENESS OF POLICIES....................................................................................125 ANNEXE 7: STRATEGIES TO PICK UP FROM INITIATIVES AROUND THE WORLD:..............................................126 ANNEXE 8: THE URBAN ENERGY SUSTAINABILITY PLEDGE.............................................................................127 ANNEXE 9: TRAINING ACTIVITIES...................................................................................................................129 ANNEXE 10: A SAMPLE SCRIPT FOR ROLE PLAY..............................................................................................136 ANNEXE 11: FURTHER READING....................................................................................................................143
LIST OF TABLES
TABLE 1.1 : URBAN AND RURAL POVERTY PERCENTAGES IN ASIAN COUNTRIES............................................18 TABLE 1.2 : SECTORAL SHARE OF URBAN ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN FOUR ASIAN CITIES IN 1998.............21 TABLE 1.3 : EMBODIED ENERGY OF COMMONLY USED CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS ....................................22 4
LIST OF FIGURES
FIGURE 1.1: URBAN SHARE OF GDP.................................................................................................................14 FIGURE 1.2: ASIAN URBAN POPULATION IN 2005 AND 2015............................................................................17 FIGURE 1.3: WORLD PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLY IS DOMINATED BY FOSSIL FUELS............................................18 FIGURE 1.4: PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLY BY SOURCE FOR ASIA (1971-2020)..................................................19 FIGURE 1.5: URBAN HEAT ISLANDS FIND SOLUTIONS THAT ARE IN A VICIOUS SPIRAL......................................23 FIGURE 1.6: AIR POLLUTANTS IN ASIAN CITIES................................................................................................26 FIGURE 1.7: SHARE OF ASIAN URBAN POPULATION BY PERCENTAGE IN LOW ELEVATION COASTAL ZONES...27 FIGURE 1.8: FLOW OF OIL FROM EXTRACTION TO CONSUMPTION SITES. .......................................................28 FIGURE 1.9: ENERGY FLOW THROUGH THE CITY LINEAR IS FINITE.............................................................29 FIGURE 2.1: ENERGY STAKEHOLDERS- LOCAL GOVERNMENTS AT INTERFACE BETWEEN ALL STAKEHOLDERS......33 FIGURE 2.2: URBAN SLUM POPULATION IN SOME ASIAN COUNTRIES..............................................................34 FIGURE 2.3: WORLD ENERGY CONSUMPTION INEQUITIES DUE TO USE OF ENERGY IS HIGH...........................35 FIGURE 2.4: PER CAPITA ANNUAL CO2 EMISSIONS FROM INDIAN HOUSEHOLDS..............................................35 FIGURE 2.5: LOSSES ALONG THE POWER HIGHWAY...........................................................................................38 FIGURE 2.6: ENERGY FLOW LOSSES IN A PUMPING SYSTEM ALL ALONG THE CHAIN........................................39 FIGURE 2.7: AVERAGE POWER RATING AND USAGE OF ELECTRIC APPLIANCES IN CAMBODIA........................40 FIGURE 3.1: ENERGY SERVICE, THE END OBJECTIVE......................................................................................46 FIGURE 3.2: CLOSING THE LOOP AT THE SOURCE FOR WATER, ENERGY AND WASTE.................................47 FIGURE 3.3: UNDERSTANDING MOBILITY ISSUES..........................................................................................50 FIGURE 3.4: TECHNIQUES INVOLVED IN CLEANER PRODUCTION OF ENERGY...................................................51 FIGURE 3.5: COGENERATION VS. SEPARATE GENERATION............................................................................53 FIGURE 3.6: PROGRESSIVE STEPS TO ENERGY EFFICIENCY IN INDUSTRY......................................................53 FIGURE 3.7: BUSINESS AS USUAL SCENARIO IN A CAMBODIAN HOUSEHOLD FOR ITS MONTHLY POWER BILL.......56 FIGURE 3.8: ENERGY EFFICIENCY SCENARIO IN A CAMBODIAN HOUSEHOLD FOR ITS MONTHLY ELECTRICITY BILL...56 FIGURE3.9: ENERGY EFFICIENT T ZED HOUSES IN BANGALORE.......................................................................57 FIGURE 3.10: USE OF RETS AROUND THE WORLD, SOLAR AND WIND TAKE THE MAJOR SHARE...................61 FIGURE 3.11: ENERGY DEMAND MANAGEMENT................................................................................................62 FIGURE 3.12: POSSIBLE REDUCTION IN CARBON EMISSION WITH EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES......................73 FIGURE 3.13 : ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCITAL, ECONOMIC AND NATURAL RESOURCE INDICATORS..................75 FIGURE 4.1: PARTICIPATORY PROCESS FOR URBAN PLANNING.....................................................................79 5
LIST OF BOXES
BOX 1: JOURNEY OF A TOOTHPICK.....................................................................................................................29 BOX 2: WASTE TO MANURE............................................................................................................................47 BOX 3: CITY FARMING, EVERY LITTLE HELPS.....................................................................................................51 BOX 4: MAP THA PHUT ECO INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX.....................................................................................54 BOX 5: COOL AIRPORT.........................................................................................................................................54 BOX 6: BANGLADESH LOW COST HOUSING....................................................................................................55 BOX 7: ENERGY SAVINGS DURING CONSTRUCTION-THINKING OUT OF THE BOX.............................................57 BOX 8: WHAT ARE THE OPTIONS FOR MALDIVES?............................................................................................58 BOX 9: LESSON IN SELF-HELPNEED BASED SOLUTIONS................................................................................64 BOX 10: PIONEERS IN RET USE AROUND THE WORLD.....................................................................................68 BOX 11: TIANJIN AND DONGTAN..........................................................................................................................75 BOX 12: THE CITY OF RIZHAO...........................................................................................................................80 BOX 13: ANN ARBOR MUNICIPAL ENERGY FUND.............................................................................................91 BOX 14: MULTIPLYING BENEFITS.....................................................................................................................91 BOX 15: CREATING JOBS THAT CLEAN UP THE CITIES..........................................................................................92 BOX 16: A WELFARE ASSOCIATION IN THE CITY...........................................................................................96 BOX 17: AUCKLAND ECOWISE.............................................................................................................................99
LIST OF ACRONYMS
ADB ADEME BELP BIM BMRC BP BTU CFL CHP CCS CO 2 COGEN DEFENDUS EIC EPA EPR ESCAP GDP GWe GWth H2 HDI ICICI IT ICT IDA IEA IEP IGES IPCC KPI kWh LECZ LED LNG MBD Mtoe MWe NASA NGO Asian Development Bank Agence de lEnvironnement et de la Matrise de lEnergie (French Environment and Energy Management Agency) BESCOM Efficient Lighting programme Building Information Modelling Building Management Resource Centre British Petroleum British Thermal Units Compact Fluorescent Lamp Combined Heat and Power Carnon capturing and sequestration Carbon dioxide Cogeneration Development Focused End Use Oriented Service Energy Information Centres Environmental Protection Agency Extended producer responsibility Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific Gross Domestic Product Gigawatt electricity Gigawatt thermal Hydrogen Human Development Index Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India Information technology Information and Communication technology International Development Agency International Energy Agency Integrated Energy Planning Institute for Global Environmental Strategies Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change Key Performance Indicators Kilowatt-hour Low Elevation Coastal Zone Light Emitting Diode Liquid Natural Gas Million Barrels a day Million tonnes of oil equivalent Megawatt electricity National Aeronautics and Space Administration Non Governmental Organisation 7
UNIT PREFIXES
K M G T P E kilo mega giga tera peta exa (103) (106) (109) (1012) (1015) (1018)
CONVERSIONS
1 metric tonne = 2204.62 lb= 1.1023 short tons 1 kilolitre = 6.2898 barrels = 1 cubic metre 1 kilocalorie (kcal) = 4.187kJ = 3.968 Btu 1 kilojoule (kJ) = 0.239kcal = 0.948 Btu 1 British thermal unit (Btu) = 0.252 kcal = 1.055 kJ 1 kilowatt-hour (kWh) = 860 kcal = 3600 kJ = 3412 Btu
Summar y
There can be no sustainable development without sustainable energy development. Margot Wallstrom, European Union Environmental Commissioner (2004)
With urban population having outpaced the rural number for the
first time in the world in 2008, urban energy has assumed centrestage. Asia, which is home to about four billion people, is witnessing a sudden surge in economic growth with its cities emerging as major activity centres. It is increasingly becoming a challenge for Asia to provide access to energy to billions who do not yet have access to clean and affordable energy and at the same time to decarbonise and reduce risk of local and global environmental catastrophes. The challenge is difficult to address, as energy underpins almost all infrastructural initiatives. Maintaining economic growth and providing access to basic shelter, transport, education, health and sanitation, all assume uninterrupted, stable, secure and affordable energy. While this could have been met by energy from fossil fuels, as it has been for industrialized countries, worlds finite reserves of fossil fuels are dwindling rapidly and the threat of global warming and climate change make Asian cities and many island countries very vulnerable. An alternative model of development is the need of the hour. The challenge is to sustain the economic growth but make a tangible shift to decarbonised energy systems. It seems possible and promising based on the various initiatives across the world, and also from Asia, which have impacted environmental, social and economic spheres positively. What we now need to do is to replicate and scale up these efforts in the Asian context, keeping the urgency of the issues in mind. This source book is akin to a manual for city managers with illustrative plates, and an engaging account of the renewed quest, isolated but inspiring, among many cities across Asia and the world, for exemplarsof models of good practices in the formidable interact between people and their cities amid the hovering dark clouds of the environment and energy security threats. This quest has several dimensions, and underlying the theme of this book is a historical search that seeks examples of ecological harmony and learning, to either live within our natural means, or to stretch the value of every resource we extract. Here is a comprehensive narrative that can serve as a guide to the how-tos of designing cities through new planning, and reinventing lifestyles through systems that demand reduced energy. 10
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Energy is all pervasive and is one of the key facilitators of human life. All essentials of modern-day urban living such as water supply, waste management, transportation, housing, industry and running of a commercial or social enterprise, depend on energy.
Figure 1.1 Urban share of GDP The figure shows percentage of urban contribution to national GDP GDP= Gross domestic product, PRC = Peoples Republic of China, ROK= Republic of Korea. Source: Compiled from United Nations Human Settlements Programme database in ADB, 2008
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1.1
Cities all over the world are getting bigger as more and more people move from rural to urban sites, but that has created enormous problems with respect to environmental pollution and the general quality of life. Alan Dundes (2002) Cities across the globe account for two per cent of the earths landmass and host about fifty per cent of the worlds population as of 2008. This fifty per cent consumes about seventy five per cent of total energy available (UNESCAP, 2008). Asian cities are on the path of economic growth and population increase. With dependence on
Cities across the globe account for two per cent of the earths landmass and host about fifty per cent of the worlds population as of 2008. This fifty per cent consumes about seventy five per cent of total energy available (UNESCAP, 2008).
Plate 1 : Emerging cityscapes: Energy guzzling concrete jungles Such high-rise buildings marked the skyline of Tokyo and Hong Kong in the past; however it is no longer characteristic of these places as more and more urban areas all over Asia have similar high-rise buildings. Photo Credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/travel_aficionado/3374852585
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Asia, which is still more rural than urban as of now, is only likely to remain so until 2030 and by 2050, it is estimated to reach sixty three per cent or about 3.3 billion people.
Plate 2: Earth at night showing extent of urbanization on earth. Photo credit: C. Mayhew & R. Simmon (NASA)
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Urban population explosion is a result of local population increase and migration. It is beyond the scope of this book to discuss reasons behind Asian urbanization in detail.
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While there are challenges for both small and large cities, it is the smaller cities like those which currently have more than 500,000 to one million people that will see most growth and new cities will emerge from rural settlements (ABC, 2008).
Figure 1.2 .Asian urban population in 2005 and 2015 It is clear that the number of cities with 1 to 5 million people will rise sharply over a decade. Source: (World Urbanization Prospects, 2005).
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Around the world, oil reserves in 2008 stood at 1258 billion barrels, and at the current rate of consumption of 87 million barrels a day (mbd), it will last only for around 42 years (BP2009) (OPEC, 2008).
The Eye of the storm Kenneth Boulding (1965) used the term Spaceship Earth to describe our planet, highlighting its limited resources for extraction. Fossil fuels, which are finite, supply over ninety per cent of primary energy globally (WEI, 2006) (Figure 1.3). Around the world, oil reserves in 2008 stood at 1258 billion barrels, and at the current rate of consumption of 87 million barrels a day (mbd), it will last only for around 42 years (BP2009) (OPEC, 2008). Similarly, coal, at the current rate of extraction, in the best scenario, would be around only for another 150 years (Strahan, 2008). Moreover, these resources are not uniformly used across the world
Figure 1.3: World Primary Energy Supply is dominated by fossil fuels. Source: EIA, 2008. * includes wind, waste, solar and wind.
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Figure 1.4: Primary energy supply by source for Asia (1971-2020) Asian dependency is primarily on coal and oil and this likely to remain so in near future. Source: Institute for Energy Economics, Japan (2006)
Asian dependency on energy is mainly on fossil fuels. The dependence on these limited finite resources will have ramifications far beyond just supplying of energy. It will be detrimental to social, economic and environmental health of countries, especially those with limited purchasing capacity and huge environmental constraints. With the threat of global warming looming large, incessant use of coal and oil will further contribute to greenhouse gas emissions, the impact of which is likely to be felt more by developing Asia and many other poor countries of the world. How can dependency on finite resources be reduced while providing required energy services to a city? How can we do away with the expensive and the imported when it comes to fuel procurement? How can the threat to global warming be arrested so that ongoing development is not undermined? Local governments are best suited
The increase in the use of primary energy (80 per cent) from now to 2030 is expected predominantly from rapidly urbanizing non OECD countries of which Asia (Taylor et al, 2008) depends primarily on coal and will continue till 2020.
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1.2
Our
modern industrial economy takes a mountain covered with trees, lakes, running streams and transforms it into a mountain of junk, garbage, slime pits, and debris. Edward Abbey Energy should be seen in the context of activities it enables and sectors it serves within any city. Brought to a finer detail, the amount of energy required by consumers varies with the level of service desired and also with the efficiency of the energy carrier (Reddy et al, 1995). This demand for a desired service cumulatively builds sectoral demand for each energy service which varies from one city to another. Sectoral share of energy in four big cities in Asia is shown 20
Transport Residential Commercial 8% 10% 25% 37% 17% 7% 37% 22% 13% 3% 20% 30%
The way a city has developed also determines its energy footprints. As land prices increase in the heart of the city, the city starts to expand horizontally. Some cities end up consuming more energy than cities that have allowed denser growth around city centres. Urban sprawl, as these horizontally expanded cities are known as, is very energy inefficient. Sprawl leads to more travel, more fuel consumption, more air pollution, and also to inefficiencies in infrastructure provision. It is estimated that sprawl development uses five times more pipe and wire, five times more energy for heating and cooling, twice as many building materials, three times more automobiles, and causes four times more driving. It also consumes 35 times as much land, and requires 15 times as much pavement as compact urban living (Sierra Club, 2009). As an example, the daily residential energy need for Hong Kong, one of the densest cities in the world, is just 20 mega joules (MJ) per capita compared to, say, the average consumption of an OECD country of 70 MJ/capita. The energy needed for its transport is just 8 MJ/ capita compared to Houstons at 75 MJ/capita (UN HABITAT, 2006). A closer look at where energy gets spent shows that substantial energy is used by the built environment and transportation. These also serve the residential, commercial and other industrial sectors. The following sections discuss these sectors in detail. Energy and the built environment Skylines of Asian cities are changing rapidly. While high-rise buildings have become a norm for most cities, the peri-urban and rural areas have made way for multi-storied apartments, building complexes and malls. Building sector has been one of the booming industries in Asian cities. It is estimated that more than half of the worlds new construction is taking place in China and India alone (BEC, 2009). Buildings account for around 30-40 per cent of the worlds total energy consumption and a similar percentage of the worlds greenhouse gas emissions. This figure goes up to 50 per cent and more when embodied energy of building materials and processes are also 21
Embodied energy of Materials Wood Brick Concrete Plastic Glass Steel Aluminium
640kWh/ton=X
We think that systems with high embodied energy are the price we pay for progress and development but their hidden costs are more telling than they appear. If as a society we do not consider life-cycle costs of materials, we would soon end up having to pay dearly for such excesses. Built environments designed with little concern for bioclimatic
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Heat Island: The buildings, concrete, asphalt, and human and industrial activities of urban areas have caused cities and spaces within cities to maintain higher temperatures than their surrounding areas. This increased heat is known as an urban heat island. The air in an urban heat island can be as much as 5-10C higher than surrounding areas (Geography2009)
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Figure 1.5: Urban heat islands find solutions that are in a vicious spiral. One of the principal reasons behind this rise is the use of air conditioners. (Source: ROTH, 2002)
Energy in mobility systems The increase in disposable income of urban dwellers and a demand for mobility and comfort have triggered the growth of motorised transport in Asian cities. Independent vehicle ownership owing to poor mass transit systems or inadequate public transport system is becoming a norm. This is a sector that is mostly dependent on oil. Roads form the most used mode of transportation within cities. For some cities like Beijing and Shanghai, they bear over 95 per cent of passenger transportation. Transport sector in Asia in 2002 accounted for 21 per cent of the total energy consumed by all sectors and was projected to generate over 60 per cent of increase in the total energy use by 2025 (ADB, 2008). Much of this growth will come from emerging economies of Asia. Also, transport-sector related emissions in Asia are expected to grow thrice in the next 25 years. Congestion, air pollution and global warming potential of increased transportation growth, mostly
Roads form the most used mode of transportation within cities. For some cities like Beijing and Shanghai, they bear over 95 per cent of passenger transportation.
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The industrial sector in Shanghai uses 80 per cent of its total energy
Economy China Beijing Shanghai HKC Indonesia Jakarta Japan Tokyo Korea Seoul Thailand Bangkok
1980 2002 2020 1980-2002(%) 2002-2020(%) 2 9 5 41 5 34 203 159 7 15 19 80 47 59 16 143 428 266 204 205 100 324 65 177 100 70 26 161 522 271 284 288 158 389 10.8 10.4 10.7 1.7 5.4 6.7 3.4 2.4 16.6 12.6 7.1 4.5 4.3 1.0 2.7 0.7 1.1 0.1 1.9 1.9 2.6 1.0
Industry and Commerce run the city Industrial growth drives economic development but also raises the demand for energy. Urban industry is usually fossil-fuel driven and directly contributes to increased air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. The industrial sector in Shanghai uses 80 per cent of its total energy (Table 1.2). In urban industrial set up, vast amounts of energy are used in activities such as processing and assembly. In Thane city, near Mumbai, industry that forms only 2 per cent of energy users of this bustling city, consumes 44 per cent of all energy (ICLEI, 2009). Similarly, the commercial sector is the backbone of any city. Hotels, restaurants, shopping malls, entertainment places are what defines the new urban life. Table 1.2 shows that commercial sector in Tokyo 24
1.3
For 200 years weve been conquering Nature. Now were beating it to death Tom McMillan, The Greenhouse Trap, 1990 What are the constraints and impacts associated with energy use detailed so far? Imported fuels impact economy, increase vehicular traffic, cause congestion and impact road safety. Greenhouse gases emitted by energy production and consumption are a threat to the local as well as the global environment. Air pollution from indoor cooking, thermal power plants and transport sector, is detrimental to the health and well-being of people. Some of these impacts have an immediate effect but some others have profound regional and global impact on the environment as we shall see in the following pages. The air we breathe and its effect on the environment and health The way energy is produced and consumed, unfortunately, has many adverse impacts. Greenhouse gases from vehicular emissions, fly ash from thermal power plants, sulphur dioxide, nitrous oxide and suspended particles from various industries are some of the off shoots of energy consumption. In developing countries, apart from
Energy use in the industrial or commercial sector in some cities is so huge that it can draught all energy that is supplied, impacting severely those living on the peripheries.
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There is ample evidence that exposure to indoor air pollution from badly designed stoves and use of kerosene as fuel leads to acute lower respiratory infections in children under five and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and lung cancer in adults (WHO, 2009).
Figure 1.6 Air pollutants in Asian cities. These pollutants are a major cause of respiratory illnesses (Clean Air Asia, 2006)
Plate 3: Pollution in Linfen, one of the dirtiest cities in China. Result of being the worlds workshop for the past two decades. Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/96434059@N00/856693325/
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Between 1994 and 2004, about one-third of the 1,562 flood disasters, half of the 120,000 people killed, and 98 per cent of the 2 million people affected by flood disasters were in Asia.
Figure 1.7: Share of Asian urban population by percentage in low elevation coastal zones of different sizes. (Source: McGranahan et al 2007)
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If the sea level rises about one metre, one of the poorest nations in the world, Bangladesh, is projected to lose 17.5 per cent of its land area. (ADB, 2008).
Figure 1.8: Flow of oil from extraction to consumption sites. High embodied energy of imported fuel. (Source: World Energy Assessment, 2000)
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In a world where all inhabitants share their resources equally, the per capita sustainable footprint would be 1.8 Hectares. The average footprint of the Asian giant China is 1.6, while that of Shanghai is already at 7.0 (ADB, 2008).
Figure 1.9: Energy flow through the city Linear is finite (Ravetz, 2009)
To live in a finite world with equitable access to resources implies taking stock of the resources, which requires policy-level efforts that can make energy-use efficient and address demand in a way such that system wastages are reduced, people are made aware and enabled to control demand themselves within the limits of sustainability.
Factor-Four is essentially an economic concept. Amory Lovins talks about achieving Factor Four by halving the use of resources while doubling the economic growth.
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2.1
Conceptual Framework
The world will not evolve past its current state of crisis by using the same thinking that created the situation. Albert Einstein Asia is a diverse continent. What we mean by urban in an Asian context may be understood in different ways by different people. UNESCAP conducted a survey in 26 countries and territories, and out of these, 15 defined urban areas based on administrative criteria and four on population size and density (UNESCAP, 2008). The source book however draws on a broader definition of urban area which is an area with an increased density of human created structures in comparison to areas surrounding it. This excludes villages and hamlets (Wiki, 2009). What is sustainable energy is another pertinent question which requires a little bit of discussion at the outset. Sustainable energy in early days of industrialization may have meant sustenance of an energy source which can keep providing uninterrupted energy services. However in todays context, sustainable energy is more complex to define. Looking through the social, environmental and economic window, energy has to be socially acceptable, affordable, clean, safe, uninterrupted and without adverse impact on the environment. Often this term is used interchangeably with green or alternative energy, by some. However, many renewable forms of energy may not be presently affordable by some, in the ways these are popularly presented. Hence, which form of energy is sustainable, for whom and in what form is a matter of subjective debate. This sourcebook does not advocate any specific form of energy as sustainable energy. Rather it is a guide book or a
Energy has to be socially acceptable, affordable, clean, safe, uninterrupted and without adverse impact on the environment.
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The sourcebook focuses on energy issues in urban areas, but providing energy services to the urban population includes lot of non-energy sectors such as waste and water and also some delivery mechanisms that have a bearing on energy services such as governance, management and planning.
2.2
One of the great challenges of leadership is to develop harmony between service and the power that is necessary for the exercise of leadership. Keshavan Nair Energy holds sway over different groups of people within cities. It determines the quality of life for energy consumers; productivity and profitability for industries, commercial houses, energy suppliers and intermediaries; and ease of governance for administrators (Figure 2.1). However, at the centre of it all are the local authorities. Local government is an interface for all these stakeholders and is the pivot of control, managing and delivering day to day needs of stakeholders. How do local authorities strike a balance between conflicting demands of stakeholders for a given availability of energy? Whose needs are most important? Are the needs of industries demanding uninterrupted supply the first to address as they provide the basis for any countrys GDP growth or should leaders pay heed to the needs of commercial enterprises or households, or should they enable access to those who have been denied energy up till now? Should solutions be in terms of subsidies or incentives? Local Governments often have these dilemmas to face while trying to improve the energy situation for their cities.
Local government is an interface for all these stakeholders and is the pivot of control, managing and delivering day to day needs of stakeholders.
Figure 2.1: Energy Stakeholders- Local governments at interface between all stakeholders. Here, Intermediaries are Federation of Industries, Chamber of Commerce, Industrial research organizations, Industrial Development organizations, etc.
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Figure 2.2: Urban Slum population in some Asian countries. (Source: ADB, 2008)
Having said that, other urban dwellers have all the basic amenities and hi-tech gadgets that they use to communicate, move around, work and entertain themselves with. Twenty per cent of the worlds people in the highest-income countries account for 86 per cent of total private consumption expenditures and the poorest 20 per cent a minuscule 1.3 per cent (WEC, 2009). Figure 2.3 shows the extent of consumptive styles of developed, developing and under-developed nations. There is a very high level of consumption in Asian cities, in spite of which, there is a lot of difference between the consumption index of developed and developing world. Using consumption indices as proxies for energy consumption, there are gross inequities that can be seen around the globe. However, looking at Asian countries more closely, there are inequities within a country, too. It has been often commented that rich people pay less for the same energy service than the poor because of many governance related issues. Between 2002-2005, because of the rise in oil price, cost of energy services in four developing Asian countries, 34
Twenty per cent of the worlds people in the highest-income countries account for 86 per cent of total private consumption expenditures and the poorest 20 per cent a minuscule 1.3 per cent
Figure 2.3: World energy consumption: Inequities due to use of energy is high. Source: (WEC, 2009)
China, India, Indonesia and Laos affected the poor in these countries tremendously. On an average they paid 74 per cent more for energy services: 171 per cent more for cooking fuels, 120 per cent more for transportation, 67 per cent more for electricity, and 55 per cent more for lighting fuels compared with rich households (UNDP, 2007). If energy related emissions are the indicators of consumption, then a report from India argues that Indias rich are hiding behind its poor for its average low per-capita emissions. As shown in Figure 2.4, the highest income group accounts for nearly five times energy-related (household and transport) emissions than the poorest income group (Greenpeace, 2007). While many governments of developing countries strive and work
If energy related emissions are the indicators of consumption, then a report from India argues that Indias rich are hiding behind its poor for its average low per-capita emissions.
Figure 2.4: Per Capita annual carbon dioxide emissions from Indian households for different income groups. Rich seem to be hiding behind the poor. (Greenpeace, 2007)
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In some cities industry sector claims over 40 per cent of energy generated. But industries are revenue earners and job providers in the cities. It would be difficult to ignore demands of industries.
Plate 4: Slums of Dharavi. Training a blind eye to such inequity has compounded the challenge. Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/graceandpoise/3722978833/ sizes/o/
While assuring access to poor is one of the main agenda of local leaders, it is also important for them to look after the aspirations of middle class in urban areas. Products and services that increase comfort levels of consumers flood the market today. These gadgets directly raise demand for electricity. Air-conditioning use is almost an essential component of multinationals, large companies and an increasing number of households in most urban areas in Asia. How do local governments cater to this demand? Many industries claim a disproportionate share of available energy, and these affect domestic users too, through the high occurrence of electricity outages. In some cities industry sector claims over 40 per cent of energy generated. But industries are revenue earners and job providers in the cities. It would be difficult to ignore demands of industries. Commercial enterprises which are generally over-illuminated and overconditioned also cannot do without energy during peak business hours. They cannot be ignored either as they too bring in revenues and benefits to any city. All these stakeholders keep their own backup systems to deal with interrupted energy supply which has become a part and parcel of any developing countrys urban energy scenario. Local leaders often get brickbats for occurrence of such interruptions and power outages. With growing demand, the infrastructure for 36
2.3
Every gallon of oil each one of us saves is a new form of production. It gives us more freedom, more confidence, that much more control over our own lives. Jimmy Carter (1979) There is a story behind every product we acquire. Consumption patterns have evolved over time, based on the influence of those who can control it. Thirst for power and control has resulted in tremendous waste within this system. Added to this is the fact that energy systems are developed in a way that conversion of primary energy to usable energy, transmission and distribution of it, are all full of inefficient mechanisms, sometimes because of the ageing technologies and at other times, due to poor maintenance, operations, carelessness and human error. How losses Multiply Losses multiply all along the energy chain from primary energy sources to its end-use at different stages of production, conversion, transmission, distribution and usage. Although these losses happen in any energy conversion and transmission system, it is more so in the power sector as it is generally a centralized grid-based system with gigantic networks that become unwieldy to manage (Figure 2.5).
Local leaders need to think innovatively to solve these issues, not only to address consumer frustrations but to do so in such a way that solutions are sustainable.
37
Transmission & distribution losses There are hidden losses in energy systems such as technical losses like energy dissipation in conductors and in high-induction equipment used for transmission, transformation, sub-transmission and distribution of power (Figures 2.5 and 2.6). In India, transmission and distribution losses are reported to be as high as 33 per cent, higher than that of any other country (BL, 2005). Losses at the end-use level: The Silent Killers After all the losses incurred due to transmission and distribution, the story of losses continues at the end-use level, too. Consumers mindlessly waste energy, mostly through ignorance, by opting for energy-inefficient appliances and by keeping appliances on standby or by their wrong patterns of usage. A laser-printer sitting idle consumes 17 Wthe same as the average consumption of a small refrigerator (Mackay, 2008). Switching off appliances alone is not enough to ensure stoppage of energy use. Some stereos and computer peripherals consume several watts even when switched off. Standby losses happen silently too and figures shown in Table 2.1 indicate by how much. To be sure 38
A laser-printer sitting idle consumes 17 W the same as the average consumption of a small refrigerator
Figure 2.6: Energy losses in a pumping system all along the conversion chain.
Table 2.1: Power consumption for different gadgets in Watts on various modes. The silent killers. (Mackay 2008). Gadget On and active Computer and peripherals: Computer box 80 Cathode Ray display 110 LCD display 34 Projector 150 Laser printer 500 Wireless & Cable Modem 9 Laptop 16 Portable CD player 2 Bedside Clock Radio 1.1 Bedside clock Radio 1.9 Digital Radio 9.1 Radio Cassette Player 3 Slow Amplifier 6 Stereo Amplifier 11 13 Home Cinema Sound 7 DVD Player 7 DVD Player ii 12 TV 100 Video Recorder 13 Digital TV Set Top box 6 Clock in Microwave Oven 2 Xbox 160 Sow Play Station 3 Nintendo Wii 18 On but inactive 55 3 2 5 17 9 1 1.4 3 1.2 7 6 10 4 5 10 1 5 2.4 2 2 39 1.2 6 0 0.5 Power Consumption (W) Standby Off 2 0 1
190
Figure 2.7: Average power rating of electrical appliances (left) and average hours of use of electric appliances (right) for an urban household in Phnom Penh, Cambodia.
Costly mistakes Cities also multiply their opportunity costs due to slips in systems like power outages. Power looms sit idle in Bhiwandi (a city near Indias Mumbai) for long periods each day because of frequent power outages. Storeowners frequently compensate with back-up generators that are far more expensive to operate and produce more pollution than a well-managed central power plant. Other hidden costs that escape attention while planning include loss in productivity due to overburdening of the poor. Basic needs like education for young girls, who attend to home chores such as fetching water, are lost sight of. This and more such occurrences add to higher cost of energy due to lost opportunity for livelihood and downgrading in the quality of life. Operation & Maintenance (O&M) and energy efficiency O & M activities relate to the performance of routine, preventive, predictive, scheduled, and unscheduled actions aimed at preventing equipment failure or decline, with the goal of increasing efficiency, reliability, and safety. Energy losses from steam, water and air leaks; dissipation through non-insulated lines; losses through maladjusted or inoperable controls, and other losses from poor maintenance are often considerable. Urbanites pay small fortunes to buy a flat but do not like to spend on 40
Many times one unit of electricity saved at a home could correspond to 3 to 5 units of primary energy saved for the electricity-generating utility.
Creating buildings takes half of all the energy generated, and about a sixth every year on just running it
2.4
The cheapest energy is the energy you dont use in the first place. Sheryl Crow Lack of coherence grips policy-framing when economics, energy and decision making mingle. This is because global issues do not form a part of local planning. Further, in spite of the resources being limited, we end up overusing and wasting energy. We see the result of such planning all around us. Local governments are constantly fighting bad legaciesoversized transformers, cables in a tangle, poor carrying-capacity wires, and staggering numbers of flyovers. Consider the grand plan floated by the government of Shanghai to remove traffic congestion. Multi-layered flyovers were soon on the anvil and 41
Plate 5: Shanghai Plan: Shanghai is reconsidering flyovers to avoid congestion Photo credit: Pushpa Prakash; http://picasaweb.google.com/lh/photo/ dggLiyS6QSYCHgQrCOvJbA
Impartial Policies Urban infrastructure planning today is partial to state actors and large businesses much more than concentrating on good governance. It does not succeed in serving the basic needs of the most vulnerable. Perverse incentives and subsidies only reward expenditure and do not encourage savings. Subsidies have helped people in urban areas adopt relatively cleaner forms of energy such as LPG, however, most of these subsidies are mis-targeted and do not reach those who deserve it. Even though there is a growing understanding amongst most stakeholders that subsidies are not economically viable, political will still favours them. Distorted energy prices are another cause of energy losses for governments in developing countries. Table 2.2 gives an insight into the range of price distortion that occurs in India.
Distorted energy prices are another cause of energy losses for governments in developing countries
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There are also tremendous wastages due to unaccountability in energy systems, particularly with electricity and household cooking fuel, if these are subsidised. Local governments can make a sea of change in the way these pilferages are handled by infusing more balanced policies for the management of energy systems. When governments struggle for directions China proclaimed to have 440 gigawatts (GW) of electricity power generation, while there were 110 GW more of undeclared, notsanctioned power generation units (Lester and Steinfield, 2007 ). China is not the only country to have such issues. This is typical of governments fighting fires as systems are not in place. Systemic planning and setting examples by leading could change things around. For example, street lighting happens to be the second major contributor to electricity cost for municipalities after water pumping. Excessive illumination during off-peak hours and unnecessary lighting during daylight are some of the wastages that can easily be avoided. Most of our planning is based on norms that do not meet parameters of efficiency or service. They are rarely questioned. Such norms become foundations on which policies are built. Can systems be created to question these? Supply side versus demand side The easiest way of managing the increasing demand for energy is by increasing the supply of energy in most parts of the world. If it was not for oil shocks and climate change, the world may have never learnt that there are other aspects to energy management than merely increasing supply. Supply-side solutions seem to be favoured by national, regional and local governments. On one hand these make a statement about how progressive the ruling government is, and on the other many corrupt decision-makers profit through such big supplyside infrastructure projects. What needs to be understood is that while any political decision taken today may help a narrower political
Street lighting happens to be the second major contributor to electricity cost for municipalities after water pumping.
43
Mayors are often tested on their ability to increase capital investment in infrastructure during their term of office with no understanding of the hidden costs or their adverse impact on the environment.
44
We need alternatives that would conserve energy, make its use more efficient, enable its cleaner production and craft better policies to sustain it. The alternatives detailed in this chapter show the huge range of options that are available, and, in some cases, being put into practice in many cities across the globe. Many of the examples cited are decentralized, democratic and pro-poor. These carefully selected options and examples cater to a variety of cities, some specifically chosen for small island countries such as Fiji, Maldives and Papua New Guinea. What renewable and emerging technologies can they use? How can equity for all become a reality? How can city managers themselves set the trend? What can the cities do to march towards energy sustainability? These are the questions that policymakers are expected to address. The chosen examples talk about technology enabler and tools used, but details about these tools are discussed in the subsequent module. The focus of this chapter therefore is on delineating options for sustainable energy. This chapter also emphasizes the use of Renewable Energy technologies (RETs) which potentially have tremendous scope for the Asian situation.
3.1
You never change things by fighting the existing reality. To change something, build a new model that makes the existing model obsolete. Buckminster Fuller What is the new model that will make old models obsolete for cities in Asia? This change will require new ways of thinking, planning, innovatively using technologies and through new ways of governance. There is a need to take a holistic approach to address urban issues, cropping up due to the need for energy. Reforms in spatial planning, closing energy loops, changing the way mobility is handled in a city, all require a critical look into the energy systems in the urban context. Energy Systems A typical energy system is composed of interconnected components, such as natural energy sources (sun, wind) and transformer technologies that convert these natural sources into convenient forms of energy for easy transportation, distribution and storage. These convenient forms of energy or currencies (Gasoline, oil) are converted into useful forms of energy through service technologies which end users make use of for various energy services (Scott in Li, 1996). Scott explains that both natural energy sources and human needs typically do not change. What changes are the intermediate carriers of energy or service and transformer technologies. So, when
Reforms in spatial planning, closing the energy loops, changing the way mobility is handled in a city, all require a critical look into the energy systems in the urban context.
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Figure 3.1: Energy service, the end objective. Human need drives energy that is harnessed from nature using technologies, which keep changing for the same needs and similar ultimate sources of energy. (Source: Scott 1995 in Li, 2005)
Demand for energy service begins at its very first level with an individual. This can be addressed at that level itself by promoting the option of closing the loop at the source. For example, for a city planning to be sustainable, wet waste need never leave homes; it could get decomposed within individual households. Demands that are not dealt with at an individual level spiral into a collective demand in a city, throwing several complicated long-winding conveyor belts into the urban landscape which become unwieldy and energyconsuming. Most municipalities transport wet waste across their cities to either segregate it or to dump it in landfills. If these long and linear belts could be shortened and looped as shown in Figure 3.2, management of various systems would get decentralised and a city could start its march towards energy sustainability. A system of mini-loops could function if activities are streamlined to begin and end within their limits. Reforms in Spatial Planning and activities within Money and materials flow through services and products into cities. Cities are therefore centres of global and local economic transactions. 46
A system of mini-loops could function if activities are streamlined to begin and end within their limits.
Figure 3.2: Closing the loop at appropriate levels. Closing it at minimum levels ensures saving of energy for any city
Spatial structure and function of a city would greatly affect energy use as they influence mobility demand of citizens.
Connectivity
Hierarchical road network with many unconnected roads and walk-away, and barriers to non motorized transport Designed to maximise vehicle
Street Design
To accommodate a range of activities with street calming throughout Planned and coordinated between jurisdictions and stakeholders coordination, or planned Emphasis on streetscape, pedestrian areas, public parks, and public facilities
Planning process
Either unplanned/little (eg.US) Emphasis on the private realm-of shopping malls, gated communities, private clubs
Public Space
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Increased population densities enhance urban sustainability as the per capita demand for occupied land, use of building materials and use of individual modes of transport would all get lowered. Hong Kongs density, both commercial and residential, comes from the special Administrative Region having gone high-rise on its city development. Apartments have been built 50 to 60 stories or taller for both residential and commercial use. Hong Kongs density averages to around 70,000 people per square mile (Wills, 2009). The art of sustainable mobility Transportation options depend much on the way the city develops. Vertical cities may have easier transportation options; a horizontally sprawling or growing city may require different options to adopt. However, to enable energy savings in the transportation sector one needs to understand issues connected with it. While the number and length of person trips in a city determine the demand for mobility, per capita income is also a critical factor for choosing a particular transport mode. Now, to have an efficient transport system in place, everything from behaviour of drivers to traffic management, matters. This would include parking prices, congestion charges, transit fares, transportation infrastructure, vehicle fleet and fuel dependence, which are all critical to optimising energy use. As shown in Figure 3.3, understanding mobility issues, demand for access and derived demand for mobility, are the basis which would lead to the improvement of transport systems for a given type of demand. Down the ages transportation has shifted from non-motorised to railbased public transport onto personalized transport means. Reducing and discouraging privately owned vehicles through a better public transport system can bring down energy consumption drastically.
Increased population densities enhance urban sustainability as the per capita demand for occupied land, use of building materials and use of individual modes of transport would all get lowered.
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One way of deciding how the future of transport in a growing city needs to be, is offered in Annexe 1. Table 3.2 shows the efforts put in by Nepal. Local governments played a key role from bringing regulations to facilitating the change.
Table 3.2: Converting diesel powered vehicles to electric vehicles in Kathmandu, Nepal. Key dates when the hill capital made an effort, even though slowly.
Activity Ban on new registrations of three-wheels Techno-economic feasibility demonstration of electric three-wheelers by Global Resource Institute Announcement of in-use vehicle emission standards Reduced import customs tariff and sales tax on electric vehicle parts Ban on in-use diesel three-wheelers
Industrial Production: Norm rather than an exception 2001 Number of electric three-wheelers exceeded 600
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Figure 3.4: Techniques involved in cleaner production of energy should become the norm for every industry. (Source: NEA, 2009).
Cleaner Production in Industry (CPI) project in Vietnam, sponsored by the Danish International Development Agency (DANIDA), has carried out many activities for promoting CP application in industry, including capacity building, information dissemination on CP and 51
Industry could look at the life cycle analysis which includes life-cycle accounting for each product through its design, selection of materials, production, distribution, transportation and finally disposal.
Enterprise of Electricity Coal FO DO Gas Water Sector (Mwh) (ton) (ton) (ton) (ton) M3 Textile & Dying Paper Metal Finishing
Chemical Annual (ton) Saving USD 2011205 3297851 503414 1081404 797434 367642
Investment USD
0 0 41 208
Construction Material 6,746 Food Processing Others Total 727 1,690 61,403
30.2 0 0 0.2
4,732 29
8,058,950 2,720,277
Cogeneration or CHP, also known as combined heat and power, makes use of heat which is normally a by-product of electricity generation in a power plant. This heat could be used for industrial purposes. When compared with a separate generator, it has potential to save 40 per cent of energy (Figure 3.5). At another level, industry could look at the life-cycle analysis which includes life-cycle accounting for each product through its design, selection of materials, production, distribution, transportation and finally disposal. Efforts are made to reduce energy and resourcewaste throughout its life-cycle. As an example, the Japanese company Toshiba encourages consumers to recycle all electronic goods free 52
Figure 3.5: Cogeneration vs. separate generation Less loss with cleaner production
of cost as part of their social responsibility. Although, through lifecycle reduction of wastages, production can get economically efficient, much of the focus of industries has been on safe disposal of products. A significant change happening across the globe is the spurting of eco-industrial parks. Industrial clusters are developed for industrial symbiosis where waste of one industry becomes a resource of another (Figure 3.6). Eco-efficiency is about boosting productivity albeit by reducing the need for excess resources and by minimizing
A significant change happening across the globe is the spurting of eco industrial parks. Industrial clusters are developed for industrial symbiosis where waste of one industry becomes a resource of another.
Figure 3.6: Progressive steps to energy efficiency in Industry Cleaner production (micro), Life cycle management and Industrial ecology (Macro) Source: Chiu, 2008.
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Bringing efficiency within processes used in construction industries and facility management through building information modelling (BIM) and choosing local and eco-friendly materials can result in energy savings and lessening of GHGs.
Refrigerator 35%
business-as-usual scenario.
TV 8%
Figure 3.7: Monthly electricity bill for a household in Phnom Penh under the
Savings 32%
TV 6%
Rice Cooker 8%
Iron 8%
Refrigerator 26%
Figure 3.8: Monthly electricity bill for a household in Phnom Penh under the energy efficiency scenario.
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Figure 3.9: Energy efficient T ZED houses in Bangalore-showing emission reductions during construction.
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3.2
From Consumption to Prosumption 4 : Role of Technologies (RET) Renewable Energy Technologies (RET)
Use of solar energy has not been opened up because the oil industry does not own the sun. Ralph Nader Fossil fuels take millions of years to get produced. But we consume them at the rate of 88 million barrels a day to sustain consumptive lifestyles, and this is rising by the day (Simmons, 2008). The actual environmental and health-care costs of using fossil fuel show them to be costlier than what we perceive them to be. If this gets factored into the actual cost of energy, RET which otherwise appears expensive may look to be a good bet for investors. In fact it is important to look at the life-cycle cost of an energy system rather than only at the
4 Prosumption is the ability to produce a part of what one consumes as product or ervice in a sustainable manner that will not have any adverse social, environmental or economic impacts. Powering activities with sustainable energy from renewable energy systems relevant to local conditions is an example of prosumption.
Fossil fuels take millions of years to get produced. But we consume them at the rate of 88 million barrels a day to sustain consumptive lifestyles.
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Plate 7: solar panels atop roofs in southwest Turkey Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/uwebkk/3411169548/sizes/o/
upfront cost. As an example, wind power may not look as an economically attractive option as its upfront cost may represent 7080 per cent of its life time cost, while in the case of thermal power generation, the upfront cost may only represent 20-30 per cent of its life-cycle cost. When comparing renewable energy with nuclear energy, which also has low-carbon impact, we can see that the true life-cycle cost of nuclear power generation will be very high, if the cost of decommissioning the power plant is also included. It may not be the most attractive option. Many pioneers around the world have made their communities, (and, on a larger scale, cities) self-sufficient through renewable energy technologies. While RETs currently supply 13 per cent of the worlds primary energy supply, their share is as high as 32 per cent for Asia (IEA 2007b). Many forms of RETs Intermittence5 is one of the main deterrents apart from the high upfront cost in case of renewable energy technologies. Continuity of energy supply is what most urban areas need. However, one of the intrinsic strengths of RETs is the variety of sources that can be tapped to overcome intermittence. Solutions could come from many sources but not all solutions will fit every location. A careful analysis of the energy source available locally needs to be done. Solutions may even be hidden as in the case of energy from waste and heat recovery.
5 Intermittence is a source of energy (power) which can get interrupted; this term is mostly used for power supply that is erratic and not continuous.
Intermittence is one of the main deterrents apart from the high upfront cost in case of renewable energy technologies.
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A World Bank study concluded that for off-grid or mini-grid systems, most RETs could indeed work out cheaper than gasoline or diesel generators (WB, 2006).
Figure 3.10: Use of RETs around the world. Solar and wind take the major share. (Source: REN21, 2009)
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Figure 3.11: Energy Management: starts with demand management and then looks for sustainable supply options
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Technology
Biomass Energy Combustion(domestic scale)Combustion(industrial scale)Gasification/power productionGasification/Fuel ProductionHydrolysis & FermentationPyrolysis/ production of liquid fuelsPyrolysis/production of solid fuelsExtractionDigestion
Energy Product
Heat (cooking, space heating) Process heat, steam, electricity Electricity, heat (CHP) Hydrocarbons, methanol, H2Ethanol Bio-oils Charcoal Biodiesel Biogas
Application
Widely applied; improved technologies availableWidely applied; potential for improvementDemonstration phaseDevelopment phaseCommercially applied for sugar/ starch crops; production from wood under developmentPilot phase; some technical barriersWidely applied; wide range of efficienciesApplied; relatively expensive Commercially applied Small wind machines, widely appliedWidely applied commercially Development & Demonstration phase Widely applied; rather expensive; further development neededDemonstrated; further development neededSolar collectors commercially applied; Solar cookers widely applied in some regions; solar dying demonstrated & appliedDemonstration & applications; no active partsFundamental & applied research Commercially applied; small & large scale application Commercially appliedApplied; relatively expensiveResearch, development & demonstration phaseResearch & development phaseResearch, development & demonstration phaseTheoretical optionResearch & development phase 63
Wind EnergyWater pumping & battery chargingOnshore wind turbinesOffshore wind turbines
Solar EnergyPhotovoltaic solar energy conversionSolar thermal ElectricityLow temperature solar energy usePassive solar energy useArtificial photosynthesis
Electricity Heat, steam, electricity Heat (water & space heating, cooking, drying) & coldHeat, cold, light & ventilation H2 or hydrogen rich fuels
Hydropower
Power, electricity
Geothermal EnergyMarine energyTidal energyWave energyCurrent energyOcean thermal energy conversionSalinity gradient/ osmotic energyMarine Biomass production
Heat, steam, electricity Electricity Electricity Electricity Heat, electricity Electricity Fuels
Plate 8: Wind turbines powering Samsoe. A creation born out of the will of the local population. Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/mprinke/535180037/sizes/o/
In 1997, the energy supply in Samsoe was based almost entirely on fossil energy sources. They were heading for disaster as their dependence on imports was getting out of control. They took matter into their own hands, drafted and implemented a sustainable energy plan. Thanks to this, 11 onshore wind turbines were built that supply enough energy to meet the islands electricity needs. About 70 per cent of islands heating needs are met through RET based on straw, solar power and woodchips, and 100 per cent of the energy used for transportation is met by the islands 10 offshore wind turbines. (DENMARK, 2009) Say no to diesel Vaturu and Wainikasou Hydro projects of Fiji will produce about 38 GWh of electricity annually, displacing diesel power from the grid. (MNRE, 2009) Going YIMBY (Yes, In my back yard) The PRERURE (Local energy plan) and ARER ( Regional Energy Agency) have enabled 40 per cent of households of the Reunion island in the Indian Ocean get equipped with solar thermal water systems, wind farms and photovoltaic systems that benefit from the local tax and electricity purchase incentives. One-third of Reunion Islands energy is clean, mostly derived from the combustion of sugarcane bagasse in efficient power plants and huge hydroelectric facilities. This has made the French government to target Reunion Island as the French laboratory for innovative energy with the scope to reach 100 per cent of RETs in 2030, covering electric transport facilities too. (ARER, 2009) 64
When policies promote greater use of RETs, the cost of energy production tends to come down
65
25-60 2560
Wind electricity
10 GWe ~30
20-30
18 TWh(e)
1100-1700
500MWe
8-20
0.5TWh(e)
400MWe
20-35
1TWh(e)
8-20
14TWh(th) 500-1700
~2~3
040GWe 23GWe
35-602070
Geothermal ~4~6 energy Electricity Heat Marine energy Tidal Wave Current OTEC
8GWe11G Wth
45-902070
0 -
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Some advanced alternate energy technologies can bring relief to energy consumption, as in the case of co-generation, tri- or polygeneration.
Plate 9: Vxsj bike with factory in the background. Freedom through fossil-free energy systems. Photo credit: Flickr, Creative Commons (SC, 2009)
In 1996 Vxjo, a small town in Sweden decided to be fossil-fuel free. The municipality engineered a partnership with local firms, industries and transport companies to achieve this goal. They created a policy commitment Fossil-Fuel-Free Vxj to stop using fossil fuels and reduce CO2 emissions in heating, energy, transport, businesses and homes. Rigorous planning and close monitoring of all CO2 emissions is their recipe. They have been particularly successful in using biomass for district heating. The city is now ahead of its goals in majority of these commitments. More than half of its energy comes from sources such as biomass, hydro power, geothermal and solar energy. In little over a decade, emissions have been reduced by 24 per cent per person to 3.5 tonnes of CO2 annuallywell below the European average (8 CO2t/a) and worlds average (4 CO2t/a). With this track record, Vxj may well be the worlds first fossil-free city by 2015 (SC, 2009). Planners have used RET to reduce health risks by innovative cooking stoves in India and Africa to a great extent. The Kenya Ceramic Jiko (KCJ) project for promoting biomass technologies is one such example (SS, 2009). Kuzumaki, Japan hosts a population of 8.37 thousand at an altitude 400 meters. Farming and forestry are key industries. Its mayor started the use of RETs using livestock, woody waste, solar and wind. Since then, Be top of Japan in the use of renewable energy has become their policy slogan. At present, about 56 million kWh accounting for 185 per cent of total annual electricity supply is from RETs (Times, 2008).
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New technologies combined with effective policies can propel energy sustainability into new heights faster than what has been achieved by the existing technologies.
Leapfrogging is the notion that areas which have poorly-developed technology or economic bases can move themselves forward rapidly through the adoption of modern systems without going through intermediary steps
69
High-tech is not about complexity or novelty of function of a product, but is the choice of a production function that makes the most intelligent use of materials, energy, and human resources.
Blue Map Scenario: The IPCC has concluded that emissions must be reduced by 50 per cent to 85 per cent by 2050 if global warming is to be confined to between 2C and 2.4C. BLUE scenarios demand deployment of technologies still under development, whose progress and ultimate success are hard to predict and require urgent implementation of unprecedented and far-reaching new policies in the energy sector.
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71
LED luminaires
Power generated when fresh water from cities mingle with salt water
AC propulsion batteries using new Lithium ion technology, power electric vehicles
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Ambiators
Figure 3.12: Possible reduction in carbon emission with emerging technologies. Comparison of World Energy Outlook 2007 450 ppm case and blue map scenario. What we need is the will to achieve it. (Source: IEA, Energy technology Perspectives, 2008)
o CO2 capture and storage for power generation in industry is the most important single new technology for CO2 savings o Considerable flexibility to choose which precise mix of CCS and RET to use by local regions to decarbonise the power sector. o Bigger improvements than what exists in energy efficiency trends. o A huge effort of research, development, and demonstration will be needed that enhances the science base and its links with technology. o Governments must enhance deployment programmes of new technologies as prices will come down only with better market response. o There is an urgent need to design and implement a range of policy measures that will create clear, predictable, long-term economic incentives for CO2 reduction in the market. However, 73
3.4
Know your city- An exercise for policy makers A set of Energy Sustainability Indicators for a carbonfrugal city is therefore one that helps show deviations from required possessions, good health, adequate consumption sans greed, good quality of life, with low coping stresses.
Sustainable Energy Indicators An indicator is something that helps you understand where you are, which way you are going and how far you are from where you want to be. Sustainable Measures Before policy-makers decide what tool can be used for their own cities, they may like to know where they stand in terms of energy sustainability. A set of Energy Sustainability Indicators for a carbonfrugal city is therefore one that helps show deviations from required possessions, good health, adequate consumption sans greed, good quality of life, with low coping stresses. It can be an important instrument to use for policy-making. These indicators per force encourage participation from citizensan integral need for any good form of governance. It will secure buy-in and avoid citizens protesting against ills of urbanisation and have them enrolled. 74
Policy-makers must consider intended goals of indicator use and carefully choose metrics to maximize their relevance and effectiveness.
Figure 3.13: Environmental, Societal, Economic and Natural Resource Indicators (Source : ARUP, 2009b)
Dongtan, the eco city, is coming up on a 8,600 hectare (86 sq km) site adjacent to a wetland of global importance. An integrated design approach is being adopted to enable the creation of the sustainable city. This will include a sustainability appraisal framework comprising a set of objectives, Key Process Indicators and targets for the management of social, economic, environmental and natural resources. The urban area will occupy only one-third of the site. The remaining land will be used for organic farming and wetlands to promote biodiversity. Dongtan will produce its own energy from wind, solar, bio-fuel and recycled city waste. Vehicles will either be of zero emission, like cycles, or use hydrogen fuel cells. 75
Vested interests may resist changes in cities. Indicators would be a powerful rational tool which would diminish the strength of such negative interests.
The level of GDP per capita or economic growth cannot show the status of social or political structures. To understand these problems, economic data needs to be supported with social indicators like acquisition of material possession such as telephones, televisions, radios and the use of banks, schools, cinemas and provision of housing, medical or educational services (Peter Droege 2008) Ecological Footprint Analysis approaches the issue of sustainability by using indices for the overall carrying capacity of the planet. This links individual behaviour to organisational, regional and global targets using concepts 76
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4.1
We know the problems.... and we know the solution; sustainable development. The issue is the political will. Tony Blair, ex-Prime Minister of Britain Although local leaders are not involved in framing all policies, they could certainly play a vital role in influencing them as they are the implementing authorities and could offer valuable feedback and analysis with recommendation for better policies at the state and national level. A participatory urban decision-making begins with the stakeholder analysis and profiling to prepare and mobilise stakeholders, prioritises the issues and ensures local leaders get commitment and support from stakeholders. If this is followed by strategy-formulation and implementation through transparent actionplanning and programme-formulation, it helps in the successful implementation and institutionalization of policies and programmes. It is equally important for the policy-makers to follow up and verify their achievements through evaluation and monitoring tools. Figure.4.1 describes the participatory process essential for successful urban planning. If there is one overriding theme that comes out of this book, it is the need for greater democracygenuine and greater stakeholder participation initiated by the local leaders. W ith governments 78
Although local leaders are not involved in framing all policies, they could certainly play a vital role in influencing them as they are the implementing authorities and could offer valuable feedback and analysis with recommendation for better policies at the state and national level.
Figure 4.1: Participatory Process for urban planning. Involvement of stakeholders will spell more success (Source: UNCHS Habitat 2001)
Outstanding local leaders Charismatic mayors can be spotted around the globe. These are officials who went the extra mile to seek correct advice, get informed in energy-efficiency practices that hurt the planet less and improved the quality of life for their constituencies and implemented commendable projects in their cities. The Mayor of Rizhao (China) and the local government adopted several measures and policies aimed at popularizing clean energy technology. Fine examples of good leadership can be seen in cities like Curitiba that rose out of the ashes the day it had an army of workers shovelling 79
The city of Curitiba that recycles 70 per cent of its garbage is an exemplar in showcasing to the world the enormous possibilities open to the local leaders (ICLEI, 2009).
Plate 11: Curitiba: An exemplary showcase of strong political will. Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/thomashobbs/98286047/sizes/o/
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Plate 12: Solar energy advertisement in Rizhao. The concept has penetrated well within the citizens circle. Photo credit: Auqapfel, Flickr, Creative Commons
Technologists and town planners If a town planner could be empowered to turn down sanction plans that are offered without solar collector hot water systems, localized wet waste management systems and other such systems that reduce the load on citys infrastructure, urban energy sustainability would be greatly enhanced right at the approval level. There are many tools that technologists and planners can use. Many of these tools are in the form of software which can be run on personal computers such as Long Range Energy Alternatives Planning (LEAP) 1990, Energy demand model for developing countries (MEDEES,1995) and BEEAM-TESSE (Brookhaven Energy Economy Assessment Model) -TERI Energy Economic Simulation and Evaluation (Pachauri and Srivastava, 1988). The Energy Technology Systems Analysis Programme (ETSAP) of the International Energy Agency which has
If a town planner could be empowered to turn down sanction plans that are offered without solar collector hot water systems, localized wet waste management systems and other such systems that reduce the load on citys infrastructure, urban energy sustainability would be greatly enhanced right at the approval level.
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Technologists need to be trained in using certain models that help the communities or cities achieve the low-carbon status.
4.2
Holistic process to carry out planning by integrating all the sectors in an economy and all aspects are linked to the three pillars of sustainable development - social, economic and environmental. Matakiviti We see clearly now, the way local governments function has enormous bearing on the energy sustainability of a city, as they are responsible for providing various infrastructure services. Once the political will is there, and the local leadership wants to take issues head on, the next steps in panning out ideas they consider best for their cities and the way to successfully deliver those would be the points to consider. Taking decisions in silos do not help. Integrated energy planning is the first step towards energy sustainability. To ensure that cities become sustainable in energy, we need foolproof process plans that look at the problem on hand critically from all points of view, an eye trained on the future too. Integrated Energy Planning [IEP] is a powerful tool that can be defined 83
Taking decisions in silos do not help. Integrated energy planning is the first step towards energy sustainability.
Three key requirements for integrated energy planning are inclusion of all energy service needs and supply-side solutions, including energy savings and efficiency interventions.
Plate 13: Development using integrated planning. Always provides better quality of life for the people.
as an area based decentralized energy plan to meet energy needs for the development of alternate sources at the least cost to the economy and the environment (NRDMS, 2009). Alternatively, it is estimating how much energy all the different consumers (e.g. industry and households) will need in the future to deliver certain services; and then identify a mix of appropriate sources and forms of energy to meet these energy service needs in the most efficient and socially beneficial manner(EL,2009). Three key requirements for integrated energy planning are inclusion of all energy service needs and supply-side solutions, including energy savings and efficiency interventions. The inclusion of all costs and benefitslong term and short term; in describing possible future scenarios; in understanding impact on the three sustainability drivers; and in setting goals for the future lies at the core of this planning (EL, 2009). This also allows cities to compare effectiveness of all energy alternatives on both demand and supply sides, helping to account for their different financial, reliability, social acceptance and environmental characteristics. IEP process for the design of an ecocity is elaborated in Table 4.1.
Table 4.1: IEP processes for design of eco-city (Source: ARUP, 2009) Measurements made to keep target in view for Dongtan: Air emissions (NOx, SOx, Particulates) Water consumption Energy consumption Waste generation Import/export Land Use Job Creation Financial / economic viability Targets during Construction: Reduce predicted CO2emissions from freight andwaste vehicles by 60 per cent Reduce predicted freight and waste collection vehicle numbers in Dongtan by 50 per cent Move 20 per cent of construction material and waste using alternative means of transport Reduce construction waste by 40 per cent through control of material to, and on the site Targets during Operation: Reduce predicted CO2emissions from freight and waste vehicles by 60 per cent. Reduce predicted freight and waste collection vehicle numbers in Dongtan by 50 per cent Move 20 per cent of freight and waste using alternative means of transport Maximum of 10 per cent to landfill
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Existing resources
demand
T&D
Monitor
Acquire resources
Figure 4.2: Flowchart of a typical IEP process. Planning in a holistic manner. Source: Urban Energy Management, India Infrastructure Report 2006
Integrated Energy Planning is finding acceptance in many developed and some developing countries, e.g. in South Africa (EL, 2009). While the way the entire exercise of IEP is carried out can be different, typically there are some commonalities. It can however be different for different cities/states or regions. Based on the best processes from the South African practices and a few others, an indicative framework for a possible IEP could be as follows: Reference Energy System (RES) Using standard energy units, data are collected on the primary energy supply (like oil and coal), its transformation, transportation and distribution and end-user consumption (in all sectors and subsectors). Data on useful energy are also collected, for example, data on conditions required to use a service. Data on trends and analysis which led to current situation are also collected which then help in the analysis of demand drivers, price mechanisms and correlation of price versus demand. Energy Forecasting and Scenarios Based on the reference scenario, choosing a time horizon, the future energy demand is forecasted and future energy supply to meet the demand is also visualised. Various scenarios can be created using many tools available, as mentioned in the previous section. These scenarios calculate cost, viability for various technological alternatives which can be readily compared on the grounds of costs, environmental impact, and social acceptability. Scenario planning is an integral part of IEP and can bring together, 85
Scenario planning is an integral part of IEP and can bring together, on neutral grounds and on equal terms, various traditionally opposed local groups in order to formulate consensus on a vision for making any city sustainable by opting for sustainable energy.
The strategy for a lowcarbon city begins with conceptualising an energy plan that has clearly spelt out energy goals, which could lead to writing of a local action plan and identifying tools and technologies to achieve those goals.
Local governments have a lot of potential to address local level energy issues which can have enduring impacts on the society. They are not only better connected with people; they can also influence entrepreneurs of their cities to enable fostering of the most sustainable energy situation. They need not look up to central governments all the time for support.
Economic and Industrial Goals: Local and regional economic development Domestic employment and livelihood providing Figure 4.3: Sustainable Urban Energy Goals plan and Instruments. Poverty reduction
(Source: After Komor and Bazilian, 2005)
STEP 2: Local Action Plan: Demand Pull Indirect Price Support Technical Standards/ Certifications Waste Management Information, Education, and Training Improved Planning Process Improved Urban Design through improved energy systems Research, Development, Demonstration Capital Support IT in Sustainable Urban Energy Planning
STEP 3: Identifying Instruments Green building code Labelling Knowledge Awareness Capacity Building Regulations
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Hammarby model illustrates how sustainability initiatives have been integrated holistically.
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4.3
For every complex and difficult problem, there is an answer that is simple, easy, and wrong. - H.L. Mencken Choice of policy instruments to help frame effective policies is crucial and depends on several parameters such as economic and environmental efficiency, stakeholder support and ability to implement and enforce. It is very important that the chosen tool balances triple bottom line of balancing people, planet and profit. Policy Instruments can be economic, regulatory, educational, cooperation based and information based, as shown in Table 4.2 (GTZ, 2006).
Table 4.2 Various Instruments that policy makers can adopt for achieving their policy goals. (Source: GTZ, 2006)
Economic Environmental tax Fees and user charge such as congestion charge Subsidies
Training
Sustainable reporting
Economic Instruments Taxation is an instrument that works very well for certain remedies. These taxes work on the polluter-pays principle, which shifts the costs and responsibilities associated with pollution to the polluter. This has remedial and at times preventive effect on polluters. But the ignorant do not get any wiser. For example, local governments can collect revenue from environmental liability that can be associated with vehicular and industrial pollution. 89
Plate 14: Congestion Charging at London makes the polluter pay Photo credit: http:// www.eurotestmobility.com/ images/photolib/2059_me.jpg
While policies deter higher consumption, depletion and polluting acts, polluters could be made to pay to fuel better development.
There are some very interesting ways by which local governments can generate revenue for themselves while promoting social and environmental well-being. It only seems right to charge the polluter. While policies deter higher consumption, depletion and polluting acts, polluters could be made to pay to fuel better development. For example, London implemented the first congestion charging scheme; Singapore introduced theirs in the 1970s. Registration fees, taxes, and fiscal disincentives have increased the cost of owning a private car in Singapore to an all-time high with revenues collected being used to improve public transport. Eco taxes, fees and user charges have an effect both on the environment and revenue collection. Though these achieve long term resource efficiency they are open to being evaded. A proper reporting system and a rule that does not promote corruption would go hand in hand with eco-tax frameworks while stakeholder participation is vital for fees and user charges frameworks. There is need for city administrators to examine options for levying special taxes that deter resource waste. This could be done through intermediate organisations, too. For example, in France, for every ton of waste dumped, The French Environment and Energy Management Agency (ADEME) collected tax which was used to adopt measures to reduce waste reduction. The government was not allowed 90
Distortion in tariff does not provide a level playing field for renewable energy.
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Raising energy prices to cost-covering levels can also produce miracles if leaders have an effective way of convincing citizens the rationale behind the price change.
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Figure 4.4: Specific thermal energy consumption comparisons for cement manufacturing. (Source: CSE, 2009)
A reputed hotel in Kolkata has reduced its energy consumption by 8 per cent over the previous year (in spite of 78 per cent growth in occupancy). Measures have been adopted to achieve benchmark levels in areas such as retrofitting of pumps, hot water generation using condensed steam, replacement of electric heater with solar water heaters and installation of variable frequency drives for fans. This has reduced CO2 emissions by 2,800 tonnes per annum. Education, Informative and Cooperative Tools: Education, training, capacity building, information centres, consumer advice services, accompanying social measures and research-based innovation, all go towards strengthening the collective awareness of consumers as well as the leaders of cities. The South Korean capital Seoul had a Weekly No Driving Day Program. Around 635,000 cars in Seoul joined the program, under which drivers were offered discounts in tax, parking fees and other incentives if they did not drive for a day in a week (ITDP, 2009). Local Governments have a strong role to play in facilitating local energy funds that can be utilized for energy systems management. Arranging private capital for smaller funds or funding shift from big projects to small projects will go a long way in creating awareness and bringing co operation for sound energy investment. Technology transfers bring in knowledge from other nations and cities which will enhance progress faster. It is generally difficult for a city
Education, training, capacity building, information centres, consumer advice services, accompanying social measures and research-based innovation, all go towards strengthening the collective awareness of consumers as well as the leaders of cities.
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Enterprises have much to contribute to urban energy sustainability, if market mechanisms get aligned to the production and use of environmentally-sound goods and services.
Figure 4.5: Early Start with Energy Policies Impressive achievements in energy sustainability
Another example can be seen at Zurich with its Energy Saving Fund (Figure 4.5). In 1989, the population agreed to an energy saving policy. The policy promoted rational use of electricity and the use of RETs. The fund is financed by annual inserts of 10 per cent of the budgetprofit of the utility. Policy Instrument should aim to balance economic efficiency, environmental efficiency, budgetary impact, should be able to implement and enforce and should get wide stakeholder support (Figure. 4.6)
Another essential step is towards removing malpractices within departments. A necessary framework that promotes lowering of corruption and illegal profiteering can be formed.
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Environmental effectiveness
Economic efficiency
Stakeholder support
Figure 4.6 Policy instruments that have the potential to work are practical with stakeholder support and balance the triple bottom line
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Budgetary impact
Policy Instrument
Ability to implement & enforce
Policy-makers have more responsibility in actualising an energy plan than just being a mouth piece for a political agenda.
4.4
In the long history of humankind those who learned to collaborate and improvise most effectively have prevailed. Charles Darwin Executing ideas Implementation follows planning and needs an equally rigorous foolproof methodology to be successful. Often times it is seen that while a lot of effort goes into meticulous planning of policies for cities, it becomes just an aspiration when it comes to implementing policies to meet the necessary energy goals. Strong local political will backed by good regulations mixed with other market and public instruments is the key for reaching the desired goals. The 3 Ps One of the successful models for implementation is one encompassing Path, Procedure and Partners or the 3Ps process (Figure 4.7). The path would first include a set of activities that lay a PATH Activities Sensitise Advice Stimulate Finance Regulate PROCEDURE Target Tools Resource Allocation PARTNERS Implementation and Outreach Monitoring and Evaluation
Figure 4.7: The 3 Ps (path, procedure and partners) Process. The basis for a drafting a sustainable urban energy plan.
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Plate 15: Ciclovia, Bogota When cycles rule the roads and cars get side-stepped Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/pattoncito/ 2249689660/sizes/o/
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By reducing buildings energy consumption, a city can reduce dependence on imported or grid- based energy and strengthen its strategic position.
Mobilising partnership should be a participatory event to bring experts and implementers together to facilitate execution smoothly. Effective and influential champions who can mobilise effort and funds on one hand and well recognised experts with telling experience on the other would form this group.
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Implementing policies is a scientific, collective teamwork requiring highly skilled management resources.
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References:
Chapter 1: ADB, (Asian Development Bank, 2008): Managing Asian cities- as the drivers of the economy, Chapter 2. Accessed June, 2009. http:/ /www.adb.org/Documents/Studies/Managing-Asian-Cities/part0102.pdf World Bank (2005): World Development report, Washington DC accessed June 2009, available on http://www.adb.org/Documents/ Studies/Managing-Asian-Cities/part01-04.pdf Dundes, A. (2002): Campus News University of California Berkeley Commencement Convocation by Prof Alan Dundes, Professor of Anthropology and Folklore. Accessed June 2009. http:/ /berkeley.edu/news/media/releases/2002/05/commencement/ dundes.html accessed on 23.03.2009 UNESCAP, (United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and Pacific) (2008): Statistical year book for Asia and Pacific Bangkok. Accessed June, 2009. http://www.unescap.org/stat/data/ syb2008/2-Urbanization.asp Johnson, G. (2007): Clinton Wal-Mart push green cities accessed on 25.6.2009: http://www.wildsingapore.com/news/20071112/ 071102-8.htm Hugo, G. (2003): Urbanisation in Asia, an overview Paper prepared for the Conference on African Migration in Comparative Perspective, Johannesburg, South Africa, 4-7 June, 2003.Accessed June, 2009. http://pum.princeton.edu/pumconference/papers/2-Hugo.pdf CM (City Mayors) 2006: The Worlds largest cities and urban areas in 2006, City Mayors Statistical report. Accessed June 2009. http:/ /www.citymayors.com/statistics/urban_2006_1.html UNESCAP, (United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and Pacific) (2008): Statistical year book for Asia and Pacific Bangkok. Accessed June, 2009. http://www.unescap.org/stat/data/ syb2008/2-Urbanization.asp ABC, (Asia Business Council) (2008): Building Energy Efficiency: Why Green Building is Key to Asias future. Accessed May, 2009. http://www.asiabusinesscouncil.org/docs/BEE/ BEE2008Overview.pdf UNESCAP, (United Nations Economic and Social Commission for 103
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Modest
Development of a bus system high Traffic management Parking control, manly in the centre. Road maintenance, complete secondary road network and new development roads in fringe areas
If good prospects into a transit city adopting the smart growth paradigm
Maintain non motorized vehicular high facilities. Bus priorities -> bus ways -> bus road transitParking policy -> road pricingTraffic management and control strengthenedStrategy circular and development roads, secondaryroads, and removal of bottlenecksProgressive private sector developmentSmart growth, transit-oriented developmentencouraged
Relatively Substantial, with affluent; significant private substantial sector investment resources; living with congestion
Grade-separated expresswaysMetro Moderateliving networksRoad investment to with congestion complete hierarchy(secondary mainly) and to guide future city growthTransit-oriented development (retro-fitted)Integration of transport systems
Preserve and enhance non motored Sustainable vehicularand pedestrian facilitiesSophisticated traffic restraint and road management,using technological developmentsInvestment in mass rapid transit (metro) and publictransport integrationNew road investment to ensure congestionremains controlledPrivate sector participation, including outsourcing
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Social- Equity
Accessibility
Share of households (or population) without electricity or commercial energy or heavily dependent on non commercial energy, or heavily dependent on non commercial energy
- Households ( or population without electricity or commercial energy, or heavily dependent on non commercial energyTotal number of households or population -Household income spent on fuel and electricity- Household income (total and poorest 20% of the population) - Energy use per household for each income group ( quintiles) - Household income for each income group (quintiles) - Corresponding fuel mix for each income group - Energy use ( total primary energy supply, total final consumption and electricity) - Losses in transformation systems inclusing losses in electricity generation, transmission and distribution
Affordability
Disparity
Household energy use for each income group and corresponding fuel mix
Economic
Overall use
Supply efficiency
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End use
Environmental
Climate Change
GHG emissions from energy production ( for the city) and the per capita energy use Ambient concentration of air pollutants in city
Air Quality
Water
Waste Water
Solid Waste
Energy used for bringing water to the - Energy bills of Water city and pumping (including Utility for Water services pumping at end use level) End use energy for pumping water/ capita or population - Energy supplied to waste Energy used for taking out waste water utility water from the city and treating it - population Transport energy spent on taking out - Fuel spent on trucks/ lorries for populationwaste from the city to landfills/ Energy spent on creating incinerators/recycling and managing landfills and incinerators Installed capacityLighting intensityEnergy consumedTimings of automatic switch on and off Awareness of energy related problems - kW/km of roadLux/WattkW/km per month - Surveys to check on energy awareness levels of people of different age groups, sectors, incomelevels and class
Others
Street Lighting
Educational
Energy Awareness
Source: Modified for a city after IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency)(2005): Energy Indicators for sustainable development- guidelines and methodologies. Published in Vienna.
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ENPEP
ETA-MACRO EPRI7
GEM-E3ME
EU
OECD8
Model for the Analysis of Energy Conservations Potential Modular Planning Instrument
An EXCEL based database model Long Range Energy Alternative Planning- a simulation model with environmental database Model for Analysis of energy demand, a module of the ENPEP planning tool Market Allocation model with a user support system Linked models for Energy Economy Analysis A Simulation model for District Heating System Model for evaluating the energy demand, a bottom up model Modular Energy System Analysis and Planning
LEAP
MADE
IKE11
Model for the Analysis of Energy Demand Energy Supply & Energy System Model Energy- Economic Model
MARKAL
ITSAP12, IEA
District Heating Model Model for the Analysis of Energy Demand Modular Planning Instrument
MESAP
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MIDAS
EU
MODEST
IKP16
Minimization of Capital and Operation costs of energy supply and demand side management Quasi dynamic model with hybrid representation ( bottom up and top down) of the technologies of the industry sector Long term energy system simulation
NEWAGE
IER
PLANET
IER
Energy Supply & Energy System Model Energy Supply & Energy System Model Energy- Economic Model
POLES
EU
Prospective Outlook on Long term Energy Systems, a simulation model A Computable Price Driven Partial Equilibrium model of the energy system and markets for Europe Strategic Assessment Framework for the Implementation of Rational Energy, a simulation model for heat and power supply at the local and regional level for European countries The sustainable energy systems analysis model for energy systems planning at local and regional scale TERI Energy Economy Simulation and Evaluation Model The Integrated MARKAL EFOM system and optimization model that produces least cost solutions, it is intended to replace MARKAL which has its origin in the late 1970s and no longer meets modern requirements and possibilities of up to date software engineering. Wen Automatic System Planning, an optimization model
PRIME
EU
SAFIRE
EU
SEESAM
AaI-U17
TEESE
TERI18
TIMES
ETSAP19, IEA
WASP
1. United States Department of Energy 2. International Institutes for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria 3. International Atomic Energy Agency 4. European Union 5. Gesellschaft fur Technische Zusammenarbeit mbH, Germany 6. United Nations, Department of Technical Cooperation for Development 7. Electric Power research Institute, Palo Alto, California, USA 8. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, France. 123
High
Low to Medium
High
Waste Management
Medium
Medium
Low-Medium
Medium to High
High
High
124
High Improved Urban Design through improved energy systems High Research, Development, Demonstration
Future visioning and planning, value engineering, use of bioclimatic design principles
High
Technological Innovation promoting health of planet, society and economic progress, strategy thinking and analysis for exponential progress, experimenting and failing at low cost, understanding of stakeholders hidden needs, Positive for low-incomehouseholds, risk of free-riders,may induce pioneering investments. But depends on effectiveness of software. Updating of software to match changing trends and requirements is a must.
Capital Support
High
High
High
Low
Economic barriers
Regulatory-normative Economic instruments Support action Regulatory-normative/ regulatory/ informative Economic instruments Fiscal instruments Support, information, voluntary action
Information barriers
Structural/ political
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The Kitakyushu Initiative Spreading the message to 61 cities from 18 countries in Asia Pacific Region
Plate 4: Sustainable World for Future Generations: Photo credit: http:// www.flickr.com/photos/ wwworks/440672445/ sizes/o/
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One could be the retired judge to head the commission. Three others could be commission members. Four others could be a representative of shopkeepers, the head of road department, a representative of services industry and the city commissioner. The four member commission to invite each of the four city representatives to come forward and present their case on two dimensions; a) the root cause of the citys problems, b) the possible solution for the same, whether the subway solution will work or not. Each representative will vent their feelings and also state the facts as they know them. 1) Representative of shopkeepers a. He could blame the road department for the chaos. i. He could say that the road department always created 137
vi.
b.
4) City Commissioner a. He could refuse to take the blame on himself. i. He could argue that the industry representatives are greedy and selfish; that they always wanted to enjoy the roads for themselves; that they refused any proposal put up by him to restrict peak hour traffic. ii. He could show several proposals by him to ease traffic congestion; a massive plan to introduce mass bus transportation which was opposed by taxi and autorickshaw unions, an elevated mass rail system that met opposition from environmentalists to name a few. iii. He could say that his hands are tied. No matter which way he looked at things, he always met opposition. In spite of this he showed how the citys road traffic conditions are only seventh worst in the country. b. As all attempts have failed, he could say that the solution at the present moment, according to him, based on advice of experts from developed countries, is to go for the subway plan of his. He showed how the city traffic is going to grow with 300 private cars being added mostly being bought by the services industry every day going forward. He showed that the citys system will come to a grinding halt in five years time if the subway system is stalled now. The only way to go ahead is to accommodate any number of growing vehicular movement. 5) Citys Automobile Registration Authority: a. He could state: i. That there is an unrestricted introduction of vehicles into the city. ii. That he is unable to control anything as the policies are made by the city commissioner and the political powers. 139
iv. v.
b.
He could state i. Corruption is the root motivation for the new subway scheme. ii. Subway will never happen even if it is approved in principle because of corruption that is prevalent in the commissioners office. iii. Plenty of public money will be wasted. iv. Subway system must be stopped. v. Automobile Registration Authority must be given autonomous powers to control registration of new vehicles. vi. Introduce new vehicle registration license scheme. Allow only 5% increase in new vehicle registration in the city. His departments proposal pending with city commissioner for review/approval for five years. Nothing has been heard.
6) Minister of Road Transport and Urban Infrastructure a) He could state that: i. The government has introduced many new buses. ii. Bus fare has been kept under control to make it affordable for the masses. iii. Bus transport workers have been paid handsomely. iv. Car pooling lanes have been introduced in major roads like it has been spotted in a popular South-East Asian city. v. Road dividers, flyovers have been erected with the most modern technologies. vi. Traffic signal has been modernized with digital system and timers on par with a developed country. vii. Several thousand kms of road have been relaid and maintained using latest equipments imported from developed countries. viii. A pilot project to enable traffic police has been empowered with latest technology to catch offenders. ix. Citizen police movement has been inaugurated. Curriculum for school children includes importance of infrastructure and urban development. x. Private roads have been put under experimentation in the outer periphery of the city with stipulated toll. xi. Many roads have been made into one-ways to restrict traffic in one direction. 140
xv.
b)
He could state: i. We have tried to emulate every policy from prosperous countries across the world that pertains to a citys infrastructure problems. Nothing seems to solve the citys problems. ii. The only way forward is the subway system. It can cover any amount of traffic growth. iii. The project report has been prepared by a high level committee headed by the city commissioner and urban planning advisors of the government. They have visited many countries and studied various solutions to arrive at this solution. There is no other solution possible. All details are in the study report. iv. The report has been extensively debated at the commissioners office, too.
7) Opposition leader in the City Commissioners office: c) i. He could state that: The government imported poor quality buses. About 60 per cent of the buses completely stopped plying after two years. It has cost the city a lot of money to maintain these buses. Spares are not easily available for these buses as the company in foreign lands has folded up its operations and wants huge amounts to supply the spares. The remaining buses are maintained in poor condition. People are not interested in using these junk buses. There is corruption amongst bus transport administrators. Our study reveals that over 50 per cent of passengers dont buy legal tickets to use buses. Buses do not ply on time. The government has tried to privatize the bus system but the transport unions have opposed it. Car pooling lanes will not work in our city. Most people do not care. Even non-car pooling vehicles use these lanes. Road dividers and flyovers cannot solve the problem. 141
ii.
iii.
iv.
v.
vi.
vii.
viii. ix. x.
xi. xii.
xiii.
d)
He could state: i. Subway system is another money-making ploy. It will not work. It is also not going to solve the problems of the city. ii. We must admit that we do not really know where the problem starts and where it ends and who is responsible for what. iii. City managers implementation must be effective. What can guide this?
How the role play should proceed: The commission will listen patiently. They could ask questions and clarify points. They should not make any representative feel bad at 142
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