Siena College Research Institute

September 6-8, 2011

886 Likely Voters New York Congressional District 9
MOE +/- 3.3%
Q1. Is New York State on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
Region
Vote Choice

Right track
Wrong direction
Don't know/No opinion

Total
47%
42%
11%

Kings Queens Turner Weprin Dem Rep

40%
49%
31%
68%
55% 30%
49%
39%
60%
20%
33% 61%
11%
12%
10%
12%
12% 9%

Q2. Is the United States on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?
Region
Vote Choice

Right track
Wrong direction
Don't know/No opinion

Party

Party

Total Kings Queens Turner Weprin Dem Rep

19% 15%
21%
4%
37%
25% 6%
74% 77%
73%
94%
53%
67% 91%
7%
8%
6%
2%
10%
7% 2%

Gender
Age
Ind/
Other M
F Under 55
42% 49% 45%
44%
48% 43% 41%
44%
10% 8% 14%
12%

Gender
Age
Ind/
Other M
F Under 55
14% 16% 21%
20%
81% 78% 72%
75%
6%
6% 7%
6%

Religion
55+
49%
41%
11%

Cath Jewish Other Yes No Yes

45% 50%
49% 46% 49% 50%
48% 38%
37% 43% 41% 41%
7%
13%
14% 11% 11% 9%

Religion
55+
19%
74%
7%

Employed Union HH
No <$50K
46% 42%
42% 48%
12% 10%

Income
$50K$100K $100K+
52%
48%
39%
42%
9%
10%

Employed Union HH

Cath Jewish Other Yes

17% 18%
25% 17%
79% 76%
67% 77%
4%
6%
7%
6%

Income
$50KNo Yes No <$50K $100K $100K+
20% 19% 19% 16% 24%
15%
73% 74% 75% 78% 70%
80%
7% 7% 6%
6%
6%
5%

I'm going to read the names of several people and institutions in public life and I'd like for you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each of the people or
institutions I name.
Q3. Barack Obama
Region
Vote Choice
Party
Gender
Age
Religion
Employed Union HH
Income
Ind/
$50KTotal Kings Queens Turner Weprin Dem Rep Other M
F Under 55 55+ Cath Jewish Other Yes No Yes No <$50K $100K $100K+
Favorable
43% 42%
44%
9%
82%
59% 12% 29% 39% 46%
44%
42% 37% 42%
56% 42% 45% 46% 42% 41% 46%
43%
Unfavorable
54% 55%
54%
89%
16%
38% 87% 68% 58% 51%
54%
53% 62% 54%
40% 57% 51% 52% 55% 57% 52%
55%
Don't know/No opinion
3%
4%
3%
1%
2%
3% 1%
2%
3% 3%
2%
4% 2%
4%
4%
1% 4% 3% 3%
2%
2%
2%
Q4. Andrew Cuomo
Region

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Vote Choice

Party

Total Kings Queens Turner Weprin Dem Rep

75% 65%
78%
62%
91%
81% 61%
19% 29%
15%
31%
5%
13% 32%
7%
6%
7%
8%
5%
5% 7%

Gender
Age
Ind/
Other M
F Under 55
68% 70% 78%
72%
23% 22% 16%
20%
9%
8% 6%
8%

CD90911 Crosstabs

Religion
55+
76%
18%
6%

Employed Union HH

Cath Jewish Other Yes

72% 76%
77% 73%
21% 17%
19% 20%
7%
6%
4%
7%

Income
$50KNo Yes No <$50K $100K $100K+
77% 75% 74% 75% 77%
74%
17% 17% 19% 21% 19%
19%
7% 8% 6%
5%
4%
8%

1 of 5

Siena College Research Institute

September 6-8, 2011
886 Likely Voters New York Congressional District 9
MOE +/- 3.3%
Q5. John Boehner
Region

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
30%
45%
25%

Vote Choice

Party

Kings Queens Turner Weprin Dem Rep

29%
31%
53%
7%
21% 51%
48%
44%
23%
70%
53% 24%
24%
25%
24%
24%
26% 25%

Gender
Age
Ind/
Other M
F Under 55
39% 39% 24%
29%
41% 45% 45%
45%
20% 16% 31%
26%

Religion
55+
31%
45%
24%

Employed Union HH

Cath Jewish Other Yes No Yes

37% 26%
25% 35% 27% 29%
38% 47%
52% 46% 44% 47%
25% 27%
23% 19% 29% 24%

No <$50K
31% 31%
43% 36%
26% 34%

Income
$50K$100K $100K+
31%
32%
47%
50%
22%
18%

Q6. David Weprin

Region

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
41%
41%
18%

Vote Choice

Party

Kings Queens Turner Weprin Dem Rep

38%
42%
8%
81%
56% 11%
44%
40%
75%
6%
27% 72%
18%
17%
17%
13%
16% 16%

Gender
Age
Ind/
Other M
F Under 55
27% 38% 44%
39%
52% 47% 37%
42%
21% 15% 19%
20%

Religion
55+
43%
41%
16%

Employed Union HH

Cath Jewish Other Yes No Yes

31% 48%
49% 36% 46% 45%
52% 36%
30% 47% 36% 41%
17% 15%
21% 17% 18% 14%

No <$50K
39% 40%
42% 39%
19% 20%

Income
$50K$100K $100K+
41%
41%
42%
45%
17%
14%

Q7. Robert Turner

Region

Favorable
Unfavorable
Don't know/No opinion

Total
48%
34%
19%

Vote Choice

Party

Kings Queens Turner Weprin Dem

48%
48%
84%
10%
34%
34%
33%
5%
68%
44%
18%
19%
11%
23%
22%

Rep
84%
8%
8%

Gender
Age
Ind/
Other M
F Under 55
55% 51% 45%
51%
29% 33% 34%
31%
17% 16% 21%
18%

Religion
55+
46%
35%
19%

Cath Jewish Other Yes No Yes

61% 38%
36% 52% 44% 46%
26% 41%
39% 30% 37% 36%
13% 21%
25% 18% 20% 18%

Q8. If the special election for Member of Congress from the 9th Congressional District was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
Region
Party
Gender
Age
Religion
Ind/
Total Kings Queens
Dem Rep Other M
F Under 55 55+ Cath Jewish Other
Robert Turner on the Republican and
50% 54%
49%
32% 90% 65% 55% 47%
53%
49% 62% 45%
37%
Conservative lines
David Weprin on the Democratic, Working
44% 42%
44%
63% 6% 27% 39% 47%
42%
45% 33% 51%
53%
Families and Independence Party lines
Don't know/No opinion
6%
5%
7%
5% 4%
7%
6% 6%
5%
7% 4%
4%
9%

CD90911 Crosstabs

Employed Union HH
No <$50K
48% 50%
32% 27%
19% 23%

Income
$50K$100K $100K+
47%
52%
35%
33%
18%
15%

Employed Union HH
Yes

No

Yes

Income
$50KNo <$50K $100K $100K+

56% 45% 49% 51% 50%

50%

54%

39% 48% 45% 43%

41%

48%

42%

5%

9%

2%

4%

6%

6%

6%

2 of 5

Siena College Research Institute

September 6-8, 2011
886 Likely Voters New York Congressional District 9
MOE +/- 3.3%
Q9. How likely would you say you are to vote for [CANDIDATE NAME]? Are you...
Region
Vote Choice

Party

Gender

Ind/
Total Kings Queens Turner Weprin Dem Rep Other
Absolutely certain; there's no chance I will
79%
change my mind
Fairly certain; it's unlikely I will change my
17%
mind
Not very certain; I very well may change my
3%
mind
Not certain at all; there's a good chance I
2%
will change my mind
Don't know/No opinion
0%

Age

Religion

Under 55 55+ Cath Jewish Other Yes

Yes

77%

76%

82%

79% 82%

76%

83% 75%

75%

80% 80%

75%

77%

79% 78% 83% 76%

73%

76%

85%

11%

19%

18%

15%

17% 17%

16%

15% 18%

19%

15% 16%

19%

17%

17% 16% 13% 19%

21%

18%

12%

3%

3%

4%

2%

4%

1%

3%

2%

4%

2%

3%

2%

5%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

1%

0%

6%

1%

3%

4%

1%

2%

1%

4%

1%

2%

1%

2%

2%

2%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

Q11. Who do you think is running the most positive campaign for Congress?
Region
Vote Choice
Total
43%
32%
25%

No

Income
$50KNo <$50K $100K $100K+

83%

Q10. Of the following, which would you say was the single most important factor in your decision to vote for [CANDIDATE NAME]:
Region
Vote Choice
Party
Gender
Age
Ind/
Total Kings Queens Turner Weprin Dem Rep Other M
F Under 55 55+
Candidate's party
18% 21%
16%
13%
24%
21% 11% 15% 17% 18%
19%
17%
Candidate's position on federal
entitlements such as Social Security and
28% 26%
29%
14%
44%
32% 20% 23% 22% 33%
22%
31%
Medicare
Endorsement of the candidate by a trusted
8%
8%
8%
9%
7%
9% 6%
7%
9% 7%
12%
6%
source
Candidate's position on economic recovery 32% 30%
33%
47%
15%
24% 47% 44% 39% 27%
36%
30%
Candidate's position on Israel
7%
9%
7%
10%
4%
7% 8%
6%
7% 7%
6%
8%
Other
4%
3%
4%
5%
3%
5% 4%
2%
5% 3%
4%
4%
Don't know/No opinion
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
4% 4%
1%
1% 4%
1%
5%

Turner
Weprin
Don't know/No opinion

Employed Union HH

Party

Kings Queens Turner Weprin Dem Rep

47%
41%
78%
6%
30% 75%
30%
32%
2%
67%
44% 7%
22%
27%
20%
27%
26% 18%

Gender
Age
Ind/
Other M
F Under 55
52% 47% 40%
44%
23% 31% 32%
27%
25% 22% 28%
29%

CD90911 Crosstabs

Religion

Income
$50KCath Jewish Other Yes No Yes No <$50K $100K $100K+
14% 19%
22% 18% 18% 16% 19% 18% 18%
18%
30%

20%

35%

20% 34% 26% 29%

28%

31%

22%

11%

5%

8%

10% 7% 12% 6%

4%

8%

13%

37%
3%
4%
2%

30%
16%
6%
5%

29%
3%
2%
3%

39%
6%
3%
3%

34%
9%
4%
3%

32%
5%
4%
3%

35%
6%
3%
3%

Religion
55+
42%
35%
23%

Employed Union HH

27%
7%
4%
3%

35%
4%
3%
3%

30%
9%
5%
3%

Employed Union HH

Cath Jewish Other Yes No Yes

54% 37%
30% 45% 41% 43%
27% 36%
39% 27% 36% 35%
19% 27%
31% 28% 23% 22%

No <$50K
43% 41%
30% 31%
27% 28%

Income
$50K$100K $100K+
49%
41%
33%
32%
19%
27%

3 of 5

Siena College Research Institute

September 6-8, 2011
886 Likely Voters New York Congressional District 9
MOE +/- 3.3%
Q12. Who do you think is running the most negative campaign for Congress?
Region
Vote Choice

Turner
Weprin
Don't know/No opinion

Total
30%
39%
31%

Party

Kings Queens Turner Weprin Dem Rep

33%
29%
3%
63%
43% 7%
40%
38%
69%
7%
28% 65%
27%
32%
28%
30%
29% 28%

Gender
Age
Ind/
Other M
F Under 55
20% 32% 30%
26%
48% 43% 36%
41%
32% 25% 35%
32%

Religion
55+
33%
38%
29%

Cath Jewish Other Yes No Yes

24% 35%
37% 28% 33% 34%
50% 32%
28% 42% 36% 40%
26% 32%
36% 30% 31% 26%

Q13. Lastly, regardless of which candidate you plan on supporting, which of the candidates do you think is most likely to win the special election?
Region
Vote Choice
Party
Gender
Age
Religion
Ind/
Total Kings Queens Turner Weprin Dem Rep Other M
F Under 55 55+ Cath Jewish Other
Turner
38% 47%
34%
65%
8%
27% 66% 46% 40% 36%
41%
36% 47% 32%
31%
Weprin
49% 42%
52%
23%
82%
60% 26% 42% 50% 49%
45%
52% 45% 53%
57%
Don't know/No opinion
13% 10%
14%
12%
10%
13% 8% 12% 10% 15%
14%
12% 9%
15%
12%

CD90911 Crosstabs

Employed Union HH
No <$50K
28% 28%
39% 37%
33% 35%

Employed Union HH
Yes
41%
46%
13%

No
36%
52%
12%

Yes
34%
55%
11%

No <$50K
40% 41%
46% 48%
13% 11%

Income
$50K$100K $100K+
33%
30%
42%
40%
25%
30%

Income
$50K$100K $100K+
39%
38%
53%
50%
9%
12%

4 of 5

Siena College Research Institute

September 6-8, 2011
886 Likely Voters New York Congressional District 9
MOE +/- 3.3%

Nature of the Sample

Likely Voters New York CD9
Party
Democrat
Republican
Independent/Other
Region
Kings
Queens
Employed
Yes
No
Union Household
Yes
No
Religion
Catholic
Jewish
Other
Age
Under 55
55 and older
Gender
Male
Female
Income
Less than $50,000
$50,000 to $100,000
$100,000 or more

58%
18%
22%
27%
73%
44%
55%
36%
63%
41%
31%
21%
37%
62%
43%
57%
22%
33%
27%

CD90911 Crosstabs

5 of 5