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Introduction
ConAgra Foods reaffirms the attractiveness of its $94 per share all-cash proposal to acquire Ralcorp Holdings, Inc. ConAgra Foods has heard from many of Ralcorps shareholders over the last several weeks, urging the companies to enter into negotiations based on ConAgra Foods strong proposal
Offering compelling value: ConAgra Foods believes that its proposal provides present value to Ralcorp shareholders far in excess of what Ralcorp would achieve on its own, including with its announced spin-off
Clear ability to finance: Attached is a copy of the highly confident letter that ConAgra Foods has received from Bank of America Merrill Lynch Uncertainty and risk in Ralcorps plan: Ralcorps announced spin-off would result in value leakage to its shareholders from expenses and duplicative costs, and each smaller company would face operating risks Ability to execute future private label acquisitions will be more challenging due to competition from other bidders including ConAgra Foods Discussions would have no impact on ability of Ralcorp to pursue potential spin-off Interest in business as currently organized: Given ConAgra Foods operating structure and synergy potential, its only interest is in the entire Ralcorp business
Entering into discussions with ConAgra Foods is in the best interests of Ralcorps shareholders; we therefore request Ralcorps Board to reconsider and to engage in a constructive dialogue with ConAgra Foods
1
Trading price affected by ConAgra Foods proposal Closing High After $86 Offer: $90.51
$90
$80
$70
Prior AllTime High (11/2008): $71.43 Closing Price on 4/28 (Day prior to CNBC rumor): $71.42 3/21(Day prior to initial ConAgra Foods proposal): $65.31
$60
$50
$40
$30 Aug-2006 Jul-2007 Jun-2008 May-2009 Apr-2010 Jan-2011 Mar-2011 May-2011 Aug-2011
Reference Price Premium to March 21 Premium to April 28 (Day Prior to CNBC Rumor) Premium to One-Month Unaffected Average (1) Premium to Unaffected All-Time High (1)
Source: FactSet as of August 29, 2011. (1) Refers to periods before April 28, 2011. Based on closing prices.
36%
31% 27%
32%
33%
28%
23%
Wrigley / Mars Del Monte / KKR, / Vestar, Centerview Capital (vs. Day Prior to CNBC Report)
(2)
A-B / InBev
/
(vs. Day Prior to Initial Offer)
(3)
Reflects one-day premiums vs. unaffected stock price as per public filings. Represents premium to closing price on July 17, 2000, day prior to announcement that Keebler was undergoing evaluation of various strategic alternatives. Represents premium to closing price on April 28, 2011, day prior to market rumors. Represents premium to closing price on March 21, 2011, day prior to initial letter.
7.0x
7.2x
7.8x
8.1x
8.2x
8.2x
8.4x
6.8x
8.5x
8.5x
8.8x
8.9x
9.3x
9.4x
Sturm / TreeHouse
AIPC / Ralcorp
Post / Ralcorp
Folgers / Smucker
Del Monte / Riviana Foods / Birds Eye / KKR, Vestar, Ebro Puleva Pinnacle Centerview Capital
(2)
Date Announced
Jun. 2010
Sep. 2010
Mar. 2007
Aug. 2011
Jul. 2004
Nov. 2009
Aug. 2011
Ralcorp Acquisitions
Other Acquisitions
5
Source: Company filings, news reports and analyst estimates. (1) Estimated multiple of 8.4x EBITDA before value of tax benefit of over $100mm per Ralcorp conference call on August 9, 2011. Including tax benefit, implied multiple would be approximately 6.8x EBITDA. (2) Based on adjusted Enterprise Value of $8.25bn and adjusted LTM EBITDA, as of June 30, 2011, of ~$875mm pro forma for estimated full year impact of acquisitions.
Adjusted for acquisitions (including Sara Lee Dough). Per Ralcorp conference call on August 9, 2011. Assumes 56mm diluted shares outstanding and tax rate of 35%. Three-month average Price to Next Twelve Months EPS ratio prior to April 29, 2011 (date of CNBC rumors). Source: FactSet (IBES data). Based on midpoint of $100-$200 million range implied by Ralcorps public statement on July 14, 2011 indicating $1.1 to $1.2 billion of debt issuance by Post Foods for net proceeds of approximately $1 billion to Ralcorp Private Label. Assumes 56mm diluted shares outstanding.
Conclusion
Over the last several weeks, ConAgra Foods has heard from many of Ralcorps shareholders who are urging the companies to enter into negotiations based on ConAgra Foods strong proposal
ConAgra Foods believes its proposal provides certain present value to Ralcorp shareholders far in excess of what Ralcorp would achieve on its own, including with its announced spin-off plans
ConAgra Foods believes key metrics clearly demonstrate the attractiveness of its $94 per share all-cash proposal
Our proposal provides certain, upfront value, with a highly confident letter on financing, compared to uncertainty and risk with Ralcorps spin-off plans We once again request Ralcorps Board to reconsider its position and enter into discussions with ConAgra Foods to work toward a mutually-beneficial transaction