Felipe Lessa de Moraes Fernanda Paula Bernardes Mirabile Glauber Cantacini Romano Joo Batista Silva Basso

Teacher Rosngela dos Santos System Analysis and Development English Task Portfolio I 27/08/2010

Fatec-SP

SO PAULO 2010

Visions of Tomorrow
First, safety. Radiation screen are available, and have been for some years. Most of them place an emissions barrier between you and the front of your display, while others encase the entire monitor, protection you from side and rear emissions as well. Many offices already have these screens available for their works. The paperless office is still a dream, but the basic tools are in place. We receive mails in two basic forms: on paper in an envelope, or electronically on your computers. Most of us have access to e-mail in one form or another. Thats half the battle won. The other half is a bit more difficult, but it can be, and is being, done. All mail can be opened in the mail room and scanned into the computer using optical character recognition (OCR). Then a document-image-processing program takes over and lets you accomplish electronically what you would normally do with paper. Various personal computer products are available for this purpose. Pen-based computing is coming into its own. Pen-input capabilities are beginning to show up in hardware, applications, and operating systems. You cant take notes that will go directly into your computer, and the technology wouldnt know what to do with your doodles, but it would know that a doodle isnt a valid word. And thats a start-a good one. Multimedia really needs no explanation. There are many packages that help you create multimedia presentations, and the tools to create customized multimedia training programs are also plentiful. CD-ROM disks, such as Ziff-Daviss Computer Select and Microsofts Bookshelf, let you access mountains of information with ease. Computers are already much smaller than they used to be, and you cant go to an industry show these days without finding some company promotion its small footprint. When you start talking about laptops, notebooks, and palmtops, the question becomes, How small is too small? FAX capabilities are already available on boards that you can plug into your computer. When you combine the technologies present in internal modems with voice recognition, the basics for having your computer replace our phone-voice line are in place.

Voice recognition is another technology that may appear limited in its present form, but it show great promise for the future. Current voice-recognition systems can handle speaker-dependent continuous speech or speaker-independent discrete speech. Speaking to your computer will be a major factor in the office of the future. In some locations, it is already a major factor in the office of today. Stock is traded in some brokerage houses by verbal command from the broker to the computer. So, you ask your computer a question and it answers you verbally. Depending on the rate of the speech sampling used and the resolution the A/D converter uses for each sample, we can already create a credible approximation of human speech with digitized sound. Large display screens? You cant get screens of up to 35 inches now, and between Barco and Mitsubishi competing for the honor of having the largest monitor, its hard to predict just how big they will get in the future. As for color, some companies offer upwards of 16 million. Somewhere in that number must lie the perfect color for reducing eye-strain. The real disaster that most of us still have to deal with is the traditional keyboard, which is the cause of much pain and the suffering in the form of carpal tunnel syndrome and other repetitive-strain injuries. Wrist rests are available to alleviate the problem, and new designs for strange-looking keyboards, Star Trek-style, are moving for the drawing board to the factory. Enterprise networks are proliferating almost as fast as LANs did just a year or two ago. Public data networks are ripe for the dialing up and signing on. And the Internet already exists, with the several of the research and educational facilities on its membership rolls. Worldwide connectivity is already available in the enterprise networks of some major corporations (e.g. DECs DECnet and IBMs Systems Network Architecture). Admittedly, these are proprietary networks, but they are living proof that the concept can and does work.

Future Shock: The PC of 2019

For those of you who want the world at your fingertips, the wait is almost over. The future PC promises to put nearly everything you could need or want right in your palm. Think of a souped-up version of today's smartphone, with a monitor that unrolls into a larger screen and a biometric security system that lets you access everything in your professional and personal life from anywhere, with all the data residing in the cloud. Wave it at your car to unlock the door. Order and pay for your morning coffee with a touch of a button. Plug it into a docking station and project that big presentation to your clients. Book a weekend getaway with just a few clicks. "PCs are going from engines or tools to portals and enablers. The vision of what they'll be in the future is a partner. They'll be participating in the higher cognitive tasks of what people do to get their jobs done," says Andrew Chien, director of research at Intel Corp. The personal computer has been a corporate workhorse for decades. And while it has evolved, becoming slimmer and more mobile, in many ways it still resembles those old terminals tethered to the mainframe. But the next decade will bring dramatic changes, as the PC evolves past the standard desktop and laptop units to amalgamations of computing devices and their peripherals. This future PC will be smarter, too. It could discreetly remind you of the name of an acquaintance and alert you when it's time to take your medicine. It will be your colleague, your butler -- and possibly your friend. We talked and corresponded with a dozen or so experts in R&D, IT management and academia to get a feel for what they're expecting the PC to look like a decade from now. A New Look One thing everyone seems to agree on: The PC of 2019 won't look like today's laptops. "I'm not seeing people carrying anything that looks like a book," says Dan

Siewiorek, a professor of computer science and electrical and computer engineering at Carnegie Mellon University and director of the university's Human-Computer Interaction Institute. "It would be like a phone or a ring or watch. It will probably take multiple form factors." Siewiorek says function will increasingly influence what PCs look like. An older person who needs help with independent living, for example, might carry a PC in the form of a wristwatch and use it as a virtual coach that reminds him about appointments or medicine schedules. A technical worker might have her PC in her eyeglasses, allowing her to access and view information through embedded monitors and share what she's seeing with colleagues and supervisors via a camera in the glasses. Siewiorek says he can even imagine how PC technology could revolutionize the way, say, offshore crane operators or airplane mechanics do their jobs. The changing ways in which we work and live -- and the blurring line between the two -- are driving the changes we will see in our computers. "The PC of 2019 will be nothing like the PC we know today," says Wen Xiao, CIO of global service delivery at London-based telecommunications giant BT Group PLC. "It will be smaller and ubiquitous. Its function is less of computing and more of access control and communications. The computing capabilities will reside inside the cloud and be accessed on demand by [the] individual user." He says younger workers, and certainly those who will enter the workforce in the coming decade, expect their data -- not just their devices -- to travel with them. They need their PCs to work wherever they want them to, and they don't want to worry about storing and transferring data. Xiao says virtualization and cloud computing are already enabling that new level of mobility, and the trend is expected to accelerate. "The computing [and] data-storage functions will all be virtualized -- device-independent, location-independent data and applications stored somewhere in the cloud, and on-demand software applications," Xiao says.

That, in turn, changes what we need from hardware. "Its main purpose is no longer computing but identification," he explains. "As a result, it will be super small or most likely combined with other devices, like mobile phone, key, bio-ID, etc. What's inside is a unique identification of the user." Bill Schilit, a research engineer at Google Inc. and associate editor in chief of the IEEE Computer Society's Computer Magazine, says he, too, sees "the trend more and more off the desktop. We see people using just their cell phones or a very thin client on their desks or some sort of docking model, where you take your cell phone and plug it into a keyboard." Moreover, the PCs of the future will put the accent on "personal," he says (emphasizing that this vision is his, not Google's). Consumer demand for games and instant access to everyday information -- announcements of school closings, traffic updates, weather reports -- will drive adoption, he says. "We're going to see a lot more people using computer phones/smartphones and a lot more software for them," he says. http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/334799/Future_shock_The_PC_of_2019

Comparison
"Visions of Tomorrow" explores many ideas about the visions of how might computing change along the years. It amazingly describes some technologies that should be available in a way to improve computer's user lives, such as bigger monitors and speech recognition systems, for instance. More than that, the text illustrates notions of health and ambiental conscience that already existed at that time, aboarding subjects as the paperless office and radiation screens. The author of the text also made predictions about keyboards. He thought it would also change in the future, as it was considered a disaster, but it has not happened and nowadays the keyboard is still the same since the beginning of its existence. More than that, the text explores about the internet, which is a device that has been available for many years and is already a well developed tool; but it does not mean that at that time the internet was such an easy implement. In the 1970's only big companies had access to worldwide connectivity, but today it is a tool available everywhere and for everyone. "Future shock: The PC of 2019" is an actual text that makes some predictions about the computer of 2019. The main predictions are about sizes and shapes, assuming different forms depending on the user. For instance, the text talks about PCs in the form of wristwatches that would remind people about their medicine and in the form of eyeglasses, which would allow technical workers to access information through the lens. Another main point at this text is the way Personal Computers will get even more personal. While the first text still treats technology as a workhorse, in Future Shock, PCs are characterized as a persons best friend in many aspects, giving he all the support along the day: from a remind of the name of an acquaintance to higher cognitive tasks. Its main purpose is no longer computing but identification. The first text talks about huge monitors and, in opposition to it, the reduction of the size of desktops and laptops. On the second text, the idea is to have smaller computers with more mobility; it can be said that that the first text was right and that, somehow, the second one is close to the future truth.

Conclusion
In the early nineties, people didnt expect even half of the improvements in computing and communication. Many of the possible future technologies were covered and just a few people had access to it. Nowadays, not just these areas have individually improved themselves, but they tended to become one. One of the examples is the Palm Smartphone, which works as a computer in a cell phone. You can access the internet to send messages to anyone and accessing websites. You can also use office tools and listen to music. But the future technologies reserve more. Another main technology being developed is, for instance, the Speech Recognition Who Converts the Spoken in Text. Speech recognition application includes voice user interfaces like voice dialing, call routing, domestic appliance control, search (like Google Voice Search, who allow users to do searches in the system using the phone), etc. One of the most interesting, if not the most one, future technologies is Time Traveling. The time traveling explanation comes from relativity theory, which is believed that objects can suffer from time expansion based in its velocity. Hence, it is believed that an object moving at the speed of light can travel through time. It is also believed that, in future, informatics can seize this technology by peripherals. The neuron use in computers is already being researched and even tested. The idea is that people with some kind of physical disease can control a computer by nerve pulses. There is already a device that can make simple calculations based at this technology, called leech-ulator. With this technology, the user may have an improvement at his control power over the computer, by motor movements generated by neurons and other technologies. It is also hoped to integrate such technology with other areas like robotics and electronics.