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Volume 17 No 2

Our Planet
The magazine of the United Nations Environment Programme

Climate Change and


economic development

Mwai Kibaki
Facing the Challenge

Mark Malloch Brown


Window of Opportunity

Marthinus van Schalkwyk


Setting Priorities

David Miliband
Environmental Contract

José Goldemberg
No Reason To Wait

Yvo De Boer 
Climate Change Won’t Wait
Our Planet
www.unep.org

12 No Reason To Wait 24 Star Profile: Bianca Jagger


José Goldemberg, Secretary for the
Environment, State of São Paulo, 25 Books and Products
Brazil
26 Keeping the Window Open
14 Climate Change Won’t Wait Jennifer Morgan, Director of the
Yvo de Boer, Executive Secretary Climate Change Programme, WWF
of the United Nations Framework International
Convention on Climate Change
28 Golden Opportunity for
17 People Black Gold
Rami A. Kamal, consultant on
18 An Equal Chance Saudi Aramco’s Carbon
Raphael Hanmbock, Coordinator Management Team
of the African Network for a
Climate Community (ANCC)
West and Central Africa, and
Chairman of ACAN Cameroon, and
Mark Edwards/Still Pictures Aubrey Meyer, Director of the
Global Commons Institute

UNEP/Still Pictures
3 Editorial
Achim Steiner, Under Secretary 20 Protect and Grow
General and Executive Director Prof. Ogunlade R. Davidson,
UNEP. Yvo De Boer, Executive Dean, Post-Graduate Studies at
Secretary UNFCCC the University of Sierra Leone and
31 Firm Commitment
Zijun Li, China Fellow at the
Co-Chair of Working Group
4 Facing The Challenge Worldwatch Institute
III of the Intergovernmental Panel
Mwai Kibaki, President of the on Climate Change
Republic of Kenya 33 Making Ourselves Heard
22 Freedom Isn’t Free Abdoul Byukusenge, UNEP
5 Window of Opportunity Atiq Rahman, Executive Director TUNZA Youth Advisor for Africa
Mark Malloch Brown, Deputy of the Bangladesh Centre for
Secretary-General of the United Advanced Studies and Chairman 34 Into The Mainstream
Nations of the Climate Action Network, Preety M. Bhandari, Director
South Asia of the Policy Analysis Division,
8 Setting Priorities TERI, India
Marthinus van Schalkwyk,
Minister of Environmental 36 Plant a Billion Trees
Affairs and Tourism, South Africa Plant for the Planet
Mark Edwards/Still Pictures

10 Environmental Contract
David Miliband, Secretary of Also available on the internet at
State for the Environment, www.unep.org
Food and Rural Affairs of the
United Kingdom
The contents of this magazine do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of UNEP or the editors, nor
Our Planet, the magazine of the
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Front cover: Martin Bond/Still Pictures
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Our Planet

six years ago, while a drought in


the mid 1990s triggered a total
loss of fish stocks in Lake Chilwa.
Malawi’s NAPA calls for restocking,
assistance in fish breeding,
and better understanding of
how temperatures disrupt the
reproduction of key species.
It also calls for reforestation

unFCCC
of the catchment of the Shire
unep

River which produces most of the


Achim Steiner Yvo de Boer country’s electricity. Deforestation
United Nations Under-Secretary- Executive Secretary, United and unsustainable agricultural
General and Executive Director, Nations Framework Convention practices has led to the siltation
UNEP on Climate Change of dams.
Samoa’s NAPA calls
for assistance to move

C
hildren on one of southern emissions (for example through infrastructure and communities
Africa’s mightiest rivers are forestry and renewable energy to higher ground, for measures
playing the Limpopo board projects in developing countries) to strengthen buildings against
game, literally for their lives. and has burst into life. increased cyclones, and for
Piloted in places like Zimbabwe’s By 2012, certified emission restoring community springs.
Matabeleland and Mozambique’s reductions achieved through the It says that boosting the health
Gaza Province, it uses the power CDM are expected to reach at of habitats and ecosystems will
of play to teach ways of reducing least 1.2 billion tonnes, more than provide vital buffers against
vulnerability to flooding. the combined emissions of Spain climate change.
If a counter lands on a space and the United Kingdom. Funding for adaptation is
showing a well designed flood- The industrialized countries starting to accumulate as a
proof village – or one advising as a group are still on track to result of investments in the
children to move themselves meet their Kyoto commitments, CDM and voluntary pledges to
and livestock to higher ground provided they make a more a special fund established to
– it moves forward several extensive effort domestically, finance the implementation of
spaces. But if it alights on one and make active use of the NAPA activities. However, these
depicting a decimated forest, market mechanisms of the Kyoto resources must be augmented
land degradation, or other factors Protocol. It is clear, however, that if they are to have measurable
increasing vulnerability, it must in the long run deeper emission results in the poorest countries
go back six. cuts will be required. of the world.
The game – part of a larger But past pollution from
project, funded by the Global industrialised countries has Emission reductions
Environment Facility (GEF), already guaranteed us some
launched after the devastating climate change: carbon dioxide, It is becoming clear that all
Limpopo floods six years ago after all, can persist in the investments in developing
– underlines in a simple but atmosphere for up to 200 years. countries, both public and private,
poignant way the challenges So the global community must must factor in climate change
developing countries face as help developing countries adapt. if they are to be viable. But this
they try to adapt to the extreme cannot be an alibi for inaction on
weather events linked to climate Climate proofing emission reductions.
change. Scientists estimate that a 60
Least Developed Countries have to 80 per cent cut in greenhouse
Clean development – or are preparing – National gases will be needed to stabilize
Adaptation Programmes of the atmosphere. We must keep
In industrialized countries, Action (NAPAs) under the United our sights set firmly on this
progress is starting to be made in Nations Framework Convention target. Otherwise everyone, rich
reducing emissions of greenhouse on Climate Change. Take Malawi, and poor alike, will have more
gases as a result of the Kyoto where almost every facet of and more pressure to adapt and
Protocol and through its flexible life will need some measure of fewer places to adapt to and from.
mechanisms. The Protocol links to ‘climate proofing’. Droughts and They will end up playing their own
the developing world; for example floods have increased in intensity, versions of the Limpopo River
through the Clean Development frequency and magnitude over game – and, like the children on
Mechanism (CDM) which allows the past few decades. its banks, playing for their very
developed countries to offset Floods destroyed fish ponds lives n


Our Planet

Facing the T
he climate change Convention and its Kyoto
Protocol provide a good basis for multilateral
action. Although some progress has been
made in the implementation of these instruments,

Challenge
the actions are far from adequate. This is primarily
because of the limited scope of the commitments
of developed country parties and inadequate
implementation of these commitments. The extent
Mwai Kibaki addresses climate change to which developing countries can comply with their
and the African development dilemma commitments and therefore contribute towards the
ultimate objectives of the Convention, is dependent
on their being facilitated by developed Country
Parties. The climate change negotiation process
and the outcome of these negotiations need to be
fair to all countries.
Africa is the region most vulnerable to the impact
of climate change despite the fact that it is the
least responsible for contributing to greenhouse
gas emissions. The implementation of practical
adaptation activities with predictable and secure
funding therefore is a top priority for Africa in this
Conference. In terms of mitigation, equity is needed
in the implementation of the Clean Development
Mechanism (CDM).
While this is a largely private sector venture,
G. Griffiths/ Christian Aid/Still Pictures

there are certain actions governments can take to


even out the ground. Specific targets need to be
set to redress the imbalances in the geographical
distribution of CDM projects. Africa supports the
exploitation of other options for mitigation, including
those which may not be covered by CDM, and
particularly those that promote local sustainable

O
development objectives.
n behalf of the Government and the people
Working within the principles of equity and
of Kenya, I wish to extend a warm welcome common, but differentiated, principles, it is
to all the delegates and other visitors important that we view climate change as an
who have come to Nairobi to attend the twelfth opportunity to address the challenges of achieving
Conference of the Parties Kenya is honoured to sustainable development, rather than framing it
host the twelfth Conference of the Parties which is as an environmental problem. There is need for
also the second meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto countries to have a flexible global regime to cater
Protocol (COP/MOP2) in November this year at for the changing circumstances. At the core of this
regime must be elements relating to adaptation,
the United Nations Offices in Nairobi.
technology development and transfer.
It is appropriate that the Conference be held at the I wish to state that in the interest of sustainable
premises of the only United Nations headquarters development of our region, we are keen to be
in the developing world and we look forward to associated with global efforts to foster long- term
a successful and memorable conference. climate cooperative action to address climate change
change is a reality which affects all countries by enhancing the implementation of the climate
but its impact is and will be most acutely felt in change Convention and its Kyoto Protocol.
the developing world, particularly in African We realize that for all these efforts to succeed,
action must start at the national level. Kenya is
countries. climate change is threatening to frustrate
prepared to face this challenge together with other
poverty eradication efforts and make the prospect nations of the World n
of meeting the Millennium Development Goals far
less certain. Mwai Kibaki is President of the Republic of Kenya.


Our Planet
Charlotte Thege/Still Pictures

Window
many areas unfit for crops or
grazing.
5. Warmer and wetter conditions
may accelerate the spread of new

of Opportunity
varieties of infectious diseases such
as malaria and yellow fever.

Dire consequences

Mark Malloch Brown reports a growing momentum Each of these scenarios has dire
in governments and business to tackle climate change, and consequences for our world. Yet,
while consensus on the science is
describes how the issue is being mainstreamed through the gradually moving towards the more
UN system alarmed end of the scale, determined
resistance by a powerful minority of
doubters has made effective strategies
difficult to agree and implement.

T
he carbon-based economy is in Without urgent and concerted Such delay should concern all
many respects an uncontrolled action, five broad trends appear countries, but is especially troubling
experiment on the global inescapable: for developing ones that remain
climate, with serious, but hard to 1. The world’s coasts will face particularly vulnerable to the effects
measure risks for the economy, the increasingly severe storms and of climate change.
environment and human health. For floods, with the inundation of coastal Poor people already live on the
several decades now, the world’s areas displacing millions of people. front lines of poverty, pollution,
leading scientists have been warning 2. Salt-water intrusion from rising disaster, and degradation. Their
that without major policy changes in sea levels will impact the quality and livelihoods and food security depend
the next few years, we face a future availability of freshwater, worsening directly on agriculture, forestry
filled with danger. the world’s growing water crisis. and fisheries. Their economies will
While projections still combine 3. As warmer conditions alter suffer most from the heightened
uncertain effects with certain facts, forests, wetlands and rangelands, frequency of drought, floods and
even the minimum predicted shifts the damage to the Earth’s ecosystem storms associated with climate
in climate for the 21st century will be far reaching and irreversible: change. Indeed, there is a real risk
are likely to be significant and some 25 per cent of mammals and that climate change could erect new
disruptive. To take just one of many 12 per cent of birds could become obstacles in the way of achieving the
very worrying examples, sea levels extinct over the next few decades. Millennium Development Goals.
have already risen by 10 to 20 cm 4. Shifting agricultural lands and Climate change policies
over pre-industrial averages. creeping desertification will leave require strong economic resolve,


Our Planet

particularly in light of two closely taking place. They also understand by developing countries, has yet to
linked global concerns: energy the need for market and non-market realize its potential to help developed
security and worldwide economic approaches, and for striking a balance countries meet their targets, or to
stability in an era of rising oil prices. between public policy prescriptions prompt meaningful changes in
Creative responses driven by solid and technology-based solutions. production and consumption patterns
research, shared knowledge and the Of course, not all States share the in developing ones. Nevertheless,
participation of governments and same commitment to addressing the global carbon market, including
people at all levels are needed to the challenge, and they also differ CDM and emissions trading, stands
meet this critical challenge. on what actions to take. But the at $11 billion, and is expected to
At a very minimum, the world broad, common acceptance of the grow significantly.
must pursue a double strategy: problem presents a new window of This market reflects a remarkable
We need to reduce emissions of opportunity to tackle the challenge feature of the climate process: the
greenhouse gases, which means collectively. growing involvement of the private
altering how we live and do business Even before this political sector and the interest of new
– including through more efficient momentum was generated, real business sectors. While some of
use of energy and other resources, gains were being made. The the responses are due to mandatory

Mark Edwards/Still Pictures

We need to reduce UN Framework Convention on regulations, companies – both


emissions of greenhouse Climate Change, the centrepiece of from Kyoto parties and from non-
gases, which means global efforts to limit and stabilize parties – are increasingly realizing
altering how we live and atmospheric greenhouse gas that carbon trade can be potentially
do business — including concentrations, has come to enjoy quite lucrative. This trend received
through more efficient nearly universal membership. And a further boost with the start of the
with the entry into force of the European Union’s Emissions Trading
use of energy and other Convention’s Kyoto Protocol, a Scheme in 2005: its empirical data
resources new era of fighting climate change on actual prices of carbon emission
has begun. The 155 parties to this reductions significantly improves
technological development, and Protocol have agreed to reduce upon prior academic or government
greater public awareness. And we developed countries’ greenhouse gas estimations.
need to adapt to the climate change emissions to levels 5.2 per cent below
that is already inevitable because of their 1990 amounts. The Protocol Renewable energy
the massive accumulation of past created three innovative and cost-
emissions. effective market-based mechanisms The development of such trading
Despite the minority of sceptics, to assist developed countries to schemes underpins the reality that
momentum to address the climate comply with its commitments: the private investment and corporate
crisis is growing. The communiqué Clean Development Mechanism behavioural change will prove at least
issued by G-8 Members last year at (CDM), Joint Implementation, and as significant in winning the climate
Gleneagles – and their actions and International Emissions Trading. fight as direct government action.
pronouncements since – underscore CDM, the only market The magnitude of the task before
the fact that major players no longer instrument currently available to us means that neither governments
question whether climate change is facilitate greenhouse gas reductions nor businesses can hope to address


Our Planet

it alone. That is why strong political change is being mainstreamed developed and made cost-effective.
will has to be matched with sustained throughout the UN system – from Some governments have already
private effort to arrive at solutions to the normative, intergovernmental attempted to cut greenhouse
changing climate. processes of the Climate Change gas emissions with a mixture of
Already, the private sector Convention, to the operational work incentives subsidies, voluntary
is engaged as never before, and of the funds, programmes, agencies, programmes, regulations, and fines.
not just through Kyoto’s market and regional commissions. Several have attacked the problem
mechanisms. More and more, Our disaster relief strategies directly by imposing ‘taxes’ on
corporate leaders are grasping the are taking the impact of climate carbon use. Others have established
potential of renewable energy, hybrid change into account. The Global ‘carbon markets’ where units of
vehicles, breakthrough techniques Environment Facility – an initiative energy use may be bought and
and green technologies. The financial being implemented by the UN sold. These arrangements anticipate
and insurance sectors have become Development Programme, UNEP provisions that will apply beyond
increasingly concerned about climate and the World Bank – has been the Kyoto Protocol.
change as a business risk, and have steering more funding to projects
been pressing Governments to act aimed at both mitigation and Growing urgency
with greater determination. adaptation. UNEP is also working
more broadly with UNDP better to The fight against climate change
Economic growth integrate environmental issues into will require a sustained effort for
development planning, and it is this entire century. Unsustainable
Particularly promising are recent studying the feasibility of making practices are woven deeply into
moves to introduce environmental the UN Organization itself carbon- the fabric of modern life. At last
criteria into key measures of neutral. though, as Gleneagles and then
corporate performance. Earlier this Montreal showed, there is emerging
year, institutional investors from Global action agreement on the problem, as well
around the world, representing as growing urgency in the search
$2 trillion in assets, signed on to Last year’s climate meetings in for solutions. The Nairobi Climate
the Principles for Responsible Montreal made significant strides Change Conference is a significant
Investment, sponsored by the UN forward. Two parallel tracks were opportunity to build on this
Secretary-General’s Global Compact agreed that have great potential to understanding, and to take ever more
and UNEP’s Finance Initiative. intensify future global action. The aggressive measures to address the
This represents a major step first involves discussions among the problem. We must all – individual
forward in efforts to ‘put a price’ on parties to the Protocol, and looks at citizens, private enterprise and policy
environmental stewardship – or the binding targets for the industrialized makers alike – work to ensure that
lack of it – by channelling finance countries beyond 2012. The second this strengthened resolve translates
and investment towards companies is a dialogue involving all parties into real progress towards winning
that display corporate citizenship, to the Convention which looks this battle n
including through meaningful action at a broader range of long-term
against climate change. cooperative action. The Climate Mark Malloch Brown is Deputy
Despite these welcome advances, Change Conference in Nairobi is Secretary-General of the United
climate change still tends to be well placed to advance action on both Nations.
perceived as a predominantly tracks, and to drive progress in
environmental concern, though it has both policy and practical terms.
profound implications for economic Most of the immediate
growth, social advancement, and progress that can be made to
almost all other aspects of human reduce greenhouse-gas emissions
well-being. Progress in dealing involves using fossil fuels more
with it demands that we break down efficiently. Industry, which
these barriers, and fully engage accounts for over 40 per cent of
relevant sectors of government and global carbon dioxide emissions,
civil society in our efforts. Indeed, can benefit from getting more
a more holistic understanding of electricity, transport, and
the implications of climate change industrial output for less coal,
can help solidify the political will oil, or gasoline. That is a no-
and public concern necessary to lose situation: more profit, less
help find solutions. There must be pollution, less global warming.
an integrated approach, in keeping The savings thus realized will
with the precepts of sustainable buy time for the global climate
development, which positions it system while alternative-energy
firmly within a broader agenda. technologies – which at present
Such integration is already under way only contribute less than 2 per
at the United Nations, where climate cent to world supplies – can be
Jorgen Schytte/Still Pictures


Our Planet

Setting Priorities
Marthinus van Schalkwyk describes Africa’s vulnerability
to climate change and identifies key areas for action by both
developed and developing countries

I
t has become abundantly dependency and low adaptive
clear over the past decade capacity in the face of declining
– based on evolving science, or migrating fish stocks resulting
and work of the IPCC – that the from climate change.
potential impacts of climate Forty per cent of Africa’s
change may hold a far greater international borders are
risk than previously believed; that demarcated by river channels
roughly 2ºC is the lower range of and basin watersheds, and most
predicted temperature increase, major rivers traverse national
while 3°C seems increasingly boundaries. These are sensitive
likely from a doubling of pre- to even moderate reductions in
industrial carbon dioxide. Recent rainfall, as are projected for much
evidence also suggests that the of western and southern Africa.
biosphere may be approaching Such reductions could lead to an
key physical tipping points increase in inter-communal and
– thresholds beyond which the inter-state conflicts over scarce
external drivers of change are water resources and threaten the
replaced by self-sustaining sustainability of hydro-electric
internal drivers – points beyond power generation, if not managed adverse effects. The risks are
which policy options will become in a proactive manner. many, the opportunities far less
very limited indeed. It is clear Projected significant re- bountiful.
that such changes could lead ductions of perennial surface
to irreversible damage across water in southern Africa by the Priority areas
Africa, and the rest of the globe. end of the century could threaten
key ecological and livelihood Against this background, we
Adverse effects resources, such as the Okavango look forward to a productive and
Delta in Botswana, and large constructive two weeks when we
In Africa, as in many parts urban centres, such as greater meet in Nairobi for the twelfth
of the world, impacts could Cape Town. Aridification and Conference of the Parties (COP12)
include greater and more rapid greater extremes of climate, if the United Nations Framework
sea level rise than previously potential extinctions of endemic Convention on Climate Change
projected, and more frequent species and disruption of (UNFCCC) and the Conference
coastal storms, threatening the physical ecosystems – such as of the Parties/Meeting of the
lives and livelihoods of coastal the remobilization of Kalahari Parties (COP/MOP2) of the Kyoto
communities; the increased dune systems – represent only a Protocol in November. There are
incidence of extreme weather few of many significant projected five priority areas that I would
events; substantial reductions in impacts on local sustainable like to highlight for this African
surface water resources leading livelihoods and ecological COP:
to accelerated desertification resources.
in sensitive arid zones; and Overall, the projected impacts of 1. Keeping the momentum and
greater threats to health (such as unmitigated climate change in creative space to strengthen the
malaria), biodiversity (including Africa are likely to have significant regime.
bleaching of coral species on the impacts on human livelihoods, Countries have different
east African tropical reef systems) health, water resources, responsibilities, but we all –
and agricultural production (a agricultural production and food developed as well as developing
predicted decline of 12 per cent security, as well as nature-based – have a common one to act
in production in Africa by 2080). tourism. All would undermine according to our capabilities
African marine and fresh water economic prospects across much and national circumstances. The
fisheries already count among of the continent. Indeed, most ideal regime should work for both
the world’s most vulnerable. African countries are among the developing and the developed
Western and central Africa show those least able effectively to world, recognizing that there is
particularly high exposure and respond to, and cope with, these no ‘one-size-fits-all’ solution.


Our Planet

to bring about deeper emission that African countries face in


reductions under a Kyoto Plus participating effectively in the
regime. We therefore need to international climate regime.
maintain the political momentum There is a particular need for
and space to innovate. technical and institutional
capacity building in Africa, and
2. Sustainable development for working together to support
For developing countries, a the development of CDM projects
future regime should offer in African countries.
incentives for synergies between
sustainable development and 5. Technology
climate change mitigation, and To succeed in initiating real
more fully balance adaptation action on technology transfer,
and mitigation. A register of we should seize the opportunity
sustainable development policies provided by the upcoming review
and measures (supported through of the mandate of the Expert
technology and enabled by Group on Technology Transfer
finance) would seem a preferable at COP12 to seek a broader
vehicle for recognizing and mandate that would allow it
supporting through incentives to consolidate the numerous
current and future action by technology-related decisions
developing countries. under the Convention.
Joerg Boethling/Still Pictures

Looking beyond Nairobi,


3. Adaptation we all agree that investment
Adaptation remains at the in developing and deploying
forefront of any sustainable low-carbon technologies must
development policy agenda. be scaled up. Successfully
Given the climate change impacts deploying privately-owned,
outlined above, we must now climate-friendly technologies in
We believe that an innovative move into a new gear on three developing countries will also
approach of providing positive fronts: implementing concrete require us to resolve the vexing
incentives for actions that promote adaptation measures, identifying issue of intellectual property
local sustainable development, additional vulnerabilities, and rights. In this context it may be
and avoid greenhouse gas ensuring adequate, predictable constructive to develop focused
emissions, will go a long way and sustainable funding of the programmes for the transfer
to framing developing country key financial mechanisms. We of technologies in particular
action under the Convention. trust Nairobi will be the turning sectors – such as cleaner coal
For developed countries point in activating the Adaptation or solar thermal electricity
the process of agreeing on Fund under the Kyoto Protocol, – and to broaden the focus of
substantially stricter targets and in finalising the modalities of the technology cooperation
must be finalized expeditiously the five-year programme of work paradigm to include incentives
to ensure that there is no gap on impacts, vulnerability and for South-South cooperation.
between the first and second adaptation. The Nairobi meetings must
commitment periods. The Article put in place the building blocks
9 review mandated in the Kyoto 4. Carbon markets to give content to these African
Protocol should also receive high Nairobi must kick-start priorities. Though success will
priority in Nairobi. the process of redressing require political will in both the
Given the scale of the challenges the inequitable and limited developing and developed worlds,
ahead and the inter-linkages geographical distribution of the it is of utmost importance that
between the two tracks agreed in Clean Development Mechanism all developed countries continue
Montreal (the Kyoto track and the (CDM). At the time of writing, the to take the lead in global efforts
Convention track), it is very urgent 15 CDM projects in the pipeline to combat climate change and
to foster better understanding in Sub-Saharan Africa accounted to assist vulnerable countries to
of the various scenarios for the for only 1.7 per cent of the total adapt to its devastating impacts.
future architecture of the regime. of 850 projects world-wide: ten With strong support from our
More specifically, we need to located in South Africa, two in partners, developing countries
unpack – and in the process Nigeria and one each in Côte can play their part in tackling
debunk the myths and reduce the d’Ivoire, Tanzania and Uganda. our common responsibilities,
uncertainties about – possible To build faith in the carbon albeit in a differentiated way n
balanced ‘packages’ that could market and to ensure that
build a bridge between the two everyone shares in its benefits, Marthinus van Schalkwyk is
tracks. We will need to find ways we must address the lack of Minister of Environmental Affairs
both to broaden participation and information and other obstacles and Tourism, South Africa.


Mark Edwards/Still Pictures
Environmental
Kyoto commitment – and it has been achieved while
maintaining strong economic growth. We will continue
to pursue an ambitious programme to take us further, in
line with our self-imposed domestic target of reducing
CO2 emissions by 60 per cent by 2050.

Contract
But we have to place domestic action in an international
context. The UK only represents around 2 per cent of
global greenhouse gas emissions and that percentage is
falling. If we are to meet the UN Framework Convention
David Miliband calls for urgent action to on Climate Change’s objective of stabilising greenhouse
combat the reality of climate change and outlines gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that
priorities for progress would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference
with the climate system, then we need a global response.
Let us not lose sight of this objective. The longer we
delay action, the greater the cost. We know from the

I
n the five months I have been in my present job, International Energy Agency’s figures that there will be
I have become increasingly aware that the facts around $17 trillion of investment in energy infrastructure
surrounding climate change are more alarming – and over the next 25 years. Channelling this into clean
the consequences more immediate – than most people technology is absolutely key: if it is instead directed into
realize. Many people see it as purely a long-term issue: dirty technology, it will lock us into further substantial
the reality is, we are feeling the impacts now. Arctic sea increases in greenhouse gas emissions for many years to
ice has already thinned by about 40 per cent in the last 50 come.
years. The ten warmest years on record have all occurred
since 1990. We need to respond with urgent action both Environmental consequences
at the national and international level – including helping
the most vulnerable to adapt to the impacts and making Our response needs to be urgent, and – crucially –
progress on reducing our emissions of greenhouse informed by the most up-to-date science and economic
gases. and social analysis. The Stern Review on the Economics
In the UK we recognize the threat and are taking of Climate Change, commissioned by the UK’s Prime
action across the economy, in housing, transport, energy Minister and the Chancellor of the Exchequer in July
production, and with business. As a consequence of our 2005, will provide significant insights on its economic,
policies, the UK is on course to reduce greenhouse gas social and environmental consequences, and on the costs
emissions by 23-25 per cent by 2010 compared to the of action and inaction. These will be crucial for all parties
1990 baseline. That is around double the size of our to examine and take on board.

10
Our Planet

Climate change is increasingly being seen not just in the US Northeast states, and with other countries, to
as an environmental issue but as one which cuts across design trading schemes that can be linked.
our economic, development and foreign policy agendas. The Clean Development Mechanism is already a
That is why the Prime Minister chose to place it on the key pillar of the international carbon market, potentially
agenda for heads of Governments at the G8 Summit last covering some 148 non-Annex I parties, and is linked to
year. One outcome of the Summit was the Gleneagles the EU and Japanese private markets. It is expected to
Dialogue, which provides a more informal space to deliver 1.2 billion tonnes of emission reductions to 2012.
explore key challenges away from the negotiating room, There are UK participants in 26 per cent of currently
complementing the work of the UNFCCC. registered projects.
I believe that both the formal and informal processes Much still needs to be done to realize the CDM’s
need to focus on four priority areas: potential, not least in Africa. By building on its early
Adaptation The need to adapt to unavoidable climate success and looking at its partnership potential with
change is now a reality and adaptation issues are rightly other market mechanisms, we can seek to create a truly
a crucial area on which to make progress during the global carbon market, fit to deliver on the challenge and
Nairobi meeting. In particular we need agreement scale of action needed post-2012.
on implementing the five year work programme on
adaptation – to ensure the work to be carried out over the Clean technology
next four years on impacts, vulnerability and adaptation
can proceed without delay – and on guidance on the But we still must do more. The World Bank and
operation of the Adaptation Fund. Regional Development Banks are developing a global
Our primary goals must be to encourage the flow of Energy Investment Framework to accelerate public and
funds into adaptation projects for the most vulnerable private investment into energy for development (with
countries and ensuring that adaptation to climate change a particular emphasis on access for the poor), low-
is mainstreamed into development policies. Assisting carbon energy technologies and adaptation. Attracting
developing countries to adapt to the inevitable changes we this investment will require policy conditions that can
are already experiencing is a fundamental responsibility mobilize international finance and domestic private
of developed countries under the Convention. sector investment.
Long Term Goal Finally, building consensus around a
Technological solutions non-binding, aspirational long-term goal would provide
greater clarity on overall direction as we move to a low-
Future Technology Kenya’s Minister Kivutha Kibwana carbon global economy. It would enable all countries
has rightly emphasized for Nairobi the future of the to take seriously the risks of getting locked into a high-
technology-transfer framework under the Convention, a carbon trajectory and, importantly, guide nations in
hugely important issue for developing countries. setting their own national policies.
The International Energy Agency has been looking at A long-term goal will also help drive innovation
low-carbon technologies, analyzing what technological and investment in clean technology. Some investors are
solutions are feasible, driven by the desire to introduce concerned about whether low-carbon solutions – which
low-carbon energy and adaptation measures that often take years to develop and bring to the market – will
will stabilize our climate at a safe level in a practical be rewarded.
timescale. I recognise that the developed world should take the
It found that existing low-carbon technologies can lead internationally on climate change and that we have
halve the growth of oil demand at a cost of under $25 responsibilities to assist developing countries in their
a tonne and return global carbon dioxide emissions to efforts to move to a path of low-carbon development
current levels by 2050. This shared understanding of while ensuring they become climate resilient. Inaction is
the specific technology challenges and opportunities simply unacceptable.
increases our ability to identify and agree priority areas In the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, improved
for cooperation on practical activities. understanding of rights and responsibilities in the UK
Strengthening Carbon Trading One of the most led to a social contract and improved social welfare for
effective ways of shifting investment towards low- all. I believe that for the twenty-first century we need
carbon technologies is through creating meaningful an environmental contract where citizens, business
carbon trading mechanisms, which will need the support and nations work together towards a goal, with clear
of governments, society and individuals. We have made understanding of each others’ rights and responsibilities.
a good start in Europe with the EU Emissions Trading The UNFCCC is playing a crucial part in this discussion
Scheme, but more needs to be done to strengthen the and Nairobi provides an opportunity for all countries to
market – including incorporating aviation and surface play their part and to meet the challenges we all face n
transport, further cuts in carbon allowances and greater
harmonization. Internationally, we are working closely David Miliband is Secretary of State for the Environment,
with California, the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative Food and Rural Affairs of the United Kingdom.

11
Our Planet

G No reason
lobal warming is not the only carbon capture and storage or fuel
problem now facing mankind, cells might also contribute but are
but it is one of the most still under development.
serious with which humanity has In industrialized countries there
ever been confronted. Others such is already a clear ‘decarbonization’

to wa i t
as overpopulation – as predicted by of the economy: carbon emissions
Malthus in the 19th century – did not are not growing as fast as the gross
occur as forecast. Water shortages, domestic product (GDP): in other
already plaguing many regions of the words, economic growth has been
world, may also probably be tackled ‘decoupled’ from carbon emissions,
successfully. José Goldemberg calls as the energy system becomes
There are however cases where on both developed and leading less dependent on fossil fuels. In
civilizations – such as those of developing countries to take developing countries, however, the
immediate action
Easter Island and some large Mayan growth of these emissions follows
Yucatan settlements – have perished GDP growth more closely, a trend
as a result of overexploiting natural aggravated by the intensive use of
resources. With global warming we coal in China and India.
are again testing the limits of the The 1992 United Nations
carrying capacity of the environment Framework Convention on Climate
on which we depend, changing the Change (UNFCCC) reflects that
composition of the atmosphere with asymmetry and incorporates the
unknown consequences. The jury is political principle of “common but
still out on whether civilisation will differentiated responsibilities”,
survive it. through which industrialized
The irony is that we know countries agree that they should
precisely what is causing global take the lead in reducing emissions.
warming: the massive injection of However, such compromises have
gases from human activities into the been often used in international
atmosphere, mainly CO2 (carbon negotiations as an excuse for inaction
dioxide) from the burning of fossil — except by the European Union
fuels. The solution is therefore clear: (EU) which has taken the Kyoto
to reduce such emissions, we must Protocol seriously and has been
‘decarbonize’ the present energy using its ‘flexibility mechanisms’ to
system. This, of course, is more fulfill its commitments. However,
easily said than done, because the the EU countries produce only 15
extraordinary progress witnessed in per cent of the world´s greenhouse
the 20th century was based essentially gas emissions.
on the large-scale, widespread use of The EU has also adopted targets
fossil fuels. Coal, oil and gas became and timetables through directives,
essential for mobility, electricity for increasing the share of renewable
generation, heat production and all sources in the energy matrix, in
Mark Edwards/Still Pictures

kinds of chemical and industrial consonance with the proposals put


products. forward in the 2002 Johannesburg
World Summit for Sustainable
Consumption patterns Development. This indicates that
there is nothing sinister about targets
Fossil fuels will not be abandoned and timetables: indeed, governments
easily, not only because they are because the rich may manage to do operate all the time under strict
relatively cheap and easy to get, but this more easily than the poor, thus budgets and similar parameters. The
because our consumption patterns aggravating thus the serious problems absence of such tangible goals – as is
are intimately connected to them. of underdevelopment ; the case in the United States which
There are therefore three options: 3. to reduce drastically the emissions has not joined the Kyoto Protocol –
1. to change consumption patterns of greenhouse gases through using leaves without guidance the private
radically, which is difficult and not a fossil fuels more efficiently and sector, which ultimately will have to
realistic option except under a very switching strongly to renewable conduct the activities required.
severe crisis; energies. There is no novelty in establishing
2. to adapt to the effects caused by The third option is the only one and pursuing targets and timetables,
climate change, which is a very really being implemented. Some as has successfully demonstrated,
asymmetric option in social terms other new technologies, such as for example, by both the Acid

12
Our Planet

Rain Programs (which put caps on taken by governments at different emission standards are also expected
sulphur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen levels. International treaties will only to cut ozone-forming pollution by
dioxide (NO2) emissions from succeed if they carry heavy sanctions about 6 tons per day in 2020.
thermal plants) or the 1987 Montreal for non-compliance (as does the Non In São Paulo State, Brazil, the
Protocol (which phased out several Proliferation Treaty), otherwise even use of ethanol blended in gasoline
groups of halogenated hydrocarbons mandatory clauses are voluntary (gasohol) avoided emissions of
that deplete the ozone layer, such as in reality. Yet many municipalities, nearly 7 million tCO2 eq in 2003.
CFCs). states and even countries are The use of ethanol, which is now
taking action to reduce their GHG less expensive than gasoline, has
Commitment period emissions, thanks to pressure from also reduced annual fuel costs to
non-governmental organizations consumers by as much as $7.5
We must urgently extend the present and the sheer enlightenment of some billion, as well as significantly
regime to its second commit-ment governmental actors. reducing air pollution.
period beyond 2012, and achieve In 2004 the California Air Nations must act more vigorously,
more reductions in greenhouse gas Resources Board, for example, and local governments can do a lot
(GHG) emissions. Proposals to that adopted standards that aim to reduce to avoid the dire consequences of
end are being discussed by national GHG emissions from cars and light global warming. There is no reason
governments. But it is essential trucks by 18 per cent in 2020 and to wait n
that the US ( which is responsible 27 per cent in 2030 – estimated to
for 25 per cent of all global GHG cut emissions by 30 million tons of José Goldemberg is Secretary for
emissions) joins and that the leading carbon dioxide equivalent (tCO2 eq) the Environment, State of São Paulo,
emitters in developing countries a year by 2020. Stricter motor vehicle Brazil
are attracted to adhere to emission
mitigation policies, possibly through
voluntary commitments under the
UNFCCC rules: They would not
have to encompass all sectors but
basically those where real success
can be achieved. For example, a
commitment from Brazil to reduce
deforestation in the Amazon would
be a major step forward, as would
ones from China and India to reduce
their large emissions from coal
combustion through, for example,
improved efficiency standards and
using last generation technologies
for electricity generation. The
widespread use of biofuels for
transport (ethanol replacing gasoline,
biodiesel substituting for diesel oil),
A commitment from Brazil
to reduce deforestation
in the Amazon would be
a major step forward, as
would ones from China
and India to reduce their
large emissions from coal
combustion
and other types of modern biomass
as an energy source, is another very
important option to be considered by
Joerg Bothling/Still Pictures

all countries, no matter whether they


produce them domestically or replace
unsustainable imports of fossil fuels.
Implementing such measures
will ultimately depend on action

13
Our Planet

Climate Change
Won’t Wait
YVo de Boer describes recent accomplishments, and
present and future challenges, in climate politics as the
reality of climate change becomes ever more evident

C
limate change is climate change and sustainable
increasingly an everyday development, which recognized it
reality. The growing as a high priority, was followed by
intensity and frequency of the adoption of the Buenos Aires
droughts, floods, extreme programme of work on adaptation
weather events, and other and response measures in 2004.
impacts speak loudly for the need The next year, the United Nations
to deal with this real and serious Climate Change Conference in
threat. Montreal adopted a five-year
The international response work programme on impacts,
to climate change has evolved vulnerability and adaptation to
around the United Nations climate change, intended to help
Framework Convention on develop the technical basis for
Climate Change and its Kyoto increasing resilience. Agreement
Protocol, which together provide is needed on the specific activities
the institutional basis for action within the programme to be
on a global scale. The latest carried out up to 2008: countries
round of international talks – the are expected to take decisions in
United Nations Climate Change Nairobi that will enhance action
Conference in Nairobi – deals with on adaptation on the ground. issues relating to its management
important issues for advancing remain to be agreed. Ministers
international action to mitigate Critical elements have an opportunity in Nairobi
the causes of climate change, to reach political agreement
and to adapt to its impacts. Developing countries will be on critical elements of the
Africa is particularly hurt most by climate change. governance and management
vulnerable to climate change. In Yet they are often those with of the Adaptation Fund. This is
Kenya, where millions of people the least capacity to respond especially important as the CDM
must already cope with climate to its impacts. The Adaptation is already generating income,
impacts, one can truly feel the Fund was therefore established which must be channelled to
urgent need for action. So taking under the Kyoto Protocol to finance adaptation projects
concrete steps to strengthen support adaptation activities that make a real difference for
support to developing counties in developing countries. The communities in the developing
in their efforts to tackle climate Fund is financed by a share of world.
change is a major priority for the the proceeds generated by the
Nairobi conference. Clean Development Mechanism Emission reductions
Action on adaptation to (CDM) – one of the Protocol’s
adverse effects of climate change market-based instruments – There has been progress in
will be a key theme. In the past and by voluntary contributions. implementing the Protocol’s
few years the international Countries adopted a decision at market-based mechanisms.
process has laid a solid basis the Montreal conference giving The CDM – combining support
for addressing adaptation. The initial guidance for the operation for sustainable development
2002 New Delhi declaration on of the Fund, but a number of in developing countries with

14
Our Planet

capacity-building for CDM host


countries, and other actions
to promote more equitable
geographical distribution of
projects. It is important that the
sustainable development benefits
of the CDM, such as the transfer
of cleaner technology and
improved energy efficiency, are
more accessible to communities
around the world.

Global dialogue

Joint implementation, another


of the Protocol’s project-based
market mechanisms, was only
formally approved in 2005. It
allows industrialized countries
with emission reduction
targets to earn credits by jointly
implementing projects that
reduce emissions or remove
carbon from the atmosphere.
Othmar Dressel/UNEP/Still Pictures

This is particularly important


to countries with economies in
transition, many of which have
enormous potential for low-cost
measures to reduce greenhouse
gas emissions but lack the
investment capital to implement
enhanced cost-effectiveness tonnes of certified emission them. The Joint Implementation
of emission reduction in reductions had been issued; now Supervisory Committee, which
industrialized ones – is the first this stands at over 11 million governs the mechanism, has done
to become operational. It is tonnes. The current CDM pipeline much since it was established at
now booming. The number of is expected to generate some $12 Montreal, and the mechanism is
registered CDM projects grew billion in carbon credits by 2012, now close to operation. Countries
from a few dozen at the end of if the price of a tonne of carbon are expected to take important
2005 to 270 by the end of August is around $10. If the post-2012 decisions in Nairobi to strengthen
2006. About a thousand more value of credits can be ensured, and further operationalize joint
are in the pipeline, heading and the CDM continues to grow, implementation.
for formal evaluation prior to the actual income is likely to be Dealing with climate change
registration. In February 2006 much higher. in the longer term is a central
it was estimated that the CDM challenge. Countries made a
pipeline would deliver more Cleaner technology major step towards addressing
than 800 million tonnes worth it in Montreal by launching two
of certified emission reductions The Montreal conference decided new processes on future policy.
by the end of 2012. By the end to strengthen the CDM by One track is a global dialogue
of August 2006, just six months streamlining its procedures and on long-term cooperative action
later, this estimate is increased increasing financial resources by enhancing implementation
to more than 1.2 billion tonnes to support its governance of the Convention. Structured
– equivalent to the combined structure, giving it more muscle. around four thematic areas
emissions of Canada and France The conference in Nairobi is – sustainable development,
in 2003. By October 2005, 50,000 to consider steps to enhance adaptation, technology, and

15
Our Planet

market-based opportunities – it under the Protocol on further its transfer to developing


is designed to allow countries commitments for industrialized countries.
to exchange experiences and countries continue with an The Protocol calls for a review
analyse strategic approaches for in-session workshop on the to take place at the second
longer term action. exchange of scientific, technical Conference of the Parties, serving
and socio-economic information as a Meeting of the Parties to
Advance development – including a presentation by the Kyoto Protocol (COP/MOP).
the Intergovernmental Panel Countries must decide in Nairobi
The other track is for negotiating on Climate Change and ones by on how to conduct it, building on
new commitments beyond 2012 countries on the scientific basis the momentum of the two-track
for industrialized countries under for determining their further process on future action already
the Kyoto Protocol, focussing on commitments, on emission trends under way.
quantified emission reduction and on the mitigation potential of
commitments, and addressing policies and technologies. The Grave responsibility
such issues as the duration two processes are closely related
of the commitment period; and support the same objective. Holding the twelfth Conference of
differentiation of commitments the Parties and the second COP/
and burden sharing; and sectors Future policy MOP on a continent so vulnerable
and sources of emissions and to climate change starkly
removals. A new subsidiary Significant longer-term emission demonstrates to negotiators
body to the Convention – the Ad reductions will largely depend their grave responsibility to
Hoc Working Group on Further on deploying new and more make substantial, meaningful
Commitments for Annex I efficient technologies. So it contributions to the fight against
Parties under the Kyoto Protocol is not surprising that making climate change, for communities
– has been established for this clean technology available to both in Africa and around the
purpose developing countries is one globe. Climate change will
After a successful start in May of the great challenges facing not wait for them, but might
2006, discussions on future action the process, one on which the be slowed down by the will of
continue in Nairobi. A workshop success of climate policy might determined nations working
under the dialogue focuses on depend. Technology is a central together n
how to advance development in a common element in discussions
sustainable way and how to realize on future policy, and negotiators Yvo de Boer is Executive Secretary
the full potential of market- are expected to agree in Nairobi of the United Nations Framework
based opportunities. Discussions on a set of actions to enhance Convention on Climate Change.

Yang Guang Zhong/UNEP/Still Pictures

16
Our Planet
Our Planet Our Planet

people

M
onique Barbut, the Director He is the leader of CIPALSA, an alliance between 16
of UNEP’s Division of organizations and nearly 65,000 people, including
Technology, Industry and government and non-governmental organizations,
Economics, was unanimously a foundation established by ex-guerrillas and an
elected Chief Executive Officer association of indigenous people. Its work includes the
and Chairman of the Global 500 Mil Cisternas (500,000 tanks) project — a water
Environment Facility for a three- supply alternative in arid and semi-arid rural areas of
year term by its Council in June. Colombia, which uses easily and quickly constructed
Her appointment appeared to tanks to capture and store rainwater for use in family
UNEP
have boosted deliberations among agriculture, homes, schools, and colleges.
governments on what in August became agreement on a Trained in law and sustainable development, he also
record $3.13 billion funding package. leads the way for REDLAYC, a food security and
Before joining UNEP in 2003, Ms Barbut had a sustainable development regional entity, and is regional
distinguished career in France’s economic development counselor for ECOFONDO, a consortium of regional
bank, la Caisse Centrale de Cooperation Economique, environmental organizations. His activities span the
and at the Agence Française de Developpement (AFD), Andean region, and his achievements have dented the
the country’s principal executing agency for foreign poverty that helps perpetuate local guerrilla activity, the
Mark Edwards/Still Pictures

aid, becoming its Executive Director for all Caribbean, production of illicit crops, and the flow of migrants to
Pacific and Indian Ocean activities. She was also a key Colombian cities. His integrated models and approaches
player – as a member of the French delegation – in the are seen as a kind of laboratory for developing tools and
financing negotiations at the 1992 Rio Earth Summit applications in hillside environments plagued with lack
and played an active role in the creation of the GEF. of resources and threatened by desertification.

T
UNEP’s Deputy Executive Director, Shafqat he Tenadi Cooperative Group was founded in
Kakakhel, said she would be “greatly missed” and Paul May 1975 by more than 200 families living in
Wolfowitz, President of the World Bank Group added: the desert. Persistent drought in the Sahel — and
“Her appointment brings valuable skills and experience Mauritania, in particular — since 1973 has killed 90 per
to GEF, which are vital for strengthening the Facility’s cent of the livestock, annihilating the
effectiveness”. Ms Barbut said: “In partnership with GEF hopes of people who have followed a
member countries, I look forward to building on GEF’s nomadic lifestyle there for centuries.
core strengths and increasing its impact with respect As a result, many nomads decided to
to the implementation of international environmental come together and settle on their land.
agreements. Confronting a hostile nature, the group

R
odrigo Hernan Vivas Rosas, from Colombia, have used innovative techniques to lay
has won one of the first redesigned UNEP down a solid foundation not just for basic
Tenadi

Sasakawa Prizes, presented in New York on 30 survival, but for sustainable development.
October. The other was awarded to Their activities include sinking two boreholes with
the Tenadi Cooperative Group of immersed pumps to provide water; getting agriculture
Mauritania. up and running; introducing new crops and regenerating
After two decades of recognizing flora which were becoming extinct; and spreading
important environmental initiatives, techniques to prevent sand encroachment among other
the $200,000 Prize has been shifted nomadic encampments that want to become settled.
towards being an incentive for To combat desertification, the cooperative has
environmental ideas and initiatives improved and reforested 80 hectares around the boreholes
Google

that are innovative, replicable, and to stop movement of the dunes, backed by a nursery of
— most importantly — sustainable in the long term. Prosopis trees for planting windbreaks — and created a
Each laureate’s scope of activities is associated with date palm oasis, where market gardening produce and
a theme selected for the year. In 2006, the theme for other crops can be grown productively under the trees.
which candidates were eligible was ‘Deserts and Achim Steiner, UNEP’s Executive Director, said: “This
Desertification’. is an award for the literally hundreds of thousands of
Mr Vivas Rosas, 36, has successfully established several grassroots initiatives trying to conserve the health and
environmental and community development initiatives fertility of the land in some of the harshest environments
that have won international acclaim and recognition. on the globe.” n

17
17
Our Planet

An Equal Chance of the Earth, regardless of


income, have an equal right to
emit greenhouse gas.
It pre-distributes future
emissions entitlements so
Raphael Hanmbock and Aubrey Meyer say that unequal that they ‘converge’ by a given
date on the global average
patterns of consumption must be tackled alongside emissions,
per capita value, while total
if dangerous climate change is to be avoided emissions ‘contract’ to meet
the safe global target. The
shares created in this way
are tradable, and so can be a
valuable resource to combat
poverty and promote clean
development.
Thus, based on current
assessment of the danger,
a ‘ceiling’ of the equivalent
of 450 parts per million
of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere could be set.
A global emissions budget
would then be calculated, and
this would contract to near
zero by around 2080, to keep
concentrations within that
‘safe’ ceiling. Convergence to
equal per capita emissions
would be achieved by 2030.
Z. Jananovic/UNEP/Still Pictures

Climate calamity

The model will, however,


calculate any contraction
budget chosen, and

H
convergence at any rate to
igh and low per capita correcting these unequal equal shares per person.
carbon emissions are consumption patterns. And Whatever the eventual figures,
a proxy for wealth this has to be ‘designed’: it the principles remain true.
and poverty both within and will not happen by accident. Such, therefore, is C&C
between nations. One third of ‘Contraction and Con- in principle. We need it in
the world’s people enjoy 94 vergence’ (C&C) is a simple practice as soon as possible
per cent of the global dollar model for sharing the since rising gross emissions
income and account for 90 per reduction of future greenhouse indicate looming climate
cent of the greenhouse gases gas emissions internationally. calamity, while increasingly
so far emitted throughout Guided by the science, it inequitable consumption
history; the other two thirds takes a safe and stable target patterns are now equally an
share just 6 per cent of this for concentrations of the indicator of looming conflict.
income and 10 per cent of the gases in the atmosphere, As the situation becomes more
emissions. and then calculates the urgent, it is futile to continue
We will not correct the over- global ‘contraction budget’ of basing climate negotiations on
consumption of fossil fuels future emissions required to a mere ‘aspiration’ to succeed,
that is leading to dangerous achieve it. Within this limit, while randomly picking targets
climate change without also it recognizes that all citizens out of a hat. It is similarly futile
18
Our Planet

to try to defend unequal rights, Protocol has been painfully but unless any agreement is
if agreement by consensus is slow, while the problem has governed by a C&C framework,
what we seriously seek. grown much faster than it will be directionless. Without
The C&C model is a predicted. this vision, our best efforts will
rational calculus to account The twelfth Conference gradually perish n
for how we can all do enough of the Parties in Nairobi is a
soon enough to avoid the moment of truth. The deal “Raphael Hanmbock is Co-
worst. Negotiations for a we all need, if we are to ordinator of the African Network
‘post-Kyoto’ settlement must survive, is more than simply for a Climate Community (ANCC)
be based upon it. However an agreement between some West and Central Africa, and
arbitrary, or even Utopian, it countries, after 15 years of Chairman of ACAN Cameroon
may seem to some, it is still deadlock, to take action ‘if you and Aubrey Meyer is Director of
less arbitrary than the random will’. This would be welcome, the Global Commons Institute.
alternatives on offer. And, as
the Archbishop of Canterbury
observed last year, “anybody Contraction for CO2 Concentrations
who thinks C&C is Utopian at 450 ppmv and Convergence by 2030
simply hasn’t looked honestly
at the alternatives.”
The objective of the
United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC), like that
of C&C, is to stabilize the
rapidly rising greenhouse
gas concentrations in the
atmosphere. Its principles
are precaution and equity.
Contraction provides
‘precaution’ and convergence
ensures ‘equity’ : Parties
should now negotiate the
rate for both. In 2003, Joke
Waller Hunter, the late
UNFCCC Executive Secretary
noted that the objective of
the Convention “inevitably
requires contraction and
convergence.”

Take action

This is what the world’s


poorest peoples – those most
vulnerable to the impacts of
changing climate – have been
asking for. The Africa Group
first made their call for the
C&C framework a decade ago
in Kyoto. They won the point
but lost the moment as the
patchwork of measures in the
Kyoto Protocol came into play.
Since then, progress with the

19
Our Planet

have a disastrous effect on what is


an already economically deficient
continent, especially by affecting
coastal areas which — as in the
west and east of Africa — make
a profound contribution to their
countries’ economies. However,
Africa’s greatest problem lies
more in its weak capacity to
respond adequately to climate
variability and extremes than in
responding to global warming
per se. This is compounded by its
equally weak response and poor
resilience to other global shocks.
Africa is the most vulnerable
continent to the problems caused
by the build-up of greenhouse
gases. But it has accounted for
less than 3 per cent of it so far,

Hartmut Schwarbach/Still Pictures


and still contributes less than 4
per cent of the annual addition
(3.6 per cent in 2002) Most
countries – the Seychelles, South
Africa and Libya are exceptions
– contribute less than 0.5 tonnes
per capita, as opposed to the

Protect and Grow


EU’s 12 tonnes and the USA’s
almost 20 tonnes. The continent
has an enormous capacity to be a
net carbon sink.
Ogunlade Davidson describes Africa’s particular Economic gains
vulnerability to a crisis it has done little to create, and suggests
how it can grow both in wealth and in resilience All countries need to take
collective and individual action
to tackle this problem, and Africa

T
he world’s poorest people receive increased rainfall. More extreme must contribute by reducing its
have benefited least from the and more intense droughts and floods are greenhouse gas emissions per
economic activities which predicted to increase, along with a greater unit of economic output and
have caused greenhouse gases to probability of persistent and intense El developing to cope with the
build up in the atmosphere. Yet Niño — Southern Oscillation (ENSO) likely impacts. Unfortunately,
they will suffer the most from effects. The variable rainfall in the Sahel most of Africa’s vulnerability
the consequences, due to their and the south of the continent will result in to climate change is due to its
weak resilience to global shocks. more persistent droughts than at present. infrastructure deficiencies and
Nowhere is this more true than in high dependence on natural
Africa. Global warming systems. This was clearly
Scientific records indicate that demonstrated, for example, in
Africa is warming at a rate of 0.5 Over 80 per cent of Africa’s people now the 2000 Mozambique floods
degrees Celsius a century, and depend on agriculture for their livelihoods. which affected 4.5 million
there has been significant decline But it is predicted that by the 2080s major people — causing 700 deaths
in precipitation, especially since losses in cereal production will affect over and economic losses estimated
the mid 1970s. Climate models 40 per cent of its countries. There will at $500 million and cutting the
show, furthermore, that the also be a significant impact on livestock GDP growth rate from 10 per
northern part of the continent may and marine resources, as their wellbeing cent to 2 per cent — and in the
become 5°C (and southern areas is strongly linked to rainfall. Vector-borne repeated Ethiopian droughts of
7°C) warmer by the middle of diseases such as malaria and cholera, which 1968, 1994 and 2005.
this century and beyond, while its are closely related to climatic changes, are The continent’s food
eastern and western regions may forecast to worsen. Climate change can also production increased 2.8 fold

20
Our Planet

between 1961 and 2002, but promising environmentally-sound and out: the high-value processing stages
with a minimal impact on hunger climate-friendly technologies being remain outside the continent. Using
because population increased by developed and implemented, producing more sustainable mining methods is
similar amount. About 40 per cent major economic gains. Using suitable crucial if it is adequately to respond
of the harvest is lost either on and research and development to integrate to such global shocks as climate
off the farm, and reducing this traditional knowledge with modern instability.
with known storage and delivery systems will be valuable; agriculture Scientific uncertainties and
systems can lead to tremendous provides a rich base for this. economic risks can no longer be
economic benefits and hunger used to justify inaction in preventing
reduction. Similarly improved Wealth creation further major man-made interference
water storage and delivery, with with the global climate system.
well-known technologies, can African countries must be involved in Countries should fully exploit
save up to 40 per cent of water major wealth creating activities, while the current growing international
resources: using saved water for coping with the demands from climate attention to climate change and
irrigation and a more rational change mitigation and adaptation: development in Africa — as in the
distribution system can lead to growing poverty remains the greatest Gleneagles agreement — despite
substantial economic gains and obstacle to Africa’s development. The declining aid to the continent.
reduce vulnerability to climatic UN Department of Economic and Africa’s capacity adequately
change. Improving public health Social Affairs estimates that the number to respond to the challenges of
systems — such as with more of people living on less than $1 per day climate instability will be expanded
rationalized health delivery and rose from 288 million in 1980 to 516 by improving overall resilience,
distribution mechanisms — can million in 2001. Some positive economic integrating climate change goals
similarly reduce vulnerability to growth has been recorded since 2000, into sustainable development
vector-borne diseases. All this but it needs to be strengthened. An even strategies, increasing the use of
requires funds, and a greater greater problem is the rising inequalities modern energy systems with reduced
role for governments in mapping (in income, human capabilities, access carbon intensity, and strengthening
future growth strategies. So a to infrastructure, and decision-making) international initiatives.
two-pronged approach is needed: in several countries, as these can lead
intensifying the more common to civil conflicts and strife. Sierra Developmental aspirations
approaches towards climate Leone provides an example: just before
change adaptation and mitigation the 1989 war the richest 20 per cent of There are obstacles, however. Only
while achieving an aggressive its people accounted for more than 63 five of the 210 Clean Development
growth of wealth creating per cent of all spending: the bottom 40 Mechanism projects registered
activities. per cent for just 3.1 per cent. Poverty as of June, 2006, were in Africa:
and inequality can only exacerbate most were India, China and Brazil.
Regional effort stresses from climate anomalies as the Special considerations are needed
continent’s response will be severely for African countries plagued
Existing activities to build up weakened. with infrastructural deficiencies.
human and institutional capacities Developing energy, industrializing Governments need to take a greater
to tackle climate change agriculture and mining sustainably role in addressing this: the private
constraints, though welcome, are three promising areas for wealth sector involvement advocated by
should be strengthened to creation. Africa will be unable to cope donor and international agencies
maximize gains from such actions with climate mitigation and adaptation can assist but only in an adequately
as national communication and demands without substantially increasing regulated and competitive
training programmes. Countries its use of its indigenous modern energy environment.
and institutions should be resources. It is the smallest consumer Africa’s challenge is to develop a
encouraged to learn from each of modern energy services, though framework and policies that ensure
other, while instituting schemes to the ratio of its production of all fossil that resources are used efficiently
retain human resources. Climate fuels to its reserves is above the world’s and equitably, to maintain economic
change research and development average, and it is richly endowed with and developmental aspirations, and
continues, but mostly outside the renewable energy resources. Similarly to protect the weak in responding to
continent: the relatively little in its vulnerability to climate change will changes in the climate n
Africa is uncoordinated, reducing only worsen, unless there is a significant
its impact. The international increase in the use of fertilisers, irrigation Professor Ogunlade R. Davidson is
attention the Gleneagles and agricultural mechanization. Africa Dean, Post-Graduate Studies, at the
agreement gave to this should be contains over 40 per cent of the world’s University of Sierra Leone and Co-
exploited, along with regional and as yet unexploited mineral resources Chair of Working Group III of the
national efforts in a co-ordinated but, unfortunately, only first stage low- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
framework. This could lead to value mining activities are being carried Change.
21
Bram Van De Biezen/UNEP/Still Pictures

runaway climate change. The 12th Conference of the

Freedom Parties/2nd Meeting of the Parties in Nairobi must strive


to achieve them.
Over the last five years there has been an unprecedented

Isn’t Free
increase in extreme weather events in rich, developing
and least developed countries alike, including cyclones,
floods, heat stress, drought, and the rapid melting of
polar ice and glaciers. All countries will need to adapt.
Devastating hurricanes like Katrina and Rita have
Atiq Rahman calls for deeper cuts in exposed the United States’ vulnerability, demonstrating
emissions and greater effort on adaptation to lack of preparedness and the need for adaptation even
be made urgently to free the world from the there; and the adaptation needs of the poorer countries
are much greater.
imminent threat of dangerous climate change
Global climate

R
unaway climate change is looking ever more
threatening. There appears to be just a small The Framework Convention and Protocol enshrine
window of opportunity in this decade for rapid simultaneous actions on mitigation and adaptation.
action to avert catastrophic and irreversible changes. In the final analysis, mitigation is the best form of
The good news is that – despite all the misinformation adaptation, which is certainly no substitute for it. Any
campaigns – the process of climate change negotiation is delay in reducing emissions will only increase the need
continuing. Scientific effort, through the Intergovernmental and cost of adaptation, and increase the risk of runaway
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), is narrowing global climate change. The primary responsibility of
uncertainty and demonstrating the anthropogenic foot- the Convention and Protocol – and all their member
print. The Kyoto Protocol has come into force and states, signatories and non-signatories – is to reduce
European countries are trying to implement it. But the emissions now. Industrialized countries must take the
bad news is that there are increasing extreme climatic lead. Developing countries must also do their utmost, and
events while global action to reduce greenhouse gases seek a path of development with lower greenhouse gas
remains very weak, and emissions are increasing more emissions.
rapidly than ever. The delay in the Protocol coming to force has deprived
There should be an absolute 5.2 per cent reduction the world of a major opportunity for reversing the course
in the greenhouses gas emissions during the Protocol’s of rapid increase in greenhouse gases. Even its attempt to
first commitment period,: in fact we have seen a greater be a first, small beginning was thwarted by a small group
increase. And the Kyoto target itself was only designed of countries. By contrast, European countries are trying
to be the first, small and inadequate step. It is an absolute to implement it, but attempts are weak and inadequate. A
priority that the parties to the UN Framework Convention limited number of Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
on Climate Change achieve deeper cuts, so as to meet projects are emerging. But they are virtaully exclusively in
its prime objective: saving the planet from the threat of the domain of such large developing countries and major

22
Our Planet

emitters as China, India and Brazil. anthropogenic intervention with Kyoto architecture, with various
Most of the smaller and poorer the climate system”. But what positions on equity, fairness and
nations — and particularly the Least is “dangerous” remains both allocation of responsibility and
Developed Countries — will largely controversial, and a scientific burden sharing have already been
remain outside its benefits, though challenge, and must be resolved initiated by different groups in
they will be the most affected by the politically. Present concentrations both the North and the South. The
adverse impacts of climate change. of greenhouse gases are already more progressive ones, such as the
A special mechanism to include leading to heat stress, extreme “South-North Dialogue on Equity
them is essential to make the CDM weather events, the melting of polar in the Greenhouse, a proposal for an
a universal instrument. ice, and the shifting of glaciers and adequate global climate agreement”,
All efforts must be made in permafrost. have combined researchers and
include the USA into all future So have we reached dangerous institutes from both.
processes. In this rapidly globalizing levels? A global and urgent political
world it is neither desirable nor consensus on this is essential, but Development needs
helpful to keep the greatest economy so far there is none. The European
out. The US is not only the greatest Union is moving towards a 2ºCelsius The present structure of North-South
greenhouse gas emitter; it also increase as the limit of acceptability, negotiation may need to be revisited.
can play a key role in solving the yet that may still have intolerable But any future architecture must
problem of climate change with its impacts. In the absence of consensus, include all nations, and particularly
scientific and financial capabilities. this must be seen as the absolute the USA, the greatest emitter. It
If the US Administration is serious upper limit, with a view to reducing must take into consideration the
about freedom across the world, then it. need, and the right, of poor countries
freedom from the increasing threat In the final analysis, this is an and communities to survive with
of climate change – particularly for issue of consumption, production their development needs met and
the poor and vulnerable countries and environmental justice. Agreeing minimum dignity ensured.
and communities – must be part of the Convention was principally a Freedom from the threat of
the equation. process of governmental North- climate change is one of the key
South negotiations. But civil society freedoms for which every country
Climate sceptics – environmental, research, scientific, will have to take responsibility. If it
and business groups – has influenced is not ensured, other freedoms – such
While mitigation efforts have governments to decide in favour of as from hunger, injustice, terrorism,
stumbled, there has been some the planet above narrow national and dictatorship – could be equally
progress over adaptation, maybe as a or group interests. The principle threatened. There is no part of the
result of their very failure. This also of “common but differentiated planet so isolated and fortified that
serves as a rebuff to climate skeptics, responsibility” was accepted by all it is free from the danger. Climate
emphasizing not only that climate parties and actors. security has to be for the entire
change is real and already here, but The 2006 Conference of the planet, and all its citizens n
that communities and ecosystems Parties should be a fertile ground for
need to be protected from its potential discussing the second commitment Atiq Rahman is Executive Director
threats. Much of this is due to interest period, bringing deeper cuts in of the Bangladesh Centre for
from developing countries who have the North and more decarbonized Advanced Studies and Chairman of
identified that adaptation has direct economic development in the South. the Climate Action Network, South
and reinforcing relationship to Initiatives and discourses on a post- Asia.
sustainable development. Many have
led and initiated important advances.
The 48 nations of the Least Developed
Countries, for example, have started
National Adaptation Plans of Action:
several industrialized countries,
such as Finland and the United
Kingdom, have initiated similar
plans and activities. Adaptation has
to be focused to development. It
will be supported, and become cost-
effective, if done with sensitivity
S. Belon Lopez/UNEP/Still Pictures

and respect for local and national


circumstances.
The Convention’s objective is
“stabilization of the greenhouse gas
concentration in the atmosphere at
a level that will prevent dangerous

23
Our Planet

Star Profile: Bianca Jagger


“We must all change”
Bianca Jagger talks to Geoffrey Lean

B
ianca Jagger uses public transport, shunning the conventional celebrities’ carbon
cocooned existence. To prove it, she offers to show Our Planet her Oyster card – a
rechargeable pass for use on London’s buses and underground trains. And, she
adds, “I do not own a car”.
It is all part of her fight against global warming, one of the many causes she has taken
up over the last quarter of a century – since her divorce from rock star Mick Jagger – which
have won her worldwide recognition, and many awards. She has long been a campaigner
for human rights, especially those of women and indigenous people, and against AIDS
and the death penalty – causes she firmly believes are interlinked with the environment.
Sitting in her London flat, she speaks with characteristic passion about climate change.

google
“If we have children and grandchildren, how can global warming not be important to us?”
she asks. “Unless we are prepared to make changes that are almost unbelievable, we are not going to be able
to save the planet.”
Many of the changes will have to be made by Governments, she says, and “we need to make them
accountable. We need to think about their environmental policies and global warming.” But “unless we are
all prepared to change” , she adds, there is reason to be “very pessimistic” about the future of the world.
“There are so many things we can do. Instead of driving everywhere, we should walk short distances or
use public transport. Turning the thermostat down just one degree will make a big difference. Recycling
waste and turning off electrical appliances are also important.”
In campaigning on global warming, human rights and her other causes, Bianca Jagger is fulfilling a
destiny she laid out for herself as a teenager, interrupted by her marriage. Born Bianca Perez-Mora Macias
in Nicaragua in 1950, she left her country at 16 – largely because of discrimination against women there
– to study political science on a French Government scholarship.
Her beauty drew her into Parisian and then international society, and she ended up marrying Jagger,
becoming a worldwide celebrity, entering the rock world, and finding much the same discrimination
there. After her divorce, she returned to her original course, but found she had to struggle to get herself
accepted.
“This is what I set out to do with my life, and what I care about” she says. “But it was an arduous and
difficult task to gain credibility. People were going to be sceptical, they had an image of someone who was
glamorous and sophisticated and it was difficult to overcome it.”
Her awards bear testament to her success. In 2004 she received the Right Livelihood Award, ‘the
Alternative Nobel Prize’, for her “longstanding commitment and dedicated campaigning over a wide range
of issues of human rights, social justice and environmental protection.” Others include the Rainforest
Alliance’s Green Globe Award for “her extraordinary conservation efforts and achievements”, the Amnesty
International/USA Spotlight Award for leadership, and the National Coalition Against the Death Penalty’s
‘Abolitionist of the Year Award’.
She feels strongly that celebrities should “take the time and have the commitment and the interest to
learn about issues, and have the humility to understand them.” She adds: “I have had to learn a lot. I am not
a photo-opportunity celebrity, who is pictured holding a child, but then comes home and forgets.”
“I am very grateful to have access to leaders, to be able to talk to them about things I care about. But I
do not take it for granted. It has all been a great leaning experience.” GL.

24
Our Planet

Books & Products


T
he Atlas of Climate worldwide, has become the third most seen documentary
Change by Kirstin in US film history, even overtaking Madonna’s Truth or
Dow and Thomas E. Dare. The accompanying book was originally published
Downing presents the most in the United States by Rodale.
up-to-date scientific data and

I
arguments on the drivers ndia’s National Institute of Hydrology is organizing
and the impacts of climate an International Conference on Water, Environment,
change in an easy-to-read Energy and Society in New Delhi from 18-21 December.
format, with over 50 full- The conference, a contribution to the seventh phase of
colour maps and graphics. UNESCO’s International Hydrological Programme, will
Part of a larger series of critically re-examine policies for water management in
“State of the World” Atlases the light of the world’s increasing demand for water and
published by Earthscan, its uncertain supply. Its main themes will be water and
this publication covers a wide range of subjects, from environment, water for energy, water hazards, water for
vulnerable populations and health impacts, to future society, and water for other uses.
scenarios and responding to change. The final chapter

A
– Committing to Solutions – provides concrete examples Sustainable Future for the Mediterranean: The
and suggestions for personal and public action. Blue Plan’s Environment and Development
Outlook analyses the past, present and possible

U
NEP is collaborating with the University of future – up to 2025 – of the environment and development
Geneva and the UN Institute for Training and of the Mediterranean basin.
Research to develop the Geneva Programme in Edited by Guillaume Benoit
Environmental Diplomacy, in the tradition of its three & Aline Comeau, with a .
decades of support to environmental diplomats in their preface by Lucien Chabason,
efforts to strengthen their profession. The programme and published by Earthscan,
will be implemented with the financial support of the it is the result of the work
Government of Switzerland and the OSCE/UNEP/UNDP of many experts from the
Environment and Security Initiative and in collaboration Mediterranean countries. It
with the University of Peace and LEAD International. focuses on six major issues
Students who successfully pass its course and complete – water, energy, transport,
their final thesis will receive ten European Credit urban areas, rural land use,
Transfer and Accumulation System credits validated by and coastal areas. It sounds
the University of Geneva. the alarm on the possible risks of a “business as usual”
scenario, and it shows that alternative solutions may

A
s global warming becomes ever hotter news, more be developing to “contribute to the preservation of the
books by distinguished journalists have been unique quality of this region and ensure for it a future
added to the extensive library on climate change. commensurate with its past”. The Blue Plan is a Regional
Andrew C. Revkin of the New York Times is the author Activity Centre of the Mediterranean Action Programme,
of The North Pole Was Here: Puzzles and Perils and established under UNEP’s aegis.
the Top of the World (published by the New York Times
and Kingfisher), which explains how the fate of the pole
will affect the whole world. New Scientist journalist Fred
Pearce has written The Last Generation (Eden Project
Books), which demonstrates how the present generation
will be the last to enjoy the stable predictable climate

T
of the last 13,000 years. And the London Guardian he new and unique Green Awards 2006 will
columnist, George Monbiot in his new book, Heat: How spotlight brands or organizations that have creatively
to Stop the Planet Burning, outlines how a 90 per cent demonstrated their commitment to sustainable
cut in emissions within 30 years is both necessary and development across different media and marketing
practical. disciplines. The CarbonNeutral event takes place in
London’s Guildhall on 29 November 2006, supported by

U
NEP was one of many organizations that UNEP, Media Guardian, the City of London, Marketing
provided material for Al Gore’s book and film An Week, and CSR Wire.
Inconvenient Truth. The 96 minute film, which
is mobilizing influential opinion and catalysing action Visit UNEP’s online bookshop at: www.earthprint.com

25
25
Our Planet

Retreating glaciers in the Himalayas and Alps,


islands sinking under rising sea levels, and icebergs
floating adrift in the Arctic and Antarctic are common
images of global warming. Most are remote from
most peoples’ daily lives and concerns. But WWF
has been documenting the impacts of climate
change through ‘Climate Witnesses’, people who are
already experiencing its impacts. Whether German
foresters, Nepalese sherpas, Fijian fishermen,
or indigenous communities in the Arctic, they are
testifying about change occurring under their noses,
not fifty year projections about what might happen
some day – and their witness stories have all been
scientifically verified.
So humanity now stands at the doorstep of
an historic moment. For the first time it is in the
process of fundamentally changing the planet. The
consensus of thousands of scientists around the
world is that most of the warming since the middle
of the last century is due to human activities. Over
the last 200 years, the amount of carbon dioxide in
the atmosphere – the major gas that causes climate
change – has increased by 30 per cent, mainly due
to burning fossil fuels.
These are not small matters. The question now is
how society reacts. How fast can we change the way
the world uses energy so as to prevent the worst
impacts?

Political will
Mark Edwards/Still Pictures

We know from scientists that a global average


increase of 2° Celsius above pre-industrial
temperatures forms a threshold beyond which the
impacts become irreversible for ecosystems and
many communities around the world. It is a big, but
not impossible, challenge to stay beneath it, but it

Keeping the
offers new opportunities for innovation, efficiency
and business. It means that global emissions must
peak and drop dramatically in the next ten to fifteen
years.
Delaying action for only 5 to 10 years would

Window Open
mean that much more effort would be needed later
to reach the same environmental goal. Achieving a
medium probability of staying below 2° Celsius, after
implementation of the Kyoto Protocol, would require
Jennifer Morgan says that the last global emissions to decrease by 1 to 2 per cent per
opportunity for avoiding dangerous climate year over several decades. Delaying reductions until
2015 would increase this to 3 to 4 per cent per year.
change will not last much longer, and calls for
And putting off global action until 2020 would make it
urgent action. virtually impossible to hit this target. The challenge
is to cut all greenhouse gas emissions, not just CO2,

C
limate change is here and now. It is a fact. by about 60 to 80 per cent globally by the middle of
Its impacts are almost everywhere. The use the century to keep open the possibility of avoiding
of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and gas are the worst damage from climate change.
warming our atmosphere to the point that, if we don’t This is clearly a big challenge – but it is achievable,
change our ways, the planet will be dramatically given the political will.
altered forever. It is, indeed, the key challenge to the The first step was the entry into force of the
world. Kyoto Protocol. This has placed an economic value

26
Our Planet

on CO2 by setting a binding target on industrialized in the past: This would both give them the chance to
countries’ emissions. The target can be measured use it to meet their deeper targets and provide big
and monitored effectively, as can the individual opportunities for technical and financial transfer.
quotas set for each country. The international treaty must help developing
Countries must meet these Kyoto targets, but countries meet their national development goals,
it was always understood that first commitment and the carbon market could be one way to do so.
period of the Protocol was just that – the first of Countries need to take the plunge together in an
many. The first meeting of the parties to the Kyoto equitable yet ambitious way. We need to be creative,
Protocol in Montreal 2005 launched the next round tapping into unused reserves and debates that have
of negotiations to determine what will happen not so far been considered in the context of climate
after this period runs out in 2012. Every country change. We must ‘climatize’ such issues as disaster
participating in that meeting, except my own – the relief and the European budget debate, which could
United States – understood that more action is redirect billions of euros to fight today’s challenge of
needed and that every nation will have to play its part climate change rather than still fighting yesterday’s
in solving climate change. So there is a tremendous battle of achieving food security after the Second
chance to shape the way the coming $16 trillion World War. Each will play a role in determining our
of investments in energy sector investments future and each should be thinking about how to
(estimated by the International Energy Agency) will avoid the worst impacts of climate change.
be made. A signal has now been sent to the carbon The world will look to Germany in 2007 as it holds
markets that the Kyoto Protocol is, and will remain, the G8 and EU presidencies Chancellor Merkel –
the basis for negotiations. But much more certainty who as environment minister helped to negotiate
needs to be provided so that that this vast sum will the Kyoto Protocol – has a tremendous opportunity
be channelled into energy systems that emit zero, to build international trust, use Germany’s tradition
or very little, carbon. of innovation to chart a zero to low carbon future,
and ensure that the EU continues its leadership
Ambitious policies role.
Our window of opportunity for action to avoid the
Several formal processes are under way and worst impacts of climate change is closing rapidly.
each must play its part. However, the formal It is time for leadership with a capital L n
negotiations under the Kyoto Protocol and the UN
Framework Convention on Climate Change provide Jennifer Morgan is Director of the Climate Change
the foundation, and are the vehicle through which Programme, WWF International.
agreement can be found. By 2008 countries
should have finalized the negotiations on
the Protocol’s second commitment period,
and the agreement must be ambitious
enough to ensure that the 2°C threshold
is not crossed,
Each of the major emitting countries
must decide to do more and do it together.
The industrialized countries must take on
deeper national mandatory targets, and
continue with the Kyoto cap and trade
system. Some developing countries must
also contribute more – adopting, step-
by-step, more ambitious policies and
measures that reduce emissions and scale
up low carbon investments. They would
then enter into the global carbon market
in a much more substantial manner than
We need to be creative, tapping
into unused reserves and
debates that have not so far
been considered in the context
of climate change. We must
‘climatize’ such issues as
disaster relief
Mark Edwards/Still Pictures

27
Our Planet

for approximately 75 per cent of


emissions, releasing 24 gigatonnes
of CO2 (GtCO2) into the atmosphere
every year. Crude oil alone is
responsible for approximately 47
per cent of this.

Industrial revolution

About 45 per cent of man-made


emissions stay aloft, imposing
themselves upon the earth’s natural
budget which had been happy to
regulate itself at an estimated net
annual flux balance of 770 GtCO2.
Human interference inflates the
world’s natural CO2 reservoir by as
much as 3.2 per cent a year. Carbon
dioxide has a long lifetime and over
150 years, since the start of the
industrial revolution, cumulative
human additions are thought finally
to have exceeded natural tolerance
Mark Edwards/Still Pictures

limits, triggering an exponential


spiral of rather rapid global
warming. Dire predictions abound
on where this will lead: including

Golden Opportunity
sea level rises that will drown world
coastlines; more frequent and larger
storms; the cessation of the Gulf
Stream; the disappearance of the
ice caps; the release of immense
quantities of methane trapped in

for Black Gold permafrost; even a return to the


conditions of the Archean Age of
3.8 to 2.5 billion years ago, where
Rami A. Kamal outlines his personal suggestion for how the atmosphere was unsuitable for
the petroleum industry can benefit both itself and the world by life as we know it; and so forth.
taking the lead in combating global warming For proponents of the position
that fossil fuel burning is directly
feeding into global warming, the

T
wo opposing forces are trillion – great news for an already prognosis is further haunted by
at work on the petroleum profitable global industry. projections that an energy-hungry
industry, each powerful On the other hand, it finds itself world expects to burn more and
enough by itself to cause increasingly on the defensive as a more fuel. One reliable estimate
unprecedented change. On the one major contributor to anthropogenic predicts that global energy demand
hand, the industry is in the fifth carbon dioxide (CO2) in the will rise 50 per cent by 2030, with
year of a crude oil price boom, atmosphere, which – backed oil remaining the dominant fuel
considerably more powerful than its by a growing body of scientific source.
two predecessors of 1974 and 1980. evidence – is widely believed to be The effects of global warming
This has already yielded additional the chief cause of global warming. are tangible and measurable. If
worldwide earnings of up to $1.53 Burning fossil fuels accounts burning fossil fuels is raising global

28
Our Planet

temperatures at observed rates – momentum is towards worldwide responsibly, and they make
and if these are set to increase with acceptance of an undesirable selections based on image and
growth in world energy needs – the impact of anthropogenic CO2 on identity. This will be reflected
negative effects will be measured global temperatures. in demand for fuel and energy
within the span of a lifetime. This products, and petroleum producers
resembles a Hollywood thriller Rising sentiment and suppliers must adequately
about an asteroid accelerating address it if they are to protect oil
towards collision with the earth, Even the US Government, though markets as the transport fuel of
rather than an issue we can sweep not a signatory of the Kyoto choice.
under the carpet for our descendants Protocol, outspends the rest of the
to deal with 10,000 years hence. world in research on mitigation and Reduce emissions
in incentives targeting CO2 capture
Immense problem and storage. In March 2006, the The industry is rapidly arriving at
e-weekly-edition of Worldwide a crossroads. The CO2 challenge
A body of scientific detractors Refining Business Digest reported: is unlikely to disappear. It must be
will always feverishly argue that “The USA government, through fully addressed if the hydrocarbon
we have it all wrong, that global the Department of Energy is economy is to be sustained.
warming is a natural phenomenon accelerating its interest in CO2 Industries which rely on petroleum
that has happened many times motivated enhanced oil recovery fuel products are increasingly being
before in the Earth’s distant history, and seeks to work with the oil challenged, through regulation
and that this latest episode has companies to develop capture and policy, to reduce emissions,
little or nothing to do with man- projects from the utility industry”. and this is shaping their future
made CO2 emissions. That is the The petroleum industry must acceptability. Indecision – perhaps
beauty of science. But hundreds also pay heed to rising sentiment through misinformation, ignorance,
of scientists worldwide from among its product end users about or a failure to read public sentiment
academia, government and private global warming and its role in – may signal the beginning of the
firms have produced enough augmenting the danger. Consumers end of an industry that has fueled
reasons to believe that human and customers increasingly seek the world for 150 years.
meddling with nature is indeed confirmation that suppliers act Sometime, probably soon,
creating an immense problem. The socially and environmentally the petroleum-producing arms

Hartmut Scharzbach/Still Pictures

29
Our Planet

of the industry will be subject to the uncomfortable petroleum reservoirs. These two new sources of wealth
dictation of rules, regulations and taxation on all oil would comfortably pay back the capital outlays in item
use, as international bodies make frenzied attempts 2 above.
to control the production of CO2-emitting fossil fuels. ■ Demonstrate global citizenship by supporting regional
The process has already started. In September 2004 applications of renewable energy such as solar energy;
California adopted the world’s first law to require limits and such industrial uses for captured CO2 as carbon fiber,
on greenhouse gas emissions from passenger vehicles, carbon black, carbon for the petrochemical industries,
giving car manufacturers a decade to reduce CO2 and the widespread use of CO2 to treat municipal and
emissions by 30 per cent in all new vehicles sold in the industrial waste water.
state. The coal industry has already taken preemptive This is the time for such a four-pronged strategy.
action by announcing ambitious and brave plans for Developing, fabricating and implementing capture
zero emissions by 2020 The petroleum industry finds technologies can be costly, so the industry should
itself lagging uncomfortably behind. capitalise on its current income windfall. As the price
Meanwhile human innovation and technology will of a barrel of crude edges towards $100, oil producers
rally to developing cleaner energy sources. Again, this must push hard gracefully to avoid their own demise.
process has long since started; one example is research The petroleum industry can rebound from its current
on hydrogen fuel cells. defensive position and bask in the glory of good global
citizenship for generations to come. This would not just
Global citizenship save the world but also create hundreds of thousands of
additional jobs, businesses and exciting opportunities,
The price boom gives the petroleum industry, while the industry generates more income. A no-
petrochemical industries and petroleum product end brainer? n
user industries with their combined resources a golden
opportunity to vie for leadership in the struggle to Rami A. Kamal is a consultant on Saudi Aramco’s
protect the Earth’s fragile environment. They need not Carbon Management Team. He has also represented
have their backs to the wall. There is a way out. Saudi Arabia on the IPCC. These are his views and do
To maintain petroleum’s ascendancy as the world’s not necessarily represent those of his employers.
choice fossil fuel for decades to come, petroleum
producers, refiners and related industries are called on
to:
■ Create a cooperative body to formulate policies and
monitor direction on commitments to reduce petroleum-
sourced CO2 emissions to the atmosphere. This should
have the vision and clout to create such challenging
goals as a zero CO2 emissions from petroleum by the
2020 target.
■ Divert some of their recent windfall income to finance
research and development technologies for CO2 capture
and storage and cleaner and more efficient combustion.
Oil companies should also seriously support R&D into
capturing CO2 from vehicles, so as to maintain the
petrol pump culture unscathed.
■ Focus on widely deploying enhanced oil recovery
with carbon dioxide (CO2-EOR) with the intent of long
term sequestration of the injected CO2. The world now
has over 30 years of experience of CO2-EOR, and it can
recover an additional 2 to 15 per cent of oil-in-place.
Razafitompo/UNEP/Still Pictures

At today’s prices, this extra oil will add handsomely


to the petroleum producers coffers and help finance
research and development in CO2 mitigation. Carbon
trading could add even more revenue, if most of the
CO2 is skillfully kept underground in the depleted

30
Our Planet

Sean Prague/Still Pictures


Firm longstanding commitments.
By 2010, renewable energy
is to contribute 10 per cent

Commitment
of the country’s gross energy
consumption, increasing to 16
per cent by 2020. This is a huge
jump from the current 1 per cent
Zijun Li describes how China is leading the share.
world in investing in renewable energy
Energy strategy

N
othing happens slowly Many analysts expect Already, the move towards
in today’s China. Energy tremendous growth in China’s expanded investment in
consumption has soared renewable energy market over renewable energy shows signs
as the economy registered the next 15 years. Government of gearing up. In 2005, China
spectacular growth rates, above policy is the major driver of was the world’s top investor in
9 per cent annually, in the the country’s renewable energy renewables, with investments
past decade. Power demand is industry, and a new Renewable topping $6 billion, according
projected to reach 2.7 trillion Energy Law – which took effect in to the U.S.-based Worldwatch
kilowatt-hours by the end of January this year – and a series Institute. BP’s Statistical Review
2006–an 11.3 per cent increase of new government incentives of World Energy 2006 reports
over 2005. This has resulted in a both reflect China’s firm and that China’s cumulative installed
ramping-up of power-generation wind turbine capacity alone
capacity and an enormous reached 1,264 megawatts (MW)
increase in oil and gas imports. China is investing in new in 2005, adding nearly 500 MW
Yet, while China is investing fossil fuel exploration year-on-year, due in large part
in new fossil fuel exploration both at home and abroad, to the $600 million in investment
both at home and abroad, it is it is also significantly poured into the sector last year.
also significantly expanding its expanding its interest Wind power is a key element of
interest in renewable energies in renewable energies China’s long-term renewable
through a host of new policies through a host of new energy strategy, and capacity is
and initiatives. policies and initiatives expected to reach 30,000 MW by

31
Our Planet

2020 under the new Renewable of fuel ethanol, representing 4 acts and regulations is
Law. per cent of global production. hindering its enforcement .
China has also long been the At a time when global For instance, although China
world’s leader in solar thermal energy demand is skyrocketing, recently developed the world’s
production and use, generating China’s commitment to the first full-permanent magnetic
nearly 59 per cent of the global renewables revolution has levitation wind power generator
heating capacity for non- been widely noted. But whether – representing a breakthrough
pool systems in 2004. While the country’s renewables in the country’s weak domestic
domestic demand for solar market will reach the projected wind technology sector
cells still represents only a tiny level depends very much on – great uncertainty remains
share of the global market, the future regulations and policy over commercialization side
remarkable growth of Chinese implementation. The enactment due to vague financial and
solar companies yielded 42 of practical, effective measures administrative rules n
per cent of the world’s total under the new law still lags
photovoltaic output in 2005. behind. In particular, the lack of Zijun Li is China Fellow at the
Domestic hydropower compatible local administrative Worldwatch Institute.
generation topped 401 terawatt-
hours in 2005, making China
the world’s leading producer
here, too. Seeing this potential,
the new Renewable Energy
Law has set a target for 300,000
MW of hydropower generation
capacity by 2020. Most
significantly, China is offering
a growing role to other parts of
the world in small hydropower
(SHP). Figures from Renewable
Energy World indicate that
China had installed more than
half the world’s total of 31,200
MW of SHP capacity by 2005,
and observers expect even
faster development nation-wide
under the new law coming into
force.

Industrial wastes

Biofuels also account for a


promising share in the country’s
long-term renewable energy
strategy. Liquid fuel produced
from plant biomass and/or
treated municipal and industrial
wastes is expected to substitute
for 10 million tons of petroleum
by 2020, accounting for 15
Mark Edwards/Still Pictures

per cent of the total Chinese


consumption of transport fuel.
Last year China produced 643
thousand tons of oil equivalent

32
Our Planet

Making
Ourselves Heard
T
he United Nations Framework Convention
on Climate Change is bringing young
people from the four corners of the Earth
to Nairobi for its meetings in November. This
gives us a wonderful opportunity to address our
thoughts on climate change to our leaders.
The Earth’s climate has gradually changed over
the centuries. Warm and cold periods have
alternated. But changes are occuring faster
and more destructively over the last few years.
Earth is getting hotter and humanity is primarily
responsible.
In these last few decades human activity has
disturbed the natural balance. Greenhouse gases
from burning fossil fuels are largely responsible.
Forests have also been cut down for wood and
to make room for agriculture or cities, laving
fewer trees to absorb carbon dioxide from the
atmosphere.
Governments should offer financial or economic
incentives to encourage people to take a more
environmentally friendly stance. They should:
n subsidize products using ‘green’ technology in
order to make them more accessible to people
– making hybrid cars affordable would be one
such example;
n introduce sanctions for the most polluting
industries;
n impose limits on the energy consumption of
factories.
Simple actions by individuals to save energy
and use renewable sources can also make a
difference, all the way down to village level in
developing countries. For example, using a solar
lamp rather than one that burns kerosene will
prevent about a tonne of CO2 being released into
the atmosphere over a period of 25 years.
Everyone needs to take action, because climate
change is altering our future, our work, our local
Mark Edwards/Still Pictures

environments, our health, and our way of life n

Abdoul Byukusenge, Rwanda, is a UNEP TUNZA


Youth Advisor for Africa.

33
Our Planet

Into the
goods and services – all factors which attest to increased
greenhouse gas emissions. The worst fears, however,
are somewhat unfounded. There are many reform
processes and initiatives accompanying this economic

Mainstream
growth which have the potential to decouple it from its
environmental implications.
Some energy-economy-environment model
runs have shown clearly that existing policies and
Preety Bhandari describes how India programmes could lower the trend of emissions by
about 20 per cent. Besides these measures – driven
could play a crucial role in tackling climate
largely by narrow domestic considerations – India can
change clearly articulate the technological or financial support
it requires from the international community to pursue

N
egotiations on climate change are delicately a greener path of development. Its recent forays with
poised: the next two years appear to be the United States, either bilaterally or multilaterally
crucial for making any progress on a global through the Asia Pacific Pact on Clean Development
commitment to address this challenge. The role that and Climate, are manifestations of this. Though
India can assume could be crucial to advancing efforts some argue that political imperatives, rather than a
to tackle it. There are, of course, a menu of imperatives commitment to climate change mitigation, drive this
that could drive this – economic aspirations as well as developing partnership.
political ones, underlining India’s current euphoria at
having arrived on the international scene. Development challenge
Its economic aspirations are evident. A well
publicized and consistent effort to maintain GDP growth In the face of increasing pressure on India to make
at and above 8 per cent a year is clear evidence of them. some form of commitment to reducing its emissions of
Yet this very economic growth is drawing attention to greenhouse gases, it needs to make clear that the strides
India’s likely greenhouse gas footprint, and those of in development that the world perceives it to be making
other major developing economies including China, – shown by a burgeoning middle class with high
Brazil, South Africa, and Mexico. India’s incremental spending power, urban islands of prosperity – do not
energy demand is projected to be among the highest completely represent its development paradigm. A large
in the world, driven by sustained economic growth, part of its population is still at the subsistence level, and
increasing income levels, and greater availability of thus a large part of its development challenge remains

34
Our Planet

be unthinkable, at this stage, for India to decelerate its


development juggernaut, for the sake of the climate.
The only way to ensure that some form of
responsibility for India’s future climate footprint is
factored into its planning process is by ‘mainstreaming’
environmental considerations into it. Thus the country’s
policy makers will have to ensure that incremental
energy demand will be met, as far as possible, through
environmentally benign sources and technologies.
At the same time, issues related to the security of
the environment and such natural resources as water
and food need to be raised high enough to produce a
paradigm shift in harnessing them for growth, while
ensuring adaptive policy responses to deal with
predicted impacts of climatic variability and change.
Joerg Boethling/Still Pictures The climate change lexicon has to permeate to the
policy making community. The handful of research
institutions engaged in the area, and the few negotiators
that represent the country, have a paramount role in
informing and educating politicians. If India succeeds
in instituting such considerations in its planning
process, it would show the way as a proactive emergent
yet to be met. Not until these people are extricated from power that is concerned about both local and global
the poverty trap can all the talk of ‘strides’ in Indian environmental issues.
development be fully warranted.
It is simply unfair to impose restrictions on India, Global issues
considering its present, early, position on its development
trajectory, and considering that its projected rise in per India’s international political aspirations include the
capita carbon emissions in 2030 will still represent desire to be seen as a champion of the developing country
less than half the 2000 world average of 3.8 tonnes. brigade, as it has so successfully been in the past through
Furthermore, the adverse impacts of climate change the Non-Aligned Movement, the formulation of the
will disproportionately affect the poor in developing Berlin Mandate during the climate change negotiations,
countries, including India, exacerbating their already and more recently at the WTO talks. Arguably, it needs
precarious conditions. a ‘makeover’, if it wishes to gain legitimacy as a global
political power, and to be an articulate and forceful
Climate change negotiator for developing country interests. Perhaps
what is needed is a revival of economic, cultural, and –
Two-thirds of India’s cropland are prone to drought, more importantly – ideological moorings and identities
with the monsoon rains highly variable from year to with other countries, both to insure against isolation
year, season to season, and place to place. Besides, 40 on important regional and global issues, and to build
million hectares of land are susceptible to floods: on and enhance on the image of a country willing to be
average eight million hectares, and 30 million people, a partner and help in the process of ‘development for
are affected each year. In the seasons before and after all’. It is trying to build bridges with Africa and Latin
the monsoon, the coastline – particularly the east coast America – and ASEAN too – but these discussions will
– is vulnerable to tropical cyclones. In 2001 alone, necessarily have to be more comprehensive, taking in
20,753 people died in floods, droughts and earthquakes all strategic considerations including the environment.
in India, with 36,649,077 people affected. These The climate agenda offers India another avenue both to
extreme events are likely to worsen with climate change, further its sustainable development, and to be seen as a
while underdevelopment – and lack of resources to political leader of some reckoning in tabling developing
hedge against them – will fundamentally constrain the country concern n
capacity to adapt. The Indian government will have to
consider anticipatory responses and programmes, and Preety M. Bhandari is Director of the Policy Analysis
the associated expense, while negotiating its response to Division, TERI, India. These are her views and may
a future climate regime. For all these reasons, it would not reflect those of the institution.
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Plant a Billion Trees ...
... and a Canopy of Hope will reach into the Sky

The symbolism – and the substantive significance – of planting a tree has


universal power in every culture and every society on Earth, and it is a way
for individual men, women and children to participate in creating solutions
for the environmental crisis.
Al Gore: Earth in the Balance (1992)

D
own-to-Earth action against climate change is being launched by UNEP so that individuals,
communities, organizations, private business, and governments can play their part in
averting the biggest environmental and security threat to the planet. During 2007 UNEP
wants your help to plant a billion trees—a symbol of climate solidarity and a highly practical way
of reducing the pollution that is causing global warming.
Plant for the Planet: The Billion Tree Campaign, launched in Nairobi in November 2006, is
backed by prominent international personalities including Nobel Peace Prize laureate and Green
Belt activist, Wangari Maathai.
The campaign — in which UNEP will be working with all sectors of society in all regions of the
world —will utilize the power of the Internet to realize the billion tree promise. Using a new and
dedicated website www.unep.org/billiontreecampaign, individuals and entities will be encouraged
to enter pledges to plant anything from a single tree to several million. The website will record the
running tally of pledges and publish photos and accounts from registered members of the campaign
depicting what they have achieved.
The campaign builds on the success of UNEP’s Plant for the Planet campaign. It will encourage
the planting of indigenous species, and ones appropriate to the local environment. Advice on tree-
planting will be made available via the website, as will information about reforestation and other
tree-related issues — including links to partner organizations equipped to give advice tailored to
local conditions. As ideal planting conditions vary from region to region, the campaign will operate
throughout the year.
Besides focusing on tree-planting and deforestation, the Billion Tree Campaign will fulfill a
broader symbolic purpose, highlighting not only climate change but other pressing issues including
biodiversity loss and the urgent need for integrated water resource management.
Responsibility for arranging the planting will rest with the person or organization making the
pledge. They can physically carry it out themselves, or pay for others to do so.
UNEP will act as a catalyst, providing leadership and federating existing tree planting activities
from all over the world. It will provide a small secretariat which will raise awareness worldwide
about the campaign, and about how people and organizations can join it. Landmark events, such
as the 2007 World Environment Day celebrations, which will focus on climate change under the
slogan of Melting Ice: A Hot Topic? n

When we are planting trees sometimes people will say to me, “I don’t want
to plant this tree, because it will not grow fast enough.” I have to keep
reminding them that the trees they are cutting today were not planted by
them, but by those who came before. So they must plant the trees that
will benefit communities in the future. I remind them that like a seedling,
with sun, good soil, and abundant rain, the roots of our future will bury
themselves in the ground and a canopy of hope will reach into the sky.
Wangari Maathai: Unbowed – One Woman’s Story (2006)

36

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