Cf Indus Hldgs (CF)

Industry: Agribusiness
CF
Cf Indus Hldgs

Price: $167.09

Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Thu Nov 17 14:23 EST 2011
$167.09

Power Gauge Rating

CF - Very Bullish
The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for CF is very bullish due to very strong earnings performance, very positive expert opinions, attractive financial metrics and bullish price/volume activity. CF's earnings performance is very strong as a result of an upward trend in earnings this year and a relatively low projected P/E ratio.
TM

Financial Metrics

Earnings Performance

Price/Volume Activity

Expert Opinions

News Sentiment Rating

Bullish
CF Cf Indus Hldgs November 14, 2011

Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for CF is bullish. There is currently a significant positive sentiment within news stories concerning CF.

TM

News Sentiment :Positive

Power Trend - 5 Year Chart

The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential.

High Potential

Neutral

Low Potential

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Financials & Earnings

Financial Metrics

Financial Metrics Rating

LT Debt/Equity Ratio

Bullish
CF's financial metrics are very good. The company yields a high return on shareholder's equity and generates high free cash flow relative to market capitalization. The rank is based on a high price to book value ratio, high return on equity, high price to sales ratio and relatively high cash flow.

Price to Book Value

Return on Equity

Price to Sales Ratio

Business Value

Assets and Liabilities

Ratio Current Ratio LT Debt/Equity TTM 1.37 0.44

Valuation
Ratio Price/Book Price/Sales TTM 2.52 3.02

Returns
Ratio Return on Invest Return on Equity TTM 20.3% 27.4%

Earnings Performance

Earnings Performance Rating

Earnings Growth

Very Bullish
CF's earnings performance has been very strong. The company experienced superior earnings growth in the past 12 months and is priced relatively low compared to next year's projected EPS. The rank is based on better than expected earnings in recent quarters, an upward trend in earnings this year, a relatively low projected P/E ratio and consistent earnings over the past 5 years.

Earnings Surprise

Earnings Trend

Projected P/E Ratio

Earnings Consistency

5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth

12/06 Revenue(M) Rev % Growth EPS EPS % Growth 1,949.50 -0.94% $0.60 184.51% 12/07 2,756.70 41.41% $6.71 1,018.33% 12/08 3,921.10 42.24% $12.38 84.50% 12/09 2,608.40 -33.48% $7.54 -39.10% 12/10 3,965.00 52.01% $5.40 -28.38%

EPS Estimates
Factor Quarterly EPS Yearly EPS Factor 3-5 year EPS Actual EPS Prev $2.81 $5.40 Actual EPS Growth 20.25% EST EPS Current $6.68 $22.55 Est EPS Growth 12.00% Change +3.87 +17.15 Change -8.25

EPS Surprise
Estimate Latest Qtr 1 Qtr Ago 2 Qtr Ago 3 Qtr Ago $4.82 $5.94 $3.23 $2.62 Actual $5.16 $6.87 $3.81 $2.65 Difference $0.34 $0.93 $0.58 $0.03 % Difference 7.05 15.66 17.96 1.15

EPS Quarterly Results

FY 12/09 12/10 12/11 Qtr 1 $1.29 $-0.09 $3.95 Qtr 2 $4.40 $1.56 $6.81 Qtr 3 $0.79 $0.68 $4.77 Qtr 4 $1.06 $2.81 Total $7.54 $4.96 -

Fiscal Year End Month is December.

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Price Trend & Expert Opinions

Price/Volume Activity

Price/Volume Activity Rating

Relative Strength vs Market

Bullish
Price and volume activity for CF is bullish. CF has outperformed the S&P 500 over 26 weeks and is experiencing sustained buying. The rank for CF is based on its price strength versus the market, positive Chaikin money flow, a positive Chaikin price trend, a negative Chaikin price trend ROC and a decreasing volume trend.

Chaikin Money Flow

Price Trend

Price Trend ROC

Volume Trend

Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index

Chaikin Money Flow

Chart shows whether CF is performing better or worse than the market.

Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.

Price Activity
Factor 52 Week High 52 Week Low % Change YTD Rel S&P 500 Value 189.78 114.52 27.10%

Price Activity
Factor % Change Price - 4 Weeks % Change Price - 24 Weeks % Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P % Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P Value 16.35% 12.75% 13.80% 19.82%

Volume Activity
Factor Average Volume 20 Days Average Volume 90 Days Chaikin Money Flow Persistency Value 1,737,222 2,450,896 66%

Expert Opinions

Expert Opinions

Earnings Estimate Revisions

Very Bullish
Expert opinions about CF are very positive. Analysts are raising their EPS estimates for CF and analysts's opinions on CF have been more positive recently. The rank for CF is based on analysts revising earnings estimates upward, a low short interest ratio, optimistic analyst opinions and relative weakness of the stock versus the Agribusiness industry group.

Short Interest

Insider Activity

Analyst Opinions

Relative Strength vs Industry

Earnings Estimate Revisions

Current Current Qtr Next Qtr 6.68 5.11 Current Current FY 22.55 7 Days Ago % Change 6.68 5.11 0.00% 0.00%

Analyst Recommendations
Factor Mean this Week Mean Last Week Change Mean 5 Weeks Ago Value Buy Buy 0.00 Buy

EPS Estimates Revision Summary

Last Week Up Curr Qtr Curr Yr Next Qtr 0 0 0 0 Down 0 0 0 0 Last 4 Weeks Up 7 7 3 7 Down 0 0 0 1

30 Days Ago % Change 20.91 1.64

Next Yr

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The Company & Its Competitors

CF's Competitors in Agribusiness

Company CF AGU POT TNH MOS SQM IPI Power Gauge Historic EPS growth 20.25% 28.48% 24.77% 10.47% 19.28% 17.61% -4.14% Projected EPS growth 12.00% 16.86% Profit Margin 23.15% 9.15% 33.25% 59.94% 25.32% 22.24% 23.63% PEG 0.62 1.59 PE 9.03 8.78 13.52 12.08 11.25 34.01 20.84 Revenue(M) 3,965 10,520 6,539 565 9,938 1,830 359

News Headlines for CF Fertilizer group spent $367,110 lobbying in 1Q Jun 20, 2011 CF Industries settles emissions case at 9 plants - Apr 19, 2011 CF Industries Reaches Settlement Resolving EPA Complaint - Apr 19, 2011 Fitch: Record Crop Prices Profit CF Industries; IDR Upgraded to 'BBB-' - Mar 11, 2011 BRIEF: Ag co-op buys local terminal - Jan 7, 2011

Company Details CF INDUS HLDGS 4 PARKWAY NORTH SUITE 400 DEERFIELD, IL 60015 USA Phone: (847) 405-2400 Fax: 847-405-2400 Website: http://http://www.cfindustries.com Full Time Employees: 2,500 Sector: Basic Materials

Company Profile CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is the holding company for the operations of CF Industries, Inc. CF Industries, Inc. is a major producer and distributor of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer products. CF Industries operates world-scale nitrogen fertilizer plants in Louisiana and Alberta, Canada; conducts phosphate mining and manufacturing operations in Central Florida; and distributes fertilizer products through a system of terminals, warehouses, and associated transportation equipment located primarily in the midwestern United States.

Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe. Chaikin Stock Research(CSR) is not registered as a securities broker dealer or investment advisor with either the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities regulatory authority. CSR is not responsible for trades executed by users of this research report, our web site or mobile app based on the information included herein. The information presented in this report does not represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks or any financial instrument nor is it intended as an endorsement of any security or investment. The information in this report is generic by nature and is not personalized to the specific financial situation of any individual. The user bears complete responsibility for their own investment research and should seek the advice of a qualified investment professional before making any investment decisions. Copyright (c) 1978-(Present) by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc ("ZACKS"). The information, data, analyses and opinions contained herein (1) includes the confidential and proprietary information of ZACKS, (2) may not be copied or redistributed, for any purpose, (3) does not constitute investment advice offered by ZACKS, (4) are provided solely for informational purposes, and (5) are not warranted or represented to be correct, complete, accurate or timely. ZACKS shall not be responsible for investment decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, use of this information, data, analyses or opinions. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. ZACKS is not affiliated with Chaikin Power Tools. This report from Chaikin Power Tools is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities.

LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1

Data Provided by ZACKS Investment Research, Inc., www.zacks.com

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