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ITU / BDT- COE workshop BDTBangkok, Thailand, 11 15 October 2002

Network Planning
Lecture NP-2.2 NP-

Role of Network Planning in the current Telecom scenario


November 11th
ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 1

BDT - COE workshop on Network Planning


Module 1: Introduction and Experiences in the Region

Module 2 Role of Network Planning in the current Telecom scenario


Module 3 Integrated Planning Process Module 4 Specific Network Planning per Layer Module 5 Supporting Network Planning Tools
November 11th
ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 2

Content Chapter 2.2

Requirements to the Network Planner Scope and activities


within the network planning area

Strategic Planning and new Technologies. Solution mapping per scenario

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 3

Network Planning Key requirements in competition

Business Oriented Needs


What are the best customer segments to address ? Which services have to be introduced through time ? What is the best service bundling per customer type ? How to maximize revenues ? How to reduce capital expenditure ? How to reduce operational expenditure ?

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 4

Network Planning Key requirements in competition Network Oriented Needs


How to forecast services and traffic demands? How many nodes to install ? What is best location for systems and related communication media ? What is the best network architecture and routing ? Best balance between built and lease ? How to plan capacity evolution and solutions migration ? How to ensure SLA and protection level ?
November 11th
ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 5

Network Planning Key requirements in competition Operation Support Needs

How to evaluate alternatives for direct operation and outsourcing ?

How to organize the operation processes ? Which IT applications ensure an efficient support to operation ? How to train labor force on the operational activities ?

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 6

Network Planning Role within the network lifecycle

Network Design

Procurement & Delivery

The Managed Network Connectivity Services


Network DB

Inventory
Installation & Commissioning

Topology

Infrastructure

Network Planning Network Operation

Services Management

Maintenance & Repair

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 7

Network Planning Scope: Mission


Decision making on the network deployment to Optimize Business based on quantitative evaluation
Considering geo-marketing scenarios and traffic demand Overall vision on the network layers Deciding network topology, interconnection and routing Optimizing balance between performance/SLA and cost (CAPEX + OPEX) Considering regulatory constraints Anticipating business evaluation and feasibility

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 8

Network Planning Scope: Main supporting pillars


NETWORK PLANNING METHODOLOGY

Operational Research and optimization

Market and demand forecasting

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 9

Network Planning Scope: Main supporting pillars


NETWORK PLANNING METHODOLOGY

Market and demand forecasting

Historical projection: ARMA, ARIMA, etc.


Analogy with other demands

Evolutionary (grow lifecycle) Causal on originating factors Scenarios (alternatives and feasibility) Visionary (imagination)

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 10

Architecture and Technology KnowHow

Teletraffic Methodology

Economical Engineering

Network Planning Scope: Main supporting pillars


NETWORK PLANNING METHODOLOGY

Statistical flow modeling for arrival rates and


Teletraffic Methodology

holding times Capacity models based on stochastic processes: Analytical and Simulation Dimensioning based on efficiency and QoS Good founding on the multiple contributions from the International community (ITC)

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 11

Network Planning Scope: Main supporting pillars


NETWORK PLANNING METHODOLOGY

Operational Research and optimization

Linear programming Non linear modeling Flow Optimization Combinatorial processess Iterative processess Heuristic procedures

method of simplex procedures based on gradients critical path, maximum flow, etc. "branch and bound decisin by succesive comparisons hybrid with emphasis on constraints and equipment characteristics

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 12

Network Planning Scope: Typical activities (1)


1) Problem and Network Partitioning to reduce complexity 2) Data Gathering to match real needs Geo- scenarios Existing Network & carried services Current Performance and waiting lists 3) Demand Forecasting and traffic characterization 4) Definition of Solution Alternatives

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 13

Network Planning Scope: Typical activities (2)


5) Mapping best alternatives to requirements in coverage and technologies 6) Nodes/Links Design, Location and Dimensioning 7) Network Costing in CAPEX and OPEX 8) Optimization for routing and deployment 9) Sensitivity Analysis to demand level, QOS, etc. 10) Documentation of Network Plan and deployment

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 14

Network Planning Scope: Dimensions


By Time By Level of Detail By Network Layer By Network Segment By Technology By Service Short, Medium,Long term Strategic/Business/Network/NE Service layer up to Infrastructure Access,Metro, Core, end-to-end PSTN,SDH, Radio, ATM, IP, etc POTS, Data, LL, Video, etc

By Solution

Combination of the previous for a Project

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 15

Network Planning Scope: Related Processes


Business Planning

Network Planning

Strategic Network/business Planning

Long Term Structural Planning

Short/Medium Term Planning

Network Network Support Processes


Network Traffic & QoS Measurement ...

Customer Care & Billing ...

Management

The Network

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 16

Network Planning Strategic view


Key decisions to guide the overall network structure, services and technologies:

Role and market segments

within competition and architectures. NGN

Main evolution for technologies Solution mapping per scenario

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 17

Network Planning Strategic Planning: Role in competition

Selection of market segments: economy of scale Make versus outsource decision Policy on revenues and financing Partnership selection Priorities definition

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 18

Strategic Planning: Evolution on Technology and architecture

Technological alternatives: Which, When and Where

Architecture at core and access segments Operation support applications Planned evolution steps

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 19

Solution Mapping

Variety of geo-scenarios within the country Characterize parameters for scenario and solutions Techno-economical evaluation to select best COOP

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 20

Solution Mapping: Methodology


Compliance Services Capacities Availability Operational constraints Input criteria Techno-economical Evaluation Architecture Density Capital expenditure NPV of full costs Entry costs

Results

Projects/ Geo-scenarios

Actions Qualifiers Flexibility Speed to service Evolution Experience

Selected Scenarios

Network Models Mapping Technical Solutions

Mapping Economical Solutions Mapping Qualified Solutions

Selected Network Solutions

Recommendations

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 21

Solution Mapping: Cost Modeling


CAPITAL COSTS OPERATING COSTS

FULL COSTS

Electronic equipment Cables Civil works Licenses, permits Installation Replacement Customer premises equipment

Rights of way Space rental Operations and maintenance Power Management and salaries Cost of inventory Marketing campaigns Overheads

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 22

Solution Mapping: Example of Geo Scenarios


Suburban
L1 L2

Metropolitan
L4

L5

L3

Villages Rural clusters

L1: Distance between suburban L2: Suburban - metropolitan distance L3: Suburban - village distance
November 11th

L4: Distance between villages L5: Distance between rural

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 23

Solution Mapping: Technological alternatives at access (Fixed)


Wireline Narrowband (up to 144 Kbit/s) Point to Multipoint Wireless Satellite-Bidirectional Multiservice DLC (FTTC) xDSL Access Technologies Wireline FTTB/APON/EPON Ethernet Broadband CATV(HFC) MMDS/WIP Wireless WLAN LMDS Satellite-Bidirectional DBS/DBT PLC SDH/SONET Add Drop Mux Direct: POTS /ISDN RSU: POTS /ISDN

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 24

Solution Mapping: Technical Alternatives at access


BWA
Multiple Business Services

Fiber

xDSL (+ opt LLU)

High Speed Internet Access

CATV

ADSL (+ opt LLU) TDM + ADSL (+ opt LLU)

Telephony Low End


Revenues < ~300E/year ~ 60 %

NWA
High End SOHO SME Business Corporate

Residential

Revenues > ~600E/year ~ 40 %

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 25

Solution Mapping: Investment Splitting in Greenfield Access


Network Cost Composition for overlay PSTN and Data (Metropolitan 1 node Ducts+ Aerial)
5% 5% 4% 12 %

Infrastructure (OSP) Cost Composition (Metropolitan 1 node Ducts+Aerial)


4% 7% 25 %

74%
OSP PSTN access PSTN core DATA Overlay Transport

51 %
Primary Secondary Civil Works Engineering Management

13 %

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 26

Solution Mapping: Investment sensitivity to density in WL Access


High density areas
300 250

Metrop. total Metrop. infrastructure Sub. total

Monetary units

200 150 100 50 0 1 139 1 625 2 112 1 016 1 381 1 504 1 870 2 235 529 1 259 1 747 1 990 2 355 651 774 894 2 477

Sub. infrastructure

Density (subscribers per KM) November 11th


ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 27

Solution Mapping: Solution selection per customer density

5 000 4 500 4 000 3 500 Monetary 3 000 2 500 units 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 7 10 13 17 20 23 27 30 33 37 40 Density of lines (2Mbps per km^2)

Technology A

Technology B

Technology C HDSL with LLU access

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 28

Solution Mapping: Techno -economical TechnoRecommendation


8000 High density 1000 1000 Medium density 200 - High 200 clustering Low density - Low clustering 0.5 Cust./Km2 Services &Traffic POTS/Fax POTS/ISDN/Data POTS/Data nx64 POTS/data/Video Multimedia BB Satellite Satellite Wireless Access Narrowband

Switching based access (RSU)

Multiservice and DSLAM xDSL

APON/FTTH CATV/HFC

Overlap area Quantitative Dif. < 10% Dif. Qualitative assignment


Wireless Access 20 Wideband/BB Fixed GSM

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 29

Network Planning Reference benefits

Adequate definition of customer segments, services and business to ensure efficient operation in competition Anticipation of 2 to 3 years in the positive IRR Saving factors of 20 to 200 % by adequate solution/technology mapping in the access segment Additional gains between 20 to 40 % by topology/routing optimization

November 11th

ITU/BDT-COE Network Planning/ Role of Network Planning - O.G.S.

Lecture NP - 2.2 - slide 30

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