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PA U LI N E Paulinenstrasse 21 Ofce To be completed at unknown date CAL EIDO Tbinger Strasse 41 43 Ofce + retail + residential To be completed 3rd quarter of 2013 C A SA N O VA Augustenstrasse 1/Paulinenstrasse 41 Ofce + retail Completed in 2011
G E RB E R Marienstrasse / Tbinger Strasse Ofce + retail + residential To be completed 2nd quarter of 2014
Q UAR TIER AM KA RL SPL ATZ Holzstrasse 15 + 17 Ofce + retail To be completed at unknown date
Vacancies (%)
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
120,000 120,000 135,000 140,000 180,000 230,000 205,000 160,000 127,000 149,000 152,000 145,000 140,000 169,000 180,000 171,000 194,000 285,000
14.83 14.32 14.32 14.83 15.08 15.85 16.87 18.41 17.89 17.50 17.00 17.00 17.50 17.50 18.00 18.00 17.50 18.80
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CONTENTS.
Foreword Stuttgart an attractive and promising location Stuttgart 21 Section A1 is coming alive Rental volume at an all-time high Increased demand for ofce space in many sectors Renewed interest in large premises Rental rates exceeding previous years level Marked decline in vacant ofce space Nationwide upturn continuing Central Stuttgart: Persistently strong demand Northern Stuttgart: Mixed trends Eastern Stuttgart: Untapped potential Southern Stuttgart: A top location with a sunny outlook Overview of the Stuttgart ofce market Forecast: Stuttgarts ofce market stronger than ever Your contact partners ELLWANGER & GEIGER Real Estate 6 8 9 10 12 13 14 16 18 20 21 22 23 25 27 28 29
FOREWORD.
STUTTGART MOTOR FOR TOMORROW.
The future of humanity is in cities. Two hundred years ago, about 97 percent of the worlds population lived in rural areas. Today half of all people live in cities. According to United Nations predictions, that gure will be three-quarters by the middle of this century. Cities are motors of future growth. Their expansion is driven by factors like quality of life, economic vigour and education. At the same time, they face a major challenge: while continuing to grow, they must preserve their quality of life. How can Stuttgart do this? The instruments to do so can be found in the many topics that hold promise for the future: a wide range of sustainable technologies, especially in mobility, construction, tourism, health services and knowledge for tomorrow. Stuttgart is making rapid progress in these areas, and its related business clusters have become an important source of its economic strength. One major milestone in the eld of knowledge for tomorrow was the opening of the large new city library, which will draw 1.2 million visitors each year. A mobility map will explain Stuttgarts integrated mobility services, and sustainable mobility networks will foster the development of public and private transport. Architects, urban planners, civil engineers and tradespeople are working to supply urban districts with renewable energy, build zero-energy houses and develop mixed-use residential, working and leisure areas. By constructing new buildings and expanding its existing ones, the Stuttgart Clinic is enhancing the citys healthcare prole. These are just a few examples of how the city is promoting the local economy with extensive measures. Because Stuttgart is committed to being a motor for business development and it intends to stay that way. We would like to thank ELLWANGER & GEIGER Privatbankiers for their many years of excellent cooperation and for their continuation of the public-private partnership that has made it possible to produce a new edition of this publication.
Ines Aufrecht
Director of Business Development, Stuttgart
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Mario Caroli
Bjrn Holzwarth
VARIETY INSTEAD OF MONOCULTURE Although the region experienced a sharp rise in unemployment, it was able to recover very quickly: in less than twelve months the unemployment rate dropped by 40 percent, clearly demonstrating that the region is not exclusively dependent on the automotive industry. In fact, the diversity of the regions industries is what enabled it to respond so quickly to economic uctuations. And business diversity is continuing to increase: biotechnology and medicine, for example, are growing in importance. FORWARD-LOOKING INVESTMENTS The local automotive industry is also preparing itself for future challenges, investing in electric vehicles and future forms of mobility which have considerable potential. According to a worldwide study carried out by the consulting rm Arthur D. Little (ADL), investments in networked urban mobility could almost triple by 2050 from the current level of 300 billion euros per year. Stuttgart, the home of major automakers and suppliers, is especially well positioned to benet from these developments. And its companies have not been napping: the Daimler
project Car2go, for example, has been a major success. The city of Stuttgart has likewise taken the initiative and is drafting a master plan for a Mobility Card. Projects like this make the region more attractive, because mobility is the key factor for investors seeking a location. In the ADL mobility check, Stuttgart now holds fourth place among major German cities. FRUITFUL INTERACTION BETWEEN ACADEMIA AND BUSINESS Companies that are in close touch with events and have access to corresponding research results are able to detect trends at an early stage and prepare themselves better for change. The Baden-Wrttemberg Cooperative State University and the University of Hohenheim provide Stuttgart with the necessary transfer of knowledge between academia and local business. This fruitful symbiosis fosters an awareness of systemic risks a key factor for economic success.
PER CAPITA PURCHASING POWER IN 2011, IN CITIES WITH 500,000 OR MORE RESIDENTS
Munich 26,863
Dsseldorf
23,708
Frankfurt
22,929
Stuttgart
22,131
Cologne
21,788
Hamburg
21,320
Berlin
Stuttgart-Marketing GmbH
17,808
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S PAR KAS S ENAKA DE MIE Training + residential To be completed 3rd quarter of 2014 PA R I S E R H F E Ofce + residential To be completed 1st quarter of 2012 E UR O PE PLAZA Ofce To be completed at unknown date
Development model
SITE SE CTION 4
CITY L IBRARY
SITE SECTION 5
SI T E SE CTIO N 12
SITE SECT I O N 15
Wol fra
mst
rass
ss Wolframstra
CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT DOUBLES ITS RENTAL VOLUME Stuttgarts central business district, namely the area in the city ring between the main station, Theodor-Heuss-Strasse, Hauptsttter Strasse and Paulinenbrcke, almost doubled its rental volume, which was 32,800 square metres in 2010. Rental transactions by public institutions, which came to approximately 35,000 square metres, accounted for a large part of this increase. The largest single transaction in this period involved the relocation of the Ministry of Education to the Postquartier, and amounted to about 14,000 square metres.
OUTLYING AREAS CONTINUE TO SHOW STRONG DEMAND Demand was also strong in Vaihingen/Mhringen and Fasanenhof, the areas to the south. Two transactions by Bosch, for about 12,000 and 4,000 square metres, were especially prominent. To the north, Feuerbach and Zuffenhausen had another good year thanks to large contracts signed by Bosch and Porsche, which are headquartered there. In Bad Cannstatt a 6,000 square-metre transaction by Deutsche Telekom made a considerable impact. Thus the eastern area of Stuttgart, which also includes Wangen and Hedelngen, saw a 61 percent increase in ofce space over 2010. In contrast, LeinfeldenEchterdingen in the south experienced a decline in demand, as did Weilimdorf in the north.
10 11
205,000
180,000
159,000
149,000
152,000
145,000
2000
2001
2002
127,000
2003
2004
2005
2006
140,000
2007
169,000
2008
2009
171,000
2010
194,000
2011
285,000
TAKE-UP BY SECTORS IN %
2003 Media/communication Financial service providers Consultants Public sector Other Energy/industry IT/telecommunications Total 5.02 8.04 7.03 4.02 20.98 52.23 2.68 100 2004 4 34 5 9 29 9 10 100 2005 8 12 10 21 28 13 8 100 2006 6.64 9.93 20.29 3.21 35.21 12.86 11.86 100 2007 6.27 10.36 18.4 17.75 37.28 9.94 100 2008 5.56 15.78 13.39 7.22 36.94 21.11 100 2009 6.14 8.36 7.72 30.41 40.94 6.43 100 2010 4.07 8.41 13.35 8.14 48.04 17.99 100 2011 3.82 8.67 8.00 13.68 40.42 15.79 9.62 100
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2010 Total space 2010: 194,000 sq. m < 500 sq. m 501 1,000 sq. m 1,001 2,000 sq. m 2,001 5,000 sq. m > 5,000 sq. m
62
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Source for both charts: Research BANKHAUS ELLWANGER & GEIGER KG , figures as of 31 December 2011
PEAK AND AVERAGE CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT RENTS 2000 2011 IN / SQ. M
18.41
18.00
17.89
17.50
17.50
18.00
17.50
17.00
16.87
17.00
14.90
15.34
Peak rents 14.80 14.50 14.50 14.50 14.50 14.30 14.30 2011
13.50
Average rents
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
13.60
2007
2008
2009
13.60
2010
17.50
18.80
14 15
14.30
15.90
11.50
11.90
11.00
13.30 9.00
9.60
10.20
Peak rents
Average rents
City centre
XXX
Pre-letting
160,000
145,000
130,000
143,500
131,500
115,600
80,000
68,500
104,900
51,400
49,000
57,000
109,500 40,000 42,400 45,900 41,200 22,000 2009 2010 22,200 2011 2012 41,500 2013 5 50,500
28,500
32,600
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
23,400
2008
In 2011, new premises totalling almost 31,300 square metres were completed in Stuttgart and 14,600 square metres underwent core renovation. However, most of this space was already pre-let or quickly leased to new tenants. Moreover, a large amount of sub-let space in the central business district was taken off the market. These two factors, in conjunction with a surprisingly high rental
volume in some outlying areas, resulted in a shortage of premises in certain cases. In Stuttgarts central business district the available supply declined by about 12,500 square metres to about 60,600 square metres. The city centre saw an even sharper decrease: here the supply of ofce space with short-term availability dropped from about 116,900 square metres to 93,500 square metres.
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3% 5%
Stuttgart city centre > 93,500 sq. m 0
5 5%
Va Vaihingen > 27,800 sq. m a
7%
100%
7%
10% 14%
M Mhr Mhr Mhringen > 41,900 sq. m
10% 0% 0%
Source for both charts: Research BANKHAUS ELLWANGER & GEIGER KG , figures as of 31 December 2011
In southern Stuttgart there were some conspicuous shifts: whereas the available supply was reduced by half in Vaihingen, Mhringen made considerable gains. In the north and east, there were no major changes because the good rental volume was balanced by new vacancies.
In 2012, some 47,500 square metres of ofce space will be completed. However, since almost 32,000 square metres of this is already pre-let, the ofce market will gain hardly any new premises. In 2013, the situation might improve somewhat because 110,000 square metres will be completed, of which about 50,500 square metres is currently pre-let.
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2007 2008
13.9
10.3
11.5
11.8
10.3
10.3
9.8
9.6
9.7
8.9
9.1
9.4
8.3
8.3
8.9
8.2
8.2
8.4
8.4
7.9
7.7
6.4
6.2
6.1
Frankfurt
Dsseldorf
Cologne
Munich
Berlin
Hamburg
Stuttgart
765,000
510,000
480,000
580,000
620,000
180,000
149,000
152,000
145,000
2003
2004
2005
2006
140,000
2007
169,000
2008
2009
171,000
2010
194,000
2011
5.7
20 21
22 23
FASANENHOF Fasanenhof can look back on a decade of strong uctuations in letting. In the past two years however, demand has improved and the 12,500 square metres of rented space achieved in 2011 was the best result since 2004. The urban railway, which is now in service, has added to the attractiveness of this location. In 2011, 18 leases were signed, a gain of 80 percent over the previous year. Of these, 23 percent were in the segment up to 500 square metres and 17 percent were in the range between 501 and 1,000 square metres. There were two leases in the segment from 1,001 to 2,000 square metres. A large rental transaction by Bosch, amounting to 4,000 square metres of ofce space, had a strong impact on the nal result. Rates up to 9.00 euros per square metre were paid for 23 percent of the premises, and the segment between 9.01 and 10.00 euros accounted for 67 percent. One lease was signed for 10.50 euros per square metre. The Vaihingen/Mhringen industrial estate accounted for 78 percent of the leases. Seven percent were in the segment up to 500 square metres, 19 percent were in the range from 501 to 1,000 square metres, and 18 percent were in the range from 1,001 to 5,000 square metres. Two leases were signed in the segment from 5,001 to 10,000 square metres, and another for roughly 12,000 square metres. For 21 percent of the premises, the rates were in the range up to 9.00 euros per square metre. For 28 percent they were in the range from 9.01 to 10.00 euros per square metre, and for 49 percent they were in the range from 10.01 to 11.00 euros per square metre. There were two leases, together totalling about 600 square metres, in the range between 13.60 and 16.90 euros per square metre, signed for premises in the Colorado building. STEP, which is continuing to develop, accounted last year for 16 percent of the leases in the combined area of Vaihingen/Mhringen and STEP. Fewer new leases were signed than in the previous year, but this is because there were almost no vacant premises in STEP. An increase in the rental volume cannot be expected until marketing VAIHINGEN/MHRINGEN AND STEP In 2011, Vaihingen/Mhringen and the Stuttgart Engineering Park (STEP) once again performed outstandingly, and again the crucial factors were their proximity to the motorway, excellent infrastructure connections and an interesting user environment. Ofce space totalling 56,300 square metres was let, an increase of 114 percent. This record result for the area was the consequence of major transactions with automotive suppliers, software developers and construction companies, among other users. begins for the new buildings STEP 7.1 and STEP 7.2. Of the new signings, 63 percent were in the range between 11.50 and 12.00 euros per square metre and 18 percent in the range between 12.01 and 13.00 euros per square metre.
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A 81 towards Heilbronn
A 81 towards Singen
Bad Cannstatt Feuerbach Northern Stuttgart Central Stuttgart Western Stuttgart Southern Stuttgart Eastern Stuttgart
Vaihingen
A 8 towards Karlsruhe
A 8 towards Munich
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Ulrich Nestel Head of Ofce Letting and Retail Projects, Stuttgart Phone +49 (0) 711 2148 291 Ulrich.Nestel@privatbank.de
Sebastian Degen Consultant Ofce Letting Phone +49 (0) 711 2148 166 Sebastian.Degen@privatbank.de
Helga Schner Market Research and Ofce Letting Phone +49 (0) 711 2148 269 Helga.Schoener@privatbank.de
DISCLAIMER:
Although this study has been prepared with all due care, ELLWANGER & GEIGER Privatbankiers accepts no liability for the correctness of the assessments presented. We are sure that you will understand this.
ILLUSTRATIONS:
Manfred Storck: Pages 2, 3 Stuttgart Marketing GmbH: Page 8
Matthias Hgele Consultant Ofce Letting Phone +49 (0) 711 2148 292 Matthias.Haegele@privatbank.de
Alice Disam Assistant Ofce Letting Phone +49 (0) 711 2148 297 Alice.Disam@privatbank.de
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BANKHAUS ELLWANGER & GEIGER KG Real Estate Brsenplatz 1, 70174 Stuttgart, Germany Phone +49 (0) 711/2148 297, Fax +49 (0) 711/2148 290 www.privatbank.de