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Market Analysis

Earl J. Lum
+1-650-430-2221
elum@ejlwireless.com

1st Edition
Global Microcell Base Station Market Analysis and Forecast, 2011-2016
March 2012

Entire contents 2012 EJL Wireless Research LLC. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior
written permission is strictly forbidden and will be prosecuted to the fully extent of US and International laws. The transfer of this
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been obtained from sources EJL Wireless Research LLC deems reliable. EJL Wireless Research disclaims all warranties as to the
accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. EJL Wireless Research LLC shall have no liability for errors, omissions or
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selection of these materials to achieve its intended results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.

2012 EJL Wireless Research LLC. All Rights Reserved

TABLE OF CONTENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ....................................................................... 5

Summary ..................................................................................................... 7

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ................................................................. 9


CHAPTER 1: OVERALL MICROCELL MARKET POTENTIAL ............................... 11
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6

Substantial Market Opportunity Awaits Industry...........................................11


Microcell BTS Forecast 2012-2016 .............................................................14
Microcell BTS Revenue Forecast 2012-2016.................................................19
Heterogeneous Macrocell vs. Microcell Network Topology ..............................20
New LTE Frequency Bands: 3.5GHz/700MHz................................................24
LTE Release 10/11- LTE-Advanced and its Impact on Microcell BTS.................25

CHAPTER 2: GEOGRAPHICAL MARKET SHARE .......................................... 26

Asia Pacific and Europe Driving Initial Microcell BTS Market Demand ....................26
2.1 North America.........................................................................................28
2.2 Latin America..........................................................................................31
2.3 Western Europe ......................................................................................35
2.4 Eastern Europe .......................................................................................39
2.5 Africa.....................................................................................................43
2.6 The Middle East.......................................................................................47
2.7 Asia Pacific .............................................................................................51

CHAPTER 3: MICROCELL + WIFI ACESS POINT PORTFOLIO VENDORS ............. 58


3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9

Alcatel-Lucent .........................................................................................59
Altai Technologies Ltd. .............................................................................63
Cisco Systems.........................................................................................64
Ericsson/Bel Air Networks .........................................................................65
Huawei Technologies................................................................................66
Nokia Siemens Networks ..........................................................................68
Ruckus Wireless ......................................................................................71
Wavion Wireless Networks (Alvarion) .........................................................72
ZTE .......................................................................................................73

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2012 EJL Wireless Research LLC. All Rights Reserved

TABLES
Table 1: Global Microcell Cumulative Penetration by Region (Units) ...................................................... 6
Table 2: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Millions of Dollars).......................... 6
Table 3: Global Microcell Cumulative Penetration by Region (Units) .................................................... 11
Table 4: Global Microcell Cumulative Penetration by Region, Cities >1 Million (Units) ........................... 13
Table 5: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (Units) ......................... 16
Table 6: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% Market Share).......... 16
Table 7: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth) ............ 16
Table 8: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Units) ......................................... 17
Table 9: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ......................... 17
Table 10: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth) .......................... 17
Table 11: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Millions of Dollars) ...................... 19
Table 12: Global Microcell BTS Shipment Forecast by Region, 2012-2016 (Units) ................................. 26
Table 13: Global Microcell BTS Shipment Forecast by Region, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ................. 26
Table 14: Global Microcell BTS Shipment Forecast by Region, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth).................... 26
Table 15: North America Microcell Cumulative Penetration by Country (Units) ..................................... 28
Table 16: North America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (Units) ............ 28
Table 17: North America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% Market Share)
................................................................................................................................................. 28
Table 18: North America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth)29
Table 19: North America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Units) ............................ 30
Table 20: North America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ............ 30
Table 21: North America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth) ............... 30
Table 22: Latin America Microcell Cumulative Penetration by Country (Units) ...................................... 31
Table 23: Latin America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (Units) ............. 32
Table 24: Latin America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% Market Share)
................................................................................................................................................. 32
Table 25: Latin America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth) 33
Table 26: Latin America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Units) ............................. 34
Table 27: Latin America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ............. 34
Table 28: Latin America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth)................ 34
Table 29: Western Europe Microcell Cumulative Penetration by Country (Units) ................................... 35
Table 30: Western Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (Units) .......... 36
Table 31: Western Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% Market
Share) ........................................................................................................................................ 36
Table 32: Western Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth)
................................................................................................................................................. 37
Table 33: Western Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Units).......................... 38
Table 34: Western Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) .......... 38
Table 35: Western Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth)............. 38
Table 36: Eastern Europe Microcell Cumulative Penetration by Country (Units) .................................... 39
Table 37: Eastern Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (Units) ........... 40
Table 38: Eastern Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% Market Share)
................................................................................................................................................. 40
Table 39: Eastern Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth)
................................................................................................................................................. 41
Table 40: Eastern Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Units)........................... 42
Table 41: Eastern Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ........... 42
Table 42: Eastern Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth).............. 42
Table 43: Africa Microcell Cumulative Penetration by Country (Units) ................................................. 43
Table 44: Africa Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (Units) ........................ 44
Table 45: Africa Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% Market Share)......... 44
Table 46: Africa Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth) ........... 45
Table 47: Africa Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Units) ........................................ 46
Table 48: Africa Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ........................ 46
Table 49: Africa Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth) ........................... 46
Table 50: The Middle East Microcell Cumulative Penetration by Country (Units) ................................... 47
Table 51: The Middle East Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (Units) .......... 48
Table 52: The Middle East Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% Market
Share) ........................................................................................................................................ 48
Table 53: The Middle East Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth)
................................................................................................................................................. 49
Table 54: The Middle East Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Units) .......................... 50

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The Middle East Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) .......... 50
The Middle East Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth) ............. 50
Asia Pacific Microcell Cumulative Penetration by Country (Units) .......................................... 51
Asia Pacific Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (Units) ................. 52
Asia Pacific Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) . 52
Asia Pacific Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth).... 53
Asia Pacific Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Units)................................. 54
Asia Pacific Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ................. 54
Asia Pacific Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% YoY Growth) ................... 54

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2012 EJL Wireless Research LLC. All Rights Reserved

EXHIBITS
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1: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Units) ......................................... 6


2: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Millions of Dollars)........................ 7
3: Global Microcell Cumulative Penetration (Units)................................................................. 12
4: Global Microcell Cumulative Penetration by Region @ 50% MMPR (Units) ............................. 12
5: Global Microcell BTS Forecast 2012-2016, (% YoY Growth)................................................. 14
6: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2012-2016 (Units) ....................... 17
7: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Units) ....................................... 18
8: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2016 (% Market Share)................................ 18
9: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (Millions of Dollars)...................... 19
10: Heterogeneous Macrocell vs. Microcell Network Topology with LTE Microcells ...................... 21
11: Heterogeneous Macrocell vs. Microcell Network Topology with WiFi Microcells...................... 22
12: Heterogeneous Macrocell vs. Microcell Network Topology with LTE+WiFi Microcells .............. 23
13: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Region, 2014 (Units) ..................................................... 27
14: Global Microcell BTS Forecast by Region, 2016 (Units) ..................................................... 27
15: North America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2014 (Units)................... 29
16: North America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) .......... 30
17: Latin America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2015 (Units).................... 33
18: Latin America Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ........... 34
19: Western Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2014 (Units) ................ 37
20: Western Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ........ 38
21: Eastern Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2014 (Units) ................. 41
22: Eastern Europe Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ......... 42
23: Africa Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2015 (Units)............................... 45
24: Africa Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ...................... 46
25: The Middle East Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2014 (Units)................. 49
26: The Middle East Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ........ 50
27: Asia Pacific Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface/Frequency, 2014 (Units) ....................... 53
28: Asia Pacific Microcell BTS Forecast by Air Interface, 2012-2016 (% Market Share) ............... 54
29: WiFi Control Module 5780 Dynamic Services Controller (DSC) ........................................... 59
30: 7750 Service Router (SR) ............................................................................................. 60
31: 9363 Metro Cell 850/1900MHz/2100 Indoor .................................................................... 60
32: 9364 Metro Cell 2100MHz Outdoor................................................................................. 61
33: 9764 Metro Cell Outdoor............................................................................................... 61
34: 9768 Metro Radio ........................................................................................................ 62
35: Service Controller 7000 ................................................................................................ 63
36: A8 Super WiFi Base Station........................................................................................... 63
37: 5508 Wireless Controller............................................................................................... 64
38: Aironet 1552 Series Access Point ................................................................................... 64
39: BelAir8000 Carrier Cloud (CC8000) Controller ................................................................. 65
40: BelAir2100 3G/4G/WiFi Metrocell ................................................................................... 65
41: AtomCell 4T4R 2W ....................................................................................................... 66
42: BTS3202E................................................................................................................... 67
43: Nokia Siemens Networks Flexi Network Gateway (NG) ..................................................... 68
44: Nokia Siemens Networks PCS5000 Policy Control Server .................................................. 68
45: Flexi Zone Controller and Outdoor Access Point ............................................................... 69
46: Flexi Lite BTS .............................................................................................................. 69
47: Nokia Siemens Networks Flexi Lite BTS (Pole-mounted) ................................................... 70
48: Zone Director 5000 ...................................................................................................... 71
49: ZoneFlex 7762 Access Point .......................................................................................... 71
50: WBS-2450-E Base Station............................................................................................. 72
51: ZTE BS8920 LTE Microcell ............................................................................................. 73

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