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APRIL 20, 2009

PRE-DEVELOPMENT AGREEMENT REPORT


CITY OF TUCSON RIO NUEVO MULTIPURPOSE FACILITIES DISTRICT

Submitted By:

Garfield Traub Development Starwood Hotels and Resorts Turner Construction Company Sundt Construction DLR Group

Table of Contents

I II III IV V VI VII

Executive Summary

Sustainability

Preliminary Project Budget

Preliminary Operating Pro Forma

Development Schedule

Capital Plan

Exhibits

Pre-Development Agreement Services Report


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Section I: Executive Summary

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Executive Summary

Executive Summary

On July 30, 2008, the City of Tucson (City) and the Rio Nuevo Multipurpose Facilities District (District) entered into a Pre-Development Agreement (Agreement) with Garfield Traub Development, LLC (GTD) for the pre-development planning of a Sheraton-brand Convention Headquarters Hotel (Hotel). The Hotel will be located adjacent to the Tucson Convention Center (TCC) on land owned by the District. The first requirement of the Agreement was for GTD to lead a procurement process for a design-builder of the Hotel. The procurement process would be led by GTD with input from the City and District and would be in compliance with all applicable laws, ordinances and regulations. GTD completed the procurement process with the selection of a design-build team that included a joint venture between Turner Construction Company and Sundt Construction, Inc. as design-builder (Contractor) and DLR Group as architect (Architect). GTD, along with its Hotel operator, Starwood Hotels and Resorts (Starwood) and its selected design-build team, comprised the group that completed the work under the Agreement and are hereinafter referred to as the Team. In addition to the Hotel, the Team would include in its report as part of this Agreement construction of a new east entrance to the Tucson Convention Center as Phase I of hotel construction, and an exhibit hall and meeting space expansion of the TCC along with a new parking garage. The hotel development (including the new east entrance to the TCC), TCC expansion and parking garage are collectively referenced to as the Project. The scope of services under the Agreement included final site determination in connection with the Citys area-wide master planning, preliminary site plan and hotel concept design, preliminary hotel pricing (budget), preliminary hotel operating pro forma, project schedule and a capital plan including a private ownership model and a tax-exempt financing model. The final site selection by the City and agreed to by the Team is south of the original site contemplated by GTD in its initial proposal. This new site meets the requirements of area-wide master planning and provides good connectivity to the Phase I TCC expansion. GTD was also asked to work with Starwood to determine the appropriate number of rooms for the Hotel based upon the phased TCC expansion, with consideration given to the HVS TCC expansion study dated July 23, 2008, and the C.H. Johnson Consulting Convention Center Redevelopment Feasibility Analysis dated March 2007. Starwood and GTD determined that the appropriate room count range for the Hotel should be between 520 to 550 rooms. Due to the significant level of public interest in the Project, the City and District asked the Team to include the public as much as reasonably possible during the concept design stage of this pre-development period. The City and the Team agreed to a series of public meetings including the following:
Pre-Development Agreement Services Report
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Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel

Executive Summary

Design Charrette Public Meeting #1 at TCC Public Meeting #2 at TCC Public Meeting #3 at TCC

November 19, 2008 December 15, 2008 January 26, 2009 March 9, 2009

All of the meetings were well-attended and feedback from the public was incorporated into the final concept design. The ultimate goal of the Pre-Development Period is to provide the City and District a reliable budget for the Project and operating pro forma for the Hotel so that they and their underwriters, financial advisors and strategic partners can determine if the Project is financially feasible and can be capitalized under terms acceptable to the public sector. Team guidelines for this period were as follows: A first-class, full-service Hotel with appropriate meeting space; High quality and contextually appropriate urban design; TCC expansion west of the existing exhibit hall; Parking to replace any displaced surface parking and support the Project; Concept design in as much detail as necessary to give an accurate budget that should not exceed the guaranteed maximum price provided during the design phase after the completion of construction drawings; The Hotel operating pro forma should reflect union operations; A LEED Silver designation for the Hotel is desirable to the City.

Given this initial guidance, the first order of business for the team was to collect all site data available, including a boundary survey, and begin the process of fitting the Project on the site. The site plan, architectural floor plans, elevations, sections and renderings have been developed and continually refined based on the feedback from the Team, the City and District, and the public. The process of reviewing, value-engineering and re-drawing has continued through the period to ensure that the final program results in the most efficient buildings possible on the site. The final space allocation program, after several design revisions, is summarized on the following page in Table 1-1. The final concept design including site plan, floor plans, elevations and renderings is included in a separate package accompanying this report.

Pre-Development Agreement Services Report


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Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Table 1-1 Summary Space Allocation Program Total Number of Guestrooms King Double/double Suites Total Net Square Footage Allocation Guestroom floors Ballrooms and meeting rooms Meeting room pre-function/support Food and beverage outlets Lobby/reception Recreation areas Kitchens, storage, and support Back of house Total 283 195 47 525

Executive Summary

255,980 35,095 26,860 6,750 5,975 8,373 12,580 25,794 377,407

Another important early step in the process was to define building systems in the hotel such as structural, mechanical, plumbing, electrical, lighting, vertical transportation and fire protection. Understanding of these system assumptions by the design-builder are critical for the budgeting process. The team selected highly qualified subcontractors to assist in the process. Design narratives describing these systems and assumptions are included in the separate concept design package. When the initial space allocation program was complete, Starwood prepared an updated operating pro forma. The first operating pro formas were prepared during the initial RFP process and have been refined to reflect the current room count and net meeting room square footage. The final pre-development period operating pro forma, summarized in Table 1-2 on the following page, reflects the current space allocation program, and anticipated opening date of July 2012.

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Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Table 1-2 Summary 5-Year P&L ($000) Year 1 $138.31 58.1% $29,220 $15,674 $ 8,507 $ 6,844 Year 2 $156.99 64.0% $35,302 $19,958 $12,217 $ 9,928 Year 3 $169.59 69.5% $40,790 $23,616 $15,313 $12,129

Executive Summary

Average daily rate Occupancy Total revenue Departmental profit Gross operating profit Operating income

Year 4 $174.50 72.0% $43,551 $25,210 $16,534 $12,947

Year 5 $180.00 72.0% $44,892 $26,002 $17,063 $13,367

From the very beginning of the pre-development period, the budgeting process has been actively underway. Starting with site selection, our design-build team began collecting budget data. They have been studying the site, reviewing concept plans and system narratives, and meeting with subcontractors in order to establish a preliminary budget. Following, in Table1-3, is a summary budget. The complete project budget is shown in Section III of this submission.

Table 1-3 Summary Budget ($000) Convention Center $33,987 $4,744 $38,731 Parking Garage $31,300 $1,887 $33,187

Construction Cost Soft Costs Total Project Cost

Hotel $146,540 $20,546 $167,086

Per SF $331.26 $46.45 $377.71

Per SF $287.92 $40.19 $328.11

Per SF $76.21 $4.59 $80.80

The total Project schedule encompasses the three phases of development: pre-development, design and construction. Approximate timing of the project phases is as follows in Table 1-4: Table 1-4 Summary Project Schedule Pre-development phase complete Capitalization plan approved /NTP-Design phase Start of design phase Construction start east convention center entrance Design phase final GMP Construction start hotel and convention center Grand opening
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April 2009 May 2009 May 2009 September 2009 December 2009 March 2010 June 2012

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel

Executive Summary

The Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel has been designed to serve the present and future needs of the Tucson Convention Center and the area surrounding it, including the future arena. It is designed to be a truly urban hotel, reflecting both the proud heritage and the future of the City of Tucson. It will be built using the most contemporary and innovative construction technology, and will serve as an industry leader in sustainable design while meeting all industry standards for a first-class, full-service hotel. Garfield Traub Development could not be more proud of its Teams effort during this pre-development period, and is appreciative of the guidance from both the City and District as well as direct input from the public. We have taken a difficult and irregular site and designed a stunning headquarters hotel that is both efficient and compatible with the neighborhood and the Tucson Convention Center. It will serve the City of Tucson for decades to come and will not only enhance the performance of the TCC, but will also serve as the major catalyst for the future development of the Rio Nuevo Multipurpose Facilities District. The concept plan, budget, operating pro forma and development schedule included in this package are diligently researched and realistic. The team is confident the Project can be delivered to the City and District as presented, and looks forward to working with the City and District to make it a reality.

Pre-Development Agreement Services Report


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Section II: Sustainability


Sustainability Narrative LEED 2009 Score Sheet

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Sustainability Narrative

Sustainability Narrative

The Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel team will continue to strive to achieve the highest level of sustainable design for this project and to work with the City of Tucson to implement the appropriate level of pilot programs to lead by example as a City Project. Our Teams commitment to effective, responsible architecture, engineering, planning and interiors services manifests itself through our capacity to implement integrated designs that consider site, building and space as interrelated systems. As a multidisciplinary design firm, DLR Group is uniquely positioned to leverage in-house expertise and custom sustainable design tools to create environmentally, economically and culturally effective facilities. As an introduction to this process one of the first activities will be to host an eco-charette to determine what strategies and ideas could be incorporated into the project. This activity will include all members of the development team, as well as the city and will define our environmental and sustainable goals and milestones to achieve them. Listed below are some specific strategies that the team will undertake by category: LEED Certification The project will be registered with the USGBC upon inception and will apply for LEED silver certification upon completion and commissioning. The intent of the design team is to use the LEED score sheet as a sustainable opportunity matrix, and to incorporate a holistic approach which encompasses site-related issues, water use reduction, optimized energy performance, recycled and renewable materials, indoor environmental quality, and innovation in design. A preliminary LEED 2009 score sheet is included following this narrative. Sustainable Sites The urban location of this project allows for the use of public transportation (modern street car line) and existing infrastructure. Rainwater from the roof and plaza areas will be collected and stored onsite to be re-used for irrigation. Demolition of the existing west entry and the recycling and re-use of existing materials on site to minimize haul off of unused material. Water Efficiency The building will utilize water efficient fixtures to reduce the burden on municipal supply and wastewater systems. The site will also be designed with native landscaping that requires minimal irrigation.
Pre-Development Agreement Services Report DRAFT - CONFIDENTIAL
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Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel

Sustainability Narrative

Energy & Atmosphere The building will have a high performance envelope and energy efficient lighting and mechanical systems allowing it to perform approximately 20-25% better than a typical building. Passive strategies will be incorporated into the mechanical system to capitalize on the seasonal temperature swings such as using the cool nighttime air to help cool the building. The project will also investigate using highly efficient district energy services. Materials & Resources The project will use recycled and regional materials. A construction waste management plan will be used to recycle construction waste such as cardboard, metal and concrete to reduce the amount of material sent to the landfill. Indoor Environmental Quality The building will be designed to maximize interior natural day lighting, reducing the amount of required artificial light.

Pre-Development Agreement Services Report


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LEED for New Construction and Major Renovations 2009 Project Scorecard
Project Name: Project Address:
Yes ? No

Garfield Traub Sheraton Convention Center Hotel Tucson, Arizona

19 Y Y Y

Sustainable Sites Prereq 1 Credit 1 Credit 2 Credit 3 Credit 1.1 Credit 1.2 Credit 1.3 Credit 1.4 Credit 5.1 Credit 5.2 Credit 6.1 Credit 6.2 Credit 7.1 Credit 7.2 Credit 8 Construction Activity Pollution Prevention Site Selection Development Density & Community Connectivity Brownfield Redevelopment Alternative Transportation, Public Transportation Access Alternative Transportation, Bicycle Storage & Changing Rooms Alternative Transportation, Low-Emitting & Fuel-Efficient Vehicles Alternative Transportation, Parking Capactiy Site Development, Protect or Restore Habitat Site Development, Maximize Open Space Stormwater Design, Quantity Control Stormwater Design, Quality Control Heat Island Effect, Non-Roof Heat Island Effect, Roof Light Pollution Reduction

26 Required 1 5 1 6 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Points

Comments

? Y Y Y Y ? ? ? ? ? Y ?
Yes ? No

The urban location suggests this credit is possible pending site testing and analysis 3 bus routes and 10 different bus stops w/in .25 miles provide preferred parking for fuel efficient vehicles confirm w/ zoning code (1:key, 1:50gsf assembly)

verify existing imperviousness, rainwater harvesting permeable paving, green roof, rain gardens vegetated swales provide roof on garage? high albedo roof / green roof

4 Y Y

Water Efficiency Prereq 1 Credit 1.1 Credit 1.2 Credit 2 Credit 3 Water Use Reduction, 20% Reduction Water Efficient Landscaping, Reduce by 50% Water Efficient Landscaping, No Potable Use or No Irrigation Innovative Wastewater Technologies Water Use Reduction x 30% Reduction 35% Reduction 40% Reduction

10 Required 2 2 2 2 to 4 2 3 4

Points

? ? Y

might be tough in this climate

11

Yes

No

15 Y Y Y 6

20

Energy & Atmosphere Prereq 1 Prereq 2 Prereq 3 Credit 1 Fundamental Commissioning of the Building Energy Systems Minimum Energy Performance: 10% New Bldgs or 5% Existing Bldg Renovations Fundamental Refrigerant Management Optimize Energy Performance 12% New Buildings or 8% Existing Building Renovations 14% New Buildings or 10% Existing Building Renovations 16% New Buildings or 12% Existing Building Renovations 18% New Buildings or 14% Existing Building Renovations 20% New Buildings or 16% Existing Building Renovations Y 22% New Buildings or 18% Existing Building Renovations ? 24% New Buildings or 20% Existing Building Renovations ? 26% New Buildings or 22% Existing Building Renovations ? 28% New Buildings or 24% Existing Building Renovations ? 30% New Buildings or 26% Existing Building Renovations ? 32% New Buildings or 28% Existing Building Renovations ? 34% New Buildings or 30% Existing Building Renovations 36% New Buildings or 32% Existing Building Renovations g g g 38% New Buildings or 34% Existing Building Renovations 40% New Buildings or 36% Existing Building Renovations 42% New Buildings or 38% Existing Building Renovations 44% New Buildings or 40% Existing Building Renovations 46% New Buildings or 42% Existing Building Renovations 48% New Buildings or 44% Existing Building Renovations On-Site Renewable Energy ? 1% Renewable Energy ? 3% Renewable Energy 5% Renewable Energy 7% Renewable Energy 9% Renewable Energy 11% Renewable Energy 13% Renewable Energy Enhanced Commissioning Enhanced Refrigerant Management Measurement & Verification Green Power

35 Required Required Required 1 to 19 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 1 to 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2 2 3 2

Points

13

Credit 2

Y Y Y Y
Yes ? No

Credit 3 Credit 4 Credit 5 Credit 6

7 Y

Materials & Resources Prereq 1 Storage & Collection of Recyclables


12

14 Required

Points

N Y Y N N Y Y Y Y N Y
Yes ? No

Credit 1 Credit 1.1 Credit 1.2 Credit 1.3 Credit 1.4 Credit 2.1 Credit 2.2 Credit 3.1 Credit 3.2 Credit 4.1 Credit 4.2 Credit 5.1 Credit 5.2 Credit 6 Credit 7

Building Reuse Maintain 55% of Existing Walls, Floors & Roof Maintain 75% of Existing Walls, Floors & Roof Maintain 95% of Existing Walls, Floors & Roof Building Reuse, Maintain 50% of Interior Non-Structural Elements Construction Waste Management, Divert 50% from Disposal Construction Waste Management, Divert 75% from Disposal Materials Reuse, 5% Materials Reuse, 10% Recycled Content, 10% (post-consumer + 1/2 pre-consumer) Recycled Content, 20% (post-consumer + 1/2 pre-consumer) Regional Materials, 10% Extracted, Processed & Manufactured Regionally Regional Materials, 20% Extracted, Processed & Manufactured Regionally Rapidly Renewable Materials, 2.5% of total material cost Certified Wood

1 to 3 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

N/A

N/A confirm w/ Turner

reasonable to assume w/ proximity to Phoenix, LA, Vegas, Albuquerque

12 Y Y Y

Indoor Environmental Quality Prereq 1 Prereq 2 Credit 1 Credit 2 Credit 3.1 Credit 3.2 Credit 4.1 Credit 4.2 Credit 4.3 Credit 4.4 Credit 5 Credit 6.1 Credit 6.2 Credit 7.1 Credit 7.2 Credit 8.1 Credit 8.2 Minimum IAQ Performance Environmental Tobacco Smoke (ETS) Control Outdoor Air Delivery Monitoring Increased Ventilation Construction IAQ Management Plan, During Construction Construction IAQ Management Plan, Before Occupancy Low-Emitting Materials, Adhesives & Sealants Low-Emitting Materials, Paints & Coatings Low-Emitting Materials, Flooring Systems Low-Emitting Materials, Composite Wood & Agrifiber Products Indoor Chemical & Pollutant Source Control Controllability of Systems, Lighting Controllability of Systems, Thermal Comfort Thermal Comfort, Design Thermal Comfort, Verification Daylight & Views, Daylight 75% of Spaces Daylight & Views, Views for 90% of Spaces

15 Required Required 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Points

? Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y N Y ?
Yes ? No

Natural ventilation confirm w/ Turner

5 ? ?

Innovation & Design Process Credit 1.1 Credit 1.2 Innovation in Design: Innovation in Design: Provide Specific Title Provide Specific Title
13

6 1 1

Points

? ? ? Y
Yes ? No

Credit 1.3 Credit 1.4 Credit 1.5 Credit 2

Innovation in Design: Provide Specific Title Innovation in Design: Provide Specific Title Innovation in Design: Provide Specific Title LEED Accredited Professional

1 1 1 1

4 ? ? ? ?

Regional Priority Credits Credit 1.1 Credit 1.2 Credit 1.3 Credit 1.4 Regional Priority Credit: Regional Priority Credit: Regional Priority Credit: Regional Priority Credit: Region Defined Region Defined Region Defined Region Defined

4 1 1 1 1

Points

Yes

No

58 44

Project Totals (Certification Estimates) Certified: 40-49 points Silver: 50-59 points Gold: 60-79 points

110 Platinum: 80+ points

Points

14

Section III: Preliminary Project Budget


Budget Narrative Preliminary Budget Summary Estimate Summary (Hard Cost Detail) Budget Control Report FF&E and IT OS&E Project Cost Estimate Technology Budget Summary (IT) Pre-Opening Budget Summary Construction Manager Budget

15

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Budget Narrative

Budget Narrative

Although overall control of the budget lies with the developer, all team members have contributed. Our preliminary project budget summary is on the following page and various supporting details are on subsequent pages. Under our design-build delivery system, prior to starting construction our design-builder will issue a hard cost Guaranteed Maximum Price (GMP). This GMP will include direct construction costs, FF&E and IT, construction contingencies, design and permitting fees, and certain indirect construction costs. Our preliminary estimates for each of these hard cost budget categories are shown in the estimate summary immediately following the preliminary budget summary. Starwood Hotels and Resorts provided the IT budget as well as guidance on the FF&E budget. Design and engineering fees were estimated by our architect, DLR Group. All other costs in the hard cost estimate summary were prepared under the guidance of our design builder. In preparing the hard cost conceptual estimate, our design-builders main objective was to develop a complete scope of work, including those items not yet defined but needed to make the building operational. In order to do this, Turner/Sundt used the following information: program narratives, sketches, renderings, diagrams, elevations, sections, soils information from a near by adjoining site, descriptions of building systems, relevant correspondence, information from construction charettes, and other related information divulged from meetings with the design team. Team members also familiarized themselves with the site location, existing utility locations and have a general understanding of the site logistics. Most importantly, in furnishing an initial construction budget, Turner/Sundt felt that communication of all the project team members is more important than the sole interpretation of and budgeting based on the current level of site plans, floor plans, elevations and narratives. After interpreting the information stated above Turner/Sundt established detailed quantity surveys for each projected scope of work. These quantity surveys were then priced using current market condition square foot costs, verification of costs from suppliers and subcontractors, as well as comparing historical information from past similar projects. This hard cost conceptual estimate and the accompanying written descriptions define the intended scope of the project and becomes the basis of comparison for all future budget updates. This exercise is the first step in the budgeting process and provides an executive look at the proposed project and allows the Team an opportunity to discuss early systems and program alternatives to better plan the project to fit within the confines of the desired budget. The soft costs to complete the preliminary budget summary were estimated by the developer, design-builder, and Starwood based on current market rates, comparable projects and recent experience. Starwood provided detail for the operating supplies and equipment and pre-opening budgets, as shown in the pages that follow. The East entrance allowance and impact fees were estimated by the design builder, with the remaining soft cost budget items provided by the developer. Allocations (when necessary) of various budget items between the hotel, convention center and parking garage are primarily made based on square footages or direct construction costs as appropriate. It is our goal that 1% of the hard construction cost will include commissioning of local artists and artwork in conjunction with the City, District, and Tucson Pima Arts Council. The land upon which the Hotel, TCC expansion and parking garage will be built is currently owned by the District. Since there is no current appraisal for the value of the land, and the improvements which will be built on the land will also be owned by the District, we have excluded land from the budget and our capital plan models. Prior to issuance of bonds to finance the component parts of the Project, the District may have the land appraised and include it as both a source and use of funds in the models.

Pre-Development Agreement Services Report

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SHERATON TUCSON CONVENTION CENTER HOTEL


Preliminary Budget Summary
Number Keys/Rooms Gross Square Footage Allocation: Hotel Convention Center Parking Garage Total Square Footage 525

442,365 118,045 410,715 971,125 Total Project 131,159,500 12,948,000 10,529,000 10,090,000 47,100,000 $211,826,500 Cost Per S.F.
$135.06 $13.33 $10.84 $10.39 $48.50 $218.12

Hard Costs (1): Direct FF&E (2) Contingencies Design Indirect (4) Total Hard Costs Soft Costs: City Artwork Operating Supplies and Equipment (2) DCSA Fee (Starwood) $800 per key Impact Fees Pre-opening budget (2) East Entrance Allowance Legal and Closing Costs Developer Overhead & Fee 3.5% Construction Manager (2) Soft Cost Contingency 5.0% Total Soft Cost Total Development Budget Hotel Cost Per Key: Total Hotel Cost per Key Direct Construction Cost per Key $318,259 $168,730

Hotel 88,583,500 11,396,000 6,998,000 7,310,000 32,252,000 $146,539,500

Cost Per S.F.


$200.25 $25.76 $15.82 $16.52 $72.91 $331.26

Convention Center Expansion 20,786,000 1,552,000 2,332,000 1,807,000 7,510,000 $33,987,000

Cost Per S.F.


$176.09 $13.15 $19.76 $15.31 $63.62 $287.92

Parking Garage (5) 21,790,000 0 1,199,000 973,000 7,338,000 $31,300,000

Cost Per S.F.


$53.05 $0.00 $2.92 $2.37 $17.87 $76.21

0 6,145,000 420,000 1,584,000 5,365,000 3,000,000 350,000 7,948,000 1,125,000 1,240,600 $27,177,600 $239,004,100

$0.00 $6.33 $0.43 $1.63 $5.52 $3.09 $0.36 $8.18 $1.16 $1.28 $27.99 $246.11

0 6,145,000 420,000 1,092,000 5,365,000 0 250,000 5,555,000 778,000 941,350 $20,546,350 $167,085,850

$0.00 $13.89 $0.95 $2.47 $12.13 $0.00 $0.57 $12.56 $1.76 $2.13 $46.45 $377.71

0 0 0 0 0 3,000,000 50,000 1,296,000 181,000 217,300 $4,744,300 $38,731,300

$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $25.41 $0.42 $10.98 $1.53 $1.84 $40.19 $328.11

0 0 0 492,000 0 0 50,000 1,097,000 166,000 81,950 $1,886,950 $33,186,950

$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.20 $0.00 $0.00 $0.12 $2.67 $0.40 $0.20 $4.59 $80.80

Reconciliation to Public Model "Deposit to Construction Fund": Total Hotel Development Budget Less: Pre-opening budget Deposit to Construction Fund $167,085,850 $5,365,000 $161,720,850

Notes: (1) Further hard cost detail is shown in the Estimate Summary on the following page. Additional detail for the Estimate Summary is available on request. (2) See additional detail in the pages that follow the Budget Control Report later in this section. (3) Construction period financing is not included in this budget because it varies significantly depending on the capital plan assumptions. In the Public Model capital plan, capitalized interest, reserve deposits and costs of issuance are over $40 million and are added to this budget (see Source and Use of Funds in the Public Capital Plan section of this report). In the Public/Private Model capital plan, the final budget includes $8 million of construction period interest and fees. (4) Indirect costs include permits and taxes, contractor insurance and bonding, and contractor general conditions and fee. (5) The parking garage is currently designed to be aesthetically pleasing, sensitive to the needs of the neighborhood, and fit the current available footprint. As a result of this initial design guidance and certain site conditions and relationship to the convention center expansion, the parking garage is somewhat inefficient and costs more per car than a typical parking garage. During the upcoming design phase, out team will work with the City, District, and outside consultants to get a more efficient, cost effective design.

THIS IS A PRELIMINARY PROJECT BUDGET ONLY, SUBJECT TO CHANGE WHEN FINAL GMP IS ISSUED

17

TURNER/SUNDT JOINT VENTURE Tucson Sheraton Hotel Convention Center Conceptual Pricing Estimate Based on Drawings by DLR 2/05/09 & 3/16/09 Estimate Summary 04/09/09
Rooms $/ Key $/ SF GSF / Room $ $ 525 256,071 $/ Key 355.55 $/ SF 843 Add Cost $ $ 60,394 $/ Key 493.46 $/ SF $/ Car SF/ Car $ $ $ $ 62,120 $/ Key 79.41 $/ SF 28,114.66 354.06 $ $ 74,297 330.43

Hotel/Conference Center Hotel


PARAMETER Cost/Key Cost/GSF

Total Project Costs Convention Center


Total Cost/GSF Total Cost/GSF Total

Meeting Rooms
Total Cost/GSF

Parking Garage

Total Cost/GSF

Building Area General Requirements Demolition Sitework Excavation & Foundations Structure Roofing & Waterproofing Exterior Wall Partitions & Finishes Equipment and Specialties Vertical Transportation Plumbing HVAC Fire Protection Electrical Special Systems Buyout Savings ALLOWANCE

378,110 GSF 4.94 0.11 6.83 10.49 36.38 1.87 28.33 34.66 2.66 10.26 15.23 17.39 4.06 19.62 2.48 1,869,000 41,500 2,582,000 3,966,000 13,754,000 707,000 10,711,000 13,106,000 1,006,000 3,878,000 5,757,000 6,574,000 1,534,000 7,418,000 937,000 (2,219,000)

64,255 GSF 4.95 1.15 6.83 9.28 62.55 7.80 23.86 69.10 14.61 6.33 17.26 29.24 2.72 14.26 2.15 318,000 74,000 439,000 596,000 4,019,000 501,000 1,533,000 4,440,000 939,000 407,000 1,109,000 1,879,000 175,000 916,000 138,000 (521,000)

410,715 GSF 4.94 0.39 6.83 13.09 16.06 0.67 4.20 0.42 0.99 0.93 0.74 0.23 0.56 2.51 0.50 2,030,000 159,000 2,805,000 5,376,000 6,597,000 274,000 1,725,000 174,000 406,000 381,000 302,000 94,000 231,000 1,031,000 205,000

118,045 GSF 4.94 4.24 6.83 14.13 29.12 4.11 18.74 34.34 4.76 5.24 11.52 18.92 2.51 14.08 2.61 583,000 501,000 806,000 1,668,000 3,438,000 485,000 2,212,000 4,054,000 562,000 618,000 1,360,000 2,233,000 296,000 1,662,000 308,000

971,125 GSF 4.94 0.80 6.83 11.95 28.63 2.03 16.66 22.42 3.00 5.44 8.78 11.10 2.30 11.35 1.64 4,800,000 775,500 6,632,000 11,606,000 27,808,000 1,967,000 16,181,000 21,774,000 2,913,000 5,284,000 8,528,000 10,780,000 2,236,000 11,027,000 1,588,000 (2,740,000)

7.93 35.40 2.22 25.65 42.56 1.18 7.72 12.82 21.10 3.24 16.98

Subtotal Direct $

136,422 $

189
10.12 0.00 4.59 0.72 0.00 0.83 0.74 0.79 6.61

71,621,500 $
3,826,000 0 1,734,000 271,000 0 315,000 278,000 300,000 2,500,000 (277,000)

264

$ 16,962,000 $
NA

53

$
NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

21,790,000 $

176

$
NA NA NA

20,786,000

135
3.94 1.54 1.79 0.50 2.14 0.48 0.42 0.31 2.57

131,159,500
3,826,000 1,500,000 1,734,000 485,000 2,077,000 467,000 412,000 300,000 2,500,000 (353,000)

Starwood's FF&E / IT Guest Rooms BOH/ Public Technology Services Budget- per Starwood "Ving Card" Lock System Budget Audio Visual Budget- Based on Sheraton Standards Low Voltage Cabling (excluded from Tech Budget) Security System (assumes Paging/Radio w. Tech Budget) Signage (interior & exterior)- placeholder Kitchen and Laundry Equipment- placeholder FF&E Buyout Savings ALLOWANCE

23.34 NA 2.99 11.39 0.84 0.73 NA NA

1,500,000 192,000 732,000 54,000 47,000

0.19 11.39 0.83 0.74 NIC NIC

22,000 1,345,000 98,000 87,000

(76,000)

Subtotal FFE

17,042

24
6.39 0.00 10.65

8,947,000 $
2,417,000 0 4,028,000 (810,000)

38
9.06 0.00 15.11

2,449,000 $
582,000 0 971,000 (190,000)

1.59 0.00 1.33

654,000 0 545,000

13
5.68 0.00 14.08

1,552,000
670,000 0 1,662,000

13
4.45 0.00 7.42

12,948,000
4,323,000 0 7,206,000 (1,000,000)

Construction Contingency Escalation to March 2010 Design / Estimating Contingency Design / Estimating Contingency Savings ALLOWANCE

Subtotal Contingencies
Design Fees Additional Consultants

10,733

15
15.27 0.29

5,635,000 $
5,775,000 109,000

21
21.79 0.40

1,363,000 $
1,400,000 26,000

3
2.29 0.08

1,199,000 $
940,000 33,000

20
15.04 0.27

2,332,000
1,775,000 32,000

11
10.18 0.21

10,529,000
9,890,000 200,000

Subtotal Design
Building Permit General Conditions Liability Insurance (CCIP) E&O Insurance Builder's Risk Insurance Testing and Inspection - By Owner Payment & Performance Bond Transaction Privilege Tax D/B Contractors Fee

11,208

16
4.84 21.15 6.41 1.59 0.84 0.00 4.93 15.63 13.45

5,884,000 $
1,829,000 7,996,000 2,424,000 601,000 319,000 0 1,865,000 5,909,000 5,086,000

22
6.74 29.48 9.07 2.21 1.20 0.00 6.99 22.12 19.05

1,426,000 $
433,000 1,894,000 583,000 142,000 77,000 0 449,000 1,421,000 1,224,000

2
1.35 5.92 1.56 0.45 0.21 0.00 1.20 3.89 3.28

973,000 $
556,000 2,433,000 642,000 183,000 85,000 0 494,000 1,597,000 1,348,000

15
4.50 19.66 5.90 1.47 0.78 0.00 4.55 14.35 12.40

1,807,000
531,000 2,321,000 697,000 174,000 92,000 0 537,000 1,694,000 1,464,000

10
3.45 15.08 4.48 1.13 0.59 0.00 3.44 10.94 9.39

10,090,000
3,349,000 14,644,000 4,346,000 1,100,000 573,000 0 3,345,000 10,621,000 9,122,000

Subtotal Indirect

49,579

69

26,029,000 $

97

6,223,000 $

18

7,338,000 $

64

7,510,000

49

47,100,000

Total Construction Cost


City Artwork Upgrade East Entrance - Allowance OS&E Pre Opening Budget Starwood DCSA Legal/Closing Development Services Impact Fees Construction Manager

224,984

312
0.00 0.00 13.81 12.13 0.95 0.53 11.89 2.19 1.66

$ 118,116,500
0 5,223,000 4,586,000 359,000 200,000 4,497,000 829,000 627,000

442
0.00

$ 28,423,000
0 922,000 779,000 61,000 50,000 1,058,000 263,000 151,000

76
0.00

31,300,000
0

288
0.00 25.41

33,987,000
0 3,000,000

218
0.00 3.09 6.33 5.52 0.43 0.36 8.18 1.63 1.16

211,826,500
0 3,000,000 6,145,000 5,365,000 420,000 350,000 7,948,000 1,584,000 1,125,000 $237,763,500

0.95 0.78 16.47 4.09 2.35

2.67 0.40

50,000 1,097,000 166,000

0.42 10.98 4.17 1.53

50,000 1,296,000 492,000 181,000

Total Project Costs $

256,071

356

$ 134,437,500

493

$ 31,707,000
18

79

32,613,000

330

39,006,000

245

f\est\From Conceptual Estimate 4-09-09 (Working Copy) Summary Public Costs

page 1 of 1

4/20/2009 7:57 AM

BUDGET CONTROL REPORT Tucson Sheraton Hotel and Convention Center


P S = Pending Study TBD = To be Determined

Turner/Sundt

1.8 (1.5) PAD = Pend. Add'l Docs. BCR POTENTIAL P BCR APPROVED A BCR REJECTED R Owner STATUS Arch Eng TCCO RESP. DATE REQUIRED COMMENTS

ITEM

DESCRIPTION

BCR AMOUNT ADD

Courtyard Paver System - Approx $20/sf ILO of Upgraded Concrete Finish Hotel - 30%, Meeting Rooms 70% Add Rooftop Bar - Includes (1) elevator Core & Shell only. TI by others. Add (2) sets of escalators at South entrance for Convention Center Space.

784,500

784,500

4,105,268

4,105,268

26

720,000

720,000

33

Add Plaza Terrace - Drawing A1-3 outside of Meeting Rooms A (Level 137)

323,067

323,067

42

Maximize floor layouts (Delete (3) Floors from Tower and increase typical floor plate)

(1,733,316)

(1,733,316)

TOTAL Budget Control with approximate markup

4,199,519

4,199,519

35,696,490

19

File: BCR Tucson Sheraton,VE Summary

Page 1

Print Date: 4/20/2009

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel Preliminary FF&E and IT Budget


Guest Rooms:
1. Flooring, wallcovering, furnishings and fixtures, accessories, light fixtures (1) 2. Shipping, warehousing allowance Total Guest Rooms $3,449,000 $377,000 $3,826,000

BOH/Public: 1. Meeting rooms carpet flooring and vinyl wallcovering (1) 2. Misc furnishings allowance 3. Shipping, warehousing allowance Total BOH/public $632,000 $600,000 $268,000 $1,500,000

IT (information technology): Budget provided by Starwood (1) $1,734,000

(1) Detail on following four pages

20

21

22

23

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel The Westin Baltimore at Camden Yards Technology Budget Summary Pre-Opening Budget Summary

Projected Opening Date: July 1, 2012 Technology Budget Total $ Excludes Tech Services & Travel 1,733,683

Hotel Information:
525 keys, including 47 suites 3 Meal Restaurant - Mgd - 125 Seats Lobby Lounge - Mgd - 20 Seats LINK Caf/Grab & Go - 15 Seats Mtg Space - 50,400 sq feet total Pool Grill - Mgd - 15 Seats Destination Bar - Mgd - 20 Seats Fitness Center w/Core Program (not staffed) Spa with 10 treatment rooms - (approx 5,480 sq ft ) - Mgd Assumes Club Lounge & Floors Assumes Valet Parking Service is Outsourced Assumes Business Center is not manned Assumes In House Laundry Assumes No Kids Club Facility Assumes Gift Shop is Outsourced One Pool - Outdoor

Budget Assumptions
IT Budget does not include the Guest Key Lock System Assumes it is in the GC Budget IT Budget does not include the Audio Visual Systesm Assumes it is in the GC Budget IT Budget does not include the Low Voltage Wiring Assumes it is in the GC Budget Assumes full compliance to facility turnover requirements to operator per the mgmt agreement Assumes no expense for overnight stayover of staff / POA's.

24

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center


OS&E Project Cost Estimate
Proposed Opening Date: July 1, 2012

OS&E Categories Operations & Other Operating Supplies

Rooms: 525 Premium Suites: Total Suites:

5 47

Per Rm $

Total Cost

Accounting & Administrative Offices Employee Facilities Engineering Guestroom Floors ( Ice Machines - 26 Floors ) Guest Rooms Sweet Sleeper-Doubles Sleeper Sleeper-King Televisions ( Guest Rooms Only ) LCD 37" Televisions - LCD 46"- Suites- Pres, Gov & Hosp Only Sheraton Club Lounge Amenities Fitness Center ( Sheraton Gym -3 Bay ) Hostar Housekeeping System Housekeeping Supplies Human Resources Office Furniture Pagers & Radios Purchasing / Loading Dock Area Rooms Dept. SPA (5,480 sq ft) - 10 Treatment Rms, Assumes all Fixed Equipment in FF&E Security Service Promise ( Telephone Items ) Uniforms Kids on Request Items Sub Total Operating & Other

$95 $75 $100 $198 $1,415 $1,800 $1,200 $1,000 $2,000 $40 $195 $595 $120 $30 $325 $95 $50 $75 $185 $50 $25 $310 $15 6,532

49,875 39,375 52,500 104,000 742,875 378,000 378,000 567,000 10,000 21,000 102,375 312,375 63,000 15,750 170,625 49,875 26,250 39,375 97,125 26,250 13,125 162,750 7,875 3,429,375

Food & Beverage Supplies


3-Meal Restaurant (plus 25 exterior seats) Lobby Lounge Pool Bar & Grill LINK Caf Kitchens Banquets ( Does Not Include Chairs-They are in FF&E) Room Service F&B General Items Sub Total Food & Beverage Seats 125 20 15 15

Mtg Rm Sq Feet

Per Rm Cost

30,250 30,250 $125 $75

Per Seat Per Sq Ft Cost Cost $500 $350 $350 $325 $9 $34

62,500 7,000 5,250 4,875 272,250 1,028,500 65,625 39,375 1,485,375

Sub Total All Supplies


Inflation 2010 Inflation 2011 Purchasing Fee ( Paid by Ownership )

9,361 1.5% 1.5% 3%

4,914,750 73,721 74,827 147,443

Other
Receiving - Warehousing - Installation Freight Sales Tax Total OS&E Budget 5% 6% 8% 11,704 245,738 294,885 393,180 6,144,543

25

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel The WestinBudget Summary Pre-Opening Baltimore at Camden Yards Pre-Opening Budget Summary

Projected Opening Date: July 1, 2012 Staff Plan Total $ Pre-Opening Budget Tota $ Excludes Tech Services & Travel

3,618,574 5,364,766

Hotel Information:
525 keys, including 47 suites 3 Meal Restaurant - Mgd - 125 Seats (Plus: 25 Exterior seats) Lobby Lounge - Mgd - 40-60 Seats LINK Caf/Grab & Go - 15 Seats Mtg Space - 30,250 sq feet total Pool Grill - Mgd - 15 Seats Fitness Center w/Core Program (not staffed) Spa with 10 treatment rooms - (approx 5,480 sq ft ) - Mgd Assumes Club Lounge & Floors Assumes Valet Parking Service is Outsourced Assumes Business Center is not manned Assumes In House Laundry Assumes No Kids Club Facility Assumes Gift Shop is Outsourced One Pool - Outdoor

Budget Assumptions
Management Salaries and Hourly Rates based on existing compensation + annual increase Assumes City of Tucson Provides Pre-Opening Office Space at No Charge - 3,000 sq ft TCO must be received 30 days prior to opening to allow for overnight housing of staff Utilities not included. Construction to cover expense until opening day. Assumes full compliance to facility turnover requirements to operator per the mgmt agreement Any costs related to liquor license cost to be funded out of developers budget Assumes no expense for overnight stayover of staff / POA's.

Revised POB - Sheraton Tucson Convention Ctr 4-7-09.xls

26

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel Preliminary Construction Manager Budget


1. Base Monthly Salary: a. Senior CM b. Junior CM Total Salaries 2. Fringe Benefits and Bonus 3. Monthly Housing Allowance 4. Per Diem Allowance Per Day Allowance Days per Month Number of CM's Total Monthly Per Diem 5. Auto Allowance Monthly Allowance Number of CM's Total Monthly Allowance 6. Monthly Office Equipment 7. Airfare Allowance Monthly Allowance Number of CM's Total Monthly Allowance #of Months 32 28 Total $384,000 $224,000 $608,000 $304,000 30 $60,000

$12,000 $8,000

50.0% $2,000

$33 30 2 $1,980

30

$59,400

$800 2 $1,600 $500

30 30

$48,000 $15,000

$500 2 $1,000

30

$30,000

Total Construction Manager Budget

$1,124,400

Section IV: Preliminary Operating Pro Forma


Pro Forma Narrative 5-Year Summary Pro Forma and Assumptions Occupancy and Average Daily Rate Assumptions

27

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel

Pro Forma Narrative

The preliminary operating pro forma for this pre-development study was produced by Starwood. Initially prepared by the feasibility team at corporate headquarters, before being finalized and published, it was reviewed and approved by Starwoods development team and regional vice president of operations. Below is a description of the step by step process Starwood undertakes when developing an operating pro forma. 1. Development Team works with Architecture and Design Team (A&D) to develop a space allocation program in conjunction with owner/developer. 2. Development Team generates a Request for Feasibility to be submitted to feasibility outlining the description and vision of the project, programming, general market strategy and overview, attributes of location, project time line and competitive analysis. 3. Feasibility Team begins process by getting an in depth knowledge and understanding of the market and the project through review of all materials that are available such as market reports, Smith Travel Research (STR) data, web research and feasibility/valuation studies. Feasibility Team also discusses the project with internal Starwood resources including Development Team, Regional Operations Team, General Managers/Directors of Sales and Marketing at local Starwood properties as well as external resources such as consultants and local Convention and Visitors Bureau. 4. Following identification of an appropriate competitive set, Feasibility Team generates a historical and forward-looking supply and demand (S&D) analysis utilizing STR data for the competitive set and the market research noted above. The S&D analysis includes a thorough evaluation of all competitive properties and their relative strengths, weaknesses, market mix and historical performance and identifies the projected position of the subject hotel within that competitive set as it relates to average daily rate (ADR) index, occupancy percentage index and revenue per available room (RevPAR) index as well as market mix. This work results in a projected ADR, occupancy and RevPAR for the subject hotel. 5. Upon establishment of the ADR, occupancy and RevPAR, the Feasibility Team begins building the balance of the pro forma utilizing historical operating data of Starwood operated hotels in similar locations, similar space programming attributes, similar ADR/occupancy/RevPAR performance and similar target markets (i.e. if the subject hotel is located at an airport terminal the Starwood comparable hotels used for the pro forma would be airport locations). Generally, at least five comparable hotels are used to create drivers for the development of the subject property pro forma and each pro forma line item is evaluated on multiple drivers including percentage basis, per occupied room and per available room. 6. Throughout the process of items 4 and 5 above the Feasibility Team will be interfacing with internal Starwood team members including operations, sales and marketing and development to vet certain assumptions and factors. 7. Following completion of the initial draft of the pro forma by the Feasibility Analyst the pro forma is reviewed internally by the Feasibility Team, which generally includes two or three individuals reviewing the draft. After

Pre-Development Agreement Services Report


28

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel

Pro Forma Narrative

the Feasibility Team has completed its internal review the draft pro forma is then submitted to the Development Team, which then completes an additional review in conjunction with the Feasibility Team. 8. The draft pro forma is then submitted to the Regional Vice President of Operations for review and feedback by the Regional Operations Team. After feedback is incorporate from the Regional Operations Team the pro forma is modified and resubmitted to the Regional Vice President of Operations for approval. The Regional Vice President of Operations is responsible for providing a final Operations Approval of the pro forma. Such approval is required before any transaction can be submitted to Starwoods Senior Leadership Team Development Committee for transaction approval. The resulting pro forma for the Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel is on the following page. Key assumptions are stated in the notes to the pro forma. Competitive set information and the average daily rate and occupancy calculations follow the pro forma.

Pre-Development Agreement Services Report


29

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel: Fiscal-Year Projections


Projected Statement of Operations Note: Currency: USD
Prepared by: Approved by: Operations Approval by: Payal Gandhi / Sourav Ghosh Kirk Reed Carla Murray 20-Apr-09 2-Mar-09

Starwood Projection FY1 (7/1/2012 - 6/30/2013)


Total Rooms Available Rooms Occupied Rooms 525 192,413 111,742

Starwood Projection FY2 (7/1/2013 - 6/30/2014)


525 191,625 122,640

Starwood Projection FY3 (7/1/2014 - 6/30/2015)


525 191,625 133,179

Starwood Projection FY4 (7/1/2015 - 6/30/2016)


525 191,888 138,159

Starwood Projection FY5 (7/1/2016 - 6/30/2017)


525 191,888 138,159

Hotel Occupancy Hotel ADR USD Hotel RevPAR USD

58.1% 138.31 80.32


Amount 15,455 8,175 736 2,699 1,079 12,689 314 283 478 29,220 % 52.9% 28.0% 2.5% 9.2% 3.7% 43.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.6% 100.0% PAR 29,439 15,572 1,401 5,140 2,056 24,170 599 539 910 55,657 POR 138.31 73.16 6.58 24.15 9.66 113.56 2.81 2.53 4.28 261.49

64.0% 156.99 100.48


Amount 19,254 9,532 858 3,147 1,259 14,795 367 330 557 35,302 20.82% 14,578 4,668 106 49 557 19,958 2,020 671 1,278 424 361 1,575 1,413 7,742 12,217 507 507 11,710 883 883 10,828 900 9,928

10.2% 13.5% 25.1%


% 54.5% 27.0% 2.4% 8.9% 3.6% 41.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 100.0% PAR 36,673 18,156 1,634 5,994 2,397 28,181 698 628 1,061 67,243 POR 156.99 77.72 7.00 25.66 10.26 120.64 2.99 2.69 4.54 287.85

69.5% 169.59 117.87


Amount 22,586 10,812 973 3,569 1,428 16,782 416 374 632 40,790 15.54% 17,429 5,374 125 56 632 23,616 2,080 775 1,317 489 423 1,639 1,580 8,304 15,313 522 522 14,791 1,224 1,224 13,567 1,438 12,129

8.6% 8.0% 17.3%


% 55.4% 26.5% 2.4% 8.8% 3.5% 41.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 100.0% PAR 43,021 20,594 1,853 6,798 2,719 31,966 792 713 1,204 77,695 POR 169.59 81.18 7.31 26.80 10.72 126.01 3.12 2.81 4.75 306.28

72.0% 174.50 125.64


Amount 24,109 11,547 1,039 3,812 1,525 17,923 444 400 675 43,551 6.77% 18,602 5,739 133 60 675 25,210 2,143 827 1,356 523 452 1,688 1,688 8,676 16,534 538 538 15,996 1,307 1,307 14,689 1,742 12,947

3.6% 2.9% 6.6%


% 55.4% 26.5% 2.4% 8.8% 3.5% 41.2% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 100.0% PAR 45,922 21,994 1,979 7,261 2,904 34,138 846 761 1,286 82,954 POR 174.50 83.58 7.52 27.59 11.04 129.72 3.21 2.89 4.89 315.22

72.0% 180.00 129.60


Amount 24,868 11,893 1,070 3,926 1,570 18,460 457 412 695 44,892 3.08% 19,196 5,911 137 62 695 26,002 2,207 853 1,397 539 466 1,739 1,738 8,938 17,063 554 554 16,510 1,347 1,347 15,163 1,796 13,367

0.0% 3.1% 3.1%


% 55.4% 26.5% 2.4% 8.7% 3.5% 41.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 100.0% PAR 47,368 22,653 2,039 7,478 2,991 35,161 871 784 1,324 85,508 POR 180.00 86.08 7.75 28.42 11.37 133.61 3.31 2.98 5.03 324.93

Total Rooms Banquets & Catering - Food Banquets & Catering - Beverage All Other F&B - Food All Other F&B - Beverage Total Food & Beverage Spa Telecom Rentals & Other Income Total Revenues Change Departmental Profits: Total Rooms Food & Beverage Spa Telecom Rentals & Other Income Total Departmental Profits Undistributed Operating Expenses: Administrative & General Credit Card Commissions Marketing SPG Fees (% of GOR) Chain Marketing Fees (% GRR) Property Operations & Maintenance Energy Total Undistributed Operating Exps GROSS OPERATING PROFIT Fixed Charges: Real Estate Taxes Insurance Total Fixed Charges EBITDA BEFORE MGMT FEES Management Fees: Base Fees Total Management Fees EBITDA Reserve for Replacement NOI

11,197 3,874 85 41 478 15,674 1,995 555 1,263 351 290 1,464 1,250 7,168 8,507 493 493 8,013 584 584 7,429 584 6,844

72.4% 30.5% 26.9% 14.4% 100.0% 53.6% 6.8% 1.9% 4.3% 1.2% 1.9% 5.0% 4.3% 24.5% 29.1% 0.0% 1.7% 1.7% 27.4% 2.0% 2.0% 25.4% 2.0% 23.4%

21,327 7,380 161 77 910 29,856 3,800 1,057 2,405 668 552 2,789 2,381 13,653 16,203 940 940 15,263 1,113 1,113 14,150 1,113 13,037

100.20 34.67 0.76 0.36 4.28 140.27 17.85 4.97 11.30 3.14 2.59 13.10 11.19 64.15 76.13 4.42 4.42 71.71 5.23 5.23 66.48 5.23 61.25

75.7% 31.6% 29.0% 14.8% 100.0% 56.5% 5.7% 1.9% 3.6% 1.2% 1.9% 4.5% 4.0% 21.9% 34.6% 0.0% 1.4% 1.4% 33.2% 2.5% 2.5% 30.7% 2.5% 28.1%

27,767 8,892 203 93 1,061 38,016 3,847 1,278 2,435 807 688 3,001 2,691 14,746 23,270 965 965 22,305 1,681 1,681 20,624 1,714 18,910

118.87 38.06 0.87 0.40 4.54 162.74 16.47 5.47 10.42 3.45 2.94 12.85 11.52 63.12 99.62 4.13 4.13 95.48 7.20 7.20 88.29 7.34 80.95

77.2% 32.0% 30.0% 15.0% 100.0% 57.9% 5.1% 1.9% 3.2% 1.2% 1.9% 4.0% 3.9% 20.4% 37.5% 0.0% 1.3% 1.3% 36.3% 3.0% 3.0% 33.3% 3.5% 29.7%

33,199 10,236 238 107 1,204 44,984 3,962 1,476 2,508 932 807 3,121 3,010 15,817 29,167 994 994 28,173 2,331 2,331 25,842 2,739 23,103

130.87 40.35 0.94 0.42 4.75 177.33 15.62 5.82 9.89 3.68 3.18 12.30 11.87 62.35 114.98 3.92 3.92 111.06 9.19 9.19 101.87 10.80 91.07

77.2% 32.0% 30.0% 15.0% 100.0% 57.9% 4.9% 1.9% 3.1% 1.2% 1.9% 3.9% 3.9% 19.9% 38.0% 0.0% 1.2% 1.2% 36.7% 3.0% 3.0% 33.7% 4.0% 29.7%

35,433 10,932 254 114 1,286 48,019 4,081 1,576 2,583 995 861 3,215 3,215 16,526 31,492 1,024 1,024 30,468 2,489 2,489 27,980 3,318 24,662

134.64 41.54 0.96 0.43 4.89 182.47 15.51 5.99 9.82 3.78 3.27 12.22 12.22 62.80 119.67 3.89 3.89 115.78 9.46 9.46 106.32 12.61 93.71

77.2% 32.0% 30.0% 15.0% 100.0% 57.9% 4.9% 1.9% 3.1% 1.2% 1.9% 3.9% 3.9% 19.9% 38.0% 0.0% 1.2% 1.2% 36.8% 3.0% 3.0% 33.8% 4.0% 29.8%

36,564 11,260 261 118 1,324 49,527 4,203 1,625 2,661 1,026 888 3,311 3,311 17,025 32,502 1,055 1,055 31,447 2,565 2,565 28,882 3,420 25,461

138.94 42.79 0.99 0.45 5.03 188.20 15.97 6.17 10.11 3.90 3.37 12.58 12.58 64.70 123.51 4.01 4.01 119.50 9.75 9.75 109.75 13.00 96.75

Notes to the Pro Forma: 1. This pro forma assumes an underlying monetary inflation rate of 3% p.a. 2. The pro forma is predicated on the following facilities at the subject property: 525 rooms, 3 Meal Restaurant (5,000sf.), Link Caf (500sf.), Pool Snack Bar (263sf.), Lobby Lounge (900sf.), and 35,095 net sq ft of meeting space. 3. The pro forma also assumes the following amenities: Outdoor Pool, Fitness Center (1,520sf.), Spa 5,500sf. (10 Treat. Rooms), Gift Shop (TBD sf.), and Business Center (275 sf.). 4. Forecast insurance includes terrorism insurance costs and was estimated based on Starwood Risk Management 5. Pro forma assumes property is union operated. 6. Projections assume that the convention center and arena will be renovated and expanded by 35,000 SF of exhibit space and 25,000-30,000 SF of meeting space; any departure from these recommendations would require reassessment of our current forecast. 7. Other Operated Departments include Telecom and Spa. Projections assume no parking revenue to the hotel. Telecom revenue estimated at $2.25 POR, 15% profitability. Spa revenue estimated at $2.50 POR, 30% profitability. 8. Replacement costs assumed to be $319k per key or $167M for purposes of calculating insurance costs. Insurance model provided by Starwood Risk Management. 9. Pro forma assumes base management fee ramp of 2.0% of GOR in Year 1, 2.5% of GOR in Year 2, and 3.0% of GOR in Year 3 and thereafter. For purposes of calculating BMF, the First Operating Year is defined as the first 12-month period. No IMF asssumed. 10. Pro forma assumes FF&E reserve stabilizes at 4% of GOR (Year 1 and stub: 2%; Year 2: 3%; Year 3 and beyond: 4%). 11. No real estate taxes included. It is assumed that the hotel will be publicly funded and therefore exempt from real estate taxes.

DISCLAIMER: THIS ANALYSIS DOES NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT NOR MAKE PROVISION FOR ANY POSSIBLE RISE OR DECLINE IN LOCAL OR GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS. THE PROJECTIONS HAVE BEEN PREPARED BASED ON INFORMATION MADE AVAILABLE TO STARWOOD AND STARWOOD'S GENERAL EXPERIENCE IN THE HOTEL INDUSTRY. HOWEVER, NEITHER STARWOOD NOR ANY OF ITS AFFILIATED OR SUBSIDIARY COMPANIES WARRANTS, GUARANTEES, OR MAKES ANY REPRESENTATION WITH RESPECT TO ANY OF THE PROJECTIONS SET FORTH IN THIS ANALYSIS. PROJECTIONS ARE SUBJECT TO UNCERTAINTY AND VARIATION AND THEREFORE ARE NOT REPRESENTED AS RESULTS THAT WILL BE ACTUALLY ACHIEVED. THE PROJECTIONS ARE FOR INFORMATION ONLY AND ARE NOT INTENDED AS INDUCEMENT FOR ACTION OR INVESTMENT. THERE IS NO OBLIGATION TO REVISE OR UPDATE THE PROJECTIONS TO REFLECT SUBSEQUENT CHANGES IN THE INFORMATION OR ASSUMPTIONS ON WHICH THEY WERE MADE. NEITHER THE STARWOOD NAME NOR THIS ANALYSIS MAY BE REPRODUCED IN WHOLE OR IN PART OR INCLUDED IN ANY PROSPECTUS, NEWSPAPER PUBLICITY OR AS PART OF ANY PRINTED MATERIAL OR PART OF ANY OTHER STUDY OR REPORT OR USED IN OFFERINGS OR REPRESENTATIONS IN CONNECTION WITH THE SALE OF REAL ESTATE, SECURITIES, MEMBERSHIPS OR PARTICIPATION INTERESTS TO THE PUBLIC UNLESS SUCH USE IS CONSENTED TO IN WRITING BY STARWOOD.

30

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Note: Currency: USD Actual Competitive Set: 2005 Sheraton Tucson Hotel & Convention Center
Marriott Tucson University Park Sheraton Hotel & Suites Tucson Embassy Suites Tucson Williams Cen Doubletree @ Reid Park Hilton Tucson East Radisson Suites Tucson Additions to Supply: Embassy Suites Tucson - Paloma Vill Totals Available Rooms (ADRC) Change in Supply 250 216 142 295 233 299 2,012

Actual 2006
250 216 142 295 233 299

Actual 2007
250 216 142 295 233 299

Projected 2008
250 216 142 295 233 299

Projected 2009
250 216 142 295 233 299

Projected 2010
250 216 142 295 233 299

Projected 2011
250 216 142 295 233 299

Year 1 2012 263


250 216 142 295 233 299

Year 2 2013 525


250 216 142 295 233 299

Year 3 2014 525


250 216 142 295 233 299

Year 4 2015 525


250 216 142 295 233 299

Year 5 2016 525


250 216 142 295 233 299

Year 6 2017 525


250 216 142 295 233 299

Year 7 2018 525


250 216 142 295 233 299

Year 8 2019 525


250 216 142 295 233 299

Year 9 2020 525


250 216 142 295 233 299

Year 10 2021 525


250 216 142 295 233 299

Year 11 2022 525


250 216 142 295 233 299

Year 12 2023 525


250 216 142 295 233 299

1,435 523,775

1,435 523,775 0.0%

34 1,469 536,185 2.4%

120 1,555 569,130 5.9%

120 1,555 567,575 0.0%

120 1,555 567,575 0.0%

120 1,555 567,575 0.0%

120 1,818 665,205 16.9%

120 2,080 759,200 14.4%

120 2,080 759,200 0.0%

120 2,080 759,200 0.0%

120 2,080 761,280 0.0%

120 2,080 759,200 0.0%

120 2,080 759,200 0.0%

120 2,080 759,200 0.0%

120 2,080 761,280 0.0%

120 2,080 759,200 0.0%

120 2,080 759,200 0.0%

120 2,080 759,200 0.0%

Market Occupancy
Total Occupied Rooms Change in Demand Stub Period Occupancy

74.5%
390,138

79.3%
415,135 6.4%

72.5%
388,709 -6.4%

65.8%
374,317 -3.7%

60.8%
345,202 -7.8%

60.8%
345,202 0.0%

63.7%
361,805 4.8%

66.5%
442,408 22.3% 58.6%

65.0%
493,699 11.6%

68.2%
517,699 4.9%

70.3%
533,699 3.1%

70.3%
534,942 0.2%

70.3%
533,699 -0.2%

70.3%
533,699 0.0%

70.3%
533,699 0.0%

70.3%
534,942 0.2%

70.3%
533,699 -0.2%

70.3%
533,699 0.0%

70.3%
533,699 0.0%

Market ADR USD


Change in ADR Stub Period ADR

95.61

100.68
5.3%

111.89
11.1%

113.00
1.0%

109.61
-3.0%

109.61
0.0%

116.19
6.0%

123.16
6.0% 113.30

126.86
3.0%

130.66
3.0%

134.58
3.0%

138.62
3.0%

142.78
3.0%

147.06
3.0%

151.47
3.0%

156.02
3.0%

160.70
3.0%

165.52
3.0%

170.49
3.0%

Market RevPAR USD


Change in RevPAR

71.22

79.80
12.0%

81.11
1.6%

74.32
-8.4%

66.67
-10.3%

66.67
0.0%

74.07
11.1%

81.91
10.6%

82.49
0.7%

89.10
8.0%

94.61
6.2%

97.41
3.0%

100.37
3.0%

103.38
3.0%

106.48
3.0%

109.63
3.0%

112.97
3.0%

116.36
3.0%

119.85
3.0%

2005 Hotel Fair Share Hotel Occupancy


Penetration

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012 14.4% 55.2%


83.0%

2013 25.2% 61.0%


93.8%

2014 25.2% 67.0%


98.3%

2015 25.2% 72.0%


102.4%

2016 25.2% 72.0%


102.5%

2017 25.2% 72.0%


102.4%

2018 25.2% 72.0%


102.4%

2019 25.2% 72.0%


102.4%

2020 25.2% 72.0%


102.5%

2021 25.2% 72.0%


102.4%

2022 25.2% 72.0%


102.4%

2023 25.2% 72.0%


102.4%

Hotel ADR USD


Penetration Change in ADR

129.88
105.5%

146.00
115.1% 12.4%

167.00
127.8% 14.4%

172.00
127.8% 3.0%

177.00
127.7% 2.9%

182.00
127.5% 2.8%

187.00
127.2% 2.7%

193.00
127.4% 3.2%

199.00
127.5% 3.1%

205.00
127.6% 3.0%

211.00
127.5% 2.9%

217.00
127.3% 2.8%

In 2007, based on Actual/Forecasted Growth Rates In 2007, based on 3% Inflation Rate Hotel RevPAR USD
Penetration Change in RevPAR

117.99 112.04 71.66


87.5%

128.77 122.27 89.06


108.0% 24.3%

143.00 135.79 111.89


125.6% 25.6%

142.99 135.78 123.84


130.9% 10.7%

142.86 135.66 127.44


130.8% 2.9%

142.62 135.43 131.04


130.6% 2.8%

142.27 135.09 134.64


130.2% 2.7%

142.56 135.37 138.96


130.5% 3.2%

142.71 135.51 143.28


130.7% 3.1%

142.73 135.53 147.60


130.7% 3.0%

142.63 135.43 151.92


130.6% 2.9%

142.41 135.23 156.24


130.4% 2.8%

In 2007, based on Actual/Forecasted Growth Rates In 2007, based on 3% Inflation Rate

65.10 61.81

78.55 74.59

95.81 90.98

102.95 97.76

102.86 97.67

102.69 97.51

102.43 97.27

102.64 97.46

102.75 97.57

102.77 97.58

102.69 97.51

102.54 97.36

31

Section V: Development Schedule


Project Schedule Narrative Startup (Pre-Construction/Design Period) Schedule Concept (Detail Construction Period) Schedule)

32

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Project Schedule Narrative

Project Schedule Narrative

Our design-builder has prepared two schedules for inclusion in the package. The first is a pre-construction/design period schedule, and the second is a detail construction period schedule. The one-page pre-construction/design period (startup) schedule begins with the delivery of this Pre-Development Agreement Report and approval of the report by the City and District on April 30. This is very important because the critical start dates for the East entrance to the convention center this year and the hotel and convention center expansion in 2010, are predicated upon our architect starting work on hotel construction documents in early May. These hotel construction documents are divided into three sets of architectural drawings: schematic, design, and construction. The eight-page detail construction period schedule shows the timing of various critical factors necessary to take the hotel from notice to proceed to final occupancy.

33

Activity Description

Early Start

Early Finish

2009 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2010 Q2 Q3

CONCEPT DESIGN

PREPARE PRE-DEVELOPMENT PACKAGE 02MAR09 CITY REVIEW SIGN GARFIELD/TRAUB DEVELOPMENT AGREEMENT CITY ACCEPT PRE-DEVELOPMENT PACKAGE PREPARE HOTEL CONSTRUCTION DOCUMENTS
FINANCIAL

10APR09 05MAY09 05MAY09 05MAY09

PREPARE PRE-DEVELOPMENT PACKAGE CITY REVIEW SIGN GARFIELD/TRAUB DEVELOPMENT AGREEMENT CITY ACCEPT PRE-DEVELOPMENT PACKAGE PREPARE HOTEL C

13APR09

06MAY09

02APR10

PRELIMINARY GMP CITY ACCEPT PRELIMINARY GMP FINAL GMP SELL BONDS
EAST ENTRANCE

29JUL09 20AUG09 05NOV09 22DEC09

19AUG09 31AUG09 21DEC09 02MAR10

PRELIMINARY GMP CITY ACCEPT PRELIMINARY GMP FINAL GMP SELL BONDS

DESIGN EAST ENTRANCE START EAST ENTRANCE CONSTRUCT EAST ENTRANCE 2010 GEM SHOW
HOTEL CONSTRUCTION

06MAY09 01SEP09 01SEP09 30JAN10*

28JUL09

DESIGN EAST ENTRANCE START EAST ENTRANCE

25JAN10 14FEB10

CONSTRUCT EAST ENTRANCE 2010 GEM SHOW

START HOTEL CONSTRUCTION HOTEL CONSTRUCTION

03MAR10 03MAR10 20JUN12

START HOTEL CONSTRUCTION HOTEL CONSTRUCTION

Run Date

22APR09 07:11

TANT

TUCSON HOTEL CONVENTION CENTER STARTUP


34
Primavera Systems, Inc.

TURNER / Sundt

Activity Description

Orig Dur

Early Start

Early Finish

J -2

F -1

M 1

A 2

M 3

J 4

2010 J 5

A 6

S 7

O 8

N 9

D 10

J 11

F 12

M 13

A 14

M 15

2011 J J 16 17

A 18

S 19

O 20

N 21

D 22

J 23

F 24

M 25

2012 A M 26 27

J 28

J AUG 29 3

PRECONSTRUCTION NTP HOTEL


DEMO/SHORING /EXCAVATION

1 12MAR10 12MAR10

NTP

Mobilize Hotel Survey Hotel SIte Civil Relocate Site Utilities - North Excavation North Caissons Backfill North
HOISTING

20 15MAR10 09APR10 10 16MAR10 29MAR10 80 12APR10 15 12APR10 20 03MAY10 40 31MAY10 15 07DEC10 7 27JUL10 02AUG10 30APR10 28MAY10 26JUL10 29DEC10 04AUG10

Mobilize Hotel Survey Hotel SIte Civil Relocate Site Utilities - North Excavation North Caissons Backfill North

Crane Foundation Crane Erection Crane Duration Hoist Duration


BACK OF HOUSE

Crane Foundation Crane Erection Crane Duration Hoist Duration

5 05AUG10 11AUG10 230 12AUG10 06JUL11 260 28DEC10 60 24OCT08 40 28JUN10 45 27JUL10 2 12OCT10 5 17DEC10 2 17DEC10 5 30DEC10 100 27JAN11 120 21APR11 25 07SEP10 20 12OCT10 2 07DEC10 2 30DEC10
01OCT08 29JUN12 24OCT08 15APR09 15:55

04JAN12 22JAN09 23AUG10 27SEP10 13OCT10 23DEC10 20DEC10 06JAN11 15JUN11 07OCT11 11OCT10 08NOV10 08DEC10 03JAN11
TALL

Lv 1 Podium - Studs/MEP Pilecaps / Grade beams Lvl 1 Basement Walls Lvl 1 Podium Slab on Grade 1 Tower Reshore Hoist Erection 1 Tower Pull Reshore Hoist Foundation Podium Enclosure 1 Podium Finishes
LOBBY LEVEL

Pilecaps / Grade beams Lvl 1 Basement Walls Lvl 1 Podium Slab on Grade 1 Tower Reshore Hoist Erection 1 Tower Pull Reshore Hoist Foundation Podium Enclosure 1 Podium Finishes

50 17AUG10 25OCT10

2 TowerDeckform / Pour Lvl 2 Basement Walls 2 Tower Reshore 2 Tower Pull Reshore
Start Date Finish Date Data Date Run Date

2 TowerDeckform / Pour Lvl 2 Basement Walls 2 Tower Reshore 2 Tower Pull Reshore

Early Bar Progress Bar Critical Activity

Sheet 1 of 9

TUSCON HOTEL CONVENTION CENTER & GARAGE CONCEPT SCHEDULE TURNER/SUNDT

Date

Revision

Checked

Approved

Primavera Systems, Inc.

35

Activity Description

Orig Dur

Early Start

Early Finish

J -2

F -1

M 1

A 2

M 3

J 4

2010 J 5

A 6

S 7

O 8

N 9

D 10

J 11

F 12

M 13

2 Podium Studs/MEP Podium Enclosure 2 Podium Finishes


LEVEL 3 - POOL & SPA

60 04JAN11 100 27JAN11 120 19MAY11 20 09NOV10 2 17DEC10 2 11JAN11 60 13JAN11 120 16JUN11 50 27JAN12 8 07DEC10 2 30DEC10 2 20JAN11 3 24JAN11 5 24JAN11 5 31JAN11 5 07FEB11 5 14FEB11 6 16FEB11 10 04APR11 5 18APR11 5 25APR11 5 02MAY11 5 09MAY11 5 16MAY11 5 23MAY11 5 30MAY11 5 30MAY11 10 06JUN11 5 20JUN11 5 27JUN11 15 06JUL11 7 17DEC10 2 11JAN11 25 13JAN11 2 31JAN11

28MAR11 15JUN11 04NOV11 06DEC10 20DEC10 12JAN11 06APR11 02DEC11 05APR12 16DEC10 03JAN11 21JAN11 26JAN11 28JAN11 04FEB11 11FEB11 18FEB11 23FEB11 15APR11 22APR11 29APR11 06MAY11 13MAY11 20MAY11 27MAY11 03JUN11 03JUN11 17JUN11 24JUN11 01JUL11 26JUL11 29DEC10 12JAN11 16FEB11 01FEB11
36
Sheet 2 of 9
3 Deckform / Pour 3 Reshore

2011 A M J J A S O 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2 Podium Studs/MEP Rough-in Podium Enclosure

N 21

D 22

J 23

F 24

M 25

2012 A M 26 27

J 28

J AUG 29 3

2 Podium Finishes

3 Deckform / Pour 3 Reshore 3 Pull Reshore 3 Podium Studs/MEP Lvl 3 Podium Fnishes Pool
LEVEL 4 - SUITES

3 Pull Reshore 3 Podium Studs/MEP Rough-in Lvl 3 Podium Fnishes Pool

4 Tower Deckform / Pour 4 Tower Reshore 4 Tower Pull Reshore 4 Precast 4 Ductwork 4 Piping/Plumbing 4 Metal Studs/ Jambs 4 Electrical RI 4 Punched 4 Hang Drywall 4 Tape Drywall 4 Paint 4 Casework / Valance 4 Floor Tile 4 Carpet 4 Countertops / Trim 4 MEP Fixtures 4 Accessories 4 OFCI FF&E 4 Punchlist / completion 4 - Final clean rooms 4 OFOI FF&E 4 Corridor Completion
LEVEL 5

4 Tower Deckform / Pour 4 Tower Reshore 4 Tower Pull Reshore 4 Precast 4 Ductwork 4 Piping/Plumbing 4 Metal Studs/ Jambs 4 Electrical RI 4 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 4 Hang Drywall 4 Tape Drywall 4 Paint 4 Casework / Valance 4 Floor Tile 4 Carpet 4 Countertops / Trim 4 MEP Fixtures 4 Accessories 4 OFCI FF&E 4 Punchlist / completion 4 - Final clean rooms 4 OFOI FF&E 4 Corridor Completion

5 28MAR11 01APR11

5 TowerDeckform / Pour 5 Tower Reshore 5 Studs/MEP Rough-in 5 Tower Pull Reshore

5 TowerDeckform / Pour 5 Tower Reshore 5 Studs/MEP Rough-in 5 Tower Pull Reshore

Activity Description

Orig Dur

Early Start

Early Finish

J -2

F -1

M 1

A 2

M 3

J 4

2010 J 5

A 6

S 7

O 8

N 9

D 10

J 11

5 Precast 5 Punched 5 Room Finishes 5 Final Corridor Finishes


LEVEL 6

3 02FEB11 6 25FEB11 70 04APR11 15 13JUL11 7 30DEC10 2 20JAN11 25 24JAN11 2 09FEB11 3 11FEB11 70 11APR11 15 20JUL11 7 11JAN11 2 31JAN11 25 02FEB11 2 18FEB11 3 22FEB11 70 18APR11 15 27JUL11 7 20JAN11 2 09FEB11 25 11FEB11

04FEB11 04MAR11 12JUL11 02AUG11 10JAN11 21JAN11 25FEB11 10FEB11 15FEB11 19JUL11 09AUG11 19JAN11 01FEB11 08MAR11 21FEB11 24FEB11 26JUL11 16AUG11 28JAN11 10FEB11 17MAR11

F M A 12 13 14 5 Precast

M 15

2011 J J 16 17

A 18

S 19

O 20

N 21

D 22

J 23

F 24

M 25

2012 A M 26 27

J 28

J AUG 29 3

5 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 5 Room Finishes 5 Final Corridor Finishes

6 Tower Deckform / Pour 6 Tower Reshore 6 Studs/MEP Rough-in 6 Tower Pull Reshore 6 Precast 6 Punched 6 Room Finishes 6 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 7

6 Tower Deckform / Pour 6 Tower Reshore 6 Studs/MEP Rough-in 6 Tower Pull Reshore 6 Precast 6 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 6 Room Finishes 6 Final Corridor Finishes

6 08MAR11 15MAR11

7 Tower Deckform / Pour 7 Tower Reshore 7 Studs/MEP Rough-in 7 Tower Pull Reshore 7 Precast 7 Punched 7 Room Finishes 7 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 8

7 Tower Deckform / Pour 7 Tower Reshore 7 Studs/MEP Rough-in 7 Tower Pull Reshore 7 Precast 7 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 7 Room Finishes 7 Final Corridor Finishes

6 17MAR11 24MAR11

8 Tower Deckform / Pour 8 Tower Reshore 8 Studs/MEP Rough-in 8 Tower Pull Reshore 8 Precast 8 Punched 8 Room Finishes 8 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 9

8 Tower Deckform / Pour 8 Tower Reshore 8 Studs/MEP Rough-in 8 Tower Pull Reshore 8 Precast 8 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 8 Room Finishes 8 Final Corridor Finishes

2 01MAR11 02MAR11 3 03MAR11 07MAR11 6 28MAR11 04APR11 70 25APR11 02AUG11 15 03AUG11 23AUG11 7 31JAN11 2 18FEB11 25 22FEB11 08FEB11 21FEB11 28MAR11

9 Tower Deckform / Pour 9 Tower Reshore 9 Studs/MEP Rough-in 9 Tower Pull Reshore 9 Precast Lvl 9 Temp Roof 9 Punched

9 Tower Deckform / Pour 9 Tower Reshore 9 Studs/MEP Rough-in 9 Tower Pull Reshore 9 Precast Lvl 9 Temp Roof

2 10MAR11 11MAR11 3 14MAR11 16MAR11 10 14MAR11 25MAR11 6 06APR11 13APR11


37
Sheet 3 of 9

9 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall

Activity Description

Orig Dur

Early Start

Early Finish

J -2

F -1

M 1

A 2

M 3

J 4

2010 J 5

A 6

S 7

O 8

N 9

D 10

J 11

F 12

M 13

A 14

M 15

2011 J J 16 17

9 Room Finishes 9 Final Corridor Finishes


LEVEL 10

70 02MAY11

09AUG11

A S O N D 18 19 20 21 22 9 Room Finishes

J 23

F 24

M 25

2012 A M 26 27

J 28

J AUG 29 3

15 10AUG11 30AUG11 7 09FEB11 17FEB11


10 Tower Deckform / Pour 10 Tower Reshore 10 Studs/MEP Rough-in 10 Tower Pull Reshore 10 Precast

9 Final Corridor Finishes

10 Tower Deckform / Pour 10 Tower Reshore 10 Studs/MEP Rough-in 10 Tower Pull Reshore 10 Precast 10 Punched 10 Room Finishes 10 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 11

2 01MAR11 02MAR11 25 03MAR11 06APR11 2 21MAR11 22MAR11 3 23MAR11 25MAR11 6 15APR11 70 10JUN11 15 20SEP11 7 18FEB11 22APR11 19SEP11 10OCT11 28FEB11

10 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 10 Room Finishes 10 Final Corridor Finishes

11 Tower Deckform / Pour 11 Tower Reshore 11 Studs/MEP Rough-in Lvl 11 temp roof 11 Tower Pull Reshore 11 Precast 11 Punched 11 Room Finishes 11 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 12

11 Tower Deckform / Pour 11 Tower Reshore 11 Studs/MEP Rough-in Lvl 11 temp roof 11 Tower Pull Reshore 11 Precast 11 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 11 Room Finishes 11 Final Corridor Finishes

2 10MAR11 11MAR11 25 14MAR11 15APR11 10 14MAR11 25MAR11 2 30MAR11 31MAR11 3 01APR11 6 26APR11 70 17JUN11 15 27SEP11 05APR11 03MAY11 26SEP11 17OCT11

12 Tower Deckform / Pour 12 Tower Reshore 12 Studs/MEP Rough-in 12 Tower Pull Reshore 12 Precast 12 Punched 12 Room Finishes 12 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 13

7 01MAR11 09MAR11 2 21MAR11 22MAR11 25 23MAR11 26APR11 2 08APR11 3 12APR11 6 05MAY11 70 24JUN11 15 04OCT11 11APR11 14APR11 12MAY11 03OCT11 24OCT11

12 Tower Deckform / Pour 12 Tower Reshore 12 Studs/MEP Rough-in 12 Tower Pull Reshore 12 Precast 12 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 12 Room Finishes 12 Final Corridor Finishes

13 Tower Deckform / Pour 13 Tower Reshore 13 Studs/MEP Rough-in 13 Towe Pull Reshore 13 Precast 13 Punched 13 Room Finishes 13 Final Corridor Finishes

7 10MAR11 18MAR11 2 30MAR11 31MAR11 25 01APR11 2 19APR11 3 21APR11 6 16MAY11 70 01JUL11 15 11OCT11 05MAY11 20APR11 25APR11 23MAY11 10OCT11 31OCT11
38
Sheet 4 of 9

13 Tower Deckform / Pour 13 Tower Reshore 13 Studs/MEP Rough-in 13 Towe Pull Reshore 13 Precast 13 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 13 Room Finishes 13 Final Corridor Finishes

Activity Description LEVEL 14

Orig Dur

Early Start

Early Finish

J -2

F -1

M 1

A 2

M 3

J 4

2010 J 5

A 6

S 7

O 8

N 9

D 10

J 11

F 12

M 13

A 14

M 15

2011 J J 16 17

A 18

S 19

O 20

N 21

D 22

J 23

F 24

M 25

2012 A M 26 27

J 28

J AUG 29 3

14 Tower Deckform / Pour 14 Tower Reshore 14 Studs/MEP Rough-in 14 Tower Pull Reshore 14 Precast 14 Punched 14 Room Finishes 14 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 15

7 21MAR11 29MAR11 2 08APR11 25 12APR11 2 28APR11 3 02MAY11 6 25MAY11 70 12JUL11 15 18OCT11 11APR11 16MAY11 29APR11 04MAY11 01JUN11 17OCT11 07NOV11

14 Tower Deckform / Pour 14 Tower Reshore 14 Studs/MEP Rough-in 14 Tower Pull Reshore 14 Precast 14 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 14 Room Finishes 14 Final Corridor Finishes

15 Tower Deckform / Pour 15 Tower Reshore 15 Studs/MEP Rough-in 15 Tower Pull Reshore 15 Precast 15 Punched 15 Room Finishes 15 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 16

7 30MAR11 07APR11 2 19APR11 25 21APR11 2 09MAY11 3 11MAY11 6 03JUN11 70 19JUL11 15 25OCT11 7 08APR11 2 28APR11 25 02MAY11 2 18MAY11 3 20MAY11 6 14JUN11 70 26JUL11 15 01NOV11 7 19APR11 2 09MAY11 25 11MAY11 2 27MAY11 3 31MAY11 6 27JUN11 15 08NOV11 7 28APR11 2 18MAY11 20APR11 25MAY11 10MAY11 13MAY11 10JUN11 24OCT11 14NOV11 18APR11 29APR11 03JUN11 19MAY11 24MAY11 21JUN11 31OCT11 21NOV11 27APR11 10MAY11 14JUN11 30MAY11 02JUN11 06JUL11 28NOV11 06MAY11 19MAY11
39
Sheet 5 of 9

15 Tower Deckform / Pour 15 Tower Reshore 15 Studs/MEP Rough-in 15 Tower Pull Reshore 15 Precast 15 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 15 Room Finishes 15 Final Corridor Finishes

16 Tower Deckform / Pour 16 Tower Reshore 16 Studs/MEP Rough-in 16 Tower Pull Reshore 16 Precast 16 Punched 16 Room Finishes 16 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 17

16 Tower Deckform / Pour 16 Tower Reshore 16 Studs/MEP Rough-in 16 Tower Pull Reshore 16 Precast 16 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 16 Room Finishes 16 Final Corridor Finishes

17 Tower Deckform / Pour 17 Tower Reshore 17 Studs/MEP Rough-in 17 Tower Pull Reshore 17 Precast 17 Punched 17 Room Finishes 17 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 18

17 Tower Deckform / Pour 17 Tower Reshore 17 Studs/MEP Rough-in 17 Tower Pull Reshore 17 Precast 17 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 17 Room Finishes 17 Final Corridor Finishes

70 02AUG11 07NOV11

18 Tower Deckform / Pour 18 Tower Reshore

18 Tower Deckform / Pour 18 Tower Reshore

Activity Description

Orig Dur

Early Start

Early Finish

J -2

F -1

M 1

A 2

M 3

J 4

2010 J 5

A 6

S 7

O 8

N 9

D 10

J 11

F 12

M 13

A 14

M 15

18 Studs/MEP Rough-in 18 Tower Pull Reshore 18 Precast 18 Punched 18 Room Finishes 18 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 19

25 20MAY11 2 07JUN11 3 09JUN11 6 08JUL11 15 15NOV11 7 09MAY11 2 27MAY11 25 31MAY11 2 20JUN11 3 22JUN11 6 15JUL11 15 22NOV11 7 18MAY11 10 27MAY11 2 07JUN11 25 14JUN11 2 29JUN11 3 01JUL11 6 08JUL11 15 29NOV11 7 27MAY11 2 07JUN11 25 21JUN11 2 08JUL11 3 12JUL11 6 15JUL11 70 01SEP11 15 08DEC11 7 07JUN11 2 16JUN11 25 23JUN11 2 19JUL11

23JUN11 08JUN11 13JUN11 15JUL11 05DEC11 17MAY11 30MAY11 06JUL11 21JUN11 24JUN11 22JUL11 12DEC11 26MAY11 09JUN11 08JUN11 20JUL11 30JUN11 07JUL11 15JUL11 19DEC11 06JUN11 08JUN11 27JUL11 11JUL11 14JUL11 22JUL11 07DEC11 03JAN12 15JUN11 17JUN11 29JUL11 20JUL11
40
Sheet 6 of 9

2011 J J A S O N 16 17 18 19 20 21 18 Studs/MEP Rough-in 18 Tower Pull Reshore 18 Precast

D 22

J 23

F 24

M 25

2012 A M 26 27

J 28

J AUG 29 3

18 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 18 Room Finishes 18 Final Corridor Finishes

70 09AUG11 14NOV11

19 Tower Deckform / Pour 19 Tower Reshore 19 Studs/MEP Rough-in 19 Tower Pull Reshore 19 Precast 19 Punched 19 Room Finishes 19 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 20

19 Tower Deckform / Pour 19 Tower Reshore 19 Studs/MEP Rough-in 19 Tower Pull Reshore 19 Precast 19 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 19 Room Finishes 19 Final Corridor Finishes

70 16AUG11 21NOV11

20 Tower Deckform / Pour Temp Roof -20 20 Tower Reshore 209 Studs/MEP Rough-in 20 Tower Pull Reshore 20 Precast 20 Punched 20 Room Finishes 20 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 21

20 Tower Deckform / Pour Temp Roof -20 20 Tower Reshore 209 Studs/MEP Rough-in 20 Tower Pull Reshore 20 Precast 20 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 20 Room Finishes 20 Final Corridor Finishes

70 23AUG11 28NOV11

21 Tower Deckform / Pour 21 Tower Reshore 21 Studs/MEP Rough-in 21 Tower Pull Reshore 21 Precast 21 Punched 21 Room Finishes 21 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 22

21 Tower Deckform / Pour 21 Tower Reshore 21 Studs/MEP Rough-in 21 Tower Pull Reshore 21 Precast 21 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 21 Room Finishes 21 Final Corridor Finishes

22 Tower Deckform / Pour 22 Tower Reshore 22 Studs/MEP Rough-in 22 Tower Pull Reshore

22 Tower Deckform / Pour 22 Tower Reshore 22 Studs/MEP Rough-in 22 Tower Pull Reshore

Activity Description

Orig Dur

Early Start

Early Finish

J -2

F -1

M 1

A 2

M 3

J 4

2010 J 5

A 6

S 7

O 8

N 9

D 10

J 11

F 12

M 13

A 14

M 15

2011 J J 16 17

22 Precast 22 Punched 22 Room Finishes 22 Final Corridor Finishes


LEVEL 23

3 21JUL11 6 26JUL11 70 08SEP11 15 15DEC11 7 16JUN11 2 27JUN11 25 06JUL11 2 28JUL11

25JUL11 02AUG11 14DEC11 10JAN12 24JUN11 28JUN11 09AUG11 29JUL11

A S O 18 19 20 22 Precast

N 21

D 22

J 23

F 24

M 25

2012 A M 26 27

J 28

J AUG 29 3

22 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 22 Room Finishes 22 Final Corridor Finishes

23 Tower Deckform / Pour 23 Tower Reshore 23 Studs/MEP Rough-in 23 Tower Pull Reshore 23 Precast 23 Punched 23 Room Finishes 23 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 24

23 Tower Deckform / Pour 23 Tower Reshore 23 Studs/MEP Rough-in 23 Tower Pull Reshore 23 Precast 23 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 23 Room Finishes 23 Final Corridor Finishes

3 01AUG11 03AUG11 6 04AUG11 11AUG11 70 15SEP11 15 22DEC11 7 27JUN11 2 08JUL11 25 15JUL11 21DEC11 17JAN12 07JUL11 11JUL11 18AUG11

24 Tower Deckform / Pour 24 Tower Reshore 24 Studs/MEP Rough-in 24 Tower Pull Reshore 24 Precast 24 Punched 24 Room Finishes 24 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 25

24 Tower Deckform / Pour 24 Tower Reshore 24 Studs/MEP Rough-in 24 Tower Pull Reshore 24 Precast 24 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 24 Room Finishes 24 Final Corridor Finishes

2 08AUG11 09AUG11 3 10AUG11 12AUG11 6 15AUG11 22AUG11 70 24AUG11 29NOV11 15 30NOV11 7 08JUL11 2 19JUL11 25 26JUL11 20DEC11 18JUL11 20JUL11 29AUG11

25 Tower Deckform / Pour 25 Tower Reshore 25 Studs/MEP Rough-in 25 Tower Pull Reshore 25 Precast 25 Punched 25 Room Finishes 25 Final Corridor Finishes
LEVEL 26

25 Tower Deckform / Pour 25 Tower Reshore 25 Studs/MEP Rough-in 25 Tower Pull Reshore 25 Precast 25 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall 25 Room Finishes 25 Final Corridor Finishes

2 08AUG11 09AUG11 3 10AUG11 12AUG11 6 15AUG11 22AUG11 70 30AUG11 05DEC11 15 06DEC11 7 19JUL11 2 28JUL11 28DEC11 27JUL11 29JUL11

26Tower Deckform / Pour 26 Tower Reshore 26 Studs/MEP Rough-in 26 Tower Pull Reshore 26 Precast 26 Punched 26 Room Finishes

26Tower Deckform / Pour 26 Tower Reshore 26 Studs/MEP Rough-in 26 Tower Pull Reshore 26 Precast 26 Punched WIndows/Curtainwall

25 04AUG11 07SEP11 2 08AUG11 09AUG11 3 10AUG11 12AUG11 6 15AUG11 22AUG11 70 08SEP11 14DEC11
41
Sheet 7 of 9

26 Room Finishes

Activity Description

Orig Dur

Early Start

Early Finish

J -2

F -1

M 1

A 2

M 3

J 4

2010 J 5

A 6

S 7

O 8

N 9

D 10

J 11

F 12

M 13

A 14

M 15

2011 J J 16 17

A 18

S 19

O 20

N 21

D 22

26 Final Corridor Finishes


ROOF LEVEL

15 15DEC11 7 28JUL11

10JAN12 05AUG11
27 Roof Deckform / Pour 27 Precast 27 Roofing 27 Penthouse

2012 J F M A M J 23 24 25 26 27 28 26 Final Corridor Finishes

J AUG 29 3

27 Roof Deckform / Pour 27 Precast 27 Roofing 27 Penthouse


VERTICAL TRANSPORTATION

3 08AUG11 10AUG11 15 11AUG11 31AUG11 15 22AUG11 09SEP11 150 12SEP11 60 10FEB12 40 06APR12 1 01JUN12 20 04JUN12 12APR12 03MAY12 31MAY12 01JUN12 29JUN12

Elevators
COMPLETION / OCCUPANCY

Elevators Punchlist/Startup Commissioning Substantial Completion / TCO OS&E / Owner Move -in

Punchlist/Startup Commissioning Substantial Completion / OS&E / Owner Move -in PARKING GARAGE Mobilize Parking Garage Site Utilities Excavation Auger Cast Piling Pilecaps Precast Structure Slab on Grade Finishes CONVENTION CENTER
DEMO/SHORING /EXCAVATION

20 28JUN10 40 12JUL10

26JUL10 03SEP10

Mobilize Parking Garage Site Utilities Excavation Auger Cast Piling Pilecaps Precast Structure Slab on Grade Finishes

40 09AUG10 01OCT10 40 16AUG10 08OCT10 45 13SEP10 60 15NOV10 40 10FEB11 12NOV10 09FEB11 06APR11

80 10MAR11 29JUN11

Demoliton Temporary Walls Mobilize Event Center Excavate South Relocate Electrical Vault Demolition Temporaray Walls Excavation Auger Cast Piling Pilecaps Exhall Structural Steel Admin Structural Steel Roof Exhall Metal Deck Admin Metal Roof Deck

20 10MAY10 20 10MAY10 20 03MAY10 40 31MAY10 20 31MAY10 15 27JUL10 10 27JUL10

04JUN10 04JUN10 28MAY10 26JUL10 25JUN10 16AUG10 09AUG10

Demoliton Temporary Walls

Mobilize Event Center Excavate South Relocate Electrical Vault Demolition Temporaray Walls Excavation Auger Cast Piling Pilecaps Exhall Structural Steel Admin Structural Steel Roof Exhall Metal Deck

15 17AUG10 06SEP10 20 31AUG10 27SEP10 20 07SEP10 10 05OCT10 15 19OCT10 15 09NOV10 15 16NOV10 04OCT10 18OCT10 08NOV10 29NOV10 06DEC10

42
Sheet 8 of 9

Admin Metal Roof Deck

Activity Description

Orig Dur

Early Start

Early Finish

J -2

F -1

M 1

A 2

M 3

J 4

2010 J 5

A 6

S 7

O 8

N 9

D 10

Admin Concrete on Deck Underground MEP / Backfill Precast Building Enclosure Admin Area MEP Rough-in Site Work / Hardscape Roofing Admin Exterior Wall Slab on Grade Admin Space Finishes Exhibit Hall MEP Rough-in Exhibit Hall Finishes Commissioning / Occupancy TCO Date ExHall Startup / Testing FF&E / Owner Move-in Exhibit Floor Opening + CITY INFRASTRUCTURE

15 07DEC10 20 30DEC10 15 30DEC10 40 30DEC10 40 21JAN11 20 21JAN11 40 21JAN11 15 28JAN11 150 18FEB11 30 18FEB11 10 01JUL11 1 19JUL11 10 19JUL11 22 21JUL11

29DEC10 27JAN11 20JAN11 24FEB11 17MAR11 17FEB11 17MAR11 17FEB11 19SEP11 31MAR11 18JUL11 19JUL11 01AUG11 19AUG11

2011 J F M A M J J 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Admin Concrete on Deck Underground MEP / Backfill Precast Building Enclosure

A 18

S 19

O 20

N 21

D 22

J 23

F 24

M 25

2012 A M 26 27

J 28

J AUG 29 3

Admin Area MEP Rough-in Site Work / Hardscape Roofing Admin Exterior Wall Slab on Grade Admin Space Finishes Exhibit Hall MEP Rough-in Exhibit Hall Finishes Commissioning / Occupancy TCO Date ExHall Startup / Testing FF&E / Owner Move-in Exhibit Floor Opening

80 25MAR11 18JUL11

1 22AUG11 22AUG11 200 15MAR10 20DEC10

43
Sheet 9 of 9

Section VI: Capital Plan


Capital Plan Narrative

Public Model Sources and Uses of Funds Cash Flow Summary

Public/Private Model Public/Private Finance Assumptions Private Finance Feasibility Model

44

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Capital Plan Narrative

Capital Plan Narrative

This section includes the capital plan alternatives for the Hotel only, including the ballroom and meeting space controlled by the Hotel operator, Starwood. Although our budget section includes estimates for the Tucson Convention Center expansion and the adjacent parking garage, we assume that the City will finance those in a similar manner they have used in the past. Two plans of finance for the Hotel, a publicly-owned, tax-exempt bond financed model, and the public/private partnership model are presented in this section. Each financial model has risk and reward considerations that must be weighed in the context of the Citys financial and political objectives and legal constraints. Either approach will require substantial City financial participation due to the underlying economic characteristics of convention center headquarters hotels and the current worldwide economic climate. We believe that in this economic environment, which will limit the amount of private debt and equity available for the project, the publicly-owned, tax-exempt financial model offers the highest likelihood of successful financing as well as the greatest long-term reward to the City and District. The public/private model described below is not available today due to the current worldwide economic environment, but we have used this model with other projects in the past and if economic conditions improve it may be available in the future. Following is a more detailed discussion of both the tax-exempt and the public/private partnership financing models. The budget and operating pro-forma are essentially the same under either of these financial models except for financing costs, bond issuance costs and reserves as shown in each corresponding Source and Use of Funds Statement.

Tax-Exempt Model
The tax-exempt model assumes that the Hotel is owned by a public entity and is financed with the issuance of taxexempt bonds. Due to current credit and capital market conditions, bonds secured solely by project revenues cannot be issued at a reasonable interest cost. Based on the projected development budget and operating pro forma, even if project revenue bonds could be issued, there would be a financing gap, so in order to finance the Hotel, additional revenue sources and government credit support are required. These additional revenue sources are initially identified as the site specific transient rental tax (6%), the site specific city sales tax (2%) and a new convention center surcharge (2%). Described below are three publicly-owned, tax-exempt financing scenarios. In all cases, government credit support, either from the District or the City, is required. In addition, to create an acceptable risk profile for the owner, it is recommended that additional revenue be pledged to the financing under all scenarios.

Pre-Development Agreement Services Report

45

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel

Capital Plan Narrative

In each of the following scenarios, the Sources and Use of Funds statement includes a City contribution of $17,661,000. This contribution includes $12,661,000 of design costs that are currently included in the Hotel budget and will be paid during the design period prior to the issuance of a guaranteed maximum price and subsequent sale of bonds, plus approximately half ($5,000,000) of the total transaction privilege tax, building permits and impact fees (total $10,700,000). A portion of these taxes and fees should be applied to the project in the future and not included in the bond model but the amount is unknown today.

Scenario 1:

Single Tier Issue of Tax-Exempt Rio Nuevo Bonds (District Support)

Hotel net revenues are assumed to be included in the Rio Nuevo Multipurpose Facilities District available revenues under this scenario. This will require modifications of the legislation regarding the District and the existing indenture. The bonds issued are on parity with the 2008 District bonds, and it is assumed that the 1.25x coverage level needed to issue additional bonds is met. Currently there is no capacity in the District for additional bonds. Assuming there is capacity and the changes discussed above are made, the District would issue tax-exempt bonds secured by Hotel net revenues, site specific sales and transient rental taxes, a convention center surcharge, the District Excise Tax Revenues as well as a backstop from the City. The assumed rating for the bonds is A3/A-. At todays rates, the interest cost is approximately 6.62%. The bond issue size is $189.3 million. Without additional revenues, debt service coverage levels would dip as low as 1.05x with only 1.26x coverage in the stabilized year. In order to achieve an acceptable owner risk profile (minimum 1.50x coverage in the stabilized year), the financing requires an additional $4.5 million per year in pledged revenues. At stabilized occupancy, this scenario cash flows a residual to the District of $4.538 million.

Scenario 2:

Single Tier Issue of Tax-Exempt City COPs (City Support)

The City issues tax-exempt Certificates of Participation (COPs) secured by a City covenant to budget and appropriate. The COPs will still be paid from Hotel net revenues, site specific sales and transient rental taxes and a convention center surcharge. The assumed rating for the bonds is AA-/A1. At todays rates, the interest cost is approximately 6.09%. The bond issue size is $184.0 million. Without additional revenues, debt service coverage levels on the debt would dip as low as 1.15x with only 1.36x coverage in the stabilized year. In order to achieve an acceptable owner risk profile (minimum 1.50x coverage in the stabilized year), the financing requires an additional $1.1 million per year in pledged revenues. At stabilized occupancy, this scenario cash flows a residual to the City of $2.216 million.

Pre-Development Agreement Services Report

46

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Scenario 3:

Capital Plan Narrative

Interim Financing with Permanent Tax-Exempt Takeout (City Support)

The City issues AA-/A1 rated variable rate debt at an all-in cost (including letter of credit fees) of 5.27% (this rate assumes a 4% interest rate cap is purchased). After three years of Hotel operations, the City refinances the variable rate debt with fixed rate tax-exempt revenue bonds with the same credit profile as the bonds described in scenario 2. With this level of credit support it is assumed the issue would receive an AA-/A1 rating with an interest cost of approximately 6.25% (todays market). Without additional revenues, debt service coverage levels on the debt would dip as low as 1.44x with 1.52x coverage in the stabilized year. As the acceptable owner risk profile is assumed to be a minimum 1.50x coverage in the stabilized year, the financing requires no additional pledged revenues.

Potential Benefits to the City In return for sponsoring the development, the District and City would be the recipient of 100% of the net profits and residual value of the Hotel, estimated to be in excess of $260 million after the maturity of the bonds based on a 10% cap rate. Profits distributed estimated to be between $145 and $218 million over the life of the bonds in the three scenarios above, may be used for the expansion and/or improvement of the Hotel, to retire the Bond financing early, or for any other permitted public purpose. When the financing has been retired, the District/City may choose to sell the Hotel and realize the full value of the asset immediately, or it may continue to have the Hotel operated for debtfree annual cash flow to the District/City. The District/City would also have the option to sell the Hotel at any time after bonds are issued (subject to any make whole provisions) if market conditions are favorable. The cash flows and the residual value would be direct monetary benefits of the Districts/Citys sponsorship of the Hotel and do not take into consideration ancillary benefits to the District/City, its citizens and local hospitality industry, which would also include the generation of visitor spending on other area lodging, transportation, retail and entertainment, and local function-related service providers. The District/City would also directly benefit from taxes paid by visitors, who would come to the community, spend their money and depart, having only minimally impacted community infrastructure like police, fire and health services. Tax-Exempt Summary Scenario 1 Issuer Bond Rating Paramount of Bonds Interest Rate Additional Revenue Pledged (000) Residual Cash Flow 1st Stable Year (000) Total Residual Cash Flow 30-year (000)
Pre-Development Agreement Services Report

Scenario 2 City AA-/A1 $184,065 6.09% $1,100 $2,216 $145,210

Scenario 3 City AA-/A1 $185,155 6.25% $0 $2,062 $171,799

District A3/A$189,305 6.62% $4,500 $4,538 $218,047


47

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Public/Private Partnership Model

Capital Plan Narrative

In the public/private model, the Hotel rooms tower and possibly some common areas would be owned by a newly formed, single-asset entity such as a limited partnership or a limited liability company. The owners of this new entity would be the Developer and its third-party equity investors. The meeting and ballroom space, some common and support areas, and the underlying land, would be owned by the City or a not-for-profit entity controlled by the City. The City-owned assets would be leased to the private owner of the Hotel and operated seamlessly with the Hotel by the Hotel operator. To determine the actual amount of each ownership piece and the total capital structure under the public/private model, we input the Hotels facilities program, development budget and operating projections into an exclusive public/private financial feasibility model. The purpose of the model is to estimate the amount of private debt and equity available for the Hotel in the financial markets, given currently anticipated debt underwriting criteria from various hotel lenders and expected internal rates of return from hotel equity investors. This analysis results in the amount of total private capital we believe is available for the Hotel. The difference between the amount of total private debt and equity that can be raised and the total development budget for the Hotel is the amount of City financial participation required to complete the project capitalization, and will provide a basis as to the appropriate allocation of the facilities between public and private ownership. After completing our preliminary financial assessment model for the Hotel, we believe the total amount of private capital available today to be equivalent to approximately $103,000,000, or 58.5% of the total Hotel budget of $176,000,000 (note: this includes approximately $8.5 million of construction period interest and fees). This includes $83,000,000 in construction debt and $20,000,000 in equity. The resulting difference between this amount, the operator key money contribution, and the total amount of the total Hotel budget is the amount of required City contribution, or $72,000,000. Our public/private assessment model is included later in this section. Our assumptions for this model are included there and are also detailed in the Deal Terms section under the public/private partnership.

Potential Benefits to the City Because the Hotel would be privately owned under this approach, all or substantially all of the net cash flow from the Hotel and residual value on sale would flow to the private owner. The primary benefits to the City of a privatelyowned Hotel are as follows: 1. Risks of ownership would be shifted to the private sector, 2. Opposition from taxpayers and local hotel owners, if any, can be reduced, 3. The investment from the City would be quantified before the start of construction and there would be no future funding obligation, and 4. The City would exercise a degree of control over minimum replacement reserve requirements and the future operational brand of the Hotel (in the event of a sale of the Hotel).
Pre-Development Agreement Services Report
48

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel

Capital Plan Narrative

Our team has extensive experience from prior hospitality developments in helping to identify and structure public participation using a variety of sources. Our scope of services includes collaborating with the City and its advisors to investigate all possible sources of funding the public participation, including site specific transient rental taxes, applicable ad valorem taxes, applicable sales taxes, etc., and determining the appropriate combination thereof Moreover, we have been successful in past developments in raising such diverse sources of funds as naming rights, grants, low-interest and no-interest subordinated loans from federal, state and local governments, public/private utility partnerships and nonprofit foundations. To the extent that such funds can be secured for this development, the required City financial participation may be reduced. It should be noted again however, that in the current economic environment this public/private financing model is not available, but it should become available if and when global economic conditions improve.

Pre-Development Agreement Services Report


49

FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel Single Tier Tax Exempt Scenario Sources and Uses of Funds (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 1
Sources of Funds Par Amount of Bonds Interest Earnings on Project Construction Fund Original Issue Discount City Contribution Operator Key Money Contribution Operator Guarantee TOTAL SOURCES OF FUNDS Uses of Funds Deposit to Project Construction Fund Deposit to Capitalized Interest (CIF) Fund Deposit to Debt Service Reserve Fund (DSRF) Costs of Issuance Operating Reserve Pre-opening Expense Rounding Amount TOTAL USES OF FUNDS STATISTICS Ratings Dated Date True Interest Cost (TIC) All-In-Cost Weighted Average Maturity Hotel Opening Date Average Annual Net D/S ($ mils) Total Net D/S ($ mils) Debt Service Coverage DSC (Stabilized Year - 2015) $ Total 189,305 3,580 4,930 17,661 1,000 2,000 $ 218,476

161,721 29,607 15,943 2,840 3,000 5,365 0 218,476

A3 1/1/2010 6.619% 6.745% 24.661 years 1/1/2012 14,859 445,778 1.29x-2.76x 1.50x

50

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 1
YEAR ENDING TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Rio Nuevo Excise Tax Revenues Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses Additional Revenues TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES DEBT SERVICE ON THE EXISTING OBLIGATIONS NET SERIES 2008 BOND DEBT SERVICE Senior Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings SENIOR BOND NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Bond Debt Service AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Bonds Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

2017

2018

7,429 927 309 563 8,639 30 (200) 4,500 22,198 813 7,289 12,803 (6,681) 6,123 584 7,389 7,389

10,828 1,155 385 681 9,503 208 (206) 4,500 27,054 813 8,123 12,803 (558) 12,245 1,059 4,814 4,814

13,567 1,355 452 787 9,979 281 (212) 4,500 30,708 8,220 13,863 (558) 13,305 1,632 7,551 7,551

14,689 1,447 482 841 10,278 394 (219) 4,500 32,412 8,157 13,995 (558) 13,437 1,742 9,075 9,075

15,163 1,492 497 867 10,586 530 (225) 4,500 33,410 8,166 14,128 (558) 13,570 1,796 9,878 449 224 9,205

15,618 1,537 512 893 10,904 668 (232) 4,500 34,399 8,179 14,266 (558) 13,708 1,850 10,663 462 231 9,969

16,086 1,583 528 919 11,231 818 (239) 4,500 35,426 8,193 14,399 (558) 13,841 1,905 11,487 476 238 10,772

1,000 3,500 1,444 1,444 6,389 1.59 1,444

2,407 2,407 4,814 1.29 3,851

3,776 3,776 7,551 1.43 7,627

4,538 4,538 9,075 1.50 12,165

4,602 4,602 9,205 1.54 16,767

4,985 4,985 9,969 1.57 21,752

5,386 5,386 10,772 1.61 27,138

4,000 3,500 1,444 8,944 15,943 15,943 24,888 189,305 189,305

4,000 3,500 3,851 11,351 15,943 15,943 27,295 189,305 189,305

4,000 3,500 7,627 15,127 15,943 15,943 31,071 188,245 188,245

4,000 3,500 12,165 19,665 15,943 15,943 35,608 187,000 187,000

4,000 3,500 16,767 24,267 15,943 15,943 40,211 185,560 185,560

4,000 3,500 21,752 29,252 15,943 15,943 45,195 183,910 183,910

4,000 3,500 27,138 34,638 15,943 15,943 50,581 182,045 182,045

51

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 1
YEAR ENDING TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Rio Nuevo Excise Tax Revenues Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses Additional Revenues TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES DEBT SERVICE ON THE EXISTING OBLIGATIONS NET SERIES 2008 BOND DEBT SERVICE Senior Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings SENIOR BOND NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Bond Debt Service AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Bonds Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

2024

2025

16,569 1,630 543 947 11,568 979 (246) 4,500 36,491 8,207 14,540 (558) 13,982 1,962 12,339 491 245 11,604

17,066 1,679 560 975 11,915 1,153 (253) 4,500 37,595 8,216 14,680 (558) 14,122 2,021 13,236 505 253 12,478

17,578 1,730 577 1,005 12,272 1,340 (261) 4,500 38,740 8,232 14,818 (558) 14,260 2,082 14,167 520 520 260 12,866

18,105 1,782 594 1,035 12,640 1,533 (269) 4,500 39,920 8,248 14,962 (558) 14,404 2,144 15,124 536 536 268 13,784

18,648 1,835 612 1,066 13,020 1,740 (277) 4,500 41,144 8,267 15,108 (558) 14,550 2,208 16,118 552 552 276 14,738

19,208 1,890 630 1,098 13,410 1,961 (285) 4,500 42,412 8,279 15,255 (558) 14,697 2,275 17,161 569 569 284 15,739

19,784 1,947 649 1,131 13,813 2,197 (294) 4,500 43,727 7,669 15,401 (558) 14,843 2,343 18,872 586 586 293 17,407

5,802 5,802 11,604 1.64 32,940

6,239 6,239 12,478 1.68 39,179

6,433 6,433 12,866 1.72 45,611

6,892 6,892 13,784 1.76 52,503

7,369 7,369 14,738 1.80 59,872

7,870 7,870 15,739 1.85 67,742

8,704 8,704 17,407 1.94 76,445

4,000 3,500 32,940 40,440 15,943 15,943 56,383 179,945 179,945

4,000 3,500 39,179 46,679 15,943 15,943 62,622 177,600 177,600

4,000 3,500 45,611 53,111 15,943 15,943 69,055 175,000 175,000

4,000 3,500 52,503 60,003 15,943 15,943 75,947 172,100 172,100

4,000 3,500 59,872 67,372 15,943 15,943 83,316 168,880 168,880

4,000 3,500 67,742 75,242 15,943 15,943 91,185 165,320 165,320

4,000 3,500 76,445 83,945 15,943 15,943 99,889 161,400 161,400

52

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 1
YEAR ENDING TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Rio Nuevo Excise Tax Revenues Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses Additional Revenues TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES DEBT SERVICE ON THE EXISTING OBLIGATIONS NET SERIES 2008 BOND DEBT SERVICE Senior Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings SENIOR BOND NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Bond Debt Service AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Bonds Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

2031

2032

20,378 2,005 668 1,165 2,458 (303) 4,500 30,872 15,547 (558) 14,989 2,413 13,470 603 603 302 11,962

20,989 2,065 688 1,200 2,638 (312) 4,500 31,768 15,696 (558) 15,138 2,486 14,145 621 621 311 12,592

21,619 2,127 709 1,235 2,827 (321) 4,500 32,696 15,847 (558) 15,289 2,560 14,847 640 640 320 13,247

22,267 2,191 730 1,273 3,025 (331) 4,500 33,656 16,003 (558) 15,445 2,637 15,574 659 659 330 13,926

22,935 2,257 752 1,311 3,234 (340) 4,500 34,649 16,159 (558) 15,601 2,716 16,332 679 679 340 14,634

23,623 2,325 775 1,350 3,454 (351) 4,500 35,676 16,311 (558) 15,753 2,798 17,125 699 699 350 15,377

24,332 2,394 798 1,391 3,684 (361) 4,500 36,738 16,471 (558) 15,913 2,882 17,943 720 720 360 16,142

5,981 5,981 11,962 2.06 82,426

6,296 6,296 12,592 2.10 88,722

6,623 6,623 13,247 2.14 95,345

6,963 6,963 13,926 2.18 102,308

7,317 7,317 14,634 2.22 109,625

7,688 7,688 15,377 2.26 117,314

8,071 8,071 16,142 2.31 125,385

4,000 3,500 82,426 89,926 15,943 15,943 105,870 157,080 157,080

4,000 3,500 88,722 96,222 15,943 15,943 112,165 152,330 152,330

4,000 3,500 95,345 102,845 15,943 15,943 118,789 147,120 147,120

4,000 3,500 102,308 109,808 15,943 15,943 125,752 141,415 141,415

4,000 3,500 109,625 117,125 15,943 15,943 133,069 135,155 135,155

4,000 3,500 117,314 124,814 15,943 15,943 140,757 128,305 128,305

4,000 3,500 125,385 132,885 15,943 15,943 148,828 120,815 120,815

53

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 1
YEAR ENDING TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Rio Nuevo Excise Tax Revenues Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses Additional Revenues TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES DEBT SERVICE ON THE EXISTING OBLIGATIONS NET SERIES 2008 BOND DEBT SERVICE Senior Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings SENIOR BOND NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Bond Debt Service AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Bonds Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

25,062 2,466 822 1,432 3,927 (372) 4,500 37,837 16,627 (558) 16,069 2,968 18,800 742 742 371 16,945

25,814 2,540 847 1,475 4,181 (383) 4,500 38,973 16,790 (558) 16,232 3,057 19,684 764 764 382 17,774

26,588 2,616 872 1,520 4,447 (395) 4,500 40,149 16,952 (558) 16,394 3,149 20,606 787 787 394 18,638

27,386 2,695 898 1,565 4,727 (407) 4,500 41,364 17,119 (558) 16,560 3,243 21,561 811 811 405 19,534

28,207 2,776 925 1,612 5,020 (419) 4,500 42,621 17,281 (558) 16,723 3,340 22,558 835 835 418 20,470

8,472 8,472 16,945 2.35 133,857

8,887 8,887 17,774 2.40 142,744

9,319 9,319 18,638 2.45 152,063

9,767 9,767 19,534 2.50 161,830

10,235 10,235 20,470 2.55 172,065

4,000 3,500 133,857 141,357 15,943 15,943 157,301 112,645 112,645

4,000 3,500 142,744 150,244 15,943 15,943 166,187 103,740 103,740

4,000 3,500 152,063 159,563 15,943 15,943 175,507 94,050 94,050

4,000 3,500 161,830 169,330 15,943 15,943 185,273 83,515 83,515

4,000 3,500 172,065 179,565 15,943 15,943 195,508 72,080 72,080

54

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 1
YEAR ENDING TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Rio Nuevo Excise Tax Revenues Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses Additional Revenues TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES DEBT SERVICE ON THE EXISTING OBLIGATIONS NET SERIES 2008 BOND DEBT SERVICE Senior Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings SENIOR BOND NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Bond Debt Service AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Bonds Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2038 2039 2040 2041

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

29,054 2,859 953 1,660 5,327 (431) 4,500 43,922 17,451 (558) 16,893 3,441 23,588 860 860 430 21,438

29,925 2,945 982 1,710 5,649 (444) 4,500 45,266 17,617 (558) 17,059 3,544 24,663 886 886 443 22,448

30,823 3,033 1,011 1,762 5,985 (458) 4,500 46,656 17,786 (558) 17,228 3,650 25,778 913 913 456 23,496

31,748 3,124 1,041 1,814 6,338 (471) 4,500 48,094 33,903 (16,502) 17,401 3,760 26,933 940 940 470 24,583

10,719 10,719 21,438 2.60 182,784

11,224 11,224 22,448 2.65 194,008

11,748 11,748 23,496 2.71 205,756

12,291 12,291 24,583 2.76 218,047

4,000 3,500 182,784 190,284 15,943 15,943 206,227 59,675 59,675

4,000 3,500 194,008 201,508 15,943 15,943 217,451 46,235 46,235

4,000 3,500 205,756 213,256 15,943 15,943 229,199 31,685 31,685

4,000 3,500 218,047 225,547 225,547 -

55

FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel Single Tier Tax Exempt Scenario Sources and Uses of Funds (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 2
Sources of Funds Par Amount of Bonds Interest Earnings on Project Construction Fund Original Issue Discount City Contribution Operator Key Money Contribution Operator Guarantee TOTAL SOURCES OF FUNDS Uses of Funds Deposit to Project Construction Fund Deposit to Capitalized Interest (CIF) Fund Deposit to Debt Service Reserve Fund (DSRF) Costs of Issuance Operating Reserve Pre-opening Expense Rounding Amount TOTAL USES OF FUNDS STATISTICS Ratings Dated Date True Interest Cost (TIC) All-In-Cost Weighted Average Maturity Hotel Opening Date Average Annual Net D/S ($ mils) Total Net D/S ($ mils) Debt Service Coverage DSC (Stabilized Year - 2015) $ Total 184,065 3,580 5,962 17,661 1,000 2,000 $ 214,268

161,721 26,731 14,687 2,761 3,000 5,365 3 214,268

AA-/A1 1/1/2010 6.091% 6.212% 24.275 years 1/1/2012 13,707 411,213 1.27x-2.65x 1.50x

56

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 2
YEAR ENDING ROOM SUMMARY Available Rooms Occupied Rooms Occupancy Average Daily Rate TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses Additional Revenues TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES Senior Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings SENIOR BOND NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Bond Debt Service AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Bonds Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

2017

2018

192,413 111,792 58.10% 138.31 7,429 927 309 563 30 (200) 1,100 10,158 11,570 (6,042) 5,528 584 4,046 4,046

191,625 122,640 64.00% 156.99 10,828 1,155 385 681 151 (206) 1,100 14,094 11,570 (514) 11,056 1,059 1,979 1,979

191,625 133,179 69.50% 169.59 13,567 1,355 452 787 188 (212) 1,100 17,237 12,795 (514) 12,281 1,632 3,324 3,324

191,888 138,159 72.00% 174.50 14,689 1,447 482 841 238 (219) 1,100 18,578 12,919 (514) 12,405 1,742 4,431 4,431

191,888 138,159 72.00% 180.00 15,163 1,492 497 867 304 (225) 1,100 19,198 13,043 (514) 12,529 1,796 4,873 449 224 4,200

191,625 137,970 72.00% 185.40 15,618 1,537 512 893 367 (232) 1,100 19,795 13,168 (514) 12,654 1,850 5,291 462 231 4,598

191,888 138,159 72.00% 190.96 16,086 1,583 528 919 436 (239) 1,100 20,414 13,298 (514) 12,783 1,905 5,725 476 238 5,011

1,000 3,046 3,046 1.84 -

454 762 762 1,979 1.27 762

1,662 1,662 3,324 1.40 2,425

2,216 2,216 4,431 1.50 4,640

2,100 2,100 4,200 1.53 6,740

2,299 2,299 4,598 1.56 9,039

2,505 2,505 5,011 1.60 11,544

4,000 3,046 7,046 14,687 14,687 21,733 184,065 184,065

4,000 3,500 762 8,262 14,687 14,687 22,950 184,065 184,065

4,000 3,500 2,425 9,925 14,687 14,687 24,612 182,840 182,840

4,000 3,500 4,640 12,140 14,687 14,687 26,827 181,430 181,430

4,000 3,500 6,740 14,240 14,687 14,687 28,927 179,825 179,825

4,000 3,500 9,039 16,539 14,687 14,687 31,226 178,015 178,015

4,000 3,500 11,544 19,044 14,687 14,687 33,731 175,985 175,985

57

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 2
YEAR ENDING ROOM SUMMARY Available Rooms Occupied Rooms Occupancy Average Daily Rate TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses Additional Revenues TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES Senior Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings SENIOR BOND NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Bond Debt Service AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Bonds Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

2024

2025

191,888 138,159 72.00% 196.69 16,569 1,630 543 947 511 (246) 1,100 21,055 13,421 (514) 12,907 1,962 6,186 491 245 5,450

191,625 137,970 72.00% 202.59 17,066 1,679 560 975 593 (253) 1,100 21,720 13,553 (514) 13,039 2,021 6,660 505 253 5,902

191,888 138,159 72.00% 208.67 17,578 1,730 577 1,005 682 (261) 1,100 22,409 13,683 (514) 13,169 2,082 7,158 520 520 260 5,857

191,888 138,159 72.00% 214.93 18,105 1,782 594 1,035 769 (269) 1,100 23,116 13,817 (514) 13,303 2,144 7,669 536 536 268 6,329

191,625 137,970 72.00% 221.38 18,648 1,835 612 1,066 864 (277) 1,100 23,848 13,950 (514) 13,436 2,208 8,204 552 552 276 6,824

191,888 138,159 72.00% 228.02 19,208 1,890 630 1,098 967 (285) 1,100 24,607 14,081 (514) 13,567 2,275 8,766 569 569 284 7,344

191,888 138,159 72.00% 234.86 19,784 1,947 649 1,131 1,077 (294) 1,100 25,394 14,217 (514) 13,703 2,343 9,348 586 586 293 7,884

2,725 2,725 5,450 1.63 14,269

2,951 2,951 5,902 1.67 17,220

2,929 2,929 5,857 1.70 20,149

3,165 3,165 6,329 1.74 23,313

3,412 3,412 6,824 1.78 26,725

3,672 3,672 7,344 1.81 30,398

3,942 3,942 7,884 1.85 34,339

4,000 3,500 14,269 21,769 14,687 14,687 36,456 173,730 173,730

4,000 3,500 17,220 24,720 14,687 14,687 39,407 171,230 171,230

4,000 3,500 20,149 27,649 14,687 14,687 42,336 168,475 168,475

4,000 3,500 23,313 30,813 14,687 14,687 45,501 165,435 165,435

4,000 3,500 26,725 34,225 14,687 14,687 48,913 162,095 162,095

4,000 3,500 30,398 37,898 14,687 14,687 52,585 158,440 158,440

4,000 3,500 34,339 41,839 14,687 14,687 56,527 154,430 154,430

58

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 2
YEAR ENDING ROOM SUMMARY Available Rooms Occupied Rooms Occupancy Average Daily Rate TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses Additional Revenues TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES Senior Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings SENIOR BOND NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Bond Debt Service AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Bonds Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

2031

2032

191,625 137,970 72.00% 241.90 20,378 2,005 668 1,165 1,195 (303) 1,100 26,208 14,356 (514) 13,842 2,413 9,953 603 603 302 8,445

191,888 138,159 72.00% 249.16 20,989 2,065 688 1,200 1,322 (312) 1,100 27,053 14,493 (514) 13,979 2,486 10,588 621 621 311 9,035

191,888 138,159 72.00% 256.64 21,619 2,127 709 1,235 1,457 (321) 1,100 27,927 14,630 (514) 14,116 2,560 11,251 640 640 320 9,651

191,625 137,970 72.00% 264.34 22,267 2,191 730 1,273 1,602 (331) 1,100 28,833 14,772 (514) 14,258 2,637 11,938 659 659 330 10,289

191,888 138,159 72.00% 272.27 22,935 2,257 752 1,311 1,756 (340) 1,100 29,771 14,919 (514) 14,405 2,716 12,650 679 679 340 10,953

191,888 138,159 72.00% 280.43 23,623 2,325 775 1,350 1,921 (351) 1,100 30,743 15,062 (514) 14,548 2,798 13,398 699 699 350 11,649

191,625 137,970 72.00% 288.85 24,332 2,394 798 1,391 2,096 (361) 1,100 31,749 15,204 (514) 14,690 2,882 14,177 720 720 360 12,377

4,223 4,223 8,445 1.89 38,562

4,517 4,517 9,035 1.94 43,079

4,825 4,825 9,651 1.98 47,905

5,145 5,145 10,289 2.02 53,049

5,476 5,476 10,953 2.07 58,526

5,825 5,825 11,649 2.11 64,350

6,188 6,188 12,377 2.16 70,539

4,000 3,500 38,562 46,062 14,687 14,687 60,749 150,040 150,040

4,000 3,500 43,079 50,579 14,687 14,687 65,267 145,250 145,250

4,000 3,500 47,905 55,405 14,687 14,687 70,092 140,035 140,035

4,000 3,500 53,049 60,549 14,687 14,687 75,237 134,365 134,365

4,000 3,500 58,526 66,026 14,687 14,687 80,713 128,180 128,180

4,000 3,500 64,350 71,850 14,687 14,687 86,537 121,450 121,450

4,000 3,500 70,539 78,039 14,687 14,687 92,726 114,140 114,140

59

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 2
YEAR ENDING ROOM SUMMARY Available Rooms Occupied Rooms Occupancy Average Daily Rate TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses Additional Revenues TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES Senior Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings SENIOR BOND NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Bond Debt Service AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Bonds Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

191,888 138,159 72.00% 297.51 25,062 2,466 822 1,432 2,281 (372) 1,100 32,791 15,354 (514) 14,840 2,968 14,983 742 742 371 13,128

191,888 138,159 72.00% 306.44 25,814 2,540 847 1,475 2,478 (383) 1,100 33,871 15,503 (514) 14,989 3,057 15,824 764 764 382 13,914

191,625 137,970 72.00% 315.63 26,588 2,616 872 1,520 2,687 (395) 1,100 34,988 15,649 (514) 15,135 3,149 16,704 787 787 394 14,736

191,888 138,159 72.00% 325.10 27,386 2,695 898 1,565 2,908 (407) 1,100 36,145 15,800 (514) 15,285 3,243 17,617 811 811 405 15,590

191,888 138,159 72.00% 334.85 28,207 2,776 925 1,612 3,142 (419) 1,100 37,343 15,956 (514) 15,442 3,340 18,561 835 835 418 16,473

6,564 6,564 13,128 2.21 77,103

6,957 6,957 13,914 2.26 84,060

7,368 7,368 14,736 2.31 91,428

7,795 7,795 15,590 2.36 99,223

8,237 8,237 16,473 2.42 107,459

4,000 3,500 77,103 84,603 14,687 14,687 99,290 106,205 106,205

4,000 3,500 84,060 91,560 14,687 14,687 106,247 97,605 97,605

4,000 3,500 91,428 98,928 14,687 14,687 113,615 88,300 88,300

4,000 3,500 99,223 106,723 14,687 14,687 121,410 78,240 78,240

4,000 3,500 107,459 114,959 14,687 14,687 129,646 67,370 67,370

60

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 2
YEAR ENDING ROOM SUMMARY Available Rooms Occupied Rooms Occupancy Average Daily Rate TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses Additional Revenues TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES Senior Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings SENIOR BOND NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Bond Debt Service AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Bonds Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2038 2039 2040 2041

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

191,625 137,970 72.00% 344.90 29,054 2,859 953 1,660 3,389 (431) 1,100 38,583 16,109 (514) 15,595 3,441 19,548 860 860 430 17,397

191,888 138,159 72.00% 355.25 29,925 2,945 982 1,710 3,650 (444) 1,100 39,867 16,267 (514) 15,753 3,544 20,571 886 886 443 18,356

191,888 138,159 72.00% 365.90 30,823 3,033 1,011 1,762 3,925 (458) 1,100 41,196 16,424 (514) 15,910 3,650 21,636 913 913 456 19,354

191,625 137,970 72.00% 376.88 31,748 3,124 1,041 1,814 4,215 (471) 1,100 42,571 31,268 (15,201) 16,067 3,760 22,745 940 940 470 20,395

8,699 8,699 17,397 2.47 116,158

9,178 9,178 18,356 2.53 125,336

9,677 9,677 19,354 2.59 135,013

10,197 10,197 20,395 2.65 145,210

4,000 3,500 116,158 123,658 14,687 14,687 138,345 55,640 55,640

4,000 3,500 125,336 132,836 14,687 14,687 147,523 42,990 42,990

4,000 3,500 135,013 142,513 14,687 14,687 157,200 29,360 29,360

4,000 3,500 145,210 152,710 152,710 -

61

FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel Variable Rate Bond Scenario (City Backed Bonds) Sources and Uses of Funds (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 3
Sources of Funds Par Amount of Bonds Interest Earnings on Project Construction Fund City Contribution Operator Key Money Contribution Operator Guarantee TOTAL SOURCES OF FUNDS Uses of Funds Deposit to Project Construction Fund Deposit to Capitalized Interest (CIF) Fund Deposit to Debt Service Reserve Fund (DSRF) Costs of Issuance Operating Reserve Pre-opening Expense Interest Rate Cap (4%) Rounding Amount TOTAL USES OF FUNDS STATISTICS Ratings Dated Date True Interest Cost (TIC) All-In-Cost $ Total 186,340 3,580 17,661 1,000 2,000 210,581

161,721 22,147 12,477 2,795 3,000 5,365 3,075 2 210,581

AA-/A1 1/1/2010 5.271% 5.384%

62

FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel Variable Rate Scenario (Takeout of the City Bonds) Sources and Uses of Funds (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 3
Sources of Funds Par Amount of Bonds Reoffering Premium/Original Issue Discount TOTAL SOURCES OF FUNDS Uses of Funds Payoff of the Variable Rate Bonds Costs of Issuance Rounding Amount TOTAL USES OF FUNDS STATISTICS Ratings Dated Date True Interest Cost (TIC) All-In-Cost Weighted Average Maturity Hotel Opening Date Average Annual Net D/S ($ mils) Total Net D/S ($ mils) Debt Service Coverage DSC (Stabilized Year - 2015) $ $ Total 185,155 2,818 187,973

185,195 2,777 0 187,973

A3 1/1/2015 6.250% 6.384% 21.419 years 1/1/2012 13,525 437,365 1.42x-2.06x 1.50x

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 3
YEAR ENDING ROOM SUMMARY Available Rooms Occupied Rooms Occupancy Average Daily Rate TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES Variable Rate Bond Debt Service Hotel Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings HOTEL BOND/LOAN NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Hotel Bond/Loan Debt Service (Cumulative) AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Hotel Bonds/Loans Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

2017

2018

192,413 111,792 58.10% 138.31 7,429 927 563 309 30 (200) 9,058 9,597 (5,017) 4,580 584 3,894 3,894

191,625 122,640 64.00% 156.99 10,828 1,155 681 385 147 (206) 12,990 9,597 (437) 9,160 1,059 2,771 2,771

191,625 133,179 69.50% 169.59 13,567 1,355 787 452 197 (212) 16,147 10,742 (437) 10,305 1,632 4,210 4,210

191,888 138,159 72.00% 174.50 14,689 1,447 841 482 261 (219) 17,501

191,888 138,159 72.00% 180.00 15,163 1,492 867 497 322 (225) 18,116

191,625 137,970 72.00% 185.40 15,618 1,537 893 512 381 (232) 18,708

191,888 138,159 72.00% 190.96 16,086 1,583 919 528 445 (239) 19,322

12,072 (437) 11,635 1,742 4,124 4,124

12,194 (437) 11,758 1,796 4,563 449 224 3,889

12,316 (437) 11,879 1,850 4,979 462 231 4,286

12,440 (437) 12,003 1,905 5,414 476 238 4,700

1,000 2,894 2,894 1.98 -

606 1,082 1,082 2,771 1.42 1,082

2,105 2,105 4,210 1.57 3,187

2,062 2,062 4,124 1.50 5,249

1,945 1,945 3,889 1.54 7,194

2,143 2,143 4,286 1.57 9,337

2,350 2,350 4,700 1.61 11,687

4,000 2,894 6,894 12,477 12,477 19,371 186,340 186,340

4,000 3,500 1,082 8,582 12,477 12,477 21,059 186,340 186,340

4,000 3,500 3,187 10,687 12,477 12,477 23,164 185,195 185,195

4,000 3,500 5,249 12,749 12,477 12,477 25,226 179,345 179,345

4,000 3,500 7,194 14,694 12,477 12,477 27,171 178,480 178,480

4,000 3,500 9,337 16,837 12,477 12,477 29,314 177,450 177,450

4,000 3,500 11,687 19,187 12,477 12,477 31,664 176,245 176,245

63

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 3
YEAR ENDING ROOM SUMMARY Available Rooms Occupied Rooms Occupancy Average Daily Rate TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES Variable Rate Bond Debt Service Hotel Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings HOTEL BOND/LOAN NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Hotel Bond/Loan Debt Service (Cumulative) AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Hotel Bonds/Loans Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

2024

2025

191,888 138,159 72.00% 196.69 16,569 1,630 947 543 516 (246) 19,959

191,625 137,970 72.00% 202.59 17,066 1,679 975 560 593 (253) 20,620

191,888 138,159 72.00% 208.67 17,578 1,730 1,005 577 677 (261) 21,304

191,888 138,159 72.00% 214.93 18,105 1,782 1,035 594 760 (269) 22,006

191,625 137,970 72.00% 221.38 18,648 1,835 1,066 612 850 (277) 22,734

191,888 138,159 72.00% 228.02 19,208 1,890 1,098 630 948 (285) 23,488

191,888 138,159 72.00% 234.86 19,784 1,947 1,131 649 1,053 (294) 24,270

12,559 (437) 12,123 1,962 5,874 491 245 5,139

12,685 (437) 12,248 2,021 6,350 505 253 5,592

12,816 (437) 12,379 2,082 6,843 520 520 260 5,542

12,942 (437) 12,505 2,144 7,357 536 536 268 6,017

13,071 (437) 12,635 2,208 7,891 552 552 276 6,511

13,203 (437) 12,766 2,275 8,447 569 569 284 7,026

13,335 (437) 12,899 2,343 9,028 586 586 293 7,564

2,569 2,569 5,139 1.65 14,256

2,796 2,796 5,592 1.68 17,052

2,771 2,771 5,542 1.72 19,823

3,009 3,009 6,017 1.76 22,832

3,255 3,255 6,511 1.80 26,087

3,513 3,513 7,026 1.84 29,600

3,782 3,782 7,564 1.88 33,382

4,000 3,500 14,256 21,756 12,477 12,477 34,233 174,860 174,860

4,000 3,500 17,052 24,552 12,477 12,477 37,029 173,280 173,280

4,000 3,500 19,823 27,323 12,477 12,477 39,800 171,490 171,490

4,000 3,500 22,832 30,332 12,477 12,477 42,809 169,485 169,485

4,000 3,500 26,087 33,587 12,477 12,477 46,064 167,240 167,240

4,000 3,500 29,600 37,100 12,477 12,477 49,577 164,740 164,740

4,000 3,500 33,382 40,882 12,477 12,477 53,359 161,970 161,970

64

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 3
YEAR ENDING ROOM SUMMARY Available Rooms Occupied Rooms Occupancy Average Daily Rate TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES Variable Rate Bond Debt Service Hotel Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings HOTEL BOND/LOAN NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Hotel Bond/Loan Debt Service (Cumulative) AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Hotel Bonds/Loans Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

2031

2032

191,625 137,970 72.00% 241.90 20,378 2,005 1,165 668 1,166 (303) 25,080

191,888 138,159 72.00% 249.16 20,989 2,065 1,200 688 1,288 (312) 25,919

191,888 138,159 72.00% 256.64 21,619 2,127 1,235 709 1,419 (321) 26,789

191,625 137,970 72.00% 264.34 22,267 2,191 1,273 730 1,559 (331) 27,690

191,888 138,159 72.00% 272.27 22,935 2,257 1,311 752 1,708 (340) 28,623

191,888 138,159 72.00% 280.43 23,623 2,325 1,350 775 1,868 (351) 29,590

191,625 137,970 72.00% 288.85 24,332 2,394 1,391 798 2,038 (361) 30,592

13,469 (437) 13,032 2,413 9,634 603 603 302 8,126

13,600 (437) 13,163 2,486 10,270 621 621 311 8,717

13,737 (437) 13,300 2,560 10,928 640 640 320 9,328

13,878 (437) 13,442 2,637 11,611 659 659 330 9,963

14,013 (437) 13,576 2,716 12,331 679 679 340 10,633

14,152 (437) 13,716 2,798 13,077 699 699 350 11,328

14,294 (437) 13,857 2,882 13,853 720 720 360 12,052

4,063 4,063 8,126 1.92 37,445

4,358 4,358 8,717 1.97 41,803

4,664 4,664 9,328 2.01 46,467

4,981 4,981 9,963 2.06 51,449

5,317 5,317 10,633 2.11 56,765

5,664 5,664 11,328 2.16 62,429

6,026 6,026 12,052 2.21 68,455

4,000 3,500 37,445 44,945 12,477 12,477 57,422 158,900 158,900

4,000 3,500 41,803 49,303 12,477 12,477 61,780 155,515 155,515

4,000 3,500 46,467 53,967 12,477 12,477 66,444 151,790 151,790

4,000 3,500 51,449 58,949 12,477 12,477 71,425 147,700 147,700

4,000 3,500 56,765 64,265 12,477 12,477 76,742 143,230 143,230

4,000 3,500 62,429 69,929 12,477 12,477 82,406 138,330 138,330

4,000 3,500 68,455 75,955 12,477 12,477 88,432 132,970 132,970

65

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 3
YEAR ENDING ROOM SUMMARY Available Rooms Occupied Rooms Occupancy Average Daily Rate TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES Variable Rate Bond Debt Service Hotel Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings HOTEL BOND/LOAN NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Hotel Bond/Loan Debt Service (Cumulative) AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Hotel Bonds/Loans Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

2038

2039

191,888 138,159 72.00% 297.51 25,062 2,466 1,432 822 2,219 (372) 31,629

191,888 138,159 72.00% 306.44 25,814 2,540 1,475 847 2,411 (383) 32,703

191,625 137,970 72.00% 315.63 26,588 2,616 1,520 872 2,614 (395) 33,816

191,888 138,159 72.00% 325.10 27,386 2,695 1,565 898 2,831 (407) 34,968

191,888 138,159 72.00% 334.85 28,207 2,776 1,612 925 3,059 (419) 36,161

191,625 137,970 72.00% 344.90 29,054 2,859 1,660 953 3,302 (431) 37,396

191,888 138,159 72.00% 355.25 29,925 2,945 1,710 982 3,558 (444) 38,675

14,441 (437) 14,004 2,968 14,657 742 742 371 12,802

14,585 (437) 14,148 3,057 15,498 764 764 382 13,587

14,730 (437) 14,294 3,149 16,374 787 787 394 14,406

14,874 (437) 14,437 3,243 17,287 811 811 405 15,260

15,024 (437) 14,588 3,340 18,233 835 835 418 16,145

15,178 (437) 14,741 3,441 19,214 860 860 430 17,064

15,327 (437) 14,890 3,544 20,241 886 886 443 18,026

6,401 6,401 12,802 2.26 74,856

6,794 6,794 13,587 2.31 81,650

7,203 7,203 14,406 2.37 88,853

7,630 7,630 15,260 2.42 96,483

8,073 8,073 16,145 2.48 104,555

8,532 8,532 17,064 2.54 113,087

9,013 9,013 18,026 2.60 122,100

4,000 3,500 74,856 82,356 12,477 12,477 94,833 127,115 127,115

4,000 3,500 81,650 89,150 12,477 12,477 101,627 120,735 120,735

4,000 3,500 88,853 96,353 12,477 12,477 108,829 113,795 113,795

4,000 3,500 96,483 103,983 12,477 12,477 116,460 106,260 106,260

4,000 3,500 104,555 112,055 12,477 12,477 124,532 98,085 98,085

4,000 3,500 113,087 120,587 12,477 12,477 133,064 89,225 89,225

4,000 3,500 122,100 129,600 12,477 12,477 142,077 79,640 79,640

66

Cash Flow Summary


Hotel Project (Dollars in Thousands) Scenario 3
YEAR ENDING ROOM SUMMARY Available Rooms Occupied Rooms Occupancy Average Daily Rate TOTAL NET REVENUES (1) Adjusted Net Operating Income Transient Rental Tax (6.0%) City Sales Tax (2.0%) Convention Center Surcharge (2%) Total Investment Earnings Administrative Expenses TOTAL NET REVENUES CASH FLOW EXPENDITURES Variable Rate Bond Debt Service Hotel Bond Debt Service Cap Interest and DSRF Earnings HOTEL BOND/LOAN NET DEBT SERVICE FF&E Reserve Deposit (2%,3%,4%...) CASH FLOW REMAINING Subordinate Management Fee (1.0%) Subordinate FF&E Reserve Deposit (1% in 10th yr & out) Supersubordinate Management Fee (.5%) NET INCOME APPLICATION OF NET INCOME Deposit to Operating Reserve Fund Deposit to Cash Trap Fund Deposit to Sinking Fund Residual to Government TOTAL APPLICATIONS COVERAGE RATIOS Hotel Bond/Loan Debt Service (Cumulative) AGGREGATE TO GOVERNMENT OTHER RESERVE FUND BALANCES Operating Reserve Fund Cash Trap Fund Sinking Fund Total Reserve Fund Balances BOND FUNDED DEBT SERVICE RESERVES Debt Service Reserve Fund Total Bond Funded DSR TOTAL RESERVE FUND BALANCE PRINCIPAL BALANCES All Hotel Bonds/Loans Total Principal Balance (1) Operating Income Projections provided by Starwood. 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044

CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT

191,888 138,159 72.00% 365.90 30,823 3,033 1,762 1,011 3,828 (458) 39,999

191,625 137,970 72.00% 376.88 31,748 3,124 1,814 1,041 4,113 (471) 41,369

191,888 138,159 72.00% 388.19 32,700 3,218 1,869 1,073 4,414 (485) 42,788

191,888 138,159 72.00% 399.83 33,681 3,314 1,925 1,105 4,731 (500) 44,256

191,625 137,970 72.00% 411.83 34,691 3,414 1,983 1,138 5,065 (515) 45,776

15,479 (437) 15,042 3,650 21,306 913 913 456 19,025

15,636 (437) 15,199 3,760 22,411 940 940 470 20,061

15,793 (437) 15,357 3,873 23,559 968 968 484 21,139

15,948 (437) 15,512 3,989 24,756 997 997 499 22,263

35,104 (12,913) 22,190 4,108 19,477 1,027 1,027 514 16,910

9,512 9,512 19,025 2.66 131,613

10,030 10,030 20,061 2.72 141,643

10,569 10,569 21,139 2.79 152,212

11,131 11,131 22,263 2.85 163,344

8,455 8,455 16,910 2.06 171,799

4,000 3,500 131,613 139,113 12,477 12,477 151,589 69,280 69,280

4,000 3,500 141,643 149,143 12,477 12,477 161,620 58,090 58,090

4,000 3,500 152,212 159,712 12,477 12,477 172,189 46,015 46,015

4,000 3,500 163,344 170,844 12,477 12,477 183,321 33,000 33,000

4,000 3,500 171,799 179,299 12,477 12,477 191,775 -

67

Public/Private Model

Pre-Development Agreement Services DRAFT - CONFIDENTIAL

68

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Public Private Partnership Assumptions
Total Project Budget Amount Per Key Public Participation Public Financing Land Contribution Facilities Lease Participation on Sale Equity Participation Total Equity Preferred Return Pre-tax IRR Hotel Operator Participation Key Money Construction Loan Amount Loan to Cost Interest Rate Amortization Term Security $176,000,000 $335,238

$75,000,000 $0 $0 0.0%

$20,000,000 11.0% 29.0%

$1,000,000

$83,000,000 50.0% maximum 7.5% Interest only 5 years First lien on assets; Construction guarantee

Permanent Loan Amount Loan to Value Interest Rate Term Amortization Other Holding Period Cap Rate on Sale Inflation Factor

$86,000,000 75.0% 10 year treasuries + 300 basis points 10 years 30 years

10 years 10.0% 3.0%

Pre-Development Agreement Services Report

69

PUBLIC/PRIVATE FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY MODEL


I. PROJECT ASSUMPTIONS
1) Budget Assumptions: Hotel Rooms Project Cost: Hotel Land Other Total Cost Less: Land Contribution Operator Key Money Public Financing Net Private Financing 3) P&L Assumptions: CPI Inflation Factor Rooms Revenue % of Total Cap Rate on Sale Holding Period 4) Sensitivity Revenue / Expenses Occupancy Average Rate 5) City Participation Base Payment Cash Flow Participation Participation on Sale Private Capital Hurdle Rate 525 176,000,000 0 0 176,000,000 0 1,000,000 75,000,000 100,000,000 per room 335,238 $0.00 per s.f. 0 335,238 2) Private Financing Assumptions: Net Private Financing A) Equity Equity Amount Preferred Return (Cum) B) Permanent Loan: Loan to Value Valuation NOI Valuation Cap Rate Amount Rate Amortization Monthly Payment Annual Payment B) Construction Loan:: Rate Amortization Monthly Payment Annual Payment Debt / Total Cost C) Incentive Management Fee GOP Target Participation %

SHERATON TUCSON CONVENTION CENTER HOTEL

100,000,000 17,000,000 17,000,000 11.0%

56.8% of project cost

142,857 190,476

3.0% 55.3% (at stable occ) 10.0% 10 years

75.0% 11,191,000 9.5% 86,583,000 6.50% 30 547,263 6,567,161 83,000,000 7.50% 25 613,363 7,360,352 47.2% 47.2% of project cost (Interest only for 60 Mos.)

0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

$0 0.0% 10.0% 0.0%

N/A 0.0%

II. 10-YEAR P&L PROJECTION


2012 Year 1 --------------525 58.1% $138.31 $80.36 15,398,623 52.7% 29,220,000 --------------8,507,000 29.1% 6,844,000 23.4% 887,000 --------------5,957,000 20.4% 6,225,000 0.96 0 0.0% (268,000) --------------0 0.0% 29.0% 2013 Year 2 --------------525 64.0% $156.99 $100.47 19,253,254 54.5% 35,302,000 --------------12,217,000 34.6% 9,928,000 28.1% 911,000 --------------9,017,000 25.5% 6,225,000 1.45 0 0 --------------2,792,000 16.4% 2014 Year 3 --------------525 69.5% $169.59 $117.87 22,585,890 55.4% 40,790,000 --------------15,313,000 37.5% 12,129,000 29.7% 938,000 --------------11,191,000 27.4% 6,225,000 1.80 0 0 --------------4,966,000 29.2% 2015 Year 4 --------------525 72.0% $174.50 $125.64 24,075,765 55.3% 43,551,000 --------------16,534,000 38.0% 12,947,000 29.7% 966,000 --------------11,981,000 27.5% 0 6,567,161 1.82 0 --------------5,413,839 31.8% 2016 Year 5 --------------525 72.0% $180.00 $129.60 24,834,600 55.3% 44,892,000 --------------17,063,000 38.0% 13,367,000 29.8% 995,000 --------------12,372,000 27.6% 0 6,567,161 1.88 0 --------------5,804,839 34.1% 2017 Year 6 --------------525 72.0% $185.40 $133.49 25,579,638 55.3% 46,238,760 --------------17,574,890 38.0% 13,768,010 29.8% 1,024,850 --------------12,743,160 27.6% 0 6,567,161 1.94 0 --------------6,175,999 36.3% 2018 Year 7 --------------525 72.0% $190.96 $137.49 26,347,027 55.3% 47,625,923 --------------18,102,137 38.0% 14,181,050 29.8% 1,055,596 --------------13,125,455 27.6% 0 6,567,161 2.00 0 --------------6,558,293 38.6% 2019 Year 8 --------------525 72.0% $196.69 $141.62 27,137,438 55.3% 49,054,700 --------------18,645,201 38.0% 14,606,482 29.8% 1,087,263 --------------13,519,218 27.6% 0 6,567,161 2.06 0 --------------6,952,057 40.9% 2020 Year 9 --------------525 72.0% $202.59 $145.87 27,951,561 55.3% 50,526,341 --------------19,204,557 38.0% 15,044,676 29.8% 1,119,881 --------------13,924,795 27.6% 0 6,567,161 2.12 0 --------------7,357,634 43.3% 2021 Year 10 --------------525 72.0% $208.67 $150.24 28,790,108 55.3% 52,042,132 --------------19,780,694 38.0% 15,496,017 29.8% 1,153,478 --------------14,342,539 27.6% 0 6,567,161 2.18 0 --------------7,775,377 45.7% 2022 Sale ---------------

Rooms Occupancy Average Rate RevPAR Room Revenue % of Total Revenue Total Revenue Gross Operating Profit % of Total Revenue NOI before Real Estate Taxes Real Estate Taxes Net Hotel Cash Flow % of Total Revenue Debt Service - Construction Loan DSC Ratio Debt Service - Permanent Loan DSC Ratio Additional Cap[italized Interest Cash Available for Distribution Cash on Cash Leveraged Return Leveraged IRR

140,556,881

--------------140,556,881 0 78,745,117

--------------61,811,763

70

Section VII: Exhibits


Project Budget Comparison Narrative Budget Comparison - Completed Projects Budget Comparison - New Projects Percentage Changes in Producer Price Indexes (2001-2009)

71

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Project Budget Comparison Narrative

Project Budget Comparison Narrative

Cost comparisons between convention center headquarters hotels in different cities are difficult and can often be misleading. The typical comparison of cost per key (room) is affected by timing of contract buyout, geographic location, total amount of meeting space, etc. The schedule that follows shows the actual cost per room for several recently completed convention center headquarters hotels and attempts to adjust them to be comparable to the projected cost of the Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel. Our schedule adjusts the cost of each hotel, exclusive of land, financing costs and parking costs, by an inflation adjusted time factor and a geographic location adjustment factor. In addition to the cost comparison to other completed headquarters hotels, we also wanted to compare the Sheraton Tucson to two other recently budgeted headquarters hotels, Portland and Dallas. The schedule comparing the cost per key for these hotels is shown immediately following the completed hotel comparison.

Pre-Development Agreement Services Report


72

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Budget Comparison Completed Projects

Project Location Start Date Year Cost Index

Sheraton Phoenix Dec. 2005 Amount* 247,000,000

Sheraton Puerto Rico Aug. 2006 Amount 144,104,000

Sheraton Tucson Q1 2010 Amount 167,428,450

Hyatt Denver Jun. 2003 Amount** 267,500,000 268,839,105 294,378,820 325,582,975 351,381,908 373,969,564 352,391,520 352,391,520 320,000 109.5 386,010,481 1,100 351,000

Hilton Baltimore Feb. 2006 Amount 213,600,000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Q1 2010 Base Cost

5.40% 9.50% 10.60% 7.70% 6.30% -5.77% 0.00%

247,000,000 273,182,000 294,828,722 313,781,006 295,675,842 295,675,842 296,000 102.8 303,832,417 1,000 304,000

159,101,238 169,328,639 159,558,377 159,558,377 319,000 99.2 158,274,574 500 317,000

167,428,450 319,000 100.0 167,428,450 525 319,000

236,241,600 254,961,194 271,350,700 255,693,764 255,693,764 338,000 105.2 268,919,304 756 356,000

Time Adjusted Cost/Key (Rounded) Relative Location Factor Location Adjusted Cost Key Count Location Adjusted Cost/Key (Rounded)

* **

Source: Parsons website http://www.parsons.com/about/press_rm/potm/11-2008/index.html retrieved 4/15/09 minus 500 spaces of underground parking assuming $30K/space. Source: http://www.hotelmanagement-network.com/projects/hyatt_denver/ retrieved 4/22/09 minus 600 spaces of underground parking assuming $30K/space. Source: Official Statement Dated June 11, 2001, Austin Convention Center Enterprises, Inc., Convention Center Hotel First Tier Revenue Bonds, Series 2001A.

Pre-Development Agreement Services

73

Sheraton Tucson Convention Center Hotel


Hotel Budget Comparison Tucson, Portland, and Dallas

Unadjusted Preliminary Project Budget Less Adjustments (See Note): 1. Parking reduction 2. Retail reduction 3. Traffic Light reduction 4. Transaction privilege tax 5. Pre-opening budget 6. Building permit Adjusted Preliminary Project Budget Number of Rooms Adjusted Budget per Room

Tucson $167,085,850 0 0 0 7,330,000 5,365,000 2,262,000 $152,128,850 525 $289,769

Portland $197,226,000 4,320,000 688,000 878,000 0 0 0 $191,340,000 597 $320,503

Dallas $346,055,154 0 0 0 0 0 0 $346,055,154 1000 $346,055

Note: These adjustments were made to remove line items that are not in the other project budgets

Pre-Development Agreement Services

74

Percentage Changes in Producer Price Indexes (PPIs) for Construction Materials and Components, 2001-2009 12 months through December-2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Table 1: Changes in Consumer, Producer & Construction Prices CUUR0000SA0 Consumer price index (CPI-U) 2.4 1.9 3.3 3.4 2.5 4.1 0.1 WPUSOP3000 Producer price index (PPI) for finished goods 1.2 4.0 4.2 5.4 1.1 6.2 -0.9 PCUBCON PPI for inputs to construction industries 0.7 3.0 9.1 8.2 4.6 4.8 2.7 PCUBHWY PPI for inputs to highway and street construction 1.0 2.6 10.8 14.1 6.2 10.1 -0.8 PCUBHVY PPI for inputs to other heavy construction 1.0 2.6 13.4 8.8 5.5 6.9 1.4 PCUBBLD PPI for inputs to nonresidential buildings 0.7 2.4 9.3 7.4 4.0 4.8 2.2 PCUBRSM PPI for inputs to multi-unit residential 0.4 2.7 8.9 7.8 4.9 3.8 2.9 PCUBRS1 PPI for inputs to single-unit residential 0.6 3.5 7.0 6.9 4.2 2.5 4.9 Table 2: Changes in PPIs for New Buildings and Components PCU236211 New industrial building construction 7.6 n.a. before 2008; series began 6/07 PCU236221 New warehouse construction 7.5 8.1 4.5 6.3 n.a. before 2005 n.a.; series began 12/05 PCU236222 New school construction 17.3 2.0 12.7 PCU236223 New office construction 4.8 6.1 not available; series began 6/06 PCU23811X Concrete contractors, nonresidential building work n.a. before 2008; series began 12/07 5.0 PCU23816X Roofing contractors, nonresidential building work n.a. before 2008; series began 12/07 13.0 PCU23821X Electrical contractors, nonresidential building work n.a. before 2008; series began 12/07 5.1 PCU23822X Plumbing contractors, nonresidential building work n.a. before 2008; series began 12/07 9.2 Table 3: Changes in PPIs for Specific Construction Inputs WPU057303 #2 diesel fuel 54.4 WPU05810112 Asphalt (at refinery) n.a. WPU139401 Asphalt paving mixtures and blocks 2.0 WPU136 Asphalt felts and coatings -0.6 WPU1361 Prepared asphalt & tar roofing & siding products -1.7 WPU133 WPU1331 WPU1332 WPU1333 WPU1334 WPU1335 WPU1342 WPU072106 WPU137 WPU1392 WPUSI004011 WPU062101 WPU1017 WPU101704 WPU101706 WPU102502 WPU102501 WPU1073 WPU107405 WPU10740501 WPU107408 WPU107409 WPU1076 WPU1079 WPU112 Concrete products Concrete block and brick Concrete pipe Ready-mixed concrete Precast concrete products Prestressed concrete products Brick and structural clay tile Plastic construction products Gypsum products Insulation materials Lumber and plywood Architectural coatings Steel mill products Hot-rolled bars, plates, & structural shapes Steel pipe and tube Copper and brass mill shapes Aluminum mill shapes Sheet metal products Fabricated structural metal Fabricated structural metal for buildings Architectural and ornamental metalwork Fabricated iron & steel pipe, tube, & fittings Fabricated steel plate Prefabricated metal buildings Construction machinery and equipment -0.3 1.6 1.7 -1.1 0.3 1.8 1.9 3.1 3.4 -1.5 1.4 0.6 11.1 2.1 9.1 -1.6 -0.9 2.0 -2.4 -3.3 3.7 0.1 -1.0 4.0 1.9 BLS Series ID to February 2009 since-1/09 11/08 2/08 12/03 0.5 -0.1 -0.6 -0.5 -1.5 -0.7 -0.6 -0.3 -0.1 0.2 -1.2 -1.3 -3.4 0.5 -5.5 -2.5 -5.3 -2.4 -3.4 -0.1 -2.5 1.1 -2.0 3.1 15.1 17.7 31.6 46.4 38.3 29.5 30.4 27.2

-0.1 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 -0.3 0.0 -0.4 -0.1

1.6 8.9 1.0 7.3 3.8 11.6 1.3 7.3 0.6 5.0 3.5 13.4 0.7 4.7 1.9 8.7

n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.

13.0 10.0 3.7 6.3 5.3 1.5 3.2 1.4 1.1 2.5 -0.2 0.7 3.2 2.8 2.0 13.1 3.9 1.7 11.3 3.3 11.6 -0.5 0.6 0.1 -0.1 0.7 1.2 0.6 -0.7 1.3

37.9 18.3 4.3 4.1 4.6 7.6 4.7 5.5 8.7 6.0 8.2 3.0 7.2 20.0 8.6 5.0 5.3 48.8 53.8 66.0 29.6 9.9 15.2 24.7 20.0 23.5 32.6 7.6 35.5 6.0

46.7 17.8 14.3 15.3 16.2 10.1 8.1 7.5 11.3 6.0 14.3 9.4

2.3 34.9 27.6 5.0 5.2 8.1 6.8 2.5 10.1 4.7 4.9 6.0

33.9 -36.9 -0.2 48.3 1.6 33.3 1.4 51.7 2.3 50.7 3.8 3.3 10.0 3.1 4.7 2.2 0.0 4.2 4.6 4.2 4.1 4.5 4.6 0.3 3.3 7.3 1.0 -7.1 16.6

-11.3 -2.0 -1.1 3.1 7.3 -0.1 0.7 0.3 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.4 -0.1 -1.1 0.7 -0.8 0.0 -6.1 -2.9 -2.9 -1.8 -4.2 -1.2 -2.0 -2.9 -1.5 -3.7 -2.1 -6.7 0.3

-35.3 -49.4 -39.8 -8.6 -14.8 20.1 -0.6 56.2 5.0 64.3 1.3 1.0 0.5 2.0 0.6 -4.2 0.2 -1.4 0.0 0.4 -4.1 5.3 4.8 4.7 3.7 5.6 3.6 0.2 0.4 3.4 7.8 1.7 -7.1 12.3

48.4 109.4 91.5 94.8 106.5 40.6 31.7 34.0 46.0 29.0 32.7 20.2 34.6 25.1 11.6 -16.6 48.3 50.2 73.5 106.6 69.4 6.5 31.0 48.2 40.6 60.5 45.5 45.5 72.1 24.7

21.6 -0.7 0.4 18.8 5.5 -22.1 2.6 2.1 -3.5 -1.1 -10.8 -0.7 9.2 6.3 4.2 -3.8 -1.0 1.2 31.0 5.0 0.4 2.8 3.1 3.1 5.5 0.6 2.0 4.9 11.6 7.5 5.5 44.4 12.7 6.5 3.6 3.3 4.9 -2.8 8.6 5.5 3.6

0.9 5.3 8.1 4.3 -1.3 28.6 -3.0 -24.3 -1.7 -5.9 0.2 7.8 5.3 11.4 4.7 7.6 2.0 22.8 -1.5 12.3 5.7 23.2 2.0 25.0 2.3 5.3

-22.5 -9.8 -12.9 -7.5 -11.8 -12.1 -14.9 -33.7 -15.7 -16.4 -2.9 5.1 -6.0 4.0 -2.9 3.2 -4.5 16.9 -3.1 7.9 -5.0 6.7 -8.4 11.6 0.8 4.9

Table 4: Changes in PPIs for Basic Inputs Important to Construction WPU056 Crude petroleum (domestic production) 60.6 14.3 WPU0553 Industrial natural gas 12.2 20.3 WPU066 Plastic resins and materials 9.2 6.4 WPU1321 Construction sand/gravel/crushed stone 2.5 2.4 WPU1322 Cement 1.3 -1.1 WPU1011 WPU1012 WPU101212 WPU102102 WPU102301 Iron ore Iron and steel scrap Stainless and alloy steel scrap Copper ores Copper base scrap -1.3 27.8 3.6 11.2 1.6 64.9 not 37.4 30.7

30.5 20.1 28.6 4.3 7.9

49.6 0.1 31.5 -13.2 10.8 -7.8 7.7 9.3 12.2 10.5 7.5 2.9 53.1 50.0

51.7 -57.9 -2.8 4.3 9.7 -5.6 8.4 6.6 4.4 -0.6 1.3 29.4 -7.8 -1.7 3.1 12.1 -40.7 n.a. n.a. -52.7

2.5 -8.0 2.5 0.9 -1.1 1.9 -2.6

-38.1 -63.7 -9.9 -7.5 -11.3 -8.5 2.3 6.3 -0.4 -0.5

11.9 27.0 33.1 45.1 38.9 58.7 26.2 80.8 62.2

6.7 15.5 50.8 -10.8 available 65.1 39.3 34.5 51.9

5.4 14.0 35.1 -42.6 not available 4.2 -31.0 -55.4 11.3 3.0 -53.8

Updated 3/18/09 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS): www.bls.gov/cpi for CPI, www.bls.gov/ppi for PPIs Compiled by Ken Simonson (simonsonk@agc.org), Chief Economist, Associated General Contractors of America, www.agc.org
75

Change in Producer Prices for Construction vs. Consumer Prices, 2003 - 2009 (December 2003 = 100) Feb. 2009

Source: BLS (CPI, PPI)


76

Producer Price Indexes, 2007 - 2009


Inputs to construction industries
Change from 2/08-2/09: 0.5%

Highway & street construction


Change from 2/08-2/09: -2.5%

Other heavy construction


Change from 2/08-2/09: -2.4%

Nonresidential buildings
Change from 2/08-2/09: -0.1%

77

Producer Price Indexes, 2007 - 2009


No. 2 Diesel Fuel
Change from 2/08-2/09: -49.4%

Steel Mill Products


Change from 2/08-2/09: -9.8%

Asphalt Paving Mixtures & Blocks


Change from 2/08-2/09: 20.1%

Concrete Products
Change from 2/08-2/09: 4.8%

78

Producer Price Indexes, 2007 - 2009


Copper & Brass Mill Shapes
Change from 2/08-2/09: -33.7%

Aluminum Mill Shapes


Change from 2/08-2/09: -16.4%

Gypsum Products
Change from 2/08-2/09: 7.8%

Lumber and Plywood


Change from 2/08-2/09: -7.1%

79

Ken Simonson Chief Economist Associated General Contractors of America simonsonk@agc.org, 703-837-5313 www.agc.org

80

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