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MERDEKA CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH 901B Diamond Complex, 43650 Bandar Baru Bangi, Selangor, MALAYSIA
Tel: 603 8210 1488/1499 Fax: 603 8210 1466 Email: info@merdeka.org Web: www.merdeka.org
Methodology
411 voters aged 21 and above were interviewed via telephone (fixed and mobile)
The survey respondents were selected from Parliament Kota Kinabalu and Penampang only
Voters were selected through random stratified sampling method along the lines of ethnicity, gender, age and state constituency
Survey margin of error estimated at 4.83% The survey was conducted between 14th March and 20th March 2012
Note: Total percentages presented may or may not add up to 100% due to rounding up of figures
Gender
Male Female None Islam
Religion
Buddhism 25 13 Christianity Taoist
12 48 55 33 52
55
24
Ethnicity Group
Chinese Kadazan/Dusun Malay Bajau Others
Age
52 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 > 60
26 14 22
7
19 27 15 17 15
34 4 1
3,001-5,000
20
>5,001
18
Refuse/Unsure
Voting Status
Every election Every other election Never voted before
Education Level
No formal education Primary school Secondary school
18
52 29 15 14
Self employed
Homemaker Retired Students/Unemployed
21
10
49 18 21
10
69
Internet Access
With internet access Without internet access Urban
Setting
Rural Likas
DUN
18 13 23 27 20
Api-api
39 59
26
Luyang
74
Kapayan Moyog
Direction of Sabah
Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012
Direction of Sabah
Right Direction Wrong Direction Unsure Refuse
3%
7%
51%
39%
Q: Considering the condition of Sabah state today, how strongly would you say the things are heading in the right or wrong direction?
Direction of Sabah
RIGHT DIRECTION (n=209) Rapid or good development/good condition of infrastructure
Peaceful condition in the country/state Improving economic conditions Quality of national leadership Government takescare of people WRONG DIRECTION (n=160) Rising cost of living No/less development Illegal immigrant issue Poverty Unfavourable economic condition Quality of national leadership Job opportunities
Top 5 reasons for Right vs Wrong direction of the Sabah along ethnicity
Total
33% 15% 12% 6% 2% Total 21% 14% 9% 9% 6% 4% 3% Muslim Bumiputera 38% 8% 15% 15% 3% Muslim Bumiputera 13% 38% 13% 13% 13% Non Muslim Bumiputera 37% 7% 21% 7% 4% Non Muslim Bumiputera 7% 21% 14% 7% 7% 2% 2%
Chinese
29% 25% 3% 1% 1% Chinese 27% 9% 7% 11% 7% 5% 3%
27% 8% 8% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3%
16% 2% 16% 4% 4% 8%
34% 5% 7% 8% 4% 3% 4%
25% 12% 6% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3%
6% 4%
3% 3%
Crime
3%
2%
2%
4%
Q: In your view, what is the most important problem that needs solving in Sabah today?
Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012
Expectations on government
ISSUES
Price hike & inflation Illegal immigrants issue Corruption Unfavourable economic condition Welfare to the people Infrastructure development Oil loyalty State autonomy No/Less development Religious freedom
FIRST
SECOND
TOTAL
6% 21% 14% 8% 8% 4% 5% 1% 4% 2%
Political instability
Job opportunities
1%
1%
3%
7%
4%
8%
Q: Among the issues below, choose TWO main issues that you think need to be resolve soon in Sabah?
10
Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
81
57
54 39 38
55
40
16
Job opportunities
Q: How far are you satisfied/ dissatisfied with issues relating to the current Sabah states economy?
12
Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012
56
42 48 47
60 40 43
53
59 49 43
52
32
37
33
38
31
KK
MB
NMB
Chinese
MB
NMB
Chinese
Job opportunities
Satisfied 60 51 40 36 42 51 48 37 33 36 36 26
MB
Dissatisfied 58 61 60 80
Dissatisfied 82 67 85 81 83 68 83 82
82
15
NMB
14
Chinese
NMB
Chinese
KK Penampang Likas
Q: How far are you satisfied/ dissatisfied with issues relating to the current Sabah states economy? MB=Muslim Bumiputera; NMB=Non Muslim Bumiputera
Election Issues
State Autonomy
3.35
3.18
3.50
3.29
Corruption
3.79
3.96
3.92
3.66
Economic Development
3.71
3.90
3.83
3.59
Racial Equality
3.59
3.64
3.77
3.48
Oil Royalty
3.54
3.57
3.69
3.44
Average
3.60
3.65
3.74
3.49
Q: Please rank the following issues in degree of importance (1 being most important, 5 being least important) MB=Muslim Bumiputera; NMB=Non Muslim Bumiputera
15
2%
4%
6%
8%
10% 11%
12%
6% 6% 4% 4%
4%
3% 3% 2% 2%
Q: In your view, what is the most important issue that needs to be discussed/debated in the coming election?
6%
4%
31%
17%
BN is the only party that can provide for the needs of the Sabah people
26%
14%
59%
Others parties should be given a chance to prove their abilities to lead the people of Sabah
Q: Which one is closer to your opinion BN is the only party that can provide for the needs of the Sabah people Or Others parties should be given a chance to prove their abilities to lead the people of Sabah
33%
Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012
38% 26%
Q: Between Federal opposition political parties like DAP/PAS/PKR and Sabah-state opposition political parties like SAPP/UBF, which do you think can better safeguard Sabahans interest?
Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012
7%
15%
23% Disagree
24%
46% Agree
31%
12% 11%
Q: How strongly do you agree or disagree that SAPP/UBF should cooperate with Pakatan Rakyat in the coming election?
Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012
1% 2%4%
6%
8% Disagree
54% 34%
88% Agree
Q : How strongly do you agree or disagree to setup a Royal Commission of Inquiry (RCI) to investigate the alleged immigrants problem in Sabah?
Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012
8%
Disagree (n=31)
23 22
RCI cannot solve the PATI issues-RCI just an act
32
16
11
8
3 3 1
PATI may generate economy of Sabah
19
Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012
6% 5%
10%
45% Dissatisfied
15%
44% Satisfied
34%
30%
Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of BN state government in managing Sabah today?
Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012
6%
11%
8%
41% Dissatisfied
15%
35%
43% Satisfied
26%
Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Musa Aman as the Chief Minister of Sabah today?
Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012
6% 12%
4%
20%
30% Dissatisfied
18%
60% Satisfied
40%
Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Razak as Prime Minister?