From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling To: Interested Parties Subject: Maryland Same-Sex Marriage Referendum

Date: 5-24-2012 A new Public Policy Polling survey in Maryland finds a significant increase in support for same-sex marriage among African American voters following President Obamas historic announcement two weeks ago. The referendum to keep the states new law legalizing same-sex marriage now appears likely to pass by a healthy margin. Here are some key findings: -57% of Maryland voters say theyre likely to vote for the new marriage law this fall, compared to only 37% who are opposed. That 20 point margin of passage represents a 12 point shift from an identical PPP survey in early March, which found it ahead by a closer 52/44 margin. -The movement over the last two months can be explained almost entirely by a major shift in opinion about same-sex marriage among black voters. Previously 56% said they would vote against the new law with only 39% planning to uphold it. Those numbers have now almost completely flipped, with 55% of African Americans planning to vote for the law and only 36% now opposed. -The big shift in attitudes toward same-sex marriage among black voters in Maryland is reflective of whats happening nationally right now. A new ABC/Washington Post poll finds 59% of African Americans across the country supportive of same-sex marriage. A PPP poll in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania last weekend found a shift of 19 points in favor of same-sex marriage among black voters. While the media has been focused on what impact President Obamas announcement will have on his own reelection prospects, the more important fallout may be the impact his position is having on public opinion about same-sex marriage itself. Maryland voters were already prepared to support marriage equality at the polls this fall even before President Obamas announcement. But now it appears that passage will come by a much stronger margin. Public Policy Polling surveyed 852 likely voters, including an oversample of 398 African Americans, on behalf of Marylanders for Marriage Equality between May 14th and 21st. The surveys overall margin of error is +/-3.4% and for the African American sample it is +/-4.9%.
Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com

Maryland Survey Results

Q1 What are the chances you will be voting in the election for president, U.S. senator, and other offices in November 2012--are you 100% certain to vote in that election, quite likely to vote in that election, just somewhat likely to vote in that election, or not likely to vote in that election?
100% likely to vote.......................................... 97% Quite likely to vote .......................................... 3% Just somewhat likely to vote ........................... 0% Not likely to vote ............................................. 0% Not sure .......................................................... 0%

Q4

The state legislature recently approved a law allowing gay and lesbian couples to legally marry in Maryland, and there is likely to be a statewide referendum in the November election on whether to keep the law. If the election were held today, do you think you would vote for or vote against the law allowing gay and lesbian couples to legally marry?
Would vote for the law and feel strongly ......... 46% Would vote for the law but don't feel strongly . 11% Would vote against the law and feel strongly.. 36% Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly ........................................................... 1% Not sure .......................................................... 6%

Q2

If the candidates for President were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama................................................ 58% Mitt Romney.................................................... 35% Not sure .......................................................... 6%

Q5

Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative?
Liberal ............................................................. 26% Moderate......................................................... 43% Conservative................................................... 27% Not sure .......................................................... 3%

Q3

Generally speaking, do you think marriages between same-sex couples should or should not be recognized by the law as valid, with the same legal rights as traditional marriages in areas such as inheritance and hospital visits?
They should be recognized ............................. 52% They should not .............................................. 39% Not sure .......................................................... 9%

Q6

Are you registered to vote as a Democrat, Republican, or something else?

Democrat ........................................................ 58% Republican...................................................... 26% Something else ............................................... 13% Not sure .......................................................... 3%

Q7

Regardless of how you may be registered, how would you describe your overall point of view in terms of the political parties? Would you say that you are a Democrat, a Republican, or an independent?
Democrat ........................................................ 46% Republican...................................................... 22% Independent.................................................... 30% Not sure .......................................................... 2%

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

Survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Q8

What is your gender?

Woman ........................................................... 52% Man................................................................. 48%

Q13 Are you currently single and never married, unmarried and living with a partner, married, separated, widowed, or divorced?
Single, never married...................................... 12% Unmarried, living with partner ......................... 6% Married............................................................ 63% Separated ....................................................... 2% Widowed ......................................................... 7% Divorced.......................................................... 6% Not sure .......................................................... 5%

Q9

And to ensure a representative sample, are you from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background?
Yes.................................................................. 3% No ................................................................... 94% Not sure .......................................................... 3%

Q10 What is your race?

White .............................................................. 67% African-American ............................................ 25% Other............................................................... 8%

Q14 Are you the parent or legal guardian of any children under age 18?
Yes.................................................................. 32% No ................................................................... 60% Not sure .......................................................... 8%

Q11 What is your age?

18 to 29........................................................... 16% 30 to 45........................................................... 30% 46 to 65........................................................... 39% Older than 65 .................................................. 15%

Q12 What is your religion: Protestant, Catholic, Jewish, another religion, or do you not have a religion?
Protestant ....................................................... 34% Catholic........................................................... 28% Jewish............................................................. 7% Another religion............................................... 19% Don't have a religion ....................................... 11% Not sure .......................................................... 2%

Q15 What is the last grade that you completed in school: some high school or less, high school graduate, some college but no degree, vocational training or a two-year college degree, a four-year college or bachelors degree, some postgraduate work but no degree, two or three years postgraduate work or a masters degree, or a doctoral or law degree?
Some high school or less................................ 2% High school graduate ...................................... 10% Some college but no degree ........................... 18% Vocational training/Two-year degree............... 11% Four-year degree ............................................ 21% Some postgrad work ....................................... 5% Two/three years' postgrad work/Masters ........ 19% Doctoral/law degree ........................................ 6% Not sure .......................................................... 8%

Q16 Region
Western Maryland (301 Area Code) ............... 50% Eastern Maryland (410 Area Code) ................ 50%

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

Survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Not Base Liberal Moderate Conservative sure Obam a/Rom ney Barack Obam a 58% Mitt Rom ney 35% Not sure 6% 89% 6% 5% 64% 28% 8% 22% 76% 2% 40% 31% 28%

Party Registration Base Dem ocrat Republican Obam a/Rom ney Barack Obam a 58% Mitt Rom ney 35% Not sure 6% 83% 14% 3% 13% 83% 4% 44% 46% 11% 34% 4% 62% Som ething Not else sure

Party ID Not Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent sure Obam a/Rom ney Barack Obam a 58% Mitt Rom ney 35% Not sure 6% 91% 6% 3% 10% 88% 2% 46% 43% 11% 36% 19% 45%

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Obam a/Rom ney Barack Obam a 58% Mitt Rom ney 35% Not sure 6% 64% 31% 5% 52% 40% 8% Man

Hispanic/Spanish-speaking Background? Base Obam a/Rom ney Barack Obam a 58% Mitt Rom ney 35% Not sure 6% 46% 54% 58% 36% 6% 64% 18% 18% Yes Not No sure

Race AfricanBase White Am erican Other Obam a/Rom ney Barack Obam a 58% Mitt Rom ney 35% Not sure 6% 46% 47% 7% 90% 8% 2% 65% 20% 15%

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base Obam a/Rom ney Barack Obam a 58% Mitt Rom ney 35% Not sure 6% 61% 36% 3% 68% 25% 7% 53% 39% 8% 48% 47% 5% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Religion Another Don't have Not Base Protestant Catholic Jew ish religion a religion sure Obam a/Rom ney Barack Obam a 58% Mitt Rom ney 35% Not sure 6% 56% 36% 8% 42% 53% 5% 67% 31% 2% 73% 23% 4% 80% 15% 6% 44% 26% 31%

Relationship Status Base Obam a/Rom ney Barack Obam a 58% Mitt Rom ney 35% Not sure 6% 78% 20% 2% 55% 40% 6% 56% 38% 6% 61% 36% 3% 53% 40% 6% 49% 41% 10% 57% 22% 20% Single, never Unm arried, living Not m arried w ith partner Married Separated Widow ed Divorced sure

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Parent of Child Under 18? Base Obam a/Rom ney Barack Obam a 58% Mitt Rom ney 35% Not sure 6% 63% 34% 4% 57% 38% 5% 51% 25% 24% Yes Not No sure

Education Som e high High school Som e college Vocational training/Tw o- Four-year Som e postgrad Tw o/three years' Doctoral/law Not graduate but no degree year degree degree w ork postgrad w ork/Masters degree sure Base school or less Obam a/Rom ney Barack Obam a 58% Mitt Rom ney 35% Not sure 6% 64% 29% 8% 50% 45% 5% 54% 43% 4% 55% 39% 6% 59% 35% 6% 52% 36% 12% 67% 30% 4% 65% 33% 2% 57% 24% 19%

Region Base Obam a/Rom ney Barack Obam a 58% Mitt Rom ney 35% Not sure 6% 67% 26% 6% 49% 45% 6% Western Maryland Eastern Maryland (301 Area Code) (410 Area Code)

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Not Base Liberal Moderate Conservative sure Should Sam e-sex Marriages Have Sam e Rt's as Other Marriages? They should be 52% recognized They should not 39% Not sure 9% 83% 11% 6% 57% 34% 9% 17% 75% 8% 39% 25% 37%

Party Registration Base Dem ocrat Republican Should Sam e-sex Marriages Have Sam e Rt's as Other Marriages? They should be 52% recognized They should not 39% Not sure 9% 66% 28% 6% 29% 63% 8% 48% 40% 12% 17% 23% 60% Som ething Not else sure

Party ID Not Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent sure Should Sam e-sex Marriages Have Sam e Rt's as Other Marriages? They should be 52% recognized They should not 39% Not sure 9% 72% 21% 7% 20% 71% 9% 48% 42% 11% 26% 33% 41%

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Should Sam e-sex Marriages Have Sam e Rt's as Other Marriages? They should be 52% recognized They should not 39% Not sure 9% 56% 35% 9% 48% 43% 9% Man

Hispanic/Spanish-speaking Background? Base Should Sam e-sex Marriages Have Sam e Rt's as Other Marriages? They should be 52% recognized They should not 39% Not sure 9% 40% 60% 53% 39% 9% 49% 20% 32% Yes Not No sure

Race AfricanBase White Am erican Other Should Sam e-sex Marriages Have Sam e Rt's as Other Marriages? They should be 52% recognized They should not 39% Not sure 9% 51% 42% 7% 55% 34% 11% 57% 22% 21%

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base Should Sam e-sex Marriages Have Sam e Rt's as Other Marriages? They should be 52% recognized They should not 39% Not sure 9% 58% 39% 3% 54% 32% 14% 52% 40% 8% 43% 48% 9% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Religion Another Don't have Not Base Protestant Catholic Jew ish religion a religion sure Should Sam e-sex Marriages Have Sam e Rt's as Other Marriages? They should be 52% recognized They should not 39% Not sure 9% 46% 47% 8% 42% 43% 14% 74% 22% 4% 55% 40% 5% 83% 9% 8% 31% 38% 31%

Relationship Status Base Should Sam e-sex Marriages Have Sam e Rt's as Other Marriages? They should be 52% recognized They should not 39% Not sure 9% 62% 30% 8% 58% 42% 52% 40% 8% 25% 75% 43% 43% 13% 53% 39% 8% 43% 22% 36% Single, never Unm arried, living Not m arried w ith partner Married Separated Widow ed Divorced sure

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Parent of Child Under 18? Base Should Sam e-sex Marriages Have Sam e Rt's as Other Marriages? They should be 52% recognized They should not 39% Not sure 9% 60% 35% 5% 51% 41% 8% 31% 38% 31% Yes Not No sure

Education Som e high High school Som e college Vocational training/Tw o- Four-year Som e postgrad Tw o/three years' Doctoral/law Not graduate but no degree year degree degree w ork postgrad w ork/Masters degree sure Base school or less Should Sam e-sex Marriages Have Sam e Rt's as Other Marriages? They should be 52% recognized They should not 39% Not sure 9% 26% 56% 18% 38% 56% 5% 48% 45% 7% 58% 35% 7% 55% 36% 9% 55% 34% 11% 60% 34% 6% 72% 27% 1% 35% 31% 34%

Region Base Should Sam e-sex Marriages Have Sam e Rt's as Other Marriages? They should be 52% recognized They should not 39% Not sure 9% 57% 36% 7% 48% 41% 11% Western Maryland Eastern Maryland (301 Area Code) (410 Area Code)

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Not Base Liberal Moderate Conservative sure SSM Referendum Would vote for the 46% law and feel strongly Would vote for the 11% law but don't feel strongly Would vote against 36% the law and feel strongly Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly Not sure 1% 74% 9% 50% 13% 13% 11% 34% 2%

11%

28%

73%

32%

3%

1%

2%

4%

6%

3%

8%

2%

28%

Party Registration Base Dem ocrat Republican SSM Referendum Would vote for the 46% law and feel strongly Would vote for the 11% law but don't feel strongly Would vote against 36% the law and feel strongly Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly Not sure 1% 59% 12% 22% 11% 41% 12% 17% Som ething Not else sure

24%

62%

39%

23%

1%

2%

3%

6%

4%

3%

6%

60%

Party ID Not Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent sure SSM Referendum Would vote for the 46% law and feel strongly Would vote for the 11% law but don't feel strongly Would vote against 36% the law and feel strongly Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly Not sure 1% 65% 12% 15% 13% 42% 10% 26% 3%

16%

68%

41%

25%

2%

2%

8%

6%

6%

1%

7%

37%

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an SSM Referendum Would vote for the 46% law and feel strongly Would vote for the 11% law but don't feel strongly Would vote against 36% the law and feel strongly Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly Not sure 1% 50% 12% 42% 11% Man

31%

41%

1%

2%

6%

6%

6%

Hispanic/Spanish-speaking Background? Base SSM Referendum Would vote for the 46% law and feel strongly Would vote for the 11% law but don't feel strongly Would vote against 36% the law and feel strongly Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly Not sure 1% 38% 18% 47% 11% 33% 2% Yes Not No sure

41%

35%

49%

2%

6%

2%

5%

16%

Race AfricanBase White Am erican Other SSM Referendum Would vote for the 46% law and feel strongly Would vote for the 11% law but don't feel strongly Would vote against 36% the law and feel strongly Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly Not sure 1% 47% 11% 42% 13% 51% 8%

38%

34%

24%

1%

2%

6%

3%

9%

17%

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base SSM Referendum Would vote for the 46% law and feel strongly Would vote for the 11% law but don't feel strongly Would vote against 36% the law and feel strongly Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly Not sure 1% 53% 11% 49% 16% 45% 8% 34% 10% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

31%

26%

40%

49%

3%

2%

3%

6%

3%

9%

5%

4%

Religion Another Don't have Not Base Protestant Catholic Jew ish religion a religion sure SSM Referendum Would vote for the 46% law and feel strongly Would vote for the 11% law but don't feel strongly Would vote against 36% the law and feel strongly Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly Not sure 1% 39% 7% 36% 15% 73% 9% 46% 19% 79% 6% 31% -

48%

39%

18%

27%

12%

38%

2%

1%

2%

1%

6%

5%

9%

6%

1%

31%

Relationship Status Base SSM Referendum Would vote for the 46% law and feel strongly Would vote for the 11% law but don't feel strongly Would vote against 36% the law and feel strongly Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly Not sure 1% 56% 5% 55% 21% 46% 10% 16% 39% 38% 9% 46% 10% 34% 21% Single, never Unm arried, living Not m arried w ith partner Married Separated Widow ed Divorced sure

27%

20%

37%

41%

42%

39%

45%

4%

1%

1%

3%

2%

6%

8%

3%

6%

9%

5%

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Parent of Child Under 18? Base SSM Referendum Would vote for the 46% law and feel strongly Would vote for the 11% law but don't feel strongly Would vote against 36% the law and feel strongly Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly Not sure 1% 53% 14% 45% 9% 24% 16% Yes Not No sure

25%

39%

51%

2%

1%

6%

6%

5%

9%

Education Som e high High school Som e college Vocational training/Tw o- Four-year Som e postgrad Tw o/three years' Doctoral/law Not graduate but no degree year degree degree w ork postgrad w ork/Masters degree sure Base school or less SSM Referendum Would vote for the 46% law and feel strongly Would vote for the 11% law but don't feel strongly Would vote against 36% the law and feel strongly Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly Not sure 1% 15% 40% 26% 21% 41% 12% 50% 8% 51% 10% 40% 28% 56% 7% 72% 2% 28% 8%

42%

46%

38%

32%

33%

31%

31%

25%

48%

3%

1%

0%

4%

2%

2%

6%

5%

8%

7%

5%

4%

1%

16%

Region Base SSM Referendum Would vote for the 46% law and feel strongly Would vote for the 11% law but don't feel strongly Would vote against 36% the law and feel strongly Would vote against the law but don't feel strongly Not sure 1% 50% 11% 42% 12% Western Maryland Eastern Maryland (301 Area Code) (410 Area Code)

32%

39%

2%

1%

6%

5%

6%

May 14-16, 19, 21, 2012

survey of 852 likely voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988