Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Economic Risk
Moderate Low High
Very Low
Very High
Political Risk
Moderate Low High
Very Low
Very High
Very Low
Very High
Vital Statistics 2009 Nominal GDP Population GDP Per Capita Real GDP Growth Inflation Rate Premiums Written (Life) Premiums Written (Non-Life) Premiums Growth (08-09) USD bn mil USD % % USD mil USD mil % Country Risk Tier CRT-5 CRT-1 CRT-2 CRT-2 CRT-3 CRT-5 17.13 4.0 4,279 -3.4 -0.4 49 247 -2.6
Regional Comparison Bosnia and Herzegovina Germany Slovenia Italy Poland Ukraine
Source: IMF, Axco, Swiss Re and A.M. Best
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-2.0
-4.0
5 4 3 2 1 0
Legal System
Monetary Policy
Regional Stability
Fiscal Policy
Social Stability
Business Environment
Government Stability
Labor Flexibility
GDPPERCAPCHART
45,000
40,000
35,000
70
30,000
60
Millions
25,000 USD
50
The insurance industry is regulated by the Insurance Supervisory Agency but does have the challenge of coexisting with sub-national insurance supervisory entities. The financial sector is dominated by foreign-bank owned subsidiaries. The Stabilization and Association Agreement (SAA) with the EU, the precursor to EU membership, promises that Bosnia will work towards aligning its laws, regulation and infrastructure with those of the EU while granting the country access to some development funds.
20,000
40
15,000
30
10,000
20
5,000
10
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Categories of Risk
Country Risk Reports provide scores for three categories of risk for each country. These scores are: (1) Very Low; (2) Low; (3) Moderate; (4) High and (5) Very High. Category of Risk Definition The likelihood that fundamental weaknesses in a countrys economy will cause adverse developments for an Economic Risk insurer. A.M. Bests assessment of economic risk evaluates the state of the domestic economy, government finances and international transactions, as well as prospects for growth and stability. The likelihood that government or bureaucratic inefficiencies, societal tensions, inadequate legal system or international tensions will cause adverse developments for an insurer. Political risk comprises the stability of the Political Risk government and society, the effectiveness of international diplomatic relationships, the reliability and integrity of the legal system and of the business infrastructure, the efficiency of the government bureaucracy and the appropriateness and effectiveness of the governments economic policies. Financial system risk (which includes both insurance and non-insurance financial system risk) is the risk that financial volatility may erupt due to inadequate reporting standards, weak banking system or asset markets Financial System Risk and/or poor regulatory structure. Along with the risk that the insurance industrys level of development and public awareness, transparent and effective regulation and reporting standards and sophisticated regulatory body will contribute to a volatile financial system and compromise the ability of an insurer to pay claims.
Financial Strength Ratings are distributed via press release and/or the A.M. Best Web site at www.ambest.com and are published in the Rating Actions section of BestWeek. Financial Strength Ratings are proprietary and may not be reproduced without permission. Copyright 2010 by A.M. Best Company, Inc. Version 070208