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McGraw-Hill/Irwin
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Chapter 5
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HR Planning
Reacting quickly to opportunities Business success depends on Rapid access to accurate information Human resources Assesses the future supply of, and demand for, human resources
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HR Planning
Effective use of human resources is not a significant organizational goal
Top management values stable growth HR planning is less important that it would be under rapid expansion or diversification
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HR Planning
U.S. Dept. of Labor Projections for 2006 through 2016 Asians and Hispanics will enter the labor force at 29.9% White, non-Hispanics will increase by 1.4% Workers 55 and older will increase by 46.7%
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HR Planning Factors
Executive succession
HR related government policies and regulations
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Existing employment inventory After application of expected loss and attrition rates
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Analysis of HR supply
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The strategic plan must adapt to environmental circumstances HRM is a mechanism organizations can use during the adaptation process
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Forecasting Techniques
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Expert Estimate
Intuition
Guesses
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Expert Estimate
Delphi Technique Elicits estimates from a number of experts in an iterative manner Estimates revised by each individual based on knowledge of others estimates Developed by the Rand Corporation
Goal is to generate a group decision that is preferred over any individual decision
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Trend Projection
Top-down
technique Develops a forecast based on a past relationship between a factor related to employment and employment itself Example: Sales levels are related to employment needs
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Top-down approach
Uses the most sophisticated forecasting & modeling
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Regression Analysis
A mathematical procedure that predicts the dependent variable on the basis of factors (independent variables) With simple linear regression, one dependent and one independent variable are studied
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Unit managers analyze current and future needs person-by-person and job-by-job
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How many and what kinds of employees do I currently have, in terms of the skills and training necessary for the future?
This involves more than simply counting current employees
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Identify the skills, abilities, experiences, and training employees currently have Useful for career planning, management development, and related activities In its simplest form, a list of names, characteristics, skills on index cards Others involve expensive and complex computer databases
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Publications
Licenses Hobbies Qualifications
Date of birth
Location
Patents Date hired
Languages
Salary
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Skills inventories are useful only if used by management to make significant decisions
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Searches that are not backed by bona fide, budgeted requisitions Specifying so many characteristics for a desired employee that no one fits
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In response to
1. Intense global competition 2. Rapid technological change 3. Fears caused by recent workforce reductions
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Employees
who are considered surplus are seldom responsible for the conditions leading to the surplus
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is key to successful HR planning A human resource information system (HRIS) is an integrated way to acquire, store, analyze, and control information flow
highly developed HRIS can increase the efficiency and response times of Tracking applicants Skills inventory Career planning Employee service programs
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technology can integrate multiple HR programs into a single system Enroll in benefits programs Process employee transactions Use learning modules
An
HRIS for use by upper-level executives is called an executive information system Computerization allows organizations to broaden their view of succession planning
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Many aging executives More early retirements Delaying retirement Consulting positions Part-time assignments
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Danger lies both within and outside the organization The friendlier the system, the easier unauthorized access is
Identity theft is using anothers name, address, social security number, or other information
Without the persons knowledge With intent to commit fraud or other crimes
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theft is becoming a national problem Complaints rose to over 255,000 in 2005 Identify theft is a felony under the Identity Theft and Assumption Deterrence Act of 1998 The problem will continue to escalate
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Organizations should carefully evaluate their policies regarding access to HRIS data to determine How much information, legally and ethically, should be disclosed How much control employees should have over the release of personal information No federal legislation guarantees employees the right to inspect and amend data in an HRIS