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Environmental Scan

University of Illinois Office for Planning and Budgeting 3rd Edition, November 2007

Environmental Scan: Purpose and Process


The purpose of an environmental scan is to support and inform the strategic planning process. A good environmental scan will help an organization understand and respond effectively to changes in their environments.1
This environmental scan provides information on demographics, higher education, economic and budgetary matters, research, technology, and economic development, the political landscape, and the related implications, opportunities, and challenges for the University of Illinois. The University of Illinois initial environmental scan was developed in March 2005 to set a context for the Universitys strategic planning framework. Subsequent editions of the environmental scan have updated source data for many of the charts and graphs and added elements of increasing importance (e.g., information has also been added on the topics of global competitiveness in higher education participation, completion, and attainment, energy, online education, and the impacts of the aging population). Because the external environment in which the University of Illinois operates is continually changing, the environmental scan will be updated and refined periodically to reflect the most recent available information on key opportunities and challenges facing the University. Feedback on the usefulness of the environmental scan and suggestions for improvement are welcome and encouraged. Please direct any comments or questions to the University Office for Planning and Budgeting (UOPB) via e-mail to envscan@uillinois.edu.

Bryson, John M. Strategic Planning for Public and Nonprofit Organizations. 2004.

Page 2

Key Highlights: Opportunities


Creatively addressing the educational, health care, and other needs of an increasingly diverse Illinois population Developing a niche within the rapidly developing market for online education both nationally and globally Responding to the growing global demand for individuals with training in the sciences and engineering
Enhancing capacity in energy research and development (both traditional and renewable sources) Developing new and enhanced University revenue sources from the growing demand for higher education and R&D activities Effectively responding to the increased interest of state and federal policymakers in the public accountability of colleges and universities
Page 3

Key Highlights: Challenges


Maintaining and enhancing access to the University for minority, low income, and first-generation students Recruiting and retaining high quality faculty and staff given increasing competition and looming retirements Ensuring the highest level of academic quality in the face of state and federal funding constraints
Maintaining the Universitys physical environment absent new infusions of state capital funding Expanding the Universitys R&D capacity given federal funding constraints Balancing interest in enhancing higher educations public accountability with legitimate privacy concerns within the University community (students, faculty, and staff)
Page 4

Table of Contents
Demographics. 7
U.S. Population Projections, 2000-2020 Illinois Population Ages 18-24 Race/Ethnicity University of Illinois Statewide Presence Undergraduate and Graduate/Professional Enrollments by Race/Ethnic Higher Education Minority Enrollment Data by Campus University of Illinois Full-Time Faculty by Race/Ethnicity University of Illinois Full-Time Faculty by Gender University of Illinois Full-Time Staff by Race/Ethnicity University of Illinois Full-Time Staff by Gender University of Illinois SURS Participants, Tenure-System Faculty Age Distribution University of Illinois SURS Participants, Non-Tenure Faculty and Staff by Age Distribution Health Care and Aging Implications for the University of Illinois International Comparisons: Higher Education Attainment International Comparisons: Higher Education Participation and Completion Projected Percentage Change in Number of High-School Graduates from 2002 to 2009 University of Illinois Degrees Conferred Percentage of Bachelors Degrees Awarded by Gender Mean Income by Quintile in Illinois Faculty Salary Comparisons, IBHE Peers University of Illinois Faculty and Enrollments Enrollment in Online Courses Implications for the University of Illinois 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30-31 32

Higher Education. 21

Page 5

Table of Contents
Economy and Budget... 33
Economic Value of Higher Education U.S. Economic Indicators State of Illinois Economic and Fiscal Indicators State of Illinois General Fund Appropriations by Sector FY 2007 State of Illinois Financial Liabilities Illinois Projected Employment Growth, 2002-2012 University of Illinois Share of State Tax Appropriations FY 1980 to FY 2007 University of Illinois Budget by Source of Funds University of Illinois All Sources of Duns FY 1990 FY 2007 The Center: The Top American Research Universities Big Ten University and Foundation Endowments Public Higher Education Capital Appropriation History FY 1999 to FY 2007 Implications for the University of Illinois
Trends in Federal R&D Funding Total R&D Expenditures of Carnegie Research I Institutions, FY 2004 University of Illinois Rank among AAU Institutions on Selected Quality Indicators International Comparison: Production of Undergraduate Degrees in Natural Sciences & Engineering International Comparison: Doctoral Degrees Granted in Natural Sciences & Engineering (1993-2003) University of Illinois Technology Transfer: U.S. Patents University Technology Transfer and Commercialization Performance Index Energy Costs and Use Renewable Energy Implications for the University of Illinois

34 35-36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47
49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58

Research, Technology, and Economic Development. 48


Political Landscape... 59
Illinois House and Senate Memberships Illinoisans Support for State Higher Education Spending Increases Implications for the University of Illinois 60 61 62

Sources... 63
Page 6

Demographics

Page 7

U.S. Population Projections, 2000-2020


Ages 18-35, by Race-Ethnic Group Ages 18-35, by Gender

Millions

White

Asian

Black

Hispanic

Other*
Millions

Female

Male

80

45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2005 2010
Year

60

40

20

0 2000

2015

2020

2000

2005

2010
Year

2015

2020

All Race-Ethnic Groups, by Age Group Projected Total Number of High-School Graduates
Millions

18 - 35

36 - 49

50 & over
2002 2,894,429* 2003 2,952536

120 100 80 60 40

2004 2,958,908
2005 2,983,477 2006 3,042,003 2007 3,107,931

20 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020


Year * Includes Native Americans, Aleutians, and persons of two or more races. Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2003.

2008 3,186,940 2009 3,195,259 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2
*Actual Figure

Page 8

Illinois Population Ages 18-24 Race/Ethnicity

2000
White 65.8%

2020
Black 17.2%
American Indian 0.2% Asian 3.5% White 58.2%

Black 17.8% American Indian 0.2% Asian 5.1%

Hispanic 13.3%

Hispanic 18.7%

N = 1.200M

N = 1.358M

Page 9

University of Illinois Statewide Presence


University of Illinois Campus Locations On-Campus Headcount Enrollment by County, Fall 2007

Additional Facilities

UIC

Regional Medical Colleges


Rockford Peoria Urbana-Champaign U of I Extension serves all 102 Counties Police Training Institute FY 2005 students from 81 Illinois Counties Fire Service Institute FY 2005 students from 99 Illinois Counties FY 2005 State-wide Programming Course Locations in 16 Illinois Counties Online Instruction accessible from all 102 Illinois Counties Regional Agricultural Stations 4-H Camps

Illinois has 102 Counties


UIUC

UIS

Page 10

Undergraduate Enrollments by Race/Ethnicity Fall 2007


UIC
Black 8.7%

UIS
Black 13.2 Asian 3.2%

UIUC
Black 6.7% Asian 12.8% International 1.2%

White & Other 50.1%

Asian 23.2%

Hispanic 2.8%

International 5.6%

Hispanic 6.9% White & Other 68.0%

International 1.6% Hispanic 16.4%

White & Other 79.6%

Graduate/Professional Enrollments by Race/Ethnicity Fall 2007


UIC
Black 8.0%

UIS
Black 8.4%

UIUC
Asian 1.8% Black 5.7%

Asian 14.1% White & Other 54.2%

International 15.1% White & Other 61.0% Hispanic 1.0%

Asian 10.1%

International 16.6%

International 17.6% White & Other 73.4%

Hispanic 7.1%

Hispanic 5.6%

Page 11

Minority Enrollment Data Fall 1996 through Fall 2006


UIC
Undergraduate
18% 16% 12% 14% 14%

Campus Total

Black
12%

Hispanic
10%

Black

Hispanic

10%
8% 8%

Undergraduate
14%
12% 10% 8% 6% 4%

UIS
12%

Campus Total

10%
8%

Black

Hispanic

6%

Black
4% 2% 0%

Hispanic

2% 0%

Undergraduate
8%

UIUC
7%

Campus Total

7%
6% 6% 5% 5%

Black
4%

Hispanic
4%

Black

Hispanic

Page 12

University of Illinois Full-Time Faculty by Race/Ethnicity Fall 2005 All Fund Sources
Chicago Campus White Black Hispanic Asian Other* Springfield Campus 4% 7% 3%

8%

4%

5%

15%

10%

77% 69%

N = 1,923

Urbana-Champaign Campus 8% 4% 3% 10%

N = 196

75%

N = 2,258

Page 13

University of Illinois Full-Time Faculty by Gender Fall 2005 All Fund Sources
Chicago Campus Male 38% Female 56% Springfield Campus

62%
44%

N = 1,923

N = 196

Urbana-Champaign Campus

31%

69%

N = 2,258

Page 14

University of Illinois Full-Time Staff by Race and Ethnicity Fall 2005 All Fund Sources
White Chicago Campus
2%

Black

Hispanic

Asian

Other* Springfield Campus 1% 4% 2%

30%

1%

13% 44% 92%


11%

N = 451
N = 8,229

Urbana-Champaign Campus 2% 9% 2% 3%

University Administration 1%
11% 4% 3%

83% N = 7,712

81%

N = 1,181

* Includes Native Americans, Aleutians, persons of two or more races, and non -resident aliens.

Page 15

University of Illinois Full-Time Staff by Gender Fall 2005 All Fund Sources

Chicago Campus 33%


Male Female

Springfield Campus 41%

67% N = 8,229 Urbana-Champaign Campus


35%

59%

N = 451 University Administration

46%

54% 65% N = 7,712 N = 1,181

Page 16

University of Illinois SURS Participants, Tenure-System Faculty Age Distribution October 10, 2006
Chicago Campus w/ UIH Springfield Campus

FTE

FTE

Urbana-Champaign Campus w/ CES

FTE
Page 17

University of Illinois SURS Participants, Non-Tenure Faculty and Staff Age Distribution October 10, 2006
Chicago Campus w/ UIH Springfield Campus

FTE

FTE

Urbana-Champaign Campus w/ CES

University Administration

FTE

FTE
Page 18

Health Care Spending % of GDP 2005


Total* spending on health per person at PPP, 2005.

Health Care Spending % of GDP in the USA 1975 - 2020


19%

16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6%

17%

15%

~77 million baby boomers start hitting 60 years of age in 2006

13%

11%

9%
4%
K or e Po a la n Sl ov M d ak ex ico Cz Re ec pu h R blic ep ub Fi lic nl an Ir d ela T nd Lu ur xe key m bo ur g Ja H pan un ga ry Un it e Sp d K ain in gd om Ne w Ital Ze y a De lan nm d a No rk rw S ay Ne w ed th e er n la Au n ds str al Ic ia ela n Ca d na d G a re ec Au e st Po ria rt u Be gal lg i G um er m an F y Sw ran ce it Un zer it e lan d d St at es

7% 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015


Projected
Source: www.oecd.org/dataoecd/44/18/35044277.xls

2020

Source: OECD www.oecd.org, Health Data Statistics October 2007. *Private and public. Adjusted for purchasing-power parity.

Number of Americans Over 60 by Decade


110,000,000 100,000,000 90,000,000
$5,000 $7,000 $6,000

Total Spending on Health Care Per Person 2005


Total* spending on health per person at PPP, 2005.

80,000,000 70,000,000 60,000,000 50,000,000 40,000,000


$1,000 $4,000 $3,000 $2,000

30,000,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Projected 2040 2050
Tu rk e M y ex ico Sl ov P ak ola Re nd pu bl i K c o H rea Cz un ec g h R ary ep ub Po lic rt ug al Ne Sp ai w Ze n al a Fi nd nl an d Ja pa Un n it e d Ita l K in y gd Sw om ed e Ir n ela n G d re De ece nm G ark e Ne rm th an er y la nd Ca s na d Fr a a Au nce str a Be lia lg iu m Ic ela Au nd Sw st it z ria er la n N d Lu o r xe wa y Un mb it e our g d St at es
Source: OECD www.oecd.org, Health Data Statistics October 2007. *Private and public. Adjusted for purchasing-power parity.

20,000,000
Source: Bureau of Census

$0

Page 19

Demographics Implications for the University of Illinois


Illinois will experience slight population growth in coming years. As with the rest of the U.S., Illinois population will become more diverse and the Hispanic population will grow faster than any other segment. The proportion of African-American students at UIC and UIUC grew slightly after a period of decline, while the proportion of Hispanic students has generally grown at all three campuses in recent years. Pressure from University stakeholders to enhance diversity among students, staff, and faculty will continue. The over 50 population will grow rapidly. This aging population will put increasing pressure on social services and health care and may view higher education as less of a priority in the future. A significant proportion of the Universitys tenure/tenure-track faculty are age 55 or over creating the potential for large numbers of retirements in the near future.
Page 20

Higher Education

Page 21

International Comparison: Higher Education Attainment


Ages 25-34
Canada

Ages 25-64
60.3%
56.6% Canada

49.5%
40.1%

Japan
Korea Norway

United States
Finland Japan

51.1%
48.4% 47.1%

39.4%
38.4% 36.2%

Finland
Belgium

Denmark
Norway

45.5%
45.3%

35.5%
34.4%

Ireland Spain
Denmark

Sweden Iceland
Australia

44.6%
44.4% 43.5%

33.9%
33.1% 32.2%

France
United States Australia

Belgium
Ireland New Zealand

42.8%
42.4%

30.6%
30.0%

Sweden
Iceland

42.4% 41.9%
38.7%

United Kingdom
Spain

29.5% 28.3%
27.5%

Luxembourg
Netherlands United Kingdom

Netherlands
Korea France

36.6%
36.0%

26.2%
25.9%

New Zealand
Poland

34.2% 30.9%
28.2%

Luxembourg
Germany

24.1% 20.3%
20.1%

Greece
Switzerland Portugal

Switzerland
Greece Poland

25.0%
24.2% 22.7%

19.9%
19.0% 18.2%

Hungary
Germany

Hungary
Austria

22.1%
20.6%

15.2%
15.0%

Austria
Italy Mexico

Portugal
Slovak Republic Italy

19.2%
16.9% 16.9%

12.9%
12.8% 12.2%

Slovak Republic
Czech Republic

Mexico
Czech Republic

14.6%
10.4%

11.6%
7.7%

Turkey

Turkey

Source: Organisation of Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Data represent the percentage of adults with an associates degree or higher in 2005. Page 22

International Comparison: Higher Education Participation and Completion


College Participation
Korea
Greece Belgium 37% 37% 35% 35% 48%

College Completion
Japan
Portugal 26%

43%

25%
23%

Switzerland
Denmark

Finland
Ireland

23%
23%

Australia
New Zealand Ireland

United States
Poland

21%
21%

34%
31%

Hungary
France Australia Spain New Zealand

France
Iceland

20%
19%

31%
31%

Slovak Republic
Sweden

18%
18% 18%

30%
29% 27%

Korea
United States

Netherlands
Portugal

17%
17%

25%
25%

Spain
Poland

Norway
Czech Republic

17%
16%

24%
24%

Netherlands
Hungary

Sweden
Austria Germany

16%
15%

23%
23%

Czech Republic
Mexico

14%
14%

Slovak Republic
Denmark

20%
20% 19%

Norway
Turkey Austria

13%
13%

Iceland
Switzerland

18%
13%

Germany
Finland

13%
13%

Mexico
Turkey

11%

Italy

12%

Percent of Young Adults (Ages 18 to 24) Currently Enrolled in College

Total Number of Degrees/Certificates Completed per 100 Students Enrolled


Page 23

Source: Organisation of Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Data are for 2003.

Projected Percentage Change in Number of High-School Graduates from 2002 to 2009

United States
Gain of more than 20% Gain of 11% to 20% Gain of 1% to 10% Gain or loss of less than 1% Loss of 1% to 9% Loss of 10% or more

Source: WICHE

University of Illinois On-Campus Headcount Enrollment by State Fall 2006


101 12

11 147 16
24

55 22 12 199

270 282

107 52 8

3
135 53

127 280 56,337 275 10

24 58
551 75 87 345 82

162

12

133

77
68 45

64

30

22 93

26

14
250

29

32

154
13

United States (AK & HI Inset) 400 to 56,337 (3) 300 to 400 (4) 200 to 300 (5) 100 to 200 (10) 0 to 100 (28)

21

Illinois 56,337 (82%) Other U.S. 5,185 (7%) District of Columbia - 20 U.S. Territories - 50 U. S. Residents with Foreign Address 221 Non-Resident Aliens - 7,287 (11%)

Page 24

University of Illinois Degrees Conferred FY 2007


12,000
10,659

UIS Bachelors Degrees Conferred by Race/Ethnicity FY 2007

Asian, 2.3% Hispanic, 2.1% Black, 9.6%

10,000 8,000

6,000
4,000

5,919

Other, 5.4%

American Indian/Alaskan Native, 0.3% White, 80.2%

2,000
0

1,045

UIC
Bachelor's Master's

UIS
Doctorate

UIUC
Professional Black Hispanic Asian White

612 American Indian/Alaskan Native Other

UIC Bachelors Degrees Conferred by Race/Ethnicity FY 2007


American Indian/ Alaskan Native 0.3% Other 5.7% Black 6.9%

UIUC Bachelors Degrees Conferred by Race/Ethnicity FY 2007


American Indian/ Alaskan Native 0.2% Other 5.0% Black 6.1% Hispanic 5.8%

Hispanic 13.3% White 48.0% Asian 12.1%

Asian 25.9%

White 70.7%

3,286

7,040

Black

Hispanic

Asian

White

American Indian/Alaskan Native

Other

Black

Hispanic

Asian

White

American Indian/Alaskan Native

Other

Page 25

Percentage of FY 2007 Bachelors Degrees Awarded by Gender

UIC

UIS

Male 39% Male 46% Female 54% Female 61%

UIUC

National

Male 43% Female 48% Male 52%

Female 57%

FY 2005
Page 26

Mean Income by Quintile in Illinois 1982 to 2006


$200,000

In Current Dollars

Increase in Median Income for Families by Quintile 1982 to 2006

$150,000 $125,000 $100,000

$160,000

$120,000
$75,000

$80,000
$50,000

$40,000
$25,000

$0

$0

Quintile 1

Quintile 2

Quintile 3

Quintile 4

Quintile 5

Quintile 1
Lowest Income

Quintile 2

Quintile 3

Quintile 4

Quintile 5
Highest Income

Percent of Undergraduates Who Receive MAP Awards by Race FY 2006


80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Black UIC - 5,899 Awards Hispanic UIS - 760 Awards Asian White
Page 27

UIUC - 6,422 Awards

Faculty Salary Comparisons, IBHE Peers


Full-time Instructional Faculty Salary Rank, Fall 2007 UIC
UIC
$120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0

Full-time Instructional Faculty Salary Rank, Fall 2007 UIUC


$140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0

UIUC

1st

12th

22nd

1st

19th

21st

Full-time Instructional Faculty Salary Rank, Fall 2007 UIS


Constant Dollars ($1,000s)*

Research I Universities Full-Time Instructional Faculty Average Salaries FY 1982 to FY 2007

115
Privates

$100 $80 $60

UIS

105 95
Publics

85

$40 $20 $0
75

65

1st

10th

14th
55 '82 '83 '84 '85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 $7,700 Gap in 1982 Year
$25,300 Gap in 2007

* Constant (FY 2007) dollars calculated using CPI -U (not seasonally adjusted).
Source: American Association of University Professors; Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Page 28

University of Illinois Faculty and Enrollments


FTE On-Campus Enrollment per FTE Tenure-System Faculty Fall 1983 to Fall 2006 UIC
20 18
Students per Faculty
16.4 16.7 16.6 16 15.3 14.4 14.4 14.7 14.1 13.8 14 16.3 16.3 16.3
16.5

FTE On-Campus Enrollment per FTE Tenure-System Faculty Fall 1996 to Fall 2006 UIS
17
16.2

19.2 19.2 19.3 18

19.5 19.5

16
Students per Faculty

15.7 15.1 14.9 14.5 13.7 14.5

17.2

17.5 17.6

15.5

15.7

15 14

14.4

16

14 12

13 12 11

12.7

10
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Year

10
96 97 98 99 00 01
Year

02

03

04

05

06

FTE On-Campus Enrollment per FTE Tenure-System Faculty Fall 1983 to Fall 2006 UIUC
24 22
20.2 20.4 20.8 20.6 20.8
22.0 22.2 22.2

FTE On Campus Enrollment per FTE Tenure System Faculty Fall 1983 to Fall 2006

21.5

Students per Faculty

20
18
16.8 16.8

17.1

17.6 17.5 17.3 17.4 17.2

18.0

18.4

16

14
12 10 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Year

Students per Faculty

19.0 19.2

19.6 19.5 19.7

Year

Page 29

Enrollment in Online Courses


National Enrollments Fall 2002 to Fall 2006
4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000

At the University of Illinois Fall 1999 to Fall 2006


12,000

10,000

8,000

2,500,000
2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000

6,000

4,000

2,000
500,000 0

Fall 2002

Fall 2003

Fall 2004

Fall 2005

Fall 2006

Fall 1999

Fall 2000

Fall 2001

Fall 2002

Fall 2003

Fall 2004

Fall 2005

Fall 2006

Source: www.ivc.illinois.edu/pubs/enrollment.html - Fall Internet enrollment.

Source: www.Sloan-c.org : Online Nation: Five Years of Growth in Online Learning, October 2007

At Illinois Colleges and Universities Fall 1999 to Fall 2006


140,000

Illinois vs. University of Illinois FY 2006


Illinois University of Illinois
UIUC 20.2%
Other Illinois Institutions 92.0%

120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Fall 1999 Fall 2000 Fall 2001 Fall 2002 Fall 2003 Fall 2004 Fall 2005 Fall 2006
UIUC 1.7%

UIC 48.4%

UIS 2.5% UIS 31.4%


UIC 3.9%

127,383 Enrollments

10,201 Enrollments

Page 30

Source: www.ivc.illinois.edu/pubs/enrollment.html - Fall Internet enrollment.

Online Learning Trends


Online enrollments have continued to grow at rates far in excess of the total higher education student population, albeit at slower rates than for previous years.
The Almost 3.5 million students were taking at least one online course during the fall 2006 term; a nearly 10 percent increase over the number reported the previous year. The 9.7 percent growth rate for online enrollments far exceeds the 1.5 percent growth of the overall higher education student population. Nearly twenty percent of all U.S. higher education students were taking at least one online course in the fall of 2006.

Improving student access is the most often cited objective for online courses and programs. Cost reduction is not seen as important. Approximately one-third of higher education institutions account for three-quarters of all online enrolments. Future growth will come predominately from these and similar institutions as they add new programs and grow existing ones.
Much of the past growth in online enrollments has been fueled by new institutions entering the online learning arena. This transition is now nearing its end; most institutions that plan to offer online education are already doing so. Future growth in online enrollments will most likely come from those institutions that are currently the most engaged; they enroll the most online learning students and have the highest expectations for growth.
Page 31

Source: Online Nation: Five Years of Growth in Online Learning. The Sloan Consortium. http://www.sloan-c.org/publications/survey/index.asp

Higher Education Implications for the University of Illinois


U.S. competitiveness in higher education participation, completion, and attainment, while still strong, is slipping relative to other developed and developing nations. The college age population will grow nationwide, but this growth will vary greatly among regions. The West, Southwest, and Southeast will experience growth that will exceed capacity in public higher education, although in general the Midwest will not. A larger percentage of women are attending higher education than men and the gap is increasing. Competition from proprietary institutions and other non-traditional educational providers in the marketplace for students (both nationally and internationally) has greatly increased in recent years. Growth in faculty compensation at private institutions has surpassed public universities, and the intense competition for faculty will continue. Relatively flat incomes at the lower income brackets in recent years will have implications for tuition and financial aid policies particularly with regard to promoting access for low income and first-generation students. Rapid technological innovation has led to a need for lifelong learning that will allow individuals to continuously adapt and update skills. On-line instruction has grown rapidly in the last 10 years as it has gained mainstream acceptance due to increasing internet access and innovations in instructional technologies.

Page 32

Economy and Budget

Page 33

Value of Higher Education


The Lifetime Expected Value of a Bachelors Degree is Rising Compared to a High School Diploma
$1.6 1980 $1.4 $1.2
Dollars in Millions
$70,000

Median Income by Educational Achievement (Males)

2006

$60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0

$1.0 $0.8 $0.6 $0.4


$0.2 $0.0

Men

Women

Bachelor's Premium

High School

CUMULATIVE LIFETIME EXPECTED EARNINGS (Dollars in Millions) Males


$7.00 $6.00
$5.00 $4.00 $3.00
Professional Doctorate Masters Bachelors Associates H.S. Graduate

Females
$4.50 $4.00 $3.50
$3.00 $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 $1.00
Masters Bachelors Associates H.S. Graduate Doctorate Professional

$2.00 $1.00 $0.00 24 34 44 54 64

$0.50 $0.00 74 24 34 44 54 64 74
Page 34

U.S. Economic Indicators


Gross Domestic Product Annual Change
7.5% 7.0% 6.5% 6.0% 5.5% 5.0% 4.5%
45%

Cumulative Inflation Increases

165% 150% GDP

135%
120% 105% 90% 75% CPI HEPI

60%

4.0% 3.5% 3.0%

30% 15% 0%

-15% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Office of Management and Budget

Target Federal Funds Rate


20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%

Page 35

U.S. Economic Indicators


Relative Labor Costs Among Major Auto-Producing Nations
(in dollars per hour)
$35
$33.00

$30

$25
$22.50 $22.10 $20.20 $19.40 $18.60

$20

$15

$10

$8.40 $5.20

$5
$2.70 $0.90

$0 Germany U.S. France Japan Canada U.K. South Korea Taiwan Mexico China

Source: U.S. Office of Trade and Economic Analysis, Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, WSJ 6/10/04.

Increase in U.S. Health Insurance Premiums Compared to Other Indicators 1988 - 2006
20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10%
8.5% 8.2% 12.0% 14.0%
12.9%

18.0%

13.9%

10.9%

11.2%

9.2%
7.7%

8% 6% 4% 2% 0%
0.8% 5.3%

Health Insurance Premiums

Workers' Earnings

Overall Inflation

Source: The Kaiser Family Foundation Employer Benefits 2006 Annual Survey.

Page 36

State of Illinois Economic & Fiscal Indicators


Cumulative Growth FY 1990 FY 2008
165%
GDP

State of Illinois State-Supported Principal Outstanding End-of-Year FY 1996-2007


(Dollars in Billions)

153.6%

150% 135% 120% 105% 90% 75% 60% 45% 30% 15% 0% -15%
Public Univ. GRF 26.7% CPI 65.1% State GRF 128.8%

FY02 to FY08 exclude $45 million in payments to CMS from Universities for Health Insurance Source: Illinois State Budgets (FY08 is based on the Governors Proposed Budget)

University of Illinois Flash Index Data


108 106 104 102 100 98 96
$200

State of Illinois General Obligation Debt Service


Principal and Interest
Growth
$1,800 $1,600
Interest Principal
$1,412.4
$1,595.0

Growth

No Growth

$1,753.7 $1,649.4 $1,670.8

$1,400
Values above 100 represents Economic Growth

$1,200 $1,000
$851.5 $973.4
$790.5

$800
$674.7 $621.7

$686.2

$690.8

$717.2

$600
$400

94

$0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007* 2008*
* The FY 2007 and FY 2008 debt service are GOMB Budget estimates.

Source: IGPA, U of I

Page 37

State of Illinois General Fund Appropriations by Sector FY 2008


In Constant 2007 Dollars (CPI)

State Tax Appropriations Changes by Agency


75%

State By Sector
Public Safety 5.5% Other 5.1%

Human Services
60%

64.9% 62.9% Elem/Sec

Higher Education 7.9%

Human Services 20.4%

45% 30%

38.6% State Average

15%
0% -15% -30%
Healthcare and Family Services 29.7% Elementary/ Secondary 31.4%
Source: Illinois State Budget, FY 2008 as introduced.

Higher Educ. -17.6% -25.3% All Other

-45%

FY02 - FY08 exclude $45 M from Higher Education for Health Insurance payment to CMS.

$28.4 Billion

State Tax Appropriations Higher Education vs. Elementary/Secondary Education


In Constant 2007 Dollars (CPI)

Sources of General Revenue Fund


Gross Receipts 8.3%
Lottery & Gaming 4.6%

65%

Other Sources 7.6% Individual Income Tax 30.2%

Elem/Sec
45%

62.9%

25%

Public Utility 3.5%

5%

-15%

Higher Educ. -17.6%

Federal Aid 16.3%

-35%
Corporate Income Tax 5.5% Sales Tax 24.0%

FY02 - FY08 exclude $45 M from Higher Education for Health Insurance payment to CMS.

Page 38

Illinois Projected Employment Growth, 2002-2012


Fastest Growing Industries
Avg. ann. change
Home Health Serv. Mgmt., Sci. & Tech. Serv. Ambulatory Health Care Serv. Internet Publish. & Broadcast. Child Day Care Serv. Health Practitioners Offices Electronics & Appliance Stores Outpatient Care Centers Internet, Web & Data Processing Computer Syst. Design & Serv. 3.7% 3.5% 3.2% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8%
Medical Asst. Network & Data Comm. Analyst Social & Human Serv. Asst. Fitness Train./Aerobics Instr. Physician Asst. Med. Rec. & Health Info. Techn. Home Health Aides Veterinary Technician Phys. Therap. Asst. Haz. Mat. Removal Worker

Fastest Growing Occupations


Avg. ann. change
4.5% 4.1% 4.0% 3.8% 3.8% 3.6% 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.3%

Source: Illinois Department of Employment Security

U.S. Projected Employment Growth, 2002 -2012 Fastest Growing Industries


Avg. ann. change
Software Publishing Mgmt., Sci. & Tech. Serv. Community Elder & Resid. Care Computer Syst. Design & Serv. Employment Serv. Indiv., Family, Voc. & Rehab. Serv. Ambulatory Health Care Serv. Water, Sewage & Other Systems Internet, Web & Data Processing Child Day Care Serv. 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.4% 5.3%

Fastest Growing Occupations


Avg. ann. change
Medical Asst. Network & Data Comm. Analyst Physician Asst. Social & Human Serv. Asst. Home Health Aide Med. Rec. & Health Info. Techn. Phys. Therapist Aide Software Engineer, Applications Software Engineer, Systems Phys. Therap. Asst. 4.9% 4.9% 4.8% 4.7% 4.6% 4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 5.7%

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Page 39

University of Illinois Share of State Tax Appropriations FY 1980 to FY 2008


5.0%

Average Compounded Annual Increases FY 1990 FY 2008


8% 7% 7.5%

4.5%
4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5%
2.4%

$1,291.1M

6% 5%

$594.5M

4% 3% 2% 1.3%

3.3% 2.8%

3.6%

$696.6M

1% 0% General Undergraduate Tuition Rate


CPI: Consumer Price Index, BLS

2.0%

FY02 FY08 excludes $45 million reduction to Universities for Health Insurance

State Appropriations (GRF)

State Appropriations + Undergraduate Tuition Revenue

CPI

Direct Appropriations + Payments on Behalf

University of Illinois Payments on Behalf


1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Compounded Annual Rate Retirement $39,573.5 34,823.7 34,388.5 31,730.3 32,266.0 35,069.2 49,543.7 63,881.4 81,625.3 87,425.1 90,606.5 94,267.3 99,014.4 112,980.6 727,269.3 114,279.8 70,462.8 107,981.7 6.1% Fringe Benefits $29,300.1 39,976.4 39,151.6 40,936.2 65,845.6 62,447.3 90,252.7 95,138.7 103,342.2 112,200.3 127,261.8 154,420.1 157,024.2 169,170.4 210,084.4 232,952.6 257,464.0 268,675.0 13.9% Health Insurance Total $68,873.6 74,800.1 73,540.1 72,666.5 98,111.6 97,516.5 139,796.4 159,020.1 184,967.5 199,625.4 217,868.3 248,687.4 280,931.8 307,044.2 962,246.9 372,125.6 352,820.0 401,549.9 10.9% % Change 8.6% -1.7% -1.2% 35.0% -0.6% 43.4% 13.8% 16.3% 7.9% 9.1% 14.1% 13.0% 9.3% 213.4% -61.3% -5.2% 13.8%

State of Illinois General Fund Appropriation FY 2008


All Other SURS 6.8% 0.2% Community Colleges 14.1%

U of I 31.5%

Student Aid 19.5%

24,893.2 24,893.2 24,893.2 24,893.2 24,893.2 24,893.2

Other Public Universities 27.9%

$2.2 Billion
Sources: IBHE tables for Higher Education - final budget as signed by Governor. Note: Health Insurance redirection of $45 million has been moved from Public Universities to All Other.

Note: 2004 includes proceeds from bond sale.

Page 40

University of Illinois Budget by Source of Funds FY 1980, FY 2008 and Projected FY 2018

FY 1980
Auxiliaries 13.9% Hospital/ Medical 10.9% State Taxes 44.5%

FY 2008
Auxiliaries 13.4% Hospital/ Medical 14.0% State Taxes 18.6%

Projected FY 2018
Auxiliaries 10.9% Hospital/ Medical 15.8% State Taxes 11.0% Payments on Behalf 15.3%

Payments on Behalf 11.3%

Grants/ Contracts 20.4%

Tuition Payments 5.7% on Behalf 4.6%

Grants/ Contracts 26.8%

AFMFA 0.5%

Tuition 15.4%

Grants/ Contracts 24.9%

AFMFA 0.7%

Tuition 21.4%

$641.7 Million

$3,899.8 Million

$7,499.5 Million
Based on FY 1996-2008 Trends.

Page 41

University of Illinois All Source of Funds FY 1990 FY 2008 (Dollars in Millions)


$4,000
40%

University of Illinois All Source of Funds as a % of Total Budget FY 1990 FY 2008

Hospital $3,000 Gifts/Grants/Contracts AFMFA $2,000 Self Supporting Institutional Funds Income Fund $1,000

35%

30%
Gifts/Grants/Contracts

25%
State Funds

20%
Self Supporting

Income Fund

15%

Payments on Behalf
Payments on Behalf

GRF/EAF $0

10%
Institutional Funds

5%
Hospital AFMFA

Sources: Budget Summary for Operations, state payments on behalf, and RAMP. Waivers excluded.
FY90-FY95 state funds adjusted to include UIS. GRF for FY02 FY08 exclude $24.9 million for Health Insurance, Payments on Behalf adjusted to include the $24.9 million.

0% FY90 FY91 FY92 FY93 FY94 FY95 FY96 FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08
Sources: Budget Summary for Operations, state payments on behalf, and RAMP. Waivers excluded. FY90-FY95 state funds adjusted to include UIS. GRF for FY02 - FY08 exclude $24.9 million for Health Insurance, Payments on Behalf adjusted to include the $24.9 million.

University of Illinois Cumulative Growth FY 1990 FY 2008


600%
Payments on Behalf

State & Tuition Pay for Instructional Function Expenditures by Function FY 2006
$600
(Dollars in Millions)

Non-State
$500
$17.6

525%

State & Tuition

450%
$400
Income Fund

375%
Hospital

$300

$484.2

$509.4 $501.4

300%
Institutional Funds

225%
Gifts/Grants/Contracts

$200

$40.6

$74.9
$18.6

$254.3
$239.2

150%
Self Supporting

$100

$188.4 $143.1 $132.0 $72.7 $46.7


$44.3

$70.3 $45.0 $37.7 $53.4

75%
State Funds

$0

0% FY90 FY91 FY92 FY93 FY94 FY95 FY96 FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08
Sources: Budget Summary for Operations, state payments on behalf, and RAMP. Waivers excluded.
FY90-FY95 state funds adjusted to include UIS. GRF for FY02 FY08 exclude $24.9 million for Health Insurance, Payments on Behalf adjusted to include the $24.9 million.

Page 42

The Center: The Top American Research Universities (August 2002)

Total Endowment-Equivalent Adjusted for Student FTE Enrollment


Universities with More Than $20 Million in Federal Research in Rank Order
$18
$16
Harvard off-scale at $31.1 Billion

Adjusted Total Endowment-Equivalent (in Billions)

An Annual Report from The Lombardi Program on Measuring University Performance Intended to assess the relative economic strength of research universities Evaluated universities based on the market value of their endowments and an endowment equivalent calculation for other revenue streams
Endowment equivalent is the amount of endowment that would be required to generate the revenue stream (assuming a 4.5% growth) Revenue streams included annual giving, tuition and fees, and state appropriations Adjusted for size based on student enrollment Used FY 1999 data

Michigan Stanford Minnesota

Private (N=39) Public (N=80)

$14 $12 $10

Berkeley

Ohio State Northwestern

Chicago

$8 $6 $4 $2
12 Private 12 Private

UIUCTexas
Iowa

UIC

Arizona State Oregon State Colorado

Public institutions can compete with private institutions because of the significant state support received

12 Private

12 Private

12 Private

12 Private

8 Public

8 Public

8 Public

8 Public

8 Public

8 Public

$0
0 20 40 60
Rank Among All 119 Research Universities

80

100

120

2005 Adjusted Total Endowment-Equivalent Based on The Centers Methodology UIUC Peer Institutions (in billions)
$25.0
Endow Asset Market Value Endow-Equiv State Appn Endow-Equiv Annual Giving Endow-Equiv Tuition and Fees

2005 Adjusted Total Endowment-Equivalent Based on The Centers Methodology UIC IBHE Peer Institutions (in billions)
$12
Endow Asset Market Value Endow-Equiv State Appn Endow-Equiv Annual Giving Endow-Equiv Tuition and Fees

$10

$20.0

UIC
$8

$15.0

UIUC
$6

$10.0

$4

$5.0

$2 $0
Da vi hi yl s ga an n d, St C at ol e leg eP ar k Ar iz on a G eo rg ia Te m pl e Fl
C Te as hi xa ng s to n Un iv . UC SD Br ow n Ro ch es te r LA bi a US C Be rk el W ey as hi ng Jo to hn n sH op No ki rt ns h C ar No ol in rt a he we ste rn nn sy lv an ia isc on sin e hi ga n Du ke Ya l Ch ica UC um UI U NY

M ic

Pe

Co l

M ar

M ic

UC

go

or id

Ut ah

$0.0

2005 annual giving data was not available for Wayne State. We used 2001 data as a proxy for 2004.

AS VP U Ia nd M St as at sa e ch us et ts De la w ar e UC Ir vi Fl ne or id aS ta te UC Sa UI nt C a Ba rb W ar ay a ne Vi St at rg e in ia H ,C aw om ai i m on we at h O re go n Ve r UC mo nt Ri ve rs id e

Page 43

Big Ten University and Foundation Endowments


(Dollars in Billions)
FY 2006
$6
$5.7 $5.1

Percentage Growth from 1995-2006


975% 900% 825% 750% 675% 600% 525% 450% 375% 300% 225% 150% 75% 0%

$5
$4 $3
$2.2

$2 $1 $0

$2.0 $1.7 $1.5


$1.3

$1.3

$1.3

$1.0

$0.8

Source: NACUBO Endowment Study FY 2006.

Source: NACUBO Endowment Study FY 2006.

Big Ten University and Foundation Endowments


25%
$6 2006 $5 $4 2005 1995 1985

Annual Change in Endowment Spending

20%

15% 12.2 % 10%


Compounded Annual Rate

$3
$2 $1 $0

5%

0%

-5%
Source: NACUBO Endowment Study FY 2006.

Page 44

Public Higher Education Capital Appropriation History FY 1999 to FY 2007 (Dollars in Thousands)
$180 $160

U of I Capital Appropriations FY 1995 to FY 2007 (Dollars in Millions)


$165.9

U of I FY 1999 FY 2000 FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 $ 37,310.10 80,685.60 46,821.90 165,949.40 126,335.00 12,735.00

SIU $ 14,274.70 29,938.50 42,573.80 22,730.00 30,072.10 5,752.50

Other Public

ICCB

Other $ 1,310.00 11,000.00 415.00 2,000.00 13,943.80 -

Total $ 138,814.10 317,288.30 205,574.70 371,372.80 296,341.40 111,732.50


$140 $120 $100 $80.7 $80 $60 $46.8 $41.8 $40 $20 $0.0 $0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 $30.5 $27.8 $21.1

$140.1

$ 33,877.40 $ 52,041.90 99,474.90 96,189.30 52,231.50 63,532.50 104,957.00 75,736.40 45,311.30 80,679.20 34,137.40 59,107.60 NO APPROPRIATIONS NO APPROPRIATIONS NO APPROPRIATIONS

$12.7 $0.0 2003 2004 2005 $0.0 2006 $0.0 2007

Repair & Renovation

Regular Capital

Designated Projects

Total Debt by Type


Dollars in Millions $1,543.5
Dollars in Millions

Total Debt by Campus


$1,543.5

$1,322.2 $1,202.2 $1,098.7


$1,018.1

$1,322.2

$1,202.2 $1,098.7 $1,018.1


$1,131.0

$1,131.0

$803.1

$803.1
$692.4

$692.4

$387.0

$385.5

$422.2

$387.0

$385.5

$422.2

Page 45

Economy and Budget Implications for the University of Illinois


The economic value of higher education to the individual especially those with postbaccalaureate degrees continues to grow. The U.S. economy will continue to grow, but at a slower rate. Health care costs continue to grow at a more rapid rate than general inflation and earnings which has an impact on both the national economy and governmental spending at all levels. The states fiscal situation, while somewhat improved, faces continued challenges in the coming years. Health care and pension obligation costs are expected to continue rising rapidly and will likely outpace any state revenue growth realized resulting in continued constraints on discretionary spending in the state budget (e.g., higher education). The state has greatly increased its debt burden in the last four years creating a reluctance among state policymakers to fund additional capital improvements. At the same time, the University must increasingly rely on internal sources for funding capital projects which in turn has contributed to increased debt service levels. The University has become more reliant on multiple revenue streams and state policymakers may interpret this trend as meaning the University can more easily absorb reductions or at least flat funding in the general appropriation.

Page 46

Research, Technology, and Economic Development

Page 47

Trends in Federal R&D Funding


Federal Outlays for R&D All Agencies
Annual Percentage Change
20% 20% 15%

Federal Outlays for R&D National Institute of Health


Annual Percentage Change

15%

10%
10% 5%

5%
0% 0% -5% -10%

-5%

Federal Outlays for R&D National Science Foundation


Annual Percentage Change
20%

Federal R&D Budget Proposal (Dollars in Millions)

15%

10%

5%

0%

-5%

FY 2006 Actual $ 73,043 26,695 7,529 1,156 3,707 1,779 8,886 $ 122,795

FY 2007 Estimate $ 75,481 26,974 9,174 1,241 3,943 1,795 9,533 $ 128,141

FY 2008 Estimate $ 72,935 27,580 10,114 1,409 3,894 1,734 9,345 $ 127,011

% Change 2007-2008 -3.4% 2.2% 10.2% 13.5% -1.2% -3.4% -2.0% -0.9%

Page 48

Total Research and Development Expenditures of Carnegie Research I Institutions, FY 2005

Quartile 1 Rank Institution Total Rank

Quartile 2 Institution Total

Johns Hopkins University

$1,443,792

24

University of Pittsburgh, All Campuses

$510,943

2
3

University of Michigan, All Campuses


University of Wisconsin-Madison

$808,887
$798,099

25
26

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign


Harvard University

$499,711
$447,196

4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

University of California-Los Angeles


University of California-San Francisco University of California-San Diego Stanford University University of Washington - Seattle University of Pennsylvania Duke University Pennsylvania State U, All Campuses Ohio State University, All Campuses Cornell University, All Campuses Massachusetts Institute of Technology University of California-Berkeley Texas A&M University, All Campuses University of Minnesota, All Campuses University of California-Davis Columbia University in the City of New York Washington University University of Florida University of Arizona University of Colorado, All Campuses

$785,625
$754,444 $721,035 $714,897 $707,519 $654,982 $630,752 $625,764 $608,923 $606,804 $580,742 $554,551 $552,897 $548,873 $546,978 $535,424 $531,846 $530,734 $530,233 $517,067

27
28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46

University of Southern California


University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Yale University Georgia Institute of Technology, All Campuses University of Texas at Austin Northwestern Univ Purdue University, All Campuses Louisiana State Univ, All Campuses Vanderbilt University University of Rochester University of Maryland at College Park University of Iowa Michigan State University Emory University University of Nebraska Central Admin Sys Off Case Western Reserve University University of Alabama at Birmingham University of Illinois at Chicago University of Georgia Rutgers the State Univ of NJ, All Campuses

$445,036
$441,033 $431,618 $425,386 $410,981 $387,242 $364,986 $356,828 $350,433 $345,337 $338,648 $334,144 $333,735 $333,665 $333,126 $323,618 $318,536 $318,279 $316,806 $309,531

Note: Totals reported in thousands

.
Page 50

Source: National Science Foundation

University of Illinois Rank Among AAU Institutions on Selected Quality Indicators


No. Doctorates Awarded USDA Obligations State/Local R & D Spending Federal R & D Spending Urbana-Champaign Campus
Rank (N = 61)

No. Faculty Citations No. Post doctorates

- Actual -

Rank (N = 61)

- Per 100 Faculty -

10
10 20 30 40 50 60 61 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01
Year Rank (N = 61)

10
10 20 30 40 50 60 61 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01
Year

'02

'03

'04

'05

'06

Chicago Campus
Rank (N = 61)

- Actual -

- Per 100 Faculty -

10
10 20 30 40 50 60 61 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01
Year

10

10 20 30 40 50 60 61
'02 '03 '04 '05 '06

'96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06
Year
Page 50

Sources: National Science FoundationUSDA Obligations, State/Local and Federal R & D spending, No. Post doctorates; IPEDSNo. Doctorates; Thomson ISINo. Faculty Citations.

International Comparison: Production of Undergraduate Degrees in Natural Sciences and Engineering

Number of Degrees Per 100 24-Year-Olds Oceania (Australia, NZ) Europe U.S. North/Central America All Regions Asia South America Middle East Sub-Saharan Africa 0.7 2.2 1.9 1.8 3 5 5.7 7.7 11.8

Note: Natural sciences include physical, biological, earth, atmospheric, ocean, agricultural, and computer sciences, and mathematics. Data include terminal undergraduate degrees only (e.g., bachelors degrees). Source: National Science Foundation (NSF), Science and Engineering Indicators 2006.
Page 51

International Comparison: Doctoral Degrees Granted in Natural Sciences and Engineering (1993 2003)
30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

0 1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

China Taiwan

Germany United Kingdom

India United States

Japan

Notes: Natural sciences include physical, biological, earth, atmospheric, ocean, agricultural, and computer sciences, and mathematics. Data for China ends in 2001. Data for all countries include degrees granted to both native and foreign national students. Source: National Science Foundation (NSF), Science and Engineering Indicators 2006.

Page 52

University of Illinois Technology Transfer U.S. Patents


Applications Filed FY 1999 FY 2007
350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 FY99 FY00 FY01 UIC FY02 FY03 UIUC FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07

Technology Disclosures FY 1999 FY 2007


350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 FY99 FY00 FY01 UIC FY02 FY03 UIUC FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07

Total

Total

Issued FY 1999 FY 2007

Licenses & Options Executed FY 1999 FY 2007


200

200

150

150

100

100

50

50

0 FY99 FY00 FY01 UIC FY02 FY03 UIUC FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07

0 FY99 FY00 FY01 UIC FY02 FY03 UIUC FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07

Total

Total
Page 53

University Technology Transfer and Commercialization Performance Index


2000 - 2004
Rank 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. Institution Name Massachusetts Inst. Of Technology (MIT) University of California System California Institute of Technology Stanford University University of Florida University of Minnesota Brigham Young University University of British Columbia University of Michigan New York University Georgia Institute of Technology University of Pennsylvania University of Illinois, Chicago, Urbana-Champaign University of Utah University of Southern California Cornell Research Fdn., Inc. University of Virginia Patent Fndtn. Harvard University University of California, San Francisco North Carolina State University SUNY Research Foundation W.A.R.F./University of Wisconsin McGill University University of Washington/Wash. Res. Fdn. University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Overall Score 100.00 96.59 92.94 92.65 86.11 85.55 85.41 84.23 82.54 81.63 80.95 80.83 80.35 79.40 79.28 78.69 78.52 77.68 77.19 76.94 76.90 76.86 76.80 76.54 76.00

Brief Methodology Description The purpose of this index is to show performance in the overall commercialization pipeline, including all research fields. The four criteria (outcome measures) that factor into the overall score are Patents Issued, Licenses Executed, Licensing Income, and Startups. A weighted average of the scores in these areas was computed. The Licensing Income and Startups scores received the highest weights since they are the most direct outcome measures. The overall scores have been re-benchmarked to 100 in order to form an index.

Page 54 SOURCE: Milken Institute. Mind to Market: A Global Analysis of University Biotechnology Transfer and Commercialization. September 2006.

Energy Costs Cumulative Increases


350% 300% 250% Texas WTI Crude 200% Wellhead Natural Gas

Total UI Utility Production Cost


150% 100% 50% Anthracite 0% -50%

Energy Use Projections

Source: Energy Information Administration (www.eia.doe.gov)

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Energy. http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/world.html

Page 55

Renewable Energys Role in U.S. Supply

Illinois Renewable Energy Presence


Figure 1: The Role of Renewable Energy Consumption in the Nations Energy Supply, 2006
Source: Department of Energy. http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/solar.renewables/page/prelim_trends/rea_prereport.html

Wind is the worlds fastest growing energy technology. Illinois currently has 6 ethanol plants in operation and 1 under construction. Illinois corn is used to produce 40% of the ethanol consumed in the U.S. Investment by the ethanol industry in Illinois exceeds $1 billion, generating 800 jobs in plant operations and 4,000 jobs in the industry-related service sector. ADM is the largest producer of fuel ethanol in the U.S. UIs Renewable Energy Efforts: UIUC will build 3 wind turbines on the South Farms to provide electricity and serve as a demonstration to farmers (2007). UIUCs new business building will be its first sustainable building, utilizing solar panels and other clean technologies.
OECD Renewable Energy Supply Growth

Illinois Nuclear Presence Illinois has 6 nuclear power plants, the largest family of nuclear facilities in the Nation. Over half of Illinois power is derived from nuclear. Illinois nuclear generation capacity is greater than any other state and all but seven world nations. Illinois is also home to the Department of Energys Argonne National Laboratory and Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory (Fermilab). Argonne has a long history of research and development in nuclear reactor technology. Fermilab conducts research on the frontier of high energy physics and related disciplines. University of Illinois faculty have a history of collaboration with researchers at both facilities.
Million tons of oil equivalent (Mtoe)

Source: Illinois Corn Growers Association. http://www.ilcorn.org/Ethanol/EthanolFact/ethanolfact.html

Hydro 350

Geothermal

Solar, Tide, Wind, etc.

Combustible Renewables and Waste

300

250

200

150

100

50

0
Source: Department of Energy. http://www.energy.gov/illinois.htm

1971

1974

1977

1980

1983

1986

1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

Source: OECD. http://puck.sourceoecd.org/vl=9713047/cl=19/nw=1/rpsv/factbook/05-01-05-g01.htm

Page 56

Research, Technology, & Economic Development Implications for the University of Illinois

Federal R&D spending has slowed significantly in recent years and this pattern is likely to continue in the near term due to the slowing economy and other significant pressures on the federal budget (e.g., defense, homeland security). The bedrock of economic development through research and technology commercialization are top quality science and engineering faculty and students. Intense competition for science and faculty and students nationally and internationally coupled with stagnant state and federal funding will create serious challenges for major research institutions such at the University of Illinois as they attempt to maintain and enhance the quality and competitiveness of their research programs and technology commercialization endeavors. Land grant and other major research universities are increasingly expected to have technology transfer as a key part of their overall economic development mission. The Universitys efforts in this area have grown considerably in recent years although many technical and competitive opportunities (and challenges) remain. Global interest in renewable energy sources will continue to grow in the future due to the overall increase in demand and continued concerns about the cost and supply of fossil fuels and other traditional energy sources. The University has an opportunity to take a leadership role in energy research and development given its proximity to traditional (e.g., coal, nuclear) and renewable (e.g., biomass, wind) energy sources and its fundamental strengths in science and engineering disciplines.

Page 57

Political Landscape

Page 58

Illinois House of Representatives Membership

U.S. House of Representatives Membership

Republican Democrat

51 67

Republican

200

Democrat

233

20

40

60

80

50

100

150

200

250

* Excludes two vacancies. Source: Office of the Clerk, U.S House of Representatives Web site.

Illinois Senate Membership

U.S. Senate Membership


2

Independent

22 37

Independent

Republican Democrat

Republican Democrat

49 49

10

20

30

40

20

40

60

Source: Illinois General Assembly Web site.

Source: US Senate Statistics party division. history Web site.

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Illinoisans Support for State Higher Education Spending Increases, 2005 -2006
Public schools K-12 Financial Aid for IL College Students
Medical care Higher education Public health Job training for unemployed
67%
78% 75%

Illinoisans Willingness to Pay to Maintain Service Levels, 2004


Public schools K-12 Medical care TANF Public health Protecting air & water
80% 78% 73% 72%
67% 67% 66% 59% 56% 47% 47% 42%

Not Asked in 2005


64% 63%
60% 58% 59% 57% 58% 62% 55% 59%

Economic development Job training Higher education Preschool Public safety 2006
2005

Low-income families Environment


Job training for employed Repair roads Building new roads Prisons
22% 22% 20% 17%

52% 49% 37% 35%


36% 35%

Protecting open spaces


Public transportation

0%
Region Statewide Chicago Suburban Cook

25%

50%

75%
Age 18 - 24 25 - 34

100%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

Illinoisans Support for State Higher Education Spending Increases, 2006


75%

Income Under $21,000

64% 75%

$21,000 - $34,999
62%

$35,000 - $55,999

60%
56% 61%

35 - 44 45 - 54
55 - 64 65 + 0% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 25%
47%

60%

Collar Counties
Northern IL Central IL

$56,000 - $99,999
57%

$100,000 - $149,999
Over $150,000
48%

56%

Southern IL
50% 75% 100%

0%

25% 50% 75% 100%


59%
61% 60%

Ethnicity
Non-Hispanic
57%

Education College graduate Some college

Race
Other
88%

Hispanic
Asian
72%

88%

High school or less 100% 0% 25%

Gender
Black
69%

0%

25%

50%
61%

75%

50%
62%

75%

100%

Female Male
75% 100%

Political party Independent


Republican
33%

White

55%

58%

Democrat
0% Source: Northern Illinois University, 2005 and 2007 Illinois Policy Survey
0% 25% 50%

70%

25%

50%

75%

100%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%
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Political Landscape Implications for the University of Illinois

Higher education issues have traditionally been state concerns, but Congress also has become much more interested in issues related to higher educations affordability and public accountability. Growing public concern over affordability and recent legislation (e.g., Truth in Tuition) will make major increases in tuition challenging to achieve. Congress is also interested in an array of issues concerned with Homeland Security, which will have implications for privacy and student issues. The P-16 education continuum has been truncated in the minds of many state policymakers and no longer includes higher education; there is, however, a significant focus on issues related to K-12 education and its financing. While the University enjoys a broad base of support within the General Assembly, the dominance of other issues facing the state legislature (e.g., health care, pensions, K-12 education) make it difficult to advance the Universitys (or higher educations) interests. There is growing interest at both the state and national levels in creating complex data systems that would provide policy makers and the general public with detailed information on student progress through the P-16 educational pipeline and beyond to the work place.
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Sources
External Sources U.S. Bureau of the Census WICHE Enrollment Projections 2006 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Post Secondary Education Opportunity Newsletter National Science Foundation Science and Engineering Indicators 2007 National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) U.S. Office of Trade and Economic Analysis U.S. Office of Management and Budget TIAA-CREF Institute Quarterly Illinois Economic and Fiscal Commission Milken Institute Governors State Budget Recommendations for FY 2008 House Democratic Budget Summit Document FY 2008 Northern Illinois University 2007 Illinois Policy Survey U of I Reports Profile of Students, Faculty and Staff by Race/Ethnic Group, Gender and Disability Financial Aid Survey University Office for Planning and Budgeting Employment Statistics FY 2008 Budget Request for Operating and Capital Funds Institute for Government and Public Affairs Budget Summary for Operations Annual Report Technology Commercialization Activities

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