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Product Improvements
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Product Newness
40
10
Research Reports
Sometimes Claimed
Although you may hear much higher percentages, careful studies supported by research evidence suggest that about 40% of new products fail -- somewhat higher for consumer products, somewhat lower for business-to-business products.
Value
Time
Cost
Phase 4: Development
(Technical Tasks) Specify the full development process, and its deliverables. Undertake to design prototypes, test and validate prototypes against protocol, design and validate production process for the best prototype, slowly scale up production as necessary for product and market testing. (Marketing Tasks) Prepare strategy, tactics, and launch details for marketing plan, prepare proposed business plan and get approval for it, stipulate product augmentation (service, packaging, branding, etc.) and prepare for it.
Phase 5: Launch
Commercialize the plans and prototypes from development phase, begin distribution and sale of the new product (maybe on a limited basis) and manage the launch program to achieve the goals and objectives set in the PIC (as modified in the final business plan).
Source: Allan J. Magrath, Envisioning Greenfield Markets, Across the Board, May 1998, pp. 26-30.
Corporate Strengths
New products in this firm will: Use our fine furniture designers (Herman Miller) Gain value by being bottled in our bottling system (CocaCola) Utilize innovative design (Braun) Be for babies and only babies (Gerber) Be for all sports, not just shoes (Nike) Be for all people in computers (IBM) Proliferate our product lines (Rubbermaid) Be almost impossible to create (Polaroid) Use only internal R&D (Bausch & Lomb) Not threaten P&G (Colgate)
Focus At least one clear technology dimension and one clear market dimension. They match and have good potential.
Goals-Objectives What the project will accomplish, either short-term as objectives or longerterm as goals. Evaluation measurements.
Guidelines Any "rules of the road," requirements imposed by the situation or by upper management. Innovativeness, order of market entry, time/quality/cost, miscellaneous.
Source: Adapted from Robert G. Cooper, Scott J. Edgett, and Elko J. Kleinschmidt. Portfolio Management for New Products, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada, 1997, p. 63.
Concept Generation
Need
Form C
C= Concepts
Technology
New Product
Scenario Analysis
Extending vs. leaping Using seed trends for an extend scenario Techniques:
Follow trend people/trend areas Hot products Prediction of technological changeover Cross-impact analysis
Gap Analysis
Determinant gap map (produced from managerial input/judgment on products) AR perceptual gap map (based on attribute ratings by customers) OS perceptual map (based on overall similarities ratings by customers)
1. Attractive design 2. Stylish 3. Comfortable to wear 4. Fashionable 5. I feel good when I wear it 6. Is ideal for swimming 7. Looks like a designer label 8. Easy to swim in 9. In style 10. Great appearance 11. Comfortable to swim in 12. This is a desirable label 13. Gives me the look I like 14. I like the colors it comes in 15. Is functional for swimming
1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5 1..2..3..4..5
Islands
Sunflare
Islands
Molokai
-2
Splash
Fashion
Sunflare
Gap 2
-2
Regular Regular Regular Regular Regular Regular Thick Thick Thick Thick Thick Thick Extra-Thick Extra-Thick Extra-Thick Extra-Thick Extra-Thick Extra-Thick
Mild Mild Medium-Hot Medium-Hot Extra-Hot Extra-Hot Mild Mild Medium-Hot Medium-Hot Extra-Hot Extra-Hot Mild Mild Medium-Hot Medium-Hot Extra-Hot Extra-Hot
Red Green Red Green Red Green Red Green Red Green Red Green Red Green Red Green Red Green
Thickness
2 1 0 -1 -2
Regular Thick Ex-Thick Mild
Spiciness
Color
Medium-Hot
Ex-Hot Red
Green
0.161
0.913
-1.074 1.667
0.105
-1.774 -0.161
0.161
Spiciness
Thickness
Color
Relationships Analysis
Force combinations of dimensions (features, functions, and benefits) together. Techniques: Two-dimensional matrix Multidimensional (morphological) matrix Two-dimensional example: person/animal insured and event insured against. Household cleaning products example used six dimensions: Instrument used, ingredients used, objects cleaned, type of container, substances removed, texture or form of cleaner
Concept/Project Evaluation
Decision
Cells AA and BB are correct decisions. Cells BA and AB are errors, but they have different cost and probability dimensions.
Potholes
Know what the really damaging problems are for your firm and focus on them when evaluating concepts. Example: Campbell Soup focuses on: 1. Manufacturing Cost 2. Taste
People
Proposal may be hard to stop once there is buy-in on the concept. Need tough demanding hurdles, especially late in new products process. Personal risk associated with new product development. Need system that protects developers and offers reassurance (if warranted).
Surrogates
Surrogate questions give clues to the real answer.
Real Question Will they prefer it? after Will cost be competitive? Will competition leap in? Will it sell? Surrogate Question Did they keep the prototype product we gave them the concept test? Does it match our manufacturing skills? What did they do last time? Did it do well in field testing?
X X
Concept Testing
Screening Alternatives
Judgment/Managerial Opinion Concept Test followed by Sales Forecast
(if only issue is whether consumers will like it)
Scoring Models
Answer: Go boating.
The Scorers
Scoring Team:
Major Functions (marketing, technical, operations, finance) New Products Managers Staff Specialists (IT, distribution, procurement, PR, HR)
A Profile Sheet
Improve your existing new products process. Use the life cycle concept of financial analysis. Reduce dependence on poor forecasts.
Forecast what you know. Approve situations, not numbers (recall Campbell Soup example) Commit to low-cost development and marketing. Be prepared to handle the risks. Dont use one standard format for financial analysis.
Cost of Capital
Risk
Avg. Risk of Firm Risk on Proposed Product
Explanation: the hurdles should reflect a products purpose, or assignment. Example: we might accept a very low share increase for an item that simply capitalized on our existing market position.