Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
John C. Mankins
October 2003
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INTRODUCTION
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We are developing a robust, integrated exploration strategy to guide our investments. Through our new building block capabilities and scientific discoveries, we create stepping stones to the future
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INTRODUCTION
The Moon
Sun-Earth L2
Mars
Asteroids
Beyond...
the
After 2025+
Sustainable Campaigns
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New Concepts
Create Innovative Concepts -- and Drive out Opportunities/Needs for Revolutionary Advances in Technology
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The second meeting was held at the National Space Science and Technology Center (NSSTC) at the University of Alabama, Huntsville (UAH) in June 2003
The focus was on identifying and assessing candidate technology options and opportunities for the future
The 3rd TSCT TI was held at CalTech and at the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory during October 14-17, 2003
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Multiple applications for the Design Architectures is a goal It is possible that a particular type of system may be useful in meeting the requirements of more than one OPTION
Alternatively, it is possible that a particular technology and/or subsystem will be used to meeting the requirements of more than one OPTION
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GEO
GEO ASSET
OSP
OSP
LEO Tanker and OSP
OSP
L1 Architecture
SunEarth L1
Observatories to-from L1 low-energy via transfers EarthMoon L1 XTV Refuels at L1
Lunar Architecture
Landing Leg
Descent Ascent
Return Leg
Outbound Leg
B A
Propellant Tankers
OSP
OSP
LEO Tanker and OSP
OSP
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11 1
1 % EXPENDED 1 11 1
11 1
(KG, 1111 s)
FOR CONSUMED MISSION HARDWARE AVERAGING ABOUT $ 11 kg , 111 / NOT INCLUDING NEW CAPABILITY
1 % EXPENDED 1
11 1
Range of Interest
Typical Dry Mass for a Human Lunar Mission - UPPER Limit Sustainable Approach
1 1
55 Typical Dry Mass for a Human Lunar Mission - LOWER Limit 1 1 1 1 EXPENDED 1%
Updated Apollo
11 1
11 1
11 11
Reusable Space Systems critical to reducing excessive expendable hardware costs of Apollo-derived architectures.
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Initial
M-1
M-2
M-3
M-4
M-5
M-6
M-7
M-8
M-9
M-10
Sustainable Approach
7x
Initial
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M-1
M-2
M-3
M-4
M-5
M-6
M-7
M-8
M-9
M-10
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Why Intelligent Modular Systems? Cost-Risk Improvement Notional Example: Modular Systems in Future Missions
Case A: Integrated System system
mass @ ~25 t
$$(1111 ) , .11 $(1111 ) , .11 $(1111 ) , .11 $(1111 ) , .11 $(1111 ) , .11 $(1111 ) , .11
Cost ($, M)
Integrated Modular
Mission Cost-Risk
Redundant, modular subsystems and interfaces critical to reliability of reusable in-space systems. May also reduce non-recurring costs.
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14000
When assessing manufacturing in Large Lot Sizes, Space Systems/Subsystems should be cost-estimated according to this type of curve
ASSERTION:
8000
6000
This suggests a strategic line of attack on the challenge of Affordable Space Systems
4000
2000
50
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250
500
750
1000
1250
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1 1
1
e.g., ~1Beyond LEO Missions Every Year Opera tions @ 1111 , People Opera tions @ 1111 , People
R ange of Interest
Opera tions @ 111 People Opera tions @ 1111 , People
1 1
11 1
11 1
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300 mT 250 mT 200 mT 150 mT 100 mT 50 mT Apollo-Type Expendable, Chemical, with Direct Entry Sustainable Reusable, with High Energy Modular Excessive Mass Reusable, with Chemical Propulsion
High-energy electric propulsion critical to reducing excessive propellant mass of reusable architectures.
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15 mT
Pre-Deployment
Pre-Deployment
Pre-Deployment
Payload
10 mT
None
None
Libration Points
Lunar Orbit
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Other Benefits
S-E L1
LLO
V ~ 11111 -1 m/s
E-M L1
V High-T ~ 1111 , m/s V Low-T ~ 1111 , m/s V High-T ~ 1111 m/s V Low-T ~ 3 .333 m/s V High-T ~ 1111 , m/s V Low-T ~ 1111 , m/s
GEO
V ~ 111 m/s
V High-T ~ 3 ,333 m/s V Low-T ~ 1111 , m/s V High-T ~ 1111 , m/s V Low-T ~ 1111 , m/s
LTO Lunar Transfer Orbit LLO Low Lunar Orbit SE L1 Sun-Earth Libration Point L1 EM L1 Earth-Moon Libration Point L1 GEO Geostationary Orbit GTO GEO Transfer Orbit LEO Low Earth Orbit
September 1111
GTO
LEO
V ~11 km/s
Working Notes EML1 trans-lunar trajectory to Lunar Orbit Insertion Deorbit & Landing Total ~555 m/s ~ 111 m/s ~5555 m/s ~1111 m/s
Earth
HRE_1111 _Mankins_ 1 1
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Other Benefits
DoD Mid-Inclination Orbit Reusable (1) GEO Payload Deployment Injection Stage Lunar L1 Halo Orbit Lunar Orbit GPS Orbit GEO Transfer Orbit Lunar Surface Cargo Delivery(2) Trans-Mars Injection
(3)
1 1
1 1
GEO
1 1
1 1
Lunar L1
1
Jupiter Mars
Escape
Pluto
SEP Stage(4)
1 -11
1 1
1 1
1 1
1 1
1 1
1 1
1 1
1 1
1 1
11 1
11 1
11 1
C1(km1 1 /s )
Notes:
1. 2. 3. 4. RIS returns to LEO via propulsive capture SEP delivers RIS and payload to lunar orbit. RIS is expended on lunar surface. Mars/Deep Space missions assume RIS is expended SEP Stage outbound trip times limited to no longer than 270 days
*Element Specs consistent with Space-based XTV / LEO Propulsive Capture / LOR Architecture
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To anywhere on the Lunar Surface where the sun shineswith precision (< 100 m error ellipse) and reliability (>99.5% reliability) A safe, functional PAYLOAD, (pressurized or un-pressurized) of
OPTION 1 -- 20 kg OPTION 2 -- 100 kg OPTION 3 -- 500 kg OPTION 4 -- 2,500 kg OPTION 5 -- 12,500 kg Either to 28.5, 400 km circular, or to ISS OPTION 1 -- 2 kg OPTION 2 -- 10 kg OPTION 3 -- 500 kg OPTION 4 -- 2,500 kg OPTION 5 -- 12,500 kg
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DA -No.
(or Libration)
(or Libration)
LEO, LLO
Propulsive
(Cryo)
Partial
High-Energy Direct Entry High-Energy Direct Entry High-Energy Aerobraking to LEO Propulsive to LEO Propulsive to LEO Various Options
Significant
Moderate
TBD
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Design Arch.
Modular, Reusable, SEP/Cryogen Prop. NEP, Modular, Reusable Cryogen Prop Excursion Chemical / Expendable / Staged Cryogenic / Expendable/ Staged Chem-/CryoPropulsion with Aerobraking ISRU Enabled, Lunar Surface Refueling and Operations Expendable NTR Shuttle, Reusable Cryo-Prop Excursion Far-Term Space Infrastructures
Re-startable, Reliable and Throttleable Cryo Propulsion Re-startable, Reliable and Throttleable Cryo Propulsion High-Energy Direct Entry High-Energy Direct Entry Re-startable, Reliable and Throttleable Cryo Propulsion Re-startable, Reliable and Throttleable Cryo Propulsion Re-startable, Reliable and Throttleable Cryo Propulsion Advanced, Robust Structural Tether Concepts
Architecture-Critical Technologies
Long-Lived, High-Power EM Propulsion Long-Lived, High-Power EM Propulsion Long-Lived, Long-Duration, High-Power, Low Low-Loss Mass Solar Cryogen Electric Power Mgt/Storage/xfer Long-Lived, High-Power, Low Mass NEP Long-Duration, Low-Loss Cryogen Mgt/Storage/xfer
Cryogen Management and Storage High-Energy Aerobraking at Earth Return Lunar Surface ISRU Systems Cryogen Management and Storage Lunar Surface Power Long-Duration, Low-Loss Cryogen Mgt/Storage/xfer Lunar Surface Infrastructure Systems High-Energy Aerobraking at Earth Return Lunar Surface Infrastructure Systems Long-Duration, Low-Loss Cryogen Mgt/Storage/xfer
Plus Various
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High risk and high cost during period chosen (2010-2020); cannot satisfy full range of applications nor provide full scope of benefits Cannot satisfy full range of applications, nor provide benefits comparable to other options; also, operations costs higher than reusable cases Cannot satisfy full range of applications, nor provide benefits comparable to other options; also, operations costs higher than reusable cases
Very high technical risk and high cost during period chosen (2010-2020)
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DA -No.
Intelligent Vehicle/System Health Management High-Energy Solar Electric Power Reliable on-Board PMAD Systems Cryogenic Fluid Management, Storage, Transfer Advanced Materials & Structural Concepts Space Environmental Effects Habitation, EVA and Bioastronautics Space Assembly, Maintenance and Servicing High-Power Electric/Electromagnetic Propulsion Thermal Protection Systems Hazard Avoidance and Precision Landing Computing and Communications
October 2003
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Modular Elements
Meeting the Earth Neighborhood Transportation Challenge Synthesizing Concepts & Technologies (Proof of Principle)
O-2 O-3 O-4 O-5
OPTION 2 (1?)
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OPTION 3
OPTION 4
OPTION 5
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P/L
V
V
Type 1 Case A Case B P/L Case C Rough P/L Case D
Rough 500 kg LOX/LH2 2,500 kg LOX/LH2 12,500 kg LOX/LH2 100 kg LOX/LH2
Type 2
500 kg Chem 2,500 kg Chem 12,500 kg Chem 100 kg Chem
V
Lunar Surface Polar Site, Illuminated, 14 day duration
P/L
= Payload = Vehicle
V
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Configuration Options for Excursion Vehicle(s) Team-X Cases and Additional Alternate Options
2,500 kg p/l Case 500 kg p/l Case Alternate 500 kg p/l Case Alternate 2,500 kg p/l Case
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40
2,000
Leverage
30
1,500
20
1,000
10
500
20 kg
(N/A)
100 kg
(Rough)
500 kg
2,500 kg
12,500 kg
(N/A)
Payload
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Advanced Systems, Technologies, Research, and Analysis Strategic Technology Model for
ASTRA (1 of 2)
Flight Projects
Technology Demonstration
TRL 6
Technology Development
TRL 5 TRL 4
Basic Research
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1.0
1.1 Program and Systems Integration 1.3 Advanced Concepts Studies 1.5 System and Infrastructure Modeling
1.2 Mission and Market Studies 1.4 Technology -Systems Analysis 1.6 Technology and Systems Verification and Validation
2.0
3.0
4.0
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Many, Diverse Competing Technologies at a Low Level of Funding -- All Addressing Approximately the same functional capabilities... Starting Point: TRL 3/4
Technology Ready to Support Decisions to Proceed with Development of The Desired Capability...
In Most Cases
Goal: TRL 6
Where Needed 1 or 2 Best Candidate Systems-Level Technology Flight Demos at a Significant Level of Funding
Goal: TRL 7
Number of Competing Technologies Being Funded Total Resources Being Invested in a specific technology
TIME
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Conclusion
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Communications Satellites
Extension of Effective Operational Lifetime for Systems Beyond Low Earth Orbit
2- to 5- Fold Factors-of Improvement in Several Key Earth Neighborhood Space Systems Capabilities*
New Infrastructures
New Industries
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Keeping Perspective
October 2003
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