Climate Change and Its Impact On Business: Intelligence For Business B.V. Naim Kenan Hacievliyagil

Climate Change and its Impact on Business
Intelligence for Business b.v. Naim Kenan Hacievliyagil
13.03.2008
Bogazici Universitesi
Agenda

Introduction Status Quo Impact on Business

Policy Resources Business Policy Economics Business Policy Behavior Business Wrap up Basis of our approach How to help managerial decisions SVS Approach
How de we help clients

Discussion
Introduction

World has a threat Business has a challenge We propose a perspective Discussion: Economical system and threat
Introduction
Company Introduction Intelligence for Business b.v. (The Netherlands, Veenendaal) Program Management Project Management Clear Emphasis on SCM and Logistics Sustainability Services Customers:

Shell BASF DSM Rockwell Automation Friesland Foods
ASML Corporate Express Philips TU Delft
STATUS QUO
ANNUAL CO2 EMISSION
SEA
(NATURAL)
26 B EU
LAND
(NATURAL)
MANKIND SOURCED 26 B TON
NL
90 B TON
100 B TON
220M TON
5B TON
90 B
100 B Approximately 15% in excess of Natures regular annual CO2 intake capability
STATUS QUO
Begin 1900 2006 ? 280 PPM 380 PPM 550 PPM CO2 CO2 CO2 2 C increase O C increase
CO2 Emissions (2004)

Other (nonenergy) 14% Energy Industries 31%
Other (energy) 16%
Waste 3% Agriculture 9% Industrial Processes 8%
Transport 19%
STATUS QUO
a particular community of people living in a country or region, and having shared customs, laws, and organizations
Political Structure & POLICY RESOURCES
BEHAVIOR
?
ECONOMICS
PARADIGM CHANGE
THE COMPANY
Agenda



Discussion
IMPACT on BUSINESS
POLICY
RESOURCES
ECONOMICS
BEHAVIOR
COST INPUT THE COMPANY
VALUE OUTPUT
PROFIT=REVENUE-COST
IMPACT on BUSINESS
Less dependency to oil exporters (Russia, Middle East etc.)
POLICY
Subsidizing Green
RESOURCES
ECONOMICS
BEHAVIOR
Depleting resources
Internalization of Externalities THE COMPANY
Consumer Behavior B2B Relations Investor Behavior
IMPACT on BUSINESS
Less dependency to oil exporters (Russia, Middle East etc.)
POLICY
Even leaving aside climate change, we will be living a carbon constrained world because:
RESOURCES
Policies

national security
Depleting resources Increasing demand THE COMPANY
reducing reliance on imported oil
Rising oil prices with rising demand from emerging economies
Water as a raw material
IMPACT on BUSINESS

Kyoto Protocol EU Climate Policy / EU Energy Policy

POLICY
ETS

Target 5.5% below 1990 by 2012 (Kyoto target -8%), and 6.7% below 1990 by 2020 Approach: Internalization of Externalities European Emission Trading Scheme Taxes, charges etc. (Road charging)
ECONOMICS
THE COMPANY
Main Pillar of EU Climate Policy Cap and Trade System Innovation Member State National Allocation Plans Industry level company level allocation Phase II started More countries More industries CDI and JI in the scope
U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change
IMPACT on BUSINESS
Subsidizing Green
i.e. Tax Reduction for Hybrid Cars
Internet Equipped NGOs, savvy consumers and activists
POLICY
Subsidizing Green
on lookout of company transgression communicate findings
climatecounts.com ExxposeExxon.com WalmartWatch.com
BEHAVIOR
CO2 emission is a criteria at the procurement decisions Investors go to green

Consumer Behavior B2B Relations Investor Behavior THE COMPANY
The Carbon Disclosure Project Green Capital
IMPACT on BUSINESS
WRAP UP Being sustainable is a source of competitive advantage now

More Value Less Cost There is no tension between sustainability and efficiency anymore
Carbon related charges/taxes and oil prices can change the business structures deeply Hot topic : Corporate Social Responsibility

Sustainability Social Awareness Responsible Investing Labor Rights Animal Rights
POLICY RESOURCES ECONOMICS BEHAVIOR VALUE
COST
INPUT
THE COMPANY
OUTPUT
Agenda



Discussion
HOW DO WE HELP CLIENTS?

Basis of our Approach: SVS CO2 footprint is essential Examining the impact of macro-economical changes on microeconomical elements Help to develop strategy Help to deploy it through
Programs Projects Develop KPIs for reduction

Basis of our Approach

CO2 footprint model developed Help to examine CO2 emission over a Value System Identify associated cost burdens and changes on cost structure Support Managerial decisions
Approach HOW DO WE HELP CLIENTS?

How we can support managerial decisions (1)
Approach HOW DO WE HELP CLIENTS?

How we can support managerial decisions (2)

SVS APPROACH
What is SVS (Sustainable Value System) Approach?

System perspective Do not optimize every part in a value chain Optimize complete system Cost minimization and Value Maximization
The first step of SVS approach

Quantify environmental impact of the value system Position you on the system Predict shifts on the value system Prepare for next steps

FIRST STEPS at SVS
VALUE SYSTEM
How to quantify this impact?
VALUE SYSTEM
+
CO2 RELATED COSTS
Agenda



Discussion
Discussion
Can the followings save the world?
SVS, Internalization of Externalities, Cap and Trade Systems, Energy Revolution, Carbon Taxes, Technology "the biggest scam of modern times
The Great Global Warming Swindle

Globalization and Global Warming
Is there a link? (Consumption Culture, Consumer Capitalism)
Further Reading
Thanks for Listening
Any more question?

Climate Change and Its Impact On Business: Intelligence For Business B.V. Naim Kenan Hacievliyagil

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Climate Change and Its Impact On Business: Intelligence For Business B.V. Naim Kenan Hacievliyagil

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Climate Change and its Impact on Business

Intelligence for Business b.v. Naim Kenan Hacievliyagil

Introduction Status Quo Impact on Business

How de we help clients

Shell BASF DSM Rockwell Automation Friesland Foods

ASML Corporate Express Philips TU Delft

MANKIND SOURCED 26 B TON

CO2 Emissions (2004)

Other (energy) 16%

Waste 3% Agriculture 9% Industrial Processes 8%

Political Structure & POLICY RESOURCES

Introduction Status Quo Impact on Business

How de we help clients

COST INPUT THE COMPANY

Internalization of Externalities THE COMPANY

Consumer Behavior B2B Relations Investor Behavior

Depleting resources Increasing demand THE COMPANY

reducing reliance on imported oil

Rising oil prices with rising demand from emerging economies

Water as a raw material

Kyoto Protocol EU Climate Policy / EU Energy Policy

U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change

i.e. Tax Reduction for Hybrid Cars

Internet Equipped NGOs, savvy consumers and activists

on lookout of company transgression communicate findings

climatecounts.com ExxposeExxon.com WalmartWatch.com

CO2 emission is a criteria at the procurement decisions Investors go to green

Consumer Behavior B2B Relations Investor Behavior THE COMPANY

The Carbon Disclosure Project Green Capital

Sustainability Social Awareness Responsible Investing Labor Rights Animal Rights

POLICY RESOURCES ECONOMICS BEHAVIOR VALUE

Introduction Status Quo Impact on Business

How de we help clients

HOW DO WE HELP CLIENTS?

Programs Projects Develop KPIs for reduction

HOW DO WE HELP CLIENTS?

Approach HOW DO WE HELP CLIENTS?

Approach HOW DO WE HELP CLIENTS?

HOW DO WE HELP CLIENTS?

What is SVS (Sustainable Value System) Approach?

The first step of SVS approach

HOW DO WE HELP CLIENTS?

How to quantify this impact?

How to quantify this impact?

How to quantify this impact?

Introduction Status Quo Impact on Business

How de we help clients

Can the followings save the world?

The Great Global Warming Swindle

Globalization and Global Warming

Is there a link? (Consumption Culture, Consumer Capitalism)

Thanks for Listening

Any more question?

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