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Chapter 6

Activity Analysis, Cost Behavior, and Cost Estimation

McGraw-Hill/Irwin

Copyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Learning Objective 1

McGraw-Hill/Irwin

Copyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Introduction
Cost estimation
Process of determining cost behavior, often focusing on historical data.

Cost behavior
Relationship between cost and activity.

Cost prediction
Using knowledge of cost behavior to forecast level of cost at a particular activity. Focus is on the future.

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Learning Objective 2

McGraw-Hill/Irwin

Copyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Total Variable Cost Example


Your total Pay Per View bill is based on how many Pay Per View shows that you watch.
Total Pay Per View Bill Number of Pay Per View shows watched
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Variable Cost Per Unit Example


The cost per Pay Per View show is constant. For example, $4.95 per show.
Cost per Pay Per View show Number of Pay Per View shows watched
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Step-Variable Costs

Total cost remains constant within a narrow range of activity.

Activity

Cost
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Step-Variable Costs
Total cost increases to a new higher cost for the next higher range of activity.

Activity

Cost
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Total Fixed Cost Example


Your monthly basic cable TV bill probably does not change no matter how many hours you watch.

Monthly Basic Cable Bill Number of hours watched


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Fixed Cost Per Unit Example


The average cost per hour decreases as more hours are spent watching cable television.
Monthly Basic cable Bill per hour watched Number of hours watched
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Step-Fixed Costs
Example: Office space is available at a rental rate of $30,000 per year in increments of 1,000 square feet. As the business grows more space is rented, increasing the total cost.
Continue

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Step-Fixed Costs
Total cost doesnt change for a wide range of activity, and then jumps to a new higher cost for the next higher range of activity. 90 Rent Cost in Thousands of Dollars

60

30

1,000 2,000 3,000 Rented Area (Square Feet)

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Step-Fixed Costs

How does this type of fixed cost differ from a step-variable cost?

Step-variable costs can be adjusted more quickly and . . .

The width of the activity steps is much wider for the step-fixed cost.
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Semivariable Cost
A semivariable cost is partly fixed and partly variable.

Consider the following example.


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Semivariable Cost
Slope is variable cost per unit of activity. Total Utility Cost

Variable
Utility Charge Fixed Monthly Utility Charge Activity (Kilowatt Hours)
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Curvilinear Cost
Curvilinear Cost Function

Total Cost

Relevant Range

A straight-line (constant unit variable cost) closely approximates a curvilinear line within the relevant range.

Activity
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Learning Objective 3

McGraw-Hill/Irwin

Copyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Curvilinear Cost
Curvilinear Cost Function

Total Cost

Relevant Range

A straight-Line (constant unit variable cost) closely approximates a curvilinear line within the relevant range.

Activity
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Learning Objective 4

McGraw-Hill/Irwin

Copyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Engineered, Committed and Discretionary Costs


Committed
Long-term, cannot be reduced in the short term.

Discretionary
May be altered in the short term by current managerial decisions.

Engineered
Physical relationship with activity measure. Depreciation on Buildings and equipment Advertising and Research and Development
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Direct Materials

Cost Behavior in Other Industries


Merchandisers
Cost of Goods Sold

Service Organizations
Supplies and travel

Examples of variable costs


Manufacturers
Direct Material, Direct Labor, and Variable Manufacturing Overhead

Merchandisers and Manufacturers


Sales commissions and shipping costs
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Cost Behavior in Other Industries


Examples of fixed costs

Merchandisers, manufacturers, and service organizations


Real estate taxes Insurance Sales salaries Depreciation

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Learning Objective 5

McGraw-Hill/Irwin

Copyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Cost Estimation
Account-Classification Method Visual-Fit Method High-Low Method

Least-Squares Regression Method

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Account Classification Method

Cost estimates are based on a review of each account making up the total cost being analyzed.
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Visual-Fit Method
A scatter diagram of past cost behavior may be helpful in analyzing mixed costs.

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Visual-Fit Method
Plot the data points on a graph (total cost vs. activity).

Total Cost in 1,000s of Dollars

20

10

* * * *

* ** * **

0 0 1 2 3 4 Activity, 1,000s of Units Produced


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Visual-Fit Method
Draw a line through the plotted data points so that about equal numbers of points fall above and below the line.

Total Cost in 1,000s of Dollars

20

10

* * * *

* ** * **

0 0 1 2 3 4 Activity, 1,000s of Units Produced


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Visual-Fit Method
Estimated fixed cost = $10,000

Total Cost in 1,000s of Dollars

20

10

* * * *

* ** * Vertical distance ** is total cost,


approximately $16,000.

0 0 1 2 3 4 Activity, 1,000s of Units Produced


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The High-Low Method


OwlCo recorded the following production activity and maintenance costs for two months:
Units 9,000 5,000 Cost $ 9,700 6,100

High activity level Low activity level

Using these two levels of activity, compute: the variable cost per unit. the total fixed cost.
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The High-Low Method

High activity level Low activity level Change

Units 9,000 5,000 4,000

Cost $ 9,700 6,100 $ 3,600

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The High-Low Method


High activity level Low activity level Change Units 9,000 5,000 4,000 in cost in units Cost $ 9,700 6,100 $ 3,600

Unit variable cost =

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The High-Low Method

High activity level Low activity level Change

Units 9,000 5,000 4,000

Cost $ 9,700 6,100 $ 3,600

Unit variable cost = $3,600 4,000 units = $0.90 per


unit

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The High-Low Method


Units 9,000 5,000 4,000 Cost $ 9,700 6,100 $ 3,600

High activity level Low activity level Change

Unit variable cost = $3,600 4,000 units = $0.90 per unit Fixed cost = Total cost Total variable cost

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The High-Low Method


High activity level Low activity level Change Units 9,000 5,000 4,000 Cost $ 9,700 6,100 $ 3,600

Unit variable cost = $3,600 4,000 units = $0.90 per


unit Fixed cost = Total cost Total variable cost
Fixed cost = $9,700 ($0.90 per unit 9,000 units)

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The High-Low Method


Units 9,000 5,000 4,000 Cost $ 9,700 6,100 $ 3,600

High activity level Low activity level Change

Unit variable cost = $3,600 4,000 units = $.90 per unit Fixed cost = Total cost Total variable cost
Fixed cost = $9,700 ($.90 per unit 9,000 units) Fixed cost = $9,700 $8,100 = $1,600

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Least-Squares Regression Method


Regression is a statistical procedure used to determine the relationship between variables such as activity and cost.

Total Cost

The objective of the regression method is the general cost equation: Y = a + bX Activity
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Equation Form of Least-Squares Regression Line


Y = a + bX
Total Cost is the dependent variable. The activity (X) is the independent variable.

The intercept term (a) is the estimate of fixed costs.

The X term coefficient (b) is the estimate of variable cost per unit of activity, the slope of the cost line.
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Least-Squares Regression Method


Statistics courses and computer courses deal with detailed regression computations using computer spreadsheet software. Accountants and managers must be able to interpret and use regression estimates.

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Learning Objective 6

McGraw-Hill/Irwin

Copyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Multiple Regression
Multiple regression includes two or more independent variables: Y = a + b1X1 + b2X2

Terms in the equation have the same meaning as in simple regression with only one independent variable.
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Engineering Method of Cost Estimation

Cost estimates are based on measurement and pricing of the work involved.
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Engineering Method of Cost Estimation


Direct Labor Direct Material

Analyze the kind of work performed. Estimate the time required for each labor skill for each unit. Use local wage rates to obtain labor cost per unit.

Material required for each unit is obtained from engineering drawings and specification sheets. Material prices are determined from vendor bids.
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Effect of Learning on Cost Behavior


As I make more of these things it takes me less time for each one. It must be the learning curve effect that the boss was talking about. Ive noticed the same thing. And if you include all the variable overhead costs that are also declining, that must be the experience curve.

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Learning Curve
Learning effects are large initially. Average Labor Time per Unit

Learning effects become smaller, eventually reaching steady state.

Cumulative Production Output


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Learning Objective 7

McGraw-Hill/Irwin

Copyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Data Collection Problems


1. Missing data. 2. Outlier data points. 3. Mismatched time periods costs.

4. Trade-offs in choosing the time period.


5. Allocated and discretionary costs.

6. Inflation.
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End of Chapter 6

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