Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
6 – 14 April 2009
Bucharest, Romania – The recent Bureau of Social Research survey shows that one in five
Romanian adults believes in reincarnation and almost one in two has consulted his or her horoscope
last week. The findings, released immediately after Easter, are in stark contrast to both local and
global media perceptions, which tend to see Eastern Europe in general and Romania, in particular, as
a land of traditional religiosity. The results, aligned with general European and American trends, also
highlight a less known facet of religious globalization.
With a population at an economic and educational level quite different from that of many
Western nations, 27.6% of Romanians share New Age beliefs in reincarnation, a rate higher than that
found in the US where according to a 2005 Harris Poll 20% of population believes in reincarnation.
According to the Harris Poll, 28% of Americans believe in witches, a proportion almost equal to that of
29.35% of Romanians who believe in witchcraft. 68.2% of Romanians believe in miracles, which
closely matches the proportion of American population, 73%, who believes in supernatural acts.
Romanians have embraced the Aquarian habit of looking at the stars to get guidance in their
lives at a much higher proportion than the American population, whose New Age fads are almost 40
years old. 47.4% of Romanians believe in astrology, compared with 25% of Americans.
The religious findings reported in Romania, an Oregon size nation of 20 million located in South
Eastern Europe, are just the last batch of indicators that suggest an increasing Eastern European
spiritual convergence with the West. The data are in tune with several other studies conducted in the
last decades. Some of them, such as those reported by Andrew Greeley in 2004 in “Religion in
Europe”, suggest that belief in astrology is quite high throughout Europe, where 41% of the French,
37% of Germans, 40% of Hungarians or 54% of Russians believe in the power of the stars to
preordain human fate.
Romania, like most other post-Soviet countries, has been through several phases of religious
transformation over the last half century. It has been less obvious until recently how much this
transformation could parallel, although for different reasons and in different manners, that of the
Western world. During the 1950s forcible secularization by curtailing religious freedom in the Eastern
Block paralleled major changes in traditional religious faith in the West. From the late 1960s to early
90s, Eastern Europe has gone through a spiritual renewal process, yet this has not necessarily meant
a return to the old Orthodox ways. As the findings suggested above, the trend is to embrace more
contemporary faiths, in tune with global trends.
Other findings and contact
Other notable poll findings:
Only 51.9% of Romanians intend to vote in the June 2009 elections for the European Parliament.
Of these, a majority of 55.7% will vote for the ruling LDP-SDP coalition. The center-right liberals (NLP)
are expected to get 20.4% of the votes. Almost 10% of Romanians that will vote expressed their
preference for the nationalist Greater Romania and New Generation Parties, which have recovered
some of the ground lost over the last four years.
Romanian president Traian Băsescu, who is due for reelection later this year, remains the favorite
candidate in the presidential race. Yet, his main contender, the center-right candidate Crin Antonescu,
has a very strong position. A less known politician, Antoenscu is favored by 48.7% of the likely voters,
compared to a slightly larger proportion, 51.3% of Romanians, who would vote for the incumbent
Băsescu, who has lost some of his popular appeal since he gave his blessing to a ruling coalition
between his party and their former enemies, the social democracts. A majority of Romanians 62%,
distrust Traian Băsescu today, a dramatic change since February 2009, when only 48.1% of
Romanians said that they distrusted the president.
51.7% of Romanians are disenchanted with the economic predicament of the nation, which has
been declining with the rest of the world since October 2008. Yet, they do not blame the current
situation only on the global economic slowdown, as expected, but also and mostly on their leaders.
42.9% of Romanians blame the economic crisis on the decisions made by their government,
compared to 40.8 who find fault with the global economic environment. In this context, a slightly
higher proportion of 39% believes that the recent IMF loan would help Romania, compared to the
36.6% who find the loan useless or damaging.
Sources cited:
The Religious and Other Beliefs of Americans 2005,
http://www.harrisinteractive.com/harris_poll/index.asp?PID=618
Greeley, A. 2004. Religion in Europe at the end of the second millennium, Transactions
http://books.google.com/books?id=LDxDJui7BL0C&printsec=frontcover#PPP1,M1
METHODOLOGY
Sample size: 1.095 persons 18 years of age and older
Sample type: probabilistic-stratified, consisting of 48 layers resulting from the
intersection of 8 geographic areas with 6 types of cities and villages. Interviews
were conducted in 74 cities and villages in 40 counties.
Selection of subjects: interviees were chosen by statistical step, every 4
apartments or houses starting at number 4 on every street. In every household
the person whose birthday was next was interviewed.
Margin of error: the sample is representative for the adult population of
Romania with a margin of error of +/- 3%. The data in this report is the data
collected in the field, unaltered. The data wasw verified by the survey
coordinators. A total of 102 respondednts were contacted directly by
supervisorsto verify their participation in the survey.
Time in the field: 6 – 14 April 2009.
Financed by: Marsh Copsey + Associates, Inc., Washington DC, USA
Coordinating team:
Bruno Ştefan – President BCS, Politehnica University of Bucharest
Gina Ştefan – BCS
Sorin Adam Matei – Purdue University, Indiana, USA
Manuela Lătăianu – Estrella Mountain Community College, Arizona, USA
Gabriel Lătăianu - Estrella Mountain Community College, Arizona, USA
4
Do you believe in God?
There is a God
as described
in the Bible Who will you vote God I don’t A divine There is
with certain 82.5 for at the upcoming does not know if force a God
characteristics European Parliament exist God exists as
and a
elections? exists describ
personality
A divine force PNL 2 5 14 ed79in
exists but it is the
not like the PDL 1 7 9 83
Bible
God of the 7.7
Bible, Koran PSD+PC 1 10 6 83
Torrah or other
holy books
PNG-CD 9 6 85
PRM 2 4 8 84
I donÕt know if UDMR 26 8 66
God exists, I 8.6
donÕt deny it PNTCD 13 87
Other 40 60
Elena Băsescu – 13 6 81
God does not independent
1.3 Undecided 2 7 5 86
exist
Will not vote 3 10 8 79
0 20 40 60 80 100
5
Do you believe in the Last Judgment?
20.4% elections?
PDL 81 19
PSD+PC 78 22
PNG-CD 88 12
PRM 81 19
UDMR 77 23
Yes
PNTCD 100
79.6%
Alt partid 60 40
Elena Băsescu – 71 29
independent
Undecided 83 17
Will not vote 74 26
6
Do you believe in reincarnation?
No UDMR 49 51
72.4% PNTCD 38 62
Alt partid 40 60
Elena Băsescu – 42 58
independent
Nu m-am hotărât 27 73
Nu voi vota 21 79
7
What form do you believe you will be reincarnated as?
DK 68.1
Who will Do W Hu I B R Plan O DK
you vote me ild ma nse ird eptil t ther
Something
1.5 for at the sti ani n ct e
else
upcoming c ma
European ani l
Plant 1.8 Parliament
PNL ma
2 7 22 1 3 1 2 62
elections? l
PDL 4 1 27 1 2 1 1 3 60
Reptile 0.5
PSD+PC 3 2 19 3 3 2 68
PNG-CD 6 6 19 69
Bird 2.5
PRM 6 4 19 6 2 63
UDMR 3 33 5 59
Insect 0.3
PNTCD 25 75
8
What will [Romanian President Traian] Basescu reincarnate as?
9
What will Prime Minister Boc be reincarnated as?
10
What do you think Iliescu will reincarnate as?
DK 41.4
11
What do you think Crin Antonescu will be reincarnated as?
DK 44.8
12
What do you think Geoana will be reincarnated as?
DK 44.5
Human PNTCD 13 25 12 50
12.2
Other party 20 40 20 20
Wild animal 8.1 Elena 6 19 13 16 3 13 6 1 23
Băsescu –
Domestic independent
Undec ided 6 7 8 6 6 4 6 3 54
animal 10.6
Will not vote 8 8 5 5 6 4 7 2 57
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
13
What do you think the following political leaders will be reincarnated
as?
Domestic animal Wild animal Human Insect Bird Reptile Plant Other DK
Mircea Geoana 10.6 8.1 12.2 6.1 5.9 6.2 4.7 1.6 44.5
Crin Antonescu 8.1 6.8 17.2 3.7 7.9 3.9 5.8 1.7 44.8
Emil Boc 15.7 9.4 11.1 6.9 4.5 5.9 3.6 1.7 41.1
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
14
What do you think Basescu was in a previous life?
DK 45.9
Who will Do W Hu I B R Plan O DK
you vote me ild ma nse ird eptil t ther
Other 2.5 for at the sti ani n ct e
upcoming c ma
European ani l
Plant 1.9 Parliament ma
PNL 6 28 6 1 1 12 2 1 43
elections? l
PDL 7 17 22 1 7 6 2 2 36
Reptile 6.8
PSD+PC 7 14 13 3 5 7 1 2 48
PNG-CD 13 22 13 3 9 3 37
Bird 3.7
PRM 19 10 13 4 2 2 6 2 42
15
Do you think that [former dictator] Nicolae Ceauşescu has been
reincarnated?
16
What do you think Nicolae Ceauşescu was reincarnated as?
DK 76.3
Who will Do W Hu I B R Plan O DK
you vote me ild ma nse ird eptil t ther
Other 1.9 for at the sti ani n ct e
upcoming c ma
European ani l
Plant 1.5 Parliament ma
PNL 2 5 10 2 2 5 1 2 70
elections? l
PDL 2 4 8 5 3 5 2 2 69
Reptile 3.3
PSD+PC 2 3 7 1 1 1 1 3 81
PNG-CD 6 6 3 6 3 3 73
Bird 1.6
PRM 4 2 4 2 2 4 2 1 79
17
Do you think that Nicolae Ceauşescu is in:
15
PNTCD 50 13 37
12
Other party 20 60 20
10
Elena Băsescu – 10 29 26 35
5 independent
Undecided 15 15 16 54
0
Heaven Hell Disappeared DK
Will not vote 9 17 26 48
18
Where do you think you will go after death?
70
19
Do you think Ion Iliescu will go to:
60
20 PNTCD 25 13 62
Other party 20 60 20
Elena Băsescu – 3 32 30 35
10
6.8 independent
Undecided 6 15 16 63
Will not vote 4 20 29 47
0
Heaven Hell Disappear DK
20
Do you think Corneliu Coposu is in:
60
55.8 Who will you vote Heav Hell Diappe DK
for at the en ared
upcoming
50
European
PNL
Parliament 23 12 28 37
elections?
PDL 19 13 17 51
40
PSD+PC 12 6 18 64
PNG-CD 16 19 6 59
30
PRM 15 13 20 52
UDMR 28 8 8 56
20 17.7 PNTCD 13 13 76
16.1
Other party 20 40 40
10.4
10 Elena Băsescu – 19 3 26 52
independent
Undecided 12 10 11 67
0 Will not vote 14 9 23 53
Heaven Hell Diappeared DK
21
Where do you think Traian Basescu will go after death?
60
20 18.4 PNTCD 25 13 62
Other party 20 60 20
Elena Băsescu – 26 6 20 48
8.9
10 independent
Undecided 6 17 16 61
Will not vote 4 25 22 49
0
Heaven Hell Disappear DK
22
Do you believe in astrology – the power of stars to influence your
destiny?
Yes PSD+PC 53 47
47.4% PNG-CD 38 62
No
PRM 52 48
52.6%
UDMR 54 46
PNTCD 63 37
Other party 40 60
Elena Băsescu – 48 52
independent
Undecided 47 53
Will not vote 37 63
23
How often did you read or listen to your horoscope over the past
month?
Never 26.1
Who will you vote Daily 2-3 Once a 2-3 O Meve
for at the times week time nce r
upcoming a sa a
Once a
16.3 European week mon mon
month PNL 11 12 20 14 22 21
Parliament th th
elections?
PDL 16 19 15 13 15 22
2-3 times a
12.3 PSD+PC 16 19 15 13 12 25
month
PNG-CD 22 9 13 6 19 31
Once a PRM 21 13 4 15 19 28
15.3
week UDMR 8 41 13 13 8 17
PNTCD 13 25 62
2-3 times a
15.2 Other party 40 20 20 20
week
Elena Băsescu – 19 10 19 10 23 19
independent
Daily 14.8 Undecided 13 13 17 11 18 28
Will not vote 14 7 15 12 15 37
0 10 20 30
24
Do you believe in witchcraft – the power of some people to cast
spells?
No UDMR 44 56
70.7% PNTCD 63 37
Other party 20 80
Elena Băsescu – 32 68
independent
Undecided 27 73
Will not vote 24 76
25
Did anyone cast spells on you?
60
20
UDMR 23 33 44
PNTCD 13 37 50
Other party 20 40 40
10
7.7
Elena Băsescu – 3 48 49
independent
Undecided 6 46 48
0
26
Did you cast spells on other people?
27
Do you believe in miracles?
28
Have you had a miracle happen to you?
No PRM 38 62
58% UDMR 46 54
PNTCD 75 25
Other party 20 80
Elena Băsescu – 55 45
independent
Undecided 42 58
Will not vote 41 59
29
Do you think Basescu is helped by:
0 10 20 30
30
Which religious act is the most important?
DK 3.2 Who will Give Pray Fast Conf Take Go to Beha Not Believ Othe DK
you vote alm ess com churc ve sin e in r
Other 1.5 for at s muni h like a Jesus
the on good
upcomin christ
Take communion 1.4
g ian
PNL
Europea 3 18 2 2 3 2 37 8 22 2 2
Fast 1.6 n
PDL 4 13 2 3 1 6 40 8 19 1 3
Parliame
Confess 1.8 nt
PSD+PC 10 10 3 1 1 5 36 8 21 1 3
election
PNG-CD
s? 25 3 3 44 13 9 3
Go to church 4.5
PRM 10 17 4 10 33 4 17 4
Giv e alms 5.6
UDMR 8 3 3 5 44 18 21
Do not sin 8.7 PNTCD 13 38 13 13 25
Other 20 20 60
Pray 12.6 party
Elena 10 10 32 23 23 3
Believ e in Jesus Christ 20.1 Băsescu –
independ
Behav e like a good Undecide
ent 4 13 1 1 2 4 44 7 20 2 2
christian 39.2 d
Will not 6 9 1 2 1 3 38 9 22 1 7
0 10 20 30 40 50 vote
31
Did you fast during Lent?
32
Did you go to church during Lent?
33
Would you agree to have your body cremated after you die?
20.4% elections?
PDL 21 79
PSD+PC 9 91
PNG-CD 22 78
PRM 29 71
UDMR 26 74
No
PNTCD 100
79.6%
Other party 100
Elena Băsescu – 19 81
independent
Undecided 20 80
Will not vote 21 79
34
Do you think that the biometric chip serves the forces of evil?
35
In general do you believe our country is headed in the right direction or is
on the wrong track?
60
36
Thinking about your family’s material situation, would you say that you are
now much better off, better off, the same, worse off or much worse off
than when the PNL was in office?
45
39.5 Who will you vote Much Better The Worse Much
40
for at the bette off sam off worse
upcoming r of e off
35 PNL
European 6 5 38 36 15
30.1 Parliament
PDL 7 24 45 20 4
30 elections?
PSD+PC 3 18 40 27 12
25
PNG-CD 13 34 40 13
20 PRM 15 25 45 15
14.8 UDMR 26 26 38 10
15
12.1 PNTCD 13 74 13
10 Alt partid 20 40 40
Elena Băsescu – 23 32 39 6
5 3.5 independent
Nu m-am hotărât 2 10 45 30 13
0
Nu voi vota 2 8 31 36 23
Much Better off The same Worse off Much
better off worse off
37
Do you think that current governing coalition of PSD+PDL has better or
worse results in government than the PNL government?
35
10 PNTCD 13 87
Alt partid 80 20
5
2.9 Elena Băsescu – 23 31 26 10 10
independent
Nu m-am hotărât 1 16 39 17 11 16
0
Nu voi vota 1 7 27 28 25 12
Much Better The Worse Much DK
better same worse
38
In your opinion, who do you think is the person leading the government,
Traian Basescu, Emil Boc or Mircea Geoana?
Mircea PNG-CD 56 22 22
Geoana
4.4
PRM 63 13 6 18
UDMR 28 36 13 23
PNTCD 38 25 13 24
Emil Boc 20.3
Alt partid 40 60
Elena Băsescu – 55 29 3 13
Traian independent
Basescu
53.7 Nu m-am 46 19 6 1 28
hotărât
Nu voi vota 59 11 1 5 24
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
39
Do you agree with the government’s plans to raise local taxes and VAT?
40
Do you agree with the government’s refusal to increase teacher wages
despite promising to do so during their election campaign?
41
In your opinion is the economic situation in Romania caused mainly by the
global financial crisis or by mistakes made by the government? If
government – which one?
0 10 20 30 40 50
42
Which of the following do you agree with?
43
Do you believe the IMF loan to Romania is:
0 10 20 30 40 50
44
The IMF loan will effect the following favorably or unfavorably:
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
45
What is the most important problem or policy you associate with the PNL?
DK 45.8
Other problems 6
Destroyed the country 0.5
Promote youth 0.5
Promote investments 0.5
Lack of strong local leaders 0.5
Lack of money 0.5
Want power 0.6
Must work on their image 0.6
Fights among leadership 0.6
Defend the rich 0.6
Agricultura 0.6
Used public funds for their campaign 0.6
Should govern again 0.7
Dinu Patriciu 0.7
Economic crisis 0.8
Lack of trust 0.9
16% flat tax 0.9
Must be united 1
Followed personal interests 1
Afaceri, interese proprii 1
Economic growth 1.1
Their time has passed 1.1
Increased salaries 1.2
Increased pensions 1.2
Good governing platform 1.2
Increased standard of living 1.3
Economy 1.5
Bad government 1.6
Lazy 1.6
Increased taxes 1.6
Incompetent hires 1.7
Broekn promisses 1.8
Thieves 2.1
Lies 2.1
Jobs 2.4
Coruption 3.8
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
46
What is the most important problem or policy you associate with the PSD?
DK 44.6
Other 6.3
No leader 0.2
Good organizers 0.2
Political experience 0.2
Lack of trust 0.2
Questionable privatizations 0.2
Left the government 0.2
Increased taxes 0.2
Reforms 0.2
Roads 0.3
Sold factories 0.3
Bureaucracy 0.4
Adrian Nastase 0.4
Doing a good job 0.4
Winning presidential elections 0.4
Mineriadele 0.5
Economci crisis 0.5
Government 0.5
Need youth 0.5
Price of utilities 0.5
Not serios 0.6
Education system 0.6
Mircea Geoana 0.6
Local barons 0.6
Honest 0.8
incompetence 0.8
Ion Iliescu 0.8
Agriculture 0.9
Too old 0.9
Alliance with PDL 0.9
Fights between leaders 1.1
Thieves 1.2
Thirst for power 1.2
Higher wages 1.3
Communists 1.3
Economy 1.6
Jobs 1.7
Personal interests 1.7
Don't do anything 1.8
Standard of living, poverty 2
Pensions 3.2
Social protection 3.2
Liers 3.3
Unkept promisses 3.5
Coruption 7.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
47
What is the most important problem or policy you associate with the PDL?
DK 45.7
Other 8.2
Sold the country 0.2
Communists 0.2
Elena Basescu 0.2
Lack of trust 0.2
IMF loan 0.3
Not serios 0.3
Health system 0.3
Honest 0.3
Local barons 0.3
Are democratic 0.4
Won elections 0.4
Theodor Stolojan 0.5
Bureacucracy 0.5
Roads 0.5
Price of utilities 0.5
Brothers of PSD 0.5
Emil Boc 0.5
Justice sistem 0.5
Arogance 0.5
Weak government 0.7
Not united 0.6
Social protection 0.6
Need youth 0.7
Increased wages 0.7
Increased taxes 0.8
Reforms 0.9
Pensions 1
Are doing good job 1.1
Economic crisis 1.2
Incompetence 1.4
Thirst for power 1.4
Standard of living, poverty 1.4
Agriculture 1.5
Thieves 1.6
Are not doing anything 1.8
Economy 1.8
Personal interests 2.3
Do not keep promisses 2.7
Jobs 3.1
Liers 3.2
Traian Basescu. 3.8
Corruption 4.8
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
48
Which of the following do you believe should most preoccupy our government?
(1 answer)
DK 1.5
Other 1.5
To offer jobs for those laid off by the private sector 8.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
49
Do you agree or disagree with the way in which Traian Basescu is doing his job as
president?
Disagree
PNG-CD 34 53 13
47.1
PRM 17 67 16
UDMR 54 31 15
PNTCD 13 87
Alt partid 40 40 20
Agree 38.2 Elena Băsescu – 68 19 13
independent
Nu m-am hotărât 33 45 22
Nu voi vota 21 57 22
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
50
Do you agree or disagree with the way in which Emil Boc is doing his job as Prime
Minister?
Diagree
PNG-CD 31 53 16
45.2
PRM 13 71 16
UDMR 38 33 29
PNTCD 88 12
Alt partid 60 20 20
Agree 33.2 Elena Băsescu – 45 35 20
independent
Nu m-am hotărât 27 41 32
Nu voi vota 19 56 25
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
51
Will you be voting at the European Parliament elections on June 7th?
60
51.9
Who will you vote Yes Probably No
50
for at the upcoming
European Parliament
PNL
elections? 74 23 3
40
PDL 61 37 2
33
PSD+PC 63 34 3
30
PNG-CD 53 44 3
PRM 60 30 10
20
UDMR 72 28
15.1
PNTCD 50 50
10 Alt partid 40 60
Elena Băsescu – 81 19
independent
0 Nu m-am hotărât 44 53 3
Definitely yes Probably, I have not Definitely no
Nu voi vota 1 99
decided
52
At the European Parliament elections which party will you vote for if the
following will head that party’s list of candidates?
Other 0.7
PDL 32.6
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Voting preferences of likely voters
53
Changes in voting preferences: february - april 2009
PNTCD 1.1
0.5
6-14 aprilie
PNG-CD 4.5
1.3 1-10 februarie
UDMR 5.5
5.5
PRM 6.8
2.7
PNL 17.7
16.6
PSD+PC 26.6
32.4
PDL 32.6
39.1
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
54
Breakdown of voting preferences for European Parliament
elections by region, city size and age
Region PNL PDL PSD+PC PNG-CD PRM UDMR PNTCD Other Elena
B sescu
Moldova 11,4 39,3 33,6 5,0 6,4 ,7 3,6
Muntenia 19,4 32,1 29,9 6,0 6,0 1,5 5,2
Transilvania 11,9 26,7 17,8 2,2 5,2 25,2 2,2 8,9
Oltenia 16,9 26,0 32,5 5,2 13,0 3,9 1,3 1,3
Crisana Maramures 29,2 35,4 20,0 1,5 3,1 4,6 6,2
Dobrogea 17,6 32,4 32,4 8,8 5,9 2,9
Banat 18,5 44,4 3,7 14,8 7,4 3,7 7,4
Bucuresti 25,5 31,9 28,7 2,1 8,5 1,1 1,1 1,1
City size
Over 200,000 people 18,7 41,2 23,1 2,7 9,3 2,7 ,5 ,5 1,1
100,000 to 200,000 23,0 23,0 34,4 4,9 6,6 4,9 3,3
50,000 to 100,000 14,3 48,6 25,7 8,6 2,9
30,000 to 50,000 22,2 22,2 40,0 2,2 6,7 2,2 2,2 2,2
Less than 30,000 20,0 25,3 13,3 4,0 10,7 12,0 1,3 2,7 10,7
Village 15,3 30,8 28,6 5,5 4,9 6,8 1,6 ,6 5,8
Age
18-29 years 18,6 40,4 17,4 6,8 6,8 1,2 3,1 5,6
30-39 years 15,0 37,6 26,3 5,3 4,5 6,0 5,3
40-49 years 16,5 31,6 26,3 4,5 7,5 5,3 ,8 7,5
50-59 years 20,4 31,4 28,5 2,2 6,6 8,0 ,7 2,2
60-69 years 17,2 18,3 38,7 3,2 5,4 9,7 2,2 3,2 2,2
Over 70 years 18,4 26,5 30,6 4,1 14,3 4,1 2,0
55
How much do you trust the following candidates for European Parliament?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
56
How much do you trust the following candidates for European Parliament?
Total trust
Total lack of trust
-79.3 4.7 Laszlo Tokes - UDMR
-61 5.4 Vasile Lupu - PNTCD
-52.6 10.9 Cristian Preda - PDL
-81.8 11.6 Elena Basescu - independent
-52.2 14.4 Rovana Plumb - PSD+PC
-51.1 17.7 Renate Weber - PNL
-77.7 18.4 Corneliu Vadim Tudor - PRM
-63.2 21.2 Norica Nicolai - PNL
-62.1 24.7 Monica Macovei - PDL
-61.1 24.7 Adrian Severin - PSD+PC
-71.3 25.1 George Becali - PNG-CD
-59 36.6 Theodor Stolojan - PDL
57
Cross tabulation candidates with party voting preference (I)
Party preference PNL PDL PSD+PC PNG-CD PRM UDMR PNTCD Other party Elena Undecided Will not
B sescu vote
Monica Macovei
ëncredere 31 57 16 16 4 13 25 40 39 14 5
Ne”ncredere 62 33 77 72 79 51 75 60 51 65 81
Necunoa tere 7 10 7 12 17 36 10 21 14
Norica Nicolai
ëncredere 71 13 22 9 15 10 25 40 23 16 6
Ne”ncredere 27 72 70 72 69 67 75 60 61 57 78
Necunoa tere 2 15 8 19 16 23 16 27 16
Elena B sescu
ëncredere 9 19 7 9 6 18 87 6 1
Ne”ncredere 88 78 88 91 86 72 100 100 13 83 86
Necunoa tere 3 3 5 8 10 11 13
Corneliu Vadim Tudor
ëncredere 18 17 21 28 96 5 38 23 9 9
Ne”ncredere 82 80 77 69 4 87 62 100 71 84 84
Necunoa tere 3 2 3 8 6 7 7
Cristian Preda
ëncredere 4 31 10 3 8 25 40 5 1
Ne”ncredere 66 39 58 66 56 36 75 60 39 48 67
Necunoa tere 30 30 32 31 36 64 61 47 32
Vasile Lupu
ëncredere 8 6 6 3 2 5 63 40 6 4 1
Ne”ncredere 64 61 68 72 63 54 37 40 46 53 69
Necunoa tere 28 33 26 25 35 41 20 48 44 30
58
Cross tabulation candidates with party voting preference (II)
Party preference PNL PDL PSD+PC PNG-CD PRM UDMR PNTCD Other Elena Undecided Will not
B sescu vote
George Becali
ëncredere 23 17 30 81 54 49 38 40 39 18 13
Ne”ncredere 76 81 66 19 46 46 62 60 55 76 80
Necunoa tere 1 2 4 5 6 6 7
Adrian Severin
ëncredere 22 17 63 13 19 28 50 40 23 14 10
Ne”ncredere 66 69 29 66 69 49 50 60 64 66 78
Necunoa tere 12 14 8 21 12 23 13 20 12
Laszlo Tokes
ëncredere 2 1 6 3 67 3 2
Ne”ncredere 86 80 80 75 83 28 100 100 87 77 86
Necunoa tere 12 19 14 22 17 5 10 21 14
Theodor Stolojan
ëncredere 18 75 31 34 25 54 13 40 48 25 16
Ne”ncredere 80 23 66 66 73 36 87 60 48 67 77
Necunoa tere 2 2 3 2 10 2 8 7
Renate Weber
ëncredere 53 13 20 6 6 18 60 13 11 10
Ne”ncredere 29 57 52 56 60 46 100 40 39 47 64
Necunoa tere 18 30 28 38 34 36 48 42 26
Rovana Plumb
ëncredere 14 7 44 19 6 5 40 3 10 4
Ne”ncredere 65 60 33 53 56 36 75 40 58 45 67
Necunoa tere 21 33 23 28 38 59 25 20 39 45 29
59
How much do you trust the following political leaders?
60
How much do you trust the following political leaders?
Total trust
Total distrust
-53.1 3.1 Romeo Stavarache
-80.9 4.8 Viorel Hrebenciuc
-90 4.9 Miron Cozma
-82 14.2 Elena Udrea
-77.5 16.6 Ludovic Orban
-80.8 16.9 Adrian Nastase
-81.3 17 Ion Iliescu
-70.3 26.6 Mircea Geoana
-70.4 27.9 Emil Boc
-62.1 36.9 Traian Basescu
-54.9 37.4 Crin Antonescu
-49.9 45.4 Sorin Oprescu
61
Cross tabulation political leaders with party voting preference
(I)
Party voting preference PNL PDL PSD+PC PNG-CD PRM UDMR PNTCD Other Elena Undecided Will not
B sescu vote
Crin Antonescu
ëncredere 82 27 43 22 35 31 60 32 31 27
Ne”ncredere 11 69 51 75 60 54 100 40 58 55 67
Necunoa tere 7 4 6 3 5 15 10 14 6
Mircea Geoana
ëncredere 25 23 63 22 17 21 13 40 6 17 14
Ne”ncredere 74 76 35 75 79 74 87 60 88 77 83
Necunoa tere 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 3
Emil Boc
ëncredere 12 59 22 13 8 41 40 48 24 8
Ne”ncredere 86 40 76 84 92 59 100 60 52 73 89
Necunoa tere 2 1 2 3 3 3
Traian Basescu
ëncredere 18 71 27 22 19 62 38 40 71 32 14
Ne”ncredere 81 29 72 75 81 38 63 60 29 66 84
Necunoa tere 1 1 3 2 2
Ludovic Orban
ëncredere 37 16 17 16 15 31 13 40 19 11 5
Ne”ncredere 61 81 78 75 77 66 87 60 74 78 89
Necunoa tere 2 3 5 9 8 3 7 11 6
Sorin Oprescu
ëncredere 50 44 60 38 46 44 25 40 61 40 33
Ne”ncredere 45 53 38 56 48 56 75 60 32 51 62
Necunoa tere 5 3 2 6 6 7 9 5
62
Cross tabulation political leaders with party voting preference
(II)
Party voting preference PNL PDL PSD+PC PNG-CD PRM UDMR PNTCD Other Elena Undecided Will not
B sescu vote
Ion Iliescu
ëncredere 19 7 46 6 17 3 38 40 6 11 9
Ne”ncredere 80 92 53 91 83 92 62 60 87 87 87
Necunoa tere 1 1 1 3 5 7 2 4
Elena Udrea
ëncredere 11 22 12 19 4 23 25 40 29 13 4
Ne”ncredere 87 76 85 78 94 72 75 60 68 81 88
Necunoa tere 2 2 3 3 2 5 3 6 8
Adrian Nastase
ëncredere 18 11 42 10 17 5 25 40 13 12 6
Ne”ncredere 81 88 56 84 79 95 75 60 81 85 91
Necunoa tere 1 1 2 6 4 6 3 4
Miron Cozma
ëncredere 8 3 5 9 8 5 13 3 4 4
Ne”ncredere 90 91 90 84 90 90 87 100 87 88 91
Necunoa tere 2 6 5 7 2 5 10 8 5
Viorel Hrebenciuc
ëncredere 8 3 13 3 40 3 3
Ne”ncredere 86 83 72 84 92 82 100 60 84 76 88
Necunoa tere 6 14 15 13 8 18 13 21 12
Romeo Stavarache
ëncredere 7 3 6 2 40 2
Ne”ncredere 55 53 49 59 46 31 100 60 39 51 68
Necunoa tere 38 44 45 41 52 69 61 47 32
63
Trust in Traian Băsescu
64
Trust in Emil Boc
65
Trust in Mircea Geoană
66
Trust in Crin Antonescu
67
Whom would you vote for president if the following were running?
Other 1.8
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
68
Whom would you vote for president if the following were running?
Other 2.4
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
69
Cross tabulation of voting preference for president with
voting prefernce for European Parliament
European Parliament voting PNL PDL PSD+PC PNG-CD PRM UDMR PNTCD Other Elena Undecided Not voting
preference B sescu
Traian Basescu ĞPDL 10,4 70,0 8,5 15,6 8,3 28,2 12,5 40,0 64,5 22,7 6,5
Mircea Geoana ĞPSD+PC 2,4 3,5 64,4 6,3 2,6 6,4 2,9
Crin Antonescu Ğ PNL 72,8 9,6 10,6 12,5 2,1 5,1 20,0 9,7 13,1 15,2
Corneliu Vadim Tudor ĞPRM ,9 1,6 6,3 70,8 6,5 2,0 4,3
Gyorgy Frunda ĞUDMR 59,0
George Becali ĞPNG-CD 1,6 ,4 3,7 43,8 8,3 25,0 9,7 6,0 2,2
Miron Cozma Ğ P.Muncitoresc ,5 20,0 ,4 ,7
Other party candidate 3,2 ,4 ,5 2,1 25,0 3,2 1,6
Undecided 7,2 14,3 9,0 21,9 2,1 5,1 37,5 20,0 6,5 43,4 14,5
Will not vote 2,4 ,9 1,1 4,4 53,6
Emil Boc ĞPDL 3,2 51,7 3,2 3,1 6,3 15,4 40,0 29,0 11,6 2,9
Mircea Geoana ĞPSD+PC 5,6 8,3 62,8 3,1 8,3 2,6 12,5 7,6 2,9
Crin Antonescu Ğ PNL 73,6 13,0 13,8 15,6 2,1 10,3 32,3 15,1 13,8
Corneliu Vadim Tudor ĞPRM 1,6 1,3 1,1 3,1 66,7 6,5 2,4 5,8
Gyorgy Frunda ĞUDMR 64,1 3,2
George Becali ĞPNG-CD ,8 2,6 4,3 59,4 8,3 25,0 9,7 7,2 2,9
Miron Cozma Ğ P.Muncitoresc 1,1 20,0 ,4
Other party candidate 3,2 ,9 1,1 2,1 25,0 20,0 3,2 1,6 ,7
Undecided 9,6 20,0 11,2 15,6 6,3 7,7 37,5 20,0 16,1 49,0 15,2
Will not vote 2,4 2,2 1,6 5,2 55,8
70
Voting preference for president by region, city type and age
Will not
13.3
vote
Crin
48.7
Antonescu
Undecided 18.9
Crin
33
Antonescu
Traian
51.3
Basescu
Traian
34.8
Basescu
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
72
If the following two people were in the run-off for the presidential elections
whom would you vote for?
Will not
16.3
vote
Crin
61.8
Antonescu
Undecided 24.4
Crin
36.6
Antonescu
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 0 20 40 60
73
If the following two people were in the run-off for the presidential elections
whom would you vote for?
Will not
18.3
vote
Mircea
45.2
Geoana
Undecided 20.1
Mircea
27.9
Geoana
Traian
54.8
Traian Basescu
33.8
Basescu
0 10 20 30 40 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
74
If the following two people were in the run-off for the presidential elections
whom would you vote for?
Will not
22.2
vote
Mircea
56.3
Geoana
Undecided 24.5
Mircea
30
Geoana
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
75
Corelarea intenţiilor de vot din primul tur de scrutin cu cele
pentru turul II
Emil Boc 66,1 10,5 2,0 2,0 2,4 5,2 ,4 ,8 8,1 2,4
Crin Antonescu 13,5 19,7 43,6 6,7 ,7 2,5 ,5 1,0 8,7 3,0
Nu m-am hotarat 20,6 13,1 4,9 2,6 3,0 4,9 2,2 47,6 1,1
Nu voi vota 14,5 8,9 2,8 8,4 3,4 8,4 ,6 1,1 12,3 39,7
Emil Boc 68,2 2,0 8,2 1,6 3,1 5,1 ,4 ,4 9,0 2,0
Mircea Geoana 12,5 40,1 25,5 6,1 ,9 2,7 ,3 ,9 8,8 2,1
Nu m-am hotarat 17,9 5,2 13,8 4,9 1,9 5,6 1,5 48,5 ,7
Nu voi vota 14,8 2,1 23,0 7,0 2,9 5,8 ,8 2,5 9,1 32,1
76
Did you follow the proceedings of the PNL convention?
PNL
Parliament 57 43
elections?
PDL 20 80
PSD+PC 27 73
PNG-CD 28 72
PRM 19 81
UDMR 38 62
PNTCD 25 75
Alt partid 40 60
Yes 2 5 .2
Elena Băsescu – 26 74
independent
Undecided 17 83
Will not vote 17 83
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
77
In your opinion, Crin Antonescu, the new PNL president..
DK 32.9 DK 30.4
Doesn't
know how Is a
to make 13.2 disagreeable 12
himself politician
understood
Knows how Is an
to talk to 54 agreeable 57.6
people politicians
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0 20 40 60 80
78
In your opinion, Crin Antonescu, the new PNL president...
DK 38.1 DK 36.2
Stands a
Is a better candidate
chance to
for president than 36.9 28.8
defeat
Geoana
Basescu
0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40
79
In your opinion, Crin Antonescu, the new PNL president...
DK 41.5 DK 41.3
Will be a
worse
Will not help the PNL
president 26.7 raise its score
21.8
than
Basescu
Will be a
better Will help the PNL
president 31.9 increase its score at 36.9
than the next elections
Basescu
0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50
80
Vanghelie claimed about himself that he has an animalistic instinct. Which
animal do you most associate Vanghelie with?
DK 16
Other 13.6
Elephant 0.5
Goat 0.5
Raven 0.5
Donkey 0.5
Sconcs 0.5
Rabbit 0.5
Raccoon 0.5
Wild 0.7
Rooster 0.7
Bull 0.8
Badger 0.9
Tiger 1
Snake 1.2
Lion 1.6
Hienna 1.8
Crow 2
Horse 2
Mouse 2
Rat 2.2
Donkey 2.3
Bear 2.6
Wolf 2.6
Parrot 3.3
Cat 3.5
Bull 4.7
Fox 4.9
Pig 5.3
Monkey 6
Dog 14.7
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
81
Which animal do you most associate Basescu with?
DK 16.1
Other 15.4
Viper 0.5
Dolphin 0.5
Dinosaur 0.5
Crocodile 0.5
Ostrich 0.5
Rat 0.5
Reptile 0.5
Rooster 0.6
Donkey 0.6
Bird 0.7
Panther 0.7
Bear 0.7
Elephant 0.8
Lynx 0.8
Ram 0.9
Pig 0.9
Chameleon 0.9
Vulture 1
Shark 1.2
Donkey 1.3
Rabbit 1.3
Horse 1.6
Parrot 1.6
Bull 1.6
Ox 2.2
Tiger 2.3
Monkey 2.3
Cat 3
Jackal 3.3
Snake 3.3
Hyena 4.5
Wolf 4.7
Dog 6.2
Lion 6.4
Fox 9.4
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
82
POLL COORDINATORS
83
SPONSORING ORGANIZATION
Marsh Copsey + Associates, Inc.
1334 Pennsylvania Ave SE . Washington, DC 2003 . www.marshcopsey.com
Founded in 1978, Marsh Copsey + Associates, Inc. has worked for nearly 30 years in the U.S. and
around the world for clients who seek to understand, change and motivate public opinion. MCA
MC+A offers core services that include market and brand identification, strategic communications,
advertising and media planning, creative and interactive design, political consulting and a wide
range of international communications, research and political consulting services.
Tony Marsh is chairman and founder of MCA. Mr. Marsh is a 30-year veteran of media consulting and
advertising. In the U.S., Mr. Marsh has served as chief strategist and/or media consultant for the campaigns of
more than 400 candidates for local, legislative and federal office, as well as, a variety of statewide and local issue
and corporate image campaigns. Internationally, Mr. Marsh has worked for candidates and causes in more than a
dozen countries including Nicaragua, Ukraine, Iraq, Albania, Romania and Russia.
Dan Muresan is MCA’s Europe Director. An experienced communications operative, his background and
expertise is political campaigning, having held key roles in political campaigns across Europe and the United
States from the local to the state and the national level. He also played several advisory roles to local and
national government officials. Mr. Muresan has first hand experience working with over 30 campaigns across the
globe.
84