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TELECOM
SECTOR
MEGHA RANA
NEHA SAXENA
POOJA SHARMA
SHIVANGI RAWAT
SHIVAM SAHU
05/08/09 1
OVERVIEW
05/08/09 3
INDIAN TELECOM INDUSTRY – A LUCRATIVE
OPTION
INDIAN TELECOM INDUSTRY
In re ce nt y ea rs, t he I nd ian te lec om i ndu stry h as witn essed p he nom en al
gro wth . A c on duc iv e b usi ness en viro nme nt , f avour ab le d em og ra ph ic out loo k
and th e p olitica l s ta bility enjo yed b y th e c ou ntry have c on tr ibu te d to th e
gro wth of th e in du str y. I ndia achie ved th e d is tinc tio n of h av in g t he wor ld's
lowe st call ra te s ( 2–3 U S c en ts) , the f aste st s ale o f milli on mob ile p ho ne s ( 1
we ek ), th e wo rld' s ch eap est mo bile hand set ( US D 19 ) an d the wor ld' s mo st
afford ab le c olo ur phon e ( US D 31 ).
INDIAN TELECOM INDUSTRY – FACTS
One of the fastest growing cellular Total telecom subscribers –
markets in the world in terms of 225.21 million (June 2007)
number of subscriber additions –
Tele density – 19.86 percent (June
19.35 million in 3 months (April to
2007)
June 2007)
Number of new mobile
Expected to reach total subscriber
subscribers added every month –
base of about 500 million by 2010
7.34 million (June 2007)
(i.e., more than one phone for
every household) ARPU for GSM – USD 6.6 per
month
Annual growth rate of the telecom
subscribers – 47 percent (2006– Telecom equipment market – USD
07) 17,100 million (2006–07)
05/08/09 6
non-commercial basis in Delhi.
CDMA
1996 :Tata Tele services was the first to launch
05/08/09 7
CDMA mobile services in India with the Andhra
TH E BU BBLE BU RSTS (1997-
2000)
Ast ronomical growth
•High investments and huge pro fits
-In flated market caus ed b y t he hyp e between
venture capit als a nd co mpanies
-Cor rupt ed CEOs overstat ing their profit s
•Overest imat ing the market and its demands and
absurd pr ojections
-Int ernet tr affic doubling ev ery 3 mo nths!
-Level 3 digging t he earth 1 6 miles per day t o
in st all new fib er pipes!
•Lim it less expe ctations
-Over es timating users inter ests and w hat they
actually pay!
-Ir ratio nal in vest ment for unusable
infr as truct ure!
TH E BU BBLE BU RSTS(19 99-
20 01)
Over 655 networking and t elecom c ompanies filed
bankr up tcy
-Loss of $750 billion!
Inflated stock mar ket tumbles
-T he t el eco m market declined by 96 percent!
-O ver all, the market lost $2 tr illion just in a few
years
The giant s fall one after another
-WinS tar goes ban kr upt suing Lucent for $10
billion (2001)
-WorldC om fil es t he largest bankr uptcy ever!
-Level 3’ s sha res falls from $130 in 2000 t o $ 1. 98
in 2001!
Market oversupply
-Cisco repo rted 2 billion D ol la rs of unsold router s
-H al f of the int ernet transmiss io n (sw it che s and
rout ers) capacit y was unused
-O nl y about 20 percent o f fiber pipes were led
(t oday i t is 30%)
CONTI..
• Therefore, it became necessary to
separate the Government's policy
wing from its operations wing. The
GOI corporatised the operations
wing of DoT on October 01, 2000
and named it as
Bharat Sanchar Nigam Limited
(BSNL).
• Many private operators, such as
Reliance India Mobile, Tata
Telecom, Vodafone, BPL, Bharti,
05/08/09 10
National Telecom Policy
•
1994
Divided into 22 Jammu &
Kashmir
circles Punjab
Himachal
Pradesh
North Eastern
Uttar
States
– 4 metros
Haryana Pradesh
W
DELHI
Rajasthan Uttar Pradesh E
– 19 circles Bihar
West
Gujarat Madhya
• Further divided
Bengal
Pradesh
Orissa KOLKATA
into A, B and C
Maharashtra
MUMBAI
Karnataka
parameters and
CHENNAI
A Circles
Tamil Nadu
B Circles
revenue
Kerala
C Circles
potential
Source :COAI
• Each circle has a
05/08/09 11
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK PROVIDES LEVEL PLAYING FIELD
FOR ALL OPERATORS
The Department of telecommunications (Government of
India) is the main governing body for the industry.
05/08/09 12
Various important regulations and laws have been
passed in the Indian telecom industry post-
liberalisation era
Department of Telecommunication (DoT) is the main body formulating laws
and various regulations for the Indian telecom industry.
50 43
Revenues (USD billion)
40
30
20
20 15
9 10 11
10
0
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 ….. …. 2009-10
05/08/09 14
FDI AND OTHER M&A ACTIVITIES INCREASING
IN NUMBER
Major trends in the telecom sector is increasing M&A activity, de-regulation of telecom policies
and growing interest of international investors.
Recent Deals in Telecom Sector The Indian telecom industry has a 74 percent FDI limit in the
telecom services segment.
Vodafone purchased stake in Hutch The GoI has permitted 100 percent FDI in manufacturing of
from Hong Kong's Hutchison Telecom telecom equipment in India.
International for USD 11.08 billion.
FDI in Telecom Sector
300
116 129
Telekom Malaysia acquired a 49 100
percent stake in Spice Communications 2003–04 2004–05 2005–06 2006–07
for USD 179 million.
Vodafone
Reliance
Idea
TTSL
Reliance
BSNL
INTERNET SERVICES
OPERATORS
BSNL
CDMA Services Operators
MTNL Reliance
Reliance
TTSL
TTSL
BSNL
Airtel
05/08/09 19
TECHNOLOGY USED IN TELECOM
SECTOR
GSM (GLOBAL SYSTEM FOR MOBILE
COMMUNICATION)
1-20
TECHNOLOGY USED IN TELECOM
SECTOR
2.CDMA (CO DE DIVISION MULT IPLE ACCE SS )
1-21
MARKET SHARE OF WIRELESS
OPERATORS
Idea
Hutch 9%
17%
Others
8% Airtel
23%
BSNL
17% Reliance
Communications
17%
TTSL
9%
05/08/09 22
3G
3G trend MT NL/ BS NL won the bidding for
Spectr um f or 3G . O ther pl ay er s s till in the ro w.
Launched in Delhi & M umbai.
Br and n am e ‘ Jadoo”- M TNL
India expects to replicate its 2G gr ow th in 3G
services
05/08/09 23
TO DAY’ S INTERN ET STATU S
50
40
Teledensity (%)
30
20
10
0
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
At Year Ending March
Urban Total Rural
05/08/09 25
TELEDENSITY IN INDIA
DELHI HAS TELEDENSITY OF 109!!
250 24
18.3 19.9 20
200
12.8 16
150
9.1 12
225.21
100 7.0
206 8
5.1 140.3
50 98.4 4
53 76
0 0
2002–03 2003–04 2004–05 2005–06 2006–07 2007–08
(As of June
2007)
Telecom Subscriber Base Teledensity
05/08/09 26
FACTS………………
• Delhi has teledensity of 109
• Other state like Bihar, MP, Rajasthan with
25%Teledensity.
• Requierd teledensity of 75%.
05/08/09 27
VENTURE OUTSIDE INDIA
• BHARTI AIRTEL in SRI LANKA has 2G 3G service since
2006.
• TATA communications has a stake of 53% with
NEOTEL S. Africa.
• MTNL is working with Nepal communications.
• “ business outside land serves in sharing risk and
increasing market asset”
05/08/09 28
FUTURE TRENDS
05/08/09 29
EMERGING TREND “4G”
One standard known as IEEE 802.16e (belonging to the
Mobile WiMax family) is now commercially available and is
30
a precursor to 4G.
Comprehensive IP SOLUTION on “Anytime Anywhere”
basis.
BSNL has license in India.
To make India a leader in t elecom technology
TeNet c reated CeWiT (C entre o f E xcel lence in
Wi reless T echno logy ) to do resear ch in 4G.
05/08/09
WORLDWIDE INTEROPERABILITY FOR MICROWAVE
ACCESS.
“Wireless at maximum”
WiMAX can provide broadband wireless access (BWA) up
to 30 miles (50 km).
It is estimated that India will have 19 million WiMAX
subscribers by 2012 (TRAI).
05/08/09 31
Conti…
05/08/09 33
ACQUIRING INDIVIDUAL
SPECTRUM
05/08/09 34
VALUE-ADDED SERVICES AND RURAL
TELEPHONY HOLDS LARGE MARKET
POTENTIAL IN INDIA
VAS
RURAL
TELEPHONY
05/08/09 35
VALUE-ADDED SERVICES IN INDIA
(2006–07)
Person to
Application & Game & Data, 7%
Application to
Person SMS, Others (MMS
15% etc.), 3%
Ringtone
Dow nload, 35%
Person to Person
SMS, 40%
05/08/09 36
VAS
05/08/09 38
RURAL
TELEP HO NY
05/08/09 39
ANY QUESTIONS????
05/08/09 40
TH ANK YOU!!
05/08/09 41